8=======>

2022-05-12 · +1d

beta_5y · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 166 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.4499
166 of 166 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+41.77%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
92.8%
in alpha space · 95.8% on raw price
BTC over horizon
+1.00%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (166 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
LUNATerraTerra 20.00870.007991-8.16%0.00012-98.62%4.2291✓3.067.8M2022-05-13
GTGateEthereum5.36745.3567-0.20%5.5584+3.56%0.0316✗0.544.8M2022-05-13
TRXTRONTron0.0669880.066876-0.17%0.0742+10.77%0.0958✗0.81825k2022-05-13
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.135.1217-0.16%5.0899-0.78%0.0090✓0.27284k2022-05-13
BTCBitcoinBitcoin28,941.9528,933.69-0.03%29,232.18+1.00%0.0003✗1.00667.2M2022-05-13
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum29,197.0029,210.83+0.05%29,332.50+0.46%0.0056✗0.9840k2022-05-13
QNTQuantEthereum73.3773.4066+0.05%68.58-6.53%0.0784✗1.043.5M2022-05-13
FTTFTXEthereum29.6729.6882+0.06%30.83+3.91%0.0282✓0.9613.8M2022-05-13
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum8.598.5991+0.11%9.76+13.62%0.1111✓1.565.8M2022-05-13
ETHEthereumEthereum1,954.391,957.07+0.14%2,005.48+2.61%0.0142✓1.03464.2M2022-05-13
CTKShentuOsmosis0.80.80118+0.15%0.814+1.75%0.0049✓1.103.3M2022-05-13
GMTGMTEthereum1.1611.1628+0.15%1.493+28.60%0.2400✓1.009.5M2022-05-13
BRISEBitgertEthereum4.63e-74.64e-7+0.16%6.19e-7+33.52%0.2824✓0.521.4M2022-05-13
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.42220.422915+0.17%0.4426+4.83%0.0337✓1.1812.6M2022-05-13
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.08630.08646+0.19%0.0872+1.04%0.0001✓0.85169k2022-05-13
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash193.69194.1243+0.22%201.94+4.26%0.0283✓1.125.3M2022-05-13
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum1.351.3535+0.26%1.39+2.96%0.0158✓1.08134k2022-05-13
METRONOMEMETRONOME1.60771.6122+0.28%1.7254+7.32%0.0615✓0.6416k2022-05-13
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.3041.3079+0.30%1.312+0.61%0.0111✗1.425.3M2022-05-13
XLMStellarStellar0.1204340.120831+0.33%0.132063+9.66%0.0784✓1.0613.8M2022-05-13
LTCLitecoinLitecoin64.2664.4781+0.34%67.78+5.48%0.0385✓1.1417.8M2022-05-13
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.06530.065522+0.34%0.0704+7.81%0.0618✓1.004.0M2022-05-13
NEXONEXOEthereum1.2311.2353+0.35%1.303+5.85%0.0434✓1.005.7M2022-05-13
QTUMQtumQtum3.6283.6413+0.37%3.8681+6.62%0.0485✓1.19135k2022-05-13
YFIyearn.financeEthereum9,878.009,915.31+0.38%9,926.05+0.49%0.0105✗1.162.6M2022-05-13
ZECZcashZcash86.486.7369+0.39%93.81+8.58%0.0661✓1.245.1M2022-05-13
ETCEthereum Classicnative18.8918.964+0.39%20.47+8.36%0.0639✓1.254.4M2022-05-13
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum2.6832.6942+0.42%2.79+3.99%0.0247✓1.0386k2022-05-13
ADACardanoCardano0.47240.474423+0.43%0.5281+11.79%0.0945✓1.2742.0M2022-05-13
XTZTezosTezos1.68451.6918+0.43%1.7661+4.84%0.0304✓1.26866k2022-05-13
AMPAmpEthereum0.0120.012054+0.45%0.0135+12.50%0.1028✓1.053.4M2022-05-13
LPTLivepeerEthereum14.0614.1255+0.47%14.73+4.77%0.0289✓1.31812k2022-05-13
XYMSymbolnative0.06640.066713+0.47%0.0699+5.27%0.0393✓0.74619k2022-05-13
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.8070.810879+0.48%0.914+13.26%0.1088✓1.09643k2022-05-13
ZENHorizenBase19.0419.1323+0.48%20.24+6.30%0.0411✓1.52173k2022-05-13
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV49.6249.8632+0.49%51.89+4.57%0.0303✓0.962.0M2022-05-13
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum2.38632.3981+0.50%2.4783+3.86%0.0206✓1.23188k2022-05-13
DOTPolkadotPolkadot8.688.7236+0.50%10.44+20.28%0.1670✓1.2611.8M2022-05-13
BTTCBTTC0.000001040.000001045+0.53%0.00000112+7.69%0.0610✓0.797.8M2022-05-13
DASHDashDash53.7554.0516+0.56%57.98+7.87%0.0585✓1.171.1M2022-05-13
UNIUniswapEthereum4.654.6764+0.57%5.13+10.32%0.0807✓1.194.1M2022-05-13
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.360570.362626+0.57%0.38322+6.28%0.0428✓1.25166k2022-05-13
KCSKuCoinnative10.95111.0138+0.57%12.511+14.25%0.1183✓0.924.1M2022-05-13
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0822690.082757+0.59%0.088244+7.26%0.0532✓1.117.1M2022-05-13
XMRMoneroMonero137.43138.2539+0.60%143.73+4.58%0.0287✓1.023.0M2022-05-13
APEApeCoinEthereum7.7857.8328+0.61%8.53+9.57%0.0590✓2.6483.4M2022-05-13
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.29480.296667+0.63%0.3159+7.16%0.0506✓1.238.5M2022-05-13
DEXEDeXeEthereum3.263.2808+0.64%3.27+0.31%0.0105✗0.72777k2022-05-13
GLMGolemEthereum0.20850.209836+0.64%0.2334+11.94%0.0930✓1.35184k2022-05-13
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.015050.015151+0.67%0.01598+6.18%0.0464✓0.69391k2022-05-13
TRBTellor TributesEthereum8.258.3062+0.68%9.39+13.82%0.1081✓1.45134k2022-05-13
GALAGALAEthereum0.06820.068674+0.70%0.0917+34.46%0.2727✓1.65204k2022-05-13
ARPAARPAEthereum0.03020.03041+0.70%0.0329+8.94%0.0654✓1.33179k2022-05-13
LINKChainlinkEthereum6.566.6064+0.71%7.13+8.69%0.0633✓1.3019.6M2022-05-13
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.28350.285516+0.71%0.2828-0.25%0.0143✗0.48485k2022-05-13
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.015020.015127+0.71%0.014586-2.89%0.0475✗1.104.4M2022-05-13
DKAdKargoEthereum0.043480.043794+0.72%0.05005+15.11%0.1239✓0.9726k2022-05-13
STXStacksnative0.50.503707+0.74%0.52+4.00%0.0210✓1.09260k2022-05-13
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos9.629.6936+0.76%10.3+7.07%0.0475✓1.3220.1M2022-05-13
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.59350.59806+0.77%0.6653+12.10%0.0926✓1.406.1M2022-05-13
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.038670.03897+0.78%0.04297+11.12%0.0883✓0.949,2282022-05-13
CTSICartesiEthereum0.16950.17082+0.78%0.1807+6.61%0.0418✓1.44634k2022-05-13
LSKLiskEthereum0.9893910.997107+0.78%1.1379+15.01%0.1218✓1.0396k2022-05-13
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.13450.135551+0.78%0.1399+4.01%0.0159✓1.576.2M2022-05-13
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum19.3119.461+0.78%20.45+5.90%0.0355✓1.413.8M2022-05-13
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.01080.010885+0.79%0.00985-8.80%0.1080✗0.80246k2022-05-13
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.1070.107854+0.80%0.1227+14.67%0.1130✓1.60109k2022-05-13
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum7.227.2783+0.81%9.27+28.39%0.2279✓1.408.0M2022-05-13
CHZChilizEthereum0.09680.097595+0.82%0.111+14.67%0.1153✓1.341.2M2022-05-13
UMAUMAEthereum2.4832.5036+0.83%2.913+17.32%0.1350✓1.652.4M2022-05-13
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.007860.007927+0.85%0.00953+21.25%0.1734✓1.081.0M2022-05-13
XEMNEMnative0.04110.041459+0.87%0.058+41.12%0.3237✓1.2097k2022-05-13
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000010810.000010905+0.88%0.00001281+18.50%0.1480✓1.311.3M2022-05-13
SUNSun TokenTron0.0078870.007957+0.89%0.009457+19.90%0.1625✓1.0232k2022-05-13
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.021330.021521+0.89%0.02399+12.47%0.0982✓1.04222k2022-05-13
SCSiacoinnative0.004250.004288+0.90%0.00466+9.65%0.0689✓1.43403k2022-05-13
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche30.1930.4615+0.90%32.17+6.56%0.0403✓1.4345.0M2022-05-13
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.10080.10171+0.90%0.112+11.11%0.0854✓1.101.1M2022-05-13
CVCCivicEthereum0.13020.131379+0.91%0.1491+14.52%0.1129✓1.37372k2022-05-13
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.031690.031978+0.91%0.03518+11.01%0.0821✓1.3394k2022-05-13
HIVEHivenative0.40370.407383+0.91%0.4549+12.68%0.0982✓1.211.5M2022-05-13
LCXLCXEthereum0.0520.052478+0.92%0.0573+10.19%0.0768✓1.11416k2022-05-13
BFCBifrostEthereum0.058910.059453+0.92%0.06424+9.05%0.0672✓1.0219k2022-05-13
NANOnanopayBase0.9974941.0068+0.93%1.0764+7.91%0.0545✓1.24161k2022-05-13
CBKCobakEthereum0.9490.95786+0.93%1.056+11.28%0.0879✓0.9625k2022-05-13
KSMKusamaHydration68.7469.3831+0.94%73.84+7.42%0.0501✓1.221.1M2022-05-13
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0107130.010814+0.94%0.01331+24.24%0.2002✓0.75198k2022-05-13
GITCOINGITCOIN2.1722.193+0.97%2.3+5.89%0.0307✓1.7023k2022-05-13
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.5790.584603+0.97%0.672+16.06%0.1248✓1.45344k2022-05-13
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana2.192.2114+0.98%2.39+9.13%0.0682✓0.95429k2022-05-13
FILFilecoinFilecoin8.18.1793+0.98%8.73+7.78%0.0527✓1.257.4M2022-05-13
PROPropyEthereum0.880.88869+0.99%1.19+35.23%0.2853✓0.67528k2022-05-13
STORJStorjEthereum0.443160.447565+0.99%0.49964+12.74%0.0961✓1.4093k2022-05-13
NMRNumeraireEthereum11.5811.6952+0.99%12.71+9.76%0.0743✓0.90520k2022-05-13
LRCLoopringEthereum0.39390.397845+1.00%0.4631+17.57%0.1373✓1.46299k2022-05-13
DYDXdYdXCosmos1.7291.7464+1.00%1.948+12.67%0.0928✓1.6587k2022-05-13
COMPCompoundEthereum60.8861.4948+1.01%68.45+12.43%0.0937✓1.3531k2022-05-13
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana2.62.6264+1.02%3.09+18.85%0.1534✓0.92817k2022-05-13
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.1842.2065+1.03%2.496+14.29%0.1083✓1.50206k2022-05-13
AAVEAaveEthereum76.7577.5421+1.03%82.28+7.21%0.0445✓1.488.6M2022-05-13
BANDBandEthereum1.5141.5298+1.05%1.72+13.61%0.1030✓1.43537k2022-05-13
WOOWOOEthereum0.17650.178347+1.05%0.1897+7.48%0.0516✓1.022,9402022-05-13
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.152.1725+1.05%2.31+7.44%0.0441✓1.73357k2022-05-13
SOLSolanaSolana44.6545.1263+1.07%48.89+9.50%0.0664✓1.3887.4M2022-05-13
COTICOTIEthereum0.09970.100774+1.08%0.1102+10.53%0.0739✓1.561.8M2022-05-13
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana2.6772.7059+1.08%3.487+30.26%0.2436✓1.001.4M2022-05-13
MANADecentralandEthereum0.708950.716618+1.08%1.022+44.15%0.3407✓1.43886k2022-05-13
DIADIAEthereum0.321210.324692+1.08%0.37682+17.31%0.1414✓0.7570k2022-05-13
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.21350.215832+1.09%0.2519+17.99%0.1423✓1.23486k2022-05-13
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.19110.193194+1.10%0.2208+15.54%0.1215✓1.21305k2022-05-13
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana2.162.1841+1.11%2.32+7.41%0.0500✓1.04553k2022-05-13
FIDABonfidaSolana0.5370.542984+1.11%0.609+13.41%0.1029✓1.1846k2022-05-13
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana4.094.1357+1.12%4.86+18.83%0.1530✓0.842.8M2022-05-13
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.3090.312461+1.12%0.344+11.33%0.0862✓1.001.1M2022-05-13
IMXImmutableEthereum0.7750.783742+1.13%0.832+7.35%0.0446✓1.528.2M2022-05-13
ORCAOrcaSolana0.820.829281+1.13%0.89+8.54%0.0615✓0.92142k2022-05-13
MOVRMoonriverBase21.312321.5545+1.14%22.6376+6.22%0.0345✓1.45195k2022-05-13
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.021760.022008+1.14%0.02379+9.33%0.0681✓0.9830k2022-05-13
XVGVergenative0.004130.004177+1.14%0.00472+14.29%0.1089✓1.33885k2022-05-13
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.01630.016486+1.14%0.0164+0.61%0.0276✗2.2425.3M2022-05-13
XVSVenusEthereum3.623.6619+1.16%4.24+17.13%0.1325✓1.422.9M2022-05-13
UOSUltraEthereum0.329720.333561+1.17%0.35077+6.38%0.0355✓1.491.4M2022-05-13
SKLSKALEEthereum0.07730.078204+1.17%0.0821+6.21%0.0335✓1.523.7M2022-05-13
STEEMSteemnative0.17710.179192+1.18%0.2185+23.38%0.1883✓1.002.1M2022-05-13
SNXSynthetixEthereum2.4862.5154+1.18%2.607+4.87%0.0191✓1.677.7M2022-05-13
SUSHISushiEthereum1.131.1435+1.20%1.39+23.01%0.1806✓1.464.1M2022-05-13
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.003590.003633+1.20%0.00429+19.50%0.1545✓1.171.7M2022-05-13
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.13370.135317+1.21%0.1483+10.92%0.0768✓1.487.3M2022-05-13
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.591.6095+1.22%1.66+4.40%0.0141✓1.68399k2022-05-13
CELLCellframeEthereum0.34290.347142+1.24%0.375+9.36%0.0645✓1.2794k2022-05-13
MINAMina Protocolnative0.950.961804+1.24%1.041+9.58%0.0654✓1.37755k2022-05-13
AUCTIONBounceEthereum4.634.6908+1.31%4.76+2.81%0.0013✓1.34666k2022-05-13
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.3343760.338848+1.34%0.366416+9.58%0.0652✓1.306.1M2022-05-13
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain1.4211.4405+1.37%1.83+28.78%0.2324✓0.691.8M2022-05-13
GLMRMoonbeamBase1.1331.1486+1.37%1.194+5.38%0.0220✓1.68582k2022-05-13
API3Api3Ethereum1.4571.4772+1.39%1.62+11.19%0.0783✓1.402.6M2022-05-13
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.2430.246414+1.40%0.283+16.46%0.1214✓1.711.7M2022-05-13
RLCiExec RLCEthereum0.720.730133+1.41%0.82+13.89%0.1009✓1.52842k2022-05-13
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.06480.065724+1.43%0.0714+10.19%0.0640✓1.88194k2022-05-13
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana1.2641.282+1.43%1.446+14.40%0.1102✓1.01724k2022-05-13
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.289990.294181+1.45%0.34+17.25%0.1287✓1.61365k2022-05-13
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.5481.5707+1.46%1.758+13.57%0.0931✓1.961.0M2022-05-13
XECeCashnative0.000031730.000032196+1.47%0.00004212+32.75%0.2552✓1.356.7M2022-05-13
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.003590.003643+1.48%0.00377+5.01%0.0249✓0.9420k2022-05-13
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana4.294.3539+1.49%4.87+13.52%0.1041✓0.791.2M2022-05-13
OGOG Fan TokenSolana1.231.2483+1.49%1.324+7.64%0.0497✓0.92826k2022-05-13
BORABORAKlay Token0.288640.292968+1.50%0.34417+19.24%0.1456✓1.5539k2022-05-13
ASTRAstarEthereum0.0650.06598+1.51%0.071+9.23%0.0630✓1.03115k2022-05-13
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.172360.175006+1.53%0.19584+13.62%0.0964✓1.61250k2022-05-13
PHAPHALAEthereum0.1080.109665+1.54%0.1223+13.24%0.1000✓0.9119k2022-05-13
SPELLSpellEthereum0.001210.001229+1.60%0.00132+9.09%0.0563✓1.483.9M2022-05-13
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.3810.387135+1.61%0.487+27.82%0.2147✓1.481.7M2022-05-13
DODODODOEthereum0.1350.13718+1.62%0.152+12.59%0.0882✓1.444.7M2022-05-13
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.29541.3166+1.64%1.5516+19.78%0.1523✓1.199.8M2022-05-13
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.5830.592579+1.64%0.67+14.92%0.1083✓1.4624k2022-05-13
RADRadworksEthereum1.671.6975+1.64%1.78+6.59%0.0375✓1.00392k2022-05-13
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.4050.411696+1.65%0.499+23.21%0.1780✓1.44869k2022-05-13
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain1.42711.4511+1.68%2.8848+102.14%0.6715✓1.567.0M2022-05-13
MTLMetal DAOMetal L20.8960.911158+1.69%1.004+12.05%0.0838✓1.3316.1M2022-05-13
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.008890.00904+1.69%0.00989+11.25%0.0734✓1.6444.1M2022-05-13
AVTAventusEthereum0.730.742587+1.72%0.83+13.70%0.1039✓0.74221k2022-05-13
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.1890.192291+1.74%0.206+8.99%0.0543✓1.464.1M2022-05-13
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain1.05571.0748+1.81%1.6119+52.69%0.3948✓1.052.5M2022-05-13
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain1.0571.0762+1.82%1.4675+38.84%0.2997✓1.044.2M2022-05-13
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.03890.039644+1.91%0.0463+19.02%0.1438✓1.141.7M2022-05-13
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.07850.080071+2.00%0.1018+29.68%0.2220✓1.81734k2022-05-13
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.