8=======>

2022-07-19 · +30d

gru_s1 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 183 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.1805
183 of 183 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+0.72%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
60.1%
in alpha space · 54.9% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-0.88%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (183 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
LUNATerraTerra 20.000106320.000095024-10.62%0.00009318-12.36%0.0027✓1.91692k2022-08-18
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.8690.781277-10.09%0.666-23.36%0.1460✓1.544,1662022-08-18
ORCAOrcaSolana1.0580.977398-7.62%0.9372-11.42%0.0279✓1.59214k2022-08-18
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.190560.178431-6.37%0.18133-4.84%0.0378✓2.469952022-08-18
GMTGMTEthereum1.0540.992935-5.79%0.914-13.28%0.0669✓1.80574k2022-08-18
QNTQuantEthereum106.99100.9605-5.64%108.5+1.41%0.0809✗1.002.7M2022-08-18
FORTFortaEthereum0.29720.280711-5.55%0.2898-2.49%0.0433✓1.30421k2022-08-18
TRBTellor TributesEthereum16.8816.0598-4.86%41.14+143.72%0.9543✗1.55431k2022-08-18
NMRNumeraireEthereum14.7314.0592-4.55%19.39+31.64%0.3298✗0.951.8M2022-08-18
FISStafiEthereum0.46890.448172-4.42%0.399-14.91%0.1074✓1.004752022-08-18
ARPAARPAEthereum0.03990.038174-4.32%0.0388-2.76%0.0272✓1.2495k2022-08-18
OGOG Fan TokenSolana3.9183.7525-4.22%7.441+89.92%0.6895✗0.562.2M2022-08-18
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.8210.788428-3.97%0.741-9.74%0.0465✓1.766.5M2022-08-18
METRONOMEMETRONOME1.00770.968199-3.92%1.21+20.08%0.2314✗0.967322022-08-18
AVTAventusEthereum1.581.5234-3.58%1.44-8.86%0.0542✓0.24447k2022-08-18
SNXSynthetixEthereum2.9712.8758-3.20%3.249+9.36%0.1370✗1.693.8M2022-08-18
FIDABonfidaSolana0.5230.506826-3.09%0.478-8.60%0.0482✓1.1811k2022-08-18
UNIUniswapEthereum7.3477.1445-2.76%7.574+3.09%0.0703✗1.355.7M2022-08-18
OPTIMOptimism0.7210.701533-2.70%1.196+65.88%0.5492✗1.781.1M2022-08-18
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.07520.073244-2.60%0.0629-16.36%0.1436✓0.98229k2022-08-18
XVSVenusEthereum5.525.3903-2.35%6.28+13.77%0.1652✗1.401.2M2022-08-18
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood3.743.6525-2.34%2.85-23.80%0.2438✓0.4882k2022-08-18
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum7.3597.1976-2.19%6.869-6.66%0.0355✓1.275.5M2022-08-18
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana4.013.9265-2.08%5.62+40.15%0.3653✗0.76597k2022-08-18
STORJStorjEthereum0.713190.699325-1.94%0.63604-10.82%0.0811✓1.56104k2022-08-18
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.09530.093545-1.84%0.0738-22.56%0.2261✓1.24176k2022-08-18
DIADIAEthereum0.450340.442148-1.82%0.45212+0.40%0.0288✗0.7352k2022-08-18
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.1973.1396-1.80%4.414+38.07%0.3462✗0.621.7M2022-08-18
WOOWOOEthereum0.21470.210915-1.76%0.1857-13.51%0.1149✓1.402,2022022-08-18
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.46490.456929-1.71%0.4199-9.68%0.0757✓1.00258k2022-08-18
ELAElastosEthereum1.651.6227-1.66%2.043+23.82%0.2392✗1.00179k2022-08-18
BFCBifrostEthereum0.063430.062424-1.59%0.08792+38.61%0.3541✗1.3225k2022-08-18
DYDXdYdXCosmos2.1142.0856-1.34%1.771-16.23%0.1508✓1.43127k2022-08-18
COMPCompoundEthereum61.0460.2378-1.31%56.05-8.17%0.0600✓1.3733k2022-08-18
DODODODOEthereum0.16680.164612-1.31%0.1456-12.71%0.1113✓1.292.8M2022-08-18
GITCOINGITCOIN2.69132.6638-1.02%2.6889-0.09%0.0232✗1.566,5242022-08-18
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche24.7324.4927-0.96%24.19-2.18%0.0014✓1.5626.1M2022-08-18
APEApeCoinEthereum6.0826.0289-0.87%5.771-5.11%0.0283✓1.7511.7M2022-08-18
XEMNEMnative0.0523290.05188-0.86%0.04862-7.09%0.0543✓1.2017k2022-08-18
CTSICartesiEthereum0.17430.172968-0.76%0.1565-10.21%0.0888✓1.28349k2022-08-18
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos10.52410.4469-0.73%11.446+8.76%0.1032✗1.3512.7M2022-08-18
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.077280.076779-0.65%0.07494-3.03%0.0178✓0.731,6422022-08-18
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.025880.02575-0.50%0.02349-9.23%0.0776✓1.6114.6M2022-08-18
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0169820.016912-0.41%0.023053+35.75%0.3140✗0.48175k2022-08-18
BORABORAKlay Token0.322560.321228-0.41%0.34084+5.67%0.0711✗1.344,2932022-08-18
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.01910.019025-0.39%0.01773-7.17%0.0639✓0.75388k2022-08-18
AAVEAaveEthereum95.6895.3197-0.38%94.86-0.86%0.0096✗1.6311.3M2022-08-18
API3Api3Ethereum2.0031.9963-0.34%2.113+5.49%0.0681✗1.28637k2022-08-18
RADRadworksEthereum1.851.8449-0.27%2.4+29.73%0.2728✗1.10143k2022-08-18
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.00651.0039-0.26%1.396+38.70%0.3403✗1.201.1M2022-08-18
DEXEDeXeEthereum3.1833.1757-0.23%3.348+5.18%0.0623✗1.07555k2022-08-18
BTTBitTorrentEthereum9.20e-79.19e-7-0.16%9.60e-7+4.35%0.0529✗1.0026k2022-08-18
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.24691.2451-0.14%1.1146-10.61%0.0978✓1.464.5M2022-08-18
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.43850.438162-0.08%0.4086-6.82%0.0563✓1.54198k2022-08-18
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0229480.02294-0.03%0.023478+2.31%0.0319✗0.981,5692022-08-18
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0181190.018122+0.02%0.0147-18.87%0.2011✗0.921.2M2022-08-18
SOLSolanaSolana44.8844.8993+0.04%39.51-11.97%0.1161✗1.3381.1M2022-08-18
YFIyearn.financeEthereum6,761.836,766.55+0.07%10,215.91+51.08%0.4237✓1.334.4M2022-08-18
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.088390.088468+0.09%0.08299-6.11%0.0551✗1.00522k2022-08-18
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.2610.261355+0.14%0.2612+0.08%0.0082✓1.0045k2022-08-18
C98Coin98Ethereum0.55230.553953+0.30%0.4375-20.79%0.2263✗1.1049k2022-08-18
UMAUMAEthereum2.8532.8616+0.30%3.137+9.95%0.1016✓1.10704k2022-08-18
LINKChainlinkEthereum7.2587.2806+0.31%7.645+5.33%0.0600✓1.2617.9M2022-08-18
IMXImmutableEthereum1.0381.0414+0.32%0.9002-13.28%0.1331✗1.431.4M2022-08-18
ETCEthereum Classicnative25.3125.3954+0.34%39.6+56.46%0.4555✓1.271.2M2022-08-18
KSMKusamaHydration63.0163.2326+0.35%51.69-17.97%0.1909✗1.21235k2022-08-18
MOVRMoonriverBase14.226114.2845+0.41%14.4976+1.91%0.0253✓1.19228k2022-08-18
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.411.4161+0.44%1.318-6.52%0.0603✗1.312.6M2022-08-18
SUSHISushiEthereum1.421.4271+0.50%1.3-8.45%0.0802✗1.47910k2022-08-18
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana4.084.1097+0.73%6.1+49.51%0.4005✓0.63715k2022-08-18
METISMetisEthereum31.2931.5345+0.78%38+21.44%0.1953✓1.00129k2022-08-18
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.621.6334+0.83%1.45-10.49%0.1064✗1.44142k2022-08-18
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.6250.630532+0.89%0.621-0.64%0.0027✓1.4284k2022-08-18
BANDBandEthereum1.6191.6335+0.90%1.471-9.14%0.0921✗1.44385k2022-08-18
CHZChilizEthereum0.1170.118119+0.96%0.2086+78.29%0.5785✓1.10560k2022-08-18
LCXLCXEthereum0.07450.075249+1.01%0.0683-8.32%0.0846✗1.39312k2022-08-18
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.42710.431927+1.13%0.3928-8.03%0.0841✗1.23128k2022-08-18
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.4422.4698+1.14%2.389-2.17%0.0209✗1.4043k2022-08-18
SANDThe SandboxEthereum1.4231.4401+1.20%1.151-19.11%0.2133✗1.221.5M2022-08-18
DKAdKargoEthereum0.048950.049556+1.24%0.05035+2.86%0.0239✓0.917,4692022-08-18
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0011510.001167+1.36%0.001535+33.35%0.2857✓1.291.7M2022-08-18
COTICOTIEthereum0.11130.112812+1.36%0.1036-6.92%0.0735✗1.32526k2022-08-18
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.8380.849395+1.36%1.0066+20.12%0.1786✓0.993.5M2022-08-18
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.0073830.007486+1.40%0.007064-4.32%0.0529✗0.5859k2022-08-18
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.05180.052527+1.40%0.0494-4.63%0.0508✗1.20282k2022-08-18
HIVEHivenative0.48140.48826+1.42%0.5858+21.69%0.1931✓1.241.2M2022-08-18
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.37652.4104+1.43%4.0274+69.47%0.5204✓0.80947k2022-08-18
MINAMina Protocolnative0.7880.799809+1.50%0.743-5.71%0.0625✗1.27127k2022-08-18
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.51891.5421+1.53%1.7628+16.06%0.1461✓1.41684k2022-08-18
CBKCobakEthereum1.08951.1063+1.55%1.1+0.96%0.0041✓1.125,3242022-08-18
XTZTezosTezos1.74521.7728+1.58%1.7895+2.54%0.0205✓1.26504k2022-08-18
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.02150.021841+1.59%0.024+11.63%0.1036✓1.06127k2022-08-18
XYMSymbolnative0.0548620.055786+1.68%0.053014-3.37%0.0454✗0.6314k2022-08-18
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.30860.31385+1.70%0.3055-1.00%0.0165✓1.182.9M2022-08-18
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.6931.722+1.71%1.817+7.32%0.0665✓1.45194k2022-08-18
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana3.3473.405+1.73%4.646+38.81%0.3175✓0.76488k2022-08-18
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana4.484.5592+1.77%6.95+55.13%0.4272✓0.64579k2022-08-18
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.3720.378591+1.77%0.3336-10.32%0.1162✗1.168.2M2022-08-18
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana6.987.1053+1.80%9.82+40.69%0.3279✓0.49670k2022-08-18
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000012170.000012389+1.80%0.00001348+10.76%0.0954✓1.251.2M2022-08-18
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.060170.061264+1.82%0.07686+27.74%0.2397✓1.46773k2022-08-18
CHRChromiaEthereum0.21310.216986+1.82%0.1833-13.98%0.1562✗1.412,7232022-08-18
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum16.8417.1477+1.83%16.13-4.22%0.0492✗1.361.3M2022-08-18
ETHEthereumEthereum1,542.631,572.62+1.94%1,845.90+19.66%0.1711✓1.23326.5M2022-08-18
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.72.7529+1.96%2.7+0.00%0.0061✓1.51205k2022-08-18
MANADecentralandEthereum1.00121.0223+2.11%0.92322-7.79%0.0901✗1.35399k2022-08-18
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.029160.029777+2.12%0.0286-1.92%0.0283✗1.361,4722022-08-18
LPTLivepeerEthereum9.729.9272+2.13%11.03+13.48%0.1155✓1.15288k2022-08-18
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV58.05159.2974+2.15%57.502-0.95%0.0234✗0.84387k2022-08-18
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.58912.6458+2.19%3.88+49.86%0.3914✓0.971.1M2022-08-18
AUCTIONBounceEthereum6.126.2623+2.33%8.78+43.46%0.3495✓1.31263k2022-08-18
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.08610.088115+2.34%0.0761-11.61%0.1375✗1.03209k2022-08-18
GLMGolemEthereum0.25730.263807+2.53%0.2892+12.40%0.1015✓1.0860k2022-08-18
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0031970.00328+2.60%0.003748+17.23%0.1426✓1.051.1M2022-08-18
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.474880.487368+2.63%0.37197-21.67%0.2573✗1.46791k2022-08-18
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.12020.123379+2.64%0.1192-0.83%0.0249✓1.08380k2022-08-18
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana55.1325+2.65%6.85+37.00%0.2945✓0.67574k2022-08-18
RUNETHORChainTHORChain2.8042.8832+2.83%2.408-14.12%0.1648✗1.7484k2022-08-18
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.25470.261998+2.87%0.2486-2.39%0.0415✗1.24130k2022-08-18
PHAPHALAEthereum0.12360.127177+2.89%0.1195-3.32%0.0536✗0.985,8712022-08-18
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.145630.149916+2.94%0.15849+8.83%0.0697✓1.59166k2022-08-18
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.56890.585965+3.00%0.5397-5.13%0.0716✗1.21456k2022-08-18
BTTCBTTC9.20e-79.48e-7+3.07%9.60e-7+4.35%0.0196✓0.825.8M2022-08-18
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.13630.140619+3.17%0.1361-0.15%0.0211✓1.3138k2022-08-18
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.9674.0956+3.24%13.257+234.18%1.1801✓0.621.4M2022-08-18
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum2.5652.6486+3.26%3.641+41.95%0.3261✓0.9088k2022-08-18
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.2270.234462+3.29%0.203-10.57%0.1304✗1.55881k2022-08-18
FTTFTXEthereum29.1230.0986+3.36%29.95+2.85%0.0034✓0.9511.0M2022-08-18
FILFilecoinFilecoin6.0476.2572+3.48%7.478+23.66%0.1879✓1.101.9M2022-08-18
SKLSKALEEthereum0.05580.05774+3.48%0.0544-2.51%0.0478✗1.33817k2022-08-18
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum2.01472.085+3.49%2.1323+5.84%0.0332✓1.2227k2022-08-18
XMRMoneroMonero146.65151.959+3.62%160.98+9.77%0.0675✓1.111.3M2022-08-18
CTKShentuOsmosis0.8340.864206+3.62%0.881+5.64%0.0261✓0.771.1M2022-08-18
ADACardanoCardano0.51510.533789+3.63%0.5121-0.58%0.0303✓1.2743.9M2022-08-18
UOSUltraEthereum0.353540.366462+3.65%0.33395-5.54%0.0820✗1.24411k2022-08-18
NANOnanopayBase0.9695041.005+3.66%0.990146+2.13%0.0060✓1.0163k2022-08-18
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.031520.032707+3.77%0.04449+41.15%0.3189✓1.2723k2022-08-18
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain2.14612.227+3.77%4.5519+112.10%0.7228✓0.90857k2022-08-18
BRISEBitgertEthereum3.78e-73.92e-7+3.84%7.18e-7+90.06%0.6133✓1.00291k2022-08-18
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.009950.010333+3.85%0.01017+2.21%0.0073✓0.984.9M2022-08-18
BTCBitcoinBitcoin23,395.0624,308.35+3.90%23,189.46-0.88%0.0383✗1.00398.7M2022-08-18
LTCLitecoinLitecoin57.9160.29+4.11%60+3.61%0.0052✓1.1314.8M2022-08-18
FLOWFlownative1.922.0006+4.20%2.528+31.67%0.2449✓1.24301k2022-08-18
DASHDashDash50.1752.2921+4.23%50.36+0.38%0.0280✓1.09616k2022-08-18
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.23490.245187+4.38%0.2341-0.34%0.0332✓1.48117k2022-08-18
STEEMSteemnative0.22580.235793+4.43%0.2646+17.18%0.1256✓1.17703k2022-08-18
ZENHorizenBase18.0418.8465+4.47%17.89-0.83%0.0398✓1.3989k2022-08-18
XECeCashnative0.000043440.000045384+4.48%0.00004285-1.36%0.0470✗1.181.9M2022-08-18
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.13550.141579+4.49%0.1341-1.03%0.0452✗1.023.5M2022-08-18
AMPAmpEthereum0.009460.00989+4.55%0.00764-19.24%0.2502✗0.911.2M2022-08-18
PROPropyEthereum0.810.847052+4.57%0.77-4.94%0.0891✗0.71111k2022-08-18
XVGVergenative0.003840.004017+4.60%0.00366-4.69%0.0812✗1.34649k2022-08-18
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.3322190.347782+4.68%0.334316+0.63%0.0285✓1.251.4M2022-08-18
QTUMQtumQtum3.2433.3984+4.79%3.7671+16.16%0.1126✓1.0926k2022-08-18
STXStacksnative0.44790.469767+4.88%0.4453-0.58%0.0423✓1.26414k2022-08-18
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.3335.6055+5.11%5.3268-0.12%0.0493✓0.19335k2022-08-18
DOTPolkadotPolkadot7.7948.1957+5.15%8.083+3.71%0.0030✓1.239.0M2022-08-18
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.7370.775468+5.22%0.731-0.81%0.0505✓0.97486k2022-08-18
LSKLiskEthereum1.14381.2042+5.27%1.1895+3.99%0.0028✓1.0746k2022-08-18
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.760.800139+5.28%0.642-15.53%0.2068✗1.52108k2022-08-18
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum23,393.1024,647.14+5.36%23,152.40-1.03%0.0539✗0.9825k2022-08-18
GTGateEthereum4.23584.4649+5.41%4.8482+14.46%0.0885✓0.70930k2022-08-18
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.007140.00754+5.60%0.00782+9.52%0.0453✓1.00390k2022-08-18
XLMStellarStellar0.1185290.125377+5.78%0.115928-2.19%0.0695✗1.007.2M2022-08-18
GALAGALAEthereum0.05820.061582+5.81%0.058-0.34%0.0470✓1.47109k2022-08-18
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum10.9611.6269+6.08%14.14+29.01%0.2086✓1.471.1M2022-08-18
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.09350.099233+6.13%0.1138+21.71%0.1439✓0.79150k2022-08-18
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.320.340133+6.29%0.296-7.50%0.1297✗1.05664k2022-08-18
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0690270.073415+6.36%0.074632+8.12%0.0270✓1.202.0M2022-08-18
SCSiacoinnative0.004480.004772+6.52%0.00465+3.79%0.0141✓1.33127k2022-08-18
LRCLoopringEthereum0.45140.481263+6.62%0.3993-11.54%0.1749✗1.3395k2022-08-18
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.11470.122455+6.76%0.1149+0.17%0.0517✓1.362.4M2022-08-18
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash128.38137.5025+7.11%129.12+0.58%0.0529✓1.134.0M2022-08-18
CELLCellframeEthereum0.25980.279021+7.40%0.3673+41.38%0.2848✓1.1242k2022-08-18
ASTRAstarEthereum0.04650.05004+7.61%0.0427-8.17%0.1468✗1.347,6872022-08-18
CVCCivicEthereum0.15470.166659+7.73%0.1668+7.82%0.0118✓1.2487k2022-08-18
ZECZcashZcash64.869.8527+7.80%70.09+8.16%0.0148✓1.291.5M2022-08-18
TRXTRONTron0.0691620.074666+7.96%0.067418-2.52%0.0952✗0.78382k2022-08-18
KCSKuCoinnative10.2511.1137+8.43%10.11-1.37%0.0849✗1.112.2M2022-08-18
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.08830.096908+9.75%0.0944+6.91%0.0154✓1.236,8122022-08-18
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.52940.584659+10.44%0.5295+0.02%0.0891✓1.13327k2022-08-18
SUNSun TokenTron0.0060620.00671+10.69%0.006288+3.73%0.0569✓0.902,9222022-08-18
NEXONEXOEthereum0.7430.840559+13.13%0.922+24.09%0.1034✓1.23858k2022-08-18
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.