8=======>

2022-07-17 · +30d

gru_s1 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 183 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.2546
183 of 183 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+8.11%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
61.2%
in alpha space · 55.5% on raw price
BTC over horizon
+14.75%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (183 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
NEXONEXOEthereum0.6020.657235+9.18%0.959+59.30%0.2122✓1.20858k2022-08-16
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.47870.522253+9.10%0.5677+18.59%0.0723✓1.13311k2022-08-16
SUNSun TokenTron0.0056480.006142+8.74%0.006767+19.81%0.0294✓0.922,9622022-08-16
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.07960.085547+7.47%0.1069+34.30%0.0516✓1.246,7832022-08-16
KCSKuCoinnative9.079.707+7.02%10.39+14.55%0.0853✗1.112.2M2022-08-16
ZECZcashZcash59.4363.3542+6.60%75.95+27.80%0.0005✓1.311.5M2022-08-16
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.0540.057558+6.59%0.0784+45.19%0.2011✓0.78209k2022-08-16
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash109.99116.4255+5.85%136.34+23.96%0.0041✓1.124.0M2022-08-16
CELLCellframeEthereum0.25370.268201+5.72%0.3985+57.08%0.2389✓1.1440k2022-08-16
CVCCivicEthereum0.13860.146462+5.67%0.1861+34.27%0.0671✓1.2587k2022-08-16
TRXTRONTron0.0674370.071236+5.63%0.069764+3.45%0.1335✗0.82405k2022-08-16
SCSiacoinnative0.003940.004133+4.90%0.00476+20.81%0.0447✓1.35127k2022-08-16
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0629840.066037+4.85%0.087041+38.20%0.1081✓1.222.0M2022-08-16
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.6210.650627+4.77%0.7+12.72%0.1341✗1.51108k2022-08-16
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.2820.294706+4.51%0.316+12.06%0.0739✗1.04599k2022-08-16
LSKLiskEthereum1.05111.0975+4.41%1.2535+19.26%0.0174✓1.0948k2022-08-16
XVGVergenative0.003530.003675+4.10%0.00401+13.60%0.1011✗1.37635k2022-08-16
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0124040.012906+4.05%0.015966+28.72%0.0980✓0.831.2M2022-08-16
FLOWFlownative1.5641.627+4.03%2.685+71.68%0.3337✓1.22287k2022-08-16
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum21,043.2021,889.70+4.02%23,861.50+13.39%0.0501✗0.9935k2022-08-16
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum9.379.7397+3.95%15+60.09%0.2308✓1.461.1M2022-08-16
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.09790.101716+3.90%0.1301+32.89%0.0606✓1.352.4M2022-08-16
STXStacksnative0.38590.400776+3.85%0.4762+23.40%0.0005✓1.26381k2022-08-16
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.6440.668072+3.74%0.818+27.02%0.0714✓0.95425k2022-08-16
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.006450.006691+3.73%0.00854+32.40%0.1055✓1.01390k2022-08-16
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.20710.214716+3.68%0.2556+23.42%0.0337✓1.51117k2022-08-16
XLMStellarStellar0.1066250.110346+3.49%0.12178+14.21%0.0393✗1.007.2M2022-08-16
DOTPolkadotPolkadot6.9197.1594+3.47%8.839+27.75%0.0403✓1.249.0M2022-08-16
ASTRAstarEthereum0.04160.043033+3.44%0.0445+6.97%0.1525✗1.357,2812022-08-16
GTGateEthereum4.09154.2316+3.42%4.8932+19.59%0.0467✓0.72930k2022-08-16
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.09430.097484+3.38%0.1024+8.59%0.0644✗0.83144k2022-08-16
GALAGALAEthereum0.05070.052384+3.32%0.0696+37.28%0.0806✓1.48106k2022-08-16
BTCBitcoinBitcoin20,791.7421,480.77+3.31%23,857.93+14.75%0.0326✗1.00398.7M2022-08-16
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.23075.3965+3.17%5.2507+0.38%0.0532✗0.19358k2022-08-16
PHAPHALAEthereum0.10960.113043+3.14%0.123+12.23%0.0515✗0.996,1432022-08-16
QTUMQtumQtum2.95053.0432+3.14%4.0127+36.00%0.1258✓1.1026k2022-08-16
XMRMoneroMonero135.99140.1659+3.07%169.61+24.72%0.0366✓1.121.3M2022-08-16
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.2945960.303458+3.01%0.362039+22.89%0.0023✓1.271.4M2022-08-16
LRCLoopringEthereum0.37740.388583+2.96%0.4559+20.80%0.0219✓1.3282k2022-08-16
STEEMSteemnative0.21230.218459+2.90%0.27+27.18%0.0451✓1.21705k2022-08-16
ETCEthereum Classicnative19.2219.7687+2.86%39.88+107.49%0.5378✓1.191.2M2022-08-16
DASHDashDash45.9247.2285+2.85%52.46+14.24%0.0470✗1.11616k2022-08-16
XECeCashnative0.000040040.000041157+2.79%0.00004498+12.34%0.0778✗1.211.9M2022-08-16
LTCLitecoinLitecoin55.7457.289+2.78%61.33+10.03%0.0937✗1.1814.8M2022-08-16
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum1.80141.8457+2.46%2.2701+26.02%0.0367✓1.2427k2022-08-16
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.027360.027983+2.28%0.05113+86.88%0.4272✓1.2821k2022-08-16
RUNETHORChainTHORChain2.1642.2127+2.25%2.651+22.50%0.0525✗1.7084k2022-08-16
UOSUltraEthereum0.321850.32902+2.23%0.35342+9.81%0.0994✗1.24411k2022-08-16
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.11680.119373+2.20%0.1546+32.36%0.1203✓1.013.3M2022-08-16
AMPAmpEthereum0.008920.009113+2.16%0.00828-7.17%0.2239✗0.931.2M2022-08-16
ZENHorizenBase16.5516.9062+2.15%20.12+21.57%0.0214✗1.4289k2022-08-16
BRISEBitgertEthereum3.57e-73.65e-7+2.13%7.44e-7+108.16%0.5701✓1.03344k2022-08-16
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.132790.135614+2.13%0.16955+27.68%0.0000✓1.62176k2022-08-16
CTKShentuOsmosis0.7770.793348+2.10%0.967+24.45%0.0907✓0.781.1M2022-08-16
PROPropyEthereum0.810.826893+2.09%0.81+0.00%0.1237✗0.75111k2022-08-16
FTTFTXEthereum27.6128.1624+2.00%30.67+11.08%0.0474✗0.9610.6M2022-08-16
SKLSKALEEthereum0.05050.051504+1.99%0.0642+27.13%0.0331✓1.36817k2022-08-16
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0027910.002844+1.91%0.004101+46.94%0.2236✓1.031.2M2022-08-16
NANOnanopayBase0.903560.920462+1.87%1.0226+13.18%0.0351✗1.0263k2022-08-16
FILFilecoinFilecoin5.6895.7909+1.79%8.426+48.11%0.2196✓1.131.9M2022-08-16
BTTCBTTC9.00e-79.16e-7+1.77%9.70e-7+7.78%0.0598✗0.855.8M2022-08-16
ETHEthereumEthereum1,338.201,361.60+1.75%1,876.57+40.23%0.1544✓1.21326.5M2022-08-16
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.5371.5626+1.67%1.924+25.18%0.0038✓1.48182k2022-08-16
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum2.3552.3933+1.63%3.876+64.59%0.3555✓0.9288k2022-08-16
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.23160.23516+1.54%0.2645+14.21%0.0568✗1.27160k2022-08-16
SPELLSpellEthereum0.00099010.001005+1.53%0.001587+60.24%0.2778✓1.301.8M2022-08-16
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.00001070.000010862+1.52%0.00001581+47.76%0.2038✓1.251.1M2022-08-16
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain2.0432.0708+1.36%3.7239+82.28%0.4617✓0.91857k2022-08-16
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.50720.513722+1.29%0.5897+16.27%0.0301✗1.22456k2022-08-16
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.8723.9212+1.27%5.889+52.09%0.3178✓0.651.5M2022-08-16
MANADecentralandEthereum0.837550.848003+1.25%1.0299+22.96%0.0096✓1.34399k2022-08-16
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.1260.127562+1.24%0.1437+14.05%0.0661✗1.3534k2022-08-16
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.4970.503003+1.21%0.672+35.21%0.0976✓1.4084k2022-08-16
ADACardanoCardano0.44770.452441+1.06%0.5571+24.44%0.0330✓1.2743.9M2022-08-16
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum14.5114.6629+1.05%17.95+23.71%0.0151✓1.361.3M2022-08-16
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.2030.205106+1.04%0.244+20.20%0.0423✗1.57881k2022-08-16
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.11050.11161+1.00%0.1265+14.48%0.0262✗1.10380k2022-08-16
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.50422.5255+0.85%3.1212+24.64%0.0726✓1.011.1M2022-08-16
XTZTezosTezos1.57311.5863+0.84%1.8887+20.06%0.0009✓1.27519k2022-08-16
GLMGolemEthereum0.23710.239095+0.84%0.3001+26.57%0.0751✓1.1160k2022-08-16
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.051940.052366+0.82%0.08996+73.20%0.3389✓1.47773k2022-08-16
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.00910.009174+0.82%0.01154+26.81%0.0881✓1.034.9M2022-08-16
AUCTIONBounceEthereum5.955.9934+0.73%10.19+71.26%0.3424✓1.37263k2022-08-16
LPTLivepeerEthereum9.059.1158+0.73%12.36+36.57%0.1420✓1.18272k2022-08-16
BANDBandEthereum1.3821.392+0.73%1.675+21.20%0.0148✗1.45380k2022-08-16
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana4.784.8129+0.69%6.14+28.45%0.1505✓0.68574k2022-08-16
MOVRMoonriverBase13.242813.3203+0.59%15.0779+13.86%0.0427✗1.21242k2022-08-16
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.35481.3627+0.58%1.635+20.68%0.0145✗1.43684k2022-08-16
MINAMina Protocolnative0.6670.670642+0.55%0.84+25.94%0.0517✓1.26127k2022-08-16
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.444410.446125+0.39%0.40858-8.06%0.2962✗1.51862k2022-08-16
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.020090.020144+0.27%0.02539+26.38%0.0834✓1.08112k2022-08-16
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.1712.1755+0.21%2.752+26.76%0.0390✓1.4343k2022-08-16
SANDThe SandboxEthereum1.1821.1839+0.16%1.271+7.53%0.0914✗1.181.4M2022-08-16
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.2730.273344+0.13%0.3392+24.25%0.0517✓1.192.9M2022-08-16
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.2441.2449+0.07%1.425+14.55%0.0475✗1.332.6M2022-08-16
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.0068380.006835-0.04%0.006937+1.45%0.0651✓0.5869k2022-08-16
COTICOTIEthereum0.10270.10262-0.08%0.1138+10.81%0.0839✓1.36526k2022-08-16
CHZChilizEthereum0.10550.105344-0.15%0.2097+98.77%0.5361✗1.11560k2022-08-16
SOLSolanaSolana38.6338.5721-0.15%43.09+11.55%0.0730✓1.3481.1M2022-08-16
KSMKusamaHydration54.4354.3139-0.21%56.07+3.01%0.1322✓1.19235k2022-08-16
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.33650.335181-0.39%0.3526+4.78%0.1120✓1.188.2M2022-08-16
YFIyearn.financeEthereum6,069.876,044.91-0.41%11,010.19+81.39%0.4147✗1.344.2M2022-08-16
HIVEHivenative0.44040.438451-0.44%0.6115+38.85%0.1577✗1.271.2M2022-08-16
APEApeCoinEthereum4.9694.9448-0.49%6.197+24.71%0.0159✓1.7611.7M2022-08-16
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.461.4527-0.50%1.75+19.86%0.0151✓1.46142k2022-08-16
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.07861.0728-0.54%1.2853+19.16%0.0196✓1.464.2M2022-08-16
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.23752.2231-0.65%3.514+57.05%0.3460✗0.81947k2022-08-16
DKAdKargoEthereum0.045020.044699-0.71%0.05205+15.62%0.0254✗0.926,5622022-08-16
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.382620.379517-0.81%0.42922+12.18%0.0475✓1.24128k2022-08-16
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.04960.049161-0.89%0.0539+8.67%0.0790✓1.24276k2022-08-16
CBKCobakEthereum0.98940.979932-0.96%1.1561+16.85%0.0079✓1.144,6812022-08-16
AAVEAaveEthereum88.2787.3793-1.01%109.79+24.38%0.0046✓1.6910.8M2022-08-16
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana4.324.2724-1.10%6.29+45.60%0.2971✗0.65579k2022-08-16
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.39460.39012-1.14%0.4464+13.13%0.0824✓1.58191k2022-08-16
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.80240.792801-1.20%1.1489+43.18%0.2296✗1.033.5M2022-08-16
LINKChainlinkEthereum6.3456.2674-1.22%8.453+33.22%0.1254✗1.2617.9M2022-08-16
IMXImmutableEthereum0.91240.901198-1.23%1.0221+12.02%0.0744✓1.461.4M2022-08-16
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana3.913.8607-1.26%5.44+39.13%0.2555✗0.64694k2022-08-16
BORABORAKlay Token0.288740.285089-1.26%0.35527+23.04%0.0331✗1.363,2792022-08-16
UMAUMAEthereum2.6242.5908-1.27%3.334+27.06%0.0974✗1.13729k2022-08-16
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche20.6220.3415-1.35%27.11+31.47%0.0732✗1.5625.2M2022-08-16
XEMNEMnative0.0405550.039981-1.41%0.051969+28.14%0.1029✗1.1616k2022-08-16
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.522.4839-1.43%3.26+29.37%0.0572✗1.56205k2022-08-16
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana6.826.7139-1.56%8.89+30.35%0.2118✗0.50670k2022-08-16
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos8.9158.7756-1.56%11.396+27.83%0.0751✗1.3512.5M2022-08-16
DEXEDeXeEthereum3.2683.2168-1.57%3.62+10.77%0.0396✓1.15544k2022-08-16
CHRChromiaEthereum0.1870.183969-1.62%0.2113+12.99%0.0616✓1.452,5392022-08-16
RADRadworksEthereum1.711.6821-1.63%2.36+38.01%0.1837✗1.13127k2022-08-16
RLCiExec RLCEthereum0.93770.922179-1.66%1.4706+56.83%0.2959✗1.241.0M2022-08-16
API3Api3Ethereum1.7781.7483-1.67%2.409+35.49%0.1410✗1.31668k2022-08-16
LCXLCXEthereum0.0710.069787-1.71%0.0734+3.38%0.1487✓1.45312k2022-08-16
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana3.2233.165-1.80%4.19+30.00%0.1729✗0.78488k2022-08-16
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.02730.026806-1.81%0.03136+14.87%0.0431✓1.451,4722022-08-16
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.018570.018216-1.91%0.01753-5.60%0.1440✓0.77381k2022-08-16
C98Coin98Ethereum0.48170.472445-1.92%0.5047+4.77%0.0851✓1.1052k2022-08-16
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.022990.022545-1.94%0.02789+21.31%0.0136✓1.6514.6M2022-08-16
WOOWOOEthereum0.17840.174689-2.08%0.207+16.03%0.0219✓1.392,2022022-08-16
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV53.66252.5388-2.09%61.168+13.99%0.0362✗0.84387k2022-08-16
SUSHISushiEthereum1.41.368-2.28%1.41+0.71%0.1814✓1.54809k2022-08-16
XYMSymbolnative0.0514280.050252-2.29%0.054802+6.56%0.0002✓0.6314k2022-08-16
COMPCompoundEthereum54.8653.4702-2.53%61.09+11.36%0.0597✓1.4032k2022-08-16
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.08570.08347-2.60%0.0811-5.37%0.2025✓1.26167k2022-08-16
METRONOMEMETRONOME0.786310.765689-2.62%1.1875+51.02%0.3193✗0.874662022-08-16
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.07060.068743-2.63%0.0688-2.55%0.1369✓1.00253k2022-08-16
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0212770.020685-2.78%0.024604+15.64%0.0354✗1.001,5692022-08-16
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana3.473.3629-3.09%4.95+42.65%0.2855✗0.74597k2022-08-16
DYDXdYdXCosmos2.0181.9532-3.21%2.016-0.10%0.1753✓1.50116k2022-08-16
XVSVenusEthereum5.154.9767-3.36%5.96+15.73%0.0199✓1.461.2M2022-08-16
CTSICartesiEthereum0.16630.160506-3.48%0.1798+8.12%0.0696✓1.33349k2022-08-16
OPTIMOptimism0.5820.561623-3.50%1.454+149.83%0.7187✗1.691.1M2022-08-16
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.07720.074424-3.60%0.08258+6.97%0.0080✓0.811,9712022-08-16
GITCOINGITCOIN2.54742.454-3.67%3.3012+29.59%0.0732✗1.625,9882022-08-16
BFCBifrostEthereum0.062690.060262-3.87%0.09121+45.49%0.2233✗1.3924k2022-08-16
DODODODOEthereum0.15320.147185-3.93%0.1676+9.40%0.0523✓1.322.8M2022-08-16
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0179150.017209-3.94%0.025638+43.11%0.3259✗0.53176k2022-08-16
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.090820.087162-4.03%0.08578-5.55%0.1535✓1.00432k2022-08-16
BTTBitTorrentEthereum9.00e-78.62e-7-4.23%0.000001+11.11%0.0110✓1.0025k2022-08-16
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.26160.250442-4.27%0.2612-0.15%0.0955✓1.0045k2022-08-16
STORJStorjEthereum0.663320.634471-4.35%0.69252+4.40%0.1380✓1.64104k2022-08-16
ELAElastosEthereum1.5291.4613-4.43%2.061+34.79%0.2063✗1.00180k2022-08-16
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.0872.9492-4.46%4.038+30.81%0.2255✗0.641.9M2022-08-16
UNIUniswapEthereum6.9436.6255-4.57%8.346+20.21%0.0379✓1.405.7M2022-08-16
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum7.2256.8826-4.74%7.773+7.58%0.0607✓1.335.5M2022-08-16
METISMetisEthereum23.7722.6224-4.83%38.9+63.65%0.4045✗1.00127k2022-08-16
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood3.543.3611-5.05%2.94-16.95%0.1962✓0.4578k2022-08-16
SNXSynthetixEthereum2.6532.517-5.13%3.68+38.71%0.1384✗1.763.7M2022-08-16
OGOG Fan TokenSolana3.5973.4079-5.26%6.018+67.31%0.4925✗0.552.2M2022-08-16
DIADIAEthereum0.437090.41347-5.40%0.47192+7.97%0.0266✓0.7753k2022-08-16
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.7760.732142-5.65%0.87+12.11%0.0810✓1.847.0M2022-08-16
FIDABonfidaSolana0.5110.48105-5.86%0.545+6.65%0.0429✓1.2211k2022-08-16
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.38730.364239-5.95%0.4749+22.62%0.1277✗1.00241k2022-08-16
ARPAARPAEthereum0.03630.034138-5.96%0.0426+17.36%0.0481✓1.2695k2022-08-16
FISStafiEthereum0.40.375962-6.01%0.4514+12.85%0.0453✓1.003902022-08-16
NMRNumeraireEthereum14.4813.5634-6.33%20.32+40.33%0.2679✗0.991.7M2022-08-16
GMTGMTEthereum0.8960.839082-6.35%1.072+19.64%0.0018✓1.79528k2022-08-16
AVTAventusEthereum1.641.5339-6.47%1.47-10.37%0.0797✓0.27485k2022-08-16
QNTQuantEthereum98.8692.1212-6.82%116.11+17.45%0.0903✗1.032.7M2022-08-16
TRBTellor TributesEthereum17.3916.0438-7.74%40.61+133.53%0.7013✗1.65421k2022-08-16
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.184760.169655-8.18%0.1883+1.92%0.2724✓2.747222022-08-16
FORTFortaEthereum0.28650.262526-8.37%0.3019+5.38%0.0539✓1.41435k2022-08-16
ORCAOrcaSolana0.87550.79637-9.04%0.967+10.45%0.0274✓1.61209k2022-08-16
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.640.574155-10.29%0.71+10.94%0.0052✓1.513,6872022-08-16
LUNATerraTerra 20.00010150.000089143-12.17%0.0000971-4.33%0.1761✓1.90692k2022-08-16
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.