8=======>

2022-07-13 · +30d

gru_s1 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 181 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.1402
181 of 181 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+7.39%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
56.9%
in alpha space · 50.8% on raw price
BTC over horizon
+20.75%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (181 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
LUNATerraTerra 20.000094970.000083631-11.94%0.00009809+3.29%0.2021✓1.92724k2022-08-12
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.6470.575054-11.12%0.792+22.41%0.0359✓1.513,2002022-08-12
ORCAOrcaSolana0.78120.713474-8.67%1.0248+31.18%0.0594✓1.61180k2022-08-12
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.175560.160994-8.30%0.19851+13.07%0.3177✓2.808572022-08-12
FORTFortaEthereum0.27010.248117-8.14%0.3094+14.55%0.0322✓1.00565k2022-08-12
TRBTellor TributesEthereum16.4515.199-7.60%39.38+139.39%0.6377✗1.67427k2022-08-12
NMRNumeraireEthereum14.6213.6344-6.74%21.15+44.66%0.2530✗0.991.6M2022-08-12
GMTGMTEthereum0.8850.82631-6.63%0.983+11.07%0.1650✓1.80574k2022-08-12
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.37510.350406-6.58%0.5531+47.45%0.2679✗1.00180k2022-08-12
ARPAARPAEthereum0.0360.033662-6.49%0.0445+23.61%0.0411✓1.2699k2022-08-12
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.7650.716531-6.34%0.944+23.40%0.0737✓1.858.4M2022-08-12
AVTAventusEthereum1.551.4522-6.31%1.59+2.58%0.0431✓0.25535k2022-08-12
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana2.8622.6936-5.89%4.176+45.91%0.3208✗0.622.2M2022-08-12
OGOG Fan TokenSolana3.3713.1747-5.82%6.594+95.61%0.6304✗0.532.1M2022-08-12
METISMetisEthereum21.620.4056-5.53%49.07+127.18%0.6889✗1.00110k2022-08-12
ELAElastosEthereum1.4331.3565-5.34%2.075+44.80%0.2365✗1.00172k2022-08-12
SNXSynthetixEthereum2.5152.3833-5.24%4.15+65.01%0.2260✗1.743.3M2022-08-12
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.26170.248106-5.19%0.2614-0.11%0.1363✓1.0045k2022-08-12
STORJStorjEthereum0.638180.607471-4.81%0.72656+13.85%0.1289✓1.63120k2022-08-12
QNTQuantEthereum84.7880.7085-4.80%128.24+51.26%0.2756✗0.992.6M2022-08-12
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.094850.090419-4.67%0.08726-8.00%0.2241✓1.00373k2022-08-12
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood3.173.0224-4.66%3-5.36%0.0926✓0.4582k2022-08-12
DIADIAEthereum0.390620.373248-4.45%0.48246+23.51%0.1140✗0.7654k2022-08-12
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0177970.017035-4.28%0.020089+12.88%0.0647✗0.53222k2022-08-12
XVSVenusEthereum5.074.8669-4.01%6.66+31.36%0.0369✓1.471.3M2022-08-12
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.023660.022759-3.81%0.03262+37.87%0.0486✗1.6518.5M2022-08-12
UNIUniswapEthereum6.1185.8989-3.58%9.21+50.54%0.1865✗1.375.6M2022-08-12
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.07190.069335-3.57%0.0727+1.11%0.1455✓1.02131k2022-08-12
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.08630.083445-3.31%0.0919+6.49%0.1415✓1.26171k2022-08-12
XYMSymbolnative0.0508050.049179-3.20%0.056411+11.03%0.0200✓0.6214k2022-08-12
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum6.4936.304-2.91%8.394+29.28%0.0363✗1.335.5M2022-08-12
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.066990.065088-2.84%0.08331+24.36%0.0959✗0.801,9502022-08-12
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0202080.019663-2.70%0.025466+26.02%0.0690✗1.019372022-08-12
API3Api3Ethereum1.751.7035-2.66%2.426+38.63%0.1033✗1.33864k2022-08-12
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.025310.024656-2.58%0.03363+32.87%0.0330✗1.471,9122022-08-12
DYDXdYdXCosmos1.7981.7534-2.48%2.341+30.20%0.0102✓1.48115k2022-08-12
C98Coin98Ethereum0.45050.439679-2.40%0.5574+23.73%0.0299✗1.1055k2022-08-12
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.444970.434315-2.39%0.42697-4.05%0.3029✓1.521.1M2022-08-12
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.017750.017336-2.33%0.01781+0.34%0.1189✓0.77385k2022-08-12
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana6.145.9979-2.31%8.86+44.30%0.2972✗0.49670k2022-08-12
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana3.113.0393-2.27%5.08+63.34%0.3793✗0.71597k2022-08-12
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV51.85850.7155-2.20%63.536+22.52%0.0669✗0.84417k2022-08-12
DODODODOEthereum0.13310.130315-2.09%0.1809+35.91%0.0837✗1.302.8M2022-08-12
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.80340.788093-1.91%1.1564+43.94%0.1902✗1.024.5M2022-08-12
BORABORAKlay Token0.287360.281992-1.87%0.37096+29.09%0.0184✓1.363,2762022-08-12
BFCBifrostEthereum0.055170.054154-1.84%0.0916+66.03%0.2655✗1.3824k2022-08-12
OPTIMOptimism0.4750.466642-1.76%1.651+247.58%0.9432✗1.701.3M2022-08-12
FIDABonfidaSolana0.3760.369535-1.72%0.554+47.34%0.1963✗1.119,6592022-08-12
GITCOINGITCOIN2.18762.1507-1.69%3.2354+47.90%0.1029✗1.624,8022022-08-12
WOOWOOEthereum0.16440.16178-1.59%0.2434+48.05%0.1508✗1.372,4272022-08-12
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.384740.378658-1.58%0.46635+21.21%0.0272✓1.25142k2022-08-12
CHRChromiaEthereum0.16480.162283-1.53%0.2224+34.95%0.0391✗1.462,9732022-08-12
CTSICartesiEthereum0.14580.143588-1.52%0.196+34.43%0.0595✗1.33349k2022-08-12
IMXImmutableEthereum0.88290.86957-1.51%1.1467+29.88%0.0029✓1.451.6M2022-08-12
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana3.553.4985-1.45%5.53+55.77%0.3403✗0.62672k2022-08-12
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana2.7992.7599-1.40%4.151+48.30%0.2653✗0.76497k2022-08-12
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana3.943.8851-1.39%6.32+60.41%0.3682✗0.63584k2022-08-12
UMAUMAEthereum2.5352.4997-1.39%3.223+27.14%0.0419✗1.13929k2022-08-12
RLCiExec RLCEthereum0.85730.845781-1.34%1.4259+66.32%0.2897✗1.23622k2022-08-12
COMPCompoundEthereum48.3947.766-1.29%65.12+34.57%0.0529✗1.3627k2022-08-12
LINKChainlinkEthereum6.1726.0949-1.25%9.333+51.22%0.1884✗1.2620.2M2022-08-12
RADRadworksEthereum1.621.5999-1.24%2.59+59.88%0.2709✗1.12117k2022-08-12
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.38910.38427-1.24%0.4764+22.44%0.0816✓1.57202k2022-08-12
METRONOMEMETRONOME0.720570.711713-1.23%1.2293+70.60%0.3836✗0.862982022-08-12
LCXLCXEthereum0.06140.060655-1.21%0.0739+20.36%0.0691✓1.41299k2022-08-12
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.22.1739-1.19%3.25+47.73%0.1084✗1.56218k2022-08-12
XEMNEMnative0.0388410.038412-1.11%0.055699+43.40%0.1548✗1.1515k2022-08-12
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos8.2188.1298-1.07%12.061+46.76%0.1415✗1.3412.7M2022-08-12
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.08812.0659-1.06%3.3109+58.56%0.3217✗0.80976k2022-08-12
SANDThe SandboxEthereum1.1691.1579-0.95%1.334+14.11%0.0797✓1.171.6M2022-08-12
SUSHISushiEthereum1.241.2287-0.91%1.56+25.81%0.0480✓1.52768k2022-08-12
DKAdKargoEthereum0.043670.043304-0.84%0.05396+23.56%0.0468✗0.925,7282022-08-12
CBKCobakEthereum0.947520.941328-0.65%1.2318+30.00%0.0549✗1.142,3312022-08-12
HIVEHivenative0.42210.419655-0.58%0.6348+50.39%0.1761✗1.261.2M2022-08-12
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.6613.6407-0.55%4.875+33.16%0.1744✗0.621.7M2022-08-12
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.0067490.006715-0.50%0.006832+1.23%0.0893✓0.5795k2022-08-12
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.04570.045482-0.48%0.0569+24.51%0.0095✓1.24257k2022-08-12
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.381.3741-0.42%1.9+37.68%0.0475✗1.47160k2022-08-12
YFIyearn.financeEthereum5,907.645,888.92-0.32%11,508.57+94.81%0.4174✗1.344.5M2022-08-12
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.1392.1323-0.31%2.947+37.77%0.0554✗1.4260k2022-08-12
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.2090.208367-0.30%0.236+12.92%0.1707✓1.571.1M2022-08-12
CHZChilizEthereum0.10190.101637-0.26%0.164+60.94%0.2707✗1.10549k2022-08-12
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.04821.0456-0.25%1.4231+35.77%0.0394✗1.434.2M2022-08-12
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.30970.30906-0.21%0.3656+18.05%0.0541✓1.188.7M2022-08-12
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche18.8118.7721-0.20%29.35+56.03%0.1565✗1.5425.2M2022-08-12
DEXEDeXeEthereum2.7892.7843-0.17%4.17+49.52%0.1906✗1.13534k2022-08-12
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.26570.265254-0.17%0.3631+36.66%0.0886✗1.203.1M2022-08-12
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.009390.009379-0.12%0.01039+10.65%0.0912✓1.035.1M2022-08-12
APEApeCoinEthereum4.584.5761-0.09%7.035+53.60%0.0997✗1.7514.8M2022-08-12
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.1971.1966-0.04%1.496+24.98%0.0223✓1.302.6M2022-08-12
MINAMina Protocolnative0.6550.655337+0.05%0.938+43.21%0.1195✓1.27143k2022-08-12
GLMGolemEthereum0.23560.236056+0.19%0.2956+25.47%0.0170✓1.1060k2022-08-12
AAVEAaveEthereum79.7880.0545+0.34%114.79+43.88%0.0457✓1.679.9M2022-08-12
AUCTIONBounceEthereum5.495.5214+0.57%10.7+94.90%0.4063✓1.35256k2022-08-12
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.1270.127784+0.62%0.1535+20.87%0.0693✗1.3435k2022-08-12
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.019120.019239+0.62%0.02664+39.33%0.1272✓1.05100k2022-08-12
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.4840.487116+0.64%0.7+44.63%0.1007✓1.3988k2022-08-12
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana4.444.4689+0.65%6.13+38.06%0.1911✓0.66664k2022-08-12
ADACardanoCardano0.43820.441073+0.66%0.5407+23.39%0.0365✗1.2746.2M2022-08-12
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.28471.294+0.73%1.6851+31.17%0.0033✓1.42684k2022-08-12
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.049540.049922+0.77%0.10047+102.81%0.4216✓1.47793k2022-08-12
SOLSolanaSolana34.9435.2142+0.78%45.5+30.22%0.0077✓1.3284.4M2022-08-12
MANADecentralandEthereum0.814170.821462+0.90%1.0686+31.25%0.0109✓1.34433k2022-08-12
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.49440.498938+0.92%0.644+30.26%0.0277✓1.21579k2022-08-12
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.27242.2937+0.94%3.0168+32.76%0.0873✓0.991.2M2022-08-12
XTZTezosTezos1.51911.5335+0.95%1.9249+26.71%0.0139✗1.28603k2022-08-12
PROPropyEthereum0.820.829036+1.10%0.83+1.22%0.1311✗0.70114k2022-08-12
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum2.1852.2093+1.11%4.051+85.40%0.4356✓0.91105k2022-08-12
CTKShentuOsmosis0.7810.790024+1.16%1.013+29.71%0.0993✓0.791.5M2022-08-12
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000010530.000010656+1.19%0.0000127+20.61%0.0591✗1.241.2M2022-08-12
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.22740.230173+1.22%0.2787+22.56%0.0471✗1.26185k2022-08-12
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum13.3713.5423+1.29%18.66+39.57%0.0645✓1.361.3M2022-08-12
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.10270.104029+1.29%0.1304+26.97%0.0191✓1.10388k2022-08-12
BANDBandEthereum1.2851.3019+1.32%1.801+40.16%0.0514✓1.45387k2022-08-12
LPTLivepeerEthereum8.128.2351+1.42%12.4+52.71%0.1868✓1.18288k2022-08-12
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain1.74771.7743+1.52%3.4443+97.08%0.5017✓0.86857k2022-08-12
AMPAmpEthereum0.008880.009015+1.52%0.00838-5.63%0.2465✗0.921.2M2022-08-12
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.026730.02715+1.57%0.04843+81.18%0.3376✓1.2821k2022-08-12
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.11210.113916+1.62%0.1745+55.66%0.2373✓1.004.0M2022-08-12
FILFilecoinFilecoin5.2955.3838+1.68%8.751+65.27%0.2708✓1.142.0M2022-08-12
NANOnanopayBase0.8632120.878779+1.80%1.1083+28.39%0.0407✓1.0181k2022-08-12
COTICOTIEthereum0.08680.088392+1.83%0.1237+42.51%0.0812✓1.35576k2022-08-12
BTTCBTTC8.40e-78.56e-7+1.89%0.00000103+22.62%0.0258✓0.855.8M2022-08-12
RUNETHORChainTHORChain2.12.1401+1.91%2.964+41.14%0.0067✓1.6984k2022-08-12
ZENHorizenBase15.2915.5873+1.94%21.35+39.63%0.0472✓1.4277k2022-08-12
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0027460.0028+1.97%0.004523+64.71%0.2840✓1.041.3M2022-08-12
SPELLSpellEthereum0.00093240.000951073+2.00%0.001509+61.87%0.2201✓1.282.0M2022-08-12
KSMKusamaHydration49.0650.0788+2.08%61.14+24.62%0.0214✗1.17247k2022-08-12
BRISEBitgertEthereum3.58e-73.66e-7+2.16%3.20e-7-10.73%0.3401✗1.09465k2022-08-12
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.122480.125183+2.21%0.18299+49.40%0.0755✓1.61155k2022-08-12
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.285.3983+2.24%4.7972-9.14%0.1528✗0.18335k2022-08-12
GALAGALAEthereum0.04880.049914+2.28%0.066+35.25%0.0002✓1.48108k2022-08-12
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.4171.4499+2.32%2.034+43.54%0.0572✓1.49173k2022-08-12
XECeCashnative0.000038640.000039538+2.32%0.00004784+23.81%0.0380✗1.211.9M2022-08-12
STEEMSteemnative0.20490.209804+2.39%0.2777+35.53%0.0527✓1.21731k2022-08-12
MOVRMoonriverBase11.981412.2698+2.41%17.1241+42.92%0.1091✓1.19289k2022-08-12
ASTRAstarEthereum0.04260.043627+2.41%0.0502+17.84%0.1155✗1.368,3162022-08-12
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum1.73941.782+2.45%2.3981+37.87%0.0623✓1.2536k2022-08-12
FTTFTXEthereum2525.6235+2.49%31.22+24.88%0.0213✓0.9311.0M2022-08-12
LRCLoopringEthereum0.36920.378494+2.52%0.476+28.93%0.0226✓1.3494k2022-08-12
QTUMQtumQtum2.72412.7985+2.73%4.2925+57.57%0.2202✓1.1030k2022-08-12
XLMStellarStellar0.1052750.108284+2.86%0.126413+20.08%0.0364✗1.018.4M2022-08-12
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.2830910.291332+2.91%0.388363+37.19%0.0502✓1.261.8M2022-08-12
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.006290.006474+2.92%0.00892+41.81%0.1334✓0.99392k2022-08-12
UOSUltraEthereum0.291830.300594+3.00%0.39278+34.59%0.0301✓1.26445k2022-08-12
DASHDashDash42.3943.7102+3.11%56.16+32.48%0.0408✓1.11632k2022-08-12
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.09030.093127+3.13%0.127+40.64%0.1561✓0.82150k2022-08-12
GTGateEthereum3.95944.0841+3.15%5.044+27.39%0.0765✓0.711.1M2022-08-12
BTCBitcoinBitcoin20,220.2320,888.93+3.31%24,415.18+20.75%0.0325✗1.00453.1M2022-08-12
PHAPHALAEthereum0.10280.10624+3.35%0.139+35.21%0.0857✓0.976,6852022-08-12
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.2820.291599+3.40%0.329+16.67%0.0748✗1.04575k2022-08-12
DOTPolkadotPolkadot6.4646.6882+3.47%9.484+46.72%0.1174✓1.2310.3M2022-08-12
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.5940.614649+3.48%0.88+48.15%0.1819✓0.94405k2022-08-12
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.09380.097078+3.49%0.1472+56.93%0.1626✓1.352.5M2022-08-12
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum8.879.1836+3.54%16.03+80.72%0.2822✓1.461.1M2022-08-12
SKLSKALEEthereum0.04280.044363+3.65%0.0733+71.26%0.2494✓1.34855k2022-08-12
LTCLitecoinLitecoin49.551.3108+3.66%62.95+27.17%0.0166✓1.1716.5M2022-08-12
STXStacksnative0.37740.391541+3.75%0.5099+35.11%0.0254✓1.27405k2022-08-12
ETHEthereumEthereum1,114.261,158.07+3.93%1,959.91+75.89%0.3031✓1.18326.5M2022-08-12
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.18230.189582+3.99%0.2537+39.17%0.0173✓1.45136k2022-08-12
LSKLiskEthereum1.0141.0546+4.00%1.2878+27.00%0.0055✓1.0954k2022-08-12
XMRMoneroMonero124.11129.1005+4.02%166.92+34.49%0.0446✓1.131.3M2022-08-12
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0618380.06446+4.24%0.072322+16.95%0.1145✗1.222.1M2022-08-12
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0119380.012448+4.27%0.01628+36.37%0.1143✓0.821.3M2022-08-12
XVGVergenative0.00340.003556+4.58%0.00392+15.29%0.1573✗1.35664k2022-08-12
FLOWFlownative1.5111.581+4.63%2.945+94.90%0.3935✓1.21287k2022-08-12
SCSiacoinnative0.00390.004084+4.72%0.00511+31.03%0.0317✓1.36153k2022-08-12
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.6030.631693+4.76%0.741+22.89%0.1307✗1.54129k2022-08-12
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum20,219.9021,223.28+4.96%24,153.80+19.46%0.0567✗0.9948k2022-08-12
CVCCivicEthereum0.13550.142428+5.11%0.1752+29.30%0.0297✓1.2696k2022-08-12
TRXTRONTron0.0662310.069712+5.26%0.070487+6.43%0.1439✗0.82462k2022-08-12
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash102.54108.3098+5.63%143.1+39.56%0.0673✓1.124.8M2022-08-12
CELLCellframeEthereum0.23910.252861+5.76%0.4449+86.07%0.3494✓1.1433k2022-08-12
ETCEthereum Classicnative14.4115.2648+5.93%43.41+201.25%0.8235✓1.181.3M2022-08-12
KCSKuCoinnative8.9379.5077+6.39%10.654+19.21%0.0962✗1.112.8M2022-08-12
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.05030.053529+6.42%0.0827+64.41%0.2886✓0.78204k2022-08-12
ZECZcashZcash54.9258.76+6.99%77.34+40.82%0.0258✓1.321.7M2022-08-12
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.07410.079873+7.79%0.104+40.35%0.0320✓1.236,9262022-08-12
NEXONEXOEthereum0.6060.654155+7.95%0.942+55.45%0.1355✓1.22874k2022-08-12
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.46030.499521+8.52%0.6074+31.96%0.0165✓1.12311k2022-08-12
SUNSun TokenTron0.0055490.006022+8.54%0.006893+24.23%0.0382✓0.923,1492022-08-12
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.