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2022-07-04 · +30d

gru_s1 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 181 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.1001
180 of 181 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+14.41%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
55.0%
in alpha space · 56.1% on raw price
BTC over horizon
+12.93%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (181 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
LUNATerraTerra 20.000128140.000106871-16.60%0.00009997-21.98%0.2938✓1.87951k2022-08-03
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.6560.571861-12.83%0.78+18.90%0.1259✓1.522,8402022-08-03
NMRNumeraireEthereum19.5417.086-12.56%21.98+12.49%0.1200✓1.08247k2022-08-03
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.8620.794388-7.84%0.816-5.34%0.2165✓2.0016.4M2022-08-03
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.155970.143938-7.71%0.18804+20.56%0.1457✗1.008412022-08-03
ARPAARPAEthereum0.03810.035257-7.46%0.0413+8.40%0.0000✓1.30168k2022-08-03
SNXSynthetixEthereum2.8392.6314-7.31%3.71+30.68%0.1204✗1.833.5M2022-08-03
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana2.9932.7943-6.64%3.826+27.83%0.2338✗0.664.3M2022-08-03
OGOG Fan TokenSolana3.3123.0923-6.63%4.981+50.39%0.4018✗0.622.8M2022-08-03
AVTAventusEthereum1.491.3938-6.45%1.52+2.01%0.0479✓0.32648k2022-08-03
FORTFortaEthereum0.25810.242526-6.03%0.3183+23.32%0.1503✗1.00695k2022-08-03
STORJStorjEthereum0.671710.634026-5.61%0.64899-3.38%0.1776✓1.6599k2022-08-03
API3Api3Ethereum2.0741.9613-5.43%1.997-3.71%0.1483✓1.371.1M2022-08-03
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.021060.019925-5.39%0.01768-16.05%0.2139✓0.78417k2022-08-03
ELAElastosEthereum1.3921.3178-5.33%1.799+29.24%0.1896✗1.00167k2022-08-03
GMTGMTEthereum0.8870.839894-5.31%0.905+2.03%0.1472✓1.82813k2022-08-03
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.3130.296465-5.28%0.213-31.95%0.5332✓1.671.1M2022-08-03
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.26240.248822-5.17%0.2612-0.46%0.0731✓1.0068k2022-08-03
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood3.183.0351-4.56%3.17-0.31%0.0781✓1.0087k2022-08-03
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.025010.023876-4.54%0.03749+49.90%0.2388✗1.7524.4M2022-08-03
FISStafiEthereum0.2980.284495-4.53%–pending––1.009832022-08-03
GITCOINGITCOIN2.60322.4885-4.41%2.7381+5.18%0.1137✓1.728,9122022-08-03
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0210460.020174-4.14%0.023056+9.55%0.0019✓1.081,4232022-08-03
XVSVenusEthereum54.793-4.14%6.43+28.60%0.1077✗1.531.5M2022-08-03
DIADIAEthereum0.391450.376184-3.90%0.46564+18.95%0.1259✗0.7271k2022-08-03
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.00680.969921-3.66%1.0178+1.09%0.1126✓1.32229k2022-08-03
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.08680.083639-3.64%0.0861-0.81%0.1377✓1.37171k2022-08-03
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.642.5467-3.53%2.81+6.44%0.1009✓1.64301k2022-08-03
XYMSymbolnative0.053320.051462-3.49%0.055731+4.52%0.0018✓0.6723k2022-08-03
C98Coin98Ethereum0.49330.476216-3.46%0.4744-3.83%0.1254✓1.0093k2022-08-03
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana6.135.9203-3.42%9.55+55.79%0.4163✗0.51960k2022-08-03
DYDXdYdXCosmos1.8931.8285-3.41%2.246+18.65%0.0205✓1.5299k2022-08-03
OPTIMOptimism0.560.541445-3.31%1.993+255.89%1.0937✗1.721.7M2022-08-03
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.025180.024358-3.26%0.0308+22.32%0.1130✗1.002,0362022-08-03
ORCAOrcaSolana0.87420.846138-3.21%1.0027+14.70%0.0353✗1.1189k2022-08-03
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.066540.064498-3.07%0.07828+17.64%0.0949✗0.812,1062022-08-03
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0163870.015892-3.02%0.019949+21.74%0.1566✗0.58372k2022-08-03
BORABORAKlay Token0.304450.295654-2.89%0.34922+14.71%0.0058✓1.423,4742022-08-03
METRONOMEMETRONOME0.823840.800264-2.86%1.0372+25.90%0.1547✗0.862912022-08-03
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana3.173.08-2.84%5.08+60.25%0.4140✗0.71971k2022-08-03
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.78190.760209-2.77%1.0343+32.28%0.1757✗1.094.0M2022-08-03
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.40740.396137-2.76%0.39422-3.24%0.1626✓1.30150k2022-08-03
IMXImmutableEthereum0.9550.929421-2.68%1.0834+13.45%0.0341✓1.542.5M2022-08-03
TRBTellor TributesEthereum12.0211.6984-2.68%27.64+129.95%0.6604✗1.64463k2022-08-03
UNIUniswapEthereum5.3455.2026-2.66%8.907+66.64%0.3696✗1.385.5M2022-08-03
UMAUMAEthereum2.7412.6731-2.48%2.964+8.14%0.0475✓1.24969k2022-08-03
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.15452.1013-2.47%3.2654+51.56%0.3372✗0.851.7M2022-08-03
WOOWOOEthereum0.18310.178866-2.31%0.207+13.05%0.0218✓1.383,4882022-08-03
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.753.6701-2.13%4.478+19.41%0.1165✗0.682.2M2022-08-03
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.3392.2895-2.12%2.695+15.22%0.0126✓1.4468k2022-08-03
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.444070.434714-2.11%0.40592-8.59%0.2647✓1.612.0M2022-08-03
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana43.9185-2.04%5.82+45.50%0.3148✗0.66943k2022-08-03
RADRadworksEthereum1.651.6172-1.99%2.47+49.70%0.2824✗1.16152k2022-08-03
CHRChromiaEthereum0.18890.185187-1.97%0.1999+5.82%0.0452✓1.002,9732022-08-03
SANDThe SandboxEthereum1.2021.1787-1.94%1.259+4.74%0.0793✓1.191.7M2022-08-03
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana3.653.584-1.81%6.43+76.16%0.5065✗0.641.0M2022-08-03
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.0470.046162-1.78%0.0546+16.17%0.0095✓1.30253k2022-08-03
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV55.63354.6494-1.77%60.311+8.41%0.0062✓0.86928k2022-08-03
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos8.7448.591-1.75%10.165+16.25%0.0025✓1.3615.0M2022-08-03
LCXLCXEthereum0.06060.059542-1.75%0.0587-3.14%0.1939✓1.48367k2022-08-03
FIDABonfidaSolana0.3960.3891-1.74%0.517+30.56%0.1438✗1.1511k2022-08-03
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.39280.386059-1.72%0.4399+11.99%0.0760✓1.70202k2022-08-03
YFIyearn.financeEthereum6,353.476,247.48-1.67%10,725.04+68.81%0.3787✗1.334.4M2022-08-03
COMPCompoundEthereum49.1948.4145-1.58%55.76+13.36%0.0345✓1.4528k2022-08-03
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.521.4969-1.52%1.6+5.26%0.1184✓1.52386k2022-08-03
HIVEHivenative0.45480.448236-1.44%0.596+31.05%0.1243✗1.321.2M2022-08-03
DODODODOEthereum0.12870.126918-1.38%0.1708+32.71%0.1350✗1.332.9M2022-08-03
LINKChainlinkEthereum6.4276.3408-1.34%7.285+13.35%0.0199✓1.3128.0M2022-08-03
APEApeCoinEthereum4.9154.8519-1.28%7.168+45.84%0.1699✗1.8116.0M2022-08-03
MANADecentralandEthereum0.905150.893565-1.28%0.96+6.06%0.0968✓1.39611k2022-08-03
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.010270.01014-1.27%0.00976-4.97%0.1613✓1.016.2M2022-08-03
XEMNEMnative0.0417250.041207-1.24%0.049291+18.13%0.0314✗1.2115k2022-08-03
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana2.8582.8245-1.17%3.978+39.19%0.2447✗0.80914k2022-08-03
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.291.2749-1.17%1.359+5.35%0.1091✓1.423.8M2022-08-03
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.27930.276079-1.15%0.32+14.57%0.0027✓1.243.1M2022-08-03
DKAdKargoEthereum0.044920.044454-1.04%0.04834+7.61%0.0358✓0.988,2962022-08-03
BFCBifrostEthereum0.056240.055707-0.95%0.08771+55.96%0.2873✗1.3729k2022-08-03
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.00670.006638-0.92%0.006698-0.03%0.0709✓0.66123k2022-08-03
CHZChilizEthereum0.1020.101116-0.87%0.1338+31.18%0.1369✗1.18566k2022-08-03
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.31930.316558-0.86%0.3267+2.32%0.1166✓1.2210.0M2022-08-03
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.041970.041661-0.74%0.04345+3.53%0.0842✓1.043,1732022-08-03
CTSICartesiEthereum0.15080.149789-0.67%0.1588+5.31%0.1118✓1.40541k2022-08-03
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.520.516676-0.64%0.633+21.73%0.0282✗1.4499k2022-08-03
CBKCobakEthereum0.930410.926032-0.47%1.1056+18.83%0.0323✗1.192,5102022-08-03
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.47912.4702-0.36%2.8485+14.90%0.0072✗1.111.6M2022-08-03
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum2.4242.4158-0.34%2.475+2.10%0.0952✓0.98157k2022-08-03
ADACardanoCardano0.4690.467836-0.25%0.5009+6.80%0.0930✓1.3363.0M2022-08-03
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.019950.019902-0.24%0.0213+6.77%0.0548✓1.0196k2022-08-03
PROPropyEthereum0.880.878909-0.12%0.74-15.91%0.2621✓0.74159k2022-08-03
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.11860.118457-0.12%0.1448+22.09%0.0769✗1.024.0M2022-08-03
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.72955.7243-0.09%5.0151-12.47%0.1575✓0.21285k2022-08-03
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.051110.051105-0.01%0.08121+58.89%0.2800✗1.511.1M2022-08-03
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.50520.505286+0.02%0.6036+19.48%0.0224✓1.28656k2022-08-03
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum14.8714.8799+0.07%17.17+15.47%0.0277✗1.401.5M2022-08-03
STEEMSteemnative0.2190.21935+0.16%0.2495+13.93%0.0179✗1.21731k2022-08-03
GLMGolemEthereum0.24110.241547+0.19%0.2598+7.76%0.0711✗1.1880k2022-08-03
SOLSolanaSolana36.6936.7647+0.20%38.55+5.07%0.1172✗1.3592.9M2022-08-03
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana4.524.5316+0.26%5.99+32.52%0.1971✓0.67939k2022-08-03
CTKShentuOsmosis0.8070.809214+0.27%1.125+39.41%0.2236✓0.871.6M2022-08-03
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.10520.105507+0.29%0.116+10.27%0.0438✗1.14478k2022-08-03
XTZTezosTezos1.53471.5395+0.31%1.7204+12.10%0.0480✗1.31654k2022-08-03
AMPAmpEthereum0.009370.009408+0.40%0.00819-12.59%0.2580✗0.981.2M2022-08-03
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.028290.028406+0.41%0.03127+10.53%0.0687✗1.3626k2022-08-03
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.22880.229743+0.41%0.2461+7.56%0.0933✗1.33236k2022-08-03
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.12420.124716+0.42%0.1349+8.62%0.0919✗1.4032k2022-08-03
BANDBandEthereum1.3561.3621+0.45%1.689+24.56%0.0330✓1.50453k2022-08-03
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum5.5855.61+0.45%7.861+40.75%0.1740✓1.346.0M2022-08-03
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche17.8917.9784+0.49%23.04+28.79%0.0624✓1.5329.4M2022-08-03
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0009910.000996354+0.54%0.001087+9.65%0.0759✗1.343.0M2022-08-03
AUCTIONBounceEthereum5.335.3596+0.56%10.73+101.31%0.5334✓1.32278k2022-08-03
GALAGALAEthereum0.05560.055913+0.56%0.0583+4.86%0.1446✗1.53136k2022-08-03
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain1.79751.8084+0.61%3.3577+86.80%0.5146✓0.861.3M2022-08-03
COTICOTIEthereum0.09470.095288+0.62%0.1109+17.11%0.0236✗1.44762k2022-08-03
QNTQuantEthereum60.5360.9332+0.67%105.18+73.77%0.4260✓0.992.2M2022-08-03
LRCLoopringEthereum0.40150.404245+0.68%0.4022+0.17%0.1789✗1.4395k2022-08-03
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000010480.000010562+0.78%0.00001183+12.88%0.0413✗1.27952k2022-08-03
MINAMina Protocolnative0.6510.656826+0.89%0.79+21.35%0.0231✓1.33169k2022-08-03
SUSHISushiEthereum1.091.0999+0.91%1.43+31.19%0.0733✓1.56749k2022-08-03
FILFilecoinFilecoin5.5455.6+0.99%8.087+45.84%0.2215✓1.202.3M2022-08-03
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum1.87881.8991+1.08%2.1759+15.81%0.0214✗1.3062k2022-08-03
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.29451.3095+1.16%1.4589+12.70%0.0483✗1.29767k2022-08-03
DEXEDeXeEthereum2.632.6611+1.18%3.905+48.48%0.2451✓1.14584k2022-08-03
BTTCBTTC8.70e-78.80e-7+1.20%9.60e-7+10.34%0.0181✗0.865.5M2022-08-03
LPTLivepeerEthereum8.58.6097+1.29%10.82+27.29%0.0818✓1.21374k2022-08-03
QTUMQtumQtum2.90942.9541+1.53%3.8986+34.00%0.1371✓1.1532k2022-08-03
XECeCashnative0.000039710.000040338+1.58%0.00004244+6.87%0.1057✗1.292.5M2022-08-03
XLMStellarStellar0.1111160.112887+1.59%0.114184+2.76%0.1156✗1.049.7M2022-08-03
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.006850.006965+1.69%0.00868+26.72%0.0968✓1.01417k2022-08-03
KSMKusamaHydration51.6452.5142+1.69%61.31+18.73%0.0095✓1.19505k2022-08-03
FTTFTXEthereum25.9126.3512+1.70%29.1+12.31%0.0161✓0.9512.2M2022-08-03
ASTRAstarEthereum0.04420.044978+1.76%0.0458+3.62%0.1521✗1.4012k2022-08-03
DASHDashDash44.1944.9834+1.80%48.77+10.36%0.0561✗1.13739k2022-08-03
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.3002110.30576+1.85%0.335893+11.89%0.0645✗1.302.5M2022-08-03
NANOnanopayBase0.8406230.856386+1.88%1.0243+21.85%0.0496✓1.0697k2022-08-03
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.124470.126846+1.91%0.16304+30.99%0.0520✓1.64181k2022-08-03
DOTPolkadotPolkadot7.167.2989+1.94%8.003+11.77%0.0622✗1.2713.1M2022-08-03
RUNETHORChainTHORChain2.1682.2113+2.00%2.672+23.25%0.0165✓1.69101k2022-08-03
PHAPHALAEthereum0.10640.108661+2.12%0.1288+21.05%0.0447✓1.036,7622022-08-03
GTGateEthereum4.07964.1682+2.17%4.5094+10.54%0.0122✓0.751.2M2022-08-03
STXStacksnative0.39390.402628+2.22%0.4663+18.38%0.0120✓1.31318k2022-08-03
MOVRMoonriverBase12.353912.6328+2.26%14.6221+18.36%0.0058✓1.25316k2022-08-03
ZENHorizenBase15.0215.3634+2.29%17.15+14.18%0.0638✗1.4365k2022-08-03
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.05040.051575+2.33%0.0682+35.32%0.1411✓1.1494k2022-08-03
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.2840.290727+2.37%0.332+16.90%0.0054✓1.05713k2022-08-03
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.09790.100324+2.48%0.118+20.53%0.0053✓1.383.2M2022-08-03
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.09830.10079+2.53%0.062-36.93%0.5890✗0.85188k2022-08-03
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0693040.07109+2.58%0.0662-4.48%0.2256✗1.272.1M2022-08-03
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.6360.652437+2.58%0.767+20.60%0.0442✓0.97412k2022-08-03
LTCLitecoinLitecoin52.253.5598+2.60%57.78+10.69%0.0704✗1.2018.7M2022-08-03
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum9.7810.0451+2.71%16.44+68.10%0.3101✓1.501.2M2022-08-03
LSKLiskEthereum1.051.0788+2.74%1.1385+8.43%0.0848✗1.1459k2022-08-03
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.002650.002726+2.86%0.003141+18.53%0.0122✓1.071.4M2022-08-03
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.19680.202547+2.92%0.2311+17.43%0.0465✗1.47155k2022-08-03
SKLSKALEEthereum0.04760.049002+2.95%0.0585+22.90%0.0057✓1.411.1M2022-08-03
UOSUltraEthereum0.257720.266109+3.26%0.30931+20.02%0.0050✓1.28480k2022-08-03
CRVCurve DAOEthereum0.86530.893812+3.30%1.334+54.17%0.2293✓1.414.0M2022-08-03
CVCCivicEthereum0.14810.152998+3.31%0.1552+4.79%0.1494✗1.35124k2022-08-03
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.3091.3527+3.34%2.024+54.62%0.2194✓1.51169k2022-08-03
AAVEAaveEthereum63.0665.1932+3.38%94.97+50.60%0.1750✓1.657.7M2022-08-03
BTCBitcoinBitcoin20,211.3520,900.94+3.41%22,825.00+12.93%0.0335✓1.00500.8M2022-08-03
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0122710.012706+3.54%0.015785+28.64%0.1137✓0.851.6M2022-08-03
FLOWFlownative1.6051.6632+3.62%1.84+14.64%0.0467✗1.21312k2022-08-03
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.6990.725034+3.72%0.686-1.86%0.2565✗1.65242k2022-08-03
XMRMoneroMonero123.81128.6254+3.89%157.11+26.90%0.0574✓1.171.3M2022-08-03
ETHEthereumEthereum1,149.981,195.39+3.95%1,618.82+40.77%0.1606✓1.17342.2M2022-08-03
CELLCellframeEthereum0.26670.277297+3.97%0.3182+19.31%0.0090✓1.2127k2022-08-03
BRISEBitgertEthereum3.55e-73.69e-7+4.04%3.49e-7-1.63%0.1802✗1.02603k2022-08-03
SCSiacoinnative0.00390.004065+4.22%0.00456+16.92%0.0576✗1.42176k2022-08-03
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash107.98112.8648+4.52%133.7+23.82%0.0293✓1.156.0M2022-08-03
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum20,210.1021,132.27+4.56%22,844.10+13.03%0.0421✓0.9943k2022-08-03
ETCEthereum Classicnative15.3916.1623+5.02%36.06+134.31%0.6527✓1.232.0M2022-08-03
XVGVergenative0.003170.003335+5.21%0.00373+17.67%0.0568✗1.39708k2022-08-03
TRXTRONTron0.0672290.07099+5.60%0.067799+0.85%0.1532✗0.88627k2022-08-03
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.05030.05325+5.86%0.0773+53.68%0.2774✓0.78222k2022-08-03
KCSKuCoinnative9.0139.5714+6.19%10.028+11.26%0.0927✗1.153.1M2022-08-03
ZECZcashZcash58.0761.7856+6.40%61.85+6.51%0.1632✗1.351.9M2022-08-03
SUNSun TokenTron0.0059960.006409+6.88%0.006208+3.54%0.1574✗1.033,8612022-08-03
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.0016870.001804+6.95%0.001704+1.01%0.1837✗1.0411k2022-08-03
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.07750.0834+7.61%0.0972+25.42%0.0003✓1.267,1822022-08-03
NEXONEXOEthereum0.6120.658616+7.62%0.744+21.57%0.0250✓1.21952k2022-08-03
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.49890.541652+8.57%0.5453+9.30%0.1322✗1.14188k2022-08-03
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.