8=======>

2022-05-24 · +1d

beta_5y · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 169 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
-0.2073
169 of 169 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+0.04%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
66.3%
in alpha space · 73.3% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-0.42%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (169 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
YFIyearn.financeEthereum9,069.189,071.02+0.02%8,462.79-6.69%0.0644✗1.203.4M2022-05-25
WOOWOOEthereum0.19760.197629+0.01%0.1942-1.72%0.0132✗1.031,8912022-05-25
DYDXdYdXCosmos2.0482.0483+0.01%2.078+1.46%0.0207✓1.5295k2022-05-25
GALAGALAEthereum0.08320.08319-0.01%0.08-3.85%0.0320✓1.71212k2022-05-25
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.15470.154658-0.03%0.1511-2.33%0.0171✓1.498.8M2022-05-25
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche29.0329.022-0.03%27.21-6.27%0.0584✓1.4752.0M2022-05-25
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.009210.009206-0.04%0.00903-1.95%0.0161✓0.79178k2022-05-25
LUNATerraTerra 20.000180.000179925-0.04%0.00019+5.56%0.0668✗2.966.3M2022-05-25
LPTLivepeerEthereum13.6113.6024-0.06%13.32-2.13%0.0159✓1.22766k2022-05-25
ADACardanoCardano0.52140.521097-0.06%0.5139-1.44%0.0083✓1.3448.2M2022-05-25
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash195.39195.2712-0.06%190.03-2.74%0.0224✓1.164.9M2022-05-25
XVSVenusEthereum4.724.7169-0.06%4.6-2.54%0.0180✓1.712.5M2022-05-25
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.2551.2541-0.07%1.233-1.75%0.0115✓1.317.3M2022-05-25
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.682.6778-0.08%2.61-2.61%0.0182✓1.78390k2022-05-25
QNTQuantEthereum68.3268.2615-0.09%67.06-1.84%0.0134✓1.053.5M2022-05-25
MANADecentralandEthereum1.03871.0378-0.09%1.0553+1.60%0.0232✗1.561.1M2022-05-25
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum2.9952.9924-0.09%2.82-5.84%0.0548✓1.1095k2022-05-25
TRBTellor TributesEthereum9.79.6909-0.09%9.44-2.68%0.0195✓1.62188k2022-05-25
BFCBifrostEthereum0.070790.070723-0.09%0.0708+0.01%0.0056✗1.0817k2022-05-25
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.931.9282-0.09%1.91-1.04%0.0023✓1.72625k2022-05-25
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.004570.004566-0.10%0.00435-4.81%0.0435✓1.161.9M2022-05-25
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.21110.210892-0.10%0.2104-0.33%0.0005✓0.69369k2022-05-25
MINAMina Protocolnative1.0221.0209-0.11%0.976-4.50%0.0389✓1.47775k2022-05-25
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.395710.395253-0.12%0.38953-1.56%0.0092✓1.28197k2022-05-25
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum21.2621.2354-0.12%20.88-1.79%0.0111✓1.383.3M2022-05-25
PHAPHALAEthereum0.13420.134042-0.12%0.1355+0.97%0.0156✗1.1416k2022-05-25
SOLSolanaSolana49.6449.5804-0.12%47.94-3.42%0.0276✓1.4599.2M2022-05-25
APEApeCoinEthereum7.5057.4959-0.12%7.33-2.33%0.0127✓2.3375.7M2022-05-25
CVCCivicEthereum0.17880.17858-0.12%0.1738-2.80%0.0214✓1.37372k2022-05-25
ZENHorizenBase20.6120.5844-0.12%20.29-1.55%0.0080✓1.55156k2022-05-25
ZECZcashZcash100.18100.0547-0.13%95.54-4.63%0.0408✓1.305.1M2022-05-25
MOVRMoonriverBase24.864124.8329-0.13%24.0075-3.45%0.0278✓1.43229k2022-05-25
LTCLitecoinLitecoin70.270.11-0.13%68.16-2.91%0.0233✓1.1819.8M2022-05-25
NMRNumeraireEthereum12.9812.9632-0.13%12.51-3.62%0.0319✓0.90568k2022-05-25
BANDBandEthereum1.7661.7637-0.13%1.687-4.47%0.0383✓1.48433k2022-05-25
COMPCompoundEthereum69.9169.8172-0.13%66.82-4.42%0.0381✓1.3930k2022-05-25
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.9282.924-0.14%2.862-2.25%0.0151✓1.53298k2022-05-25
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum1.371.3681-0.14%1.34-2.19%0.0163✓1.08132k2022-05-25
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum29,426.0029,385.68-0.14%29,838.20+1.40%0.0193✗0.9778k2022-05-25
SPELLSpellEthereum0.001380.001378-0.14%0.00137-0.72%0.0004✓1.522.9M2022-05-25
ORCAOrcaSolana0.830.828848-0.14%0.85+2.41%0.0297✗1.0895k2022-05-25
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana3.683.6747-0.14%3.812+3.59%0.0406✗0.951.9M2022-05-25
LINKChainlinkEthereum7.227.2096-0.14%6.95-3.74%0.0311✓1.3419.2M2022-05-25
LCXLCXEthereum0.06530.065205-0.15%0.0612-6.28%0.0585✓1.18406k2022-05-25
SGBSongbirdnative0.03330.033249-0.15%0.0375+12.61%0.1220✗0.41138k2022-05-25
DEXEDeXeEthereum3.383.3747-0.16%3.31-2.07%0.0154✓0.96758k2022-05-25
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum7.927.9073-0.16%7.75-2.15%0.0139✓1.487.8M2022-05-25
FTTFTXEthereum29.8329.7818-0.16%29-2.78%0.0226✓0.9610.4M2022-05-25
STORJStorjEthereum0.576320.575382-0.16%0.56044-2.76%0.0202✓1.4787k2022-05-25
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.11780.117607-0.16%0.1164-1.19%0.0030✓1.76593k2022-05-25
COTICOTIEthereum0.11960.119401-0.17%0.1203+0.59%0.0142✗1.611.4M2022-05-25
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.6880.686851-0.17%0.683-0.73%0.0005✓1.48294k2022-05-25
STXStacksnative0.590.588998-0.17%0.59+0.00%0.0062✗1.08256k2022-05-25
DOTPolkadotPolkadot10.1810.1624-0.17%9.87-3.05%0.0236✓1.3413.8M2022-05-25
UMAUMAEthereum3.4493.443-0.18%3.37-2.29%0.0145✓1.672.2M2022-05-25
KSMKusamaHydration81.6481.4969-0.18%79.21-2.98%0.0234✓1.211.4M2022-05-25
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.004480.004472-0.18%0.00442-1.34%0.0071✓1.1013k2022-05-25
XEMNEMnative0.0530.052907-0.18%0.0519-2.08%0.0136✓1.3656k2022-05-25
CHZChilizEthereum0.11910.118886-0.18%0.1199+0.67%0.0140✗1.311.1M2022-05-25
LEOLEO TokenEthereum4.93244.9235-0.18%4.9103-0.45%0.0017✓0.24307k2022-05-25
AMPAmpEthereum0.013270.013246-0.18%0.01278-3.69%0.0315✓1.042.5M2022-05-25
FILFilecoinFilecoin8.48.3844-0.19%8.17-2.74%0.0206✓1.285.0M2022-05-25
GITCOINGITCOIN2.6422.6371-0.19%2.581-2.31%0.0139✓1.8219k2022-05-25
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.13120.130953-0.19%0.1281-2.36%0.0174✓1.11943k2022-05-25
SCSiacoinnative0.005490.00548-0.19%0.00535-2.55%0.0175✓1.55367k2022-05-25
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos11.0711.049-0.19%10.73-3.07%0.0234✓1.4321.0M2022-05-25
CTSICartesiEthereum0.18910.18874-0.19%0.1867-1.27%0.0046✓1.51572k2022-05-25
XVGVergenative0.005320.00531-0.19%0.00508-4.51%0.0383✓1.43845k2022-05-25
GLMGolemEthereum0.26060.260099-0.19%0.2576-1.15%0.0039✓1.38152k2022-05-25
AVTAventusEthereum1.151.1477-0.20%1.14-0.87%0.0034✓0.79192k2022-05-25
CTKShentuOsmosis0.8180.816325-0.20%0.793-3.06%0.0243✓1.122.9M2022-05-25
SKLSKALEEthereum0.08320.083029-0.20%0.0827-0.60%0.0028✗1.642.5M2022-05-25
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.14720.146898-0.21%0.1473+0.07%0.0096✗1.66105k2022-05-25
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum2.57932.5739-0.21%2.5303-1.90%0.0120✓1.2491k2022-05-25
NANOnanopayBase1.12451.1221-0.21%1.0864-3.39%0.0272✓1.24165k2022-05-25
API3Api3Ethereum1.7251.7213-0.21%1.67-3.19%0.0237✓1.581.8M2022-05-25
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.33980.339076-0.21%0.3344-1.59%0.0085✓1.298.6M2022-05-25
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.29930.298662-0.21%0.2923-2.34%0.0164✓1.24438k2022-05-25
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.41870.417803-0.21%0.4053-3.20%0.0253✓1.2116.1M2022-05-25
BORABORAKlay Token0.413110.412217-0.22%0.45588+10.35%0.1077✗1.7026k2022-05-25
UOSUltraEthereum0.384920.384066-0.22%0.37157-3.47%0.0273✓1.391.1M2022-05-25
QTUMQtumQtum4.10824.099-0.22%4.0707-0.91%0.0021✓1.16113k2022-05-25
BTTCBTTC0.000001130.000001127-0.23%0.00000113+0.00%0.0056✗0.807.6M2022-05-25
DASHDashDash62.3362.1875-0.23%62.12-0.34%0.0038✗1.171.2M2022-05-25
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.5740.572638-0.24%0.592+3.14%0.0398✗1.58844k2022-05-25
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.6910.689358-0.24%0.649-6.08%0.0541✓1.511.7M2022-05-25
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.9940.991593-0.24%0.967-2.72%0.0206✓1.08658k2022-05-25
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.66590.66428-0.24%0.6487-2.58%0.0179✓1.414.9M2022-05-25
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.009630.009607-0.24%0.00979+1.66%0.0233✗1.071.2M2022-05-25
ETHEthereumEthereum1,978.151,973.31-0.24%1,940.83-1.89%0.0123✓1.03425.9M2022-05-25
CELLCellframeEthereum0.38890.387947-0.25%0.3875-0.36%0.0043✗1.3165k2022-05-25
FIDABonfidaSolana0.5780.576571-0.25%0.53-8.30%0.0793✓1.1831k2022-05-25
SUNSun TokenTron0.009090.009067-0.25%0.009336+2.71%0.0335✗1.0210k2022-05-25
RADRadworksEthereum2.082.0748-0.25%3.37+62.02%0.4897✗1.12219k2022-05-25
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.027790.027719-0.25%0.02754-0.90%0.0022✓1.0217k2022-05-25
XLMStellarStellar0.1329610.132622-0.25%0.132074-0.67%0.0004✓1.0812.0M2022-05-25
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000011740.00001171-0.26%0.0000116-1.19%0.0040✓1.301.1M2022-05-25
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.039740.039638-0.26%0.03816-3.98%0.0323✓1.3844k2022-05-25
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.0880.087773-0.26%0.0878-0.23%0.0036✗0.79230k2022-05-25
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV53.453.2575-0.27%53.342-0.11%0.0056✗0.961.5M2022-05-25
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.26820.267477-0.27%0.2692+0.37%0.0117✗1.26305k2022-05-25
HIVEHivenative0.49450.493161-0.27%0.4895-1.01%0.0021✓1.281.5M2022-05-25
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.218070.217479-0.27%0.21127-3.12%0.0221✓1.65302k2022-05-25
SNXSynthetixEthereum2.6242.6168-0.28%2.551-2.78%0.0183✓1.724.6M2022-05-25
DIADIAEthereum0.467980.46667-0.28%0.45862-2.00%0.0149✓0.6095k2022-05-25
GTGateEthereum5.64075.6247-0.28%5.5974-0.77%0.0028✓0.514.9M2022-05-25
BTCBitcoinBitcoin29,626.4429,539.90-0.29%29,503.49-0.42%0.0029✓1.00749.9M2022-05-25
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.15370.153242-0.30%0.1393-9.37%0.0887✓1.625.5M2022-05-25
XECeCashnative0.000050510.000050359-0.30%0.00004919-2.61%0.0181✓1.305.7M2022-05-25
BRISEBitgertEthereum6.94e-76.92e-7-0.30%6.44e-7-7.22%0.0678✓0.981.5M2022-05-25
XYMSymbolnative0.0620.061806-0.31%0.0602-2.90%0.0232✓0.75184k2022-05-25
AUCTIONBounceEthereum6.586.5592-0.32%6.35-3.50%0.0266✓1.40623k2022-05-25
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0835630.083295-0.32%0.082855-0.85%0.0006✓1.125.8M2022-05-25
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.0540.053825-0.32%0.0529-2.04%0.0122✓1.241.3M2022-05-25
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana5.555.531-0.34%5.92+6.67%0.0710✗0.733.3M2022-05-25
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.3830.381677-0.35%0.396+3.39%0.0443✗1.811.8M2022-05-25
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.2390.238171-0.35%0.223-6.69%0.0592✓1.582.0M2022-05-25
RLCiExec RLCEthereum0.910.906833-0.35%0.87-4.40%0.0350✓1.54525k2022-05-25
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0169930.016934-0.35%0.01699-0.02%0.0060✗0.64199k2022-05-25
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum12.412.3562-0.35%12.26-1.13%0.0014✓1.556.9M2022-05-25
UNIUniswapEthereum5.65.5802-0.35%5.62+0.36%0.0121✗1.203.1M2022-05-25
DKAdKargoEthereum0.054920.054724-0.36%0.05634+2.59%0.0335✗1.0717k2022-05-25
GMTGMTEthereum1.3981.3926-0.39%1.374-1.72%0.0093✓1.004.0M2022-05-25
CBKCobakEthereum1.1861.1813-0.40%1.245+4.97%0.0568✗1.0312k2022-05-25
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.048530.048337-0.40%0.04828-0.52%0.0029✓0.986,4572022-05-25
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.4297660.428031-0.40%0.419069-2.49%0.0156✓1.335.6M2022-05-25
KCSKuCoinnative16.06115.9951-0.41%16.114+0.33%0.0114✗0.976.6M2022-05-25
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.012510.012458-0.42%0.01238-1.04%0.0002✓1.4734.2M2022-05-25
AAVEAaveEthereum106.62106.172-0.42%101.87-4.46%0.0351✓1.519.2M2022-05-25
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.4060.40428-0.42%0.394-2.96%0.0213✓1.081.0M2022-05-25
LRCLoopringEthereum0.55470.552285-0.44%0.6112+10.19%0.1074✗1.45219k2022-05-25
RUNETHORChainTHORChain2.72.6881-0.44%2.949+9.22%0.0968✗1.00155k2022-05-25
LSKLiskEthereum1.28731.2816-0.45%1.277-0.80%0.0012✓1.1565k2022-05-25
METRONOMEMETRONOME1.53531.5284-0.45%1.6245+5.81%0.0635✗0.6211k2022-05-25
STEEMSteemnative0.26170.2605-0.46%0.2579-1.45%0.0029✓1.701.0M2022-05-25
HIGHHighstreetEthereum2.1352.1252-0.46%2.13-0.23%0.0103✗1.92690k2022-05-25
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.08990.089484-0.46%0.106+17.91%0.1760✗1.59162k2022-05-25
XMRMoneroMonero193.08192.1689-0.47%204.07+5.69%0.0646✗1.082.6M2022-05-25
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.180.179141-0.48%0.1688-6.22%0.0553✓1.003,4222022-05-25
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana4.234.2096-0.48%4.65+9.93%0.1029✗0.81824k2022-05-25
PROPropyEthereum1.061.0548-0.49%1.06+0.00%0.0078✗0.71369k2022-05-25
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.0690.068661-0.49%0.0693+0.43%0.0134✗1.002.9M2022-05-25
NEXONEXOEthereum1.281.2736-0.50%1.286+0.47%0.0138✗1.002.8M2022-05-25
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.51293.4953-0.50%3.5129+0.00%0.0113✗1.508.3M2022-05-25
XTZTezosTezos2.12282.112-0.51%2.1289+0.29%0.0133✗1.281.3M2022-05-25
ETCEthereum Classicnative24.1824.0521-0.53%23.79-1.61%0.0058✓1.243.9M2022-05-25
GLMRMoonbeamBase1.3911.3836-0.53%1.299-6.61%0.0560✓1.69503k2022-05-25
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.42972.4165-0.54%2.5703+5.79%0.0657✗0.952.8M2022-05-25
IMXImmutableEthereum0.9560.950665-0.56%0.934-2.30%0.0112✓1.556.1M2022-05-25
ARPAARPAEthereum0.03770.037487-0.56%0.0346-8.22%0.0742✓1.42198k2022-05-25
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana3.353.3305-0.58%4.36+30.15%0.2735✗0.99571k2022-05-25
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.6780.673771-0.62%0.684+0.88%0.0213✗1.4916k2022-05-25
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana7.857.8004-0.63%8.16+3.95%0.0470✗0.451.2M2022-05-25
SUSHISushiEthereum1.661.6492-0.65%1.65-0.60%0.0067✗1.492.9M2022-05-25
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.431.4205-0.67%1.391-2.73%0.0151✓1.419.7M2022-05-25
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum2.27262.2565-0.71%2.1481-5.48%0.0437✓1.347.1M2022-05-25
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain2.20592.1899-0.73%2.5249+14.46%0.1461✗0.894.3M2022-05-25
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana2.42.3822-0.74%2.531+5.46%0.0648✗1.01763k2022-05-25
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana3.673.6425-0.75%4.06+10.63%0.1119✗0.81717k2022-05-25
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.02740.027192-0.76%0.02708-1.17%0.0017✓0.58436k2022-05-25
TRXTRONTron0.0805070.079857-0.81%0.084706+5.22%0.0623✗0.791.3M2022-05-25
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.02730.027061-0.87%0.0239-12.45%0.1149✓2.2426.5M2022-05-25
ASTRAstarEthereum0.07190.071142-1.05%0.067-6.82%0.0548✓1.2685k2022-05-25
OGOG Fan TokenSolana2.5282.4971-1.22%2.628+3.96%0.0541✗0.72949k2022-05-25
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0217330.021431-1.39%0.021686-0.22%0.0161✗1.043.5M2022-05-25
DODODODOEthereum0.1780.175486-1.41%0.171-3.93%0.0195✓1.543.2M2022-05-25
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.544.4728-1.48%4.696+3.44%0.0502✗0.363.3M2022-05-25
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.037180.036318-2.32%0.02834-23.78%0.2440✓0.98180k2022-05-25
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.849690.819367-3.57%0.78513-7.60%0.0361✓1.59329k2022-05-25
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.