8=======>

2022-07-18 · +30d

gru_s1 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 183 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.2362
183 of 183 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+1.54%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
61.7%
in alpha space · 67.8% on raw price
BTC over horizon
+4.07%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (183 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
LUNATerraTerra 20.000106260.000093997-11.54%0.0000951-10.50%0.0642✓1.90692k2022-08-17
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.6910.622353-9.93%0.654-5.35%0.0099✓1.493,6872022-08-17
GMTGMTEthereum1.1291.036-8.24%0.967-14.35%0.1428✓1.85574k2022-08-17
ORCAOrcaSolana0.93760.863682-7.88%0.9842+4.97%0.0676✓1.58214k2022-08-17
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.188880.175483-7.09%0.1794-5.02%0.0788✓2.538962022-08-17
FORTFortaEthereum0.29070.270553-6.93%0.294+1.14%0.0311✓1.30435k2022-08-17
TRBTellor TributesEthereum17.8516.6485-6.73%40.09+124.59%0.8153✗1.59427k2022-08-17
QNTQuantEthereum103.9997.671-6.08%109.91+5.69%0.0778✗1.012.7M2022-08-17
NMRNumeraireEthereum14.7513.9649-5.32%19.42+31.66%0.2915✗0.961.8M2022-08-17
OPTIMOptimism0.8170.773822-5.29%1.321+61.69%0.4592✗1.891.1M2022-08-17
ARPAARPAEthereum0.03920.037149-5.23%0.0439+11.99%0.1172✗1.2595k2022-08-17
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.8170.776295-4.98%0.804-1.59%0.0364✓1.796.5M2022-08-17
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.09930.094421-4.91%0.0778-21.65%0.2371✓1.09209k2022-08-17
OGOG Fan TokenSolana3.8523.6721-4.67%5.616+45.79%0.4023✗0.572.2M2022-08-17
FISStafiEthereum0.44830.427717-4.59%0.4142-7.61%0.0720✓1.004752022-08-17
AVTAventusEthereum1.61.5283-4.48%1.4-12.50%0.0975✓0.25485k2022-08-17
METRONOMEMETRONOME0.965290.923038-4.38%1.2042+24.75%0.2279✗0.954662022-08-17
SNXSynthetixEthereum2.9492.8228-4.28%3.505+18.85%0.1480✗1.723.8M2022-08-17
FIDABonfidaSolana0.530.509454-3.88%0.515-2.83%0.0369✓1.1911k2022-08-17
UNIUniswapEthereum7.3277.0589-3.66%7.961+8.65%0.0655✗1.375.7M2022-08-17
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood3.853.7136-3.54%2.92-24.16%0.2608✓0.5182k2022-08-17
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum7.5337.2693-3.50%7.38-2.03%0.0365✓1.295.5M2022-08-17
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.45060.436522-3.12%0.4371-3.00%0.0386✓1.00257k2022-08-17
DIADIAEthereum0.448260.434366-3.10%0.46051+2.73%0.0288✓0.7453k2022-08-17
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana3.883.7629-3.02%4.94+27.32%0.2417✗0.76597k2022-08-17
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.07560.073394-2.92%0.0662-12.43%0.1429✓1.00229k2022-08-17
XVSVenusEthereum5.475.3115-2.90%6+9.69%0.0651✗1.421.2M2022-08-17
STORJStorjEthereum0.69860.678707-2.85%0.65284-6.55%0.1017✓1.57104k2022-08-17
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.1893.1027-2.71%3.89+21.98%0.2008✗0.631.9M2022-08-17
ELAElastosEthereum1.5941.552-2.64%1.991+24.91%0.2092✗1.00178k2022-08-17
BFCBifrostEthereum0.063130.061624-2.39%0.0871+37.97%0.2927✗1.3325k2022-08-17
GITCOINGITCOIN2.68832.625-2.36%2.9261+8.85%0.0454✗1.585,9882022-08-17
DODODODOEthereum0.16280.15904-2.31%0.159-2.33%0.0521✓1.302.8M2022-08-17
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.34131.3104-2.31%1.1821-11.87%0.1633✓1.514.3M2022-08-17
WOOWOOEthereum0.20110.197181-1.95%0.1975-1.79%0.0543✓1.402,2022022-08-17
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.088780.087133-1.85%0.0832-6.29%0.0861✓1.00456k2022-08-17
BTTBitTorrentEthereum9.40e-79.23e-7-1.85%9.70e-7+3.19%0.0102✓1.0025k2022-08-17
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.08820.086571-1.85%0.0793-10.09%0.1368✓1.23176k2022-08-17
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.026370.025901-1.78%0.02575-2.35%0.0714✓1.6414.6M2022-08-17
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.076990.075638-1.76%0.07755+0.73%0.0049✓0.751,9712022-08-17
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0174120.017107-1.75%0.021964+26.14%0.2303✗0.49175k2022-08-17
CTSICartesiEthereum0.17090.168029-1.68%0.1697-0.70%0.0415✓1.29349k2022-08-17
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche23.9723.5739-1.65%25.56+6.63%0.0181✗1.5725.2M2022-08-17
KSMKusamaHydration63.8262.7787-1.63%54.77-14.18%0.1854✓1.23235k2022-08-17
APEApeCoinEthereum5.9925.8964-1.59%6.107+1.92%0.0356✓1.7711.7M2022-08-17
DYDXdYdXCosmos2.0942.0612-1.57%1.899-9.31%0.1399✓1.45123k2022-08-17
ETCEthereum Classicnative25.324.9398-1.42%40.29+59.25%0.4281✗1.291.2M2022-08-17
SUSHISushiEthereum1.51.4789-1.41%1.37-8.67%0.1368✓1.51856k2022-08-17
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.26170.258052-1.39%0.2613-0.15%0.0274✓1.0045k2022-08-17
COMPCompoundEthereum57.6656.9178-1.29%58.31+1.13%0.0306✓1.3732k2022-08-17
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.019480.019231-1.28%0.01808-7.19%0.0923✓0.77354k2022-08-17
AAVEAaveEthereum96.2395.1127-1.16%100.14+4.06%0.0148✓1.6610.8M2022-08-17
C98Coin98Ethereum0.52250.517023-1.05%0.4701-10.03%0.1389✓1.0949k2022-08-17
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0221540.021923-1.04%0.023935+8.04%0.0485✗0.991,5692022-08-17
API3Api3Ethereum1.9491.931-0.92%2.266+16.26%0.1084✗1.29668k2022-08-17
METISMetisEthereum29.6829.4134-0.90%38.79+30.69%0.2368✗1.00128k2022-08-17
XEMNEMnative0.0449280.044526-0.90%0.050295+11.95%0.0754✗1.1616k2022-08-17
RLCiExec RLCEthereum0.98150.972891-0.88%1.4107+43.73%0.3232✗1.211.1M2022-08-17
RADRadworksEthereum1.811.7953-0.81%2.37+30.94%0.2334✗1.11133k2022-08-17
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos9.5799.5057-0.77%11.75+22.66%0.1586✗1.3412.5M2022-08-17
IMXImmutableEthereum1.02871.021-0.75%0.9651-6.18%0.1140✓1.441.4M2022-08-17
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.4270.424206-0.65%0.4188-1.92%0.0749✓1.55191k2022-08-17
DEXEDeXeEthereum3.273.2489-0.65%3.413+4.37%0.0054✓1.10552k2022-08-17
LINKChainlinkEthereum7.0387.0004-0.53%8.061+14.54%0.0904✗1.2717.9M2022-08-17
SOLSolanaSolana43.5543.3734-0.41%40.55-6.89%0.1208✓1.3481.1M2022-08-17
UMAUMAEthereum2.7372.7275-0.35%3.263+19.22%0.1352✗1.10704k2022-08-17
BORABORAKlay Token0.304870.304044-0.27%0.34491+13.13%0.0728✗1.343,2792022-08-17
YFIyearn.financeEthereum6,611.886,596.74-0.23%11,164.62+68.86%0.4728✗1.344.4M2022-08-17
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.621.6172-0.17%1.61-0.62%0.0626✓1.46142k2022-08-17
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana4.134.1281-0.05%5.52+33.66%0.2651✗0.64694k2022-08-17
MOVRMoonriverBase14.335414.3379+0.02%14.8272+3.43%0.0145✗1.20238k2022-08-17
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.414240.414768+0.13%0.40986-1.06%0.0611✗1.23128k2022-08-17
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.72.7039+0.14%2.92+8.15%0.0158✓1.53205k2022-08-17
XYMSymbolnative0.0531780.053266+0.17%0.053519+0.64%0.0202✗0.6214k2022-08-17
LCXLCXEthereum0.07330.073459+0.22%0.0708-3.41%0.0930✗1.41312k2022-08-17
CHZChilizEthereum0.11460.114907+0.27%0.2222+93.89%0.6151✓1.11560k2022-08-17
SANDThe SandboxEthereum1.3891.394+0.36%1.218-12.31%0.1843✗1.241.4M2022-08-17
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.82580.829284+0.42%1.092+32.24%0.2351✓1.003.5M2022-08-17
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.3752.3864+0.48%2.525+6.32%0.0000✓1.4143k2022-08-17
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.3351.3415+0.48%1.36+1.87%0.0385✗1.312.6M2022-08-17
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV57.55357.8352+0.49%59.922+4.12%0.0017✓0.84387k2022-08-17
DKAdKargoEthereum0.047510.047744+0.49%0.05073+6.78%0.0242✓0.916,5622022-08-17
CHRChromiaEthereum0.20550.206526+0.50%0.1954-4.91%0.1125✗1.432,7232022-08-17
HIVEHivenative0.47060.473239+0.56%0.5961+26.67%0.1808✓1.251.2M2022-08-17
ETHEthereumEthereum1,581.341,590.75+0.60%1,834.61+16.02%0.0926✓1.25326.5M2022-08-17
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.05070.051032+0.65%0.0509+0.39%0.0508✗1.21276k2022-08-17
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana3.3163.3396+0.71%4.144+24.97%0.1850✓0.77488k2022-08-17
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.028960.029167+0.72%0.0299+3.25%0.0309✗1.401,4722022-08-17
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana4.434.4654+0.80%6.3+42.21%0.3186✓0.64579k2022-08-17
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.35980.36304+0.90%0.3408-5.28%0.1099✗1.178.2M2022-08-17
BANDBandEthereum1.5121.526+0.93%1.563+3.37%0.0335✗1.44382k2022-08-17
CBKCobakEthereum1.04631.0569+1.01%1.1115+6.23%0.0056✓1.124,7592022-08-17
COTICOTIEthereum0.10740.108488+1.01%0.1091+1.58%0.0473✗1.33526k2022-08-17
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.44671.4614+1.01%1.7066+17.97%0.0988✓1.41684k2022-08-17
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana77.0714+1.02%8.75+25.00%0.1934✓0.49670k2022-08-17
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.31152.3354+1.03%3.4712+50.17%0.3644✓0.80947k2022-08-17
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.021160.021387+1.07%0.02486+17.49%0.1080✓1.06123k2022-08-17
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.29630.29957+1.10%0.3198+7.93%0.0180✓1.192.9M2022-08-17
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.5720.578351+1.11%0.643+12.41%0.0496✓1.4184k2022-08-17
XTZTezosTezos1.73361.7541+1.18%1.8847+8.72%0.0209✓1.27519k2022-08-17
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.007070.007154+1.19%0.00675-4.53%0.0810✗0.5765k2022-08-17
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000011960.000012105+1.21%0.00001476+23.41%0.1481✓1.261.2M2022-08-17
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum16.3516.5625+1.30%16.88+3.24%0.0357✗1.371.3M2022-08-17
LPTLivepeerEthereum9.619.7489+1.45%11.36+18.21%0.1065✓1.16288k2022-08-17
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.056850.057677+1.46%0.08598+51.24%0.3409✓1.46773k2022-08-17
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.6571.6817+1.49%1.854+11.89%0.0391✓1.46194k2022-08-17
MINAMina Protocolnative0.720.73078+1.50%0.781+8.47%0.0165✓1.25127k2022-08-17
MANADecentralandEthereum0.921060.936565+1.68%0.96777+5.07%0.0206✗1.34399k2022-08-17
AUCTIONBounceEthereum6.236.3385+1.74%9.4+50.88%0.3407✓1.34263k2022-08-17
GLMGolemEthereum0.25260.257058+1.77%0.2913+15.32%0.0814✓1.0960k2022-08-17
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.477820.486389+1.79%0.38327-19.79%0.2976✗1.49808k2022-08-17
RUNETHORChainTHORChain2.6612.7107+1.87%2.476-6.95%0.1602✗1.7484k2022-08-17
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana4.975.0646+1.90%6.22+25.15%0.1787✓0.67574k2022-08-17
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.11740.119705+1.96%0.1214+3.41%0.0294✗1.09380k2022-08-17
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.59472.6468+2.01%3.0983+19.41%0.1180✓0.991.1M2022-08-17
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0010420.001064+2.06%0.001546+48.32%0.3231✓1.271.7M2022-08-17
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.220.224661+2.12%0.217-1.36%0.0968✗1.56881k2022-08-17
UOSUltraEthereum0.360130.36791+2.16%0.32972-8.44%0.1600✗1.26411k2022-08-17
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.24760.253098+2.22%0.2535+2.38%0.0482✗1.25139k2022-08-17
FTTFTXEthereum29.8630.5347+2.26%30.11+0.84%0.0527✗0.9710.7M2022-08-17
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.5530.565926+2.34%0.5653+2.22%0.0497✗1.22456k2022-08-17
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.146230.149741+2.40%0.15873+8.55%0.0062✓1.62176k2022-08-17
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum2.5362.5996+2.51%3.682+45.19%0.3119✓0.9188k2022-08-17
BTTCBTTC9.30e-79.53e-7+2.53%9.60e-7+3.23%0.0266✗0.845.8M2022-08-17
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.009540.009787+2.59%0.01086+13.84%0.0650✓0.984.9M2022-08-17
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0030040.003085+2.68%0.003936+31.03%0.2023✓1.041.2M2022-08-17
ADACardanoCardano0.490.503239+2.70%0.5386+9.92%0.0172✓1.2743.9M2022-08-17
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.9514.0598+2.75%5.966+51.00%0.3599✓0.631.5M2022-08-17
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.13310.136808+2.79%0.1381+3.76%0.0432✗1.3234k2022-08-17
SKLSKALEEthereum0.05470.056248+2.83%0.0599+9.51%0.0093✓1.34817k2022-08-17
ZENHorizenBase17.7418.2463+2.85%19.01+7.16%0.0149✓1.4081k2022-08-17
CTKShentuOsmosis0.830.85387+2.88%0.909+9.52%0.0313✓0.781.1M2022-08-17
FILFilecoinFilecoin5.9396.1103+2.88%8.193+37.95%0.2492✓1.111.9M2022-08-17
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain2.14932.2135+2.99%3.8114+77.33%0.5072✓0.91857k2022-08-17
NANOnanopayBase0.9790621.0086+3.01%0.97823-0.08%0.0715✗1.0363k2022-08-17
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum1.92811.9874+3.07%2.2016+14.19%0.0535✓1.2227k2022-08-17
XMRMoneroMonero147.68152.2252+3.08%168.3+13.96%0.0553✓1.131.3M2022-08-17
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.029260.030212+3.25%0.04685+60.12%0.3884✓1.2623k2022-08-17
AMPAmpEthereum0.009260.009571+3.35%0.00794-14.25%0.2232✗0.911.2M2022-08-17
LTCLitecoinLitecoin58.5860.5544+3.37%60.52+3.31%0.0466✗1.1514.8M2022-08-17
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.13220.13674+3.43%0.1453+9.91%0.0196✓1.033.3M2022-08-17
BTCBitcoinBitcoin22,427.5623,255.69+3.69%23,341.17+4.07%0.0363✗1.00398.7M2022-08-17
BRISEBitgertEthereum3.64e-73.78e-7+3.77%6.87e-7+88.91%0.5592✓1.00316k2022-08-17
PROPropyEthereum0.80.83018+3.77%0.78-2.50%0.0908✗0.71111k2022-08-17
DASHDashDash48.8650.7656+3.90%52.87+8.21%0.0031✓1.10616k2022-08-17
XECeCashnative0.000042160.000043807+3.91%0.00004333+2.78%0.0584✗1.191.9M2022-08-17
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.3209430.333491+3.91%0.348082+8.46%0.0075✓1.261.4M2022-08-17
PHAPHALAEthereum0.11310.11753+3.92%0.1209+6.90%0.0103✓0.966,1432022-08-17
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.43595.6616+4.15%5.3011-2.48%0.0739✗0.20335k2022-08-17
STEEMSteemnative0.220.229146+4.16%0.2756+25.27%0.1374✓1.18705k2022-08-17
XVGVergenative0.003830.00399+4.17%0.00378-1.31%0.1081✗1.36635k2022-08-17
STXStacksnative0.42560.44337+4.18%0.4567+7.31%0.0208✓1.26381k2022-08-17
DOTPolkadotPolkadot7.6547.975+4.19%8.372+9.38%0.0010✓1.249.0M2022-08-17
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.22550.235039+4.23%0.241+6.87%0.0343✓1.49117k2022-08-17
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum11.3911.8828+4.33%15.74+38.19%0.2211✓1.501.1M2022-08-17
QTUMQtumQtum3.20123.343+4.43%4.012+25.32%0.1387✓1.1026k2022-08-17
GTGateEthereum4.28544.4756+4.44%4.8449+13.06%0.0507✓0.72930k2022-08-17
FLOWFlownative1.6881.763+4.45%2.565+51.95%0.3268✓1.21287k2022-08-17
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.720.752135+4.46%0.773+7.36%0.0115✓0.97443k2022-08-17
GALAGALAEthereum0.05610.058691+4.62%0.063+12.30%0.0119✓1.48108k2022-08-17
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.006980.007303+4.63%0.00814+16.62%0.0683✓1.01390k2022-08-17
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0129810.013588+4.68%0.015184+16.97%0.0780✓0.831.2M2022-08-17
LRCLoopringEthereum0.43320.454365+4.89%0.4206-2.91%0.1307✗1.3482k2022-08-17
XLMStellarStellar0.1141840.119806+4.92%0.121305+6.24%0.0276✓1.007.2M2022-08-17
LSKLiskEthereum1.11851.1747+5.03%1.2119+8.35%0.0118✓1.0848k2022-08-17
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.0920.096638+5.04%0.0997+8.37%0.0003✓0.79144k2022-08-17
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.3130.329478+5.26%0.303-3.19%0.1261✗1.06599k2022-08-17
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum21,641.5022,793.73+5.32%23,298.30+7.66%0.0167✓0.9729k2022-08-17
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.690.727847+5.49%0.672-2.61%0.1401✗1.51108k2022-08-17
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.067540.071283+5.54%0.080115+18.62%0.0685✓1.212.0M2022-08-17
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.11010.116291+5.62%0.1226+11.35%0.0016✓1.362.4M2022-08-17
ASTRAstarEthereum0.04410.046597+5.66%0.0427-3.17%0.1409✗1.347,2812022-08-17
SCSiacoinnative0.004280.004539+6.05%0.00468+9.35%0.0228✓1.34127k2022-08-17
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash121.21129.1161+6.52%133.83+10.41%0.0092✓1.134.0M2022-08-17
CVCCivicEthereum0.15120.161208+6.62%0.1769+17.00%0.0431✓1.2587k2022-08-17
CELLCellframeEthereum0.26320.280914+6.73%0.3741+42.14%0.2410✓1.1442k2022-08-17
ZECZcashZcash65.5770.0865+6.89%74.22+13.19%0.0048✓1.321.5M2022-08-17
TRXTRONTron0.0690930.074042+7.16%0.068126-1.40%0.1150✗0.79405k2022-08-17
KCSKuCoinnative9.85410.6309+7.88%10.256+4.08%0.0803✗1.112.2M2022-08-17
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.08410.09103+8.24%0.1018+21.05%0.0629✓1.226,7832022-08-17
SUNSun TokenTron0.0059220.006505+9.84%0.00652+10.09%0.0340✓0.912,9222022-08-17
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.52960.582388+9.97%0.5401+1.98%0.1212✗1.15311k2022-08-17
NEXONEXOEthereum0.6570.72596+10.50%0.928+41.25%0.1974✓1.21858k2022-08-17
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.