8=======>

2022-05-26 · +1d

beta_5y · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 169 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.0625
169 of 169 tokens assessed
long-short decile
-0.31%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
60.4%
in alpha space · 72.6% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-1.95%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (169 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
LUNATerraTerra 20.000132020.000132468+0.34%0.00012128-8.14%0.0314✗2.895.5M2022-05-27
DYDXdYdXCosmos1.741.7431+0.18%1.672-3.91%0.0113✗1.54110k2022-05-27
YFIyearn.financeEthereum7,746.417,757.23+0.14%7,378.82-4.75%0.0261✗1.223.4M2022-05-27
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche23.423.4306+0.13%22.55-3.63%0.0094✗1.4752.0M2022-05-27
GALAGALAEthereum0.07280.072876+0.10%0.0698-4.12%0.0094✗1.72188k2022-05-27
COMPCompoundEthereum59.2559.3092+0.10%55.48-6.36%0.0391✗1.4130k2022-05-27
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.32.3022+0.09%2.23-3.04%0.0034✓1.79354k2022-05-27
WOOWOOEthereum0.17390.174022+0.07%0.1638-5.81%0.0402✗1.031,8912022-05-27
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.13780.137879+0.06%0.1359-1.38%0.0152✓1.518.6M2022-05-27
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.691.6908+0.05%1.65-2.37%0.0095✓1.73634k2022-05-27
MOVRMoonriverBase21.838621.848+0.04%20.7064-5.18%0.0250✗1.46239k2022-05-27
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.12850.128552+0.04%0.1228-4.44%0.0139✗1.625.4M2022-05-27
LPTLivepeerEthereum12.0812.0846+0.04%12.04-0.33%0.0201✓1.21674k2022-05-27
ARPAARPAEthereum0.03120.031211+0.04%0.0294-5.77%0.0316✗1.43224k2022-05-27
MINAMina Protocolnative0.860.860273+0.03%0.81-5.81%0.0307✗1.50760k2022-05-27
BANDBandEthereum1.5371.5375+0.03%1.429-7.03%0.0436✗1.50413k2022-05-27
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum2.7022.7026+0.02%2.549-5.66%0.0364✗1.1290k2022-05-27
LTCLitecoinLitecoin63.4263.4332+0.02%61.51-3.01%0.0074✗1.1919.8M2022-05-27
ADACardanoCardano0.47850.478599+0.02%0.4562-4.66%0.0214✗1.3544.7M2022-05-27
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash179.2179.2356+0.02%174.68-2.52%0.0029✗1.164.7M2022-05-27
GMTGMTEthereum0.920.920019+0.00%1.042+13.26%0.1442✓1.004.0M2022-05-27
SOLSolanaSolana43.4243.42-0.00%41.09-5.37%0.0266✓1.4599.6M2022-05-27
SKLSKALEEthereum0.06680.0668-0.00%0.0628-5.99%0.0292✓1.652.3M2022-05-27
XVSVenusEthereum4.384.3799-0.00%4.21-3.88%0.0061✓1.702.2M2022-05-27
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.008670.008669-0.01%0.0084-3.11%0.0164✓0.77176k2022-05-27
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.6042.6038-0.01%2.506-3.76%0.0083✓1.53284k2022-05-27
APEApeCoinEthereum6.3716.3705-0.01%6.076-4.63%0.0013✓2.3454.9M2022-05-27
TRBTellor TributesEthereum8.758.7491-0.01%8.58-1.94%0.0122✗1.61183k2022-05-27
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.3460.345963-0.01%0.341-1.45%0.0073✗1.101.0M2022-05-27
KSMKusamaHydration69.6569.6425-0.01%66.43-4.62%0.0229✓1.241.4M2022-05-27
ZECZcashZcash87.5187.4987-0.01%85.85-1.90%0.0065✗1.305.1M2022-05-27
UMAUMAEthereum3.0743.0734-0.02%3.101+0.88%0.0423✗1.702.0M2022-05-27
STXStacksnative0.530.529903-0.02%0.51-3.77%0.0167✓1.10240k2022-05-27
GLMRMoonbeamBase1.1631.1628-0.02%1.17+0.60%0.0398✗1.71503k2022-05-27
PHAPHALAEthereum0.12570.125676-0.02%0.1238-1.51%0.0078✗1.1617k2022-05-27
LCXLCXEthereum0.06030.060288-0.02%0.0592-1.82%0.0055✗1.21404k2022-05-27
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.188250.188213-0.02%0.1759-6.56%0.0350✓1.66298k2022-05-27
QNTQuantEthereum63.4663.4454-0.02%62.1-2.14%0.0007✓1.063.3M2022-05-27
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum19.4819.4741-0.03%18.16-6.78%0.0426✓1.393.1M2022-05-27
LINKChainlinkEthereum6.576.568-0.03%6.28-4.41%0.0185✓1.3418.8M2022-05-27
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.004060.004059-0.03%0.00407+0.25%0.0260✗1.181.9M2022-05-27
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.5110.510833-0.03%0.48-6.07%0.0317✓1.55819k2022-05-27
STORJStorjEthereum0.527030.526849-0.03%0.50493-4.19%0.0133✓1.4868k2022-05-27
BFCBifrostEthereum0.066740.066716-0.04%0.06478-2.94%0.0082✓1.0816k2022-05-27
NMRNumeraireEthereum11.8311.8252-0.04%11.61-1.86%0.0008✓0.89547k2022-05-27
CVCCivicEthereum0.16290.162829-0.04%0.1546-5.10%0.0248✓1.38359k2022-05-27
DIADIAEthereum0.424390.42418-0.05%0.42762+0.76%0.0204✗0.62105k2022-05-27
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.372190.372005-0.05%0.35742-3.97%0.0147✓1.29200k2022-05-27
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos9.69.5951-0.05%9.26-3.54%0.0074✓1.4320.1M2022-05-27
XVGVergenative0.004790.004787-0.05%0.00467-2.51%0.0037✗1.45837k2022-05-27
GITCOINGITCOIN2.3542.3527-0.06%2.244-4.67%0.0112✓1.8317k2022-05-27
DEXEDeXeEthereum3.013.0082-0.06%3-0.33%0.0167✗0.99736k2022-05-27
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum1.271.2692-0.06%1.22-3.94%0.0182✓1.09113k2022-05-27
COTICOTIEthereum0.1120.111931-0.06%0.1062-5.18%0.0206✓1.621.4M2022-05-27
DOTPolkadotPolkadot9.129.1141-0.06%9.11-0.11%0.0259✗1.3413.2M2022-05-27
SPELLSpellEthereum0.001250.001249-0.07%0.00122-2.40%0.0067✗1.542.7M2022-05-27
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.2051.2042-0.07%1.169-2.99%0.0038✓1.326.8M2022-05-27
FIDABonfidaSolana0.480.479683-0.07%0.467-2.71%0.0033✓1.2028k2022-05-27
FTTFTXEthereum27.5427.5206-0.07%26.42-4.07%0.0219✓0.9610.2M2022-05-27
MANADecentralandEthereum0.988180.987462-0.07%0.92636-6.26%0.0332✓1.561.2M2022-05-27
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.6160.615525-0.08%0.653+6.01%0.0891✗1.531.7M2022-05-27
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV48.98748.949-0.08%47.99-2.04%0.0007✓0.971.4M2022-05-27
DASHDashDash58.1158.0644-0.08%54.72-5.83%0.0362✓1.181.2M2022-05-27
NANOnanopayBase1.04541.0446-0.08%1.0571+1.11%0.0367✗1.26164k2022-05-27
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.3390.338723-0.08%0.318-6.19%0.0276✓1.811.9M2022-05-27
FILFilecoinFilecoin7.627.6136-0.08%7.21-5.38%0.0291✓1.294.6M2022-05-27
XEMNEMnative0.04830.048259-0.08%0.0469-2.90%0.0017✓1.3731k2022-05-27
AMPAmpEthereum0.012280.012269-0.09%0.01145-6.76%0.0490✓1.022.5M2022-05-27
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.6280.627398-0.10%0.59-6.05%0.0321✓1.49238k2022-05-27
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum10.3910.3798-0.10%9.69-6.74%0.0378✓1.576.9M2022-05-27
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum7.37.2927-0.10%6.95-4.79%0.0186✓1.507.5M2022-05-27
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.14090.140756-0.10%0.1403-0.43%0.0294✗1.6697k2022-05-27
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.25250.25224-0.10%0.2504-0.83%0.0174✗1.26311k2022-05-27
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.10670.106589-0.10%0.0943-11.62%0.0873✓1.79561k2022-05-27
QTUMQtumQtum3.79363.7896-0.11%3.7065-2.30%0.0006✓1.1678k2022-05-27
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.9130.91203-0.11%0.895-1.97%0.0025✗1.09658k2022-05-27
BRISEBitgertEthereum5.80e-75.79e-7-0.11%7.40e-7+27.66%0.2652✗1.011.5M2022-05-27
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.30910.308755-0.11%0.3021-2.26%0.0037✗1.308.2M2022-05-27
CELLCellframeEthereum0.34530.344908-0.11%0.3077-10.89%0.0877✓1.3562k2022-05-27
API3Api3Ethereum1.5231.5212-0.12%1.522-0.07%0.0314✗1.571.7M2022-05-27
CTSICartesiEthereum0.18170.181489-0.12%0.1744-4.02%0.0099✓1.52501k2022-05-27
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana3.2933.2891-0.12%3.347+1.64%0.0367✗0.982.0M2022-05-27
XECeCashnative0.000046480.000046425-0.12%0.00004689+0.88%0.0356✗1.305.6M2022-05-27
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum2.35322.3504-0.12%2.3377-0.66%0.0192✗1.2590k2022-05-27
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.57670.576001-0.12%0.6008+4.18%0.0706✗1.454.8M2022-05-27
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.00420.004195-0.13%0.00438+4.29%0.0652✗1.129,8712022-05-27
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.035790.035744-0.13%0.03471-3.02%0.0022✓1.3841k2022-05-27
ZENHorizenBase19.619.5746-0.13%18.86-3.78%0.0066✓1.55155k2022-05-27
BTTCBTTC0.000001060.000001059-0.13%0.00000102-3.77%0.0211✓0.817.7M2022-05-27
UNIUniswapEthereum4.944.9332-0.14%4.69-5.06%0.0269✓1.213.1M2022-05-27
ETHEthereumEthereum1,790.651,788.11-0.14%1,724.83-3.68%0.0157✓1.03407.6M2022-05-27
CTKShentuOsmosis0.7850.783853-0.15%0.779-0.76%0.0155✗1.112.8M2022-05-27
CHZChilizEthereum0.11250.112335-0.15%0.107-4.89%0.0225✓1.331.0M2022-05-27
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.20650.206196-0.15%0.2-3.15%0.0167✓0.70335k2022-05-27
XTZTezosTezos1.86421.8614-0.15%1.8148-2.65%0.0002✓1.281.3M2022-05-27
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.2010.200699-0.15%0.191-4.98%0.0181✓1.601.7M2022-05-27
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.37890.37833-0.15%0.36-4.99%0.0258✓1.2217.0M2022-05-27
GLMGolemEthereum0.24740.24702-0.15%0.2474+0.00%0.0287✗1.38148k2022-05-27
XLMStellarStellar0.124160.123966-0.16%0.120336-3.08%0.0084✓1.0911.0M2022-05-27
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000010640.000010622-0.17%0.00001046-1.69%0.0105✗1.321.1M2022-05-27
RLCiExec RLCEthereum0.790.788653-0.17%0.76-3.80%0.0064✓1.56454k2022-05-27
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.009180.009164-0.17%0.00892-2.83%0.0055✓1.091.1M2022-05-27
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.04830.048215-0.18%0.0467-3.31%0.0070✓1.271.2M2022-05-27
SNXSynthetixEthereum2.3912.3868-0.18%2.455+2.68%0.0622✗1.734.4M2022-05-27
UOSUltraEthereum0.365940.36529-0.18%0.34543-5.60%0.0285✓1.39896k2022-05-27
LEOLEO TokenEthereum4.91674.9078-0.18%4.9181+0.03%0.0070✗0.25294k2022-05-27
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.28490.284381-0.18%0.2626-7.83%0.0551✓1.25434k2022-05-27
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.026670.02662-0.19%0.02644-0.86%0.0134✗1.0316k2022-05-27
ETCEthereum Classicnative21.8721.8288-0.19%22.5+2.88%0.0549✗1.253.9M2022-05-27
LRCLoopringEthereum0.50630.505317-0.19%0.477-5.79%0.0287✓1.48230k2022-05-27
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.5870.58585-0.20%0.575-2.04%0.0108✗1.5016k2022-05-27
HIVEHivenative0.46220.461282-0.20%0.4472-3.25%0.0059✓1.281.4M2022-05-27
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum29,530.7029,466.93-0.22%28,613.00-3.11%0.0102✓0.9880k2022-05-27
LSKLiskEthereum1.18011.1775-0.22%1.1402-3.38%0.0093✓1.1659k2022-05-27
AVTAventusEthereum1.121.1175-0.22%1.07-4.46%0.0275✓0.81177k2022-05-27
GTGateEthereum5.465.4476-0.23%5.23-4.21%0.0308✓0.514.8M2022-05-27
SGBSongbirdnative0.03550.035419-0.23%0.0362+1.97%0.0281✗0.32135k2022-05-27
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.02140.021351-0.23%0.0193-9.81%0.0580✓2.1826.5M2022-05-27
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana4.144.1305-0.23%4.48+8.21%0.0976✗0.83829k2022-05-27
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0174640.017424-0.23%0.016561-5.17%0.0298✓1.073.6M2022-05-27
AAVEAaveEthereum100.94100.6959-0.24%92.29-8.57%0.0573✓1.529.0M2022-05-27
ASTRAstarEthereum0.06010.059952-0.25%0.0541-9.98%0.0772✓1.3083k2022-05-27
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.08660.086387-0.25%0.086-0.69%0.0108✗0.78235k2022-05-27
SUNSun TokenTron0.0090610.009038-0.25%0.00897-1.01%0.0130✗1.056,7672022-05-27
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.011160.011131-0.26%0.01193+6.90%0.0987✗1.5028.1M2022-05-27
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.3866890.385646-0.27%0.36774-4.90%0.0211✓1.345.0M2022-05-27
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.12423.1157-0.27%3.234+3.51%0.0685✗1.597.0M2022-05-27
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0780180.077805-0.27%0.081436+4.38%0.0679✗1.143.8M2022-05-27
SCSiacoinnative0.005620.005604-0.28%0.00541-3.74%0.0047✓1.56359k2022-05-27
XYMSymbolnative0.05710.056937-0.29%0.0527-7.71%0.0623✓0.76153k2022-05-27
SUSHISushiEthereum1.481.4757-0.29%1.43-3.38%0.0017✓1.512.6M2022-05-27
DODODODOEthereum0.1540.15355-0.29%0.132-14.29%0.1206✓1.562.9M2022-05-27
BTCBitcoinBitcoin29,166.0629,079.19-0.30%28,598.31-1.95%0.0030✓1.00708.0M2022-05-27
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0164560.016403-0.32%0.015822-3.85%0.0232✓0.65192k2022-05-27
IMXImmutableEthereum0.8350.832298-0.32%0.85+1.80%0.0522✗1.585.0M2022-05-27
BORABORAKlay Token0.441280.439833-0.33%0.42049-4.71%0.0115✓1.7025k2022-05-27
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.08550.085214-0.33%0.082-4.09%0.0068✓1.61162k2022-05-27
XMRMoneroMonero188.99188.3582-0.33%180.42-4.53%0.0216✓1.092.5M2022-05-27
KCSKuCoinnative15.51415.4609-0.34%15.17-2.22%0.0002✓0.986.6M2022-05-27
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.023880.023796-0.35%0.0232-2.85%0.0135✓0.61564k2022-05-27
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.9521.9451-0.35%1.791-8.25%0.0447✓1.93649k2022-05-27
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.027290.027192-0.36%0.02543-6.82%0.0476✓0.99180k2022-05-27
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana5.375.3505-0.36%5.3-1.30%0.0051✗0.743.1M2022-05-27
ORCAOrcaSolana0.860.856788-0.37%0.81-5.81%0.0352✓1.0795k2022-05-27
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.06350.063252-0.39%0.061-3.94%0.0088✗2.293.0M2022-05-27
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana7.247.2115-0.39%7.38+1.93%0.0321✗0.461.2M2022-05-27
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.40012.3904-0.40%2.411+0.45%0.0278✗0.983.0M2022-05-27
STEEMSteemnative0.24460.243598-0.41%0.2344-4.17%0.0050✓1.71955k2022-05-27
CBKCobakEthereum1.2041.1991-0.41%1.151-4.40%0.0209✓1.029,1282022-05-27
METRONOMEMETRONOME1.47241.4662-0.42%1.4187-3.65%0.0204✓0.647,4652022-05-27
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana2.1442.1345-0.44%2.264+5.60%0.0794✗1.04763k2022-05-27
PROPropyEthereum1.011.0054-0.45%0.9-10.89%0.0969✓0.71319k2022-05-27
NEXONEXOEthereum1.2241.2183-0.46%1.184-3.27%0.0089✓1.002.2M2022-05-27
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.9451.936-0.46%1.8351-5.65%0.0271✓1.345.8M2022-05-27
RUNETHORChainTHORChain2.6372.6244-0.48%2.351-10.85%0.0904✓1.00144k2022-05-27
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.04870.04846-0.49%0.04706-3.37%0.0099✓0.994,9292022-05-27
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.2721.2655-0.51%1.217-4.32%0.0113✓1.418.1M2022-05-27
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.16580.164905-0.54%0.1431-13.69%0.1222✓1.003,4222022-05-27
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana3.683.6594-0.56%4.25+15.49%0.1660✗0.83749k2022-05-27
AUCTIONBounceEthereum6.916.8683-0.60%6.09-11.87%0.0926✓1.41553k2022-05-27
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.13780.136918-0.64%0.1228-10.89%0.0868✓1.12905k2022-05-27
TRXTRONTron0.0822620.081685-0.70%0.080648-1.96%0.0032✓0.811.5M2022-05-27
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana3.563.5335-0.74%3.98+11.80%0.1390✗1.02661k2022-05-27
OGOG Fan TokenSolana2.3442.3265-0.75%2.833+20.86%0.2114✗0.731.2M2022-05-27
DKAdKargoEthereum0.058780.058325-0.77%0.05341-9.14%0.0671✓1.0717k2022-05-27
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain2.30232.2831-0.83%2.2822-0.87%0.0176✗0.924.7M2022-05-27
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.0964.0564-0.97%4.024-1.76%0.0005✓0.384.0M2022-05-27
RADRadworksEthereum2.352.3261-1.02%2.11-10.21%0.0745✓1.17219k2022-05-27
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.67720.664993-1.80%0.62226-8.11%0.0347✓1.62349k2022-05-27
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.