2022-01-18 · +1d

gru_s0 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 139 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.

+1d +7d +30d asset cohort only

rank IC

+0.2488

139 of 139 tokens assessed

long-short decile

+3.73%

realised beta-adjusted alpha

direction hit

80.6%

in alpha space · 87.8% on raw price

BTC over horizon

-1.64%

the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (139 rows, sorted by pred)

token	name	chain	anchor px	pred px ▾	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d	vol 30d	target
TRX	TRON	Tron	0.068419	0.068489	+0.10%	0.069192	+1.13%	0.0257	✓	0.94	494k	2022-01-19
ENS	Ethereum Name Service	Ethereum	23.4	23.4232	+0.10%	22.14	-5.38%	0.0255	✗	1.86	3.9M	2022-01-19
SHIB	Shiba Inu	Ethereum	0.00002811	0.000028123	+0.05%	0.00002726	-3.02%	0.0088	✗	1.35	1.8M	2022-01-19
MTL	Metal DAO	Metal L2	1.794	1.7944	+0.02%	1.709	-4.74%	0.0298	✗	1.14	2.0M	2022-01-19
XEM	NEM	native	0.1142	0.114194	-0.01%	0.1126	-1.40%	0.0028	✗	1.02	43k	2022-01-19
GT	Gate	Ethereum	7.0464	7.0439	-0.04%	7.1	+0.76%	0.0213	✗	0.81	4.1M	2022-01-19
LRC	Loopring	Ethereum	1.1612	1.1608	-0.04%	1.1835	+1.92%	0.0506	✗	1.89	1.3M	2022-01-19
QNT	Quant	Ethereum	146.04	145.9815	-0.04%	135.59	-7.16%	0.0588	✓	0.91	6.7M	2022-01-19
SOL	Solana	Solana	141.35	141.2838	-0.05%	135.33	-4.26%	0.0258	✓	1.04	152.8M	2022-01-19
LEO	LEO Token	Ethereum	3.6709	3.6687	-0.06%	3.6546	-0.44%	0.0050	✓	-0.07	361k	2022-01-19
DOGE	Dogecoin	Dogecoin	0.165155	0.165018	-0.08%	0.161705	-2.09%	0.0023	✓	1.09	6.0M	2022-01-19
ETH	Ethereum	Ethereum	3,160.81	3,158.17	-0.08%	3,085.27	-2.39%	0.0060	✓	1.05	496.9M	2022-01-19
DKA	dKargo	Ethereum	0.10541	0.105321	-0.08%	0.10044	-4.71%	0.0289	✓	1.12	30k	2022-01-19
NMR	Numeraire	Ethereum	27.26	27.2365	-0.09%	26.81	-1.65%	0.0045	✓	0.68	353k	2022-01-19
KCS	KuCoin	native	20.371	20.3529	-0.09%	19.951	-2.06%	0.0063	✗	1.59	10.7M	2022-01-19
LINK	Chainlink	Ethereum	22.98	22.9561	-0.10%	21.56	-6.18%	0.0440	✓	1.13	72.8M	2022-01-19
LTC	Litecoin	Litecoin	141.53	141.3798	-0.11%	136.2	-3.77%	0.0153	✓	1.33	31.1M	2022-01-19
TRB	Tellor Tributes	Ethereum	27.84	27.8102	-0.11%	26.13	-6.14%	0.0378	✓	1.48	1.0M	2022-01-19
MED	Medibloc	Osmosis	0.04814	0.048084	-0.12%	0.04692	-2.53%	0.0072	✓	1.05	23k	2022-01-19
RLC	iExec RLC	Ethereum	2.55	2.5469	-0.12%	2.47	-3.14%	0.0090	✓	1.31	3.2M	2022-01-19
BAR	FC Barcelona Fan Token	Solana	7.79	7.7801	-0.13%	7.67	-1.54%	0.0039	✓	0.63	680k	2022-01-19
AXS	Axie Infinity	Ethereum	73.86	73.7661	-0.13%	71.82	-2.76%	0.0089	✓	1.08	6.4M	2022-01-19
CBK	Cobak	Ethereum	2.691	2.6872	-0.14%	2.623	-2.53%	0.0093	✓	0.90	25k	2022-01-19
DNT	district0x	Ethereum	0.105	0.104849	-0.14%	0.1012	-3.62%	0.0168	✓	1.12	244k	2022-01-19
XEC	eCash	native	0.00009565	0.00009551	-0.15%	0.00009227	-3.53%	0.0179	✓	1.01	6.5M	2022-01-19
BNT	Bancor Network	Ethereum	3.02	3.0154	-0.15%	2.91	-3.64%	0.0196	✓	0.97	891k	2022-01-19
XYM	Symbol	native	0.1864	0.186103	-0.16%	0.1786	-4.18%	0.0299	✓	0.68	577k	2022-01-19
FIL	Filecoin	Filecoin	28.48	28.4342	-0.16%	27.59	-3.12%	0.0123	✓	1.08	15.1M	2022-01-19
SNX	Synthetix	Ethereum	5.03	5.0218	-0.16%	4.9	-2.58%	0.0050	✓	1.18	3.2M	2022-01-19
KSM	Kusama	Hydration	253.4	252.9853	-0.16%	243.71	-3.82%	0.0182	✓	1.16	1.4M	2022-01-19
BEL	Bella Protocol	Ethereum	1.273	1.2709	-0.17%	1.222	-4.01%	0.0168	✓	1.36	2.4M	2022-01-19
ASR	AS Roma Fan Token	Solana	3.727	3.7205	-0.17%	3.627	-2.68%	0.0138	✓	0.71	526k	2022-01-19
XPR	XPR Network	Ethereum	0.01425	0.014225	-0.17%	0.01394	-2.18%	0.0011	✓	1.29	2.1M	2022-01-19
XLM	Stellar	Stellar	0.253995	0.253547	-0.18%	0.245567	-3.32%	0.0150	✓	1.03	24.4M	2022-01-19
NANO	nanopay	Base	2.9248	2.9196	-0.18%	3.0555	+4.47%	0.0640	✗	1.12	665k	2022-01-19
CTK	Shentu	Osmosis	1.348	1.3456	-0.18%	1.294	-4.01%	0.0167	✓	1.35	3.8M	2022-01-19
UNI	Uniswap	Ethereum	15.98	15.9514	-0.18%	15.12	-5.38%	0.0323	✓	1.29	12.4M	2022-01-19
BTC	Bitcoin	Bitcoin	42,369.74	42,291.82	-0.18%	41,674.27	-1.64%	0.0018	✓	1.00	636.6M	2022-01-19
PEOPLE	ConstitutionDAO	Ethereum	0.0631	0.062982	-0.19%	0.0575	-8.87%	0.0745	✓	1.00	24.6M	2022-01-19
KNC	Kyber Network Crystal	Ethereum	1.473	1.4702	-0.19%	1.537	+4.34%	0.0584	✗	0.84	1.1M	2022-01-19
XMR	Monero	Monero	204.44	204.0429	-0.19%	201.62	-1.38%	0.0033	✗	0.92	3.1M	2022-01-19
ASM	Assemble AI	Ethereum	0.07514	0.074993	-0.20%	0.07218	-3.94%	0.0146	✓	1.43	2.3M	2022-01-19
AUCTION	Bounce	Ethereum	19.56	19.5206	-0.20%	19.03	-2.71%	0.0130	✓	0.75	841k	2022-01-19
LCX	LCX	Ethereum	0.1293	0.129037	-0.20%	0.1191	-7.89%	0.0589	✓	1.28	2.1M	2022-01-19
SC	Siacoin	native	0.0133	0.013273	-0.20%	0.0127	-4.51%	0.0278	✓	0.99	654k	2022-01-19
DOT	Polkadot	Polkadot	25.15	25.0974	-0.21%	24.06	-4.33%	0.0203	✓	1.32	60.5M	2022-01-19
DYDX	dYdX	Cosmos	7	6.9852	-0.21%	7.009	+0.13%	0.0242	✗	1.26	271k	2022-01-19
SUPER	SuperVerse	Ethereum	0.98	0.977917	-0.21%	0.93	-5.10%	0.0186	✓	1.91	1.5M	2022-01-19
EWT	Energy Web Token	Ethereum	7.355	7.3392	-0.21%	7.272	-1.13%	0.0028	✗	0.72	170k	2022-01-19
DEXE	DeXe	Ethereum	8.79	8.7711	-0.22%	8.35	-5.01%	0.0494	✓	-0.01	1.3M	2022-01-19
WBTC	Wrapped Bitcoin	Ethereum	42,495.40	42,402.73	-0.22%	41,724.00	-1.82%	0.0001	✓	0.98	14k	2022-01-19
XVS	Venus	Ethereum	13.04	13.0111	-0.22%	12.52	-3.99%	0.0198	✓	1.13	2.7M	2022-01-19
BAT	Basic Attention	Ethereum	1.0043	1.002	-0.22%	0.95676	-4.73%	0.0174	✓	1.74	896k	2022-01-19
ANKR	Ankr Network	Ethereum	0.08843	0.088232	-0.22%	0.0853	-3.54%	0.0217	✓	0.73	50k	2022-01-19
ICP	Internet Computer	Ethereum	29.38	29.3135	-0.23%	26.53	-9.70%	0.0768	✓	1.39	34.3M	2022-01-19
LAZIO	Lazio Fan Token	Binance Smart Chain	4.1197	4.1103	-0.23%	4	-2.91%	0.0064	✓	1.26	4.1M	2022-01-19
ARPA	ARPA	Ethereum	0.0808	0.080607	-0.24%	0.0774	-4.21%	0.0174	✓	1.40	990k	2022-01-19
GRT	The Graph	Ethereum	0.5309	0.529618	-0.24%	0.5244	-1.22%	0.0102	✗	1.21	11.7M	2022-01-19
JUV	Juventus Fan Token	Solana	7.81	7.7907	-0.25%	7.57	-3.07%	0.0166	✓	0.73	652k	2022-01-19
SKL	SKALE	Ethereum	0.1541	0.153717	-0.25%	0.151	-2.01%	0.0025	✗	1.23	4.2M	2022-01-19
TWT	Trust Wallet	Binance Smart Chain	0.6816	0.679902	-0.25%	0.6838	+0.32%	0.0266	✗	1.26	3.5M	2022-01-19
BAND	Band	Ethereum	5.05	5.0374	-0.25%	4.91	-2.77%	0.0078	✓	1.08	2.1M	2022-01-19
COMP	Compound	Ethereum	178.35	177.898	-0.25%	172.8	-3.11%	0.0102	✓	1.14	100k	2022-01-19
DODO	DODO	Ethereum	0.739	0.737124	-0.25%	0.701	-5.14%	0.0262	✓	1.45	8.0M	2022-01-19
XTZ	Tezos	Tezos	4.1162	4.1053	-0.26%	3.8849	-5.62%	0.0328	✓	1.36	3.3M	2022-01-19
SUN	Sun Token	Tron	0.019469	0.019418	-0.26%	0.01895	-2.67%	0.0039	✓	1.24	2.7M	2022-01-19
QTUM	Qtum	Qtum	7.8307	7.8095	-0.27%	7.4032	-5.46%	0.0306	✓	1.38	263k	2022-01-19
JASMY	JasmyCoin	Ethereum	0.06479	0.064612	-0.28%	0.07162	+10.54%	0.1230	✗	1.21	12.4M	2022-01-19
PORTO	FC Porto	Binance Smart Chain	3.2233	3.2144	-0.28%	3.1421	-2.52%	0.0032	✓	1.18	2.3M	2022-01-19
OXT	Orchid Protocol	Ethereum	0.3129	0.312034	-0.28%	0.2982	-4.70%	0.0242	✓	1.28	2.0M	2022-01-19
PSG	Paris Saint-Germain Fan Token	Solana	14.74	14.6989	-0.28%	14.85	+0.75%	0.0214	✗	0.67	916k	2022-01-19
MOVR	Moonriver	Base	126.385	126.0316	-0.28%	120.5322	-4.63%	0.0282	✓	0.99	489k	2022-01-19
DASH	Dash	Dash	130.54	130.169	-0.28%	126.8	-2.87%	0.0070	✓	1.16	2.8M	2022-01-19
BCH	Bitcoin Cash	Bitcoin Cash	381.47	380.3827	-0.29%	369.1	-3.24%	0.0136	✓	1.00	7.0M	2022-01-19
ORBS	Orbs	Ethereum	0.0796	0.079368	-0.29%	0.0761	-4.40%	0.0245	✓	1.06	21k	2022-01-19
TKO	Tokocrypto	Binance Smart Chain	1.008	1.005	-0.30%	0.96	-4.76%	0.0300	✓	0.96	2.2M	2022-01-19
STORJ	Storj	Ethereum	1.5502	1.5456	-0.30%	1.462	-5.69%	0.0411	✓	0.88	423k	2022-01-19
RIF	Rootstock Infrastructure Framework	Ethereum	0.1749	0.174382	-0.30%	0.1712	-2.12%	0.0036	✓	0.89	397k	2022-01-19
UMA	UMA	Ethereum	7.94	7.9164	-0.30%	8.26	+4.03%	0.0586	✗	0.97	3.9M	2022-01-19
CERE	Cere Network	Ethereum	0.0499	0.049749	-0.30%	0.0486	-2.61%	0.0007	✓	1.37	1.3M	2022-01-19
SPELL	Spell	Ethereum	0.01274	0.012701	-0.30%	0.01172	-8.01%	0.0403	✓	2.42	23.7M	2022-01-19
1INCH	1INCH	Ethereum	2.19	2.1833	-0.31%	2.09	-4.57%	0.0266	✓	1.03	2.7M	2022-01-19
HIVE	Hive	native	1.2149	1.2111	-0.31%	1.1386	-6.28%	0.0390	✓	1.37	3.7M	2022-01-19
ATM	Atletico Madrid Fan Token	Solana	6.43	6.4096	-0.32%	6.36	-1.09%	0.0031	✓	0.66	564k	2022-01-19
ZRX	0x Protocol	Ethereum	0.720057	0.717773	-0.32%	0.684968	-4.87%	0.0286	✓	1.10	2.4M	2022-01-19
IOTA	IOTA	IOTA	1.1015	1.098	-0.32%	1.0492	-4.75%	0.0296	✓	0.96	23.2M	2022-01-19
ZEC	Zcash	Zcash	131.97	131.5433	-0.32%	125.87	-4.62%	0.0239	✓	1.22	10.6M	2022-01-19
XVG	Verge	native	0.01322	0.013177	-0.33%	0.01267	-4.16%	0.0187	✓	1.24	2.0M	2022-01-19
XYO	XYO Network	Ethereum	0.027164	0.027075	-0.33%	0.026624	-1.99%	0.0002	✓	1.03	5.2M	2022-01-19
BCHSV	Bitcoin Cash SV		108.41	108.0464	-0.34%	109.45	+0.96%	0.0285	✗	0.94	1.9M	2022-01-19
ZEN	Horizen	Base	52.32	52.1411	-0.34%	49.93	-4.57%	0.0200	✓	1.41	642k	2022-01-19
AMP	Amp	Ethereum	0.03887	0.038735	-0.35%	0.03718	-4.35%	0.0263	✓	0.89	8.4M	2022-01-19
CELL	Cellframe	Ethereum	1.0352	1.0315	-0.36%	1.0457	+1.01%	0.0316	✗	1.08	108k	2022-01-19
AAVE	Aave	Ethereum	232.45	231.6238	-0.36%	210.15	-9.59%	0.0782	✓	1.15	17.6M	2022-01-19
OMG	OMG Network	Ethereum	5.9429	5.9216	-0.36%	5.4486	-8.32%	0.0640	✓	1.16	457k	2022-01-19
ALGO	Algorand	Algorand	1.3179	1.3131	-0.37%	1.2659	-3.95%	0.0178	✓	1.14	30.5M	2022-01-19
TRAC	OriginTrail	Ethereum	0.9593	0.955734	-0.37%	0.9271	-3.36%	0.0072	✓	1.40	1.5M	2022-01-19
CVC	Civic	Ethereum	0.3128	0.311635	-0.37%	0.2983	-4.64%	0.0267	✓	1.03	397k	2022-01-19
ENJ	Enjin Coin	Ethereum	2.277	2.2684	-0.38%	2.219	-2.55%	0.0037	✓	1.11	2.0M	2022-01-19
CHZ	Chiliz	Ethereum	0.259	0.258017	-0.38%	0.2463	-4.90%	0.0247	✓	1.31	4.0M	2022-01-19
ACH	Alchemy Pay	Ethereum	0.052076	0.051876	-0.38%	0.051115	-1.85%	0.0046	✗	1.17	9.0M	2022-01-19
AGLD	Adventure Gold	Ethereum	1.28	1.2751	-0.39%	1.17	-8.59%	0.0590	✓	1.63	556k	2022-01-19
AVAX	Avalanche	Avalanche	86.02	85.685	-0.39%	82.64	-3.93%	0.0175	✓	1.13	100.4M	2022-01-19
RAD	Radworks	Ethereum	7.44	7.4108	-0.39%	7.01	-5.78%	0.0411	✓	0.88	1.1M	2022-01-19
OG	OG Fan Token	Solana	4.117	4.1006	-0.40%	3.956	-3.91%	0.0230	✓	0.78	1.1M	2022-01-19
UOS	Ultra	Ethereum	1.236	1.2311	-0.40%	1.1693	-5.40%	0.0341	✓	1.05	2.6M	2022-01-19
VSYS	V.SYSTEMS	native	0.01679	0.016723	-0.40%	0.01585	-5.60%	0.0425	✓	0.67	23k	2022-01-19
SANTOS	Santos FC Fan Token	Binance Smart Chain	3.378	3.3645	-0.40%	3.282	-2.84%	0.0038	✓	1.73	1.2M	2022-01-19
SUSHI	Sushi	Ethereum	6.21	6.1847	-0.41%	6.05	-2.58%	0.0008	✓	1.28	17.7M	2022-01-19
MASK	Mask Network	Ethereum	8.78	8.7442	-0.41%	8.43	-3.99%	0.0249	✓	0.71	995k	2022-01-19
GITCOIN	GITCOIN		11.382	11.3355	-0.41%	10.274	-9.73%	0.0965	✓	0.11	44k	2022-01-19
GODS	Gods Unchained	Ethereum	3.25	3.2367	-0.41%	3.1	-4.62%	0.0227	✓	1.24	2.8M	2022-01-19
NAKA	Nakamoto Games	Polygon	0.8648	0.861205	-0.42%	0.7592	-12.21%	0.1085	✓	1.06	2.6M	2022-01-19
FTT	FTX	Ethereum	44.97	44.7774	-0.43%	46.67	+3.78%	0.0591	✗	1.07	23.6M	2022-01-19
CITY	Manchester City Fan Token	Solana	10.34	10.2956	-0.43%	10.22	-1.16%	0.0050	✗	0.75	872k	2022-01-19
IMX	Immutable	Ethereum	3.72	3.704	-0.43%	3.56	-4.30%	0.0157	✓	1.45	2.2M	2022-01-19
LSK	Lisk	Ethereum	2.0816	2.0726	-0.43%	2.0509	-1.47%	0.0067	✗	1.04	89k	2022-01-19
BFC	Bifrost	Ethereum	0.19779	0.196935	-0.43%	0.19913	+0.68%	0.0368	✗	1.55	6,446	2022-01-19
MANA	Decentraland	Ethereum	2.859	2.8465	-0.44%	2.7346	-4.35%	0.0232	✓	1.02	4.6M	2022-01-19
MINA	Mina Protocol	native	3.45	3.4337	-0.47%	3.39	-1.74%	0.0047	✓	1.06	811k	2022-01-19
CTSI	Cartesi	Ethereum	0.6093	0.606364	-0.48%	0.5784	-5.07%	0.0245	✓	1.38	2.7M	2022-01-19
OGN	Origin Token	Ethereum	0.499	0.496595	-0.48%	0.469	-6.01%	0.0359	✓	1.28	1.8M	2022-01-19
LUNA	Terra	Terra 2	80.49	80.071	-0.52%	81.27	+0.97%	0.0460	✗	1.88	7.6M	2022-01-19
POWR	Powerledger	Ethereum	0.6027	0.599549	-0.52%	0.5701	-5.41%	0.0274	✓	1.39	1.5M	2022-01-19
LPT	Livepeer	Ethereum	34.09	33.9095	-0.53%	32.43	-4.87%	0.0172	✓	1.66	2.7M	2022-01-19
ACM	AC Milan Fan Token	Solana	4.936	4.9098	-0.53%	4.793	-2.90%	0.0132	✓	0.66	469k	2022-01-19
CWEB	Coinweb	Ethereum	0.076024	0.07562	-0.53%	0.07511	-1.20%	0.0098	✗	1.00	1.1M	2022-01-19
ATOM	Cosmos Hub	Cosmos	38.27	38.0575	-0.56%	37.07	-3.14%	0.0103	✓	0.96	98.5M	2022-01-19
ADA	Cardano	Cardano	1.4589	1.4498	-0.63%	1.3366	-8.38%	0.0633	✓	1.09	98.5M	2022-01-19
YFI	yearn.finance	Ethereum	32,596.41	32,388.08	-0.64%	32,142.29	-1.39%	0.0038	✓	0.69	22.2M	2022-01-19
METRONOME	METRONOME		4.0803	4.053	-0.67%	3.9939	-2.12%	0.0033	✓	0.69	2,257	2022-01-19
CRV	Curve DAO	Ethereum	4.56	4.5275	-0.71%	4.19	-8.11%	0.0548	✓	1.37	32.4M	2022-01-19
GTC	Gitcoin	Ethereum	11.41	11.3267	-0.73%	10.21	-10.52%	0.1009	✓	0.18	2.8M	2022-01-19
PHA	PHALA	Ethereum	0.376	0.373171	-0.75%	0.349	-7.18%	0.0543	✓	0.77	47k	2022-01-19
BICO	Biconomy	Ethereum	3.54	3.512	-0.79%	3.33	-5.93%	0.0320	✓	1.28	8.5M	2022-01-19
ETC	Ethereum Classic	native	32.64	32.382	-0.79%	31.27	-4.20%	0.0179	✓	1.03	3.0M	2022-01-19
DUSK	DUSK	Ethereum	0.9154	0.906764	-0.94%	0.8466	-7.52%	0.0398	✓	1.74	48.9M	2022-01-19
API3	Api3	Ethereum	4.64	4.5856	-1.17%	4.35	-6.25%	0.0369	✓	0.95	471k	2022-01-19
COTI	COTI	Ethereum	0.4092	0.404224	-1.22%	0.366	-10.56%	0.0758	✓	1.42	4.1M	2022-01-19

Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.