8=======>

2022-07-14 · +30d

gru_s1 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 182 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.2165
182 of 182 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+6.95%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
62.1%
in alpha space · 51.7% on raw price
BTC over horizon
+18.85%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (182 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
LUNATerraTerra 20.00009210.000081601-11.40%0.00009674+5.04%0.1607✓1.92682k2022-08-13
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.6470.576519-10.89%0.792+22.41%0.0582✓1.503,6872022-08-13
ORCAOrcaSolana0.78890.72227-8.45%1.0121+28.29%0.0598✓1.61180k2022-08-13
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.174850.160953-7.95%0.20197+15.51%0.2507✓2.778962022-08-13
TRBTellor TributesEthereum17.1615.8015-7.92%40.15+133.97%0.6442✗1.67427k2022-08-13
QNTQuantEthereum97.5490.2671-7.46%126.57+29.76%0.1623✗1.022.6M2022-08-13
GMTGMTEthereum0.9420.87293-7.33%0.974+3.40%0.2018✓1.80528k2022-08-13
FORTFortaEthereum0.250.232514-6.99%0.3084+23.36%0.1097✗1.00503k2022-08-13
NMRNumeraireEthereum14.5913.6399-6.51%21.34+46.26%0.2775✗0.991.7M2022-08-13
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.7810.73121-6.38%0.912+16.77%0.0995✓1.867.9M2022-08-13
ARPAARPAEthereum0.03620.033922-6.29%0.0442+22.10%0.0472✓1.2699k2022-08-13
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.38910.364739-6.26%0.5216+34.05%0.1850✗1.00180k2022-08-13
AVTAventusEthereum1.491.4028-5.85%1.55+4.03%0.0566✓0.25512k2022-08-13
SNXSynthetixEthereum2.7092.5538-5.73%3.972+46.62%0.1394✗1.753.5M2022-08-13
OGOG Fan TokenSolana3.4583.2651-5.58%6.38+84.50%0.5772✗0.542.1M2022-08-13
FISStafiEthereum0.37350.352688-5.57%0.3736+0.03%0.1151✓1.004752022-08-13
METISMetisEthereum22.3321.1776-5.16%47.76+113.88%0.6405✗1.00126k2022-08-13
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana2.8912.7439-5.09%4.099+41.78%0.2932✗0.632.1M2022-08-13
ELAElastosEthereum1.4581.386-4.94%2.107+44.51%0.2461✗1.00178k2022-08-13
UNIUniswapEthereum7.0136.6773-4.79%8.987+28.15%0.0566✗1.395.6M2022-08-13
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.26160.249398-4.66%0.261-0.23%0.1273✓1.0045k2022-08-13
STORJStorjEthereum0.650460.620946-4.54%0.72052+10.77%0.1336✓1.63130k2022-08-13
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.095360.091185-4.38%0.08755-8.19%0.2134✓1.00379k2022-08-13
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood3.122.9865-4.28%3.03-2.88%0.0627✓0.4582k2022-08-13
DIADIAEthereum0.407030.389686-4.26%0.53395+31.18%0.1840✗0.7654k2022-08-13
XVSVenusEthereum5.194.9917-3.82%6.65+28.13%0.0338✓1.471.3M2022-08-13
DYDXdYdXCosmos2.0361.9593-3.77%2.328+14.34%0.0860✓1.50112k2022-08-13
DODODODOEthereum0.14780.142244-3.76%0.1759+19.01%0.0140✓1.312.8M2022-08-13
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum6.8326.5923-3.51%8.197+19.98%0.0121✓1.335.5M2022-08-13
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0173790.016777-3.47%0.020481+17.85%0.1093✗0.52199k2022-08-13
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.074240.071708-3.41%0.08281+11.54%0.0007✓0.831,9362022-08-13
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.023640.022865-3.28%0.03126+32.23%0.0283✓1.6517.7M2022-08-13
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.08620.083605-3.01%0.0916+6.26%0.1273✓1.27171k2022-08-13
WOOWOOEthereum0.18660.181168-2.91%0.2265+21.38%0.0170✓1.392,2342022-08-13
COMPCompoundEthereum54.9753.4433-2.78%65.44+19.05%0.0360✓1.3828k2022-08-13
METRONOMEMETRONOME0.792540.77171-2.63%1.243+56.84%0.3250✗0.883222022-08-13
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.0690.067206-2.60%0.0716+3.77%0.1101✓1.00145k2022-08-13
API3Api3Ethereum1.8171.7705-2.56%2.408+32.53%0.0819✗1.31864k2022-08-13
FIDABonfidaSolana0.4080.397722-2.52%0.558+36.76%0.1462✗1.119,6592022-08-13
XYMSymbolnative0.0508990.049625-2.50%0.056988+11.96%0.0310✗0.6214k2022-08-13
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0205260.020039-2.37%0.025853+25.95%0.0811✗1.019372022-08-13
SUSHISushiEthereum1.391.3573-2.35%1.54+10.79%0.1389✓1.54768k2022-08-13
C98Coin98Ethereum0.46250.452089-2.25%0.5584+20.74%0.0208✓1.1053k2022-08-13
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.450.44016-2.19%0.41477-7.83%0.3210✓1.511.0M2022-08-13
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.026010.025449-2.16%0.03326+27.87%0.0139✓1.471,9122022-08-13
BFCBifrostEthereum0.056930.055708-2.15%0.09127+60.32%0.2551✗1.3824k2022-08-13
RLCiExec RLCEthereum0.93090.912408-1.99%1.419+52.43%0.2263✗1.25794k2022-08-13
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana3.143.0789-1.95%4.96+57.96%0.3536✗0.71572k2022-08-13
OPTIMOptimism0.4910.48169-1.90%1.542+214.05%0.8694✗1.701.2M2022-08-13
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.017880.017542-1.89%0.01788+0.00%0.1143✓0.77381k2022-08-13
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV52.20451.2295-1.87%63.346+21.34%0.0673✗0.84414k2022-08-13
GITCOINGITCOIN2.26142.2195-1.85%3.2141+42.13%0.0906✗1.624,8022022-08-13
CTSICartesiEthereum0.15150.148724-1.83%0.1908+25.94%0.0178✓1.34349k2022-08-13
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.1681.1481-1.71%1.4348+22.84%0.0265✓1.444.3M2022-08-13
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.80490.791269-1.69%1.1627+44.45%0.2081✗1.024.5M2022-08-13
BORABORAKlay Token0.288030.283205-1.68%0.37115+28.86%0.0364✗1.353,2762022-08-13
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos8.9818.8338-1.64%11.906+32.57%0.0644✗1.3612.7M2022-08-13
IMXImmutableEthereum0.91640.901459-1.63%1.138+24.18%0.0189✓1.461.5M2022-08-13
AAVEAaveEthereum91.2289.8034-1.55%110.5+21.14%0.0841✓1.6910.4M2022-08-13
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana6.26.1042-1.54%8.81+42.10%0.2827✗0.49657k2022-08-13
CHRChromiaEthereum0.17490.172261-1.51%0.2195+25.50%0.0124✓1.482,7942022-08-13
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.40470.398742-1.47%0.462+14.16%0.1249✓1.58197k2022-08-13
XEMNEMnative0.0399020.039342-1.40%0.054466+36.50%0.1265✗1.1515k2022-08-13
LCXLCXEthereum0.06610.065193-1.37%0.0784+18.61%0.0618✓1.43299k2022-08-13
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.387560.382251-1.37%0.46097+18.94%0.0285✓1.25130k2022-08-13
RADRadworksEthereum1.651.6285-1.30%2.66+61.21%0.2985✗1.11117k2022-08-13
UMAUMAEthereum2.5762.5434-1.27%3.746+45.42%0.1928✗1.13895k2022-08-13
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.262.2345-1.13%3.24+43.36%0.1029✗1.56216k2022-08-13
LINKChainlinkEthereum6.276.2015-1.09%9.149+45.92%0.1716✗1.2619.7M2022-08-13
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana3.643.601-1.07%5.4+48.35%0.2968✗0.63672k2022-08-13
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana2.7952.77-0.90%4.086+46.19%0.2582✗0.76488k2022-08-13
DKAdKargoEthereum0.045020.044621-0.89%0.05467+21.43%0.0442✗0.925,7282022-08-13
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana3.993.9555-0.87%6.12+53.38%0.3278✗0.63555k2022-08-13
SANDThe SandboxEthereum1.2051.1966-0.70%1.326+10.04%0.1002✓1.181.5M2022-08-13
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.431.4216-0.59%1.85+29.37%0.0099✗1.47155k2022-08-13
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche19.7419.6336-0.54%29.19+47.87%0.1295✗1.5525.2M2022-08-13
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.1252.114-0.52%3.4228+61.07%0.3440✗0.80922k2022-08-13
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.32970.328152-0.47%0.3686+11.80%0.0885✓1.198.5M2022-08-13
CBKCobakEthereum0.970160.965713-0.46%1.2311+26.90%0.0463✗1.143,5002022-08-13
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.04650.046327-0.37%0.0554+19.14%0.0358✓1.24257k2022-08-13
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.0067570.006735-0.32%0.006824+0.99%0.0858✓0.5784k2022-08-13
CHZChilizEthereum0.1050.104661-0.32%0.1616+53.90%0.2436✗1.10549k2022-08-13
HIVEHivenative0.42440.423175-0.29%0.6334+49.25%0.1856✗1.261.2M2022-08-13
YFIyearn.financeEthereum6,010.905,996.66-0.24%11,424.48+90.06%0.4131✗1.344.4M2022-08-13
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.1782.1732-0.22%2.867+31.63%0.0311✗1.4252k2022-08-13
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.2110.210791-0.10%0.235+11.37%0.1629✓1.571.0M2022-08-13
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.2261.2251-0.07%1.485+21.13%0.0342✓1.312.5M2022-08-13
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.26880.268635-0.06%0.3595+33.74%0.0851✗1.193.0M2022-08-13
APEApeCoinEthereum4.6854.6831-0.04%6.66+42.16%0.0490✗1.7613.1M2022-08-13
MINAMina Protocolnative0.6680.668744+0.11%0.917+37.28%0.0966✓1.27127k2022-08-13
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.009480.009502+0.23%0.01031+8.76%0.0971✗1.035.1M2022-08-13
AUCTIONBounceEthereum5.725.7412+0.37%10.46+82.87%0.3635✓1.37256k2022-08-13
SOLSolanaSolana37.1237.258+0.37%46.63+25.62%0.0048✗1.3384.4M2022-08-13
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.019740.019838+0.49%0.02741+38.86%0.1403✓1.0699k2022-08-13
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.5010.504228+0.64%0.702+40.12%0.0902✓1.3985k2022-08-13
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.6983.7238+0.70%4.814+30.18%0.1492✓0.621.6M2022-08-13
GLMGolemEthereum0.2350.236716+0.73%0.2886+22.81%0.0081✓1.1060k2022-08-13
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.32011.33+0.75%1.7029+29.00%0.0021✓1.42651k2022-08-13
XTZTezosTezos1.56011.5724+0.79%1.9104+22.45%0.0261✗1.28582k2022-08-13
MANADecentralandEthereum0.835040.841879+0.82%1.0614+27.10%0.0004✓1.34411k2022-08-13
DEXEDeXeEthereum2.6832.7052+0.83%4.065+51.51%0.2132✓1.12534k2022-08-13
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.50710.511485+0.86%0.6271+23.66%0.0054✓1.21536k2022-08-13
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.12560.126701+0.88%0.1512+20.38%0.0543✗1.3435k2022-08-13
ADACardanoCardano0.44140.445641+0.96%0.5598+26.82%0.0086✓1.2746.2M2022-08-13
BANDBandEthereum1.3541.3672+0.97%1.823+34.64%0.0358✓1.46387k2022-08-13
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana4.434.4784+1.09%6.06+36.79%0.1884✓0.66609k2022-08-13
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.33592.3617+1.10%2.999+28.39%0.0668✓1.001.1M2022-08-13
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.049560.050122+1.13%0.09698+95.68%0.4062✓1.47778k2022-08-13
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum13.9614.1279+1.20%19.24+37.82%0.0738✓1.361.3M2022-08-13
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum2.2162.2436+1.25%4.135+86.60%0.4547✓0.9198k2022-08-13
CTKShentuOsmosis0.7990.809019+1.25%0.991+24.03%0.0664✓0.791.3M2022-08-13
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.10670.108099+1.31%0.1296+21.46%0.0088✓1.10388k2022-08-13
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.22860.231612+1.32%0.2745+20.08%0.0476✗1.26172k2022-08-13
KSMKusamaHydration51.5152.1957+1.33%61.18+18.77%0.0441✗1.17235k2022-08-13
COTICOTIEthereum0.09190.093188+1.40%0.1229+33.73%0.0418✓1.36547k2022-08-13
LPTLivepeerEthereum8.338.4469+1.40%12.18+46.22%0.1609✓1.19288k2022-08-13
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.00001060.000010755+1.46%0.00001262+19.06%0.0549✗1.241.2M2022-08-13
PROPropyEthereum0.820.833415+1.64%0.82+0.00%0.1449✗0.74114k2022-08-13
NANOnanopayBase0.885170.900283+1.71%1.0828+22.32%0.0083✓1.0274k2022-08-13
AMPAmpEthereum0.008990.00915+1.79%0.00828-7.90%0.2591✗0.921.2M2022-08-13
FILFilecoinFilecoin5.3545.4504+1.80%8.374+56.41%0.2328✓1.141.9M2022-08-13
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.027090.027597+1.87%0.04514+66.63%0.2708✓1.2819k2022-08-13
RUNETHORChainTHORChain2.2322.2739+1.88%2.902+30.02%0.0496✗1.7084k2022-08-13
SPELLSpellEthereum0.00095450.000972468+1.88%0.001473+54.30%0.1936✓1.281.9M2022-08-13
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.1140.116157+1.89%0.1717+50.61%0.2167✓1.013.9M2022-08-13
BTTCBTTC8.60e-78.77e-7+1.94%0.00000102+18.60%0.0052✓0.855.8M2022-08-13
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain1.78561.8206+1.96%3.4312+92.16%0.4849✓0.86845k2022-08-13
MOVRMoonriverBase12.353412.5996+1.99%17.0389+37.93%0.0955✓1.19265k2022-08-13
BRISEBitgertEthereum3.70e-73.78e-7+2.01%3.22e-7-13.15%0.3492✗1.09441k2022-08-13
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0027490.002806+2.08%0.004633+68.53%0.3217✓1.041.2M2022-08-13
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.129640.132461+2.18%0.18116+39.74%0.0334✓1.62155k2022-08-13
ZENHorizenBase15.4115.7492+2.20%20.82+35.11%0.0348✓1.4177k2022-08-13
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.39995.5252+2.32%4.8922-9.40%0.1539✗0.19335k2022-08-13
GALAGALAEthereum0.04960.050759+2.34%0.0672+35.48%0.0251✓1.48106k2022-08-13
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.4421.478+2.50%1.994+38.28%0.0418✓1.49182k2022-08-13
FTTFTXEthereum25.8926.5412+2.52%31.33+21.01%0.0041✓0.9411.0M2022-08-13
LRCLoopringEthereum0.38370.393454+2.54%0.4939+28.72%0.0040✓1.3494k2022-08-13
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum1.77041.8175+2.66%2.4159+36.46%0.0698✓1.2436k2022-08-13
XECeCashnative0.000038990.000040037+2.68%0.0000474+21.57%0.0404✗1.211.9M2022-08-13
STEEMSteemnative0.20250.208097+2.76%0.2759+36.25%0.0744✓1.20705k2022-08-13
QTUMQtumQtum2.7332.8103+2.83%4.2917+57.03%0.2337✓1.1027k2022-08-13
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.2907120.299122+2.89%0.387693+33.36%0.0411✓1.261.7M2022-08-13
DASHDashDash43.6244.9107+2.96%57.07+30.83%0.0474✓1.11628k2022-08-13
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.006410.006603+3.02%0.00886+38.22%0.1225✓0.99392k2022-08-13
XLMStellarStellar0.1071370.110396+3.04%0.126836+18.39%0.0353✗1.017.8M2022-08-13
ASTRAstarEthereum0.04230.043598+3.07%0.0501+18.44%0.0956✗1.368,3162022-08-13
PHAPHALAEthereum0.10770.111127+3.18%0.1341+24.51%0.0192✓0.986,6852022-08-13
GTGateEthereum4.00914.1393+3.25%5.1095+27.45%0.0869✓0.721.1M2022-08-13
UOSUltraEthereum0.289410.298984+3.31%0.3817+31.89%0.0277✓1.25421k2022-08-13
DOTPolkadotPolkadot6.7226.9485+3.37%9.31+38.50%0.0798✓1.239.7M2022-08-13
XMRMoneroMonero133.62138.128+3.37%168.13+25.83%0.0011✓1.131.3M2022-08-13
BTCBitcoinBitcoin20,577.0221,279.04+3.41%24,456.49+18.85%0.0335✗1.00453.1M2022-08-13
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.6150.636336+3.47%0.872+41.79%0.1521✓0.94391k2022-08-13
ETHEthereumEthereum1,192.701,234.20+3.48%1,984.75+66.41%0.2690✓1.19326.5M2022-08-13
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.09610.099479+3.52%0.1441+49.95%0.1379✓1.352.5M2022-08-13
LTCLitecoinLitecoin51.3253.1501+3.57%63.86+24.43%0.0190✓1.1715.5M2022-08-13
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum9.189.5075+3.57%15.39+67.65%0.2295✓1.461.1M2022-08-13
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.08880.091985+3.59%0.1176+32.43%0.1055✓0.81145k2022-08-13
SKLSKALEEthereum0.04430.045895+3.60%0.0714+61.17%0.2095✓1.35837k2022-08-13
STXStacksnative0.38020.394652+3.80%0.5095+34.01%0.0367✓1.27405k2022-08-13
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.2840.295183+3.94%0.333+17.25%0.0581✗1.03575k2022-08-13
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.18910.196808+4.08%0.2699+42.73%0.0635✓1.46127k2022-08-13
LSKLiskEthereum1.02531.0688+4.24%1.2916+25.97%0.0012✓1.0952k2022-08-13
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0120520.01258+4.38%0.01624+34.75%0.1142✓0.821.3M2022-08-13
XVGVergenative0.003490.003647+4.50%0.00389+11.46%0.1699✗1.36664k2022-08-13
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0623920.065276+4.62%0.072906+16.85%0.0995✗1.222.0M2022-08-13
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum20,493.5021,443.18+4.63%24,547.20+19.78%0.0352✓0.9945k2022-08-13
SCSiacoinnative0.003880.004061+4.66%0.00504+29.90%0.0177✓1.35141k2022-08-13
FLOWFlownative1.5621.6356+4.71%2.923+87.13%0.3705✓1.22287k2022-08-13
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.6090.63808+4.78%0.733+20.36%0.1257✗1.53118k2022-08-13
TRXTRONTron0.0669340.070374+5.14%0.069903+4.44%0.1481✗0.82453k2022-08-13
CELLCellframeEthereum0.25690.27019+5.17%0.4375+70.30%0.2830✓1.1533k2022-08-13
CVCCivicEthereum0.13680.14396+5.23%0.1743+27.41%0.0253✓1.2593k2022-08-13
ETCEthereum Classicnative14.7415.609+5.90%43.58+195.66%0.8234✓1.181.3M2022-08-13
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash102.99109.0792+5.91%144.43+40.24%0.0875✓1.124.5M2022-08-13
KCSKuCoinnative9.19.6914+6.50%10.697+17.55%0.0935✗1.112.5M2022-08-13
ZECZcashZcash57.5961.4894+6.77%76.21+32.33%0.0143✓1.331.6M2022-08-13
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.05190.055425+6.79%0.0823+58.57%0.2605✓0.78204k2022-08-13
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.07690.082767+7.63%0.1028+33.68%0.0034✓1.246,9262022-08-13
NEXONEXOEthereum0.6110.660806+8.15%1.038+69.89%0.2418✓1.21867k2022-08-13
SUNSun TokenTron0.0056870.006177+8.62%0.006994+22.98%0.0348✓0.923,1492022-08-13
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.4670.508215+8.83%0.6153+31.76%0.0031✓1.13311k2022-08-13
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.