8=======>

2022-05-03 · +1d

beta_5y · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 163 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.1426
163 of 163 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+3.64%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
16.0%
in alpha space · 5.5% on raw price
BTC over horizon
+5.17%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (163 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
ARPAARPAEthereum0.0570.05633-1.18%0.0598+4.91%0.0023✓1.14179k2022-05-04
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.03160.031285-1.00%0.02852-9.75%0.1183✓0.51416k2022-05-04
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.67070.66407-0.99%0.7153+6.65%0.0272✗0.9310.9M2022-05-04
BRISEBitgertEthereum9.43e-79.34e-7-0.98%9.57e-7+1.50%0.0279✗-0.06596k2022-05-04
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum21.9621.7453-0.98%22.15+0.87%0.0484✓1.332.2M2022-05-04
TRXTRONTron0.0726820.072001-0.94%0.086397+18.87%0.1513✗0.62296k2022-05-04
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.921.9023-0.92%2.076+8.13%0.0342✗1.0516.1M2022-05-04
CRVCurve DAOEthereum2.1542.1346-0.90%2.596+20.52%0.1316✗1.275.1M2022-05-04
APEApeCoinEthereum14.15214.0298-0.86%15.557+9.93%0.0009✓2.0752.0M2022-05-04
YFIyearn.financeEthereum17,468.6017,330.72-0.79%18,332.59+4.95%0.0082✗0.952.7M2022-05-04
XVGVergenative0.008120.008063-0.70%0.00896+10.34%0.0511✗1.08975k2022-05-04
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum3.48083.4566-0.70%3.7324+7.23%0.0374✗0.7810.0M2022-05-04
SNXSynthetixEthereum4.6424.6099-0.69%5.073+9.28%0.0237✗1.437.7M2022-05-04
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.31910.316965-0.67%0.3438+7.74%0.0218✗1.186.8M2022-05-04
STEEMSteemnative0.35650.354135-0.66%0.3966+11.25%0.0628✗1.007.0M2022-05-04
LCXLCXEthereum0.10730.106608-0.65%0.1109+3.36%0.0050✓0.88425k2022-05-04
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.09420.093598-0.64%0.0973+3.29%0.0035✓0.843.0M2022-05-04
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.20020.198931-0.63%0.222+10.89%0.0421✗1.34114k2022-05-04
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.20420.202932-0.62%0.213+4.31%0.0069✗0.821.2M2022-05-04
GTCGitcoinEthereum4.754.7209-0.61%5.17+8.84%0.0166✗1.47339k2022-05-04
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.4410.438317-0.61%0.478+8.39%0.0351✗1.024.3M2022-05-04
DASHDashDash88.0987.556-0.61%95.85+8.81%0.0390✗1.021.2M2022-05-04
CHZChilizEthereum0.1780.176942-0.59%0.196+10.11%0.0447✗1.141.6M2022-05-04
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.6946830.690567-0.59%0.800276+15.20%0.0975✗0.995.3M2022-05-04
SUNSun TokenTron0.0120730.012003-0.58%0.013631+12.90%0.0844✗0.8544k2022-05-04
PROPropyEthereum1.571.561-0.57%1.72+9.55%0.0683✗0.57459k2022-05-04
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.017820.017718-0.57%0.02056+15.38%0.0762✗1.4447.4M2022-05-04
LUNATerraTerra 282.5782.1043-0.56%86.09+4.26%0.0168✓1.277.5M2022-05-04
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.008550.008502-0.56%0.00934+9.24%0.0365✗1.142.4M2022-05-04
MASKMask NetworkEthereum3.713.6893-0.56%4.39+18.33%0.1046✗1.38385k2022-05-04
ZENHorizenBase30.2630.0934-0.55%33.7+11.37%0.0463✗1.33177k2022-05-04
ORCAOrcaSolana1.821.81-0.55%1.87+2.75%0.0031✓0.71164k2022-05-04
STORJStorjEthereum0.86450.859764-0.55%0.9575+10.76%0.0489✗1.1797k2022-05-04
AUCTIONBounceEthereum11.3911.3281-0.54%12.03+5.62%0.0089✗1.02963k2022-05-04
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana5.3985.369-0.54%5.785+7.17%0.0449✗0.591.5M2022-05-04
XMRMoneroMonero206.93205.8203-0.54%225.24+8.85%0.0441✗0.913.3M2022-05-04
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.06560.065254-0.53%0.07079+7.91%0.0420✗0.7816k2022-05-04
CVCCivicEthereum0.25870.25735-0.52%0.2829+9.35%0.0394✗1.10391k2022-05-04
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana4.724.6955-0.52%4.91+4.03%0.0113✗0.66648k2022-05-04
ASTRAstarEthereum0.1510.15022-0.52%0.168+11.26%0.0925✗0.38132k2022-05-04
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.6570.65361-0.52%0.717+9.13%0.0219✗1.401.7M2022-05-04
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.12660.125961-0.50%0.1295+2.29%0.0186✓0.92156k2022-05-04
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum3.73863.7198-0.50%4.2374+13.34%0.0810✗0.98177k2022-05-04
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.03810.037911-0.50%0.04109+7.85%0.0388✗0.8340k2022-05-04
LSKLiskEthereum1.73731.7288-0.49%1.8765+8.01%0.0376✗0.8889k2022-05-04
HIGHHighstreetEthereum3.7783.7597-0.48%4.124+9.16%0.0048✓1.741.5M2022-05-04
LPTLivepeerEthereum21.8221.7145-0.48%23.95+9.76%0.0340✗1.27586k2022-05-04
DOTPolkadotPolkadot14.7314.6589-0.48%16.32+10.79%0.0556✗1.0311.7M2022-05-04
AAVEAaveEthereum141.02140.3438-0.48%159.43+13.05%0.0648✗1.249.8M2022-05-04
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV72.6872.3347-0.48%78.63+8.19%0.0425✗0.812.1M2022-05-04
AMPAmpEthereum0.018080.017996-0.46%0.01937+7.13%0.0374✗0.723.6M2022-05-04
BICOBiconomyEthereum1.0361.0312-0.46%1.14+10.04%0.0425✗1.152.2M2022-05-04
ZECZcashZcash119.63119.0812-0.46%134.35+12.30%0.0652✗1.105.8M2022-05-04
FILFilecoinFilecoin14.6214.553-0.46%15.71+7.46%0.0230✗1.067.8M2022-05-04
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum4.924.8975-0.46%5.395+9.65%0.0371✗1.18186k2022-05-04
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum12.812.7419-0.45%14.28+11.56%0.0562✗1.158.7M2022-05-04
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.061070.060795-0.45%0.06675+9.30%0.0403✗1.0593k2022-05-04
SUSHISushiEthereum2.322.3096-0.45%2.62+12.93%0.0632✗1.254.0M2022-05-04
FTTFTXEthereum37.7937.6232-0.44%39.56+4.68%0.0058✗0.8812.4M2022-05-04
BORABORAKlay Token0.621720.618988-0.44%0.67548+8.65%0.0313✗1.1187k2022-05-04
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.1295030.128948-0.43%0.135908+4.95%0.0057✗0.937.1M2022-05-04
UMAUMAEthereum5.3395.3165-0.42%5.67+6.20%0.0063✓1.401.8M2022-05-04
BTTCBTTC0.000001710.000001703-0.42%0.00000178+4.09%0.0089✗0.707.6M2022-05-04
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.014360.0143-0.42%0.01524+6.13%0.0185✗0.901.2M2022-05-04
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.08433.0715-0.41%3.2118+4.13%0.0135✗0.624.1M2022-05-04
RADRadworksEthereum3.813.7942-0.41%4.01+5.25%0.0134✗0.83578k2022-05-04
AVTAventusEthereum21.9917-0.41%1.9-5.00%0.0759✓0.57272k2022-05-04
BTCBitcoinBitcoin37,719.5937,563.57-0.41%39,669.56+5.17%0.0041✗1.00553.2M2022-05-04
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0192290.01915-0.41%0.02161+12.38%0.0991✗0.43193k2022-05-04
ADACardanoCardano0.77110.767928-0.41%0.8983+16.50%0.1044✗1.0441.1M2022-05-04
KCSKuCoinnative17.81217.7387-0.41%18.408+3.35%0.0022✓0.784.5M2022-05-04
GTGateEthereum6.30426.2784-0.41%6.523+3.47%0.0159✗0.444.5M2022-05-04
LRCLoopringEthereum0.72280.719853-0.41%0.8162+12.92%0.0624✗1.25328k2022-05-04
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.7994.7795-0.41%5.0794+5.84%0.0027✓1.158.6M2022-05-04
METRONOMEMETRONOME2.37912.3694-0.41%2.4779+4.15%0.0117✗0.6615k2022-05-04
COTICOTIEthereum0.19210.191327-0.40%0.222+15.56%0.0845✗1.272.2M2022-05-04
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche59.6359.3905-0.40%67.28+12.83%0.0663✗1.1644.2M2022-05-04
XEMNEMnative0.08780.087448-0.40%0.0917+4.44%0.0004✓0.9352k2022-05-04
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.653.6354-0.40%3.783+3.64%0.0237✗0.322.5M2022-05-04
1INCH1INCHEthereum1.1721.1673-0.40%1.282+9.39%0.0417✗1.03501k2022-05-04
LTCLitecoinLitecoin99.3598.9568-0.40%106.25+6.95%0.0204✗1.0117.3M2022-05-04
CTKShentuOsmosis1.0311.027-0.39%1.115+8.15%0.0278✗1.083.6M2022-05-04
IMXImmutableEthereum1.5781.5719-0.39%1.817+15.15%0.0908✗1.077.8M2022-05-04
OGOG Fan TokenSolana2.9422.9306-0.39%3.092+5.10%0.0234✗0.601.4M2022-05-04
ETHEthereumEthereum2,780.342,769.57-0.39%2,939.98+5.74%0.0090✗1.01438.2M2022-05-04
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash279.33278.2539-0.39%299.95+7.38%0.0258✗0.985.4M2022-05-04
XVSVenusEthereum7.787.75-0.39%8.52+9.51%0.0420✗1.053.2M2022-05-04
XECeCashnative0.000071880.000071607-0.38%0.00007852+9.24%0.0428✗0.987.9M2022-05-04
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum4.3464.3295-0.38%4.68+7.69%0.0299✗0.9567k2022-05-04
SOLSolanaSolana85.8585.5249-0.38%92.76+8.05%0.0209✗1.2085.8M2022-05-04
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.017080.017016-0.37%0.018+5.39%0.0058✗1.00269k2022-05-04
GALAGALAEthereum0.13590.135396-0.37%0.1613+18.69%0.1136✗1.22180k2022-05-04
HIVEHivenative0.77430.771471-0.37%0.8291+7.08%0.0215✗1.001.5M2022-05-04
KSMKusamaHydration127.65127.1839-0.37%140.48+10.05%0.0452✗1.08954k2022-05-04
QNTQuantEthereum93.0392.6963-0.36%101.58+9.19%0.0480✗0.863.4M2022-05-04
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.481.4748-0.35%1.64+10.81%0.0398✗1.32989k2022-05-04
DEXEDeXeEthereum5.375.351-0.35%5.56+3.54%0.0101✗0.56869k2022-05-04
XLMStellarStellar0.1719620.171355-0.35%0.184721+7.42%0.0264✗0.9713.8M2022-05-04
COMPCompoundEthereum102.6102.2435-0.35%114.56+11.66%0.0562✗1.1433k2022-05-04
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.96510.961775-0.34%1.0448+8.26%0.0198✗1.256.8M2022-05-04
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana4.264.2453-0.34%4.47+4.93%0.0154✗0.72733k2022-05-04
GLMGolemEthereum0.34240.341235-0.34%0.372+8.64%0.0207✗1.30190k2022-05-04
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana2.8042.7945-0.34%2.994+6.78%0.0337✗0.701.0M2022-05-04
DKAdKargoEthereum0.079510.079241-0.34%0.08485+6.72%0.0276✗0.8132k2022-05-04
CTSICartesiEthereum0.27160.270687-0.34%0.2979+9.68%0.0307✗1.29795k2022-05-04
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.4190.417598-0.33%0.4526+8.02%0.0362✗0.88311k2022-05-04
BANDBandEthereum2.9752.9651-0.33%3.342+12.34%0.0570✗1.24572k2022-05-04
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana11.8911.851-0.33%10.17-14.47%0.1763✓0.462.5M2022-05-04
SCSiacoinnative0.008220.008193-0.33%0.00898+9.25%0.0327✗1.17382k2022-05-04
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.2250.224279-0.32%0.2557+13.64%0.0599✗1.417.0M2022-05-04
WOOWOOEthereum0.33510.334063-0.31%0.3846+14.77%0.1189✗0.444,1372022-05-04
API3Api3Ethereum3.4013.3908-0.30%3.652+7.38%0.0247✗0.983.1M2022-05-04
GITCOINGITCOIN4.6984.6839-0.30%5.147+9.56%0.0210✗1.4519k2022-05-04
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum37,647.2037,537.05-0.29%39,665.50+5.36%0.0080✗0.9425k2022-05-04
NANOnanopayBase1.68621.6813-0.29%1.8061+7.11%0.0182✗1.06156k2022-05-04
QTUMQtumQtum5.39065.3753-0.29%5.9368+10.13%0.0413✗1.15103k2022-05-04
DIADIAEthereum0.760.75784-0.28%0.81+6.58%0.0451✗0.4271k2022-05-04
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.03480.034702-0.28%0.0439+26.15%0.1557✗1.5823.0M2022-05-04
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.20923.2002-0.28%3.3664+4.90%0.0224✗0.565.8M2022-05-04
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana9.169.1344-0.28%9.68+5.68%0.0369✗0.421.6M2022-05-04
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.579930.578311-0.28%0.65135+12.32%0.0666✗1.04126k2022-05-04
SKLSKALEEthereum0.14060.140213-0.27%0.1592+13.23%0.0643✗1.245.6M2022-05-04
NMRNumeraireEthereum22.822.7375-0.27%24.08+5.61%0.0127✗0.89458k2022-05-04
TRBTellor TributesEthereum14.5714.5302-0.27%16.45+12.90%0.0550✗1.37145k2022-05-04
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.038460.038355-0.27%0.04253+10.58%0.0644✗0.77244k2022-05-04
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.60445.5894-0.27%5.6389+0.62%0.0149✓0.47249k2022-05-04
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum1.971.9648-0.26%2.12+7.61%0.0260✗0.99135k2022-05-04
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.9250.922612-0.26%1.006+8.76%0.0289✗1.141.2M2022-05-04
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0030.002992-0.26%0.00353+17.67%0.1122✗1.054.2M2022-05-04
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos17.5617.5158-0.25%19.91+13.38%0.0756✗1.0419.4M2022-05-04
MOVRMoonriverBase39.566639.4674-0.25%43.5734+10.13%0.0257✗1.45189k2022-05-04
UOSUltraEthereum0.712980.711198-0.25%0.80809+13.34%0.0660✗1.221.4M2022-05-04
XTZTezosTezos2.48722.481-0.25%2.7028+8.67%0.0329✗1.05855k2022-05-04
STXStacksnative0.920.917754-0.24%0.99+7.61%0.0279✗0.95311k2022-05-04
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana5.075.0577-0.24%5.34+5.33%0.0203✗0.671.1M2022-05-04
CELLCellframeEthereum0.69630.694625-0.24%0.7522+8.03%0.0176✗1.23117k2022-05-04
MINAMina Protocolnative1.771.7658-0.24%2.01+13.56%0.0750✗1.081.1M2022-05-04
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.5840.582606-0.24%0.615+5.31%0.0156✗0.761.5M2022-05-04
XYMSymbolnative0.09110.090884-0.24%0.0959+5.27%0.0203✗0.66735k2022-05-04
LINKChainlinkEthereum11.1211.0945-0.23%12.2+9.71%0.0391✗1.1118.3M2022-05-04
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.5020.500885-0.22%0.5538+10.32%0.0494✗1.018.0M2022-05-04
FIDABonfidaSolana1.0561.0537-0.22%1.114+5.49%0.0061✗0.9852k2022-05-04
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.14370.143394-0.21%0.1544+7.45%0.0341✓2.14272k2022-05-04
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000020350.000020311-0.19%0.00002178+7.03%0.0163✗1.061.4M2022-05-04
PHAPHALAEthereum0.2270.226585-0.18%0.237+4.41%0.0101✗0.6925k2022-05-04
CBKCobakEthereum1.8261.8228-0.18%1.935+5.97%0.0220✗0.7524k2022-05-04
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.750.748727-0.17%0.82+9.33%0.0340✗1.13443k2022-05-04
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum1.0631.0612-0.17%1.182+11.19%0.0458✗1.23357k2022-05-04
UNIUniswapEthereum6.856.8385-0.17%7.94+15.91%0.0967✗1.044.4M2022-05-04
ETCEthereum Classicnative26.8226.7776-0.16%30.61+14.13%0.0771✗1.124.9M2022-05-04
DODODODOEthereum0.2850.284596-0.14%0.323+13.33%0.0682✗1.165.6M2022-05-04
GLMRMoonbeamBase2.4492.4459-0.13%2.764+12.86%0.0432✗1.57719k2022-05-04
DYDXdYdXCosmos3.3943.3912-0.08%3.8+11.96%0.0462✗1.3479k2022-05-04
BFCBifrostEthereum0.121710.121647-0.05%0.12604+3.56%0.0002✓0.7017k2022-05-04
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.39250.392383-0.03%0.4415+12.48%0.0652✗1.05499k2022-05-04
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0233050.023299-0.03%0.024465+4.98%0.0029✓1.034.3M2022-05-04
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.007510.00751-0.00%0.0078+3.86%0.0064✗0.6327k2022-05-04
MANADecentralandEthereum1.47561.4759+0.02%1.6585+12.39%0.0609✓1.11970k2022-05-04
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.410.410487+0.12%0.46+12.20%0.0401✓1.46293k2022-05-04
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum1.3511.353+0.14%1.474+9.10%0.0319✓1.0763k2022-05-04
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.21860.219003+0.18%0.2478+13.36%0.0389✓1.681.3M2022-05-04
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.40120.402553+0.34%0.4811+19.92%0.1630✓0.30580k2022-05-04
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum29.0829.2205+0.48%33.33+14.61%0.0685✓1.254.0M2022-05-04
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.