8=======>

2022-07-15 · +30d

gru_s1 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 183 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.2429
183 of 183 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+10.11%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
65.6%
in alpha space · 57.1% on raw price
BTC over horizon
+16.75%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (183 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
LUNATerraTerra 20.000107430.000093262-13.19%0.00010014-6.79%0.2307✓1.95682k2022-08-14
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.6350.567942-10.56%0.753+18.58%0.0501✓1.503,6872022-08-14
ORCAOrcaSolana0.83940.765953-8.75%1.0019+19.36%0.0188✓1.61192k2022-08-14
QNTQuantEthereum104.4295.6119-8.44%118.61+13.59%0.0569✓1.022.6M2022-08-14
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.174570.161135-7.70%0.1917+9.81%0.2520✓2.758962022-08-14
FORTFortaEthereum0.26450.24449-7.57%0.2996+13.27%0.0140✓1.40439k2022-08-14
TRBTellor TributesEthereum16.5315.3951-6.87%39.27+137.57%0.6792✗1.66421k2022-08-14
GMTGMTEthereum0.920.860192-6.50%0.981+6.63%0.1468✓1.80528k2022-08-14
NMRNumeraireEthereum14.7213.7688-6.46%21.24+44.29%0.2810✗0.981.7M2022-08-14
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.7790.731219-6.13%0.874+12.20%0.1082✓1.857.5M2022-08-14
AVTAventusEthereum1.551.4569-6.01%1.5-3.23%0.0104✓0.26485k2022-08-14
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana3.8313.6019-5.98%4.154+8.43%0.0191✓0.80488k2022-08-14
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.4070.382844-5.94%0.5199+27.74%0.1511✗1.00202k2022-08-14
ARPAARPAEthereum0.0360.03389-5.86%0.0428+18.89%0.0389✓1.2695k2022-08-14
FISStafiEthereum0.38250.361969-5.37%0.4905+28.24%0.1490✗1.004832022-08-14
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.2563.0819-5.35%4.102+25.98%0.1867✗0.642.1M2022-08-14
OGOG Fan TokenSolana3.613.4172-5.34%6.354+76.01%0.5365✗0.542.1M2022-08-14
METISMetisEthereum23.4922.3742-4.75%43.26+84.16%0.5044✗1.00127k2022-08-14
STORJStorjEthereum0.683460.652262-4.56%0.71015+3.91%0.1686✓1.64131k2022-08-14
ELAElastosEthereum1.4841.4169-4.52%2.039+37.40%0.2091✗1.00180k2022-08-14
SNXSynthetixEthereum2.5452.4319-4.44%3.821+50.14%0.1825✗1.743.7M2022-08-14
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.2610.249635-4.35%0.2611+0.04%0.1100✓1.0037k2022-08-14
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana3.563.4067-4.31%5.06+42.13%0.2826✗0.73572k2022-08-14
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood3.193.0545-4.25%2.98-6.58%0.0952✓0.4678k2022-08-14
UNIUniswapEthereum6.7816.5074-4.03%8.882+30.98%0.0966✗1.385.6M2022-08-14
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.093970.090181-4.03%0.08572-8.78%0.2056✓1.00394k2022-08-14
BTTBitTorrentEthereum8.70e-78.36e-7-3.88%0.00000101+16.09%0.0339✓1.0033k2022-08-14
DIADIAEthereum0.406450.391654-3.64%0.49265+21.21%0.1121✗0.7654k2022-08-14
XVSVenusEthereum5.164.9851-3.39%6.42+24.42%0.0266✓1.461.2M2022-08-14
DYDXdYdXCosmos2.0361.9681-3.34%2.187+7.42%0.1258✓1.49112k2022-08-14
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum6.8136.5898-3.28%8.001+17.44%0.0116✓1.335.5M2022-08-14
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.07350.071206-3.12%0.0721-1.90%0.1441✓1.01181k2022-08-14
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.074630.072372-3.03%0.08115+8.74%0.0136✓0.831,9712022-08-14
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0170930.016576-3.03%0.019846+16.11%0.0995✗0.52179k2022-08-14
BFCBifrostEthereum0.060290.058507-2.96%0.0883+46.46%0.1969✗1.3925k2022-08-14
METRONOMEMETRONOME0.812210.788752-2.89%1.207+48.61%0.2891✗0.883642022-08-14
DODODODOEthereum0.14630.142092-2.88%0.171+16.88%0.0173✓1.312.8M2022-08-14
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.08630.083819-2.87%0.0854-1.04%0.1772✓1.26171k2022-08-14
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.023470.022858-2.61%0.02926+24.67%0.0076✓1.6416.9M2022-08-14
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0208250.020282-2.61%0.025582+22.84%0.0763✗1.011,2172022-08-14
XYMSymbolnative0.0519240.050595-2.56%0.056453+8.72%0.0130✓0.6214k2022-08-14
COMPCompoundEthereum55.2953.9246-2.47%63.04+14.02%0.0575✓1.3829k2022-08-14
API3Api3Ethereum1.8361.7932-2.33%2.387+30.01%0.0837✗1.31816k2022-08-14
C98Coin98Ethereum0.47310.463005-2.13%0.5344+12.96%0.0277✓1.1052k2022-08-14
SUSHISushiEthereum1.41.3725-1.97%1.48+5.71%0.1621✓1.53768k2022-08-14
CTSICartesiEthereum0.1560.152935-1.96%0.1842+18.08%0.0217✓1.34349k2022-08-14
WOOWOOEthereum0.17710.17389-1.81%0.2284+28.97%0.0587✗1.382,2022022-08-14
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.026870.026389-1.79%0.03229+20.17%0.0262✓1.471,7332022-08-14
GITCOINGITCOIN2.30132.2602-1.79%3.077+33.71%0.0579✗1.624,8022022-08-14
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.463960.456339-1.64%0.40475-12.76%0.3547✓1.52945k2022-08-14
RADRadworksEthereum1.71.6725-1.62%2.55+50.00%0.2491✗1.12117k2022-08-14
FIDABonfidaSolana0.3960.389642-1.61%0.534+34.85%0.1434✗1.119,9052022-08-14
OPTIMOptimism0.4830.47536-1.58%1.44+198.14%0.8458✗1.701.2M2022-08-14
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.018090.01781-1.55%0.01762-2.60%0.1305✓0.77381k2022-08-14
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos9.0588.919-1.53%11.588+27.93%0.0521✗1.3512.7M2022-08-14
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV52.43351.638-1.52%62.391+18.99%0.0593✗0.84410k2022-08-14
BORABORAKlay Token0.288960.284898-1.41%0.36752+27.19%0.0450✗1.353,2762022-08-14
RLCiExec RLCEthereum0.89880.886574-1.36%1.4588+62.31%0.3059✗1.24838k2022-08-14
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.80140.790697-1.34%1.1212+39.91%0.1912✗1.024.1M2022-08-14
CHRChromiaEthereum0.17910.17674-1.32%0.2112+17.92%0.0503✓1.472,7232022-08-14
LCXLCXEthereum0.07170.07079-1.27%0.0765+6.69%0.1445✓1.43299k2022-08-14
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana6.766.6743-1.27%8.97+32.69%0.2184✗0.50657k2022-08-14
XEMNEMnative0.0404450.039977-1.16%0.053806+33.03%0.1188✗1.1515k2022-08-14
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana4.374.3194-1.16%6.12+40.05%0.2492✗0.64555k2022-08-14
AAVEAaveEthereum90.4189.3682-1.15%107.44+18.84%0.0766✓1.6810.2M2022-08-14
UMAUMAEthereum2.5932.5636-1.13%3.446+32.90%0.1216✗1.12830k2022-08-14
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.388830.384509-1.11%0.44475+14.38%0.0474✓1.25128k2022-08-14
IMXImmutableEthereum0.90110.892398-0.97%1.0962+21.65%0.0193✓1.451.4M2022-08-14
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana3.913.8739-0.92%5.42+38.62%0.2373✗0.64672k2022-08-14
LINKChainlinkEthereum6.3216.2642-0.90%8.77+38.74%0.1419✗1.2619.3M2022-08-14
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.39680.393388-0.86%0.4793+20.79%0.0458✓1.57197k2022-08-14
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.332.3113-0.80%3.06+31.33%0.0395✗1.56216k2022-08-14
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.2522.2366-0.68%3.5378+57.10%0.3339✗0.80922k2022-08-14
CBKCobakEthereum1.01881.0119-0.67%1.2058+18.36%0.0017✓1.144,5462022-08-14
DKAdKargoEthereum0.045240.044954-0.63%0.05538+22.41%0.0662✗0.925,7282022-08-14
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.10671.1003-0.58%1.3892+25.53%0.0110✗1.434.2M2022-08-14
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.04810.047878-0.46%0.0541+12.47%0.0708✓1.25257k2022-08-14
SANDThe SandboxEthereum1.2061.2018-0.35%1.341+11.19%0.0718✓1.171.4M2022-08-14
YFIyearn.financeEthereum6,152.706,131.79-0.34%11,226.83+82.47%0.3971✗1.344.2M2022-08-14
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.431.4255-0.32%1.75+22.38%0.0219✓1.47153k2022-08-14
HIVEHivenative0.43260.431605-0.23%0.6213+43.62%0.1690✗1.261.2M2022-08-14
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.2691.2677-0.10%1.445+13.87%0.0727✓1.312.5M2022-08-14
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche19.3519.3354-0.08%28.19+45.68%0.1383✗1.5425.2M2022-08-14
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.0067390.006736-0.04%0.00672-0.28%0.0913✓0.5772k2022-08-14
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.32750.327411-0.03%0.3642+11.21%0.0766✓1.188.3M2022-08-14
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.1972.1981+0.05%2.773+26.22%0.0121✓1.4247k2022-08-14
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.27060.270931+0.12%0.3467+28.12%0.0618✓1.193.0M2022-08-14
CHZChilizEthereum0.10580.105982+0.17%0.1811+71.17%0.3647✓1.10549k2022-08-14
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.41591.4209+0.35%1.6481+16.40%0.0727✗1.43651k2022-08-14
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.2080.208883+0.42%0.225+8.17%0.1684✗1.57964k2022-08-14
KSMKusamaHydration54.3754.6045+0.43%58.87+8.28%0.1075✗1.18235k2022-08-14
APEApeCoinEthereum4.6014.6209+0.43%6.368+38.40%0.0495✓1.7512.2M2022-08-14
MINAMina Protocolnative0.6670.670176+0.48%0.887+32.98%0.0843✓1.27120k2022-08-14
COTICOTIEthereum0.10080.101326+0.52%0.1166+15.67%0.0719✗1.37547k2022-08-14
SOLSolanaSolana37.3737.5733+0.54%44.89+20.12%0.0274✗1.3383.9M2022-08-14
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.12790.128706+0.63%0.1477+15.48%0.0695✗1.3434k2022-08-14
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.009190.009256+0.72%0.01037+12.84%0.0455✗1.034.9M2022-08-14
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.019390.019534+0.74%0.02573+32.70%0.1119✓1.0699k2022-08-14
DEXEDeXeEthereum2.7342.7545+0.75%3.865+41.37%0.1646✓1.12534k2022-08-14
XTZTezosTezos1.57431.5878+0.86%1.8226+15.77%0.0598✗1.28555k2022-08-14
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum2.3332.3548+0.94%3.944+69.05%0.3743✓0.9188k2022-08-14
GLMGolemEthereum0.23760.240014+1.02%0.2868+20.71%0.0077✓1.1060k2022-08-14
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana4.84.8506+1.05%6.17+28.54%0.1366✓0.67609k2022-08-14
BANDBandEthereum1.3661.3806+1.07%1.732+26.79%0.0010✓1.46385k2022-08-14
MANADecentralandEthereum0.847240.856613+1.11%1.0735+26.71%0.0184✓1.34411k2022-08-14
AUCTIONBounceEthereum5.625.6846+1.15%10.26+82.56%0.3791✓1.36256k2022-08-14
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.5010.506831+1.16%0.699+39.52%0.1059✓1.3985k2022-08-14
ADACardanoCardano0.44190.447748+1.32%0.5701+29.01%0.0451✓1.2746.2M2022-08-14
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.050590.05127+1.34%0.09281+83.46%0.3656✓1.47778k2022-08-14
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.10640.107838+1.35%0.1284+20.68%0.0043✓1.10380k2022-08-14
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000010840.000010992+1.40%0.00001688+55.72%0.2361✓1.251.1M2022-08-14
MOVRMoonriverBase12.83113.0156+1.44%16.2019+26.27%0.0337✓1.20242k2022-08-14
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.43932.4745+1.44%3.1608+29.58%0.0898✓1.001.1M2022-08-14
LPTLivepeerEthereum8.568.6861+1.47%11.81+37.97%0.1229✓1.19288k2022-08-14
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.49540.502834+1.50%0.6094+23.01%0.0054✓1.21491k2022-08-14
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum13.9714.1895+1.57%18.56+32.86%0.0580✓1.361.3M2022-08-14
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.23020.234091+1.69%0.2693+16.99%0.0548✗1.26167k2022-08-14
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.823.8869+1.75%5.932+55.29%0.3258✓0.631.6M2022-08-14
SPELLSpellEthereum0.00097060.000988281+1.82%0.001432+47.49%0.1718✓1.281.8M2022-08-14
NANOnanopayBase0.8882140.90551+1.95%1.0568+18.98%0.0034✓1.0268k2022-08-14
BTTCBTTC8.70e-78.87e-7+2.00%0.00000101+16.09%0.0018✓0.855.7M2022-08-14
PROPropyEthereum0.810.826487+2.04%0.81+0.00%0.1351✗0.74111k2022-08-14
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0027970.002855+2.08%0.00419+49.80%0.2223✓1.041.2M2022-08-14
AMPAmpEthereum0.009010.009198+2.08%0.00825-8.44%0.2513✗0.921.2M2022-08-14
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.11940.12189+2.09%0.1641+37.44%0.1404✓1.013.9M2022-08-14
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain1.92251.9626+2.09%3.6932+92.10%0.4974✓0.87845k2022-08-14
ZENHorizenBase16.0316.3775+2.17%20.14+25.64%0.0128✓1.4274k2022-08-14
CTKShentuOsmosis0.7690.786088+2.22%0.932+21.20%0.0490✓0.781.3M2022-08-14
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.027280.027894+2.25%0.04879+78.85%0.3609✓1.2819k2022-08-14
FILFilecoinFilecoin5.2265.3494+2.36%8.235+57.58%0.2562✓1.131.8M2022-08-14
FTTFTXEthereum26.7827.4185+2.38%30.84+15.16%0.0279✗0.9410.7M2022-08-14
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.4511.486+2.41%1.939+33.63%0.0357✓1.49182k2022-08-14
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.128940.13209+2.44%0.1773+37.51%0.0441✓1.62155k2022-08-14
RUNETHORChainTHORChain2.1772.2323+2.54%2.808+28.98%0.0326✗1.6984k2022-08-14
UOSUltraEthereum0.311360.319388+2.58%0.37655+20.94%0.0310✗1.26411k2022-08-14
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.30345.4422+2.62%5.1274-3.32%0.0881✗0.18335k2022-08-14
BRISEBitgertEthereum3.58e-73.68e-7+2.67%4.26e-7+18.73%0.0222✓1.08392k2022-08-14
GALAGALAEthereum0.04950.050821+2.67%0.0703+42.02%0.0957✓1.48102k2022-08-14
XECeCashnative0.000039220.000040315+2.79%0.00004614+17.64%0.0525✗1.211.9M2022-08-14
SKLSKALEEthereum0.04950.050885+2.80%0.067+35.35%0.0645✓1.36837k2022-08-14
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum1.76811.8188+2.87%2.3122+30.78%0.0479✓1.2434k2022-08-14
XMRMoneroMonero138.94143.0315+2.94%168.04+20.94%0.0147✓1.141.3M2022-08-14
QTUMQtumQtum2.78182.8647+2.98%4.1906+50.65%0.2103✓1.1026k2022-08-14
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.2941580.303307+3.11%0.374117+27.18%0.0141✓1.261.7M2022-08-14
STEEMSteemnative0.20010.206357+3.13%0.2723+36.08%0.0917✓1.20705k2022-08-14
LRCLoopringEthereum0.37650.388297+3.13%0.4837+28.47%0.0131✓1.3382k2022-08-14
ETHEthereumEthereum1,231.101,272.94+3.40%1,935.85+57.25%0.2341✓1.20326.5M2022-08-14
XLMStellarStellar0.1074120.111076+3.41%0.125646+16.98%0.0327✓1.017.4M2022-08-14
DASHDashDash43.2444.7164+3.41%55.08+27.38%0.0365✓1.11623k2022-08-14
GTGateEthereum4.00674.1451+3.45%5.0549+26.16%0.0877✓0.711.0M2022-08-14
BTCBitcoinBitcoin20,827.5521,548.79+3.46%24,316.71+16.75%0.0340✓1.00447.1M2022-08-14
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.006420.006643+3.48%0.00865+34.74%0.1103✓0.99390k2022-08-14
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.6530.676294+3.57%0.839+28.48%0.0684✓0.95405k2022-08-14
ASTRAstarEthereum0.04090.042386+3.63%0.0472+15.40%0.1019✗1.357,6892022-08-14
PHAPHALAEthereum0.10810.112065+3.67%0.1308+21.00%0.0034✓0.986,6852022-08-14
DOTPolkadotPolkadot6.7947.0457+3.70%8.955+31.81%0.0491✓1.239.6M2022-08-14
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.19830.205778+3.77%0.2555+28.85%0.0105✓1.47117k2022-08-14
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.09860.102325+3.78%0.1393+41.28%0.0995✓1.352.5M2022-08-14
LTCLitecoinLitecoin51.7653.7275+3.80%63.17+22.04%0.0195✓1.1715.4M2022-08-14
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.09070.094185+3.84%0.1275+40.57%0.1765✓0.82145k2022-08-14
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum9.219.5751+3.96%14.53+57.76%0.1914✓1.461.1M2022-08-14
STXStacksnative0.38290.398188+3.99%0.4917+28.41%0.0149✓1.27405k2022-08-14
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum21,161.6022,032.78+4.12%24,209.70+14.40%0.0590✗0.9943k2022-08-14
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0122360.01277+4.36%0.015677+28.12%0.0782✓0.821.2M2022-08-14
LSKLiskEthereum1.04781.0939+4.39%1.2606+20.30%0.0271✓1.0948k2022-08-14
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.2850.298072+4.59%0.327+14.74%0.0675✗1.03575k2022-08-14
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.062970.065992+4.80%0.0817+29.74%0.0252✓1.222.0M2022-08-14
XVGVergenative0.003440.003608+4.88%0.00403+17.15%0.0988✗1.35664k2022-08-14
SCSiacoinnative0.00390.00409+4.88%0.00499+27.95%0.0106✓1.35136k2022-08-14
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.6130.643161+4.92%0.7+14.19%0.1521✗1.53112k2022-08-14
FLOWFlownative1.5461.6221+4.92%2.832+83.18%0.3695✓1.21287k2022-08-14
TRXTRONTron0.0670240.070522+5.22%0.070349+4.96%0.1290✗0.82433k2022-08-14
CVCCivicEthereum0.13990.147599+5.50%0.1716+22.66%0.0436✓1.2593k2022-08-14
ETCEthereum Classicnative15.0615.9524+5.93%41.57+176.03%0.7753✓1.181.2M2022-08-14
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash106.07112.4601+6.02%139.45+31.47%0.0414✓1.124.3M2022-08-14
CELLCellframeEthereum0.24030.255374+6.27%0.4118+71.37%0.3009✓1.1433k2022-08-14
KCSKuCoinnative9.199.8101+6.75%10.646+15.84%0.0905✗1.112.4M2022-08-14
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.05310.05674+6.86%0.0809+52.35%0.2335✓0.78204k2022-08-14
ZECZcashZcash58.3762.4287+6.95%73.71+26.28%0.0392✓1.331.6M2022-08-14
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.07640.08261+8.13%0.0995+30.24%0.0050✓1.236,9262022-08-14
SUNSun TokenTron0.0056970.006182+8.52%0.006713+17.84%0.0600✓0.923,0112022-08-14
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.46710.508742+8.92%0.5947+27.32%0.0180✓1.12294k2022-08-14
NEXONEXOEthereum0.5770.630125+9.21%1.008+74.70%0.2831✓1.21867k2022-08-14
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.