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2022-06-30 · +30d

gru_s1 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 180 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.1670
180 of 180 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+11.19%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
54.4%
in alpha space · 40.8% on raw price
BTC over horizon
+18.34%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (180 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
LUNATerraTerra 20.000113070.000087837-22.32%0.00009812-13.22%0.2113✓1.91969k2022-07-30
NMRNumeraireEthereum24.5821.2912-13.38%17.19-30.07%0.3884✓1.04230k2022-07-30
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.7140.626314-12.28%0.84+17.65%0.0285✓1.572,9032022-07-30
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.8510.755814-11.19%0.884+3.88%0.1872✓2.0423.8M2022-07-30
GMTGMTEthereum0.8430.763461-9.44%0.976+15.78%0.0630✓1.83886k2022-07-30
OPTIMOptimism0.5450.493843-9.39%1.809+231.93%1.1300✗1.003.2M2022-07-30
FISStafiEthereum0.42050.385243-8.38%0.4352+3.50%0.0464✓1.009832022-07-30
OGOG Fan TokenSolana3.3913.1068-8.38%5.319+56.86%0.4359✗0.603.2M2022-07-30
C98Coin98Ethereum0.46390.425797-8.21%0.507+9.29%0.0062✓1.00100k2022-07-30
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.137080.125942-8.12%0.19234+40.31%0.2551✗1.008412022-07-30
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana3.63.32-7.78%5.59+55.28%0.4124✗0.651.2M2022-07-30
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.012.7782-7.70%3.749+24.55%0.1869✗0.675.2M2022-07-30
AVTAventusEthereum1.431.3252-7.33%1.51+5.59%0.0654✓0.39637k2022-07-30
STORJStorjEthereum0.699720.649212-7.22%0.67643-3.33%0.2398✓1.6799k2022-07-30
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.962.7509-7.06%2.86-3.38%0.2376✓1.64314k2022-07-30
GITCOINGITCOIN2.80722.6098-7.03%2.816+0.31%0.2178✓1.7512k2022-07-30
FORTFortaEthereum0.27150.252959-6.83%0.2969+9.36%0.0082✓1.001.0M2022-07-30
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.80130.748539-6.58%0.9505+18.62%0.0588✓1.073.6M2022-07-30
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood3.213.0006-6.52%3.19-0.62%0.1072✓1.00143k2022-07-30
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.471670.441392-6.42%0.43188-8.44%0.2959✓1.632.4M2022-07-30
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.5183.3199-5.63%4.24+20.52%0.1305✗0.682.5M2022-07-30
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.43660.412047-5.62%0.4587+5.06%0.1796✓1.70210k2022-07-30
SANDThe SandboxEthereum1.1231.0612-5.50%1.338+19.15%0.0409✓1.131.5M2022-07-30
DIADIAEthereum0.380650.360126-5.39%0.46142+21.22%0.1275✗0.71113k2022-07-30
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.02340.022187-5.18%0.03319+41.84%0.1059✗1.7628.8M2022-07-30
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.024440.023185-5.13%0.02975+21.73%0.0810✗1.002,1812022-07-30
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.2580.244817-5.11%0.216-16.28%0.4069✓1.671.2M2022-07-30
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.2591.1948-5.10%1.378+9.45%0.0989✓1.444.3M2022-07-30
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.392740.372711-5.10%0.40553+3.26%0.1393✓1.33143k2022-07-30
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.066920.06361-4.95%0.07785+16.33%0.0679✗0.801,8752022-07-30
ARPAARPAEthereum0.04070.038818-4.62%0.0385-5.41%0.2312✓1.32192k2022-07-30
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.018420.017627-4.30%0.01867+1.36%0.0784✓0.81369k2022-07-30
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.03860.995246-4.17%0.98-5.64%0.2586✓1.44190k2022-07-30
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana3.843.6815-4.13%5.03+30.99%0.2006✗0.661.2M2022-07-30
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain1.73341.6624-4.10%3.0897+78.25%0.4756✗0.861.4M2022-07-30
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.05951.9776-3.98%2.8314+37.48%0.2147✗0.862.1M2022-07-30
CBKCobakEthereum0.909230.873864-3.89%1.0495+15.43%0.0185✓1.204,6812022-07-30
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.80415.5825-3.82%5.0516-12.96%0.1361✓0.21255k2022-07-30
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.04570.043971-3.78%0.0535+17.07%0.0412✓1.41272k2022-07-30
HIVEHivenative0.52290.503445-3.72%0.5275+0.88%0.1754✓1.321.2M2022-07-30
IMXImmutableEthereum1.00220.965049-3.71%1.187+18.44%0.0526✓1.542.8M2022-07-30
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana3.032.9211-3.59%4.53+49.50%0.3165✗0.731.1M2022-07-30
DKAdKargoEthereum0.044130.042554-3.57%0.04725+7.07%0.0626✓0.9911k2022-07-30
XYMSymbolnative0.05150.049673-3.55%0.057834+12.30%0.0390✗0.6728k2022-07-30
UMAUMAEthereum2.5052.4184-3.46%2.96+18.16%0.0096✓1.26873k2022-07-30
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.31460.303729-3.46%0.338+7.44%0.1003✓1.2311.8M2022-07-30
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.09620.092882-3.45%0.0893-7.17%0.2746✓1.40179k2022-07-30
API3Api3Ethereum1.7181.6593-3.42%1.931+12.40%0.0798✓1.37953k2022-07-30
SNXSynthetixEthereum2.2862.2099-3.33%3.647+59.54%0.1920✗1.843.0M2022-07-30
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV55.68153.8295-3.33%62.68+12.57%0.0093✓0.851.1M2022-07-30
CHRChromiaEthereum0.18290.177161-3.14%0.2186+19.52%0.0418✗1.004,1902022-07-30
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0198450.019226-3.12%0.022198+11.86%0.0421✓1.101,8282022-07-30
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.641.589-3.11%1.64+0.00%0.2313✓1.56405k2022-07-30
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0146210.014171-3.07%0.020876+42.78%0.2976✗0.53469k2022-07-30
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.3182.2482-3.01%2.804+20.97%0.0223✓1.4477k2022-07-30
GLMGolemEthereum0.22770.220855-3.01%0.2565+12.65%0.0516✓1.2087k2022-07-30
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum2.442.3667-3.01%2.467+1.11%0.1204✓0.96157k2022-07-30
XVSVenusEthereum4.834.6869-2.96%6.76+39.96%0.1092✗1.531.4M2022-07-30
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.6940.673686-2.93%0.766+10.37%0.0356✓0.97520k2022-07-30
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana2.8142.7339-2.85%3.684+30.92%0.1629✗0.801.1M2022-07-30
CTKShentuOsmosis0.8020.779277-2.83%1.059+32.04%0.1569✗0.891.6M2022-07-30
RADRadworksEthereum1.671.6272-2.56%2.41+44.31%0.1994✗1.15202k2022-07-30
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana5.965.8216-2.32%9.15+53.52%0.3667✗0.511.1M2022-07-30
BFCBifrostEthereum0.057660.056322-2.32%0.08165+41.61%0.1358✗1.4047k2022-07-30
CTSICartesiEthereum0.160.156357-2.28%0.1684+5.25%0.1628✓1.41717k2022-07-30
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.42832.373-2.28%2.7137+11.75%0.0512✓1.101.7M2022-07-30
MANADecentralandEthereum0.882240.862512-2.24%1.0088+14.35%0.0753✓1.38655k2022-07-30
TRBTellor TributesEthereum10.6410.4102-2.16%32.03+201.03%0.8530✗1.61427k2022-07-30
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum8.598.4078-2.12%14.76+71.83%0.3084✗1.511.2M2022-07-30
STEEMSteemnative0.21770.213115-2.11%0.2512+15.39%0.0410✓1.22731k2022-07-30
FLOWFlownative1.5081.478-1.99%1.923+27.52%0.0572✗1.22319k2022-07-30
UNIUniswapEthereum5.0024.9036-1.97%8.78+75.53%0.3507✗1.385.5M2022-07-30
KSMKusamaHydration48.2847.4921-1.63%63.1+30.70%0.0822✗1.20722k2022-07-30
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum14.5814.3462-1.60%19.12+31.14%0.0501✗1.411.6M2022-07-30
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche16.9716.7141-1.51%24.25+42.90%0.1158✗1.5232.6M2022-07-30
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.019370.019096-1.42%0.0215+11.00%0.0537✓1.02104k2022-07-30
APEApeCoinEthereum4.6334.5678-1.41%6.697+44.55%0.0769✗1.8216.0M2022-07-30
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana4.44.3391-1.38%5.64+28.18%0.1481✗0.681.2M2022-07-30
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.50390.497265-1.32%0.5914+17.36%0.0398✓1.27719k2022-07-30
ORCAOrcaSolana0.73570.727958-1.05%0.9743+32.43%0.1141✗1.0573k2022-07-30
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.11230.111139-1.03%0.1457+29.74%0.0990✗1.024.0M2022-07-30
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.5090.503815-1.02%0.627+23.18%0.0212✓1.42109k2022-07-30
ADACardanoCardano0.45980.455361-0.97%0.5267+14.55%0.0813✓1.3573.7M2022-07-30
DYDXdYdXCosmos1.3641.3511-0.95%2.328+70.67%0.2962✗1.4793k2022-07-30
WOOWOOEthereum0.16040.158957-0.90%0.2293+42.96%0.1364✗1.374,0222022-07-30
CHZChilizEthereum0.09750.096625-0.90%0.1267+29.95%0.0717✗1.18647k2022-07-30
LINKChainlinkEthereum6.2776.222-0.88%7.823+24.63%0.0069✓1.3239.1M2022-07-30
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.26281.2518-0.88%1.5866+25.64%0.0193✗1.29849k2022-07-30
XEMNEMnative0.0381130.037795-0.83%0.04912+28.88%0.0519✗1.2520k2022-07-30
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos7.5677.5075-0.79%10.71+41.54%0.1232✗1.3815.0M2022-07-30
RUNETHORChainTHORChain1.8611.8469-0.76%2.627+41.16%0.0704✗1.67101k2022-07-30
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum5.355.3094-0.76%8.278+54.73%0.2162✗1.359.0M2022-07-30
PROPropyEthereum0.880.873359-0.75%0.75-14.77%0.2744✓0.73159k2022-07-30
LRCLoopringEthereum0.38580.382916-0.75%0.4312+11.77%0.1240✓1.44115k2022-07-30
QTUMQtumQtum2.81452.794-0.73%4.3212+53.53%0.2398✗1.1733k2022-07-30
ASTRAstarEthereum0.04450.044184-0.71%0.0452+1.57%0.2132✓1.4012k2022-07-30
FIDABonfidaSolana0.3580.355741-0.63%0.505+41.06%0.1518✗1.1811k2022-07-30
AUCTIONBounceEthereum5.145.1078-0.63%8.06+56.81%0.2307✗1.34386k2022-07-30
DODODODOEthereum0.11670.115995-0.60%0.171+46.53%0.1614✗1.353.6M2022-07-30
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.039210.038985-0.57%0.04302+9.72%0.0801✓1.063,1732022-07-30
XECeCashnative0.000038290.00003807-0.57%0.00004418+15.38%0.0647✓1.272.6M2022-07-30
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.26950.268006-0.55%0.3165+17.44%0.0435✓1.253.2M2022-07-30
BORABORAKlay Token0.313080.311427-0.53%0.31775+1.49%0.2233✓1.455,5012022-07-30
LPTLivepeerEthereum9.349.2964-0.47%11.6+24.20%0.0201✗1.20398k2022-07-30
XLMStellarStellar0.1123070.111785-0.46%0.119668+6.55%0.1102✓1.0611.2M2022-07-30
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.009420.009379-0.44%0.00961+2.02%0.1424✓0.996.4M2022-07-30
COTICOTIEthereum0.09410.093699-0.43%0.1098+16.68%0.0874✓1.46791k2022-07-30
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.11520.114731-0.41%0.078-32.29%0.5309✓0.86209k2022-07-30
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0664250.066158-0.40%0.069575+4.74%0.1647✓1.282.0M2022-07-30
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.3288560.327555-0.40%0.348763+6.05%0.1617✓1.332.6M2022-07-30
QNTQuantEthereum53.7453.5414-0.37%106.35+97.90%0.5230✗0.971.9M2022-07-30
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.24170.240848-0.35%0.2435+0.74%0.2143✓1.34392k2022-07-30
COMPCompoundEthereum44.7844.6223-0.35%58.23+30.04%0.0123✗1.5128k2022-07-30
SPELLSpellEthereum0.00095290.00095003-0.30%0.001097+15.14%0.0874✓1.372.9M2022-07-30
AMPAmpEthereum0.010260.010234-0.25%0.00901-12.18%0.2931✓0.981.2M2022-07-30
GTGateEthereum4.124.116-0.10%4.4444+7.87%0.0518✓0.761.2M2022-07-30
FTTFTXEthereum24.5924.567-0.09%31.11+26.51%0.0761✗0.9511.3M2022-07-30
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.048750.048709-0.08%0.08494+74.24%0.2996✗1.521.1M2022-07-30
LCXLCXEthereum0.05940.05935-0.08%0.0641+7.91%0.1751✓1.50403k2022-07-30
XTZTezosTezos1.42121.4213+0.01%1.8172+27.86%0.0249✓1.31654k2022-07-30
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0124420.012445+0.03%0.015613+25.49%0.0820✓0.861.6M2022-07-30
UOSUltraEthereum0.268410.268555+0.05%0.3215+19.78%0.0378✗1.29480k2022-07-30
BANDBandEthereum1.3071.3088+0.13%1.795+37.34%0.0627✓1.50430k2022-07-30
TRXTRONTron0.064740.064854+0.18%0.069034+6.63%0.0880✗0.89736k2022-07-30
BRISEBitgertEthereum3.39e-73.40e-7+0.20%3.60e-7+6.26%0.1090✗1.00647k2022-07-30
DOTPolkadotPolkadot7.0647.0799+0.22%8.212+16.25%0.0663✗1.2813.5M2022-07-30
SOLSolanaSolana33.7433.8177+0.23%43.84+29.93%0.0333✓1.34101.1M2022-07-30
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.05150.051623+0.24%0.072+39.81%0.1315✓1.20100k2022-07-30
MINAMina Protocolnative0.6140.615567+0.26%0.793+29.15%0.0257✓1.35207k2022-07-30
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000010310.000010338+0.27%0.00001193+15.71%0.0723✗1.281.0M2022-07-30
DEXEDeXeEthereum2.692.6986+0.32%3.791+40.93%0.1478✓1.14659k2022-07-30
KCSKuCoinnative9.9089.9461+0.38%10.183+2.78%0.1660✗1.133.0M2022-07-30
GALAGALAEthereum0.05430.054511+0.39%0.0557+2.58%0.2380✗1.54138k2022-07-30
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.09550.095968+0.49%0.1319+38.12%0.0849✓1.383.7M2022-07-30
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.10430.104844+0.52%0.1179+13.04%0.0782✗1.16515k2022-07-30
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.027550.027725+0.63%0.02978+8.09%0.1586✗1.3726k2022-07-30
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.123170.123961+0.64%0.16614+34.89%0.0119✓1.67203k2022-07-30
FILFilecoinFilecoin5.3975.4383+0.76%8.034+48.86%0.1854✓1.222.3M2022-07-30
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.05040.05086+0.91%0.0671+33.13%0.1447✓0.79233k2022-07-30
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum1.83991.8568+0.92%2.2546+22.54%0.0260✗1.3162k2022-07-30
LSKLiskEthereum1.08411.0941+0.93%1.1419+5.34%0.1495✗1.1456k2022-07-30
YFIyearn.financeEthereum5,412.375,463.43+0.94%11,772.20+117.51%0.5435✓1.334.1M2022-07-30
SGBSongbirdnative0.02880.029093+1.02%0.0258-10.42%0.1990✗0.47130k2022-07-30
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.006490.006559+1.06%0.006972+7.43%0.0530✗0.68134k2022-07-30
PHAPHALAEthereum0.10330.104475+1.14%0.1271+23.04%0.0219✓1.037,0862022-07-30
LTCLitecoinLitecoin53.8154.4318+1.16%60.47+12.38%0.0988✗1.2118.4M2022-07-30
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.006590.006667+1.17%0.01027+55.84%0.2590✓1.03421k2022-07-30
SUSHISushiEthereum0.991.0023+1.24%1.49+50.51%0.1336✓1.56846k2022-07-30
NANOnanopayBase0.8202430.831085+1.32%1.0146+23.69%0.0153✓1.09100k2022-07-30
BTTCBTTC8.10e-78.22e-7+1.46%9.40e-7+16.05%0.0080✓0.855.3M2022-07-30
SUNSun TokenTron0.0056340.005721+1.53%0.006149+9.13%0.1025✗1.043,8152022-07-30
METRONOMEMETRONOME0.718390.729879+1.60%1.1112+54.68%0.2745✓0.875002022-07-30
ZENHorizenBase13.0713.2798+1.61%17.72+35.58%0.0472✓1.4359k2022-07-30
BTCBitcoinBitcoin19,985.6220,307.05+1.61%23,650.13+18.34%0.0160✓1.00508.7M2022-07-30
DASHDashDash42.2343.0229+1.88%50.71+20.08%0.0283✗1.14766k2022-07-30
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.2441.2674+1.88%1.966+58.04%0.1814✓1.53169k2022-07-30
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.11380.116092+2.01%0.1314+15.47%0.1100✗1.3934k2022-07-30
ETHEthereumEthereum1,070.081,092.98+2.14%1,698.01+58.68%0.2430✓1.17342.4M2022-07-30
STXStacksnative0.40770.416431+2.14%0.4303+5.54%0.1892✗1.32318k2022-07-30
CVCCivicEthereum0.13360.136699+2.32%0.1478+10.63%0.1496✗1.35149k2022-07-30
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.002750.002817+2.42%0.003172+15.35%0.0627✗1.081.6M2022-07-30
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.07410.075988+2.55%0.0874+17.95%0.0780✗1.297,0142022-07-30
XMRMoneroMonero113115.88+2.55%155.85+37.92%0.0974✓1.181.4M2022-07-30
SCSiacoinnative0.003690.00379+2.72%0.00437+18.43%0.0993✗1.43176k2022-07-30
XVGVergenative0.00280.002881+2.91%0.00363+29.64%0.0044✓1.40650k2022-07-30
AAVEAaveEthereum57.0758.7551+2.95%95.26+66.92%0.2041✓1.667.8M2022-07-30
SKLSKALEEthereum0.04760.049015+2.97%0.0586+23.11%0.0583✗1.411.1M2022-07-30
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.18480.190407+3.03%0.2356+27.49%0.0331✗1.46167k2022-07-30
MOVRMoonriverBase10.832511.1711+3.13%14.7008+35.71%0.0574✓1.29276k2022-07-30
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.6190.640068+3.40%0.802+29.56%0.0599✗1.70274k2022-07-30
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.2760.286057+3.64%0.309+11.96%0.0995✗1.05746k2022-07-30
ETCEthereum Classicnative1515.5507+3.67%39.48+163.20%0.7219✓1.252.0M2022-07-30
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum19,842.3020,589.27+3.76%24,608.20+24.02%0.0125✓0.9843k2022-07-30
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash103.29107.1799+3.77%145.47+40.84%0.1089✓1.176.1M2022-07-30
CRVCurve DAOEthereum0.68670.713662+3.93%1.3586+97.84%0.4044✓1.423.7M2022-07-30
ZECZcashZcash54.4556.7628+4.25%65.13+19.61%0.0903✗1.352.1M2022-07-30
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.49120.513771+4.60%0.57+16.04%0.0906✗1.15154k2022-07-30
CELLCellframeEthereum0.23830.249335+4.63%0.2881+20.90%0.0626✗1.2327k2022-07-30
NEXONEXOEthereum0.5820.613598+5.43%0.724+24.40%0.0377✓1.211.0M2022-07-30
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.0019720.002129+7.94%0.001644-16.63%0.4423✗1.097,2732022-07-30
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.