8=======>

2022-04-20 · +1d

beta_5y · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 163 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.2536
163 of 163 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+4.42%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
65.0%
in alpha space · 87.1% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-2.17%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (163 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana6.416.4008-0.14%6.19-3.43%0.0173✓0.741.6M2022-04-21
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana13.913.8643-0.26%13.46-3.17%0.0205✓0.412.0M2022-04-21
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.96145.9432-0.30%6.006+0.75%0.0208✗0.47192k2022-04-21
DKAdKargoEthereum0.095550.09523-0.34%0.09345-2.20%0.0000✓0.8636k2022-04-21
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum2.282.2719-0.35%2.22-2.63%0.0010✓1.01163k2022-04-21
BFCBifrostEthereum0.148280.147753-0.36%0.13921-6.12%0.0423✓0.7918k2022-04-21
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum41,418.2041,269.39-0.36%40,499.20-2.22%0.0020✓0.9525k2022-04-21
STXStacksnative1.181.1757-0.37%1.15-2.54%0.0002✓1.02440k2022-04-21
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.047670.047495-0.37%0.04626-2.96%0.0044✓1.00466k2022-04-21
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.6520.649604-0.37%0.6734+3.28%0.0449✗0.41814k2022-04-21
QNTQuantEthereum110.63110.2161-0.37%107.82-2.54%0.0019✓0.923.8M2022-04-21
CTKShentuOsmosis1.2151.2104-0.37%1.153-5.10%0.0275✓0.963.6M2022-04-21
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.044650.044478-0.39%0.04393-1.61%0.0069✗0.8867k2022-04-21
LTCLitecoinLitecoin111.86111.4155-0.40%106.69-4.62%0.0208✓1.0320.5M2022-04-21
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.034710.034571-0.40%0.03402-1.99%0.0025✓0.62733k2022-04-21
FTTFTXEthereum42.7742.596-0.41%42.13-1.50%0.0108✗1.0019.5M2022-04-21
FILFilecoinFilecoin19.619.5202-0.41%18.85-3.83%0.0107✓1.1110.8M2022-04-21
CBKCobakEthereum2.3152.3055-0.41%2.311-0.17%0.0200✗0.8026k2022-04-21
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.01140.011353-0.41%0.011-3.51%0.0183✓0.6136k2022-04-21
SGBSongbirdnative0.05910.058855-0.41%0.0589-0.34%0.0121✗0.52158k2022-04-21
GTGateEthereum6.52626.4988-0.42%6.4547-1.10%0.0061✗0.594.7M2022-04-21
XLMStellarStellar0.200340.199499-0.42%0.196519-1.91%0.0067✗0.9919.5M2022-04-21
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.51230.510058-0.44%0.518+1.11%0.0329✗0.80461k2022-04-21
FIDABonfidaSolana1.461.4536-0.44%1.413-3.22%0.0068✓0.9862k2022-04-21
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.19730.196425-0.44%0.192-2.69%0.0268✗2.26568k2022-04-21
METRONOMEMETRONOME2.48992.4788-0.45%2.4399-2.01%0.0008✓0.7611k2022-04-21
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash330.55329.0635-0.45%315.62-4.52%0.0200✓0.996.7M2022-04-21
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum2.1052.0953-0.46%1.964-6.70%0.0434✓0.9794k2022-04-21
XTZTezosTezos3.14433.1297-0.46%3.0332-3.53%0.0086✓1.04989k2022-04-21
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.13770.13706-0.47%0.1372-0.36%0.0233✗1.02215k2022-04-21
ETHEthereumEthereum3,077.063,062.16-0.48%2,983.94-3.03%0.0029✓1.05482.4M2022-04-21
GALAGALAEthereum0.19610.195145-0.49%0.1893-3.47%0.0053✓1.14262k2022-04-21
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.01080.010747-0.49%0.01035-4.17%0.0124✓1.153.0M2022-04-21
ADACardanoCardano0.93670.932119-0.49%0.9102-2.83%0.0014✓1.0268.9M2022-04-21
XECeCashnative0.000091190.000090744-0.49%0.00009025-1.03%0.0165✗1.009.5M2022-04-21
BTTCBTTC0.00000190.000001891-0.49%0.00000189-0.53%0.0153✗0.729.8M2022-04-21
BTCBitcoinBitcoin41,377.6141,174.38-0.49%40,480.81-2.17%0.0049✗1.00565.5M2022-04-21
DEXEDeXeEthereum65.9705-0.49%6.1+1.67%0.0372✗0.721.0M2022-04-21
CHZChilizEthereum0.22580.224681-0.50%0.2182-3.37%0.0034✓1.183.2M2022-04-21
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana5.175.1441-0.50%5-3.29%0.0121✓0.741.2M2022-04-21
SUNSun TokenTron0.014530.014457-0.50%0.015473+6.49%0.0878✗0.9151k2022-04-21
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.543.5222-0.50%3.476-1.81%0.0031✓0.742.2M2022-04-21
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV85.3484.9108-0.50%81.75-4.21%0.0205✓0.803.5M2022-04-21
WOOWOOEthereum0.48180.479352-0.51%0.4437-7.91%0.0723✓0.235,8622022-04-21
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.35180.350003-0.51%0.329-6.48%0.0303✓1.449.2M2022-04-21
HIVEHivenative0.91240.907709-0.51%0.9434+3.40%0.0619✗1.061.9M2022-04-21
RADRadworksEthereum4.724.6956-0.52%4.49-4.87%0.0238✓0.96820k2022-04-21
GITCOINGITCOIN6.2386.2054-0.52%5.977-4.18%0.0049✓1.4918k2022-04-21
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0340710.033893-0.52%0.033102-2.84%0.0007✓1.114.5M2022-04-21
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.38350.381493-0.52%0.3653-4.75%0.0042✓1.792.3M2022-04-21
LINKChainlinkEthereum14.0313.9564-0.52%13.58-3.21%0.0027✓1.1326.2M2022-04-21
CRVCurve DAOEthereum2.3312.3187-0.53%2.198-5.71%0.0243✓1.336.9M2022-04-21
DYDXdYdXCosmos4.8464.8204-0.53%4.545-6.21%0.0354✓1.07140k2022-04-21
UMAUMAEthereum6.3376.3032-0.53%6.16-2.79%0.0090✗1.462.7M2022-04-21
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.02290.022778-0.53%0.02244-2.01%0.0100✗1.14423k2022-04-21
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.7430.738983-0.54%0.717-3.50%0.0110✓0.882.9M2022-04-21
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.760660.756505-0.55%0.7515-1.20%0.0162✗1.04201k2022-04-21
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.67770.67399-0.55%0.6632-2.14%0.0068✗1.059.4M2022-04-21
OGOG Fan TokenSolana3.5853.5654-0.55%3.492-2.59%0.0064✓0.662.0M2022-04-21
SOLSolanaSolana105.59105.0092-0.55%101.78-3.61%0.0040✓1.24147.4M2022-04-21
CVCCivicEthereum0.30260.300932-0.55%0.303+0.13%0.0323✗1.16495k2022-04-21
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana5.9295.8963-0.55%5.894-0.59%0.0140✗0.662.0M2022-04-21
LSKLiskEthereum2.20752.1953-0.55%2.178-1.34%0.0109✗0.8699k2022-04-21
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana5.715.6784-0.55%5.68-0.53%0.0159✗0.711.1M2022-04-21
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.630.626512-0.55%0.61-3.17%0.0059✗1.49435k2022-04-21
DIADIAEthereum0.920.914892-0.56%0.87-5.43%0.0398✓0.48154k2022-04-21
MOVRMoonriverBase58.961358.6337-0.56%56.9838-3.35%0.0038✓1.48223k2022-04-21
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.24220.240848-0.56%0.2524+4.21%0.0767✗1.36290k2022-04-21
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche78.2477.8032-0.56%75.03-4.10%0.0087✓1.2690.8M2022-04-21
NANOnanopayBase2.12032.1084-0.56%2.0516-3.24%0.0031✓1.11231k2022-04-21
ORCAOrcaSolana1.991.9789-0.56%2.02+1.51%0.0362✗0.71261k2022-04-21
YFIyearn.financeEthereum19,161.3619,051.96-0.57%18,773.40-2.02%0.0097✗1.115.0M2022-04-21
BORABORAKlay Token0.811670.806985-0.58%0.80691-0.59%0.0218✗1.00153k2022-04-21
COTICOTIEthereum0.2450.243584-0.58%0.2314-5.55%0.0217✓1.353.3M2022-04-21
GLMGolemEthereum0.43930.43676-0.58%0.4332-1.39%0.0231✗1.43360k2022-04-21
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000024830.000024685-0.58%0.00002434-1.97%0.0107✗1.132.6M2022-04-21
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.1405830.13976-0.58%0.136348-3.01%0.0060✓0.855.1M2022-04-21
TRXTRONTron0.0626380.062271-0.59%0.0709+13.19%0.1445✗0.67262k2022-04-21
RLCiExec RLCEthereum2.042.028-0.59%1.96-3.92%0.0050✓1.331.6M2022-04-21
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum1.5161.5071-0.59%1.439-5.08%0.0173✓1.32555k2022-04-21
CTSICartesiEthereum0.3530.350916-0.59%0.3492-1.08%0.0238✗1.311.4M2022-04-21
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum17.116.9991-0.59%16.47-3.68%0.0093✓1.0218.4M2022-04-21
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.03914.0152-0.59%3.998-1.02%0.0103✗0.664.6M2022-04-21
ARPAARPAEthereum0.07060.070177-0.60%0.066-6.52%0.0355✓1.18471k2022-04-21
AMPAmpEthereum0.022660.022524-0.60%0.02445+7.90%0.0992✗0.784.7M2022-04-21
NMRNumeraireEthereum26.4926.3285-0.61%26.48-0.04%0.0253✗0.89517k2022-04-21
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain5.28765.2549-0.62%5.3424+1.04%0.0275✗0.505.6M2022-04-21
DASHDashDash107.03106.3604-0.63%102.15-4.56%0.0178✓1.032.1M2022-04-21
LPTLivepeerEthereum23.4123.2605-0.64%25.74+9.95%0.1298✗1.30669k2022-04-21
ETCEthereum Classicnative36.5436.3065-0.64%34.95-4.35%0.0144✓1.0813.7M2022-04-21
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.74210.737354-0.64%0.7187-3.15%0.0052✓0.9316.6M2022-04-21
AVTAventusEthereum2.52.484-0.64%2.47-1.20%0.0051✓0.49421k2022-04-21
ZENHorizenBase37.7337.4872-0.64%36.2-4.06%0.0054✓1.35375k2022-04-21
TRBTellor TributesEthereum21.2721.133-0.64%19.83-6.77%0.0341✓1.35220k2022-04-21
ZECZcashZcash156.61155.6009-0.64%159.6+1.91%0.0481✗1.048.2M2022-04-21
KCSKuCoinnative20.91520.7795-0.65%20.612-1.45%0.0108✗0.865.8M2022-04-21
DOTPolkadotPolkadot19.118.9756-0.65%18.18-4.82%0.0198✓1.0519.0M2022-04-21
UOSUltraEthereum1.02911.0223-0.66%0.97907-4.86%0.0142✓1.331.7M2022-04-21
XEMNEMnative0.10060.099932-0.66%0.0986-1.99%0.0068✗0.9267k2022-04-21
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.24970.248038-0.67%0.2419-3.12%0.0066✓0.841.6M2022-04-21
LCXLCXEthereum0.1190.118203-0.67%0.1152-3.19%0.0010✓1.13988k2022-04-21
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum4.75374.7215-0.68%4.5914-3.42%0.0066✓0.97280k2022-04-21
MASKMask NetworkEthereum4.444.4098-0.68%4.16-6.31%0.0275✓1.41642k2022-04-21
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum6.8416.7945-0.68%6.528-4.58%0.0155✓1.12306k2022-04-21
XVGVergenative0.010740.010666-0.69%0.01033-3.82%0.0067✓1.161.5M2022-04-21
1INCH1INCHEthereum1.5431.5323-0.69%1.491-3.37%0.0051✓1.01753k2022-04-21
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana14.8514.7465-0.70%14.38-3.16%0.0145✓0.482.8M2022-04-21
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.076050.07552-0.70%0.0759-0.20%0.0230✗0.8244k2022-04-21
CELLCellframeEthereum0.95190.945255-0.70%0.9632+1.19%0.0497✗1.41231k2022-04-21
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos24.2724.1001-0.70%23.32-3.91%0.0083✓1.1231.7M2022-04-21
BANDBandEthereum3.9463.9182-0.70%3.662-7.20%0.0403✓1.25745k2022-04-21
SCSiacoinnative0.010860.010783-0.71%0.01051-3.22%0.0003✓1.19601k2022-04-21
QTUMQtumQtum6.75126.7034-0.71%6.5452-3.05%0.0015✓1.16206k2022-04-21
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.11320.112394-0.71%0.1082-4.42%0.0151✓1.051.9M2022-04-21
ASTRAstarEthereum0.2160.214457-0.71%0.211-2.31%0.0027✓0.62132k2022-04-21
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum46.245.8694-0.72%44.91-2.79%0.0068✓1.288.8M2022-04-21
XMRMoneroMonero266.68264.7632-0.72%278.56+4.45%0.0710✗0.921.9M2022-04-21
AUCTIONBounceEthereum13.9513.8486-0.73%13.75-1.43%0.0175✗1.131.4M2022-04-21
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0265190.026326-0.73%0.026267-0.95%0.0124✗0.67195k2022-04-21
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum14.6314.5234-0.73%14.53-0.68%0.0291✗1.312.3M2022-04-21
COMPCompoundEthereum146.98145.8917-0.74%135.61-7.74%0.0474✓1.1776k2022-04-21
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.60610.601545-0.75%0.5613-7.39%0.0421✓1.24914k2022-04-21
UNIUniswapEthereum9.329.2498-0.75%8.86-4.94%0.0200✓1.058.8M2022-04-21
SPELLSpellEthereum0.00420.004168-0.76%0.00402-4.29%0.0090✓1.248.6M2022-04-21
MINAMina Protocolnative2.422.4015-0.76%2.32-4.13%0.0104✓1.101.3M2022-04-21
GTCGitcoinEthereum6.296.2418-0.77%5.83-7.31%0.0353✓1.50579k2022-04-21
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum1.11.0916-0.77%1.06-3.64%0.0036✓1.17761k2022-04-21
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.3630.360207-0.77%0.354-2.48%0.0084✗1.1810.5M2022-04-21
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.017750.017613-0.77%0.01814+2.20%0.0513✗1.001.8M2022-04-21
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.05320.052787-0.78%0.0493-7.33%0.0316✓1.6839.8M2022-04-21
BRISEBitgertEthereum0.0000011020.000001093-0.78%0.000001109+0.65%0.0093✗-0.23602k2022-04-21
SKLSKALEEthereum0.1990.197446-0.78%0.1873-5.88%0.0260✓1.229.4M2022-04-21
XVSVenusEthereum10.7810.6951-0.79%10.35-3.99%0.0077✓1.154.7M2022-04-21
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.6220.617049-0.80%0.597-4.02%0.0092✓1.095.9M2022-04-21
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.8770.870002-0.80%0.827-5.70%0.0210✓1.362.4M2022-04-21
GLMRMoonbeamBase4.0764.0434-0.80%3.882-4.76%0.0085✓1.47741k2022-04-21
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.076710.076083-0.82%0.07557-1.49%0.0162✗1.05132k2022-04-21
LUNATerraTerra 294.7793.9503-0.86%90.84-4.15%0.0051✓1.319.0M2022-04-21
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.8764.8335-0.87%4.993+2.40%0.0401✗0.353.3M2022-04-21
DODODODOEthereum0.4290.425234-0.88%0.408-4.90%0.0156✓1.187.9M2022-04-21
HIGHHighstreetEthereum4.7824.7393-0.89%4.545-4.96%0.0043✓1.722.4M2022-04-21
MANADecentralandEthereum2.10772.0888-0.90%2.0258-3.89%0.0058✓1.131.6M2022-04-21
AAVEAaveEthereum186.29184.6071-0.90%173.62-6.80%0.0329✓1.3012.5M2022-04-21
PHAPHALAEthereum0.2850.282315-0.94%0.273-4.21%0.0154✓0.8336k2022-04-21
KSMKusamaHydration180.41178.6976-0.95%168.86-6.40%0.0336✓1.051.1M2022-04-21
IMXImmutableEthereum2.011.9907-0.96%1.882-6.37%0.0328✓1.077.8M2022-04-21
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain5.81535.7572-1.00%7.2187+24.13%0.2524✗1.1910.7M2022-04-21
PROPropyEthereum1.831.8116-1.00%1.72-6.01%0.0322✓0.90179k2022-04-21
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain1.28131.2678-1.05%1.2445-2.87%0.0085✓1.2411.9M2022-04-21
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum4.3854.3389-1.05%4.6644+6.37%0.0892✗0.776.1M2022-04-21
LRCLoopringEthereum0.95380.943692-1.06%0.9224-3.29%0.0072✓1.37824k2022-04-21
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum5.8315.765-1.13%5.74-1.56%0.0173✗0.9972k2022-04-21
STORJStorjEthereum1.18961.1757-1.16%1.1033-7.25%0.0381✓1.16156k2022-04-21
SUSHISushiEthereum3.513.468-1.20%3.45-1.71%0.0221✗1.256.4M2022-04-21
BICOBiconomyEthereum1.4551.4369-1.25%1.345-7.56%0.0384✓1.263.1M2022-04-21
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum1.4391.418-1.46%1.202-16.47%0.1430✓1.021.3M2022-04-21
API3Api3Ethereum5.2655.1872-1.48%4.516-14.23%0.1249✓0.623.3M2022-04-21
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.02410.023733-1.52%0.02305-4.36%0.0040✓1.5148.3M2022-04-21
XYMSymbolnative0.12030.118441-1.55%0.1135-5.65%0.0275✓0.69864k2022-04-21
MTLMetal DAOMetal L22.832.7822-1.69%2.539-10.28%0.0694✓1.014.4M2022-04-21
SNXSynthetixEthereum6.6116.4938-1.77%5.868-11.24%0.0724✓1.327.5M2022-04-21
APEApeCoinEthereum16.72616.3927-1.99%14.295-14.53%0.0905✓2.1245.4M2022-04-21
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum1.09511.0575-3.43%0.946533-13.57%0.0869✓1.093.6M2022-04-21
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.