8=======>

2022-04-05 · +1d

beta_5y · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 162 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.0328
162 of 162 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+0.18%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
90.7%
in alpha space · 97.5% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-5.14%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (162 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
TRXTRONTron0.0692720.069186-0.12%0.063056-8.97%0.0605✓0.61331k2022-04-06
PROPropyEthereum1.561.5578-0.14%1.48-5.13%0.0020✗1.01167k2022-04-06
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana6.76.6903-0.14%6.23-7.01%0.0303✓0.781.9M2022-04-06
XYMSymbolnative0.14390.143689-0.15%0.1309-9.03%0.0576✓0.67736k2022-04-06
WOOWOOEthereum0.560.559041-0.17%0.5423-3.16%0.0255✓0.095,2242022-04-06
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum45,530.8045,449.86-0.18%43,278.60-4.95%0.0015✓0.9630k2022-04-06
CELLCellframeEthereum1.41061.4079-0.19%1.386-1.74%0.0584✗1.40211k2022-04-06
NMRNumeraireEthereum31.331.2399-0.19%29.02-7.28%0.0266✓0.89690k2022-04-06
DKAdKargoEthereum0.112730.112512-0.19%0.09932-11.90%0.0822✓0.8127k2022-04-06
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.75025.7388-0.20%5.8226+1.26%0.0404✗0.49163k2022-04-06
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum5.5475.5358-0.20%4.86-12.39%0.0796✓0.9684k2022-04-06
CBKCobakEthereum2.6052.5995-0.21%2.344-10.02%0.0642✓0.7420k2022-04-06
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.013250.013221-0.22%0.01233-6.94%0.0354✓0.6519k2022-04-06
DIADIAEthereum1.061.0576-0.23%0.98-7.55%0.0554✓0.39172k2022-04-06
XEMNEMnative0.11470.114438-0.23%0.1035-9.76%0.0545✓0.8755k2022-04-06
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana6.516.4945-0.24%6.13-5.84%0.0205✓0.711.7M2022-04-06
GALAGALAEthereum0.24860.247999-0.24%0.2214-10.94%0.0612✓0.99259k2022-04-06
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.087310.087099-0.24%0.07684-11.99%0.0843✓0.7846k2022-04-06
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.840890.838841-0.24%0.75427-10.30%0.0515✓1.04244k2022-04-06
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana14.6314.5938-0.25%13.97-4.51%0.0244✓0.363.0M2022-04-06
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.055950.05581-0.25%0.05178-7.45%0.0209✓1.02572k2022-04-06
DEXEDeXeEthereum7.147.1221-0.25%6.36-10.92%0.0756✓0.711.1M2022-04-06
FIDABonfidaSolana1.9561.9511-0.25%1.696-13.29%0.0944✓0.8753k2022-04-06
GLMGolemEthereum0.51430.512994-0.25%0.4538-11.76%0.0698✓1.00858k2022-04-06
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.014130.014093-0.26%0.01302-7.86%0.0170✓1.184.1M2022-04-06
ORCAOrcaSolana2.232.224-0.27%2.08-6.73%0.0308✓0.68282k2022-04-06
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV95.4195.1517-0.27%89.14-6.57%0.0247✓0.772.8M2022-04-06
BFCBifrostEthereum0.167510.167056-0.27%0.15972-4.65%0.0016✓0.8218k2022-04-06
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.051210.051071-0.27%0.04548-11.19%0.0743✓0.7931k2022-04-06
QTUMQtumQtum7.8157.7937-0.27%6.922-11.43%0.0595✓1.12202k2022-04-06
AMPAmpEthereum0.027340.027265-0.27%0.02507-8.30%0.0432✓0.774.5M2022-04-06
HIVEHivenative1.06991.067-0.28%0.9422-11.94%0.0684✓1.062.1M2022-04-06
DODODODOEthereum0.5050.503606-0.28%0.419-17.03%0.1244✓1.134.2M2022-04-06
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.82310.820816-0.28%0.736-10.58%0.0565✓1.007.9M2022-04-06
GITCOINGITCOIN7.3947.3728-0.29%6.427-13.08%0.0621✓1.4322k2022-04-06
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.52840.526873-0.29%0.4367-17.35%0.0913✓1.832.3M2022-04-06
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana7.2087.1871-0.29%6.75-6.35%0.0293✓0.632.0M2022-04-06
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.890.887387-0.29%0.818-8.09%0.0338✓0.902.0M2022-04-06
KCSKuCoinnative21.06521.003-0.29%19.679-6.58%0.0188✓0.885.4M2022-04-06
MASKMask NetworkEthereum5.35.284-0.30%4.57-13.77%0.0724✓1.38824k2022-04-06
1INCH1INCHEthereum1.8391.8334-0.30%1.603-12.83%0.0840✓0.951.3M2022-04-06
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum2.8352.8264-0.30%2.525-10.93%0.0673✓0.8687k2022-04-06
XTZTezosTezos3.67633.665-0.31%3.299-10.26%0.0502✓1.041.0M2022-04-06
BTTCBTTC0.000002120.000002113-0.31%0.00000197-7.08%0.0359✓0.6510.9M2022-04-06
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.28980.288901-0.31%0.2568-11.39%0.0733✓0.841.8M2022-04-06
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum1.6971.6917-0.31%1.521-10.37%0.0365✓1.32463k2022-04-06
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.9321.9259-0.31%1.692-12.42%0.0796✓0.953.5M2022-04-06
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana4.0754.0621-0.32%3.76-7.73%0.0373✓0.762.5M2022-04-06
UMAUMAEthereum7.8417.8161-0.32%6.871-12.37%0.0547✓1.414.7M2022-04-06
HIGHHighstreetEthereum6.6026.5808-0.32%5.526-16.30%0.1219✓1.002.6M2022-04-06
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.090850.090556-0.32%0.07739-14.82%0.1050✓0.99116k2022-04-06
MANADecentralandEthereum2.56322.5549-0.32%2.3325-9.00%0.0318✓1.121.5M2022-04-06
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.59270.590762-0.33%0.5248-11.46%0.0813✓0.70440k2022-04-06
UOSUltraEthereum1.28491.2807-0.33%1.1805-8.13%0.0118✓1.321.4M2022-04-06
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.0410.040864-0.33%0.03877-5.44%0.0165✓0.68987k2022-04-06
RADRadworksEthereum5.615.5914-0.33%4.89-12.83%0.0851✓0.93533k2022-04-06
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash365.33364.1173-0.33%331-9.40%0.0462✓0.938.5M2022-04-06
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.020990.02092-0.33%0.01983-5.53%0.0006✓1.002.1M2022-04-06
COMPCompoundEthereum153.42152.9085-0.33%134.27-12.48%0.0706✓1.1262k2022-04-06
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana16.1616.1058-0.34%15.06-6.81%0.0432✓0.453.7M2022-04-06
GTGateEthereum6.98146.9577-0.34%6.6073-5.36%0.0211✓0.584.7M2022-04-06
BORABORAKlay Token0.979280.975957-0.34%0.86636-11.53%0.0663✓1.00398k2022-04-06
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.45960.458036-0.34%0.4125-10.25%0.0448✓1.1312.3M2022-04-06
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.16680.16623-0.34%0.155-7.07%0.0165✓1.01227k2022-04-06
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum2.682.6708-0.34%2.5-6.72%0.0137✓0.99160k2022-04-06
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000026760.000026668-0.34%0.00002436-8.97%0.0308✓1.132.4M2022-04-06
AUCTIONBounceEthereum15.9515.8948-0.35%15.19-4.76%0.0178✗1.201.2M2022-04-06
STXStacksnative1.41.3951-0.35%1.27-9.29%0.0437✓0.95610k2022-04-06
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum18.8618.7934-0.35%16.2-14.10%0.0798✓1.302.9M2022-04-06
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche91.0790.7483-0.35%82.99-8.87%0.0216✓1.28103.7M2022-04-06
XLMStellarStellar0.2250570.224252-0.36%0.203353-9.64%0.0463✓0.9819.6M2022-04-06
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.83480.831802-0.36%0.7666-8.17%0.0318✓0.9418.6M2022-04-06
SUSHISushiEthereum4.094.0752-0.36%3.57-12.71%0.0696✓1.197.6M2022-04-06
OGOG Fan TokenSolana4.1474.1319-0.36%3.923-5.40%0.0191✓0.623.1M2022-04-06
SCSiacoinnative0.012630.012584-0.37%0.01105-12.51%0.0707✓1.12540k2022-04-06
LSKLiskEthereum2.43352.4245-0.37%2.2052-9.38%0.0522✓0.81166k2022-04-06
QNTQuantEthereum133.48132.9843-0.37%124-7.10%0.0223✓0.904.3M2022-04-06
APEApeCoinEthereum11.63111.5875-0.37%10.654-8.40%0.0312✓1.0064.8M2022-04-06
KSMKusamaHydration179.78179.1054-0.38%174.43-2.98%0.0304✗1.08974k2022-04-06
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum21.0620.9809-0.38%18.73-11.06%0.0608✓1.0018.5M2022-04-06
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0415170.041361-0.38%0.03858-7.07%0.0142✓1.053.9M2022-04-06
BTCBitcoinBitcoin45,506.5045,334.40-0.38%43,166.70-5.14%0.0038✓1.00643.4M2022-04-06
ZENHorizenBase46.0945.9123-0.39%41.31-10.37%0.0366✓1.31508k2022-04-06
STORJStorjEthereum1.27831.2734-0.39%1.1147-12.80%0.0756✓1.09156k2022-04-06
LINKChainlinkEthereum16.7516.6849-0.39%15.43-7.88%0.0206✓1.0926.4M2022-04-06
BELBella ProtocolEthereum1.1331.1286-0.39%0.94-17.03%0.1148✓1.292.8M2022-04-06
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos29.329.1858-0.39%26.92-8.12%0.0228✓1.1037.0M2022-04-06
LTCLitecoinLitecoin122.76122.2804-0.39%111.68-9.03%0.0377✓1.0026.1M2022-04-06
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum1.451.4443-0.39%1.28-11.72%0.0610✓1.13978k2022-04-06
SNXSynthetixEthereum6.1316.107-0.39%5.387-12.14%0.0583✓1.276.1M2022-04-06
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.27410.273015-0.40%0.2449-10.65%0.0559✓1.00483k2022-04-06
ZECZcashZcash165.55164.8863-0.40%160.99-2.75%0.0256✗0.9415.7M2022-04-06
XVGVergenative0.012680.012629-0.40%0.01136-10.41%0.0451✓1.152.2M2022-04-06
RLCiExec RLCEthereum2.342.3305-0.40%2.01-14.10%0.0797✓1.29984k2022-04-06
UNIUniswapEthereum11.1211.0747-0.41%9.95-10.52%0.0525✓1.037.7M2022-04-06
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum1.5011.4949-0.41%1.262-15.92%0.1218✓0.901.4M2022-04-06
CTKShentuOsmosis1.4491.4431-0.41%1.259-13.11%0.0902✓0.883.1M2022-04-06
ETHEthereumEthereum3,407.003,392.82-0.42%3,168.52-7.00%0.0120✓1.07491.5M2022-04-06
LPTLivepeerEthereum27.3527.236-0.42%24.12-11.81%0.0505✓1.35752k2022-04-06
DASHDashDash126.99126.4587-0.42%113.64-10.51%0.0585✓0.922.7M2022-04-06
CTSICartesiEthereum0.45330.451381-0.42%0.3833-15.44%0.0973✓1.251.7M2022-04-06
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0293980.02927-0.43%0.027832-5.33%0.0087✓0.79187k2022-04-06
YFIyearn.financeEthereum23,562.7023,459.92-0.44%21,713.35-7.85%0.0197✓1.096.5M2022-04-06
CVCCivicEthereum0.34540.343874-0.44%0.3005-13.00%0.0779✓1.08389k2022-04-06
TRBTellor TributesEthereum26.5226.402-0.44%22.56-14.93%0.0888✓1.30298k2022-04-06
ARPAARPAEthereum0.08750.087104-0.45%0.0782-10.63%0.0464✓1.16447k2022-04-06
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.97960.975164-0.45%0.8257-15.71%0.1452✓0.40676k2022-04-06
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana9.469.4171-0.45%8.83-6.66%0.0270✓0.712.4M2022-04-06
FTTFTXEthereum48.5548.3292-0.45%45.03-7.25%0.0163✓1.0314.3M2022-04-06
FILFilecoinFilecoin24.8724.7556-0.46%21.76-12.51%0.0733✓1.067.7M2022-04-06
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.780.776324-0.47%0.72-7.69%0.0063✗1.55438k2022-04-06
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum3.00932.995-0.47%3.088+2.62%0.0698✗0.743.6M2022-04-06
SOLSolanaSolana126.9126.295-0.48%112.94-11.00%0.0466✓1.2498.1M2022-04-06
NANOnanopayBase2.71112.6981-0.48%2.4702-8.88%0.0291✓1.12246k2022-04-06
DOTPolkadotPolkadot21.7821.6744-0.48%19.85-8.86%0.0320✓1.0622.8M2022-04-06
AAVEAaveEthereum221.05219.9774-0.49%191.3-13.46%0.0741✓1.2414.4M2022-04-06
SUNSun TokenTron0.0161740.016095-0.49%0.015066-6.85%0.0208✓0.8620k2022-04-06
GTCGitcoinEthereum7.367.3233-0.50%6.47-12.09%0.0475✓1.45665k2022-04-06
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.43580.433622-0.50%0.3907-10.35%0.0279✓1.4510.3M2022-04-06
CHZChilizEthereum0.25910.257788-0.51%0.2275-12.20%0.0642✓1.153.1M2022-04-06
XECeCashnative0.000110970.0001104-0.51%0.00009752-12.12%0.0746✓0.949.0M2022-04-06
MOVRMoonriverBase77.525877.1245-0.52%66.9978-13.58%0.0644✓1.45175k2022-04-06
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum5.46815.4397-0.52%4.7892-12.42%0.0802✓0.89268k2022-04-06
XVSVenusEthereum12.612.533-0.53%11.39-9.60%0.0391✓1.073.9M2022-04-06
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain1.26661.2598-0.54%1.143-9.76%0.0327✓1.2214.9M2022-04-06
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.034240.034056-0.54%0.02928-14.49%0.0933✓1.09248k2022-04-06
XMRMoneroMonero222.25221.0544-0.54%213.2-4.07%0.0114✗0.901.5M2022-04-06
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.27030.268838-0.54%0.2454-9.21%0.0384✓1.001.2M2022-04-06
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.8057680.801395-0.54%0.70341-12.70%0.0739✓1.071.9M2022-04-06
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum61.6461.3032-0.55%53.44-13.30%0.0707✓1.266.3M2022-04-06
ADACardanoCardano1.17051.1641-0.55%1.0525-10.08%0.0491✓0.9863.5M2022-04-06
SPELLSpellEthereum0.005060.005032-0.56%0.00479-5.34%0.0185✗1.287.3M2022-04-06
LCXLCXEthereum0.1340.13324-0.57%0.1219-9.03%0.0266✓1.18987k2022-04-06
DYDXdYdXCosmos6.1736.1376-0.57%5.345-13.41%0.0862✓0.99101k2022-04-06
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum7.5917.547-0.58%6.726-11.40%0.0608✓1.03441k2022-04-06
BICOBiconomyEthereum1.811.7995-0.58%1.562-13.70%0.0788✓1.193.7M2022-04-06
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.56664.5398-0.59%4.4925-1.62%0.0218✗0.615.5M2022-04-06
BANDBandEthereum5.0465.0158-0.60%4.326-14.27%0.0856✓1.18663k2022-04-06
CRVCurve DAOEthereum2.8062.7888-0.61%2.497-11.01%0.0408✓1.329.4M2022-04-06
PHAPHALAEthereum0.3180.316042-0.62%0.282-11.32%0.0709✓0.8233k2022-04-06
ETCEthereum Classicnative44.444.1239-0.62%38.47-13.36%0.0824✓1.0413.3M2022-04-06
LRCLoopringEthereum1.10271.0958-0.63%0.966-12.40%0.0549✓1.35856k2022-04-06
METRONOMEMETRONOME2.63552.6186-0.64%2.3768-9.82%0.0591✓0.7212k2022-04-06
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain5.38025.3454-0.65%4.9634-7.75%0.0457✓0.545.7M2022-04-06
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.72280.718122-0.65%0.6836-5.42%0.0195✗1.30695k2022-04-06
API3Api3Ethereum5.6315.5946-0.65%5.569-1.10%0.0262✗0.583.9M2022-04-06
GLMRMoonbeamBase4.3474.3185-0.66%3.75-13.73%0.0799✓1.16417k2022-04-06
BRISEBitgertEthereum7.72e-77.67e-7-0.68%8.80e-7+13.98%0.1189✗-0.36959k2022-04-06
COTICOTIEthereum0.31250.31037-0.68%0.2749-12.03%0.0547✓1.262.0M2022-04-06
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.5450.541242-0.69%0.476-12.66%0.0719✓1.077.0M2022-04-06
LUNATerraTerra 2116.27115.4659-0.69%108.1-7.03%0.0029✓1.309.3M2022-04-06
SKLSKALEEthereum0.24760.245878-0.70%0.2101-15.15%0.0971✓1.143.1M2022-04-06
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain5.95.8588-0.70%5.52-6.44%0.0403✓0.366.3M2022-04-06
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.06190.061466-0.70%0.0562-9.21%0.0021✓1.6644.1M2022-04-06
IMXImmutableEthereum2.3342.3171-0.73%2.031-12.98%0.0794✓0.9910.0M2022-04-06
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.028940.028728-0.73%0.03176+9.74%0.1806✗1.5252.9M2022-04-06
MINAMina Protocolnative3.253.2257-0.75%3.04-6.46%0.0036✓1.06877k2022-04-06
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.1726890.171215-0.85%0.143326-17.00%0.1364✓0.783.1M2022-04-06
AVTAventusEthereum3.163.1303-0.94%3.06-3.16%0.0002✓0.43376k2022-04-06
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.11850.117258-1.05%0.1055-10.97%0.0511✓1.03201k2022-04-06
ASTRAstarEthereum0.2180.215387-1.20%0.211-3.21%0.0097✓0.5730k2022-04-06
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain7.71937.5739-1.88%6.4618-16.29%0.1078✓0.9728.7M2022-04-06
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.