8=======>

2022-05-05 · +1d

beta_5y · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 165 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.0611
165 of 165 tokens assessed
long-short decile
-0.79%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
44.2%
in alpha space · 75.6% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-1.47%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (165 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum1.2361.2345-0.12%1.241+0.40%0.0227✗1.1751k2022-05-06
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana8.658.6382-0.14%8.23-4.86%0.0411✓0.492.5M2022-05-06
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana4.974.9627-0.15%4.88-1.81%0.0060✓0.731.0M2022-05-06
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.007210.007199-0.15%0.00707-1.94%0.0090✓0.6127k2022-05-06
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum3.06753.0615-0.20%3.0275-1.30%0.0032✗0.9710.2M2022-05-06
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.2290.228501-0.22%0.2263-1.18%0.0122✗1.476.7M2022-05-06
DEXEDeXeEthereum4.884.8693-0.22%4.85-0.61%0.0051✗0.61869k2022-05-06
GALAGALAEthereum0.13990.139592-0.22%0.1438+2.79%0.0494✗1.33180k2022-05-06
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana8.798.7706-0.22%8.64-1.71%0.0078✓0.491.4M2022-05-06
FIDABonfidaSolana1.0171.0147-0.23%0.978-3.83%0.0204✓1.1150k2022-05-06
DYDXdYdXCosmos3.2923.2841-0.24%3.473+5.50%0.0778✗1.4779k2022-05-06
BFCBifrostEthereum0.11520.114924-0.24%0.11235-2.47%0.0116✓0.7417k2022-05-06
MOVRMoonriverBase38.470338.3728-0.25%37.037-3.73%0.0140✓1.44182k2022-05-06
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum1.931.9251-0.26%1.93+0.00%0.0180✗1.04128k2022-05-06
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum4.2034.192-0.26%4.094-2.59%0.0083✓1.0373k2022-05-06
DIADIAEthereum0.740.738064-0.26%0.71-4.05%0.0319✓0.4670k2022-05-06
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.4070.405895-0.27%0.3985-2.09%0.0044✓0.95305k2022-05-06
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.11813.1095-0.27%3.1873+2.22%0.0340✗0.635.4M2022-05-06
STXStacksnative0.890.887533-0.28%0.86-3.37%0.0166✓1.00274k2022-05-06
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.14020.139806-0.28%0.1378-1.71%0.0150✗1.98266k2022-05-06
FILFilecoinFilecoin13.9813.9405-0.28%13.87-0.79%0.0120✗1.157.5M2022-05-06
GITCOINGITCOIN4.5544.5411-0.28%4.697+3.14%0.0562✗1.5119k2022-05-06
DKAdKargoEthereum0.077340.077119-0.29%0.07601-1.72%0.0016✓0.8732k2022-05-06
QNTQuantEthereum91.8891.6168-0.29%90.26-1.76%0.0002✓1.003.4M2022-05-06
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.13425.1194-0.29%5.3767+4.72%0.0538✗0.32262k2022-05-06
CTKShentuOsmosis0.9990.99601-0.30%0.988-1.10%0.0083✗1.103.6M2022-05-06
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.410.408768-0.30%0.39-4.88%0.0257✓1.43284k2022-05-06
FTTFTXEthereum36.2136.1008-0.30%35.89-0.88%0.0078✗0.9211.7M2022-05-06
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum36,624.3036,512.81-0.30%36,069.70-1.51%0.0021✓0.9625k2022-05-06
XVSVenusEthereum7.577.5469-0.30%7.55-0.26%0.0173✗1.142.9M2022-05-06
SCSiacoinnative0.008040.008015-0.31%0.0079-1.74%0.0038✗1.23382k2022-05-06
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.49820.496629-0.32%0.4936-0.92%0.0105✗1.128.1M2022-05-06
PHAPHALAEthereum0.220.219302-0.32%0.218-0.91%0.0047✗0.7223k2022-05-06
LTCLitecoinLitecoin96.8496.5314-0.32%96.69-0.15%0.0171✗1.0417.5M2022-05-06
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.96552.956-0.32%2.9935+0.94%0.0225✗0.663.2M2022-05-06
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.5183.5066-0.32%3.467-1.45%0.0060✓0.362.4M2022-05-06
GTCGitcoinEthereum4.574.5551-0.33%4.7+2.84%0.0543✗1.55339k2022-05-06
ARPAARPAEthereum0.05330.053123-0.33%0.0524-1.69%0.0042✗1.20179k2022-05-06
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum28.9628.8635-0.33%28.51-1.55%0.0084✗1.404.0M2022-05-06
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.720.717599-0.33%0.7-2.78%0.0060✓1.27426k2022-05-06
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.03780.037673-0.34%0.03694-2.28%0.0069✓0.8634k2022-05-06
BANDBandEthereum2.9392.9291-0.34%2.926-0.44%0.0182✗1.30537k2022-05-06
LINKChainlinkEthereum10.9210.883-0.34%10.79-1.19%0.0091✗1.1918.3M2022-05-06
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.026210.026121-0.34%0.02463-6.03%0.0520✓0.46416k2022-05-06
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash277.17276.2083-0.35%274.77-0.87%0.0098✗1.015.2M2022-05-06
TRBTellor TributesEthereum14.2414.1905-0.35%14.23-0.07%0.0242✗1.44145k2022-05-06
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum4.8714.8539-0.35%4.894+0.47%0.0261✗1.21184k2022-05-06
OGOG Fan TokenSolana2.8872.8768-0.35%2.825-2.15%0.0085✓0.651.2M2022-05-06
AUCTIONBounceEthereum11.0811.0406-0.36%10.95-1.17%0.0072✗1.04963k2022-05-06
ASTRAstarEthereum0.1420.141494-0.36%0.141-0.70%0.0046✗0.54132k2022-05-06
DODODODOEthereum0.2840.282977-0.36%0.288+1.41%0.0369✗1.305.1M2022-05-06
XTZTezosTezos2.48952.4805-0.36%2.5078+0.74%0.0276✗1.12855k2022-05-06
STORJStorjEthereum0.855340.852228-0.36%0.85045-0.57%0.0164✗1.2588k2022-05-06
CVCCivicEthereum0.25510.254169-0.36%0.2472-3.10%0.0100✓1.20391k2022-05-06
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.19410.193392-0.36%0.1955+0.72%0.0237✗0.871.2M2022-05-06
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.016760.016699-0.37%0.01629-2.80%0.0122✓0.85238k2022-05-06
NANOnanopayBase1.63051.6245-0.37%1.6805+3.07%0.0508✗1.14149k2022-05-06
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche59.0258.8023-0.37%57-3.42%0.0131✓1.2144.2M2022-05-06
BICOBiconomyEthereum1.0351.0312-0.37%1.041+0.58%0.0278✗1.232.2M2022-05-06
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.039240.039094-0.37%0.03834-2.29%0.0070✓0.84227k2022-05-06
CHZChilizEthereum0.17580.175142-0.37%0.1731-1.54%0.0061✗1.201.4M2022-05-06
AMPAmpEthereum0.017840.017773-0.38%0.01796+0.67%0.0217✗0.763.5M2022-05-06
CELLCellframeEthereum0.67220.669623-0.38%0.6455-3.97%0.0184✓1.23105k2022-05-06
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.9080.904517-0.38%0.913+0.55%0.0287✗1.311.1M2022-05-06
MANADecentralandEthereum1.46831.4626-0.38%1.449-1.32%0.0088✗1.22886k2022-05-06
UMAUMAEthereum5.1485.1281-0.39%5.467+6.20%0.0856✗1.461.6M2022-05-06
COMPCompoundEthereum104.67104.2636-0.39%103.5-1.12%0.0109✗1.2333k2022-05-06
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.19950.198725-0.39%0.1977-0.90%0.0152✗1.37114k2022-05-06
ADACardanoCardano0.78840.785333-0.39%0.7831-0.67%0.0144✗1.1641.1M2022-05-06
LSKLiskEthereum1.69721.6906-0.39%1.6868-0.62%0.0114✗0.9284k2022-05-06
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana4.194.1736-0.39%4.1-2.15%0.0065✓0.76690k2022-05-06
WOOWOOEthereum0.32820.326911-0.39%0.3397+3.50%0.0480✗0.654,4692022-05-06
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.39430.392747-0.39%0.3622-8.14%0.0644✓1.12487k2022-05-06
XYMSymbolnative0.08930.088947-0.40%0.0867-2.91%0.0154✓0.69675k2022-05-06
SOLSolanaSolana84.5284.1855-0.40%81.66-3.38%0.0122✓1.2385.8M2022-05-06
AAVEAaveEthereum141.32140.7602-0.40%138.23-2.19%0.0018✓1.349.8M2022-05-06
XECeCashnative0.000072070.000071784-0.40%0.00007154-0.74%0.0119✗1.037.7M2022-05-06
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.00830.008267-0.40%0.00847+2.05%0.0417✗1.182.3M2022-05-06
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.6390.636444-0.40%0.641+0.31%0.0287✗1.451.7M2022-05-06
SUNSun TokenTron0.0119260.011878-0.40%0.012984+8.87%0.1025✗0.9142k2022-05-06
RADRadworksEthereum3.743.7249-0.40%3.58-4.28%0.0268✓0.87564k2022-05-06
DOTPolkadotPolkadot14.5914.5312-0.40%14.32-1.85%0.0017✓1.1011.7M2022-05-06
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana4.624.6014-0.40%4.54-1.73%0.0033✓0.68575k2022-05-06
SUSHISushiEthereum2.282.2707-0.41%2.25-1.32%0.0109✗1.353.6M2022-05-06
BTCBitcoinBitcoin36,537.2236,388.64-0.41%35,999.10-1.47%0.0041✗1.00553.2M2022-05-06
CTSICartesiEthereum0.26920.268104-0.41%0.2681-0.41%0.0199✗1.34735k2022-05-06
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0235240.023428-0.41%0.022419-4.70%0.0296✓0.974.3M2022-05-06
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.018610.018534-0.41%0.0182-2.20%0.0097✓0.57195k2022-05-06
SGBSongbirdnative0.05560.055371-0.41%0.0555-0.18%0.0081✗0.39138k2022-05-06
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.30120.299957-0.41%0.2952-1.99%0.0028✓1.266.8M2022-05-06
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum12.7112.6573-0.41%12.47-1.89%0.0036✓1.258.7M2022-05-06
ETHEthereumEthereum2,747.432,736.04-0.41%2,691.72-2.03%0.0015✓1.00438.2M2022-05-06
LCXLCXEthereum0.1010.100581-0.41%0.1044+3.37%0.0501✗0.86425k2022-05-06
NMRNumeraireEthereum22.3122.2173-0.42%20.33-8.87%0.0776✓0.75412k2022-05-06
UOSUltraEthereum0.710320.70736-0.42%0.66744-6.04%0.0383✓1.331.3M2022-05-06
ZECZcashZcash125.68125.1552-0.42%123.65-1.62%0.0054✗1.185.5M2022-05-06
BORABORAKlay Token0.605130.602601-0.42%0.58446-3.42%0.0128✓1.1960k2022-05-06
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum1.071.0655-0.42%1.048-2.06%0.0029✓1.31358k2022-05-06
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.4340.432183-0.42%0.4072-6.18%0.0533✓0.42572k2022-05-06
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.481.4737-0.42%1.49+0.68%0.0313✗1.37951k2022-05-06
API3Api3Ethereum3.2583.2442-0.42%3.284+0.80%0.0283✗1.083.0M2022-05-06
SKLSKALEEthereum0.1430.14239-0.43%0.1416-0.98%0.0140✗1.325.0M2022-05-06
COTICOTIEthereum0.19290.192076-0.43%0.1913-0.83%0.0167✗1.402.1M2022-05-06
XLMStellarStellar0.1710620.170328-0.43%0.171484+0.25%0.0218✗1.0113.8M2022-05-06
HIGHHighstreetEthereum3.6433.6273-0.43%3.599-1.21%0.0176✗1.711.4M2022-05-06
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.5710.568519-0.43%0.57-0.18%0.0143✗0.791.4M2022-05-06
XVGVergenative0.008030.007995-0.44%0.00805+0.25%0.0239✗1.15943k2022-05-06
CBKCobakEthereum1.7881.78-0.45%1.737-2.85%0.0127✓0.8024k2022-05-06
MASKMask NetworkEthereum3.823.8029-0.45%3.71-2.88%0.0031✓1.46385k2022-05-06
YFIyearn.financeEthereum16,867.4516,790.68-0.46%16,718.32-0.88%0.0106✗1.012.6M2022-05-06
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.22430.223266-0.46%0.2157-3.83%0.0084✓1.751.2M2022-05-06
HIVEHivenative0.76730.76374-0.46%0.7703+0.39%0.0243✗1.061.5M2022-05-06
BTTCBTTC0.000001680.000001672-0.47%0.00000167-0.60%0.0092✗0.717.7M2022-05-06
MINAMina Protocolnative1.791.7817-0.47%1.84+2.79%0.0496✗1.17987k2022-05-06
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana5.3365.3107-0.47%5.217-2.23%0.0082✓0.651.4M2022-05-06
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV73.7973.4377-0.48%72.44-1.83%0.0010✓0.852.1M2022-05-06
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.06430.063992-0.48%0.06291-2.16%0.0046✓0.8412k2022-05-06
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.03710.036921-0.48%0.037-0.27%0.0294✗1.8423.0M2022-05-06
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum3.74233.724-0.49%3.6721-1.88%0.0023✓1.10177k2022-05-06
GLMRMoonbeamBase2.4452.433-0.49%2.327-4.83%0.0214✓1.56713k2022-05-06
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos17.8317.7425-0.49%17.66-0.95%0.0124✗1.1519.4M2022-05-06
XEMNEMnative0.08360.083188-0.49%0.0831-0.60%0.0135✗0.9869k2022-05-06
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.63440.631268-0.49%0.6979+10.01%0.1154✗1.0110.9M2022-05-06
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000020290.00002019-0.49%0.00002004-1.23%0.0090✗1.111.4M2022-05-06
APEApeCoinEthereum13.68813.6202-0.50%13.259-3.13%0.0024✓1.9775.7M2022-05-06
GTGateEthereum6.33616.3047-0.50%6.3496+0.21%0.0137✗0.454.5M2022-05-06
LPTLivepeerEthereum21.521.392-0.50%21.79+1.35%0.0373✗1.27532k2022-05-06
ORCAOrcaSolana1.781.771-0.50%1.71-3.93%0.0247✓0.70153k2022-05-06
METRONOMEMETRONOME2.3652.3531-0.50%2.1886-7.46%0.0628✓0.6515k2022-05-06
SPELLSpellEthereum0.003120.003104-0.51%0.00314+0.64%0.0288✗1.164.1M2022-05-06
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.014150.014077-0.52%0.01413-0.14%0.0171✗0.901.1M2022-05-06
UNIUniswapEthereum7.347.3016-0.52%7.59+3.41%0.0555✗1.134.3M2022-05-06
DASHDashDash87.4787.0091-0.53%87.63+0.18%0.0231✗1.081.2M2022-05-06
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.4210.418773-0.53%0.414-1.66%0.0051✓1.124.3M2022-05-06
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.96530.960168-0.53%0.9191-4.79%0.0243✓1.316.6M2022-05-06
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.017220.017128-0.53%0.0172-0.12%0.0281✗1.6149.4M2022-05-06
QTUMQtumQtum5.48595.4566-0.53%5.4476-0.70%0.0156✗1.1698k2022-05-06
XMRMoneroMonero206.75205.64-0.54%218.44+5.65%0.0741✗0.933.3M2022-05-06
LRCLoopringEthereum0.74140.73741-0.54%0.7248-2.24%0.0028✓1.35311k2022-05-06
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana2.8922.8764-0.54%2.757-4.67%0.0316✓0.73915k2022-05-06
KCSKuCoinnative17.2717.1759-0.54%16.943-1.89%0.0021✓0.784.3M2022-05-06
ETCEthereum Classicnative28.3228.1642-0.55%27.95-1.31%0.0103✗1.214.9M2022-05-06
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.12350.12282-0.55%0.1216-1.54%0.0024✓0.83156k2022-05-06
KSMKusamaHydration127.39126.686-0.55%126.34-0.82%0.0138✗1.121.0M2022-05-06
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.7167120.712736-0.55%0.701997-2.05%0.0014✓1.125.5M2022-05-06
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.587720.584448-0.56%0.57987-1.34%0.0086✗1.11130k2022-05-06
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.76974.7431-0.56%4.6987-1.49%0.0072✗1.128.6M2022-05-06
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.12810.127385-0.56%0.127716-0.30%0.0167✗0.957.1M2022-05-06
IMXImmutableEthereum1.5741.5651-0.56%1.507-4.26%0.0171✓1.408.3M2022-05-06
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.0910.090467-0.59%0.0896-1.54%0.0030✓0.852.6M2022-05-06
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.060670.060313-0.59%0.05852-3.54%0.0137✓1.1177k2022-05-06
ZENHorizenBase30.9830.7976-0.59%36.39+17.46%0.1871✗1.36173k2022-05-06
LUNATerraTerra 282.4281.9174-0.61%77.36-6.14%0.0378✓1.317.3M2022-05-06
SNXSynthetixEthereum4.5354.507-0.62%4.596+1.35%0.0421✗1.527.5M2022-05-06
CRVCurve DAOEthereum2.4542.4385-0.63%2.295-6.48%0.0409✓1.335.1M2022-05-06
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.911.8969-0.69%1.838-3.77%0.0147✓1.1317.4M2022-05-06
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.16750.166322-0.70%0.1615-3.58%0.0146✓1.003.9M2022-05-06
BRISEBitgertEthereum9.15e-79.08e-7-0.72%8.90e-7-2.64%0.0196✓-0.01713k2022-05-06
PROPropyEthereum1.671.6562-0.83%1.75+4.79%0.0641✗0.61470k2022-05-06
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum18.9518.7905-0.84%18.4-2.90%0.0007✓1.372.2M2022-05-06
GLMGolemEthereum0.37430.37085-0.92%0.3521-5.93%0.0352✓1.12188k2022-05-06
TRXTRONTron0.0747070.073952-1.01%0.086482+15.76%0.1678✗0.76297k2022-05-06
AVTAventusEthereum2.112.0881-1.04%1.93-8.53%0.0706✓0.55272k2022-05-06
1INCH1INCHEthereum1.2871.273-1.09%1.356+5.36%0.0784✗1.03462k2022-05-06
STEEMSteemnative0.40070.395831-1.22%0.3759-6.19%0.0368✓1.007.0M2022-05-06
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.