8=======>

2022-07-21 · +30d

gru_s1 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 183 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.1459
183 of 183 tokens assessed
long-short decile
-3.94%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
63.4%
in alpha space · 44.5% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-8.70%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (183 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
LUNATerraTerra 20.00010370.000092814-10.50%0.00008807-15.07%0.1250✗1.95735k2022-08-20
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.8770.789699-9.95%0.569-35.12%0.1869✓1.556,1452022-08-20
NMRNumeraireEthereum19.2517.5531-8.81%18.41-4.36%0.1344✗0.952.0M2022-08-20
ORCAOrcaSolana0.93910.875466-6.78%0.8612-8.30%0.1290✗1.60214k2022-08-20
FORTFortaEthereum0.30090.282541-6.10%0.2676-11.07%0.0630✗1.29395k2022-08-20
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.180440.16968-5.96%0.15686-13.07%0.1457✗2.461,0532022-08-20
GMTGMTEthereum0.9940.940149-5.42%0.799-19.62%0.0015✓1.80561k2022-08-20
TRBTellor TributesEthereum16.5915.753-5.05%41.66+151.12%1.1137✗1.55431k2022-08-20
METRONOMEMETRONOME1.05341.0009-4.98%1.06+0.63%0.1448✗0.961,6652022-08-20
QNTQuantEthereum102.8497.9599-4.75%104.84+1.94%0.1593✗1.002.7M2022-08-20
SNXSynthetixEthereum3.2833.133-4.57%2.746-16.36%0.0213✓1.683.8M2022-08-20
OGOG Fan TokenSolana3.8383.6716-4.34%6.408+66.96%0.6080✗0.562.2M2022-08-20
AVTAventusEthereum1.531.4736-3.69%1.39-9.15%0.0369✓0.24419k2022-08-20
OPTIMOptimism0.7770.748843-3.62%1.131+45.56%0.5750✗1.791.1M2022-08-20
FIDABonfidaSolana0.5590.539072-3.56%0.463-17.17%0.0448✓1.1811k2022-08-20
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.760.734142-3.40%0.722-5.00%0.1440✗1.765.8M2022-08-20
DYDXdYdXCosmos2.4222.3423-3.29%1.596-34.10%0.2530✓1.44132k2022-08-20
ARPAARPAEthereum0.03690.035692-3.27%0.0394+6.78%0.2111✗1.2385k2022-08-20
FISStafiEthereum0.44510.431352-3.09%0.3666-17.64%0.0716✓1.004752022-08-20
UNIUniswapEthereum7.2227.0092-2.95%7.004-3.02%0.1225✗1.355.7M2022-08-20
WOOWOOEthereum0.21810.211813-2.88%0.1683-22.83%0.1023✓1.402,0152022-08-20
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.40311.366-2.64%0.9995-28.76%0.1779✓1.484.7M2022-08-20
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.46280.451068-2.53%0.3838-17.07%0.0705✓1.00258k2022-08-20
XVSVenusEthereum5.465.33-2.38%5.88+7.69%0.2268✗1.411.1M2022-08-20
BFCBifrostEthereum0.064080.062682-2.18%0.07704+20.22%0.3261✗1.3225k2022-08-20
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.0690.067506-2.17%0.0602-12.75%0.0250✓0.98183k2022-08-20
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.2233.1545-2.13%5.051+56.72%0.5277✗0.631.7M2022-08-20
APEApeCoinEthereum6.4226.286-2.12%5.036-21.58%0.0629✓1.7411.7M2022-08-20
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana3.943.8666-1.86%5.07+28.68%0.3406✗0.77597k2022-08-20
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche25.0124.5585-1.81%22.3-10.84%0.0461✗1.5727.5M2022-08-20
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum6.96.7776-1.77%6.305-8.62%0.0435✗1.275.2M2022-08-20
ELAElastosEthereum1.6041.5766-1.71%1.857+15.77%0.2547✗1.00182k2022-08-20
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood3.243.1849-1.70%2.74-15.43%0.1064✓0.4886k2022-08-20
DIADIAEthereum0.431230.424408-1.58%0.39983-7.28%0.0072✓0.7351k2022-08-20
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.09040.088995-1.55%0.0659-27.10%0.1873✓1.24202k2022-08-20
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos11.04710.8843-1.47%10.236-7.34%0.0618✗1.3513.0M2022-08-20
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0174540.017258-1.12%0.022499+28.90%0.3093✗0.48167k2022-08-20
STORJStorjEthereum0.670.663015-1.04%0.56747-15.30%0.0138✓1.56104k2022-08-20
RADRadworksEthereum1.871.8505-1.04%2.41+28.88%0.3643✗1.10150k2022-08-20
ETCEthereum Classicnative26.3426.0693-1.03%32.83+24.64%0.3469✗1.281.2M2022-08-20
DEXEDeXeEthereum3.2233.1925-0.95%3.057-5.15%0.0552✗1.08562k2022-08-20
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.025980.02574-0.92%0.02152-17.17%0.0322✓1.6114.2M2022-08-20
COMPCompoundEthereum58.0857.5838-0.85%49.23-15.24%0.0321✓1.3733k2022-08-20
XEMNEMnative0.0490110.048629-0.78%0.045083-8.01%0.0334✗1.2018k2022-08-20
AAVEAaveEthereum95.3594.7003-0.68%82.79-13.17%0.0145✗1.6410.8M2022-08-20
BTTBitTorrentEthereum9.40e-79.34e-7-0.62%8.80e-7-6.38%0.0313✗1.0026k2022-08-20
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.019070.018958-0.59%0.0177-7.18%0.0006✓0.75354k2022-08-20
CTSICartesiEthereum0.16610.165305-0.48%0.1493-10.11%0.0149✗1.28354k2022-08-20
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.42160.419751-0.44%0.3699-12.26%0.0125✗1.53208k2022-08-20
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.072940.072636-0.42%0.06888-5.57%0.0137✗0.731,5492022-08-20
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0222810.022193-0.40%0.02156-3.24%0.0609✗0.991,5692022-08-20
MOVRMoonriverBase14.89714.8424-0.37%13.7071-7.99%0.0290✗1.19165k2022-08-20
GITCOINGITCOIN2.48132.4744-0.28%2.314-6.74%0.0753✗1.567,1792022-08-20
BORABORAKlay Token0.320190.31984-0.11%0.29724-7.17%0.0489✗1.347,0062022-08-20
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.26130.261321+0.01%0.2613+0.00%0.0910✓1.0048k2022-08-20
DODODODOEthereum0.15230.152314+0.01%0.131-13.99%0.0333✗1.292.8M2022-08-20
KSMKusamaHydration61.1861.1918+0.02%48.54-20.66%0.1221✗1.20231k2022-08-20
SUSHISushiEthereum1.421.4204+0.03%1.17-17.61%0.0591✗1.48910k2022-08-20
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.4741.475+0.07%1.22-17.23%0.0716✗1.302.8M2022-08-20
YFIyearn.financeEthereum6,719.996,724.80+0.07%8,539.61+27.08%0.3602✓1.334.2M2022-08-20
RLCiExec RLCEthereum0.94510.946632+0.16%1.3649+44.42%0.4757✓1.211.2M2022-08-20
LINKChainlinkEthereum6.9957.0119+0.24%6.902-1.33%0.0992✓1.2617.9M2022-08-20
METISMetisEthereum33.0533.1386+0.27%32.45-1.82%0.0700✓1.00131k2022-08-20
SOLSolanaSolana43.143.2157+0.27%35.29-18.12%0.0811✗1.3381.1M2022-08-20
API3Api3Ethereum1.831.8356+0.31%1.86+1.64%0.1289✓1.27626k2022-08-20
UMAUMAEthereum2.7142.7244+0.38%2.824+4.05%0.1364✓1.10621k2022-08-20
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana3.973.9911+0.53%5.82+46.60%0.4344✓0.63723k2022-08-20
C98Coin98Ethereum0.49590.499018+0.63%0.4104-17.24%0.0955✗1.1049k2022-08-20
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.5272.5439+0.67%2.152-14.84%0.0394✗1.4143k2022-08-20
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.093970.094635+0.71%0.09157-2.55%0.0581✓1.00626k2022-08-20
ETHEthereumEthereum1,575.681,587.29+0.74%1,575.76+0.01%0.1046✓1.23326.5M2022-08-20
IMXImmutableEthereum0.98440.992099+0.78%0.8617-12.46%0.0113✗1.421.4M2022-08-20
CBKCobakEthereum1.07551.0851+0.89%0.94144-12.47%0.0396✗1.127,2992022-08-20
RUNETHORChainTHORChain2.9482.9754+0.93%2.096-28.90%0.1919✗1.7484k2022-08-20
DKAdKargoEthereum0.047830.048312+1.01%0.04516-5.58%0.0156✓0.919,2922022-08-20
SANDThe SandboxEthereum1.3821.3962+1.02%1.04-24.75%0.1832✗1.221.6M2022-08-20
XYMSymbolnative0.054150.054774+1.15%0.049123-9.28%0.0523✗0.6214k2022-08-20
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.83190.841865+1.20%1.0652+28.04%0.3255✓0.993.5M2022-08-20
CHZChilizEthereum0.11020.111572+1.25%0.1832+66.24%0.5964✓1.10560k2022-08-20
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.401070.406174+1.27%0.35603-11.23%0.0200✗1.23123k2022-08-20
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.6150.622857+1.28%0.557-9.43%0.0177✓1.4284k2022-08-20
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.05020.050865+1.33%0.0458-8.76%0.0046✓1.20282k2022-08-20
HIVEHivenative0.47010.476694+1.40%0.5428+15.46%0.2436✓1.251.3M2022-08-20
BANDBandEthereum1.5171.5384+1.41%1.299-14.37%0.0379✗1.44382k2022-08-20
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.51.5214+1.43%1.34-10.67%0.0040✓1.44134k2022-08-20
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.021080.021386+1.45%0.02244+6.45%0.1444✓1.06127k2022-08-20
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.6461.6709+1.51%1.525-7.35%0.0410✓1.45203k2022-08-20
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.29940.304072+1.56%0.2842-5.08%0.0407✓1.192.8M2022-08-20
COTICOTIEthereum0.10750.109211+1.59%0.0956-11.07%0.0131✓1.32526k2022-08-20
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.46941.4935+1.64%1.7871+21.62%0.3089✓1.42651k2022-08-20
XTZTezosTezos1.68111.7091+1.66%1.5629-7.03%0.0256✓1.26494k2022-08-20
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana4.364.4336+1.69%6.33+45.18%0.4140✓0.64579k2022-08-20
AUCTIONBounceEthereum6.216.3155+1.70%8.12+30.76%0.3710✓1.31263k2022-08-20
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.31142.3515+1.73%4.3606+88.66%0.6902✓0.80947k2022-08-20
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.0069070.007032+1.80%0.006855-0.75%0.0278✓0.5950k2022-08-20
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana6.786.9045+1.84%8.89+31.12%0.2974✓0.49670k2022-08-20
CHRChromiaEthereum0.19790.201712+1.93%0.1673-15.46%0.0587✗1.412,4852022-08-20
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000011990.000012224+1.95%0.00001291+7.67%0.1685✓1.251.3M2022-08-20
LPTLivepeerEthereum9.239.4148+2.00%10.01+8.45%0.1678✓1.17282k2022-08-20
LCXLCXEthereum0.06790.06927+2.02%0.0617-9.13%0.0110✓1.39316k2022-08-20
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.482.5301+2.02%2.36-4.84%0.0679✓1.51205k2022-08-20
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.52252.5742+2.05%3.4859+38.19%0.3930✓0.991.1M2022-08-20
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.027320.027883+2.06%0.02642-3.29%0.0702✓1.361,3802022-08-20
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV56.84358.0441+2.11%53.04-6.69%0.0143✓0.83387k2022-08-20
SPELLSpellEthereum0.001110.001134+2.16%0.001507+35.72%0.4018✓1.291.7M2022-08-20
PHAPHALAEthereum0.12970.132811+2.40%0.1064-17.96%0.1325✗0.985,8712022-08-20
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum15.7816.1594+2.40%14.13-10.46%0.0096✓1.371.3M2022-08-20
MINAMina Protocolnative0.7340.75171+2.41%0.708-3.54%0.0555✓1.27139k2022-08-20
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.34940.357848+2.42%0.3003-14.05%0.0692✗1.178.0M2022-08-20
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.464420.475701+2.43%0.37019-20.29%0.1173✗1.47733k2022-08-20
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.13490.138254+2.49%0.1223-9.34%0.0026✓1.3244k2022-08-20
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana4.895.0135+2.53%6.52+33.33%0.3236✓0.67574k2022-08-20
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0030470.003124+2.54%0.003393+11.36%0.1777✓1.051.1M2022-08-20
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.055850.057341+2.67%0.06829+22.27%0.3080✓1.46773k2022-08-20
GLMGolemEthereum0.25160.258327+2.67%0.2549+1.31%0.0855✓1.0961k2022-08-20
FTTFTXEthereum29.4830.2794+2.71%26.69-9.46%0.0399✗0.9510.6M2022-08-20
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.12080.124182+2.80%0.1097-9.19%0.0254✓1.08398k2022-08-20
MANADecentralandEthereum0.940430.967176+2.84%0.83183-11.55%0.0279✓1.35423k2022-08-20
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana3.3343.4338+2.99%4.487+34.58%0.3374✓0.77488k2022-08-20
BTTCBTTC9.20e-79.48e-7+2.99%8.70e-7-5.43%0.0102✓0.836.2M2022-08-20
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.139750.143934+2.99%0.13909-0.47%0.1111✓1.60155k2022-08-20
SKLSKALEEthereum0.05560.057272+3.01%0.0503-9.53%0.0084✓1.33802k2022-08-20
XMRMoneroMonero151.18155.9096+3.13%149.22-1.30%0.0576✓1.111.3M2022-08-20
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.9254.0533+3.27%10.894+177.55%1.0451✓0.621.4M2022-08-20
NANOnanopayBase0.9532040.98579+3.42%0.896517-5.95%0.0028✓1.0159k2022-08-20
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.52960.547858+3.45%0.5172-2.34%0.0520✓1.20470k2022-08-20
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.030040.031079+3.46%0.03745+24.67%0.3023✓1.2722k2022-08-20
ADACardanoCardano0.49960.516945+3.47%0.4513-9.67%0.0202✓1.2743.9M2022-08-20
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.016150.016716+3.50%0.014688-9.05%0.0456✗0.921.2M2022-08-20
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.24480.253596+3.59%0.2207-9.84%0.0255✓1.25129k2022-08-20
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.2150.222932+3.69%0.181-15.81%0.0675✗1.55881k2022-08-20
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.13950.144651+3.69%0.1226-12.11%0.0722✗1.023.3M2022-08-20
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum1.91951.9906+3.70%1.8646-2.86%0.0462✓1.2326k2022-08-20
BTCBitcoinBitcoin23,153.9624,038.82+3.82%21,139.23-8.70%0.0375✗1.00398.7M2022-08-20
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum2.6872.7921+3.91%3.919+45.85%0.4208✓0.90105k2022-08-20
LTCLitecoinLitecoin58.0360.3094+3.93%54.1-6.77%0.0055✓1.1314.6M2022-08-20
UOSUltraEthereum0.345310.358935+3.95%0.30514-11.63%0.0498✗1.24411k2022-08-20
FILFilecoinFilecoin5.6215.8442+3.97%6.249+11.17%0.1674✓1.101.9M2022-08-20
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum12.9913.5089+3.99%12.68-2.39%0.0707✓1.471.1M2022-08-20
FLOWFlownative1.8771.9531+4.05%2.124+13.16%0.1971✓1.24332k2022-08-20
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain2.22592.3162+4.06%5.6922+155.73%0.9810✓0.90890k2022-08-20
BRISEBitgertEthereum3.57e-73.71e-7+4.13%7.06e-7+98.06%0.7338✓1.00244k2022-08-20
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.009260.009652+4.24%0.00924-0.22%0.0456✓0.984.9M2022-08-20
CTKShentuOsmosis0.7850.818583+4.28%0.843+7.39%0.1000✓0.781.1M2022-08-20
STEEMSteemnative0.24890.259661+4.32%0.2331-6.35%0.0011✓1.17733k2022-08-20
DASHDashDash48.1750.3267+4.48%45.75-5.02%0.0041✓1.09606k2022-08-20
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.22850.238759+4.49%0.239+4.60%0.1354✓1.48117k2022-08-20
XVGVergenative0.003730.003898+4.51%0.00328-12.06%0.0506✗1.34612k2022-08-20
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.3213450.336032+4.57%0.301686-6.12%0.0041✓1.231.3M2022-08-20
QTUMQtumQtum3.10443.2505+4.71%3.3461+7.78%0.1280✓1.0926k2022-08-20
PROPropyEthereum0.780.816992+4.74%0.73-6.41%0.0484✗0.71107k2022-08-20
DOTPolkadotPolkadot7.5317.8998+4.90%7.228-4.02%0.0232✓1.239.0M2022-08-20
XECeCashnative0.000040990.000043054+5.04%0.00003899-4.88%0.0089✓1.191.9M2022-08-20
AMPAmpEthereum0.009230.009696+5.05%0.00713-22.75%0.2243✗0.911.3M2022-08-20
LSKLiskEthereum1.1281.185+5.05%1.0708-5.07%0.0027✓1.0845k2022-08-20
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.38785.6623+5.10%5.0769-5.77%0.0914✗0.19274k2022-08-20
STXStacksnative0.43060.452929+5.19%0.3896-9.52%0.0353✓1.27414k2022-08-20
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.7290.768881+5.47%0.611-16.19%0.0912✗1.52108k2022-08-20
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.00680.007175+5.51%0.00725+6.62%0.1019✓1.01376k2022-08-20
ZENHorizenBase17.0117.9491+5.52%15.84-6.88%0.0015✓1.39100k2022-08-20
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.08590.090694+5.58%0.1034+20.37%0.2030✓0.79157k2022-08-20
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.6880.727519+5.74%0.676-1.74%0.0147✓0.97434k2022-08-20
GTGateEthereum4.12464.3702+5.96%4.4355+7.54%0.0789✓0.70930k2022-08-20
XLMStellarStellar0.1135920.12039+5.98%0.109019-4.03%0.0079✓1.007.2M2022-08-20
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0699520.074348+6.29%0.069428-0.75%0.0410✓1.202.0M2022-08-20
GALAGALAEthereum0.05420.057749+6.55%0.0523-3.51%0.0351✓1.47119k2022-08-20
CELLCellframeEthereum0.27860.296972+6.59%0.3105+11.45%0.1470✓1.1342k2022-08-20
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum23,097.6024,628.72+6.63%21,129.20-8.52%0.0643✗0.9826k2022-08-20
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.07780.082993+6.68%0.0668-14.14%0.1232✗1.03209k2022-08-20
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.2990.319338+6.80%0.29-3.01%0.0004✓1.05673k2022-08-20
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.1070.114524+7.03%0.1029-3.83%0.0171✓1.362.5M2022-08-20
SCSiacoinnative0.004360.004667+7.05%0.00415-4.82%0.0043✓1.34122k2022-08-20
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash123.12131.8884+7.12%114.78-6.77%0.0355✓1.144.0M2022-08-20
LRCLoopringEthereum0.43060.462129+7.32%0.3713-13.77%0.0968✗1.34104k2022-08-20
ASTRAstarEthereum0.04450.047814+7.45%0.0403-9.44%0.0483✓1.357,6872022-08-20
TRXTRONTron0.0680150.073205+7.63%0.065857-3.17%0.0338✓0.79369k2022-08-20
ZECZcashZcash61.8666.7778+7.95%62.92+1.71%0.0589✓1.301.5M2022-08-20
KCSKuCoinnative10.16211.0084+8.33%9.372-7.77%0.0598✓1.112.2M2022-08-20
CVCCivicEthereum0.14540.157739+8.49%0.147+1.10%0.0426✓1.2487k2022-08-20
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.08580.094364+9.98%0.0849-1.05%0.0060✓1.236,9982022-08-20
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.51490.567498+10.22%0.4742-7.90%0.0759✓1.14333k2022-08-20
NEXONEXOEthereum0.7070.78673+11.28%0.869+22.91%0.2118✓1.23807k2022-08-20
SUNSun TokenTron0.005960.006721+12.77%0.005866-1.57%0.0529✓0.913,1552022-08-20
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.