8=======>

2022-04-15 · +30d

beta_5y · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 163 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.2384
163 of 163 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+21.05%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
98.2%
in alpha space · 99.4% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-22.84%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (163 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.80385.7419-1.07%5.0077-13.72%0.0139✓0.47186k2022-05-15
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum40,577.8039,556.60-2.52%31,292.30-22.88%0.0141✓0.9626k2022-05-15
GTGateEthereum6.5676.3998-2.55%5.5674-15.22%0.0121✓0.584.5M2022-05-15
LTCLitecoinLitecoin111108.0489-2.66%71.5-35.59%0.1489✓1.0223.4M2022-05-15
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.04960.048143-2.94%0.02694-45.69%0.3128✓1.03567k2022-05-15
BTCBitcoinBitcoin40,554.5839,284.91-3.13%31,290.05-22.84%0.0318✓1.00582.5M2022-05-15
DIADIAEthereum0.910.878971-3.41%0.40967-54.98%0.6407✓0.47169k2022-05-15
AMPAmpEthereum0.022520.021739-3.47%0.01426-36.68%0.2133✓0.804.9M2022-05-15
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum4.9974.8224-3.49%3.06-38.76%0.2030✓0.9779k2022-05-15
QNTQuantEthereum112.54108.3439-3.73%75.21-33.17%0.1238✓0.934.0M2022-05-15
DKAdKargoEthereum0.096330.09246-4.02%0.05678-41.06%0.2627✓0.8735k2022-05-15
ETHEthereumEthereum3,040.192,916.83-4.06%2,142.69-29.52%0.0352✓1.05528.8M2022-05-15
ORCAOrcaSolana1.861.782-4.19%1-46.24%0.3929✓0.71214k2022-05-15
BFCBifrostEthereum0.144780.138701-4.20%0.07163-50.52%0.4575✓0.7820k2022-05-15
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.011810.011314-4.20%0.00449-61.98%0.7604✓0.6335k2022-05-15
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.34260.328152-4.22%0.1516-55.75%0.3923✓1.469.4M2022-05-15
LINKChainlinkEthereum14.1113.5035-4.30%7.96-43.59%0.2314✓1.1526.0M2022-05-15
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana7.517.1867-4.30%3.26-56.59%0.5945✓0.762.0M2022-05-15
DEXEDeXeEthereum5.95.6442-4.34%3.83-35.08%0.1993✓0.731.1M2022-05-15
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.67460.644478-4.47%0.3745-44.49%0.2751✓1.039.8M2022-05-15
CBKCobakEthereum2.2642.1626-4.48%1.212-46.47%0.3711✓0.8026k2022-05-15
FTTFTXEthereum42.740.7349-4.60%32.66-23.51%0.0449✓1.0314.2M2022-05-15
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.04590.043781-4.62%0.02804-38.91%0.2165✓0.8863k2022-05-15
XEMNEMnative0.10080.096143-4.62%0.0667-33.83%0.1262✓0.9255k2022-05-15
KCSKuCoinnative19.98419.0547-4.65%14.507-27.41%0.0493✓0.865.4M2022-05-15
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana14.4213.7469-4.67%5.39-62.62%0.8299✓0.411.9M2022-05-15
WOOWOOEthereum0.47080.448795-4.67%0.2124-54.89%0.6940✓0.216,4692022-05-15
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum2.292.1829-4.68%1.5-34.50%0.1111✓1.02163k2022-05-15
UOSUltraEthereum1.03880.989578-4.74%0.39997-61.50%0.5679✓1.301.4M2022-05-15
STXStacksnative1.181.1225-4.87%0.62-47.46%0.3341✓1.00447k2022-05-15
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.51860.493265-4.89%0.2616-49.56%0.4272✓0.80500k2022-05-15
NANOnanopayBase2.15442.0492-4.89%1.1867-44.92%0.2594✓1.11275k2022-05-15
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV85.7281.3204-5.13%54.96-35.88%0.1849✓0.803.5M2022-05-15
NMRNumeraireEthereum26.7925.4125-5.14%13.65-49.05%0.3872✓0.90636k2022-05-15
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.13750.130264-5.26%0.0907-34.04%0.0962✓1.02224k2022-05-15
YFIyearn.financeEthereum19,114.4618,093.95-5.34%10,598.49-44.55%0.2449✓1.125.9M2022-05-15
CRVCurve DAOEthereum2.2262.1071-5.34%1.507-32.30%0.0154✓1.358.4M2022-05-15
SCSiacoinnative0.010690.0101-5.52%0.00572-46.49%0.2603✓1.19565k2022-05-15
UMAUMAEthereum6.4136.0558-5.57%3.132-51.16%0.2811✓1.463.0M2022-05-15
CTKShentuOsmosis1.3141.2403-5.61%0.832-36.68%0.1497✓0.963.5M2022-05-15
XTZTezosTezos3.19393.012-5.70%1.915-40.04%0.1808✓1.051.1M2022-05-15
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana5.545.2242-5.70%2.54-54.15%0.5261✓0.751.6M2022-05-15
IMXImmutableEthereum1.7871.6848-5.72%0.954-46.61%0.2913✓1.077.8M2022-05-15
XYMSymbolnative0.11740.110557-5.83%0.0717-38.93%0.2520✓0.70840k2022-05-15
LCXLCXEthereum0.11480.108088-5.85%0.0705-38.59%0.1262✓1.16952k2022-05-15
XMRMoneroMonero239.47225.4226-5.87%171.74-28.28%0.0293✓0.941.6M2022-05-15
ARPAARPAEthereum0.06830.064265-5.91%0.0357-47.73%0.2780✓1.19555k2022-05-15
CVCCivicEthereum0.29130.273716-6.04%0.1868-35.87%0.0782✓1.17618k2022-05-15
RLCiExec RLCEthereum2.091.9637-6.04%0.89-57.42%0.4481✓1.321.6M2022-05-15
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.036890.03465-6.07%0.01781-51.72%0.4930✓0.67942k2022-05-15
OGOG Fan TokenSolana3.6573.4337-6.10%1.587-56.60%0.6001✓0.662.7M2022-05-15
TRXTRONTron0.06190.05812-6.11%0.072317+16.83%0.3888✗0.66254k2022-05-15
ZECZcashZcash146.55137.581-6.12%112.6-23.17%0.0638✗1.029.9M2022-05-15
METRONOMEMETRONOME2.48992.3348-6.23%1.7798-28.52%0.0707✓0.7711k2022-05-15
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0367690.034465-6.27%0.017163-53.32%0.4061✓1.124.5M2022-05-15
SGBSongbirdnative0.06320.059239-6.27%0.0223-64.72%0.8356✓0.55158k2022-05-15
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.1459210.136742-6.29%0.092987-36.28%0.1627✓0.865.0M2022-05-15
SUNSun TokenTron0.0149670.014015-6.36%0.009284-37.97%0.1775✓0.9051k2022-05-15
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.24940.23351-6.37%0.1299-47.91%0.3647✓0.861.8M2022-05-15
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.7750.725572-6.38%0.357-53.94%0.4781✓0.892.9M2022-05-15
FIDABonfidaSolana1.531.4324-6.38%0.641-58.10%0.5489✓0.9863k2022-05-15
GITCOINGITCOIN6.0495.6626-6.39%2.469-59.18%0.4454✓1.4818k2022-05-15
DOTPolkadotPolkadot18.3617.1867-6.39%11.79-35.78%0.1012✓1.0619.0M2022-05-15
MANADecentralandEthereum2.1442.0069-6.39%1.3383-37.58%0.1093✓1.141.6M2022-05-15
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000025920.000024246-6.46%0.00001304-49.69%0.3245✓1.142.8M2022-05-15
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum1.2821.1987-6.49%0.528-58.81%0.5529✓1.031.6M2022-05-15
FILFilecoinFilecoin19.0417.7823-6.61%9.16-51.89%0.3746✓1.1110.5M2022-05-15
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos24.1122.5157-6.61%12.37-48.69%0.3102✓1.1131.7M2022-05-15
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana5.875.4804-6.64%2.74-53.32%0.5073✓0.721.4M2022-05-15
HIVEHivenative0.92060.859156-6.67%0.5339-42.01%0.1962✓1.082.0M2022-05-15
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.722810.673921-6.76%0.43346-40.03%0.1707✓1.04192k2022-05-15
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum16.815.6553-6.81%9.22-45.12%0.2619✓1.0318.5M2022-05-15
LPTLivepeerEthereum23.3421.7492-6.82%15.77-32.43%0.0181✓1.31833k2022-05-15
RADRadworksEthereum4.854.5191-6.82%2-58.76%0.5665✓0.96785k2022-05-15
PHAPHALAEthereum0.270.251565-6.83%0.1359-49.67%0.3916✓0.8639k2022-05-15
GTCGitcoinEthereum6.15.6822-6.85%2.52-58.69%0.4262✓1.49665k2022-05-15
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.018090.01685-6.85%0.01019-43.67%0.2431✓1.002.1M2022-05-15
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum1.5251.4203-6.87%0.773-49.31%0.2652✓1.32555k2022-05-15
CTSICartesiEthereum0.35920.334508-6.87%0.2021-43.74%0.1653✓1.311.6M2022-05-15
SOLSolanaSolana101.3994.4072-6.89%58.82-41.99%0.1474✓1.26147.4M2022-05-15
ADACardanoCardano0.95530.889137-6.93%0.598-37.40%0.1354✓1.0168.9M2022-05-15
COTICOTIEthereum0.25370.236125-6.93%0.122-51.91%0.3189✓1.323.5M2022-05-15
DASHDashDash109.26101.6512-6.96%63.03-42.31%0.2112✓1.032.4M2022-05-15
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.025370.023592-7.01%0.01045-58.81%0.5172✓1.15344k2022-05-15
AVTAventusEthereum2.422.2489-7.07%1.08-55.37%0.5989✓0.52491k2022-05-15
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.010450.009703-7.15%0.0057-45.45%0.2279✓1.174.3M2022-05-15
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash340.95316.4405-7.19%214.55-37.07%0.1325✓0.998.6M2022-05-15
AUCTIONBounceEthereum14.1413.1184-7.23%6.04-57.28%0.4809✓1.141.5M2022-05-15
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.7733.5001-7.23%1.57-58.39%0.6054✓0.762.3M2022-05-15
ZENHorizenBase39.0436.2118-7.24%22.1-43.39%0.1448✓1.35461k2022-05-15
SPELLSpellEthereum0.004150.003846-7.32%0.00141-66.02%0.6779✓1.269.7M2022-05-15
XVSVenusEthereum10.249.4875-7.35%5.01-51.07%0.3393✓1.154.8M2022-05-15
BICOBiconomyEthereum1.3411.2414-7.43%0.704-47.50%0.2317✓1.293.6M2022-05-15
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.05340.049432-7.43%0.0173-67.60%0.6066✓1.7140.1M2022-05-15
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain5.40595.003-7.45%1.5127-72.02%1.0576✓0.535.6M2022-05-15
AAVEAaveEthereum175.94162.7596-7.49%92.06-47.68%0.2283✓1.3215.7M2022-05-15
XLMStellarStellar0.2042670.188874-7.54%0.144986-29.02%0.0063✓1.0018.8M2022-05-15
LSKLiskEthereum2.14891.9867-7.55%1.2834-40.28%0.2111✓0.8795k2022-05-15
DYDXdYdXCosmos4.7134.3571-7.55%2.072-56.04%0.4764✓1.03119k2022-05-15
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.73940.683487-7.56%0.4902-33.70%0.0876✓0.9418.3M2022-05-15
XVGVergenative0.010520.009723-7.57%0.0053-49.62%0.3047✓1.161.7M2022-05-15
TRBTellor TributesEthereum21.2619.6431-7.61%11.53-45.77%0.1818✓1.35226k2022-05-15
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.13433.8187-7.63%1.6876-59.18%0.6426✓0.675.1M2022-05-15
DODODODOEthereum0.4120.380549-7.63%0.169-58.98%0.5089✓1.177.4M2022-05-15
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum14.2713.1727-7.69%10.37-27.33%0.1033✗1.322.7M2022-05-15
STORJStorjEthereum1.08250.99914-7.70%0.59535-45.00%0.2205✓1.15143k2022-05-15
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.40430.373091-7.72%0.1323-67.28%0.5638✓1.822.3M2022-05-15
APEApeCoinEthereum12.22911.2776-7.78%9.131-25.33%0.0482✓1.0049.7M2022-05-15
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche77.4471.3429-7.87%36.54-52.82%0.3399✓1.27103.0M2022-05-15
BANDBandEthereum3.7353.4375-7.96%1.808-51.59%0.3211✓1.24772k2022-05-15
BTTCBTTC0.000001980.000001822-7.98%0.00000115-41.92%0.2749✓0.719.8M2022-05-15
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum47.9644.0894-8.07%24.12-49.71%0.2714✓1.288.8M2022-05-15
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.8364.4444-8.10%1.844-61.87%0.7818✓0.384.9M2022-05-15
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.0180.016538-8.12%0.011-38.89%0.0257✓1.4750.4M2022-05-15
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.20430.187666-8.14%0.0751-63.24%0.3257✓2.28623k2022-05-15
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.56610.519876-8.17%0.319-43.65%0.1617✓1.26938k2022-05-15
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.640.587249-8.24%0.21866-65.83%0.5998✓1.50510k2022-05-15
XECeCashnative0.00009340.000085675-8.27%0.00004308-53.88%0.4280✓1.009.6M2022-05-15
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum1.11.0084-8.32%0.41498-62.27%0.5851✓1.17798k2022-05-15
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.077120.070675-8.36%0.0485-37.11%0.1632✓0.8250k2022-05-15
UNIUniswapEthereum9.778.949-8.40%5.45-44.22%0.2195✓1.078.8M2022-05-15
CHZChilizEthereum0.23890.21866-8.47%0.1258-47.34%0.2446✓1.193.3M2022-05-15
LUNATerraTerra 280.3773.5421-8.50%0.00022-100.00%12.3864✓1.298.2M2022-05-15
GLMGolemEthereum0.43760.400245-8.54%0.2757-37.00%0.0064✓1.46463k2022-05-15
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum2.242.0472-8.61%0.697-68.88%0.8206✓0.99100k2022-05-15
KSMKusamaHydration165.97151.5888-8.66%80.53-51.48%0.3577✓1.061.2M2022-05-15
ETCEthereum Classicnative37.3634.0557-8.84%22.11-40.82%0.1466✓1.1016.0M2022-05-15
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum6.4165.8479-8.85%2.887-55.00%0.4161✓1.12349k2022-05-15
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum4.64194.2307-8.86%2.6617-42.66%0.2097✓0.98275k2022-05-15
QTUMQtumQtum6.63116.0431-8.87%4.2708-35.60%0.0445✓1.17206k2022-05-15
1INCH1INCHEthereum1.5191.384-8.89%0.977-35.68%0.0826✓1.021.3M2022-05-15
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.79230.721432-8.94%0.24-69.71%0.9811✓0.46796k2022-05-15
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.7379820.670875-9.09%0.444265-39.80%0.1240✓1.113.2M2022-05-15
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.24230.220135-9.15%0.1461-39.70%0.0521✓1.38383k2022-05-15
BORABORAKlay Token0.826840.750998-9.17%0.40992-50.42%0.3461✓1.00182k2022-05-15
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain5.60195.0834-9.26%2.8557-49.02%0.2635✓1.2113.7M2022-05-15
GALAGALAEthereum0.20160.18281-9.32%0.1001-50.35%0.3069✓1.14280k2022-05-15
MINAMina Protocolnative2.342.1213-9.35%1.16-50.43%0.3218✓1.091.4M2022-05-15
BRISEBitgertEthereum8.70e-77.89e-7-9.37%6.30e-7-27.64%0.3069✓-0.32600k2022-05-15
MOVRMoonriverBase56.998851.5875-9.49%25.575-55.13%0.3198✓1.47220k2022-05-15
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.11730.106123-9.53%0.0557-52.51%0.3704✓1.06823k2022-05-15
PROPropyEthereum2.041.8426-9.68%1.2-41.18%0.1995✓0.88168k2022-05-15
API3Api3Ethereum4.7354.2629-9.97%1.915-59.56%0.6305✓0.653.6M2022-05-15
CELLCellframeEthereum1.03090.926758-10.10%0.3803-63.11%0.5237✓1.42231k2022-05-15
GLMRMoonbeamBase4.0423.6315-10.16%1.412-65.07%0.5743✓1.43720k2022-05-15
LRCLoopringEthereum0.8960.804644-10.20%0.5152-42.50%0.0900✓1.37870k2022-05-15
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.07580.068064-10.21%0.04022-46.94%0.2533✓1.05121k2022-05-15
SKLSKALEEthereum0.19440.174465-10.25%0.0914-52.98%0.3328✓1.219.4M2022-05-15
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.36860.330396-10.36%0.1995-45.88%0.1977✓1.1811.9M2022-05-15
SNXSynthetixEthereum5.3644.8068-10.39%3.057-43.01%0.1135✓1.317.5M2022-05-15
COMPCompoundEthereum147.99132.4997-10.47%74.83-49.44%0.2559✓1.2271k2022-05-15
MTLMetal DAOMetal L22.021.8046-10.66%1.359-32.72%0.0122✓1.053.7M2022-05-15
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana6.2925.6142-10.77%3.65-41.99%0.2585✓0.661.8M2022-05-15
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana15.3513.6394-11.14%4.99-67.49%0.8786✓0.493.7M2022-05-15
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0290470.025766-11.29%0.012593-56.65%0.5368✓0.69187k2022-05-15
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.8660.765594-11.59%0.328-62.12%0.4949✓1.362.7M2022-05-15
SUSHISushiEthereum3.32.9035-12.02%1.39-57.88%0.4114✓1.256.8M2022-05-15
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain1.09850.96604-12.06%0.7169-34.74%0.0312✓1.2714.3M2022-05-15
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.5170.454003-12.19%0.237-54.16%0.3568✓1.136.5M2022-05-15
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum4.59394.034-12.19%1.8142-60.51%0.6057✓0.753.7M2022-05-15
MASKMask NetworkEthereum4.313.7835-12.22%1.86-56.84%0.3445✓1.41755k2022-05-15
HIGHHighstreetEthereum4.6184.029-12.75%2.084-54.87%0.2194✓1.702.6M2022-05-15
ASTRAstarEthereum0.2430.209744-13.69%0.074-69.55%0.8715✓0.66100k2022-05-15
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.