8=======>

2022-04-22 · +30d

beta_5y · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 163 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.1356
163 of 163 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+17.61%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
95.1%
in alpha space · 99.4% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-23.80%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (163 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.85875.7876-1.21%4.9129-16.14%0.0325✓0.48201k2022-05-22
LTCLitecoinLitecoin105.34103.1175-2.11%71.61-32.02%0.0894✓1.0119.8M2022-05-22
BFCBifrostEthereum0.137490.13371-2.75%0.0719-47.71%0.4185✓0.7417k2022-05-22
DKAdKargoEthereum0.093370.090564-3.01%0.06501-30.37%0.1167✓0.7939k2022-05-22
GTGateEthereum6.48136.2863-3.01%5.7432-11.39%0.0444✗0.504.7M2022-05-22
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.046640.045113-3.27%0.02798-40.01%0.2516✓0.83430k2022-05-22
BTCBitcoinBitcoin39,712.2538,392.39-3.32%30,260.87-23.80%0.0338✗1.00565.5M2022-05-22
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum39,516.0038,159.29-3.43%30,400.00-23.07%0.0239✓0.9225k2022-05-22
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana13.8513.3593-3.54%8.28-40.22%0.3826✓0.351.9M2022-05-22
DIADIAEthereum0.880.846079-3.85%0.53881-38.77%0.3193✓0.49154k2022-05-22
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.044220.042452-4.00%0.02844-35.69%0.1801✓0.8171k2022-05-22
DEXEDeXeEthereum6.25.9501-4.03%3.58-42.26%0.3520✓0.571.0M2022-05-22
ORCAOrcaSolana1.921.8413-4.10%0.86-55.21%0.5685✓0.71261k2022-05-22
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.33010.315795-4.33%0.1432-56.62%0.4103✓1.409.0M2022-05-22
QNTQuantEthereum107.94103.219-4.37%69.49-35.62%0.1719✓0.823.6M2022-05-22
ETHEthereumEthereum2,963.052,833.42-4.37%2,040.92-31.12%0.0583✓0.99448.2M2022-05-22
GITCOINGITCOIN5.9725.7084-4.41%2.804-53.05%0.3202✓1.4418k2022-05-22
FTTFTXEthereum41.3239.4718-4.47%30.74-25.61%0.0055✓0.9020.1M2022-05-22
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana6.165.8836-4.49%4-35.06%0.2158✓0.631.4M2022-05-22
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0321160.030591-4.75%0.017576-45.27%0.2813✓1.004.7M2022-05-22
WOOWOOEthereum0.4490.427655-4.75%0.2052-54.30%0.6661✓0.255,8622022-05-22
CBKCobakEthereum2.3022.1911-4.82%1.235-46.35%0.3814✓0.7127k2022-05-22
STXStacksnative1.141.0846-4.86%0.56-50.88%0.4086✓0.93426k2022-05-22
CTKShentuOsmosis1.1861.1283-4.86%0.838-29.34%0.0202✓1.023.8M2022-05-22
METRONOMEMETRONOME2.45782.3382-4.87%1.6696-32.07%0.1609✓0.6511k2022-05-22
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.010920.010386-4.89%0.00468-57.14%0.6488✓0.5538k2022-05-22
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum2.232.1205-4.91%1.41-36.77%0.1418✓0.98137k2022-05-22
LINKChainlinkEthereum13.5912.9024-5.06%7.32-46.14%0.2726✓1.0826.2M2022-05-22
XEMNEMnative0.09630.091404-5.08%0.0602-37.49%0.1718✓0.9072k2022-05-22
KCSKuCoinnative20.23419.1925-5.15%16.926-16.35%0.0849✗0.775.8M2022-05-22
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.1370.129935-5.16%0.0891-34.96%0.1077✓0.99215k2022-05-22
UOSUltraEthereum0.941390.890868-5.37%0.37996-59.64%0.5170✓1.231.7M2022-05-22
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.67360.637197-5.40%0.3493-48.14%0.3403✓0.969.4M2022-05-22
AMPAmpEthereum0.022620.021378-5.49%0.01329-41.25%0.2817✓0.714.8M2022-05-22
ARPAARPAEthereum0.06650.062821-5.53%0.0348-47.67%0.2905✓1.10429k2022-05-22
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.51330.484699-5.57%0.271-47.20%0.3533✓0.84490k2022-05-22
SCSiacoinnative0.010580.00999-5.57%0.00546-48.39%0.2959✓1.13517k2022-05-22
NMRNumeraireEthereum25.924.4492-5.60%13.3-48.65%0.3696✓0.88578k2022-05-22
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.032930.031063-5.67%0.02747-16.58%0.0245✓0.54603k2022-05-22
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV79.4874.89-5.77%50.645-36.28%0.1753✓0.793.4M2022-05-22
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum1.161.0912-5.93%0.596-48.62%0.3298✓1.011.3M2022-05-22
NANOnanopayBase2.05761.9353-5.94%1.1635-43.46%0.2391✓0.99226k2022-05-22
IMXImmutableEthereum1.8351.7248-6.01%0.99-46.05%0.2963✓0.957.5M2022-05-22
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.991.8701-6.02%0.94-52.76%0.3409✓1.281.6M2022-05-22
SGBSongbirdnative0.05680.053378-6.02%0.0341-39.96%0.3057✓0.52177k2022-05-22
OGOG Fan TokenSolana3.483.2693-6.05%1.946-44.08%0.3657✓0.562.0M2022-05-22
FIDABonfidaSolana1.3851.3001-6.13%0.582-57.98%0.5360✓0.9962k2022-05-22
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash321.06301.2803-6.16%197.72-38.42%0.1625✓0.956.4M2022-05-22
FILFilecoinFilecoin19.2918.0686-6.33%8.44-56.25%0.4882✓1.0010.7M2022-05-22
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum5.5175.1641-6.40%3.019-45.28%0.2777✓0.9566k2022-05-22
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.23560.220361-6.47%0.1333-43.42%0.2845✓0.801.6M2022-05-22
XTZTezosTezos3.09022.8889-6.51%1.975-36.09%0.1053✓1.01928k2022-05-22
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000024330.000022733-6.56%0.00001191-51.05%0.3586✓1.062.3M2022-05-22
GTCGitcoinEthereum5.985.5875-6.56%2.78-53.51%0.3012✓1.46503k2022-05-22
XYMSymbolnative0.11280.105389-6.57%0.0678-39.89%0.2590✓0.67840k2022-05-22
XMRMoneroMonero268.49250.815-6.58%187.32-30.23%0.0510✓0.892.8M2022-05-22
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.1363930.127371-6.61%0.085931-37.00%0.1639✓0.845.1M2022-05-22
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain5.09194.7545-6.63%2.1772-57.24%0.6456✓0.505.6M2022-05-22
SUNSun TokenTron0.0149990.014004-6.63%0.00925-38.33%0.1844✓0.8553k2022-05-22
UMAUMAEthereum6.0355.6335-6.65%3.516-41.74%0.0769✓1.452.6M2022-05-22
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana5.595.2173-6.67%3.45-38.28%0.2451✓0.621.1M2022-05-22
XLMStellarStellar0.1954030.182308-6.70%0.135282-30.77%0.0375✓0.9619.4M2022-05-22
API3Api3Ethereum4.424.1235-6.71%1.923-56.49%0.5266✓0.873.3M2022-05-22
LCXLCXEthereum0.11620.10838-6.73%0.0642-44.75%0.2528✓1.00988k2022-05-22
ZECZcashZcash157.18146.5363-6.77%106.66-32.14%0.0544✓0.978.1M2022-05-22
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.18970.176853-6.77%0.107-43.60%0.1036✗2.23422k2022-05-22
AUCTIONBounceEthereum13.2612.3554-6.82%6.36-52.04%0.3830✓1.031.2M2022-05-22
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.022340.020786-6.96%0.00992-55.60%0.4655✓1.01423k2022-05-22
AVTAventusEthereum2.352.1861-6.97%1.23-47.66%0.4401✓0.50336k2022-05-22
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.737790.686288-6.98%0.40856-44.62%0.2441✓1.01175k2022-05-22
TRXTRONTron0.0665430.061893-6.99%0.078108+17.38%0.3956✗0.60285k2022-05-22
HIVEHivenative0.92560.859642-7.13%0.5206-43.76%0.2401✓0.962.0M2022-05-22
DASHDashDash103.7496.3407-7.13%61.53-40.69%0.1798✓0.991.7M2022-05-22
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana5.054.6894-7.14%3.03-40.00%0.2499✓0.691.2M2022-05-22
YFIyearn.financeEthereum18,673.6217,325.54-7.22%9,473.13-49.27%0.3320✓1.004.6M2022-05-22
DODODODOEthereum0.4070.377576-7.23%0.145-64.37%0.6641✓1.088.0M2022-05-22
BTTCBTTC0.000001890.000001753-7.25%0.00000114-39.68%0.2375✓0.719.6M2022-05-22
DOTPolkadotPolkadot18.2716.9422-7.27%10.14-44.50%0.2421✓1.0017.7M2022-05-22
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.590.546909-7.30%0.20936-64.52%0.5731✓1.42395k2022-05-22
CVCCivicEthereum0.30610.283734-7.31%0.1921-37.24%0.0946✓1.09495k2022-05-22
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.7140.661628-7.33%0.379-46.92%0.3546✓0.752.8M2022-05-22
SOLSolanaSolana100.5593.1455-7.36%52.44-47.85%0.2460✓1.21147.6M2022-05-22
BANDBandEthereum3.7683.4903-7.37%1.86-50.64%0.3078✓1.18785k2022-05-22
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.35960.333002-7.40%0.1342-62.68%0.4499✓1.692.3M2022-05-22
DYDXdYdXCosmos4.6944.3463-7.41%2.175-53.66%0.3570✓1.23140k2022-05-22
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum16.5915.359-7.42%8.22-50.45%0.3369✓1.0617.1M2022-05-22
GLMGolemEthereum0.43320.400999-7.43%0.2686-38.00%0.0210✓1.40346k2022-05-22
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.94263.6474-7.49%2.3257-41.01%0.2978✓0.564.6M2022-05-22
PHAPHALAEthereum0.2690.248755-7.53%0.1314-51.15%0.4487✓0.7036k2022-05-22
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.04970.045944-7.56%0.0294-40.85%0.0104✓1.6036.6M2022-05-22
RADRadworksEthereum4.414.0741-7.62%2.07-53.06%0.4491✓0.84785k2022-05-22
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum1.4421.3317-7.65%0.717-50.28%0.2851✓1.23594k2022-05-22
STORJStorjEthereum1.09141.0073-7.70%0.59235-45.73%0.2319✓1.10156k2022-05-22
COTICOTIEthereum0.22650.209033-7.71%0.1177-48.04%0.2348✓1.253.3M2022-05-22
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.4753.2058-7.75%2.398-30.99%0.1119✓0.662.1M2022-05-22
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.010110.009325-7.76%0.00484-52.13%0.3398✓1.163.2M2022-05-22
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.61370.565811-7.80%0.2394-60.99%0.7885✓0.26814k2022-05-22
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.017420.016057-7.82%0.00945-45.75%0.2822✓0.911.7M2022-05-22
PROPropyEthereum1.711.5758-7.85%1.09-36.26%0.2153✓0.56191k2022-05-22
XVGVergenative0.010320.009505-7.90%0.00531-48.55%0.2949✓1.061.4M2022-05-22
CHZChilizEthereum0.220.202456-7.97%0.1233-43.95%0.1963✓1.103.2M2022-05-22
ADACardanoCardano0.90640.834005-7.99%0.5413-40.28%0.1552✓1.0258.4M2022-05-22
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos23.1121.2591-8.01%11.4-50.67%0.3287✓1.0826.8M2022-05-22
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum4.65014.2773-8.02%2.6-44.09%0.2397✓0.95280k2022-05-22
AAVEAaveEthereum176.98162.7869-8.02%94.18-46.78%0.2069✓1.2513.1M2022-05-22
XECeCashnative0.000089030.000081816-8.10%0.00004786-46.24%0.2831✓0.939.8M2022-05-22
QTUMQtumQtum6.6026.0589-8.23%4.1221-37.56%0.0822✓1.11191k2022-05-22
BORABORAKlay Token0.803380.736792-8.29%0.45172-43.77%0.2174✓1.00149k2022-05-22
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.075920.069621-8.30%0.0488-35.72%0.1503✓0.7539k2022-05-22
TRBTellor TributesEthereum20.2518.5603-8.34%11.2-44.69%0.1440✓1.33207k2022-05-22
COMPCompoundEthereum134.93123.6557-8.36%71.06-47.34%0.2508✓1.1284k2022-05-22
KSMKusamaHydration164.55150.7701-8.37%80.44-51.12%0.3469✓1.041.1M2022-05-22
ZENHorizenBase36.7733.6675-8.44%21.01-42.86%0.1276✓1.27334k2022-05-22
LSKLiskEthereum2.45872.2511-8.44%1.2967-47.26%0.3307✓0.81100k2022-05-22
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche74.0167.7404-8.47%31.68-57.19%0.4361✓1.1977.5M2022-05-22
CRVCurve DAOEthereum2.4832.2709-8.54%1.273-48.73%0.2417✓1.247.0M2022-05-22
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum6.4855.9307-8.55%3.068-52.69%0.3549✓1.12268k2022-05-22
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum14.2112.9922-8.57%12.61-11.26%0.3120✗1.262.2M2022-05-22
MANADecentralandEthereum2.03941.8636-8.62%1.1009-46.02%0.2372✓1.061.4M2022-05-22
BRISEBitgertEthereum0.0000010069.19e-7-8.65%7.11e-7-29.32%0.3099✓-0.20621k2022-05-22
GALAGALAEthereum0.19230.175518-8.73%0.0847-55.95%0.4209✓1.13242k2022-05-22
CTSICartesiEthereum0.34990.31933-8.74%0.1936-44.67%0.1532✓1.281.3M2022-05-22
LUNATerraTerra 293.5685.3766-8.75%0.0002-100.00%12.6199✓1.279.9M2022-05-22
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.25660.234132-8.76%0.1556-39.36%0.0577✓1.29236k2022-05-22
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.7314.3147-8.80%4.722-0.19%0.1569✗0.253.2M2022-05-22
MOVRMoonriverBase55.55950.6268-8.88%24.623-55.68%0.3459✓1.38220k2022-05-22
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.7190.655001-8.90%0.442-38.53%0.1489✓0.9014.2M2022-05-22
XVSVenusEthereum11.0610.0701-8.95%4.95-55.24%0.4290✓1.034.8M2022-05-22
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum1.050.955982-8.95%0.96336-8.25%0.3046✗1.09684k2022-05-22
UNIUniswapEthereum8.98.084-9.17%5.49-38.31%0.1144✓1.007.0M2022-05-22
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum45.941.6914-9.17%21.67-52.79%0.3284✓1.208.2M2022-05-22
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum1.9991.8153-9.19%0.781-60.93%0.5796✓0.9790k2022-05-22
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain6.00045.4478-9.21%3.427-42.89%0.1486✓1.1610.7M2022-05-22
SPELLSpellEthereum0.004180.003795-9.21%0.00148-64.59%0.6553✓1.057.4M2022-05-22
ETCEthereum Classicnative35.5232.2053-9.33%21.06-40.71%0.1367✓1.0612.0M2022-05-22
GLMRMoonbeamBase3.7373.382-9.50%1.237-66.90%0.6001✓1.49826k2022-05-22
SNXSynthetixEthereum5.4794.9574-9.52%2.723-50.30%0.2354✓1.347.7M2022-05-22
1INCH1INCHEthereum1.4751.3312-9.75%0.999-32.27%0.0159✓1.00725k2022-05-22
BICOBiconomyEthereum1.321.1912-9.75%0.694-47.42%0.2298✓1.142.7M2022-05-22
LPTLivepeerEthereum25.8423.3129-9.78%15.37-40.52%0.0862✓1.22669k2022-05-22
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.56080.505611-9.84%0.325-42.05%0.1480✓1.08816k2022-05-22
APEApeCoinEthereum15.34713.8153-9.98%8.019-47.75%0.0459✓2.1745.4M2022-05-22
CELLCellframeEthereum0.97160.873525-10.09%0.4009-58.74%0.4309✓1.28231k2022-05-22
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana14.3512.8926-10.16%5.97-58.40%0.6504✓0.442.7M2022-05-22
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana5.9145.3116-10.19%4.312-27.09%0.0616✓0.541.6M2022-05-22
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.11050.099208-10.22%0.0554-49.86%0.3294✓0.932.2M2022-05-22
SKLSKALEEthereum0.18910.169329-10.46%0.0845-55.31%0.3879✓1.139.4M2022-05-22
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.07640.068122-10.83%0.04097-46.37%0.2397✓0.99140k2022-05-22
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.35360.315253-10.84%0.1629-53.93%0.3431✓1.1710.3M2022-05-22
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0279720.024928-10.88%0.019309-30.97%0.1068✓0.55195k2022-05-22
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.02360.020871-11.57%0.01274-46.02%0.0952✓1.4748.3M2022-05-22
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.8622030.761359-11.70%0.449496-47.87%0.2351✓1.074.0M2022-05-22
MASKMask NetworkEthereum4.223.7244-11.75%2.16-48.82%0.1860✓1.32584k2022-05-22
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain1.20061.0588-11.81%0.6744-43.83%0.1223✓1.2111.3M2022-05-22
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.5750.506716-11.88%0.243-57.74%0.4679✓0.985.2M2022-05-22
HIGHHighstreetEthereum4.5113.959-12.24%2.144-52.47%0.1474✓1.712.2M2022-05-22
MINAMina Protocolnative2.312.0268-12.26%1.015-56.06%0.4164✓1.011.3M2022-05-22
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum4.70534.1178-12.49%2.6053-44.63%0.2541✓0.757.1M2022-05-22
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.8410.735991-12.49%0.376-55.29%0.3110✓1.332.3M2022-05-22
MTLMetal DAOMetal L22.4322.1234-12.69%1.509-37.95%0.0761✓0.985.7M2022-05-22
LRCLoopringEthereum0.95960.836031-12.88%0.5155-46.28%0.1432✓1.25747k2022-05-22
ASTRAstarEthereum0.2060.178606-13.30%0.059-71.36%1.0007✓0.39175k2022-05-22
SUSHISushiEthereum3.533.0524-13.53%1.45-58.92%0.4210✓1.196.4M2022-05-22
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.