8=======>

2022-04-25 · +30d

beta_5y · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 162 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.1760
162 of 162 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+15.04%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
93.8%
in alpha space · 98.8% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-27.04%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (162 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.95195.8992-0.89%4.9103-17.50%0.0268✓0.50208k2022-05-25
LTCLitecoinLitecoin104.56102.5924-1.88%68.16-34.81%0.0902✓1.0119.7M2022-05-25
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana11.4311.2084-1.94%8.16-28.61%0.2082✓0.352.0M2022-05-25
DKAdKargoEthereum0.090680.088704-2.18%0.05634-37.87%0.2099✓0.7736k2022-05-25
GTGateEthereum6.31816.1795-2.19%5.5974-11.41%0.0489✗0.474.7M2022-05-25
BFCBifrostEthereum0.138440.134784-2.64%0.0708-48.86%0.4118✓0.7417k2022-05-25
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.045150.0439-2.77%0.02834-37.23%0.1820✓0.81381k2022-05-25
DIADIAEthereum0.840.816376-2.81%0.45862-45.40%0.4279✓0.4788k2022-05-25
BTCBitcoinBitcoin40,439.2239,058.99-3.41%29,503.49-27.04%0.0347✓1.00544.9M2022-05-25
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.030480.029399-3.55%0.021686-28.85%0.0042✓0.984.4M2022-05-25
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.04330.041747-3.59%0.02754-36.40%0.1638✓0.8067k2022-05-25
DEXEDeXeEthereum6.165.9356-3.64%3.31-46.27%0.4049✓0.571.0M2022-05-25
CBKCobakEthereum2.1662.0867-3.66%1.245-42.52%0.2985✓0.6925k2022-05-25
QNTQuantEthereum107.81103.7825-3.74%67.06-37.80%0.1859✓0.803.4M2022-05-25
CTKShentuOsmosis1.1691.125-3.76%0.793-32.16%0.0302✓1.013.9M2022-05-25
ORCAOrcaSolana1.971.8945-3.83%0.85-56.85%0.5783✓0.71230k2022-05-25
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum40,523.2038,962.04-3.85%29,838.20-26.37%0.0236✓0.9225k2022-05-25
GITCOINGITCOIN5.7535.5286-3.90%2.581-55.14%0.3099✓1.4318k2022-05-25
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.3080.295796-3.96%0.1393-54.77%0.3184✓1.388.8M2022-05-25
METRONOMEMETRONOME2.41642.3176-4.09%1.6245-32.77%0.1552✓0.6311k2022-05-25
FTTFTXEthereum41.8340.0648-4.22%29-30.67%0.0433✓0.8919.0M2022-05-25
STXStacksnative1.111.0631-4.23%0.59-46.85%0.2962✓0.93422k2022-05-25
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.03110.029721-4.43%0.02708-12.93%0.0921✗0.59536k2022-05-25
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum2.222.1195-4.53%1.34-39.64%0.1484✓0.98128k2022-05-25
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.98023.7977-4.58%2.5249-36.56%0.2554✓0.485.6M2022-05-25
ETHEthereumEthereum3,007.222,868.26-4.62%1,940.83-35.46%0.0774✓0.99438.2M2022-05-25
KCSKuCoinnative19.75918.8236-4.73%16.114-18.45%0.0867✗0.775.8M2022-05-25
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.64990.6191-4.74%0.3344-48.55%0.3173✓0.959.2M2022-05-25
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.50060.476864-4.74%0.2692-46.22%0.3039✓0.85511k2022-05-25
LINKChainlinkEthereum13.4412.8015-4.75%6.95-48.29%0.2691✓1.0826.0M2022-05-25
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.13350.126999-4.87%0.0878-34.23%0.0563✓0.99203k2022-05-25
XEMNEMnative0.09540.090752-4.87%0.0519-45.60%0.2735✓0.9072k2022-05-25
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum1.0721.0194-4.91%0.592-44.78%0.2148✓1.041.3M2022-05-25
ARPAARPAEthereum0.06510.061836-5.01%0.0346-46.85%0.2367✓1.09296k2022-05-25
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.01140.010828-5.02%0.00442-61.23%0.7199✓0.5632k2022-05-25
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum5.1184.8594-5.05%2.82-44.90%0.2488✓0.9464k2022-05-25
AMPAmpEthereum0.021670.020573-5.06%0.01278-41.02%0.2462✓0.734.5M2022-05-25
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana5.685.3922-5.07%4.65-18.13%0.0465✓0.621.3M2022-05-25
SCSiacoinnative0.010140.009616-5.17%0.00535-47.24%0.2292✓1.13476k2022-05-25
API3Api3Ethereum4.223.9979-5.26%1.67-60.43%0.5824✓0.923.1M2022-05-25
SUNSun TokenTron0.0140930.013345-5.31%0.009336-33.75%0.0882✓0.8553k2022-05-25
XMRMoneroMonero254.06240.4632-5.35%204.07-19.68%0.1179✗0.893.1M2022-05-25
OGOG Fan TokenSolana3.2913.1134-5.40%2.628-20.15%0.0070✓0.561.8M2022-05-25
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.911.8058-5.46%0.87-54.45%0.3257✓1.281.6M2022-05-25
WOOWOOEthereum0.44820.42332-5.55%0.1942-56.67%0.6975✓0.265,5292022-05-25
FIDABonfidaSolana1.2991.2263-5.60%0.53-59.20%0.5330✓0.9762k2022-05-25
UOSUltraEthereum0.959580.905776-5.61%0.37157-61.28%0.5068✓1.221.7M2022-05-25
IMXImmutableEthereum1.7991.6979-5.62%0.934-48.08%0.2917✓0.978.6M2022-05-25
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash314.56296.3378-5.79%190.03-39.59%0.1425✓0.966.0M2022-05-25
XYMSymbolnative0.1070.100753-5.84%0.0602-43.74%0.3116✓0.65823k2022-05-25
XTZTezosTezos2.95422.7811-5.86%2.1289-27.94%0.0515✓1.01893k2022-05-25
DODODODOEthereum0.3840.361502-5.86%0.171-55.47%0.4087✓1.088.0M2022-05-25
CVCCivicEthereum0.29220.274848-5.94%0.1738-40.52%0.1181✓1.08492k2022-05-25
UMAUMAEthereum5.945.5841-5.99%3.37-43.27%0.0487✓1.452.5M2022-05-25
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.66163.44-6.05%2.5703-29.80%0.1203✓0.544.6M2022-05-25
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.23530.221051-6.06%0.1281-45.56%0.2937✓0.801.6M2022-05-25
FILFilecoinFilecoin18.6317.4867-6.14%8.17-56.15%0.4435✓1.0110.7M2022-05-25
TRXTRONTron0.0653240.061306-6.15%0.084706+29.67%0.5127✗0.60304k2022-05-25
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000024370.000022866-6.17%0.0000116-52.40%0.3484✓1.052.1M2022-05-25
NANOnanopayBase2.1191.988-6.18%1.0864-48.73%0.2967✓0.98188k2022-05-25
XLMStellarStellar0.1922160.180275-6.21%0.132074-31.29%0.0091✓0.9618.9M2022-05-25
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.723570.678582-6.22%0.38953-46.17%0.2416✓0.99152k2022-05-25
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana5.194.8664-6.23%4.06-21.77%0.0134✓0.62865k2022-05-25
LCXLCXEthereum0.11340.106319-6.24%0.0612-46.03%0.2679✓0.90791k2022-05-25
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV80.6875.6303-6.26%53.342-33.88%0.1006✓0.793.4M2022-05-25
GTCGitcoinEthereum5.85.4361-6.27%2.61-55.00%0.2745✓1.46461k2022-05-25
BANDBandEthereum3.6163.3826-6.45%1.687-53.35%0.3211✓1.19715k2022-05-25
HIVEHivenative0.90460.84614-6.46%0.4895-45.89%0.2491✓0.951.9M2022-05-25
DASHDashDash99.4192.9722-6.48%62.12-37.51%0.0889✓1.001.6M2022-05-25
DYDXdYdXCosmos4.5064.2123-6.52%2.078-53.88%0.3083✓1.26121k2022-05-25
BTTCBTTC0.000001830.000001711-6.53%0.00000113-38.25%0.1918✓0.719.3M2022-05-25
GLMGolemEthereum0.41210.384991-6.58%0.2576-37.49%0.0244✓1.35282k2022-05-25
NMRNumeraireEthereum27.7225.8595-6.71%12.51-54.87%0.4401✓0.91517k2022-05-25
ZECZcashZcash165.73154.5597-6.74%95.54-42.35%0.1718✓0.987.2M2022-05-25
LSKLiskEthereum2.09731.9556-6.76%1.277-39.11%0.1662✓0.82100k2022-05-25
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.18480.172289-6.77%0.106-42.64%0.2163✗2.23398k2022-05-25
DOTPolkadotPolkadot18.0916.8525-6.84%9.87-45.44%0.2212✓1.0014.6M2022-05-25
PHAPHALAEthereum0.2710.252262-6.91%0.1355-50.00%0.4148✓0.6636k2022-05-25
PROPropyEthereum1.61.4891-6.93%1.06-33.75%0.2008✓0.44247k2022-05-25
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana4.664.3366-6.94%4.36-6.44%0.2180✗0.671.2M2022-05-25
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.31470.292506-7.05%0.1164-63.01%0.3966✓1.662.2M2022-05-25
AUCTIONBounceEthereum12.8411.9322-7.07%6.35-50.55%0.3053✓1.031.1M2022-05-25
YFIyearn.financeEthereum18,700.5017,377.20-7.08%8,462.79-54.75%0.4090✓0.984.0M2022-05-25
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.570.52957-7.09%0.21127-62.94%0.4707✓1.42395k2022-05-25
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum1.3811.2827-7.12%0.683-50.54%0.2453✓1.22496k2022-05-25
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum16.1414.9904-7.12%7.75-51.98%0.3258✓1.0613.0M2022-05-25
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.04780.044389-7.14%0.0239-50.00%0.1107✓1.6132.1M2022-05-25
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.680.631452-7.14%0.394-42.06%0.2384✓0.742.8M2022-05-25
STORJStorjEthereum1.05740.981827-7.14%0.56044-47.00%0.2147✓1.10156k2022-05-25
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.009620.008932-7.16%0.00435-54.78%0.3563✓1.153.0M2022-05-25
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.01680.015591-7.20%0.00979-41.73%0.1887✓0.881.5M2022-05-25
SOLSolanaSolana100.9993.5683-7.35%47.94-52.53%0.2873✓1.21127.9M2022-05-25
RADRadworksEthereum4.424.0949-7.35%3.37-23.76%0.0704✓0.84741k2022-05-25
XVSVenusEthereum109.2551-7.45%4.6-54.00%0.3800✓1.014.5M2022-05-25
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.24370.225422-7.50%0.1473-39.56%0.0303✓1.25236k2022-05-25
XVGVergenative0.009960.009208-7.55%0.00508-49.00%0.2617✓1.061.4M2022-05-25
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum4.52274.1809-7.56%2.5303-44.05%0.2038✓0.95275k2022-05-25
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum6.2555.7819-7.56%2.862-54.24%0.3550✓1.10216k2022-05-25
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.023040.021288-7.60%0.00903-60.81%0.5380✓1.01383k2022-05-25
COMPCompoundEthereum132.68122.5491-7.64%66.82-49.64%0.2566✓1.1165k2022-05-25
AAVEAaveEthereum168.93156.0133-7.65%101.87-39.70%0.0335✓1.2512.2M2022-05-25
CHZChilizEthereum0.21270.196304-7.71%0.1199-43.63%0.1452✓1.102.6M2022-05-25
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.52650.485905-7.71%0.2104-60.04%0.7547✓0.26777k2022-05-25
GALAGALAEthereum0.18260.168488-7.73%0.08-56.19%0.3928✓1.12220k2022-05-25
XECeCashnative0.000086730.000080015-7.74%0.00004919-43.28%0.2007✓0.919.8M2022-05-25
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.1162.8744-7.75%2.531-18.77%0.0754✓0.641.5M2022-05-25
QTUMQtumQtum6.46725.9652-7.76%4.0707-37.06%0.0290✓1.12170k2022-05-25
ADACardanoCardano0.89750.827229-7.83%0.5139-42.74%0.1543✓1.0253.5M2022-05-25
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos22.1220.3827-7.85%10.73-51.49%0.3176✓1.0323.3M2022-05-25
BORABORAKlay Token0.778920.716907-7.96%0.45588-41.47%0.1185✓1.06140k2022-05-25
TRBTellor TributesEthereum18.8917.3859-7.96%9.44-50.03%0.1928✓1.33190k2022-05-25
BRISEBitgertEthereum9.91e-79.12e-7-7.97%6.44e-7-35.03%0.4122✓-0.20596k2022-05-25
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.3654.0165-7.99%4.696+7.58%0.2291✗0.232.7M2022-05-25
CTSICartesiEthereum0.32790.301515-8.05%0.1867-43.06%0.0771✓1.281.3M2022-05-25
COTICOTIEthereum0.2210.203157-8.07%0.1203-45.57%0.1254✓1.263.3M2022-05-25
MANADecentralandEthereum1.98011.8191-8.13%1.0553-46.70%0.2108✓1.061.2M2022-05-25
AVTAventusEthereum2.452.2501-8.16%1.14-53.47%0.5226✓0.50322k2022-05-25
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche72.9166.9508-8.17%27.21-62.68%0.5294✓1.1862.8M2022-05-25
LUNATerraTerra 296.8588.8012-8.31%0.00019-100.00%12.6543✓1.2710.3M2022-05-25
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain5.82735.341-8.34%3.5129-39.72%0.0615✓1.1311.2M2022-05-25
CRVCurve DAOEthereum2.7432.5132-8.38%1.233-55.05%0.3232✓1.238.4M2022-05-25
MOVRMoonriverBase50.540646.3069-8.38%24.0075-52.50%0.2187✓1.39223k2022-05-25
SPELLSpellEthereum0.003910.003582-8.40%0.00137-64.96%0.6341✓1.047.1M2022-05-25
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.9464.5304-8.40%3.812-22.93%0.0065✓0.531.6M2022-05-25
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0260330.023817-8.51%0.01699-34.74%0.1697✓0.53197k2022-05-25
ZENHorizenBase36.3933.2809-8.54%20.29-44.24%0.0926✓1.28275k2022-05-25
CELLCellframeEthereum0.88230.806186-8.63%0.3875-56.08%0.3413✓1.24208k2022-05-25
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana12.5311.4393-8.70%5.92-52.75%0.5235✓0.432.8M2022-05-25
KSMKusamaHydration164.32149.9078-8.77%79.21-51.80%0.3047✓1.061.1M2022-05-25
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.70310.641272-8.79%0.4053-42.36%0.1749✓0.9012.2M2022-05-25
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum1.8321.6706-8.81%0.684-62.66%0.5916✓0.9678k2022-05-25
UNIUniswapEthereum8.747.9688-8.82%5.62-35.70%0.0312✓1.016.3M2022-05-25
GLMRMoonbeamBase3.4843.176-8.84%1.299-62.72%0.4233✓1.49896k2022-05-25
1INCH1INCHEthereum1.4191.2924-8.92%0.967-31.85%0.0242✓1.00593k2022-05-25
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum1.030.938068-8.93%0.78513-23.77%0.1479✗1.03595k2022-05-25
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum42.8939.0269-9.01%20.88-51.32%0.2539✓1.186.3M2022-05-25
ETCEthereum Classicnative33.6530.5837-9.11%23.79-29.30%0.0836✓1.068.8M2022-05-25
BICOBiconomyEthereum1.2361.1233-9.12%0.649-47.49%0.1928✓1.132.6M2022-05-25
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.10320.09378-9.13%0.0529-48.74%0.2853✓0.912.5M2022-05-25
LPTLivepeerEthereum26.3723.9622-9.13%13.32-49.49%0.2025✓1.22685k2022-05-25
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.1579870.143561-9.13%0.082855-47.56%0.2740✓0.875.1M2022-05-25
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.07860.071228-9.38%0.04828-38.58%0.1481✓0.7631k2022-05-25
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.51750.468824-9.41%0.2923-43.52%0.1332✓1.08719k2022-05-25
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.072990.066021-9.55%0.03816-47.72%0.2365✓0.99124k2022-05-25
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum15.7314.2051-9.69%12.26-22.06%0.2483✗1.252.2M2022-05-25
SKLSKALEEthereum0.17840.160772-9.88%0.0827-53.64%0.3047✓1.148.8M2022-05-25
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.7778150.700241-9.97%0.419069-46.12%0.1775✓1.074.6M2022-05-25
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.022950.020552-10.45%0.01238-46.06%0.0509✓1.4549.4M2022-05-25
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.36040.322487-10.52%0.1511-58.07%0.3866✓1.189.2M2022-05-25
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain1.18291.0532-10.97%0.6487-45.16%0.1011✓1.2210.2M2022-05-25
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.5750.510888-11.15%0.223-61.22%0.5254✓0.964.9M2022-05-25
SNXSynthetixEthereum6.165.4635-11.31%2.551-58.59%0.3413✓1.338.3M2022-05-25
LRCLoopringEthereum0.89180.790849-11.32%0.6112-31.46%0.1201✓1.20487k2022-05-25
MASKMask NetworkEthereum4.123.6422-11.60%1.91-53.64%0.2273✓1.33416k2022-05-25
ASTRAstarEthereum0.1750.154489-11.72%0.067-61.71%0.7080✓0.40190k2022-05-25
HIGHHighstreetEthereum4.3363.8101-12.13%2.13-50.88%0.0507✓1.681.8M2022-05-25
SUSHISushiEthereum3.282.8806-12.18%1.65-49.70%0.1853✓1.184.4M2022-05-25
MINAMina Protocolnative2.251.9743-12.25%0.976-56.62%0.3834✓1.021.3M2022-05-25
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum5.07784.4522-12.32%2.1481-57.70%0.4870✓0.778.0M2022-05-25
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.8440.738425-12.51%0.396-53.08%0.2025✓1.331.9M2022-05-25
APEApeCoinEthereum19.35716.9269-12.55%7.33-62.13%0.1336✓2.2345.4M2022-05-25
MTLMetal DAOMetal L22.6282.2738-13.48%1.391-47.07%0.1856✓0.979.9M2022-05-25
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.