2022-01-10 · +1d

gru_s0 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 139 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.

+1d +7d +30d asset cohort only

rank IC

+0.1282

139 of 139 tokens assessed

long-short decile

+5.77%

realised beta-adjusted alpha

direction hit

33.8%

in alpha space · 18.0% on raw price

BTC over horizon

+2.22%

the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (139 rows, sorted by pred)

token	name	chain	anchor px	pred px ▾	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d	vol 30d	target
NAKA	Nakamoto Games	Polygon	0.9491	0.954325	+0.55%	0.9389	-1.07%	0.0369	✗	0.94	3.2M	2022-01-11
ENS	Ethereum Name Service	Ethereum	25.38	25.4515	+0.28%	26.75	+5.40%	0.0096	✓	1.83	5.4M	2022-01-11
PEOPLE	ConstitutionDAO	Ethereum	0.0772	0.077396	+0.25%	0.077	-0.26%	0.0271	✗	1.00	33.0M	2022-01-11
MTL	Metal DAO	Metal L2	1.785	1.788	+0.17%	1.86	+4.20%	0.0146	✓	1.13	2.3M	2022-01-11
TRX	TRON	Tron	0.063485	0.063564	+0.12%	0.064934	+2.28%	0.0008	✓	0.93	552k	2022-01-11
SANTOS	Santos FC Fan Token	Binance Smart Chain	2.704	2.7072	+0.12%	3.766	+39.28%	0.2958	✓	1.56	1.2M	2022-01-11
SOL	Solana	Solana	135.89	136.0097	+0.09%	140.27	+3.22%	0.0085	✓	1.02	194.0M	2022-01-11
DUSK	DUSK	Ethereum	0.6017	0.602173	+0.08%	0.6826	+13.45%	0.0872	✓	1.74	38.7M	2022-01-11
DOGE	Dogecoin	Dogecoin	0.143133	0.143228	+0.07%	0.153722	+7.40%	0.0470	✓	1.08	4.8M	2022-01-11
SHIB	Shiba Inu	Ethereum	0.0000267	0.000026715	+0.06%	0.00002762	+3.45%	0.0061	✓	1.24	1.7M	2022-01-11
GODS	Gods Unchained	Ethereum	3.13	3.1312	+0.04%	2.93	-6.39%	0.0945	✗	1.28	3.2M	2022-01-11
DYDX	dYdX	Cosmos	6.4	6.4022	+0.03%	7.094	+10.84%	0.0758	✓	1.22	271k	2022-01-11
AXS	Axie Infinity	Ethereum	68.4	68.4185	+0.03%	72.75	+6.36%	0.0387	✓	1.03	6.4M	2022-01-11
BEL	Bella Protocol	Ethereum	1.188	1.1883	+0.02%	1.273	+7.15%	0.0399	✓	1.32	2.9M	2022-01-11
ETH	Ethereum	Ethereum	3,083.51	3,084.25	+0.02%	3,240.83	+5.10%	0.0268	✓	1.03	591.9M	2022-01-11
BAR	FC Barcelona Fan Token	Solana	7.57	7.5715	+0.02%	8	+5.68%	0.0419	✓	0.60	714k	2022-01-11
SPELL	Spell	Ethereum	0.01395	0.013952	+0.01%	0.01458	+4.52%	0.0081	✗	2.37	26.8M	2022-01-11
FIL	Filecoin	Filecoin	28.14	28.1431	+0.01%	28.89	+2.67%	0.0034	✓	1.04	18.5M	2022-01-11
SNX	Synthetix	Ethereum	4.88	4.88	+0.00%	5.08	+4.10%	0.0152	✓	1.13	3.3M	2022-01-11
GT	Gate	Ethereum	6.1496	6.1492	-0.01%	6.4129	+4.28%	0.0247	✗	0.79	3.7M	2022-01-11
DKA	dKargo	Ethereum	0.09834	0.098328	-0.01%	0.10496	+6.73%	0.0411	✗	1.10	23k	2022-01-11
CTK	Shentu	Osmosis	1.327	1.3268	-0.02%	1.398	+5.35%	0.0230	✗	1.33	5.2M	2022-01-11
LTC	Litecoin	Litecoin	126.52	126.4994	-0.02%	131.67	+4.07%	0.0109	✗	1.33	35.1M	2022-01-11
API3	Api3	Ethereum	3.57	3.5691	-0.02%	3.54	-0.84%	0.0235	✓	0.70	493k	2022-01-11
XEC	eCash	native	0.00009039	0.000090367	-0.03%	0.00009356	+3.51%	0.0131	✗	0.99	6.7M	2022-01-11
XYM	Symbol	native	0.1815	0.181448	-0.03%	0.2062	+13.61%	0.1135	✗	0.65	410k	2022-01-11
EWT	Energy Web Token	Ethereum	7.507	7.5042	-0.04%	8.221	+9.51%	0.0766	✗	0.67	231k	2022-01-11
GITCOIN	GITCOIN		10.645	10.641	-0.04%	11.203	+5.24%	0.0496	✗	0.08	56k	2022-01-11
NANO	nanopay	Base	2.8841	2.8829	-0.04%	3.0312	+5.10%	0.0265	✗	1.07	665k	2022-01-11
ASR	AS Roma Fan Token	Solana	3.579	3.5772	-0.05%	3.818	+6.68%	0.0503	✗	0.68	514k	2022-01-11
BCH	Bitcoin Cash	Bitcoin Cash	363.56	363.3321	-0.06%	369.84	+1.73%	0.0041	✓	1.00	8.5M	2022-01-11
TRB	Tellor Tributes	Ethereum	28.01	27.9919	-0.06%	29.43	+5.07%	0.0181	✗	1.45	1.0M	2022-01-11
NMR	Numeraire	Ethereum	27.36	27.3397	-0.07%	28.42	+3.87%	0.0242	✗	0.66	370k	2022-01-11
KCS	KuCoin	native	19.007	18.9928	-0.07%	19.378	+1.95%	0.0152	✓	1.60	13.0M	2022-01-11
LAZIO	Lazio Fan Token	Binance Smart Chain	3.8683	3.8654	-0.08%	4.1768	+7.98%	0.0498	✗	1.26	4.2M	2022-01-11
LCX	LCX	Ethereum	0.1409	0.140789	-0.08%	0.1471	+4.40%	0.0167	✗	1.23	2.1M	2022-01-11
XEM	NEM	native	0.1116	0.111511	-0.08%	0.1145	+2.60%	0.0043	✗	1.01	67k	2022-01-11
DEXE	DeXe	Ethereum	9.5	9.4913	-0.09%	9.73	+2.42%	0.0262	✗	-0.06	1.8M	2022-01-11
OXT	Orchid Protocol	Ethereum	0.299	0.29871	-0.10%	0.3101	+3.71%	0.0098	✗	1.26	2.3M	2022-01-11
METRONOME	METRONOME		3.7258	3.7222	-0.10%	3.8424	+3.13%	0.0167	✗	0.69	3,355	2022-01-11
XPR	XPR Network	Ethereum	0.01401	0.013996	-0.10%	0.01475	+5.28%	0.0245	✗	1.27	2.2M	2022-01-11
MED	Medibloc	Osmosis	0.0467	0.046654	-0.10%	0.04765	+2.03%	0.0024	✓	1.07	17k	2022-01-11
LRC	Loopring	Ethereum	1.468	1.4665	-0.10%	1.4915	+1.60%	0.0248	✓	1.90	1.4M	2022-01-11
LEO	LEO Token	Ethereum	3.7419	3.738	-0.11%	3.7323	-0.26%	0.0003	✓	-0.08	364k	2022-01-11
RLC	iExec RLC	Ethereum	2.73	2.7271	-0.11%	2.8	+2.56%	0.0023	✓	1.31	3.2M	2022-01-11
PORTO	FC Porto	Binance Smart Chain	2.8409	2.8377	-0.11%	3.1857	+12.14%	0.0902	✗	1.16	2.5M	2022-01-11
SKL	SKALE	Ethereum	0.1582	0.158017	-0.12%	0.1605	+1.45%	0.0108	✓	1.20	4.2M	2022-01-11
AAVE	Aave	Ethereum	199.9	199.6672	-0.12%	213.29	+6.70%	0.0415	✗	1.11	17.6M	2022-01-11
ORBS	Orbs	Ethereum	0.0707	0.070616	-0.12%	0.076	+7.50%	0.0509	✗	1.03	19k	2022-01-11
XMR	Monero	Monero	182.5	182.2768	-0.12%	193.01	+5.76%	0.0362	✗	0.96	2.9M	2022-01-11
AUCTION	Bounce	Ethereum	20.09	20.0654	-0.12%	20.39	+1.49%	0.0001	✓	0.73	1.1M	2022-01-11
DNT	district0x	Ethereum	0.108	0.107867	-0.12%	0.1102	+2.04%	0.0029	✓	1.11	296k	2022-01-11
CELL	Cellframe	Ethereum	0.8077	0.806695	-0.12%	0.8921	+10.45%	0.0787	✗	1.00	129k	2022-01-11
SC	Siacoin	native	0.01297	0.012953	-0.13%	0.0135	+4.09%	0.0201	✗	0.97	756k	2022-01-11
UNI	Uniswap	Ethereum	15.11	15.0902	-0.13%	15.98	+5.76%	0.0295	✗	1.26	13.1M	2022-01-11
AGLD	Adventure Gold	Ethereum	1.34	1.3382	-0.13%	1.36	+1.49%	0.0201	✓	1.65	764k	2022-01-11
UOS	Ultra	Ethereum	1.1319	1.1304	-0.13%	1.2365	+9.24%	0.0677	✗	1.00	3.3M	2022-01-11
QNT	Quant	Ethereum	166.33	166.1043	-0.14%	169.57	+1.95%	0.0002	✓	0.93	7.6M	2022-01-11
XLM	Stellar	Stellar	0.253061	0.252713	-0.14%	0.263177	+4.00%	0.0184	✗	1.01	24.0M	2022-01-11
DODO	DODO	Ethereum	0.704	0.702995	-0.14%	0.747	+6.11%	0.0300	✗	1.40	7.7M	2022-01-11
1INCH	1INCH	Ethereum	2.07	2.067	-0.14%	2.15	+3.86%	0.0166	✗	1.03	3.4M	2022-01-11
JUV	Juventus Fan Token	Solana	7.61	7.5988	-0.15%	8.1	+6.44%	0.0479	✗	0.72	705k	2022-01-11
DOT	Polkadot	Polkadot	23.72	23.6838	-0.15%	25.55	+7.72%	0.0479	✗	1.27	70.4M	2022-01-11
CBK	Cobak	Ethereum	2.717	2.7128	-0.15%	2.765	+1.77%	0.0006	✓	0.89	31k	2022-01-11
XVS	Venus	Ethereum	13.18	13.1597	-0.15%	13.71	+4.02%	0.0162	✗	1.13	3.4M	2022-01-11
SUPER	SuperVerse	Ethereum	0.94	0.938552	-0.15%	0.96	+2.13%	0.0158	✓	1.75	1.6M	2022-01-11
QTUM	Qtum	Qtum	7.2356	7.224	-0.16%	7.521	+3.95%	0.0104	✗	1.36	268k	2022-01-11
BTC	Bitcoin	Bitcoin	41,824.07	41,756.34	-0.16%	42,753.44	+2.22%	0.0016	✓	1.00	750.1M	2022-01-11
KNC	Kyber Network Crystal	Ethereum	1.3749	1.3727	-0.16%	1.3709	-0.29%	0.0204	✓	0.87	922k	2022-01-11
ETC	Ethereum Classic	native	28.48	28.4332	-0.16%	29.69	+4.25%	0.0213	✗	1.00	3.2M	2022-01-11
PHA	PHALA	Ethereum	0.343	0.342427	-0.17%	0.361	+5.25%	0.0372	✗	0.71	38k	2022-01-11
SUN	Sun Token	Tron	0.018158	0.018128	-0.17%	0.018697	+2.97%	0.0039	✗	1.23	2.5M	2022-01-11
KSM	Kusama	Hydration	242.17	241.7556	-0.17%	260.77	+7.68%	0.0511	✗	1.12	1.3M	2022-01-11
GRT	The Graph	Ethereum	0.5425	0.541568	-0.17%	0.5691	+4.90%	0.0233	✗	1.20	12.5M	2022-01-11
TWT	Trust Wallet	Binance Smart Chain	0.6318	0.630676	-0.18%	0.6511	+3.05%	0.0048	✗	1.23	4.4M	2022-01-11
OMG	OMG Network	Ethereum	5.1021	5.0929	-0.18%	5.328	+4.43%	0.0202	✗	1.13	446k	2022-01-11
XTZ	Tezos	Tezos	4.0324	4.025	-0.18%	4.1752	+3.54%	0.0074	✗	1.33	4.6M	2022-01-11
ASM	Assemble AI	Ethereum	0.07934	0.079194	-0.18%	0.07976	+0.53%	0.0244	✓	1.44	2.5M	2022-01-11
RAD	Radworks	Ethereum	7.85	7.8349	-0.19%	8.01	+2.04%	0.0025	✗	0.89	1.1M	2022-01-11
BCHSV	Bitcoin Cash SV		105.99	105.7847	-0.19%	110.22	+3.99%	0.0206	✗	0.93	2.6M	2022-01-11
XVG	Verge	native	0.01312	0.013094	-0.20%	0.01386	+5.64%	0.0304	✗	1.20	2.1M	2022-01-11
COMP	Compound	Ethereum	182.25	181.8907	-0.20%	188.96	+3.68%	0.0133	✗	1.13	180k	2022-01-11
VSYS	V.SYSTEMS	native	0.0154	0.015369	-0.20%	0.01644	+6.75%	0.0540	✗	0.61	29k	2022-01-11
ARPA	ARPA	Ethereum	0.0794	0.079238	-0.20%	0.0824	+3.78%	0.0088	✗	1.38	1.2M	2022-01-11
AVAX	Avalanche	Avalanche	84.46	84.2813	-0.21%	89.66	+6.16%	0.0379	✗	1.09	115.7M	2022-01-11
ATM	Atletico Madrid Fan Token	Solana	6.41	6.396	-0.22%	6.78	+5.77%	0.0444	✗	0.63	645k	2022-01-11
ANKR	Ankr Network	Ethereum	0.08602	0.085832	-0.22%	0.09134	+6.18%	0.0471	✗	0.68	52k	2022-01-11
HIVE	Hive	native	1.2679	1.2651	-0.22%	1.3102	+3.34%	0.0050	✗	1.37	4.5M	2022-01-11
BNT	Bancor Network	Ethereum	3.13	3.123	-0.22%	3.2	+2.24%	0.0032	✗	0.96	977k	2022-01-11
BAND	Band	Ethereum	5.04	5.0287	-0.22%	5.14	+1.98%	0.0018	✓	1.08	2.2M	2022-01-11
JASMY	JasmyCoin	Ethereum	0.06891	0.068756	-0.22%	0.07076	+2.68%	0.0021	✓	1.21	16.9M	2022-01-11
ADA	Cardano	Cardano	1.1235	1.121	-0.22%	1.1879	+5.73%	0.0346	✗	1.07	95.6M	2022-01-11
CERE	Cere Network	Ethereum	0.0556	0.055472	-0.23%	0.0574	+3.24%	0.0048	✗	1.34	1.5M	2022-01-11
ACM	AC Milan Fan Token	Solana	4.513	4.5025	-0.23%	4.814	+6.67%	0.0533	✗	0.62	474k	2022-01-11
ZEN	Horizen	Base	53.33	53.2041	-0.24%	56.11	+5.21%	0.0224	✗	1.40	736k	2022-01-11
ZRX	0x Protocol	Ethereum	0.689086	0.687433	-0.24%	0.718632	+4.29%	0.0205	✗	1.09	2.6M	2022-01-11
PSG	Paris Saint-Germain Fan Token	Solana	14.26	14.2255	-0.24%	14.78	+3.65%	0.0239	✗	0.65	1.1M	2022-01-11
BAT	Basic Attention	Ethereum	0.99938	0.996893	-0.25%	1.0548	+5.54%	0.0183	✗	1.74	1.0M	2022-01-11
TKO	Tokocrypto	Binance Smart Chain	1.031	1.0284	-0.25%	1.045	+1.36%	0.0046	✓	0.94	2.2M	2022-01-11
MINA	Mina Protocol	native	3.2	3.192	-0.25%	3.45	+7.81%	0.0555	✗	1.01	715k	2022-01-11
RIF	Rootstock Infrastructure Framework	Ethereum	0.1739	0.173444	-0.26%	0.1778	+2.24%	0.0052	✗	0.89	479k	2022-01-11
IOTA	IOTA	IOTA	1.1115	1.1085	-0.27%	1.141	+2.65%	0.0079	✗	0.95	22.7M	2022-01-11
LSK	Lisk	Ethereum	2.0021	1.9967	-0.27%	2.1025	+5.02%	0.0290	✗	1.03	83k	2022-01-11
CHZ	Chiliz	Ethereum	0.251	0.250311	-0.27%	0.2641	+5.22%	0.0251	✗	1.30	4.6M	2022-01-11
UMA	UMA	Ethereum	8.37	8.3463	-0.28%	8.65	+3.35%	0.0147	✗	0.96	4.4M	2022-01-11
WBTC	Wrapped Bitcoin	Ethereum	41,624.60	41,504.51	-0.29%	42,770.20	+2.75%	0.0086	✗	0.98	12k	2022-01-11
BFC	Bifrost	Ethereum	0.17081	0.170312	-0.29%	0.17303	+1.30%	0.0182	✓	1.55	4,992	2022-01-11
STORJ	Storj	Ethereum	1.5156	1.5111	-0.29%	1.5924	+5.07%	0.0336	✗	0.85	647k	2022-01-11
MOVR	Moonriver	Base	155.6792	155.2098	-0.30%	165.565	+6.35%	0.0432	✗	0.97	515k	2022-01-11
SUSHI	Sushi	Ethereum	6.56	6.5398	-0.31%	6.99	+6.55%	0.0384	✗	1.28	18.2M	2022-01-11
GTC	Gitcoin	Ethereum	10.7	10.6669	-0.31%	11.23	+4.95%	0.0483	✗	0.14	2.8M	2022-01-11
ENJ	Enjin Coin	Ethereum	2.167	2.1601	-0.32%	2.311	+6.65%	0.0443	✗	1.06	1.9M	2022-01-11
AMP	Amp	Ethereum	0.04207	0.041934	-0.32%	0.04184	-0.55%	0.0219	✓	0.89	8.2M	2022-01-11
XYO	XYO Network	Ethereum	0.027645	0.027554	-0.33%	0.029265	+5.86%	0.0378	✗	1.02	6.3M	2022-01-11
COTI	COTI	Ethereum	0.3129	0.311841	-0.34%	0.3363	+7.48%	0.0442	✗	1.42	4.1M	2022-01-11
ZEC	Zcash	Zcash	141.24	140.7618	-0.34%	141.38	+0.10%	0.0233	✓	1.26	10.9M	2022-01-11
LINK	Chainlink	Ethereum	27.98	27.8847	-0.34%	26.6	-4.93%	0.0725	✓	1.15	69.7M	2022-01-11
OG	OG Fan Token	Solana	4.203	4.1885	-0.34%	4.382	+4.26%	0.0283	✗	0.77	1.1M	2022-01-11
ALGO	Algorand	Algorand	1.3624	1.3576	-0.35%	1.4467	+6.19%	0.0394	✗	1.10	32.1M	2022-01-11
CTSI	Cartesi	Ethereum	0.55	0.547995	-0.36%	0.5799	+5.44%	0.0271	✗	1.34	2.7M	2022-01-11
MASK	Mask Network	Ethereum	8.92	8.8872	-0.37%	9.67	+8.41%	0.0701	✗	0.65	1.2M	2022-01-11
ICP	Internet Computer	Ethereum	34.29	34.1614	-0.37%	34.45	+0.47%	0.0220	✓	1.38	28.0M	2022-01-11
LUNA	Terra	Terra 2	69.46	69.1882	-0.39%	73.57	+5.92%	0.0394	✗	1.00	7.2M	2022-01-11
TRAC	OriginTrail	Ethereum	1.0287	1.0246	-0.39%	1.025	-0.36%	0.0305	✓	1.40	1.5M	2022-01-11
CITY	Manchester City Fan Token	Solana	9.84	9.801	-0.40%	10.19	+3.56%	0.0227	✗	0.74	994k	2022-01-11
MANA	Decentraland	Ethereum	2.818	2.8065	-0.41%	2.9312	+4.02%	0.0216	✗	1.00	5.5M	2022-01-11
DASH	Dash	Dash	148.17	147.5525	-0.42%	141.85	-4.27%	0.0661	✓	1.22	2.1M	2022-01-11
FTT	FTX	Ethereum	38.11	37.9473	-0.43%	39.78	+4.38%	0.0243	✗	1.04	20.0M	2022-01-11
CVC	Civic	Ethereum	0.3128	0.311309	-0.48%	0.3228	+3.20%	0.0143	✗	1.00	397k	2022-01-11
OGN	Origin Token	Ethereum	0.497	0.49462	-0.48%	0.516	+3.82%	0.0145	✗	1.27	2.1M	2022-01-11
YFI	yearn.finance	Ethereum	32,010.24	31,853.49	-0.49%	32,768.96	+2.37%	0.0141	✗	0.65	26.4M	2022-01-11
LPT	Livepeer	Ethereum	33.37	33.2039	-0.50%	36.84	+10.40%	0.0683	✗	1.62	2.8M	2022-01-11
IMX	Immutable	Ethereum	3.79	3.7708	-0.51%	3.61	-4.75%	0.0752	✓	1.44	2.4M	2022-01-11
CWEB	Coinweb	Ethereum	0.08637	0.085932	-0.51%	0.086423	+0.06%	0.0163	✓	1.00	3.0M	2022-01-11
CRV	Curve DAO	Ethereum	4.32	4.2921	-0.65%	4.61	+6.71%	0.0413	✗	1.37	30.4M	2022-01-11
ATOM	Cosmos Hub	Cosmos	37.83	37.5585	-0.72%	38.71	+2.33%	0.0101	✗	0.92	57.0M	2022-01-11
BICO	Biconomy	Ethereum	3.48	3.4535	-0.76%	3.57	+2.59%	0.0059	✓	1.24	9.3M	2022-01-11
POWR	Powerledger	Ethereum	0.6249	0.617488	-1.19%	0.6261	+0.19%	0.0185	✓	1.47	650k	2022-01-11
ACH	Alchemy Pay	Ethereum	0.081082	0.078275	-3.46%	0.064925	-19.93%	0.2153	✓	1.29	7.3M	2022-01-11

Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.