8=======>

2022-05-15 · +1d

beta_5y · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 168 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
-0.0605
168 of 168 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+2.50%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
47.0%
in alpha space · 44.0% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-4.63%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (168 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.2370.238675+0.71%0.213-10.13%0.0435✗1.483.7M2022-05-16
SPELLSpellEthereum0.001410.001419+0.66%0.00133-5.67%0.0058✓1.493.7M2022-05-16
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.07510.075586+0.65%0.0795+5.86%0.1393✓1.87173k2022-05-16
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.5280.531213+0.61%0.477-9.66%0.0390✗1.45891k2022-05-16
DODODODOEthereum0.1690.169989+0.59%0.151-10.65%0.0491✗1.464.3M2022-05-16
RADRadworksEthereum22.0115+0.57%1.93-3.50%0.0076✓1.03350k2022-05-16
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.13230.13305+0.57%0.1577+19.20%0.2597✓1.89694k2022-05-16
ASTRAstarEthereum0.0740.074396+0.54%0.068-8.11%0.0407✗1.04113k2022-05-16
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.6970.700715+0.53%0.628-9.90%0.0398✗1.4716k2022-05-16
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain1.51271.5206+0.52%1.3834-8.55%0.0441✗1.064.3M2022-05-16
PHAPHALAEthereum0.13590.136595+0.51%0.1178-13.32%0.1027✗0.9519k2022-05-16
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.218660.219758+0.50%0.19391-11.32%0.0478✗1.63264k2022-05-16
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.0110.011054+0.49%0.01489+35.36%0.3769✓1.6643.3M2022-05-16
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana5.395.4159+0.48%4.95-8.16%0.0506✗0.831.3M2022-05-16
CELLCellframeEthereum0.38030.382071+0.47%0.34-10.60%0.0562✗1.2793k2022-05-16
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.240.241102+0.46%0.2098-12.58%0.1192✗0.42448k2022-05-16
OGOG Fan TokenSolana1.5871.5942+0.45%1.446-8.88%0.0519✗0.96779k2022-05-16
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.81421.822+0.43%1.6704-7.93%0.0289✗1.229.3M2022-05-16
XECeCashnative0.000043080.000043264+0.43%0.00004677+8.57%0.1424✓1.366.2M2022-05-16
AVTAventusEthereum1.081.0846+0.42%1.11+2.78%0.0622✓0.82201k2022-05-16
API3Api3Ethereum1.9151.923+0.42%1.805-5.74%0.0049✓1.442.4M2022-05-16
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana1.571.5765+0.41%1.504-4.20%0.0019✓1.03683k2022-05-16
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.01730.017367+0.39%0.0152-12.14%0.0290✗2.2025.3M2022-05-16
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.3570.35838+0.39%0.316-11.48%0.0778✗1.011.1M2022-05-16
GLMRMoonbeamBase1.4121.4172+0.37%1.289-8.71%0.0134✗1.72665k2022-05-16
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.3280.329189+0.36%0.307-6.40%0.0125✓1.731.8M2022-05-16
RLCiExec RLCEthereum0.890.893209+0.36%0.81-8.99%0.0252✗1.53801k2022-05-16
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.861.8667+0.36%1.69-9.14%0.0192✗1.69436k2022-05-16
SUSHISushiEthereum1.391.3948+0.34%1.27-8.63%0.0241✗1.473.6M2022-05-16
UOSUltraEthereum0.399970.401329+0.34%0.37002-7.49%0.0099✗1.501.4M2022-05-16
ORCAOrcaSolana11.0033+0.33%0.92-8.00%0.0412✗0.96137k2022-05-16
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.05570.055877+0.32%0.0537-3.59%0.0176✓1.211.6M2022-05-16
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.414980.416267+0.31%0.35987-13.28%0.0661✗1.68331k2022-05-16
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain1.8441.8497+0.31%1.733-6.02%0.0313✗0.711.9M2022-05-16
MINAMina Protocolnative1.161.1635+0.30%1.042-10.17%0.0450✗1.38760k2022-05-16
HIGHHighstreetEthereum2.0842.0903+0.30%1.976-5.18%0.0390✓2.01973k2022-05-16
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.522.5274+0.29%2.26-10.32%0.0298✗1.73378k2022-05-16
BORABORAKlay Token0.409920.411121+0.29%0.38073-7.12%0.0014✓1.6530k2022-05-16
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.004490.004503+0.29%0.00432-3.79%0.0054✓0.9920k2022-05-16
DIADIAEthereum0.409670.410831+0.28%0.37994-7.26%0.0406✗0.7970k2022-05-16
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain1.68761.6923+0.28%1.5881-5.90%0.0119✗1.092.5M2022-05-16
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana4.995.0036+0.27%4.56-8.62%0.0527✗0.852.7M2022-05-16
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.010450.010477+0.26%0.00903-13.59%0.1111✗0.79246k2022-05-16
WOOWOOEthereum0.21240.212955+0.26%0.1988-6.40%0.0190✗1.052,6012022-05-16
FILFilecoinFilecoin9.169.183+0.25%8.29-9.50%0.0431✗1.257.4M2022-05-16
MOVRMoonriverBase25.57525.6385+0.25%23.5002-8.11%0.0171✗1.48201k2022-05-16
SKLSKALEEthereum0.09140.091623+0.24%0.0809-11.49%0.0524✗1.523.6M2022-05-16
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana3.263.2679+0.24%3.15-3.37%0.0077✓0.94783k2022-05-16
AAVEAaveEthereum92.0692.2822+0.24%83.79-8.98%0.0258✗1.498.6M2022-05-16
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0125930.012623+0.24%0.012762+1.34%0.0464✓0.75198k2022-05-16
AUCTIONBounceEthereum6.046.054+0.23%6.06+0.33%0.0666✓1.38572k2022-05-16
NANOnanopayBase1.18671.1894+0.23%1.0859-8.49%0.0318✗1.25156k2022-05-16
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000013040.000013069+0.23%0.00001196-8.28%0.0265✗1.311.2M2022-05-16
COMPCompoundEthereum74.8374.9941+0.22%68.67-8.23%0.0233✗1.3730k2022-05-16
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana2.542.5455+0.21%2.53-0.39%0.0440✓1.06548k2022-05-16
NMRNumeraireEthereum13.6513.6788+0.21%13.03-4.54%0.0052✗0.91564k2022-05-16
BANDBandEthereum1.8081.8117+0.20%1.602-11.39%0.0554✗1.42500k2022-05-16
FIDABonfidaSolana0.6410.642295+0.20%0.619-3.43%0.0200✓1.2038k2022-05-16
DYDXdYdXCosmos2.0722.0762+0.20%1.9-8.30%0.0107✗1.6487k2022-05-16
UMAUMAEthereum3.1323.1382+0.20%2.988-4.60%0.0297✓1.662.4M2022-05-16
KSMKusamaHydration80.5380.6817+0.19%73.47-8.77%0.0354✗1.231.2M2022-05-16
COTICOTIEthereum0.1220.122229+0.19%0.1097-10.08%0.0336✗1.571.7M2022-05-16
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche36.5436.6073+0.18%32.49-11.08%0.0506✗1.4546.9M2022-05-16
SNXSynthetixEthereum3.0573.0624+0.18%2.723-10.93%0.0375✗1.696.7M2022-05-16
GITCOINGITCOIN2.4692.4732+0.17%2.298-6.93%0.0068✓1.6923k2022-05-16
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.15160.151853+0.17%0.139-8.31%0.0142✗1.566.2M2022-05-16
BFCBifrostEthereum0.071630.071747+0.16%0.07067-1.34%0.0345✓1.0519k2022-05-16
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0171630.017191+0.16%0.015316-10.76%0.0619✗1.134.2M2022-05-16
XVGVergenative0.00530.005309+0.16%0.00486-8.30%0.0239✗1.36915k2022-05-16
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana2.742.7439+0.14%2.54-7.30%0.0305✗0.99453k2022-05-16
XVSVenusEthereum5.015.0169+0.14%4.54-9.38%0.0313✗1.452.8M2022-05-16
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.7730.774038+0.13%0.699-9.57%0.0318✗1.48338k2022-05-16
SOLSolanaSolana58.8258.8985+0.13%53.69-8.72%0.0256✗1.4187.8M2022-05-16
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.026940.026975+0.13%0.03061+13.62%0.1775✓1.08194k2022-05-16
IMXImmutableEthereum0.9540.95522+0.13%0.872-8.60%0.0178✗1.557.6M2022-05-16
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.8872.8903+0.11%2.66-7.86%0.0099✗1.54245k2022-05-16
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.017810.017828+0.10%0.01902+6.79%0.0994✓0.73400k2022-05-16
CTSICartesiEthereum0.20210.202286+0.09%0.1872-7.37%0.0088✗1.45683k2022-05-16
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.71690.71756+0.09%0.6732-6.10%0.0028✓1.406.1M2022-05-16
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.26160.261826+0.09%0.2463-5.85%0.0018✗1.25280k2022-05-16
ARPAARPAEthereum0.03570.03573+0.08%0.0317-11.20%0.0560✗1.34174k2022-05-16
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.040220.040254+0.08%0.03791-5.74%0.0044✓1.3694k2022-05-16
BTTCBTTC0.000001150.000001151+0.07%0.00000111-3.48%0.0014✓0.797.8M2022-05-16
LINKChainlinkEthereum7.967.9652+0.07%7.41-6.91%0.0094✗1.3218.4M2022-05-16
STXStacksnative0.620.620362+0.06%0.56-9.68%0.0489✗1.13314k2022-05-16
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum24.1224.1327+0.05%20.95-13.14%0.0730✗1.443.4M2022-05-16
CBKCobakEthereum1.2121.2125+0.05%1.178-2.81%0.0186✓1.0024k2022-05-16
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos12.3712.3754+0.04%11.07-10.51%0.0468✗1.3620.1M2022-05-16
UNIUniswapEthereum5.455.4519+0.04%5.03-7.71%0.0237✗1.203.5M2022-05-16
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum9.229.2233+0.04%8.1-12.15%0.0634✗1.408.3M2022-05-16
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.12990.129939+0.03%0.149+14.70%0.1910✓1.141.1M2022-05-16
HIVEHivenative0.53390.534054+0.03%0.4896-8.30%0.0275✗1.251.5M2022-05-16
CHZChilizEthereum0.12580.125829+0.02%0.1137-9.62%0.0366✗1.361.2M2022-05-16
XTZTezosTezos1.9151.9154+0.02%1.7722-7.46%0.0179✗1.26971k2022-05-16
SUNSun TokenTron0.0092840.009285+0.02%0.008554-7.86%0.0340✗1.0124k2022-05-16
GALAGALAEthereum0.10010.100112+0.01%0.0861-13.99%0.0711✗1.68239k2022-05-16
SCSiacoinnative0.005720.005721+0.01%0.00517-9.62%0.0312✗1.47403k2022-05-16
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0929870.092995+0.01%0.087881-5.49%0.0039✗1.116.3M2022-05-16
DASHDashDash63.0363.0346+0.01%57.82-8.27%0.0304✗1.181.1M2022-05-16
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.3190.319017+0.01%0.3018-5.39%0.0061✓1.30445k2022-05-16
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.010190.01019-0.00%0.00978-4.02%0.0118✗1.111.2M2022-05-16
LRCLoopringEthereum0.51520.515185-0.00%0.4618-10.36%0.0392✓1.48307k2022-05-16
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.3591.3589-0.00%1.249-8.09%0.0175✓1.4115.1M2022-05-16
DKAdKargoEthereum0.056780.056776-0.01%0.05342-5.92%0.0133✓1.0025k2022-05-16
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.4442650.444218-0.01%0.401596-9.60%0.0371✓1.346.1M2022-05-16
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.19950.199474-0.01%0.1736-12.98%0.0655✓1.558.8M2022-05-16
LTCLitecoinLitecoin71.571.4906-0.01%67.13-6.11%0.0085✓1.1518.7M2022-05-16
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.433460.433391-0.02%0.3914-9.70%0.0417✓1.27223k2022-05-16
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.028040.028035-0.02%0.02818+0.50%0.0533✗1.0226k2022-05-16
GLMGolemEthereum0.27570.275651-0.02%0.254-7.87%0.0148✓1.41176k2022-05-16
YFIyearn.financeEthereum10,598.4910,595.90-0.02%9,743.68-8.07%0.0288✓1.162.8M2022-05-16
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV54.9654.9461-0.03%53.59-2.49%0.0205✗0.961.8M2022-05-16
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.37450.37438-0.03%0.3587-4.22%0.0171✗1.268.8M2022-05-16
LCXLCXEthereum0.07050.070473-0.04%0.0702-0.43%0.0518✗1.17405k2022-05-16
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum2.66172.6605-0.04%2.4311-8.66%0.0318✓1.23166k2022-05-16
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum3.063.0587-0.04%2.907-5.00%0.0018✓1.0396k2022-05-16
STORJStorjEthereum0.595350.595063-0.05%0.53418-10.27%0.0395✓1.4493k2022-05-16
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.00570.005697-0.05%0.00527-7.54%0.0182✓1.261.9M2022-05-16
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.9770.976415-0.06%0.916-6.24%0.0114✓1.11769k2022-05-16
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.85572.8539-0.06%2.5916-9.25%0.0198✓1.629.1M2022-05-16
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.04850.048464-0.07%0.0461-4.95%0.0039✓0.978,2452022-05-16
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.14610.145991-0.07%0.1449-0.82%0.0710✗1.65109k2022-05-16
LPTLivepeerEthereum15.7715.7576-0.08%14.58-7.55%0.0157✓1.31822k2022-05-16
ZENHorizenBase22.122.082-0.08%20.3-8.14%0.0122✓1.52167k2022-05-16
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum1.51.4988-0.08%1.41-6.00%0.0096✓1.08140k2022-05-16
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana3.653.6469-0.08%3.379-7.42%0.0278✓1.021.5M2022-05-16
QNTQuantEthereum75.2175.1464-0.08%70.49-6.28%0.0147✓1.043.6M2022-05-16
CTKShentuOsmosis0.8320.831189-0.10%0.753-9.50%0.0472✓1.093.2M2022-05-16
DEXEDeXeEthereum3.833.8263-0.10%3.52-8.09%0.0473✓0.76788k2022-05-16
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash214.55214.3306-0.10%197.37-8.01%0.0291✓1.125.3M2022-05-16
QTUMQtumQtum4.27084.2653-0.13%3.9461-7.60%0.0206✓1.20135k2022-05-16
XYMSymbolnative0.07170.071604-0.13%0.068-5.16%0.0167✓0.74568k2022-05-16
ETCEthereum Classicnative22.1122.0789-0.14%20.77-6.06%0.0012✓1.264.2M2022-05-16
LSKLiskEthereum1.28341.2816-0.14%1.1933-7.02%0.0209✓1.0698k2022-05-16
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.00775.0005-0.14%4.961-0.93%0.0045✗0.26285k2022-05-16
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.09070.090568-0.15%0.0887-2.21%0.0191✗0.84177k2022-05-16
ETHEthereumEthereum2,142.692,139.47-0.15%2,020.58-5.70%0.0084✓1.03494.1M2022-05-16
ADACardanoCardano0.5980.597094-0.15%0.5561-7.01%0.0093✓1.3048.2M2022-05-16
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum31,292.3031,242.09-0.16%30,058.30-3.94%0.0077✗0.9876k2022-05-16
TRBTellor TributesEthereum11.5311.5114-0.16%9.27-19.60%0.1453✓1.50140k2022-05-16
CVCCivicEthereum0.18680.186485-0.17%0.1733-7.23%0.0063✓1.41386k2022-05-16
KCSKuCoinnative14.50714.4815-0.18%13.821-4.73%0.0012✓0.964.1M2022-05-16
XMRMoneroMonero171.74171.4355-0.18%161.82-5.78%0.0076✓1.063.2M2022-05-16
XLMStellarStellar0.1449860.144726-0.18%0.136163-6.09%0.0101✓1.0713.4M2022-05-16
AMPAmpEthereum0.014260.014234-0.18%0.01387-2.73%0.0246✗1.063.2M2022-05-16
STEEMSteemnative0.26890.268338-0.21%0.284+5.62%0.1042✗1.001.9M2022-05-16
GTGateEthereum5.56745.555-0.22%5.4363-2.35%0.0037✗0.535.0M2022-05-16
DOTPolkadotPolkadot11.7911.763-0.23%10.62-9.92%0.0407✓1.3012.5M2022-05-16
BTCBitcoinBitcoin31,290.0531,217.62-0.23%29,839.89-4.63%0.0023✗1.00672.6M2022-05-16
ZECZcashZcash112.6112.3392-0.23%102.47-9.00%0.0318✓1.275.3M2022-05-16
PROPropyEthereum1.21.1972-0.23%1.13-5.83%0.0244✓0.70459k2022-05-16
NEXONEXOEthereum1.4011.3977-0.23%1.367-2.43%0.0252✗1.005.1M2022-05-16
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.49020.489002-0.24%0.4598-6.20%0.0049✓1.1914.3M2022-05-16
FTTFTXEthereum32.6632.5763-0.26%31.82-2.57%0.0219✗0.9613.8M2022-05-16
APEApeCoinEthereum9.1319.1071-0.26%8.069-11.63%0.0005✓2.5694.8M2022-05-16
METRONOMEMETRONOME1.77981.7747-0.29%1.7113-3.85%0.0056✓0.6516k2022-05-16
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.7040.701941-0.29%0.61-13.35%0.0649✓1.591.7M2022-05-16
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.19430.193686-0.32%0.1919-1.24%0.0382✗1.004,0132022-05-16
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.5071.5021-0.33%1.361-9.69%0.0307✓1.436.6M2022-05-16
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum10.3710.3333-0.35%10.65+2.70%0.1042✗1.565.9M2022-05-16
XEMNEMnative0.06670.066451-0.37%0.0583-12.59%0.0705✓1.27164k2022-05-16
BRISEBitgertEthereum6.30e-76.27e-7-0.41%6.93e-7+10.10%0.1265✗0.551.4M2022-05-16
RUNETHORChainTHORChain3.4543.4392-0.43%3.142-9.03%0.0429✓1.00257k2022-05-16
MANADecentralandEthereum1.33831.3323-0.45%1.1653-12.93%0.0621✓1.511.2M2022-05-16
TRXTRONTron0.0723170.07198-0.47%0.069019-4.56%0.0042✓0.801.2M2022-05-16
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.08610.085607-0.57%0.0764-11.27%0.0663✓1.003.4M2022-05-16
GMTGMTEthereum1.6181.608-0.62%1.433-11.43%0.0678✓1.007.5M2022-05-16
LUNATerraTerra 20.000220.000200896-8.68%0.0002-9.09%0.1210✗2.648.4M2022-05-16
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.