8=======>

2022-04-04 · +30d

beta_5y · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 162 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.0773
162 of 162 tokens assessed
long-short decile
-4.14%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
82.1%
in alpha space · 84.6% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-14.87%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (162 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain1.2831.1261-12.23%1.0448-18.57%0.1234✓1.2314.9M2022-05-04
BRISEBitgertEthereum7.96e-77.01e-7-11.98%9.57e-7+20.27%0.2515✗-0.381.1M2022-05-04
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.5720.507568-11.26%0.478-16.43%0.1156✓1.097.0M2022-05-04
ASTRAstarEthereum0.2310.205704-10.95%0.168-27.27%0.1120✓0.5626k2022-05-04
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain6.45945.7536-10.93%5.0794-21.36%0.0478✓1.0723.4M2022-05-04
GLMRMoonbeamBase5.0544.5269-10.43%2.764-45.31%0.3109✓1.13417k2022-05-04
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0304110.027292-10.25%0.02161-28.94%0.0983✓0.84187k2022-05-04
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana17.2515.6825-9.09%10.17-41.04%0.3595✓0.463.5M2022-05-04
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.030110.027511-8.63%0.02056-31.72%0.0463✓1.5252.9M2022-05-04
METRONOMEMETRONOME2.7582.5206-8.61%2.4779-10.16%0.1043✗0.7512k2022-05-04
LUNATerraTerra 2116.42106.6387-8.40%86.09-26.05%0.0025✓1.319.1M2022-05-04
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.13690.125449-8.36%0.0973-28.93%0.0905✓1.02184k2022-05-04
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum3.2022.9366-8.29%3.7324+16.56%0.3607✗0.753.6M2022-05-04
BICOBiconomyEthereum1.8561.706-8.08%1.14-38.58%0.2092✓1.203.6M2022-05-04
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain5.9565.4931-7.77%3.783-36.48%0.3083✓0.406.3M2022-05-04
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana7.7037.128-7.46%5.785-24.90%0.1049✓0.651.8M2022-05-04
API3Api3Ethereum5.5815.1695-7.37%3.652-34.56%0.2559✓0.573.9M2022-05-04
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.06780.062813-7.35%0.0439-35.25%0.0880✓1.6844.1M2022-05-04
SPELLSpellEthereum0.005510.005122-7.04%0.00353-35.93%0.1624✓1.306.0M2022-05-04
AVTAventusEthereum3.423.1822-6.95%1.9-44.44%0.4508✓0.40372k2022-05-04
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain5.42125.0467-6.91%3.3664-37.90%0.3135✓0.575.2M2022-05-04
MOVRMoonriverBase84.178678.4348-6.82%43.5734-48.24%0.3688✓1.36175k2022-05-04
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum1.7781.6571-6.80%1.182-33.52%0.1234✓1.33463k2022-05-04
ADACardanoCardano1.21171.133-6.50%0.8983-25.86%0.0745✓0.9863.5M2022-05-04
GITCOINGITCOIN7.7137.2193-6.40%5.147-33.27%0.1036✓1.4622k2022-05-04
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.70330.659307-6.26%0.4415-37.22%0.1890✓1.32652k2022-05-04
SNXSynthetixEthereum6.9526.5208-6.20%5.073-27.03%0.0524✓1.235.8M2022-05-04
ETCEthereum Classicnative46.7643.9534-6.00%30.61-34.54%0.1949✓1.0413.3M2022-05-04
IMXImmutableEthereum2.492.3433-5.89%1.817-27.03%0.0949✓0.9910.0M2022-05-04
MASKMask NetworkEthereum5.665.3268-5.89%4.39-22.44%0.0285✓1.38824k2022-05-04
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.57380.540367-5.83%0.2478-56.81%0.4855✓1.832.2M2022-05-04
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana9.699.1307-5.77%5.34-44.89%0.4202✓0.722.4M2022-05-04
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum19.8218.7014-5.64%22.15+11.76%0.3828✗1.333.1M2022-05-04
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum7.9037.4603-5.60%5.395-31.73%0.1595✓1.02441k2022-05-04
SKLSKALEEthereum0.26370.249031-5.56%0.1592-39.63%0.2662✓1.133.0M2022-05-04
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.840.793513-5.53%0.46-45.24%0.3015✓1.51438k2022-05-04
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.39234.1506-5.50%3.2118-26.88%0.1549✓0.634.8M2022-05-04
XTZTezosTezos3.8983.6845-5.48%2.7028-30.66%0.1392✓1.06977k2022-05-04
DYDXdYdXCosmos6.7866.4163-5.45%3.8-44.00%0.3681✓0.97102k2022-05-04
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum1.551.466-5.42%0.82-47.10%0.4012✓1.12978k2022-05-04
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum1.0020.950014-5.19%0.4811-51.99%0.6160✓0.40676k2022-05-04
CHZChilizEthereum0.27060.256629-5.16%0.196-27.57%0.0831✓1.163.2M2022-05-04
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche96.291.2847-5.11%67.28-30.06%0.1002✓1.27103.7M2022-05-04
LRCLoopringEthereum1.14371.0854-5.10%0.8162-28.64%0.0637✓1.38752k2022-05-04
BANDBandEthereum5.1754.9195-4.94%3.342-35.42%0.2091✓1.10663k2022-05-04
BELBella ProtocolEthereum1.1911.1341-4.78%0.717-39.80%0.2482✓1.312.8M2022-05-04
XLMStellarStellar0.2320590.221062-4.74%0.184721-20.40%0.0232✓0.9719.6M2022-05-04
SOLSolanaSolana132.16125.9137-4.73%92.76-29.81%0.1060✓1.2493.6M2022-05-04
APEApeCoinEthereum11.93511.3758-4.69%15.557+30.35%0.4740✗1.0064.9M2022-05-04
KSMKusamaHydration188.7180.0073-4.61%140.48-25.55%0.0719✓1.09974k2022-05-04
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.49260.469991-4.59%0.3438-30.21%0.1306✓1.1312.3M2022-05-04
UNIUniswapEthereum11.5611.0309-4.58%7.94-31.31%0.1626✓1.037.7M2022-05-04
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum5.81535.55-4.56%4.2374-27.13%0.1249✓0.90269k2022-05-04
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos30.8429.4332-4.56%19.91-35.44%0.2131✓1.1037.8M2022-05-04
ZECZcashZcash173.67165.7517-4.56%134.35-22.64%0.0579✓0.9516.0M2022-05-04
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.8918710.8522-4.45%0.800276-10.27%0.1078✗1.061.9M2022-05-04
COMPCompoundEthereum162.85155.6181-4.44%114.56-29.65%0.1246✓1.1362k2022-05-04
HIGHHighstreetEthereum6.6616.3677-4.40%4.124-38.09%0.2735✓1.002.6M2022-05-04
AAVEAaveEthereum238.04227.7112-4.34%159.43-33.02%0.1562✓1.2414.4M2022-05-04
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum63.8361.063-4.33%33.33-47.78%0.3966✓1.305.9M2022-05-04
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.042330.04052-4.28%0.02852-32.62%0.2410✓0.681.1M2022-05-04
CRVCurve DAOEthereum2.9212.7992-4.17%2.596-11.13%0.1405✗1.349.3M2022-05-04
BFCBifrostEthereum0.170430.163326-4.17%0.12604-26.05%0.1234✓0.8416k2022-05-04
STXStacksnative1.451.3896-4.17%0.99-31.72%0.1861✓0.95610k2022-05-04
LPTLivepeerEthereum27.9326.786-4.10%23.95-14.25%0.0998✗1.32752k2022-05-04
DOTPolkadotPolkadot22.9121.972-4.09%16.32-28.76%0.1266✓1.0622.8M2022-05-04
CTSICartesiEthereum0.47530.456597-3.94%0.2979-37.32%0.2232✓1.271.7M2022-05-04
ZENHorizenBase49.0447.1392-3.88%33.7-31.28%0.1266✓1.30508k2022-05-04
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum1.5761.5152-3.86%1.006-36.17%0.2654✓0.901.4M2022-05-04
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.092020.088503-3.82%0.06675-27.46%0.1214✓1.00121k2022-05-04
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.037770.036347-3.77%0.018-52.34%0.5319✓1.06214k2022-05-04
LINKChainlinkEthereum17.5116.8522-3.76%12.2-30.33%0.1588✓1.0226.4M2022-05-04
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana7.817.5206-3.71%4.47-42.77%0.3998✓0.751.8M2022-05-04
ORCAOrcaSolana2.322.2343-3.70%1.87-19.40%0.0685✓0.68282k2022-05-04
QTUMQtumQtum8.26327.9593-3.68%5.9368-28.15%0.1118✓1.13186k2022-05-04
STORJStorjEthereum1.34421.2949-3.67%0.9575-28.77%0.1248✓1.10150k2022-05-04
COTICOTIEthereum0.30240.291373-3.65%0.222-26.59%0.0663✓1.281.9M2022-05-04
PHAPHALAEthereum0.3030.291967-3.64%0.237-21.78%0.0765✓0.8228k2022-05-04
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.9641.8927-3.63%2.076+5.70%0.2462✗0.963.4M2022-05-04
GTCGitcoinEthereum7.747.4631-3.58%5.17-33.20%0.1280✓1.49638k2022-05-04
SUNSun TokenTron0.0162720.015718-3.41%0.013631-16.23%0.0010✓0.8818k2022-05-04
QNTQuantEthereum139.1134.3949-3.38%101.58-26.97%0.1333✓0.914.2M2022-05-04
OGOG Fan TokenSolana4.1323.9942-3.34%3.092-25.17%0.1532✓0.642.8M2022-05-04
HIVEHivenative1.11421.0771-3.33%0.8291-25.59%0.0923✓1.052.1M2022-05-04
SUSHISushiEthereum4.354.2061-3.31%2.62-39.77%0.2842✓1.187.6M2022-05-04
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.45550.440438-3.31%0.2557-43.86%0.3079✓1.479.9M2022-05-04
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana4.0773.9466-3.20%2.994-26.56%0.1508✓0.782.4M2022-05-04
XECeCashnative0.00010880.000105342-3.18%0.00007852-27.83%0.1396✓0.968.5M2022-05-04
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum21.8821.1902-3.15%14.28-34.73%0.2312✓1.0218.5M2022-05-04
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.014650.014192-3.13%0.00934-36.25%0.2265✓1.193.7M2022-05-04
MINAMina Protocolnative3.143.0419-3.13%2.01-35.99%0.2501✓1.02810k2022-05-04
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.28930.280311-3.11%0.1544-46.63%0.4354✓1.001.2M2022-05-04
CVCCivicEthereum0.36030.34914-3.10%0.2829-21.48%0.0356✓1.09376k2022-05-04
UMAUMAEthereum8.1337.883-3.07%5.67-30.28%0.1252✓1.275.0M2022-05-04
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.88240.855346-3.07%0.7153-18.94%0.0266✓0.9517.8M2022-05-04
BTTCBTTC0.000002170.000002105-2.98%0.00000178-17.97%0.0633✓0.6511.2M2022-05-04
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.27470.266677-2.92%0.222-19.18%0.0224✓1.00473k2022-05-04
1INCH1INCHEthereum1.91.8446-2.92%1.282-32.53%0.2096✓0.961.3M2022-05-04
DASHDashDash133.3129.8178-2.61%95.85-28.09%0.1531✓0.932.7M2022-05-04
LSKLiskEthereum2.54472.4782-2.61%1.8765-26.26%0.1472✓0.81183k2022-05-04
NANOnanopayBase2.88352.8112-2.51%1.8061-37.37%0.2609✓1.13209k2022-05-04
FTTFTXEthereum50.0848.8453-2.47%39.56-21.01%0.0428✓1.0414.1M2022-05-04
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum2.782.7124-2.43%2.12-23.74%0.0892✓0.98160k2022-05-04
TRBTellor TributesEthereum27.3926.7391-2.38%16.45-39.94%0.2774✓1.30298k2022-05-04
LCXLCXEthereum0.13810.134821-2.37%0.1109-19.70%0.0010✓1.21834k2022-05-04
DODODODOEthereum0.5290.516483-2.37%0.323-38.94%0.2894✓1.123.7M2022-05-04
DKAdKargoEthereum0.117940.115259-2.27%0.08485-28.06%0.1736✓0.8227k2022-05-04
RLCiExec RLCEthereum2.442.3855-2.24%1.64-32.79%0.1647✓1.30906k2022-05-04
XMRMoneroMonero222.07217.1402-2.22%225.24+1.43%0.1843✗0.921.5M2022-05-04
YFIyearn.financeEthereum23,870.8823,341.40-2.22%18,332.59-23.20%0.0614✓1.126.5M2022-05-04
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash376.11367.7922-2.21%299.95-20.25%0.0529✓0.948.5M2022-05-04
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.09140.089415-2.17%0.07079-22.55%0.1094✓0.7741k2022-05-04
CTKShentuOsmosis1.4981.4668-2.09%1.115-25.57%0.1302✓0.892.9M2022-05-04
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.021820.021379-2.02%0.01524-30.16%0.1787✓0.992.1M2022-05-04
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.86450.847147-2.01%0.5538-35.94%0.2632✓1.017.7M2022-05-04
FILFilecoinFilecoin25.2424.7495-1.94%15.71-37.76%0.2820✓1.077.1M2022-05-04
XVGVergenative0.013750.013491-1.88%0.00896-34.84%0.2251✓1.142.2M2022-05-04
ETHEthereumEthereum3,520.663,454.51-1.88%2,939.98-16.49%0.0112✓1.07478.7M2022-05-04
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.1485380.146147-1.61%0.135908-8.50%0.0610✗0.832.8M2022-05-04
CBKCobakEthereum2.6872.6475-1.47%1.935-27.99%0.1898✓0.7720k2022-05-04
AUCTIONBounceEthereum16.0715.8357-1.46%12.03-25.14%0.0821✓1.201.2M2022-05-04
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.29990.29555-1.45%0.213-28.98%0.1936✓0.831.8M2022-05-04
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.910.897327-1.39%0.615-32.42%0.2336✓0.901.9M2022-05-04
PROPropyEthereum1.561.5385-1.38%1.72+10.26%0.2752✗1.02167k2022-05-04
MANADecentralandEthereum2.65642.62-1.37%1.6585-37.57%0.2750✓1.131.3M2022-05-04
FIDABonfidaSolana1.9811.9539-1.37%1.114-43.77%0.4222✓0.8753k2022-05-04
ARPAARPAEthereum0.09010.088907-1.32%0.0598-33.63%0.2079✓1.17416k2022-05-04
RADRadworksEthereum5.715.6481-1.08%4.01-29.77%0.1885✓0.96466k2022-05-04
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000026480.000026219-0.99%0.00002178-17.75%0.0017✓1.142.2M2022-05-04
GLMGolemEthereum0.53920.534116-0.94%0.372-31.01%0.2008✓1.00875k2022-05-04
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.16730.165811-0.89%0.1295-22.59%0.0827✓1.02227k2022-05-04
XVSVenusEthereum12.412.2958-0.84%8.52-31.29%0.1939✓1.073.5M2022-05-04
GALAGALAEthereum0.25710.255333-0.69%0.1613-37.26%0.3006✓0.99253k2022-05-04
SCSiacoinnative0.012850.012789-0.48%0.00898-30.12%0.1719✓1.13540k2022-05-04
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.59810.595402-0.45%0.4526-24.33%0.1556✓0.74440k2022-05-04
UOSUltraEthereum1.311.3059-0.31%0.80809-38.31%0.2671✓1.321.4M2022-05-04
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum5.615.593-0.30%4.68-16.58%0.0219✓0.9784k2022-05-04
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.888530.886021-0.28%0.65135-26.69%0.1393✓1.05244k2022-05-04
BTCBitcoinBitcoin46,596.8346,534.80-0.13%39,669.56-14.87%0.0013✗1.00629.7M2022-05-04
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana6.66.5924-0.12%4.91-25.61%0.1798✓0.711.7M2022-05-04
LTCLitecoinLitecoin124.76124.6974-0.05%106.25-14.84%0.0036✗1.0226.1M2022-05-04
KCSKuCoinnative21.4621.4524-0.04%18.408-14.22%0.0125✓0.875.4M2022-05-04
WOOWOOEthereum0.58910.589071-0.00%0.3846-34.71%0.4162✓0.065,2242022-05-04
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.05730.057498+0.35%0.04253-25.78%0.1361✗1.03572k2022-05-04
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana14.5114.5824+0.50%9.68-33.29%0.3479✗0.383.0M2022-05-04
BORABORAKlay Token1.04281.0482+0.52%0.67548-35.23%0.2785✗1.00375k2022-05-04
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0424730.042857+0.90%0.024465-42.40%0.4028✗0.983.9M2022-05-04
XEMNEMnative0.11820.119271+0.91%0.0917-22.42%0.1296✗0.8355k2022-05-04
NMRNumeraireEthereum31.3931.7059+1.01%24.08-23.29%0.1306✗0.90676k2022-05-04
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum45,644.7046,169.58+1.15%39,665.50-13.10%0.0034✓0.9630k2022-05-04
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV97.9499.1239+1.21%78.63-19.72%0.1070✗0.772.7M2022-05-04
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum3.0183.0608+1.42%1.474-51.16%0.5954✗0.8475k2022-05-04
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.05260.05339+1.50%0.04109-21.88%0.1310✗0.8131k2022-05-04
TRXTRONTron0.0707710.071957+1.68%0.086397+22.08%0.2837✓0.63331k2022-05-04
DIADIAEthereum1.11.1261+2.37%0.81-26.36%0.2675✗0.38169k2022-05-04
AMPAmpEthereum0.028280.028964+2.42%0.01937-31.51%0.2782✗0.773.8M2022-05-04
GTGateEthereum6.98217.158+2.52%6.523-6.58%0.0023✓0.594.7M2022-05-04
XYMSymbolnative0.1450.148888+2.68%0.0959-33.86%0.3263✗0.71731k2022-05-04
DEXEDeXeEthereum7.067.2612+2.85%5.56-21.25%0.1491✗0.731.1M2022-05-04
CELLCellframeEthereum1.5191.5709+3.42%0.7522-50.48%0.5111✗1.40203k2022-05-04
LEOLEO TokenEthereum6.02016.2788+4.30%5.6389-6.33%0.0319✓0.47163k2022-05-04
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.013440.014139+5.20%0.0078-41.96%0.4881✗0.6614k2022-05-04
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.