8=======>

2022-04-10 · +1d

beta_5y · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 163 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.0437
163 of 163 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+1.64%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
87.7%
in alpha space · 99.4% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-6.24%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (163 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
AAVEAaveEthereum176.37176.2834-0.05%157.79-10.53%0.0271✓1.3017.5M2022-04-11
SKLSKALEEthereum0.19420.194091-0.06%0.176-9.37%0.0203✓1.206.2M2022-04-11
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.8880.887369-0.07%0.795-10.47%0.0220✓1.372.7M2022-04-11
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.011810.011801-0.07%0.0107-9.40%0.0217✓1.184.3M2022-04-11
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana6.3596.3536-0.09%5.847-8.05%0.0398✓0.672.1M2022-04-11
XVGVergenative0.010920.010907-0.12%0.0096-12.09%0.0525✓1.171.9M2022-04-11
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.34760.347168-0.12%0.3217-7.45%0.0186✗1.479.4M2022-04-11
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum5.0865.0792-0.13%4.801-5.60%0.0087✗1.0179k2022-04-11
CBKCobakEthereum2.3212.3177-0.14%2.121-8.62%0.0391✓0.7721k2022-04-11
XVSVenusEthereum10.710.6845-0.14%9.32-12.90%0.0654✓1.114.7M2022-04-11
CTKShentuOsmosis1.2751.2731-0.15%1.172-8.08%0.0209✓0.963.1M2022-04-11
SNXSynthetixEthereum5.0845.0763-0.15%4.501-11.47%0.0363✓1.306.1M2022-04-11
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV85.3385.1879-0.17%79.95-6.30%0.0125✓0.793.3M2022-04-11
HIVEHivenative0.9190.917228-0.19%0.8479-7.74%0.0087✓1.092.0M2022-04-11
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.025130.025077-0.21%0.02167-13.77%0.0512✓1.4757.1M2022-04-11
TRBTellor TributesEthereum21.4521.4038-0.22%19.15-10.72%0.0238✓1.36266k2022-04-11
DKAdKargoEthereum0.100340.100116-0.22%0.09068-9.63%0.0444✓0.8528k2022-04-11
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.850.848092-0.22%0.78-8.24%0.0261✓0.892.8M2022-04-11
CRVCurve DAOEthereum2.4062.4005-0.23%2.169-9.85%0.0143✓1.358.8M2022-04-11
BICOBiconomyEthereum1.4981.4944-0.24%1.318-12.02%0.0441✓1.273.9M2022-04-11
XYMSymbolnative0.11940.119113-0.24%0.1134-5.03%0.0039✓0.70820k2022-04-11
FILFilecoinFilecoin21.0120.9595-0.24%18.33-12.76%0.0631✓1.108.8M2022-04-11
SUSHISushiEthereum3.43.3917-0.24%3.1-8.82%0.0100✓1.247.2M2022-04-11
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain5.325.307-0.24%4.774-10.26%0.0809✓0.396.7M2022-04-11
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.43990.43882-0.25%0.3845-12.59%0.0122✓1.862.3M2022-04-11
MINAMina Protocolnative2.972.9627-0.25%2.56-13.80%0.0776✓1.061.2M2022-04-11
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.71310.711338-0.25%0.6492-8.96%0.0248✓1.037.9M2022-04-11
WOOWOOEthereum0.50790.506642-0.25%0.4805-5.39%0.0426✓0.166,2412022-04-11
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum17.3617.3167-0.25%16.09-7.32%0.0060✓1.0518.5M2022-04-11
LSKLiskEthereum2.1652.1594-0.26%1.9954-7.83%0.0237✓0.86111k2022-04-11
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash319.95319.0859-0.27%294.92-7.82%0.0170✓0.968.3M2022-04-11
CTSICartesiEthereum0.36940.368397-0.27%0.3357-9.12%0.0082✓1.321.9M2022-04-11
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.045570.045446-0.27%0.04105-9.92%0.0478✓0.8443k2022-04-11
ZECZcashZcash161.12160.6776-0.27%142.53-11.54%0.0582✓0.9612.4M2022-04-11
GLMGolemEthereum0.44790.446646-0.28%0.3999-10.72%0.0208✓1.39727k2022-04-11
GITCOINGITCOIN6.3066.2881-0.28%5.621-10.86%0.0171✓1.4819k2022-04-11
XLMStellarStellar0.2003670.199799-0.28%0.186754-6.79%0.0026✓1.0118.8M2022-04-11
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum4.70394.6904-0.29%4.2211-10.26%0.0438✓0.96261k2022-04-11
XECeCashnative0.000100250.000099962-0.29%0.00008851-11.71%0.0592✓0.979.4M2022-04-11
MASKMask NetworkEthereum4.464.4471-0.29%4.01-10.09%0.0117✓1.42824k2022-04-11
CVCCivicEthereum0.29050.289657-0.29%0.2628-9.54%0.0231✓1.15524k2022-04-11
XTZTezosTezos3.11163.1025-0.29%2.9578-4.94%0.0215✗1.08989k2022-04-11
LTCLitecoinLitecoin110.26109.9367-0.29%102.54-7.00%0.0035✓1.0325.1M2022-04-11
ADACardanoCardano1.02741.0244-0.29%0.9198-10.47%0.0425✓1.0163.0M2022-04-11
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche80.9980.7508-0.30%74.37-8.17%0.0005✓1.29103.7M2022-04-11
SOLSolanaSolana111.07110.7387-0.30%99.7-10.24%0.0243✓1.25112.7M2022-04-11
RADRadworksEthereum4.994.9751-0.30%4.55-8.82%0.0296✓0.93650k2022-04-11
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.38420.383043-0.30%0.3489-9.19%0.0179✓1.1712.7M2022-04-11
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum1.2991.2951-0.30%1.114-14.24%0.0879✓0.971.6M2022-04-11
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana6.456.4303-0.31%6.19-4.03%0.0125✗0.791.9M2022-04-11
YFIyearn.financeEthereum20,158.8120,097.21-0.31%18,505.78-8.20%0.0100✓1.135.9M2022-04-11
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.961.954-0.31%1.82-7.14%0.0153✗1.341.2M2022-04-11
TRXTRONTron0.0625150.062321-0.31%0.058052-7.14%0.0296✓0.64312k2022-04-11
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.75110.74876-0.31%0.6935-7.67%0.0147✓0.9618.6M2022-04-11
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.26610.265264-0.31%0.2428-8.76%0.0329✓0.862.1M2022-04-11
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum42,359.4042,223.00-0.32%39,541.40-6.65%0.0042✓0.9530k2022-04-11
STORJStorjEthereum1.09891.0953-0.32%0.98693-10.19%0.0315✓1.13150k2022-04-11
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum2.4272.4191-0.33%2.192-9.68%0.0381✓0.94114k2022-04-11
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.7495790.747127-0.33%0.683108-8.87%0.0191✓1.102.2M2022-04-11
COMPCompoundEthereum134.87134.4285-0.33%117.3-13.03%0.0628✓1.1462k2022-04-11
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum15.1415.0903-0.33%13.79-8.92%0.0037✓1.342.8M2022-04-11
FIDABonfidaSolana1.6471.6415-0.33%1.473-10.56%0.0472✓0.9561k2022-04-11
UMAUMAEthereum6.9896.9657-0.33%6.111-12.56%0.0380✓1.443.5M2022-04-11
DYDXdYdXCosmos4.9964.9791-0.34%4.58-8.33%0.0165✓1.04104k2022-04-11
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana8.728.6901-0.34%8.27-5.16%0.0022✓0.732.4M2022-04-11
SCSiacoinnative0.010880.010843-0.34%0.00971-10.75%0.0350✓1.17540k2022-04-11
ZENHorizenBase41.441.2574-0.34%37.52-9.37%0.0087✓1.34467k2022-04-11
STXStacksnative1.231.2258-0.34%1.13-8.13%0.0178✓0.99601k2022-04-11
DODODODOEthereum0.4020.40061-0.35%0.366-8.96%0.0123✓1.216.6M2022-04-11
CHZChilizEthereum0.23530.234486-0.35%0.2176-7.52%0.0021✓1.193.2M2022-04-11
BTCBitcoinBitcoin42,165.9642,017.94-0.35%39,535.87-6.24%0.0035✗1.00588.1M2022-04-11
GTGateEthereum6.68226.6587-0.35%6.3098-5.57%0.0155✓0.594.5M2022-04-11
DASHDashDash111.11110.7186-0.35%100.64-9.42%0.0314✓0.992.5M2022-04-11
QNTQuantEthereum120.96120.5337-0.35%115.02-4.91%0.0134✗0.943.9M2022-04-11
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum6.566.5354-0.37%6.116-6.77%0.0065✗1.13435k2022-04-11
DOTPolkadotPolkadot19.2319.1579-0.37%17.21-10.50%0.0380✓1.0720.9M2022-04-11
FTTFTXEthereum44.9844.811-0.38%41.36-8.05%0.0141✓1.0314.0M2022-04-11
CELLCellframeEthereum1.11111.1069-0.38%0.9738-12.36%0.0368✓1.42224k2022-04-11
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.23910.23819-0.38%0.2007-16.06%0.0242✓2.28774k2022-04-11
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.9855.9622-0.38%5.5691-6.95%0.0390✓0.45156k2022-04-11
GALAGALAEthereum0.21460.213778-0.38%0.1924-10.34%0.0354✓1.09276k2022-04-11
COTICOTIEthereum0.28040.279324-0.38%0.2433-13.23%0.0533✓1.322.8M2022-04-11
ETCEthereum Classicnative40.3240.1649-0.38%37.01-8.21%0.0108✓1.1016.0M2022-04-11
DEXEDeXeEthereum6.186.1562-0.39%5.74-7.12%0.0234✓0.721.1M2022-04-11
LUNATerraTerra 291.9491.5827-0.39%82.46-10.31%0.0216✓1.299.3M2022-04-11
IMXImmutableEthereum2.0442.036-0.39%1.734-15.17%0.0951✓1.027.0M2022-04-11
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.24380.242844-0.39%0.2142-12.14%0.0439✓1.27368k2022-04-11
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum49.0348.8375-0.39%45.19-7.83%0.0064✗1.308.6M2022-04-11
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.6821.6754-0.40%1.532-8.92%0.0258✓0.993.4M2022-04-11
ETHEthereumEthereum3,203.053,190.38-0.40%2,979.55-6.98%0.0001✓1.06483.3M2022-04-11
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.075780.075478-0.40%0.06803-10.23%0.0366✓1.04116k2022-04-11
AUCTIONBounceEthereum14.0313.974-0.40%13.05-6.99%0.0081✗1.191.4M2022-04-11
BFCBifrostEthereum0.151650.151031-0.41%0.14287-5.79%0.0042✓0.8018k2022-04-11
1INCH1INCHEthereum1.5861.5795-0.41%1.455-8.26%0.0177✓1.001.3M2022-04-11
OGOG Fan TokenSolana3.9473.9308-0.41%3.607-8.61%0.0445✓0.643.5M2022-04-11
BANDBandEthereum3.9543.9377-0.41%3.601-8.93%0.0108✓1.22733k2022-04-11
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.740720.737662-0.41%0.68502-7.52%0.0056✓1.06244k2022-04-11
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.53020.52801-0.41%0.4825-9.00%0.0435✓0.72376k2022-04-11
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.86070.857141-0.41%0.8557-0.58%0.0307✗0.50690k2022-04-11
KSMKusamaHydration169.11168.4097-0.41%152.27-9.96%0.0320✓1.071.1M2022-04-11
BTTCBTTC0.000001960.000001952-0.42%0.00000179-8.67%0.0425✓0.6810.2M2022-04-11
QTUMQtumQtum6.80966.7805-0.43%6.1692-9.40%0.0197✓1.16206k2022-04-11
AMPAmpEthereum0.024570.024465-0.43%0.02252-8.34%0.0321✓0.794.7M2022-04-11
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum1.661.6529-0.43%1.5-9.64%0.0105✓1.34479k2022-04-11
HIGHHighstreetEthereum5.0785.0562-0.43%4.466-12.05%0.0141✓1.712.5M2022-04-11
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana14.4114.348-0.43%13.54-6.04%0.0321✓0.402.4M2022-04-11
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana6.246.2125-0.44%5.84-6.41%0.0156✓0.721.7M2022-04-11
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.55484.5347-0.44%3.9688-12.87%0.0930✓0.637.9M2022-04-11
DIADIAEthereum0.940.93585-0.44%0.88-6.38%0.0331✓0.44172k2022-04-11
MANADecentralandEthereum2.26062.2506-0.44%2.0547-9.11%0.0174✓1.141.5M2022-04-11
MOVRMoonriverBase64.6164.3148-0.46%56.1952-13.02%0.0410✓1.46192k2022-04-11
LINKChainlinkEthereum15.2415.1702-0.46%13.76-9.71%0.0252✓1.1225.7M2022-04-11
XMRMoneroMonero235.44234.3563-0.46%226.68-3.72%0.0254✗0.911.6M2022-04-11
PROPropyEthereum1.411.4035-0.46%1.34-4.96%0.0187✗1.01150k2022-04-11
SGBSongbirdnative0.06840.06808-0.47%0.0653-4.53%0.0060✓0.55157k2022-04-11
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.012740.012679-0.48%0.01183-7.14%0.0274✓0.6532k2022-04-11
SPELLSpellEthereum0.004660.004638-0.48%0.00415-10.94%0.0291✓1.279.6M2022-04-11
UNIUniswapEthereum9.899.842-0.48%8.98-9.20%0.0234✓1.068.8M2022-04-11
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.05650.056224-0.49%0.0497-12.04%0.0145✓1.6940.5M2022-04-11
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000024420.0000243-0.49%0.00002217-9.21%0.0179✓1.152.6M2022-04-11
GTCGitcoinEthereum6.326.2888-0.49%5.6-11.39%0.0203✓1.49665k2022-04-11
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.15150.15075-0.49%0.1411-6.86%0.0003✓1.02227k2022-04-11
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum1.211.2039-0.51%1.05-13.22%0.0637✓1.13738k2022-04-11
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.690.686482-0.51%0.61-11.59%0.0192✓1.54510k2022-04-11
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain1.12731.1215-0.51%1.0161-9.86%0.0162✓1.2815.0M2022-04-11
NMRNumeraireEthereum27.8327.6851-0.52%25.91-6.90%0.0081✓0.90651k2022-04-11
UOSUltraEthereum1.12021.1143-0.53%1.0136-9.52%0.0103✓1.311.4M2022-04-11
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.038640.038432-0.54%0.0387+0.16%0.0502✗0.67895k2022-04-11
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.9173.8959-0.54%3.749-4.29%0.0123✗0.792.8M2022-04-11
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.0290.028844-0.54%0.02612-9.93%0.0249✓1.15326k2022-04-11
LPTLivepeerEthereum24.1223.9875-0.55%22.32-7.46%0.0154✗1.36833k2022-04-11
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos26.5126.3601-0.57%23.85-10.03%0.0279✓1.1231.7M2022-04-11
BORABORAKlay Token0.865830.86093-0.57%0.80148-7.43%0.0071✓1.00266k2022-04-11
LRCLoopringEthereum0.95920.953759-0.57%0.8481-11.58%0.0288✓1.38870k2022-04-11
ORCAOrcaSolana2.042.0284-0.57%1.89-7.35%0.0256✓0.70268k2022-04-11
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.69730.693339-0.57%0.6102-12.49%0.0473✓1.25797k2022-04-11
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0380040.037788-0.57%0.035748-5.94%0.0125✗1.064.1M2022-04-11
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum2.492.4758-0.57%2.24-10.04%0.0355✓1.00161k2022-04-11
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.018570.018462-0.58%0.01725-7.11%0.0035✓1.002.1M2022-04-11
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana15.6615.5669-0.59%14.9-4.85%0.0123✓0.493.8M2022-04-11
KCSKuCoinnative20.09819.9768-0.60%18.988-5.52%0.0055✓0.875.4M2022-04-11
NANOnanopayBase2.46222.447-0.62%2.1894-11.08%0.0392✓1.12275k2022-04-11
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain6.15386.1151-0.63%5.2825-14.16%0.0750✓1.1118.9M2022-04-11
API3Api3Ethereum4.5334.5031-0.66%3.961-12.62%0.0905✓0.593.6M2022-04-11
METRONOMEMETRONOME2.64182.6237-0.68%2.3706-10.27%0.0540✓0.7411k2022-04-11
ARPAARPAEthereum0.07030.069817-0.69%0.0644-8.39%0.0033✓1.20471k2022-04-11
AVTAventusEthereum3.022.999-0.70%2.58-14.57%0.1223✓0.44592k2022-04-11
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.053740.053364-0.70%0.04896-8.89%0.0196✓1.03579k2022-04-11
LCXLCXEthereum0.12850.127582-0.71%0.1141-11.21%0.0370✓1.16989k2022-04-11
GLMRMoonbeamBase4.0013.972-0.72%3.385-15.40%0.0818✓1.21464k2022-04-11
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0269770.026779-0.73%0.026882-0.35%0.0485✗0.69194k2022-04-11
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.1480570.146934-0.76%0.134052-9.46%0.0369✓0.853.9M2022-04-11
SUNSun TokenTron0.0167430.016611-0.79%0.014312-14.52%0.0932✓0.8738k2022-04-11
APEApeCoinEthereum12.05811.9614-0.80%10.955-9.15%0.0235✓1.0056.9M2022-04-11
BRISEBitgertEthereum8.97e-78.90e-7-0.81%8.34e-7-6.99%0.0918✓-0.43680k2022-04-11
XEMNEMnative0.10340.102552-0.82%0.0945-8.61%0.0237✓0.9061k2022-04-11
PHAPHALAEthereum0.3060.30336-0.86%0.269-12.09%0.0656✓0.8540k2022-04-11
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain5.73695.6868-0.87%5.6758-1.07%0.0354✗0.586.6M2022-04-11
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.5560.551094-0.88%0.478-14.03%0.0688✓1.148.0M2022-04-11
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.0780.077312-0.88%0.07062-9.46%0.0376✓0.8250k2022-04-11
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum4.11524.0619-1.30%4.0466-1.67%0.0485✗0.813.6M2022-04-11
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.13670.134726-1.44%0.1274-6.80%0.0139✓1.08273k2022-04-11
ASTRAstarEthereum0.3070.301398-1.82%0.259-15.64%0.1147✓0.5737k2022-04-11
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.