8=======>

2022-06-18 · +30d

gru_s1 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 177 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.2153
175 of 177 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+10.78%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
57.7%
in alpha space · 91.4% on raw price
BTC over horizon
+18.36%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (177 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000007710.000008455+9.66%0.00001196+55.12%0.1397✓1.23813k2022-07-18
CRVCurve DAOEthereum0.5830.637102+9.28%1.3413+130.07%0.5098✓1.394.4M2022-07-18
AAVEAaveEthereum49.5254.0898+9.23%96.23+94.33%0.2912✓1.697.6M2022-07-18
NEXONEXOEthereum0.6120.667925+9.14%0.657+7.35%0.2104✗1.15977k2022-07-18
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.490.534519+9.09%0.5296+8.08%0.2092✗1.1971k2022-07-18
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0116170.012651+8.90%0.012981+11.74%0.1178✗0.852.0M2022-07-18
ETHEthereumEthereum993.641,081.95+8.89%1,581.34+59.15%0.1894✓1.13386.3M2022-07-18
XVGVergenative0.002730.002971+8.83%0.00383+40.29%0.0102✓1.45645k2022-07-18
SPELLSpellEthereum0.00070.000760173+8.60%0.001042+48.89%0.0829✓1.382.0M2022-07-18
CELLCellframeEthereum0.22270.241751+8.55%0.2632+18.19%0.1239✗1.2431k2022-07-18
SCSiacoinnative0.003390.003677+8.47%0.00428+26.25%0.0992✗1.49239k2022-07-18
SUNSun TokenTron0.0058760.006373+8.45%0.005922+0.78%0.2511✗1.052,7662022-07-18
COMPCompoundEthereum28.9831.3951+8.33%57.66+98.96%0.3584✓1.4826k2022-07-18
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.1681.2651+8.31%1.657+41.87%0.0124✓1.53223k2022-07-18
ZECZcashZcash59.2664.079+8.13%65.57+10.65%0.2008✗1.333.1M2022-07-18
UOSUltraEthereum0.2350.254071+8.12%0.36013+53.25%0.1320✓1.29453k2022-07-18
YFIyearn.financeEthereum4,369.274,722.65+8.09%6,611.88+51.33%0.1180✓1.303.6M2022-07-18
ETCEthereum Classicnative13.6814.7793+8.04%25.3+84.94%0.3221✓1.282.3M2022-07-18
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.2710.292675+8.00%0.427+57.56%0.1202✓1.53341k2022-07-18
FTTFTXEthereum22.7924.5975+7.93%29.86+31.02%0.0384✓0.929.8M2022-07-18
LTCLitecoinLitecoin47.1350.8295+7.85%58.58+24.29%0.0545✓1.1717.5M2022-07-18
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0527850.056857+7.71%0.06754+27.95%0.0395✓1.261.3M2022-07-18
KCSKuCoinnative9.57110.3027+7.65%9.854+2.96%0.2327✗1.125.0M2022-07-18
CVCCivicEthereum0.12310.132455+7.60%0.1512+22.83%0.0976✗1.36166k2022-07-18
TRXTRONTron0.0608550.065463+7.57%0.069093+13.54%0.1047✗0.941.0M2022-07-18
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash115.22123.9256+7.56%121.21+5.20%0.2236✗1.204.5M2022-07-18
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.5520.593661+7.55%0.72+30.43%0.0205✓1.02359k2022-07-18
BTCBitcoinBitcoin18,948.8920,378.31+7.54%22,427.56+18.36%0.0727✗1.00582.4M2022-07-18
STXStacksnative0.33710.362333+7.49%0.4256+26.25%0.0654✓1.34202k2022-07-18
SOLSolanaSolana32.0134.402+7.47%43.55+36.05%0.0109✓1.33103.2M2022-07-18
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.05280.056711+7.41%0.0993+88.07%0.4238✓0.81316k2022-07-18
LPTLivepeerEthereum7.087.6003+7.35%9.61+35.73%0.0346✓1.19434k2022-07-18
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum19,116.8020,515.79+7.32%21,641.50+13.21%0.1131✗0.9936k2022-07-18
BRISEBitgertEthereum2.94e-73.16e-7+7.29%3.64e-7+23.69%0.0105✓0.91841k2022-07-18
XMRMoneroMonero104.18111.6543+7.17%147.68+41.75%0.0868✓1.141.8M2022-07-18
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.03330.035677+7.14%0.0507+52.25%0.1170✓1.39354k2022-07-18
ORCAOrcaSolana0.480.514167+7.12%0.9376+95.33%0.4062✓1.1560k2022-07-18
LSKLiskEthereum0.931230.996832+7.04%1.1185+20.11%0.0836✗1.1851k2022-07-18
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.07520.080493+7.04%0.0841+11.84%0.1844✗1.355,2002022-07-18
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.0026410.002826+7.00%–pending––1.114,6932022-07-18
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.2475650.264876+6.99%0.320943+29.64%0.0443✓1.402.4M2022-07-18
XECeCashnative0.000035660.000038126+6.92%0.00004216+18.23%0.1209✗1.312.8M2022-07-18
NMRNumeraireEthereum7.818.3465+6.87%14.75+88.86%0.4022✓0.99252k2022-07-18
HIVEHivenative0.35050.374575+6.87%0.4706+34.27%0.0061✓1.391.1M2022-07-18
AMPAmpEthereum0.008470.00905+6.85%0.00926+9.33%0.1511✗1.031.4M2022-07-18
MOVRMoonriverBase10.612211.3381+6.84%14.3354+35.08%0.0111✓1.33194k2022-07-18
DEXEDeXeEthereum2.462.6283+6.84%3.27+32.93%0.0271✓1.14636k2022-07-18
KSMKusamaHydration48.4251.7288+6.83%63.82+31.81%0.0052✓1.22940k2022-07-18
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.2590.276405+6.72%0.313+20.85%0.0523✓1.05847k2022-07-18
SKLSKALEEthereum0.04850.051739+6.68%0.0547+12.78%0.1867✗1.441.7M2022-07-18
QNTQuantEthereum48.7751.9885+6.60%103.99+113.23%0.5337✓0.951.9M2022-07-18
MINAMina Protocolnative0.5780.615954+6.57%0.72+24.57%0.0731✗1.36518k2022-07-18
FLOWFlownative1.2641.3468+6.55%1.688+33.54%0.0316✓1.15504k2022-07-18
AUCTIONBounceEthereum4.44.6843+6.46%6.23+41.59%0.0639✓1.31400k2022-07-18
FIDABonfidaSolana0.2970.316003+6.40%0.53+78.45%0.3177✓1.1815k2022-07-18
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.15310.162863+6.38%0.2255+47.29%0.0798✓1.46191k2022-07-18
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0026120.002777+6.34%0.003004+15.01%0.1087✗1.112.1M2022-07-18
DASHDashDash41.5544.1707+6.31%48.86+17.59%0.0884✗1.12810k2022-07-18
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.120890.12827+6.11%0.14623+20.96%0.1339✗1.57240k2022-07-18
GTGateEthereum3.60593.8247+6.07%4.2854+18.84%0.0068✓0.721.7M2022-07-18
DOTPolkadotPolkadot7.0447.4692+6.04%7.654+8.66%0.1971✗1.3113.9M2022-07-18
PHAPHALAEthereum0.09990.105924+6.03%0.1131+13.21%0.1150✗1.075,8092022-07-18
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos6.0696.4344+6.02%9.579+57.83%0.1769✓1.3114.5M2022-07-18
NANOnanopayBase0.7588970.804398+6.00%0.979062+29.01%0.0098✓1.11120k2022-07-18
XTZTezosTezos1.28891.3653+5.93%1.7336+34.50%0.0172✓1.32914k2022-07-18
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.6110.647106+5.91%0.69+12.93%0.2261✗1.72303k2022-07-18
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.09870.104478+5.85%0.1101+11.55%0.1845✗1.415.0M2022-07-18
STEEMSteemnative0.18260.193262+5.84%0.22+20.48%0.0811✗1.25669k2022-07-18
LRCLoopringEthereum0.34170.361357+5.75%0.4332+26.78%0.0679✗1.48144k2022-07-18
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum5.1335.4278+5.74%7.533+46.76%0.0927✓1.3911.1M2022-07-18
BTTCBTTC7.40e-77.82e-7+5.74%9.30e-7+25.68%0.0274✓0.865.3M2022-07-18
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.05170.054643+5.69%0.0756+46.23%0.1179✓1.23165k2022-07-18
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche14.815.6391+5.67%23.97+61.96%0.1839✓1.4445.0M2022-07-18
DYDXdYdXCosmos1.0631.1232+5.67%2.094+96.99%0.3745✓1.4773k2022-07-18
DIADIAEthereum0.357010.376987+5.60%0.44826+25.56%0.0551✓0.70249k2022-07-18
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.025140.026541+5.57%0.02926+16.39%0.1310✗1.3618k2022-07-18
TRBTellor TributesEthereum9.7910.3351+5.57%17.85+82.33%0.2634✓1.68322k2022-07-18
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum8.899.3808+5.52%11.39+28.12%0.0723✗1.582.4M2022-07-18
APEApeCoinEthereum3.6153.809+5.37%5.992+65.75%0.1461✓1.8215.8M2022-07-18
FILFilecoinFilecoin5.1035.3766+5.36%5.939+16.38%0.1195✗1.302.5M2022-07-18
DODODODOEthereum0.11230.118207+5.26%0.1628+44.97%0.0806✓1.424.4M2022-07-18
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.10420.109633+5.21%0.1331+27.74%0.0435✓1.4149k2022-07-18
WOOWOOEthereum0.13780.144922+5.17%0.2011+45.94%0.1222✓1.223,2772022-07-18
RUNETHORChainTHORChain1.561.6401+5.13%2.661+70.58%0.2198✓1.5792k2022-07-18
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.4120.433104+5.12%0.572+38.83%0.0377✓1.4399k2022-07-18
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.19780.207916+5.11%0.2476+25.18%0.0600✗1.39446k2022-07-18
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.006240.006555+5.04%0.00698+11.86%0.1093✗1.02512k2022-07-18
BFCBifrostEthereum0.041480.043562+5.02%0.06313+52.19%0.1445✓1.3470k2022-07-18
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain1.67281.7555+4.94%2.1493+28.49%0.0518✓0.892.6M2022-07-18
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.331.3956+4.93%1.62+21.80%0.1124✗1.55596k2022-07-18
COTICOTIEthereum0.08320.087283+4.91%0.1074+29.09%0.0435✓1.491.1M2022-07-18
XEMNEMnative0.0379890.039851+4.90%0.044928+18.27%0.0978✗1.2926k2022-07-18
XLMStellarStellar0.1075340.112794+4.89%0.114184+6.18%0.1684✗1.0711.6M2022-07-18
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum12.9313.5596+4.87%16.35+26.45%0.0548✗1.442.0M2022-07-18
RLCiExec RLCEthereum0.610.639635+4.86%0.9815+60.90%0.1881✓1.42182k2022-07-18
LINKChainlinkEthereum5.9186.2042+4.84%7.038+18.93%0.0939✗1.3141.5M2022-07-18
SUSHISushiEthereum0.930.97478+4.82%1.5+61.29%0.1669✓1.571.1M2022-07-18
GLMGolemEthereum0.20390.213668+4.79%0.2526+23.88%0.0302✓1.1791k2022-07-18
ZENHorizenBase13.1713.7949+4.74%17.74+34.70%0.0072✓1.4555k2022-07-18
CTSICartesiEthereum0.14050.147114+4.71%0.1709+21.64%0.0899✗1.42917k2022-07-18
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum1.7281.8091+4.70%1.9281+11.58%0.1616✗1.3457k2022-07-18
RADRadworksEthereum1.461.5282+4.67%1.81+23.97%0.0301✓1.18270k2022-07-18
ARPAARPAEthereum0.02670.027934+4.62%0.0392+46.82%0.1185✓1.31206k2022-07-18
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.0382.1281+4.42%2.375+16.54%0.1366✗1.4688k2022-07-18
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.044720.046673+4.37%0.05685+27.12%0.0659✗1.561.5M2022-07-18
CTKShentuOsmosis0.7950.829557+4.35%0.83+4.40%0.1480✗0.881.7M2022-07-18
BANDBandEthereum1.2871.3427+4.32%1.512+17.48%0.1397✗1.53407k2022-07-18
GMTGMTEthereum0.6010.626908+4.31%1.129+87.85%0.3001✓1.711.5M2022-07-18
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.019340.020173+4.31%0.02116+9.41%0.1322✗1.07137k2022-07-18
CHZChilizEthereum0.08680.09051+4.27%0.1146+32.03%0.0288✓1.23738k2022-07-18
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana2.973.0969+4.27%3.88+30.64%0.0919✓0.791.4M2022-07-18
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.065.2758+4.27%5.4359+7.43%0.0096✓0.23226k2022-07-18
CBKCobakEthereum0.808680.842999+4.24%1.0463+29.38%0.0082✓1.236,0082022-07-18
SNXSynthetixEthereum1.5541.6196+4.22%2.949+89.77%0.3090✓1.722.2M2022-07-18
MANADecentralandEthereum0.777540.810047+4.18%0.92106+18.46%0.1035✗1.38713k2022-07-18
ADACardanoCardano0.45440.47325+4.15%0.49+7.83%0.2002✗1.3973.7M2022-07-18
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.311160.323851+4.08%0.41424+33.13%0.0283✓1.29105k2022-07-18
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.08690.090374+4.00%0.1174+35.10%0.0664✓1.16647k2022-07-18
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.009090.009453+4.00%0.00954+4.95%0.1472✗0.9310.7M2022-07-18
IMXImmutableEthereum0.7120.739724+3.89%1.0287+44.48%0.0661✓1.563.3M2022-07-18
QTUMQtumQtum2.58382.683+3.84%3.2012+23.90%0.0239✓1.1939k2022-07-18
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.25221.2992+3.75%1.4467+15.53%0.1079✗1.281.4M2022-07-18
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana4.184.3348+3.70%4.97+18.90%0.0198✓0.691.4M2022-07-18
UNIUniswapEthereum3.6373.7711+3.69%7.327+101.46%0.4379✓1.343.5M2022-07-18
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.11020.114255+3.68%0.1322+19.96%0.0243✓1.013.5M2022-07-18
DKAdKargoEthereum0.044830.046459+3.63%0.04751+5.98%0.1478✗1.0114k2022-07-18
PROPropyEthereum0.850.880564+3.60%0.8-5.88%0.2243✗0.76188k2022-07-18
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.29550.30579+3.48%0.3598+21.76%0.0428✗1.2213.8M2022-07-18
STORJStorjEthereum0.430060.444628+3.39%0.6986+62.44%0.2157✓1.4063k2022-07-18
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.038190.039448+3.29%–pending––1.092,9602022-07-18
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum2.3772.4543+3.25%2.536+6.69%0.1319✗0.9896k2022-07-18
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.35442.4269+3.08%2.5947+10.21%0.1139✗1.072.8M2022-07-18
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.25120.258876+3.06%0.2963+17.95%0.0772✗1.265.1M2022-07-18
API3Api3Ethereum1.4251.4684+3.05%1.949+36.77%0.0481✓1.39891k2022-07-18
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.015350.015814+3.02%0.01948+26.91%0.0777✓0.78518k2022-07-18
LUNATerraTerra 20.00005540.000057044+2.97%0.00010626+91.81%0.2753✓2.061.6M2022-07-18
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.12280.126425+2.95%0.092-25.08%0.4870✗1.00252k2022-07-18
SANDThe SandboxEthereum0.7980.821041+2.89%1.389+74.06%0.3572✓1.001.5M2022-07-18
ASTRAstarEthereum0.04550.046792+2.84%0.0441-3.08%0.3120✗1.5015k2022-07-18
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.5030.516902+2.76%0.553+9.94%0.1475✗1.28762k2022-07-18
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana3.393.4832+2.75%4.13+21.83%0.0658✓0.621.9M2022-07-18
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.06910.070917+2.63%0.0882+27.64%0.0219✓1.42309k2022-07-18
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.172.2261+2.59%2.7+24.42%0.0822✗1.63309k2022-07-18
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.0062810.00644+2.53%0.00707+12.56%0.0368✗0.77152k2022-07-18
GITCOINGITCOIN2.1442.1977+2.50%2.6883+25.39%0.0946✗1.7617k2022-07-18
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.3380.346278+2.45%0.691+104.44%0.4272✓1.563,1952022-07-18
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.71550.73264+2.40%0.8258+15.42%0.0758✗1.162.8M2022-07-18
METRONOMEMETRONOME0.755230.771286+2.13%0.96529+27.81%0.0809✓0.859712022-07-18
CHRChromiaEthereum0.15030.153387+2.05%0.2055+36.73%0.1239✓1.002,0582022-07-18
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana2.822.8777+2.05%3.316+17.59%0.0009✓0.851.6M2022-07-18
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.4233.4903+1.97%3.951+15.43%0.0070✓0.695.5M2022-07-18
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.2181.2414+1.92%1.335+9.61%0.1796✗1.504.3M2022-07-18
UMAUMAEthereum2.3762.4191+1.82%2.737+15.19%0.0892✗1.261.1M2022-07-18
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.020490.020861+1.81%0.022154+8.12%0.1324✗1.149,2332022-07-18
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0142030.014457+1.79%0.017412+22.59%0.0776✓0.64469k2022-07-18
GALAGALAEthereum0.05340.054316+1.71%0.0561+5.06%0.2291✗1.55141k2022-07-18
BORABORAKlay Token0.280730.285482+1.69%0.30487+8.60%0.1803✗1.4610k2022-07-18
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.508030.516298+1.63%0.47782-5.95%0.3770✗1.783.6M2022-07-18
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.08422.1171+1.58%2.3115+10.91%0.0616✗0.892.9M2022-07-18
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.2330.235983+1.28%0.22-5.58%0.3403✗1.601.2M2022-07-18
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana3.863.9064+1.20%4.43+14.77%0.0105✓0.681.5M2022-07-18
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.048110.048677+1.18%0.07699+60.03%0.2899✓1.001,5612022-07-18
XVSVenusEthereum4.074.1067+0.90%5.47+34.40%0.0119✓1.631.5M2022-07-18
LCXLCXEthereum0.05720.057651+0.79%0.0733+28.15%0.0202✗1.54426k2022-07-18
OPTIMOptimism0.4510.453348+0.52%0.817+81.15%0.4204✓1.006.3M2022-07-18
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.021410.021415+0.02%0.02896+35.26%0.1333✓1.002,6172022-07-18
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.024070.023973-0.40%0.02637+9.56%0.2107✓1.8240.8M2022-07-18
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV55.29855.0321-0.48%57.553+4.08%0.0982✓0.851.3M2022-07-18
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana6.16.0686-0.51%7+14.75%0.0579✗0.501.9M2022-07-18
XYMSymbolnative0.04930.048954-0.70%0.053178+7.87%0.0301✓0.6764k2022-07-18
OGOG Fan TokenSolana2.6182.5904-1.05%3.852+47.14%0.2970✗0.594.3M2022-07-18
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood3.443.3891-1.48%3.85+11.92%0.0410✓1.00347k2022-07-18
C98Coin98Ethereum0.46170.453493-1.78%0.5225+13.17%0.0269✓1.00139k2022-07-18
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.140690.137608-2.19%0.18888+34.25%0.1482✗1.001,4082022-07-18
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana2.9362.8525-2.84%3.189+8.62%0.0109✓0.734.9M2022-07-18
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.7880.763921-3.06%0.817+3.68%0.2734✓2.0229.5M2022-07-18
AVTAventusEthereum2.061.9678-4.48%1.6-22.33%0.2930✓0.51166k2022-07-18
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.