8=======>

2022-03-01 · +1d

gru_s0 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 151 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.1833
151 of 151 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+0.56%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
58.9%
in alpha space · 77.3% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-1.19%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (151 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
UMAUMAEthereum9.4479.22-2.40%8.421-10.86%0.0737✓1.421.9M2022-03-02
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.75820.749219-1.18%0.7291-3.84%0.0106✓1.392.5M2022-03-02
API3Api3Ethereum8.0948.0029-1.13%7.3-9.81%0.0861✓0.492.9M2022-03-02
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.72680.71878-1.10%0.7242-0.36%0.0116✗0.351.2M2022-03-02
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana8.278.1832-1.05%7.94-3.99%0.0192✓0.92461k2022-03-02
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.53940.533858-1.03%0.5029-6.77%0.0357✓2.012.1M2022-03-02
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.42180.417483-1.02%0.4033-4.39%0.0149✓1.6414.7M2022-03-02
SUNSun TokenTron0.012490.012375-0.92%0.012216-2.19%0.0006✓1.0315k2022-03-02
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.07030.069711-0.84%0.0655-6.83%0.0412✓1.7676.7M2022-03-02
LUNATerraTerra 289.7288.9885-0.82%92.43+3.02%0.0551✗1.434.8M2022-03-02
GLMRMoonbeamBase2.6262.605-0.80%2.895+10.24%0.1214✗1.33584k2022-03-02
CRVCurve DAOEthereum2.5462.5265-0.77%2.647+3.97%0.0641✗1.4613.6M2022-03-02
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum2.57242.5537-0.73%2.7751+7.88%0.0937✗0.882.7M2022-03-02
MOVRMoonriverBase66.415665.9656-0.68%71.55+7.73%0.0978✗1.38223k2022-03-02
LCXLCXEthereum0.10480.104094-0.67%0.0991-5.44%0.0313✓1.50613k2022-03-02
LSKLiskEthereum1.98611.9729-0.67%1.9592-1.36%0.0054✓1.0475k2022-03-02
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.02820.028016-0.65%0.0268-4.96%0.0285✓1.33500k2022-03-02
SPELLSpellEthereum0.004710.004681-0.62%0.00469-0.42%0.0216✗1.649.6M2022-03-02
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.034260.034047-0.62%0.03397-0.85%0.0085✗0.901.2M2022-03-02
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.1933.1736-0.61%2.99-6.36%0.0482✓0.95741k2022-03-02
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.016560.016466-0.57%0.01634-1.33%0.0104✗1.5212.5M2022-03-02
CELLCellframeEthereum1.70181.6922-0.57%1.6226-4.65%0.0269✓1.27278k2022-03-02
PROPropyEthereum1.841.8299-0.55%1.82-1.09%0.0090✗1.21452k2022-03-02
BRISEBitgertEthereum6.11e-76.08e-7-0.53%6.29e-7+3.00%0.0468✗1.001.1M2022-03-02
BICOBiconomyEthereum1.3281.3211-0.52%1.359+2.33%0.0439✗1.312.0M2022-03-02
YFIyearn.financeEthereum21,756.2421,644.93-0.51%22,346.94+2.72%0.0436✗0.985.9M2022-03-02
LRCLoopringEthereum0.83590.831641-0.51%0.8082-3.31%0.0113✓1.45270k2022-03-02
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum19.3419.2416-0.51%19.31-0.16%0.0174✗1.1620.6M2022-03-02
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum1.291.2835-0.51%1.27-1.55%0.0019✓1.04885k2022-03-02
SUSHISushiEthereum3.473.4528-0.50%3.41-1.73%0.0026✓1.266.8M2022-03-02
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos31.1430.9913-0.48%32.25+3.56%0.0535✗1.1450.3M2022-03-02
GTCGitcoinEthereum6.826.789-0.45%6.64-2.64%0.0053✓1.41942k2022-03-02
XMRMoneroMonero177.8177.0122-0.44%177.46-0.19%0.0145✗1.001.1M2022-03-02
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.0713.0578-0.43%2.98-2.96%0.0152✓0.89218k2022-03-02
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum1.2451.2398-0.42%1.164-6.51%0.0504✓1.061.3M2022-03-02
BANDBandEthereum4.2274.2094-0.42%4.016-4.99%0.0315✓1.301.8M2022-03-02
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.991.9822-0.39%1.93-3.02%0.0109✓1.332.0M2022-03-02
ORCAOrcaSolana2.582.57-0.39%2.52-2.33%0.0077✓1.00488k2022-03-02
DIADIAEthereum1.061.0559-0.38%1.02-3.77%0.0315✓0.27286k2022-03-02
RADRadworksEthereum5.125.1007-0.38%5.59+9.18%0.1036✗1.01828k2022-03-02
CVCCivicEthereum0.30580.304667-0.37%0.2945-3.70%0.0182✓1.32328k2022-03-02
ARPAARPAEthereum0.07860.078315-0.36%0.0775-1.40%0.0051✗1.311.0M2022-03-02
SNXSynthetixEthereum4.1774.162-0.36%3.976-4.81%0.0310✓1.232.3M2022-03-02
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum2.462.4513-0.35%2.43-1.22%0.0032✓1.00263k2022-03-02
TRBTellor TributesEthereum22.0221.9423-0.35%20.76-5.72%0.0382✓1.44328k2022-03-02
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.57650.574468-0.35%0.5665-1.73%0.0031✓0.91642k2022-03-02
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0226820.022602-0.35%0.021073-7.09%0.0598✓0.86124k2022-03-02
LPTLivepeerEthereum27.2627.165-0.35%26.56-2.57%0.0061✓1.381.6M2022-03-02
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.020450.020379-0.35%0.01892-7.48%0.0613✓1.092.2M2022-03-02
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.780.777314-0.34%0.75-3.85%0.0153✓1.711.0M2022-03-02
ASTRAstarEthereum0.1230.122576-0.34%0.116-5.69%0.0486✓0.5444k2022-03-02
OGOG Fan TokenSolana3.2033.1922-0.34%3.114-2.78%0.0146✓0.85477k2022-03-02
FILFilecoinFilecoin20.9820.9102-0.33%20.73-1.19%0.0047✗1.129.1M2022-03-02
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana6.516.4887-0.33%6.43-1.23%0.0014✓0.88452k2022-03-02
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum57.1957.0065-0.32%55.59-2.80%0.0097✓1.306.7M2022-03-02
STXStacksnative1.291.2859-0.32%1.25-3.10%0.0140✓1.20596k2022-03-02
IMXImmutableEthereum1.5821.577-0.32%1.464-7.46%0.0618✓1.053.4M2022-03-02
AUCTIONBounceEthereum14.0914.0461-0.31%13.69-2.84%0.0126✓1.09331k2022-03-02
FTTFTXEthereum46.2546.1064-0.31%46.16-0.19%0.0139✗1.0722.8M2022-03-02
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.94995.9315-0.31%5.9424-0.13%0.0055✗0.31433k2022-03-02
MASKMask NetworkEthereum4.864.8451-0.31%4.65-4.32%0.0231✓1.51456k2022-03-02
FIDABonfidaSolana1.811.8045-0.31%2.237+23.59%0.2251✗0.8676k2022-03-02
DOTPolkadotPolkadot18.918.8425-0.30%18.61-1.53%0.0021✓1.2129.4M2022-03-02
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.011460.011426-0.30%0.01231+7.42%0.0912✗1.392.8M2022-03-02
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.16150.161019-0.30%0.1595-1.24%0.0028✓1.03446k2022-03-02
LINKChainlinkEthereum15.3615.3143-0.30%15.29-0.46%0.0125✗1.1852.2M2022-03-02
UOSUltraEthereum1.36521.3612-0.29%1.389+1.75%0.0365✗1.362.8M2022-03-02
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.52530.523787-0.29%0.5144-2.08%0.0017✓1.37484k2022-03-02
XTZTezosTezos3.49183.4818-0.29%3.494+0.06%0.0188✗1.282.1M2022-03-02
DODODODOEthereum0.4790.477632-0.29%0.468-2.30%0.0050✓1.294.2M2022-03-02
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.048680.048541-0.29%0.04875+0.14%0.0187✗1.20681k2022-03-02
AVTAventusEthereum2.332.3234-0.29%2.35+0.86%0.0233✗1.00443k2022-03-02
BTCBitcoinBitcoin44,439.9544,313.58-0.28%43,912.34-1.19%0.0028✓1.00632.3M2022-03-02
BTTCBTTC0.000001990.000001984-0.28%0.00000196-1.51%0.0044✓0.6614.0M2022-03-02
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum44,139.1044,014.02-0.28%44,262.00+0.28%0.0173✗0.9752k2022-03-02
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0494850.049349-0.27%0.04679-5.45%0.0405✓1.078.1M2022-03-02
HIVEHivenative1.03521.0324-0.27%0.9988-3.52%0.0188✓1.192.1M2022-03-02
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana5.525.5053-0.27%5.57+0.91%0.0219✗0.86510k2022-03-02
ZENHorizenBase39.3439.2354-0.27%38.92-1.07%0.0092✗1.45280k2022-03-02
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.09223.084-0.27%3.0297-2.02%0.0072✓0.882.4M2022-03-02
ETCEthereum Classicnative30.3530.2707-0.26%29.52-2.73%0.0122✓1.085.2M2022-03-02
SKLSKALEEthereum0.13620.135846-0.26%0.1299-4.63%0.0294✓1.293.1M2022-03-02
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche86.9686.7344-0.26%83.42-4.07%0.0219✓1.43118.3M2022-03-02
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.076330.076132-0.26%0.07258-4.91%0.0329✓1.2569k2022-03-02
CTKShentuOsmosis1.2241.2209-0.26%1.202-1.80%0.0013✓1.202.9M2022-03-02
XVGVergenative0.010440.010413-0.26%0.01037-0.67%0.0107✗1.241.3M2022-03-02
STORJStorjEthereum1.08461.0818-0.26%1.0742-0.96%0.0089✗1.33175k2022-03-02
KSMKusamaHydration138.55138.2078-0.25%138.31-0.17%0.0145✗1.15973k2022-03-02
NMRNumeraireEthereum30.8630.7843-0.25%30.37-1.59%0.0025✓0.931.5M2022-03-02
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.80.798095-0.24%0.7872-1.60%0.0007✓1.099.7M2022-03-02
AMPAmpEthereum0.028850.028783-0.23%0.02832-1.84%0.0070✓0.774.1M2022-03-02
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.85690.854915-0.23%0.8204-4.26%0.0277✓1.1320.7M2022-03-02
CHZChilizEthereum0.19540.194948-0.23%0.197+0.82%0.0268✗1.372.8M2022-03-02
CBKCobakEthereum2.3962.3905-0.23%2.298-4.09%0.0286✓0.9123k2022-03-02
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.5735770.572284-0.23%0.570611-0.52%0.0106✗1.132.8M2022-03-02
UNIUniswapEthereum10.3410.3169-0.22%10.05-2.80%0.0121✓1.1810.8M2022-03-02
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana10.1410.1177-0.22%10.14+0.00%0.0101✗0.66928k2022-03-02
ADACardanoCardano0.96430.962208-0.22%0.9394-2.58%0.0107✓1.1197.3M2022-03-02
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum4.28044.2712-0.22%4.413+3.10%0.0463✗1.14244k2022-03-02
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.07290.072747-0.21%0.0714-2.06%0.0066✓1.0112k2022-03-02
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.6171.6137-0.20%1.59-1.67%0.0011✓1.151.8M2022-03-02
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.37530.374572-0.19%0.3742-0.29%0.0152✗1.368.7M2022-03-02
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.12173.1156-0.19%3.0322-2.87%0.0167✓0.883.6M2022-03-02
AAVEAaveEthereum143.34143.0671-0.19%137.7-3.93%0.0222✓1.346.8M2022-03-02
COMPCompoundEthereum125.94125.7031-0.19%122.45-2.77%0.0117✓1.2258k2022-03-02
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.25760.257125-0.18%0.2571-0.19%0.0108✗0.912.0M2022-03-02
SCSiacoinnative0.009790.009772-0.18%0.00957-2.25%0.0059✓1.25563k2022-03-02
MANADecentralandEthereum2.83712.832-0.18%2.7532-2.96%0.0139✓1.203.3M2022-03-02
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum15.2615.233-0.18%15.16-0.66%0.0129✗1.482.4M2022-03-02
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum1.6071.6042-0.17%1.548-3.67%0.0184✓1.45863k2022-03-02
ZECZcashZcash119.02118.8158-0.17%125.91+5.79%0.0715✗1.137.2M2022-03-02
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum5.4455.4357-0.17%5.551+1.95%0.0319✗0.9171k2022-03-02
ETHEthereumEthereum2,977.722,972.68-0.17%2,948.56-0.98%0.0043✗1.04561.7M2022-03-02
XEMNEMnative0.10970.109519-0.17%0.1064-3.01%0.0173✓0.9741k2022-03-02
GTGateEthereum6.75536.7444-0.16%6.803+0.71%0.0171✗0.702.8M2022-03-02
QTUMQtumQtum6.70536.6948-0.16%6.4867-3.26%0.0155✓1.34226k2022-03-02
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana15.7915.7655-0.15%16.15+2.28%0.0326✗0.712.2M2022-03-02
DASHDashDash100.0199.8567-0.15%100.9+0.89%0.0239✗1.131.5M2022-03-02
XYMSymbolnative0.15230.152068-0.15%0.149-2.17%0.0107✓0.81294k2022-03-02
XLMStellarStellar0.1989270.198629-0.15%0.193624-2.67%0.0128✓1.0720.5M2022-03-02
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.3180.317525-0.15%0.308-3.14%0.0149✓1.312.2M2022-03-02
MINAMina Protocolnative2.182.1768-0.15%2.13-2.29%0.0078✓1.17354k2022-03-02
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.5024.4956-0.14%4.505+0.07%0.0121✗0.84435k2022-03-02
COTICOTIEthereum0.23180.231472-0.14%0.2308-0.43%0.0147✗1.472.6M2022-03-02
QNTQuantEthereum119.35119.1885-0.14%117.95-1.17%0.0014✗0.996.4M2022-03-02
DYDXdYdXCosmos5.7715.7632-0.13%6.038+4.63%0.0591✗1.05181k2022-03-02
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000027130.000027094-0.13%0.00002591-4.50%0.0297✓1.253.9M2022-03-02
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.041870.041814-0.13%0.04078-2.60%0.0132✓0.9929k2022-03-02
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.890.888825-0.13%0.917+3.03%0.0465✗1.282.3M2022-03-02
KCSKuCoinnative20.74620.7187-0.13%20.355-1.88%0.0058✓0.999.5M2022-03-02
XVSVenusEthereum9.359.3384-0.12%9.78+4.60%0.0607✗1.213.4M2022-03-02
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash328.78328.3741-0.12%320.43-2.54%0.0129✓0.977.6M2022-03-02
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.755560.754637-0.12%0.73047-3.32%0.0162✓1.37206k2022-03-02
SOLSolanaSolana98.798.5869-0.11%100.73+2.06%0.0365✗1.26131.2M2022-03-02
CTSICartesiEthereum0.39960.399206-0.10%0.397-0.65%0.0115✗1.431.3M2022-03-02
1INCH1INCHEthereum1.5221.5206-0.10%1.496-1.71%0.0030✓1.12939k2022-03-02
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.6970.696351-0.09%0.703+0.86%0.0223✗1.072.5M2022-03-02
LTCLitecoinLitecoin112.65112.5452-0.09%110.35-2.04%0.0063✓1.1229.5M2022-03-02
GITCOINGITCOIN6.8236.8168-0.09%6.7-1.80%0.0006✓1.3927k2022-03-02
DEXEDeXeEthereum6.726.7144-0.08%6.71-0.15%0.0055✗0.511.2M2022-03-02
DKAdKargoEthereum0.092240.092181-0.06%0.091-1.34%0.0002✓1.0643k2022-03-02
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.012230.012222-0.06%0.01235+0.98%0.0192✗0.7413k2022-03-02
NANOnanopayBase1.92111.9202-0.05%1.8782-2.23%0.0081✓1.18179k2022-03-02
BFCBifrostEthereum0.165530.165458-0.04%0.16542-0.07%0.0140✗1.1924k2022-03-02
XECeCashnative0.000078960.00007893-0.04%0.00007594-3.82%0.0255✓1.104.5M2022-03-02
METRONOMEMETRONOME2.25792.2573-0.03%2.2311-1.19%0.0032✓0.7126k2022-03-02
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.1339910.133973-0.01%0.133081-0.68%0.0045✗0.943.7M2022-03-02
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV87.6887.6845+0.01%86.11-1.79%0.0081✗0.84905k2022-03-02
TRXTRONTron0.0621790.062183+0.01%0.061505-1.08%0.0018✗0.77299k2022-03-02
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.07430.074323+0.03%0.0754+1.48%0.0262✓0.99155k2022-03-02
PHAPHALAEthereum0.2420.242087+0.04%0.247+2.07%0.0303✓0.8659k2022-03-02
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.