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2022-07-25 · +30d

gru_s1 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 185 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.1372
184 of 185 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+16.76%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
63.0%
in alpha space · 62.5% on raw price
BTC over horizon
+0.25%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (185 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.7890.704571-10.70%0.588-25.48%0.1848✓1.544,1662022-08-24
LUNATerraTerra 20.000092210.000082785-10.22%0.00009991+8.35%0.1832✗1.90735k2022-08-24
NMRNumeraireEthereum17.7816.1431-9.21%18.34+3.15%0.1254✗0.882.1M2022-08-24
DEXEDeXeEthereum5.0154.5669-8.93%3-40.18%0.4226✓0.96584k2022-08-24
TRBTellor TributesEthereum20.5518.76-8.71%37.33+81.65%0.6842✗1.53440k2022-08-24
ORCAOrcaSolana0.82580.763388-7.56%0.8151-1.30%0.0615✓1.61214k2022-08-24
FORTFortaEthereum0.27410.253643-7.46%0.27-1.50%0.0594✓1.21335k2022-08-24
GMTGMTEthereum0.9150.855978-6.45%0.7861-14.09%0.0897✓1.79591k2022-08-24
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.16990.159442-6.16%0.16688-1.78%0.0394✓2.451,1272022-08-24
OPTIMOptimism0.7940.745682-6.09%1.226+54.41%0.4927✗1.781.1M2022-08-24
BFCBifrostEthereum0.067820.063778-5.96%0.07428+9.53%0.1492✗1.2928k2022-08-24
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.420.395323-5.88%0.4098-2.43%0.0334✓1.00234k2022-08-24
SNXSynthetixEthereum2.9682.7943-5.85%3.034+2.22%0.0780✗1.693.7M2022-08-24
METRONOMEMETRONOME0.953570.898751-5.75%0.06201-93.50%2.6762✓0.998,9622022-08-24
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0187260.017766-5.13%0.023439+25.17%0.2759✗0.48163k2022-08-24
OGOG Fan TokenSolana3.7053.5153-5.12%6.816+83.97%0.6607✗0.552.1M2022-08-24
FIDABonfidaSolana0.5040.479457-4.87%0.452-10.32%0.0619✓1.1811k2022-08-24
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana4.083.8881-4.70%5.19+27.21%0.2869✗0.75597k2022-08-24
AVTAventusEthereum1.411.3439-4.69%1.38-2.13%0.0259✓0.23319k2022-08-24
UNIUniswapEthereum7.0476.7395-4.36%7.045-0.03%0.0409✓1.355.6M2022-08-24
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.0912.9571-4.33%4.9+58.52%0.5034✗0.631.5M2022-08-24
METISMetisEthereum27.3726.2015-4.27%35.76+30.65%0.3085✗1.00151k2022-08-24
BTTBitTorrentEthereum9.00e-78.63e-7-4.13%9.20e-7+2.22%0.0616✗1.0025k2022-08-24
ARPAARPAEthereum0.03370.032352-4.00%0.0377+11.87%0.1499✗1.2472k2022-08-24
FISStafiEthereum0.37020.35554-3.96%–pending––1.273902022-08-24
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood3.213.0844-3.91%2.77-13.71%0.1088✓0.5382k2022-08-24
ELAElastosEthereum1.5571.4967-3.87%1.827+17.34%0.1978✗0.64223k2022-08-24
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.2610.251076-3.80%0.2599-0.42%0.0345✓0.0135k2022-08-24
QNTQuantEthereum87.8784.6224-3.70%108+22.91%0.2414✗1.023.2M2022-08-24
XVSVenusEthereum5.084.9076-3.39%5.72+12.60%0.1496✗1.43947k2022-08-24
DIADIAEthereum0.404070.390448-3.37%0.40312-0.24%0.0300✓0.7551k2022-08-24
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum6.2036.0061-3.17%6.406+3.27%0.0612✗1.285.3M2022-08-24
APEApeCoinEthereum5.9965.8142-3.03%5.312-11.41%0.0947✓1.7211.9M2022-08-24
RADRadworksEthereum1.881.8245-2.95%2.34+24.47%0.2461✗1.08157k2022-08-24
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.093290.090606-2.88%0.08425-9.69%0.0753✓1.00706k2022-08-24
STORJStorjEthereum0.597970.580886-2.86%0.58763-1.73%0.0076✓1.5686k2022-08-24
HIVEHivenative0.5190.504277-2.84%0.5577+7.46%0.0977✗1.191.4M2022-08-24
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.42880.416939-2.77%0.3738-12.83%0.1130✓1.50208k2022-08-24
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.6930.67418-2.72%0.727+4.91%0.0710✗1.765.3M2022-08-24
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0204790.019947-2.60%0.022261+8.70%0.1072✗1.006,1832022-08-24
CTSICartesiEthereum0.14720.1434-2.58%0.1509+2.51%0.0477✗1.28379k2022-08-24
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.024480.023881-2.45%0.02382-2.70%0.0066✓1.6013.4M2022-08-24
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.17631.1476-2.44%1.1766+0.03%0.0212✓1.484.9M2022-08-24
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.08160.079698-2.33%0.0676-17.16%0.1677✓1.22172k2022-08-24
XEMNEMnative0.0447030.043678-2.29%0.046228+3.41%0.0537✗1.2021k2022-08-24
DODODODOEthereum0.14170.138457-2.29%0.1408-0.64%0.0135✓1.292.8M2022-08-24
WOOWOOEthereum0.1740.170233-2.16%0.1725-0.86%0.0096✓1.431,7562022-08-24
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.017920.017532-2.16%0.01734-3.24%0.0130✓0.77354k2022-08-24
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.06050.059202-2.15%0.0606+0.17%0.0209✓0.98156k2022-08-24
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV54.1352.9777-2.13%55.495+2.52%0.0443✗0.84369k2022-08-24
DYDXdYdXCosmos1.9341.8952-2.00%1.766-8.69%0.0743✓1.45132k2022-08-24
KSMKusamaHydration58.4957.3183-2.00%48.99-16.24%0.1600✓1.20227k2022-08-24
LINKChainlinkEthereum6.4216.2952-1.96%7.122+10.92%0.1202✗1.2816.7M2022-08-24
BORABORAKlay Token0.293060.287323-1.96%0.2979+1.65%0.0328✗1.349,2162022-08-24
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana4.334.2476-1.90%6.1+40.88%0.3604✗0.60694k2022-08-24
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche20.9120.5173-1.88%23.01+10.04%0.1106✗1.6027.0M2022-08-24
XYMSymbolnative0.0534050.052407-1.87%0.048259-9.64%0.0840✓0.6218k2022-08-24
COMPCompoundEthereum50.2449.3972-1.68%51.17+1.85%0.0318✗1.3832k2022-08-24
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos8.9738.8278-1.62%13.019+45.09%0.3851✗1.3713.0M2022-08-24
SUSHISushiEthereum1.361.3389-1.55%1.1971-11.98%0.1156✓1.45856k2022-08-24
DKAdKargoEthereum0.044030.043357-1.53%0.04656+5.75%0.0689✗0.9315k2022-08-24
GITCOINGITCOIN2.26452.2299-1.53%2.4403+7.76%0.0862✗1.579,0562022-08-24
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.24392.213-1.38%5.6172+150.33%0.9295✗0.79895k2022-08-24
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.90170.890206-1.27%1.0301+14.24%0.1436✗0.943.5M2022-08-24
CBKCobakEthereum0.985390.973165-1.24%0.94669-3.93%0.0304✓1.138,4242022-08-24
ETCEthereum Classicnative23.2522.9746-1.18%35.45+52.47%0.4305✗1.291.3M2022-08-24
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.0710.070233-1.08%0.07009-1.28%0.0039✓0.731,6422022-08-24
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana3.2283.1981-0.93%4.876+51.05%0.4198✗0.77488k2022-08-24
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana6.946.8771-0.91%9.29+33.86%0.2995✗0.48670k2022-08-24
C98Coin98Ethereum0.43540.432034-0.77%0.4107-5.67%0.0535✓1.1241k2022-08-24
AUCTIONBounceEthereum5.965.9151-0.75%8.04+34.90%0.3036✗1.31248k2022-08-24
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain2.1312.118-0.61%5.8769+175.78%1.0183✗0.90971k2022-08-24
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana4.264.2347-0.59%6.85+60.80%0.4794✗0.62504k2022-08-24
CHRChromiaEthereum0.18420.183153-0.57%0.171-7.17%0.0722✓1.411,0652022-08-24
UMAUMAEthereum2.6292.615-0.53%2.932+11.53%0.1116✗1.12619k2022-08-24
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.0066890.006663-0.39%0.00668-0.13%0.0011✓0.5546k2022-08-24
YFIyearn.financeEthereum6,273.726,252.87-0.33%9,349.19+49.02%0.3988✗1.354.0M2022-08-24
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.2481.2442-0.30%1.24-0.64%0.0067✓1.322.4M2022-08-24
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum12.5112.4891-0.17%13.83+10.55%0.0983✗1.461.2M2022-08-24
AAVEAaveEthereum81.481.3061-0.12%88.41+8.61%0.0796✗1.668.1M2022-08-24
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.04810.048045-0.11%0.0464-3.53%0.0379✓1.22263k2022-08-24
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.025710.025693-0.06%0.02692+4.71%0.0432✗1.351,3002022-08-24
ETHEthereumEthereum1,440.751,440.96+0.01%1,656.74+14.99%0.1364✓1.24344.6M2022-08-24
SOLSolanaSolana36.6436.6605+0.06%34.88-4.80%0.0532✗1.3680.3M2022-08-24
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana4.764.7679+0.17%6.94+45.80%0.3737✓0.66514k2022-08-24
RLCiExec RLCEthereum0.83960.8411+0.18%1.5383+83.22%0.6007✓1.211.2M2022-08-24
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0030990.003105+0.20%0.003426+10.55%0.0958✓1.011.0M2022-08-24
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.1772.182+0.23%2.264+4.00%0.0333✓1.4237k2022-08-24
SANDThe SandboxEthereum1.2011.204+0.25%1.0444-13.04%0.1453✗1.241.3M2022-08-24
CHZChilizEthereum0.10140.101732+0.33%0.2424+139.05%0.8655✓1.11617k2022-08-24
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.371.375+0.37%1.42+3.65%0.0286✓1.44127k2022-08-24
API3Api3Ethereum1.5961.6019+0.37%1.936+21.30%0.1862✓1.29606k2022-08-24
IMXImmutableEthereum0.82490.828447+0.43%0.8581+4.02%0.0315✓1.441.4M2022-08-24
ADACardanoCardano0.47490.477134+0.47%0.4577-3.62%0.0448✗1.2741.4M2022-08-24
MOVRMoonriverBase12.677312.7372+0.47%13.8671+9.39%0.0820✓1.2078k2022-08-24
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.252.2611+0.50%2.41+7.11%0.0599✓1.52205k2022-08-24
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.27480.276199+0.51%0.2983+8.55%0.0740✓1.202.7M2022-08-24
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.019370.019486+0.60%0.02359+21.79%0.1885✓1.06129k2022-08-24
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.406710.409346+0.65%0.36571-10.08%0.1164✗1.47602k2022-08-24
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum15.3515.4497+0.65%14.55-5.21%0.0635✗1.381.3M2022-08-24
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.3590.361403+0.67%0.36794+2.49%0.0148✓1.23113k2022-08-24
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.10780.108543+0.69%0.1104+2.41%0.0142✓1.09380k2022-08-24
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.5451.5572+0.79%1.548+0.19%0.0096✗1.45212k2022-08-24
BANDBandEthereum1.41.4117+0.84%1.364-2.57%0.0380✗1.45317k2022-08-24
MINAMina Protocolnative0.6740.679855+0.87%0.727+7.86%0.0639✓1.25149k2022-08-24
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.30961.3215+0.91%1.8503+41.29%0.3329✓1.46561k2022-08-24
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.52560.530627+0.96%0.5089-3.18%0.0448✗1.20642k2022-08-24
LCXLCXEthereum0.0590.059572+0.97%0.0641+8.64%0.0697✓1.43328k2022-08-24
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.2982.3207+0.99%4.3422+88.96%0.6240✓1.00863k2022-08-24
LPTLivepeerEthereum8.448.5283+1.05%11.09+31.40%0.2597✓1.16243k2022-08-24
BRISEBitgertEthereum3.57e-73.61e-7+1.06%8.05e-7+125.15%0.7985✓0.99234k2022-08-24
RUNETHORChainTHORChain2.3662.3939+1.18%2.176-8.03%0.0998✗1.7587k2022-08-24
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.7813.8275+1.23%14.339+279.24%1.3192✓0.621.2M2022-08-24
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.31160.315438+1.23%0.3023-2.98%0.0455✗1.187.5M2022-08-24
GLMGolemEthereum0.23210.235022+1.26%0.2557+10.17%0.0815✓1.1161k2022-08-24
SPELLSpellEthereum0.00099010.001003+1.31%0.001535+55.01%0.4220✓1.311.7M2022-08-24
COTICOTIEthereum0.09280.09404+1.34%0.099+6.68%0.0480✓1.34502k2022-08-24
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.040.040546+1.37%0.04014+0.35%0.0125✓0.992,0302022-08-24
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.530.538022+1.51%0.562+6.04%0.0400✓1.4384k2022-08-24
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000010690.000010874+1.72%0.00001305+22.08%0.1792✓1.261.1M2022-08-24
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.11940.121491+1.75%0.1249+4.61%0.0243✓1.3447k2022-08-24
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.21570.219754+1.88%0.2239+3.80%0.0149✓1.4999k2022-08-24
MANADecentralandEthereum0.873470.890067+1.90%0.8327-4.67%0.0700✗1.36423k2022-08-24
XTZTezosTezos1.50841.5382+1.97%1.6006+6.11%0.0365✓1.28492k2022-08-24
XMRMoneroMonero144.12147.0098+2.01%150.55+4.46%0.0210✓1.111.1M2022-08-24
NANOnanopayBase0.9137150.932058+2.01%0.935146+2.35%0.0008✓0.9851k2022-08-24
UOSUltraEthereum0.344430.351768+2.13%0.34078-1.06%0.0348✗1.20400k2022-08-24
SKLSKALEEthereum0.04760.04868+2.27%0.0518+8.82%0.0588✓1.34787k2022-08-24
PHAPHALAEthereum0.11450.117146+2.31%0.1118-2.36%0.0492✗1.015,8712022-08-24
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.008430.008626+2.32%0.0091+7.95%0.0510✓0.994.5M2022-08-24
BTTCBTTC8.80e-79.01e-7+2.38%9.10e-7+3.41%0.0079✓0.845.9M2022-08-24
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.12320.126137+2.38%0.1328+7.79%0.0489✓1.013.1M2022-08-24
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.026750.027399+2.42%0.04016+50.13%0.3792✓1.2718k2022-08-24
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum2.4172.4757+2.43%4.724+95.45%0.6438✓0.92105k2022-08-24
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.047940.049111+2.44%0.07101+48.12%0.3651✓1.46712k2022-08-24
STEEMSteemnative0.23090.2366+2.47%0.2353+1.91%0.0086✓1.21701k2022-08-24
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.140170.143716+2.53%0.14186+1.21%0.0170✓1.58176k2022-08-24
FTTFTXEthereum27.0127.7063+2.58%27.55+2.00%0.0080✓0.9510.6M2022-08-24
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.22210.22803+2.67%0.2197-1.08%0.0404✗1.26119k2022-08-24
QTUMQtumQtum3.28363.3717+2.68%3.4798+5.98%0.0289✓1.0725k2022-08-24
PROPropyEthereum0.790.811245+2.69%0.74-6.33%0.0937✗0.6983k2022-08-24
CTKShentuOsmosis0.7980.820627+2.84%0.886+11.03%0.0748✓0.751.1M2022-08-24
BTCBitcoinBitcoin21,313.4121,929.37+2.89%21,367.12+0.25%0.0285✓1.00374.5M2022-08-24
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum1.83871.8921+2.91%1.9654+6.89%0.0349✓1.2324k2022-08-24
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.1930.198673+2.94%0.186-3.63%0.0698✗1.55881k2022-08-24
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.08550.088024+2.95%0.1052+23.04%0.1761✓0.84148k2022-08-24
FILFilecoinFilecoin5.2385.3932+2.96%6.274+19.78%0.1485✓1.111.9M2022-08-24
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.6630.682869+3.00%0.6-9.50%0.1332✗1.5179k2022-08-24
FLOWFlownative1.6271.6779+3.13%2.147+31.96%0.2433✓1.26332k2022-08-24
LTCLitecoinLitecoin54.0255.7225+3.15%56.46+4.52%0.0103✓1.1513.6M2022-08-24
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.2814470.290573+3.24%0.308844+9.73%0.0577✓1.301.1M2022-08-24
DASHDashDash44.8846.4336+3.46%49.13+9.47%0.0537✓1.11498k2022-08-24
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.013450.013931+3.58%0.014302+6.33%0.0240✓0.911.2M2022-08-24
XECeCashnative0.000038290.000039687+3.65%0.00003875+1.20%0.0269✓1.191.9M2022-08-24
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.006550.006789+3.66%0.0082+25.19%0.1862✓1.01355k2022-08-24
DOTPolkadotPolkadot6.7577.0046+3.66%7.565+11.96%0.0738✓1.248.6M2022-08-24
ZENHorizenBase15.2515.8094+3.67%17.01+11.54%0.0697✓1.3997k2022-08-24
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum21,619.2022,434.02+3.77%21,418.40-0.93%0.0488✗0.9820k2022-08-24
XVGVergenative0.003450.003583+3.85%0.00321-6.96%0.1133✗1.34566k2022-08-24
AMPAmpEthereum0.008450.008782+3.93%0.00698-17.40%0.2320✗0.931.3M2022-08-24
XLMStellarStellar0.1059880.110151+3.93%0.109482+3.30%0.0086✓1.016.7M2022-08-24
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.6230.647967+4.01%0.721+15.73%0.1044✓0.97387k2022-08-24
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.08625.3053+4.31%5.386+5.89%0.0146✓0.19214k2022-08-24
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.09570.099854+4.34%0.1146+19.75%0.1343✓1.372.4M2022-08-24
ASTRAstarEthereum0.04140.043222+4.40%0.0402-2.90%0.0759✗1.357,5232022-08-24
GTGateEthereum3.96964.1506+4.56%4.4922+13.17%0.0773✓0.72919k2022-08-24
CELLCellframeEthereum0.27570.288569+4.67%0.3737+35.55%0.2556✓1.1465k2022-08-24
GALAGALAEthereum0.04760.049918+4.87%0.0549+15.34%0.0914✓1.48119k2022-08-24
LSKLiskEthereum1.05261.1048+4.96%1.1172+6.14%0.0084✓1.1045k2022-08-24
STXStacksnative0.40070.421055+5.08%0.3867-3.49%0.0883✗1.28606k2022-08-24
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.2810.295351+5.11%0.285+1.42%0.0383✓1.05673k2022-08-24
LRCLoopringEthereum0.36240.381049+5.15%0.3871+6.82%0.0123✓1.3670k2022-08-24
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash118.03124.3831+5.38%130.34+10.43%0.0439✓1.164.2M2022-08-24
SCSiacoinnative0.003970.004188+5.50%0.00409+3.02%0.0271✓1.34106k2022-08-24
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.061930.065851+6.33%0.067837+9.54%0.0268✓1.151.8M2022-08-24
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.06420.068405+6.55%0.0669+4.21%0.0250✓1.08239k2022-08-24
KCSKuCoinnative9.4610.0897+6.66%9.631+1.81%0.0493✓1.112.1M2022-08-24
TRXTRONTron0.0636630.068067+6.92%0.06482+1.82%0.0509✓0.80373k2022-08-24
ZECZcashZcash54.258.1571+7.30%67.69+24.89%0.1486✓1.281.4M2022-08-24
CVCCivicEthereum0.13160.141807+7.76%0.1481+12.54%0.0402✓1.2681k2022-08-24
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.0014790.001604+8.45%0.0016+8.18%0.0051✓1.0620k2022-08-24
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.07850.085519+8.94%0.091+15.92%0.0590✓1.236,7862022-08-24
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.48880.532574+8.96%0.4861-0.55%0.0942✗1.15350k2022-08-24
NEXONEXOEthereum0.6810.744074+9.26%0.956+40.38%0.2476✓1.21758k2022-08-24
SUNSun TokenTron0.0056290.006247+10.99%0.005761+2.36%0.0833✓0.912,9222022-08-24
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.