8=======>

2022-04-13 · +30d

beta_5y · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 162 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.2141
162 of 162 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+25.77%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
96.3%
in alpha space · 99.4% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-28.96%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (162 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.71165.6765-0.62%5.0899-10.88%0.0537✗0.48177k2022-05-13
GTGateEthereum6.56456.4115-2.33%5.5584-15.33%0.0593✗0.594.5M2022-05-13
LTCLitecoinLitecoin110.58107.7743-2.54%67.78-38.71%0.1147✓1.0224.7M2022-05-13
DIADIAEthereum0.90.875254-2.75%0.37682-58.13%0.6831✓0.47186k2022-05-13
BTCBitcoinBitcoin41,146.6840,000.90-2.78%29,232.18-28.96%0.0282✗1.00593.1M2022-05-13
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.051070.049582-2.91%0.02399-53.03%0.3685✓1.05574k2022-05-13
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum41,343.1040,121.33-2.96%29,332.50-29.05%0.0141✓0.9630k2022-05-13
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum5.0914.9364-3.04%2.79-45.20%0.2371✓0.9881k2022-05-13
AMPAmpEthereum0.023340.022524-3.49%0.0135-42.16%0.2375✓0.804.9M2022-05-13
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.011920.011485-3.65%0.00377-68.37%0.8972✓0.6334k2022-05-13
ETHEthereumEthereum3,119.002,999.26-3.84%2,005.48-35.70%0.0415✓1.06551.3M2022-05-13
QNTQuantEthereum115.58111.0915-3.88%68.58-40.66%0.1640✓0.934.1M2022-05-13
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.68130.653503-4.08%0.3159-53.63%0.3733✓1.039.4M2022-05-13
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.044710.042864-4.13%0.02379-46.79%0.2846✓0.8947k2022-05-13
LINKChainlinkEthereum14.213.6119-4.14%7.13-49.79%0.2551✓1.1526.1M2022-05-13
KCSKuCoinnative19.75818.9312-4.18%12.511-36.68%0.1181✓0.875.6M2022-05-13
ORCAOrcaSolana1.911.828-4.29%0.89-53.40%0.4748✓0.72265k2022-05-13
UOSUltraEthereum1.08481.0382-4.30%0.35077-67.66%0.6422✓1.301.5M2022-05-13
DEXEDeXeEthereum6.075.8087-4.30%3.27-46.13%0.3261✓0.731.1M2022-05-13
FTTFTXEthereum42.8640.9954-4.35%30.83-28.07%0.0683✗1.0314.2M2022-05-13
DKAdKargoEthereum0.097660.093379-4.38%0.05005-48.75%0.3285✓0.8630k2022-05-13
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV86.7882.9034-4.47%51.89-40.21%0.1946✓0.803.5M2022-05-13
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum2.322.2145-4.55%1.39-40.09%0.1162✓1.02165k2022-05-13
BFCBifrostEthereum0.148840.142031-4.57%0.06424-56.84%0.5198✓0.8020k2022-05-13
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.36280.346203-4.57%0.1399-61.44%0.3985✓1.4810.9M2022-05-13
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana13.9913.3477-4.59%4.87-65.19%0.8693✓0.412.0M2022-05-13
WOOWOOEthereum0.48120.458594-4.70%0.1897-60.58%0.8075✓0.227,9472022-05-13
CTKShentuOsmosis1.2961.2339-4.79%0.814-37.19%0.0859✓0.973.6M2022-05-13
XEMNEMnative0.10260.097647-4.83%0.058-43.47%0.2057✓0.9255k2022-05-13
MANADecentralandEthereum2.20792.1003-4.87%1.022-53.71%0.3302✓1.141.6M2022-05-13
YFIyearn.financeEthereum19,412.3218,447.47-4.97%9,926.05-48.87%0.2363✓1.126.0M2022-05-13
NMRNumeraireEthereum27.2325.8672-5.00%12.71-53.32%0.4004✓0.91651k2022-05-13
STXStacksnative1.211.1491-5.03%0.52-57.02%0.4495✓1.00510k2022-05-13
CBKCobakEthereum2.3322.2132-5.09%1.056-54.72%0.4655✓0.8025k2022-05-13
CRVCurve DAOEthereum2.2972.1791-5.13%1.312-42.88%0.0410✓1.368.8M2022-05-13
NANOnanopayBase2.27422.1565-5.18%1.0764-52.67%0.3150✓1.11291k2022-05-13
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.53190.503939-5.26%0.2208-58.49%0.5575✓0.78482k2022-05-13
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.14210.134603-5.28%0.0872-38.63%0.0842✓1.02227k2022-05-13
XMRMoneroMonero237.09224.4873-5.32%143.73-39.38%0.1275✓0.931.6M2022-05-13
XYMSymbolnative0.12160.115126-5.32%0.0699-42.52%0.2611✓0.70840k2022-05-13
SCSiacoinnative0.010710.01014-5.33%0.00466-56.49%0.3685✓1.20565k2022-05-13
UMAUMAEthereum6.5596.2002-5.47%2.913-55.59%0.2558✓1.463.1M2022-05-13
XTZTezosTezos3.17563.001-5.50%1.7661-44.39%0.1703✓1.051.1M2022-05-13
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.037080.035024-5.54%0.01598-56.90%0.5697✓0.63942k2022-05-13
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.1398660.132054-5.59%0.088244-36.91%0.1022✓0.884.5M2022-05-13
TRXTRONTron0.0614890.058049-5.59%0.0742+20.67%0.4694✗0.66285k2022-05-13
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.7810.737125-5.62%0.344-55.95%0.4567✓0.892.9M2022-05-13
RLCiExec RLCEthereum2.061.9431-5.68%0.82-60.19%0.4051✓1.341.4M2022-05-13
RADRadworksEthereum4.744.4701-5.69%1.78-62.45%0.5956✓0.95741k2022-05-13
DOTPolkadotPolkadot18.1917.1286-5.84%10.44-42.61%0.1282✓1.0720.9M2022-05-13
LCXLCXEthereum0.1210.113901-5.87%0.0573-52.64%0.2911✓1.16952k2022-05-13
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana5.775.4307-5.88%2.32-59.79%0.5952✓0.751.8M2022-05-13
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.25010.235268-5.93%0.112-55.22%0.4466✓0.862.0M2022-05-13
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana8.68.0885-5.95%3.09-64.07%0.7140✓0.732.0M2022-05-13
OGOG Fan TokenSolana3.7653.5391-6.00%1.324-64.83%0.7572✓0.663.1M2022-05-13
FIDABonfidaSolana1.5031.4123-6.03%0.609-59.48%0.5054✓0.9862k2022-05-13
SUNSun TokenTron0.0148870.013986-6.05%0.009457-36.47%0.0786✓0.9149k2022-05-13
ZECZcashZcash152.73143.3808-6.12%93.81-38.58%0.0792✓1.0110.6M2022-05-13
ARPAARPAEthereum0.06940.065118-6.17%0.0329-52.59%0.2737✓1.20555k2022-05-13
IMXImmutableEthereum1.8591.7441-6.18%0.832-55.24%0.3727✓1.087.7M2022-05-13
FILFilecoinFilecoin19.418.1935-6.22%8.73-55.00%0.3529✓1.1210.5M2022-05-13
CVCCivicEthereum0.29840.279837-6.22%0.1491-50.03%0.2291✓1.17618k2022-05-13
COTICOTIEthereum0.25540.239448-6.25%0.1102-56.85%0.3225✓1.333.5M2022-05-13
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum16.9715.8962-6.33%9.27-45.37%0.1852✓1.0418.5M2022-05-13
DASHDashDash105.2798.5889-6.35%57.98-44.92%0.1767✓1.042.4M2022-05-13
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.010990.010284-6.42%0.00429-60.96%0.4712✓1.184.3M2022-05-13
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos24.6923.1016-6.43%10.3-58.28%0.4238✓1.1232.2M2022-05-13
CTSICartesiEthereum0.37020.346378-6.44%0.1807-51.19%0.2034✓1.311.7M2022-05-13
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.19920.186255-6.50%0.0714-64.16%0.1788✓2.28623k2022-05-13
AVTAventusEthereum2.552.3835-6.53%0.83-67.45%0.8756✓0.52546k2022-05-13
PHAPHALAEthereum0.2770.258835-6.56%0.1223-55.85%0.4542✓0.8643k2022-05-13
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana5.955.5584-6.58%2.39-59.83%0.5980✓0.721.5M2022-05-13
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum1.2571.174-6.60%0.499-60.30%0.5009✓1.041.6M2022-05-13
ZENHorizenBase40.2137.5532-6.61%20.24-49.66%0.1616✓1.34467k2022-05-13
ADACardanoCardano0.97480.910215-6.63%0.5281-45.82%0.2002✓1.0168.9M2022-05-13
XVSVenusEthereum10.249.5564-6.68%4.24-58.59%0.4195✓1.154.8M2022-05-13
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.038190.035634-6.69%0.014586-61.81%0.5091✓1.124.4M2022-05-13
SPELLSpellEthereum0.004230.003946-6.70%0.00132-68.79%0.6660✓1.269.7M2022-05-13
HIVEHivenative0.94180.878552-6.72%0.4549-51.70%0.2883✓1.082.1M2022-05-13
METRONOMEMETRONOME2.54032.3679-6.79%1.7254-32.08%0.0508✓0.7811k2022-05-13
SOLSolanaSolana104.9597.7968-6.82%48.89-53.42%0.2639✓1.26147.4M2022-05-13
GTCGitcoinEthereum6.25.7752-6.85%2.31-62.74%0.4092✓1.48665k2022-05-13
TRBTellor TributesEthereum21.1219.6711-6.86%9.39-55.54%0.2750✓1.36240k2022-05-13
GITCOINGITCOIN6.1975.7702-6.89%2.3-62.89%0.4159✓1.4718k2022-05-13
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.742640.691265-6.92%0.38322-48.40%0.2320✓1.05226k2022-05-13
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.018380.017105-6.93%0.00953-48.15%0.2434✓1.002.1M2022-05-13
AUCTIONBounceEthereum13.5612.6172-6.95%4.76-64.90%0.5710✓1.181.4M2022-05-13
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.7943.5295-6.97%1.446-61.89%0.6308✓0.772.5M2022-05-13
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum1.591.4789-6.99%0.672-57.74%0.3355✓1.33555k2022-05-13
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000026950.000025043-7.08%0.00001281-52.47%0.2799✓1.142.8M2022-05-13
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain5.39195.0083-7.11%1.4675-72.78%1.0418✓0.545.9M2022-05-13
XLMStellarStellar0.1965280.182517-7.13%0.132063-32.80%0.0155✓0.9918.8M2022-05-13
XVGVergenative0.010550.009798-7.13%0.00472-55.26%0.3268✓1.181.8M2022-05-13
DODODODOEthereum0.3980.369376-7.19%0.152-61.81%0.4823✓1.196.8M2022-05-13
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum14.5713.5173-7.22%9.76-33.01%0.1265✗1.322.8M2022-05-13
AAVEAaveEthereum178.19165.289-7.24%82.28-53.82%0.2449✓1.3217.5M2022-05-13
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.74640.692357-7.24%0.4426-40.70%0.1242✓0.9518.7M2022-05-13
LPTLivepeerEthereum24.3722.588-7.31%14.73-39.56%0.0240✓1.32833k2022-05-13
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.10733.8033-7.40%1.6119-60.76%0.6263✓0.685.7M2022-05-13
LSKLiskEthereum2.17162.0087-7.50%1.1379-47.60%0.2695✓0.87106k2022-05-13
MINAMina Protocolnative2.532.3401-7.51%1.041-58.85%0.4424✓1.081.4M2022-05-13
BICOBiconomyEthereum1.41.2928-7.66%0.487-65.21%0.5334✓1.303.8M2022-05-13
DYDXdYdXCosmos4.834.4597-7.67%1.948-59.67%0.4782✓1.02108k2022-05-13
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.9044.5258-7.71%1.83-62.68%0.7782✓0.375.7M2022-05-13
BTTCBTTC0.000001920.000001771-7.75%0.00000112-41.67%0.2109✓0.729.8M2022-05-13
XECeCashnative0.00009480.000087423-7.78%0.00004212-55.57%0.3876✓1.009.8M2022-05-13
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.60490.557501-7.84%0.2519-58.36%0.3629✓1.26938k2022-05-13
KSMKusamaHydration160.8148.1483-7.87%73.84-54.08%0.3296✓1.071.2M2022-05-13
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.05420.04992-7.90%0.0164-69.74%0.5283✓1.7140.5M2022-05-13
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum48.4444.6073-7.91%20.45-57.78%0.3424✓1.288.8M2022-05-13
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche80.273.8216-7.95%32.17-59.89%0.3967✓1.27103.7M2022-05-13
UNIUniswapEthereum9.668.8826-8.05%5.13-46.89%0.1832✓1.078.8M2022-05-13
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.020140.018516-8.06%0.00989-50.89%0.1217✓1.4859.1M2022-05-13
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.650.597344-8.10%0.19584-69.87%0.6019✓1.50539k2022-05-13
STORJStorjEthereum1.12321.0321-8.12%0.49964-55.52%0.3330✓1.15150k2022-05-13
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash341.13313.3935-8.13%201.94-40.80%0.0996✓0.998.6M2022-05-13
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum1.111.0196-8.15%0.34-69.37%0.6962✓1.18798k2022-05-13
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.028120.025821-8.18%0.00985-64.97%0.5702✓1.15348k2022-05-13
1INCH1INCHEthereum1.5511.4226-8.28%0.914-41.07%0.0907✓1.031.3M2022-05-13
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.7790.714024-8.34%0.2828-63.70%0.7643✓0.47777k2022-05-13
LUNATerraTerra 287.880.3521-8.48%0.00012-100.00%12.9754✓1.288.7M2022-05-13
BANDBandEthereum3.9253.5918-8.49%1.72-56.18%0.3125✓1.24749k2022-05-13
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum4.64314.247-8.53%2.4783-46.62%0.2038✓0.98268k2022-05-13
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum2.2842.089-8.54%0.67-70.67%0.8021✓0.98100k2022-05-13
QTUMQtumQtum6.74386.158-8.69%3.8681-42.64%0.0647✓1.17206k2022-05-13
ETCEthereum Classicnative38.5335.1569-8.75%20.47-46.87%0.1634✓1.1016.0M2022-05-13
CHZChilizEthereum0.24280.221539-8.76%0.111-54.28%0.2835✓1.193.2M2022-05-13
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.078830.071912-8.78%0.04297-45.49%0.2315✓0.8350k2022-05-13
PROPropyEthereum1.791.6325-8.80%1.19-33.52%0.0471✓1.06160k2022-05-13
API3Api3Ethereum4.1943.8231-8.84%1.62-61.37%0.6423✓0.633.5M2022-05-13
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum6.5295.9437-8.96%2.496-61.77%0.4825✓1.13393k2022-05-13
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.44790.407588-9.00%0.1018-77.27%0.7647✓1.822.3M2022-05-13
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.12380.112562-9.08%0.0463-62.60%0.5258✓1.06378k2022-05-13
GLMRMoonbeamBase3.9473.5874-9.11%1.194-69.75%0.6084✓1.44720k2022-05-13
BORABORAKlay Token0.84210.76512-9.14%0.34417-59.13%0.4570✓1.00183k2022-05-13
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.761680.691531-9.21%0.366416-51.89%0.2534✓1.122.6M2022-05-13
GLMGolemEthereum0.44610.404951-9.22%0.2334-47.68%0.0425✓1.49567k2022-05-13
APEApeCoinEthereum13.25812.011-9.41%8.53-35.66%0.0004✓1.0054.6M2022-05-13
MOVRMoonriverBase59.572253.8809-9.55%22.6376-62.00%0.3634✓1.47216k2022-05-13
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana6.0895.5057-9.58%3.487-42.73%0.2261✓0.671.7M2022-05-13
SNXSynthetixEthereum5.1554.6589-9.62%2.607-49.43%0.1294✓1.327.1M2022-05-13
GALAGALAEthereum0.20750.187466-9.65%0.0917-55.81%0.3280✓1.13304k2022-05-13
LRCLoopringEthereum0.91760.82889-9.67%0.4631-49.53%0.1134✓1.37870k2022-05-13
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.24880.224714-9.68%0.1227-50.68%0.1244✓1.41368k2022-05-13
BRISEBitgertEthereum8.51e-77.68e-7-9.80%6.19e-7-27.34%0.3274✓-0.33622k2022-05-13
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum3.85673.4734-9.94%1.5516-59.77%0.5357✓0.793.7M2022-05-13
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.078220.070341-10.07%0.03518-55.02%0.3323✓1.05121k2022-05-13
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain5.98345.3728-10.21%2.8848-51.79%0.2100✓1.2016.8M2022-05-13
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.38380.344351-10.28%0.1483-61.36%0.4390✓1.1812.5M2022-05-13
CELLCellframeEthereum1.06910.957616-10.43%0.375-64.92%0.4535✓1.42231k2022-05-13
SKLSKALEEthereum0.20.179089-10.46%0.0821-58.95%0.3614✓1.228.8M2022-05-13
COMPCompoundEthereum150.02134.0643-10.64%68.45-54.37%0.2574✓1.2171k2022-05-13
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0282730.025216-10.81%0.01331-52.92%0.4009✓0.70187k2022-05-13
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.8820.783642-11.15%0.283-67.91%0.5510✓1.372.7M2022-05-13
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana15.3413.6083-11.29%4.86-68.32%0.8619✓0.493.7M2022-05-13
SUSHISushiEthereum3.342.9604-11.37%1.39-58.38%0.3280✓1.257.2M2022-05-13
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.4850.428121-11.73%0.206-57.53%0.3300✓1.177.0M2022-05-13
MASKMask NetworkEthereum4.343.8195-11.99%1.66-61.75%0.3509✓1.41824k2022-05-13
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain1.0990.965405-12.16%0.6653-39.46%0.0666✓1.2815.0M2022-05-13
HIGHHighstreetEthereum4.634.0667-12.17%1.758-62.03%0.2479✓1.732.5M2022-05-13
MTLMetal DAOMetal L22.3032.015-12.50%1.004-56.40%0.3421✓1.043.6M2022-05-13
ASTRAstarEthereum0.2640.228621-13.40%0.071-73.11%0.9475✓0.6565k2022-05-13
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.