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2022-07-09 · +30d

gru_s1 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 181 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.0986
181 of 181 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+9.28%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
55.8%
in alpha space · 59.1% on raw price
BTC over horizon
+10.34%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (181 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
LUNATerraTerra 20.000110460.000095148-13.86%0.00009929-10.11%0.1494✓1.95766k2022-08-08
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.7510.656191-12.62%0.841+11.98%0.1008✓1.503,2002022-08-08
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.197120.179105-9.14%0.19653-0.30%0.1976✓2.958572022-08-08
ORCAOrcaSolana0.80890.744733-7.93%0.9875+22.08%0.1213✗1.63160k2022-08-08
NMRNumeraireEthereum16.6615.3439-7.90%21.84+31.09%0.2522✗1.03501k2022-08-08
ARPAARPAEthereum0.04140.038239-7.64%0.0454+9.66%0.0468✓1.27134k2022-08-08
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.8590.794416-7.52%0.898+4.54%0.0649✓1.9112.4M2022-08-08
GMTGMTEthereum1.0010.933645-6.73%0.944-5.69%0.1675✓1.81635k2022-08-08
FORTFortaEthereum0.23690.221138-6.65%0.3126+31.95%0.2477✗1.00440k2022-08-08
DIADIAEthereum0.464260.435117-6.28%0.48293+4.02%0.0333✓0.7255k2022-08-08
OGOG Fan TokenSolana3.5633.3409-6.23%6.031+69.27%0.5328✗0.592.2M2022-08-08
TRBTellor TributesEthereum16.3615.3441-6.21%30.04+83.62%0.5077✗1.67463k2022-08-08
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.0342.8507-6.04%4.125+35.96%0.3071✗0.632.5M2022-08-08
AVTAventusEthereum1.451.3715-5.41%1.55+6.90%0.0930✗0.30575k2022-08-08
STORJStorjEthereum0.732720.694888-5.16%0.69895-4.61%0.1570✓1.66108k2022-08-08
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.42970.409082-4.80%0.561+30.56%0.2174✗1.00202k2022-08-08
SNXSynthetixEthereum2.5952.4754-4.61%4.095+57.80%0.3299✗1.763.4M2022-08-08
ELAElastosEthereum1.6111.5462-4.02%2.06+27.87%0.1885✗1.00180k2022-08-08
GITCOINGITCOIN2.68542.5781-4.00%3.0082+12.02%0.0074✓1.644,8022022-08-08
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood3.213.0871-3.83%3.05-4.98%0.0503✓0.3982k2022-08-08
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.09320.089786-3.66%0.0896-3.86%0.1313✓1.31179k2022-08-08
METISMetisEthereum22.4721.6476-3.66%45.63+103.07%0.6473✗1.00110k2022-08-08
DYDXdYdXCosmos2.1272.0498-3.63%2.498+17.44%0.0530✗1.47123k2022-08-08
XVSVenusEthereum5.255.0663-3.50%6.92+31.81%0.1649✗1.491.4M2022-08-08
QNTQuantEthereum8582.0754-3.44%128.79+51.52%0.3534✗0.992.4M2022-08-08
API3Api3Ethereum2.0081.9389-3.44%2.141+6.62%0.0335✓1.35997k2022-08-08
FIDABonfidaSolana0.4680.452174-3.38%0.553+18.16%0.0918✗1.1111k2022-08-08
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.2610.252188-3.38%0.2614+0.15%0.0625✓1.0054k2022-08-08
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0217870.021056-3.35%0.023579+8.23%0.0113✓1.048342022-08-08
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.019530.018947-2.99%0.01763-9.73%0.1466✓0.76414k2022-08-08
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.02420.02348-2.97%0.03513+45.17%0.2365✗1.6919.6M2022-08-08
UNIUniswapEthereum6.4486.258-2.95%8.791+36.34%0.2063✗1.365.4M2022-08-08
OPTIMOptimism0.5730.557007-2.79%1.899+231.41%1.0591✗1.701.5M2022-08-08
C98Coin98Ethereum0.52150.507043-2.77%0.5796+11.14%0.0257✓1.1074k2022-08-08
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.51190.498018-2.71%0.42203-17.56%0.3203✓1.571.6M2022-08-08
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana3.253.1624-2.69%5.02+54.46%0.3934✗0.70770k2022-08-08
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.00750.980619-2.67%1.0662+5.83%0.0392✓1.25252k2022-08-08
METRONOMEMETRONOME0.841080.819314-2.59%1.1739+39.57%0.2753✗0.862472022-08-08
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.07520.073264-2.57%0.0737-1.99%0.1010✓1.0999k2022-08-08
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.072640.070785-2.55%0.08965+23.42%0.1575✗0.802,3812022-08-08
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.103020.100453-2.49%0.08629-16.24%0.2504✓1.00343k2022-08-08
BORABORAKlay Token0.310730.303697-2.26%0.36941+18.88%0.0606✗1.382,7752022-08-08
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana6.376.2317-2.17%8.84+38.78%0.3007✗0.50872k2022-08-08
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.2720.266387-2.06%0.23-15.44%0.2990✓1.551.1M2022-08-08
WOOWOOEthereum0.19840.194321-2.06%0.2677+34.93%0.1857✗1.373,2022022-08-08
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.652.5965-2.02%3.02+13.96%0.0041✓1.58255k2022-08-08
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.4320.423752-1.91%0.42996-0.47%0.1083✓1.25155k2022-08-08
COMPCompoundEthereum55.5754.5747-1.79%62.01+11.59%0.0127✓1.4328k2022-08-08
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana3.823.7529-1.76%5.62+47.12%0.3421✗0.63778k2022-08-08
IMXImmutableEthereum0.97090.953992-1.74%1.2133+24.97%0.0950✗1.482.1M2022-08-08
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0164220.016137-1.74%0.018974+15.54%0.1070✗0.56337k2022-08-08
UMAUMAEthereum2.7092.6636-1.68%3.052+12.66%0.0197✗1.181.0M2022-08-08
XYMSymbolnative0.0525910.051719-1.66%0.05725+8.86%0.0378✗0.6515k2022-08-08
DODODODOEthereum0.14610.143686-1.65%0.1804+23.48%0.1016✗1.282.8M2022-08-08
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum6.9626.8522-1.58%8.259+18.63%0.0548✗1.345.5M2022-08-08
RADRadworksEthereum1.741.7131-1.55%2.74+57.47%0.3565✗1.15114k2022-08-08
HIVEHivenative0.48780.480489-1.50%0.6064+24.31%0.1070✗1.281.2M2022-08-08
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.028310.027903-1.44%0.03333+17.73%0.0170✗1.632,0362022-08-08
BFCBifrostEthereum0.060880.060059-1.35%0.08557+40.56%0.2182✗1.3827k2022-08-08
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.80090.791087-1.23%1.1662+45.61%0.2847✗1.054.5M2022-08-08
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.011150.011015-1.21%0.01044-6.37%0.1580✓1.065.5M2022-08-08
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana4.134.0804-1.20%5.71+38.26%0.2723✗0.65721k2022-08-08
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos8.988.8775-1.14%11.817+31.59%0.1535✗1.3513.7M2022-08-08
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.4190.414267-1.13%0.4659+11.19%0.0427✓1.63208k2022-08-08
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.571.553-1.09%1.85+17.83%0.0299✗1.48338k2022-08-08
CTSICartesiEthereum0.16040.158822-0.98%0.1759+9.66%0.0294✓1.34355k2022-08-08
YFIyearn.financeEthereum6,497.216,434.09-0.97%11,448.81+76.21%0.4462✗1.324.5M2022-08-08
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.3862.3638-0.93%2.9+21.54%0.0658✗1.4167k2022-08-08
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV57.01856.5204-0.87%62.317+9.29%0.0151✗0.84525k2022-08-08
CHRChromiaEthereum0.19510.193596-0.77%0.2282+16.97%0.0139✗1.532,7942022-08-08
DKAdKargoEthereum0.046980.046637-0.73%0.05269+12.15%0.0290✗0.955,7282022-08-08
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.8013.7756-0.67%4.707+23.84%0.1562✗0.651.8M2022-08-08
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.17332.1589-0.66%3.2115+47.77%0.3152✗0.831.2M2022-08-08
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.14630.145346-0.65%0.1447-1.09%0.1394✓1.3734k2022-08-08
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.04960.049305-0.60%0.0543+9.48%0.0249✓1.23266k2022-08-08
SANDThe SandboxEthereum1.2241.2171-0.56%1.351+10.38%0.0101✓1.161.7M2022-08-08
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana2.9482.9329-0.51%4.04+37.04%0.2440✗0.78622k2022-08-08
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.3411.3348-0.46%1.438+7.23%0.0603✓1.373.0M2022-08-08
APEApeCoinEthereum5.0074.9851-0.44%7.314+46.08%0.2082✗1.7816.6M2022-08-08
LCXLCXEthereum0.06630.066026-0.41%0.0607-8.45%0.2276✓1.46325k2022-08-08
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.5570.555383-0.29%0.697+25.13%0.0902✗1.3999k2022-08-08
LINKChainlinkEthereum6.486.4614-0.29%8.607+32.82%0.1603✗1.2921.1M2022-08-08
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.28880.288164-0.22%0.3474+20.29%0.0686✗1.203.0M2022-08-08
XEMNEMnative0.0420820.042067-0.04%0.052476+24.70%0.1056✗1.1712k2022-08-08
CBKCobakEthereum1.011.0101+0.02%1.1648+15.33%0.0277✓1.171,6262022-08-08
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.00690.006912+0.18%0.0063-8.70%0.1524✗0.61100k2022-08-08
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.32140.322128+0.23%0.3629+12.91%0.0023✓1.199.4M2022-08-08
CHZChilizEthereum0.10310.103334+0.23%0.1526+48.01%0.2785✓1.13540k2022-08-08
AUCTIONBounceEthereum5.975.9874+0.29%10.19+70.69%0.4012✓1.33278k2022-08-08
DEXEDeXeEthereum2.892.9002+0.35%3.99+38.06%0.2099✓1.11560k2022-08-08
MANADecentralandEthereum0.906390.909629+0.36%1.0855+19.76%0.0438✓1.35557k2022-08-08
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche19.919.986+0.43%27.92+40.30%0.1850✓1.5229.2M2022-08-08
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.053220.053464+0.46%0.11272+111.80%0.5994✓1.49902k2022-08-08
GLMGolemEthereum0.25260.253769+0.46%0.2733+8.19%0.0385✗1.1463k2022-08-08
SUSHISushiEthereum1.241.247+0.57%1.56+25.81%0.0748✓1.52755k2022-08-08
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000011610.000011695+0.73%0.00001229+5.86%0.0747✗1.261.2M2022-08-08
MINAMina Protocolnative0.6980.703123+0.73%0.894+28.08%0.1108✓1.32172k2022-08-08
BANDBandEthereum1.4721.4833+0.77%1.875+27.38%0.0912✓1.45453k2022-08-08
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum2.5272.5465+0.77%2.626+3.92%0.0599✗0.92148k2022-08-08
SOLSolanaSolana38.0838.3822+0.79%42.2+10.82%0.0350✗1.3290.8M2022-08-08
CTKShentuOsmosis0.8510.858127+0.84%1.084+27.38%0.1533✓0.821.6M2022-08-08
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.021130.021321+0.90%0.029+37.25%0.2019✓1.0796k2022-08-08
RUNETHORChainTHORChain2.4892.5128+0.96%2.889+16.07%0.0262✗1.6890k2022-08-08
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.12650.12771+0.96%0.1674+32.33%0.1726✓1.004.0M2022-08-08
ADACardanoCardano0.47770.482323+0.97%0.5372+12.46%0.0192✗1.2948.1M2022-08-08
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.24640.248879+1.01%0.2624+6.49%0.0746✗1.30220k2022-08-08
XTZTezosTezos1.62441.6413+1.04%1.894+16.60%0.0179✓1.27582k2022-08-08
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.11430.115546+1.09%0.1267+10.85%0.0166✗1.10401k2022-08-08
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana4.624.6706+1.10%6.04+30.74%0.1924✓0.66836k2022-08-08
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum15.1415.3067+1.10%18.67+23.32%0.0647✓1.361.5M2022-08-08
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.39211.4074+1.10%1.6087+15.56%0.0021✓1.34727k2022-08-08
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.51980.526055+1.20%0.6657+28.07%0.1145✓1.23642k2022-08-08
LPTLivepeerEthereum9.59.6165+1.23%11.72+23.37%0.0827✓1.17316k2022-08-08
PROPropyEthereum0.870.880879+1.25%0.79-9.20%0.1797✗0.72133k2022-08-08
AAVEAaveEthereum82.0683.1153+1.29%102.58+25.01%0.0483✓1.658.5M2022-08-08
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.44752.4799+1.33%2.9975+22.47%0.0859✓1.051.3M2022-08-08
COTICOTIEthereum0.09660.098019+1.47%0.1199+24.12%0.0669✓1.37701k2022-08-08
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.030170.030621+1.50%0.0332+10.04%0.0478✗1.3124k2022-08-08
BTTCBTTC9.10e-79.24e-7+1.54%9.90e-7+8.79%0.0151✓0.855.7M2022-08-08
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.69635.7844+1.55%4.8-15.73%0.2072✗0.21291k2022-08-08
FILFilecoinFilecoin5.7965.8889+1.60%8.73+50.62%0.2788✓1.172.3M2022-08-08
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.01421.0306+1.61%1.4281+40.81%0.1897✓1.394.5M2022-08-08
SPELLSpellEthereum0.00098870.001006+1.75%0.001192+20.58%0.0410✓1.312.6M2022-08-08
AMPAmpEthereum0.009130.009293+1.78%0.00837-8.32%0.1985✗0.951.2M2022-08-08
ZENHorizenBase16.8817.1892+1.83%19.15+13.45%0.0317✗1.4272k2022-08-08
STEEMSteemnative0.25450.259174+1.84%0.2624+3.10%0.1051✗1.19682k2022-08-08
NANOnanopayBase0.9117270.929284+1.93%1.0843+18.93%0.0512✓1.0597k2022-08-08
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain1.83021.8659+1.95%3.4773+90.00%0.5401✓0.84954k2022-08-08
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.132720.135361+1.99%0.17585+32.50%0.1016✓1.63186k2022-08-08
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum1.9381.9791+2.12%2.385+23.07%0.0633✓1.2540k2022-08-08
XECeCashnative0.000041620.000042533+2.19%0.00004589+10.26%0.0466✗1.252.5M2022-08-08
GALAGALAEthereum0.05540.056621+2.20%0.062+11.91%0.0565✗1.50131k2022-08-08
KSMKusamaHydration53.154.3335+2.32%64.6+21.66%0.0566✓1.18396k2022-08-08
FTTFTXEthereum27.1327.7707+2.36%31.49+16.07%0.0333✓0.9411.6M2022-08-08
DASHDashDash47.7948.9524+2.43%56.22+17.64%0.0303✓1.10698k2022-08-08
LRCLoopringEthereum0.40620.416508+2.54%0.4704+15.81%0.0137✓1.3895k2022-08-08
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.007110.007293+2.57%0.00911+28.13%0.1235✓1.01412k2022-08-08
MOVRMoonriverBase13.001213.3362+2.58%19.4666+49.73%0.2593✓1.21316k2022-08-08
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.331050.33966+2.60%0.363104+9.68%0.0579✗1.272.3M2022-08-08
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0029320.00301+2.64%0.003433+17.09%0.0289✓1.041.4M2022-08-08
BRISEBitgertEthereum4.00e-74.11e-7+2.72%3.37e-7-15.82%0.3078✗1.11566k2022-08-08
QTUMQtumQtum3.0293.1121+2.74%4.1656+37.53%0.1821✓1.1132k2022-08-08
PHAPHALAEthereum0.11260.115707+2.76%0.1317+16.96%0.0303✓1.017,0862022-08-08
ASTRAstarEthereum0.04530.046582+2.83%0.0517+14.13%0.0329✗1.3910k2022-08-08
STXStacksnative0.41460.426569+2.89%0.5085+22.65%0.0505✓1.27345k2022-08-08
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.4491.4911+2.91%2.058+42.03%0.1761✓1.48169k2022-08-08
XLMStellarStellar0.1126510.116074+3.04%0.130156+15.54%0.0148✓1.019.3M2022-08-08
DOTPolkadotPolkadot7.2497.473+3.09%9.276+27.96%0.0933✓1.2511.8M2022-08-08
LTCLitecoinLitecoin54.0555.759+3.16%62.61+15.84%0.0000✓1.1818.8M2022-08-08
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.6950.716988+3.16%0.835+20.14%0.0617✓0.92419k2022-08-08
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum10.110.4284+3.25%16.74+65.74%0.3309✓1.451.1M2022-08-08
UOSUltraEthereum0.290220.299659+3.25%0.33107+14.08%0.0261✓1.28465k2022-08-08
LSKLiskEthereum1.12151.1587+3.32%1.2304+9.71%0.0487✗1.1065k2022-08-08
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.10550.109+3.32%0.1491+41.33%0.1809✓1.352.8M2022-08-08
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.09680.100132+3.44%0.1545+59.61%0.3550✓0.80167k2022-08-08
SKLSKALEEthereum0.04980.051533+3.48%0.068+36.55%0.1434✓1.36922k2022-08-08
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0694940.07193+3.51%0.070056+0.81%0.1461✗1.222.2M2022-08-08
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.20280.210022+3.56%0.2285+12.67%0.0623✗1.49151k2022-08-08
BTCBitcoinBitcoin21,583.9922,356.88+3.58%23,815.65+10.34%0.0352✓1.00493.8M2022-08-08
GTGateEthereum3.94634.089+3.62%4.9055+24.31%0.1110✓0.721.2M2022-08-08
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.2840.295112+3.91%0.339+19.37%0.0376✓1.03663k2022-08-08
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0131180.013654+4.08%0.016131+22.97%0.0849✓0.831.4M2022-08-08
ETHEthereumEthereum1,216.781,267.06+4.13%1,777.36+46.07%0.2234✓1.17342.2M2022-08-08
XMRMoneroMonero127.29132.556+4.14%167.1+31.28%0.1187✓1.151.3M2022-08-08
FLOWFlownative1.6971.7713+4.38%3.023+78.14%0.4167✓1.20297k2022-08-08
CVCCivicEthereum0.15090.157601+4.44%0.163+8.02%0.0928✗1.29105k2022-08-08
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.6890.7211+4.66%0.767+11.32%0.0949✗1.59222k2022-08-08
XVGVergenative0.003440.003613+5.03%0.00377+9.59%0.0929✗1.38670k2022-08-08
SCSiacoinnative0.004150.004366+5.20%0.00474+14.22%0.0528✗1.37169k2022-08-08
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum21,554.3022,743.13+5.52%23,846.60+10.64%0.0500✓0.9946k2022-08-08
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash111.36117.5223+5.53%143.54+28.90%0.0880✓1.145.7M2022-08-08
CELLCellframeEthereum0.25940.274605+5.86%0.5111+97.03%0.5056✓1.1831k2022-08-08
TRXTRONTron0.0697990.073905+5.88%0.070047+0.36%0.1363✗0.84531k2022-08-08
ETCEthereum Classicnative15.8516.783+5.89%38.06+140.13%0.7027✓1.181.8M2022-08-08
KCSKuCoinnative9.63710.2695+6.56%10.767+11.73%0.0624✓1.113.1M2022-08-08
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.05310.056704+6.79%0.0826+55.56%0.2993✓0.78213k2022-08-08
ZECZcashZcash61.2165.4055+6.85%77.53+26.66%0.0383✓1.341.8M2022-08-08
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.0820.087761+7.03%0.1038+26.59%0.0439✓1.267,1372022-08-08
SUNSun TokenTron0.0059060.00637+7.87%0.006716+13.72%0.0449✓0.993,1492022-08-08
NEXONEXOEthereum0.6740.729681+8.26%0.774+14.84%0.0606✓1.22952k2022-08-08
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.50550.549286+8.66%0.6088+20.44%0.0083✓1.13249k2022-08-08
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.