8=======>

2022-04-03 · +1d

beta_5y · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 162 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.1745
162 of 162 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+6.04%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
84.0%
in alpha space · 81.5% on raw price
BTC over horizon
+0.38%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (162 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
PROPropyEthereum1.621.6181-0.11%1.56-3.70%0.0404✓1.02167k2022-04-04
XYMSymbolnative0.14660.146418-0.12%0.145-1.09%0.0124✓0.70724k2022-04-04
NMRNumeraireEthereum31.4131.366-0.14%31.39-0.06%0.0026✓0.90676k2022-04-04
TRXTRONTron0.0730610.072953-0.15%0.070771-3.13%0.0327✓0.63324k2022-04-04
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum46,759.4046,677.14-0.18%45,644.70-2.38%0.0260✓0.9627k2022-04-04
LEOLEO TokenEthereum6.01096.0002-0.18%6.0201+0.15%0.0015✓0.47163k2022-04-04
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum5.8665.8555-0.18%5.61-4.36%0.0465✓0.9784k2022-04-04
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.013340.013315-0.19%0.01344+0.75%0.0069✗0.6613k2022-04-04
WOOWOOEthereum0.61230.611083-0.20%0.5891-3.79%0.0369✓0.075,0372022-04-04
AVTAventusEthereum2.572.5647-0.21%3.42+33.07%0.2863✗0.40372k2022-04-04
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana14.8814.8491-0.21%14.51-2.49%0.0246✓0.393.0M2022-04-04
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.056550.056426-0.22%0.0573+1.33%0.0115✗1.03585k2022-04-04
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana6.666.6452-0.22%6.6-0.90%0.0095✓0.711.7M2022-04-04
GALAGALAEthereum0.26590.265287-0.23%0.2571-3.31%0.0350✓0.99235k2022-04-04
AMPAmpEthereum0.027790.027723-0.24%0.02828+1.76%0.0170✗0.783.3M2022-04-04
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.9613.9504-0.27%4.077+2.93%0.0286✗0.782.3M2022-04-04
BFCBifrostEthereum0.168610.168154-0.27%0.17043+1.08%0.0103✗0.8414k2022-04-04
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.16740.166944-0.27%0.1673-0.06%0.0017✓1.02224k2022-04-04
HIVEHivenative1.19961.1963-0.28%1.1142-7.12%0.0751✓1.062.0M2022-04-04
KCSKuCoinnative21.3521.2907-0.28%21.46+0.52%0.0046✗0.875.1M2022-04-04
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.1463320.145919-0.28%0.148538+1.51%0.0147✗0.832.7M2022-04-04
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0286070.028526-0.28%0.030411+6.31%0.0608✗0.86185k2022-04-04
GTGateEthereum6.99886.9789-0.28%6.9821-0.24%0.0018✓0.594.6M2022-04-04
DKAdKargoEthereum0.123360.123-0.29%0.11794-4.39%0.0451✓0.8326k2022-04-04
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV100.38100.0867-0.29%97.94-2.43%0.0246✓0.772.4M2022-04-04
DEXEDeXeEthereum7.367.3383-0.29%7.06-4.08%0.0414✓0.731.1M2022-04-04
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000026780.0000267-0.30%0.00002648-1.12%0.0126✓1.142.2M2022-04-04
CBKCobakEthereum2.8882.8794-0.30%2.687-6.96%0.0721✓0.7819k2022-04-04
DIADIAEthereum1.151.1465-0.30%1.1-4.35%0.0429✓0.39165k2022-04-04
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.6250.623096-0.30%0.5981-4.30%0.0437✓0.74399k2022-04-04
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash378.78377.6261-0.30%376.11-0.70%0.0075✓0.948.3M2022-04-04
XEMNEMnative0.12270.122322-0.31%0.1182-3.67%0.0374✓0.8353k2022-04-04
UOSUltraEthereum1.33371.3296-0.31%1.31-1.78%0.0198✓1.331.4M2022-04-04
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.90110.898308-0.31%0.8645-4.06%0.0422✓1.027.7M2022-04-04
APEApeCoinEthereum12.3912.3516-0.31%11.935-3.67%0.0381✓1.0068.4M2022-04-04
FIDABonfidaSolana2.0972.0905-0.31%1.981-5.53%0.0570✓0.8753k2022-04-04
GLMGolemEthereum0.57940.577595-0.31%0.5392-6.94%0.0725✓1.00875k2022-04-04
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.09340.093109-0.31%0.0914-2.14%0.0214✓0.7738k2022-04-04
MINAMina Protocolnative2.792.7813-0.31%3.14+12.54%0.1175✗1.01736k2022-04-04
PHAPHALAEthereum0.3150.314009-0.31%0.303-3.81%0.0388✓0.8228k2022-04-04
AUCTIONBounceEthereum16.8516.7968-0.32%16.07-4.63%0.0487✓1.201.2M2022-04-04
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum1.8821.876-0.32%1.778-5.53%0.0587✓1.34441k2022-04-04
ORCAOrcaSolana2.422.4123-0.32%2.32-4.13%0.0416✓0.68301k2022-04-04
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum2.792.781-0.32%2.78-0.36%0.0040✓0.98154k2022-04-04
MTLMetal DAOMetal L22.1082.1012-0.32%1.964-6.83%0.0711✓0.963.4M2022-04-04
BTTCBTTC0.000002230.000002223-0.33%0.00000217-2.69%0.0264✓0.6511.2M2022-04-04
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0427760.042635-0.33%0.042473-0.71%0.0075✓0.983.7M2022-04-04
OGOG Fan TokenSolana4.2714.2564-0.34%4.132-3.25%0.0321✓0.642.8M2022-04-04
QNTQuantEthereum140.03139.55-0.34%139.1-0.66%0.0066✓0.914.1M2022-04-04
SUSHISushiEthereum4.454.4345-0.35%4.35-2.25%0.0237✓1.187.5M2022-04-04
MASKMask NetworkEthereum6.046.0185-0.36%5.66-6.29%0.0666✓1.38750k2022-04-04
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.2860.284982-0.36%0.2747-3.95%0.0405✓1.00483k2022-04-04
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.097610.097262-0.36%0.09202-5.73%0.0592✓1.00116k2022-04-04
BTCBitcoinBitcoin46,422.1646,254.16-0.36%46,596.83+0.38%0.0036✓1.00606.4M2022-04-04
QTUMQtumQtum8.5448.5126-0.37%8.2632-3.29%0.0340✓1.13174k2022-04-04
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana7.927.8908-0.37%7.81-1.39%0.0131✓0.751.8M2022-04-04
LTCLitecoinLitecoin128.77128.2942-0.37%124.76-3.11%0.0318✓1.0225.9M2022-04-04
XLMStellarStellar0.2370850.236206-0.37%0.232059-2.12%0.0214✓0.9819.3M2022-04-04
LPTLivepeerEthereum29.5229.4099-0.37%27.93-5.39%0.0566✓1.31752k2022-04-04
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum3.1953.183-0.37%3.018-5.54%0.0564✓0.8475k2022-04-04
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.041990.041832-0.38%0.04233+0.81%0.0093✗0.681.2M2022-04-04
1INCH1INCHEthereum1.9821.9746-0.38%1.9-4.14%0.0421✓0.961.3M2022-04-04
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.022670.022584-0.38%0.02182-3.75%0.0381✓0.992.1M2022-04-04
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.014930.014873-0.38%0.01465-1.88%0.0195✓1.183.4M2022-04-04
MANADecentralandEthereum2.72282.7123-0.39%2.6564-2.44%0.0251✓1.131.3M2022-04-04
DODODODOEthereum0.5670.564811-0.39%0.529-6.70%0.0697✓1.123.6M2022-04-04
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche98.0697.681-0.39%96.2-1.90%0.0201✓1.28103.0M2022-04-04
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.93530.931682-0.39%0.8824-5.66%0.0579✓0.9517.2M2022-04-04
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.056480.056261-0.39%0.0526-6.87%0.0704✓0.8231k2022-04-04
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.951880.948172-0.39%0.88853-6.66%0.0689✓1.05226k2022-04-04
COTICOTIEthereum0.28670.285578-0.39%0.3024+5.48%0.0525✗1.271.8M2022-04-04
XTZTezosTezos4.04394.0281-0.39%3.898-3.61%0.0368✓1.051.0M2022-04-04
HIGHHighstreetEthereum7.267.2315-0.39%6.661-8.25%0.0859✓1.002.6M2022-04-04
ZENHorizenBase49.6149.4147-0.39%49.04-1.15%0.0125✓1.29508k2022-04-04
STXStacksnative1.541.5339-0.40%1.45-5.84%0.0598✓0.95610k2022-04-04
UMAUMAEthereum8.2438.2102-0.40%8.133-1.33%0.0142✓1.275.3M2022-04-04
UNIUniswapEthereum11.8811.8319-0.41%11.56-2.69%0.0271✓1.036.8M2022-04-04
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.9540.950131-0.41%0.91-4.61%0.0465✓0.901.8M2022-04-04
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.51740.515272-0.41%0.4926-4.79%0.0492✓1.1312.0M2022-04-04
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.59920.596715-0.41%0.5738-4.24%0.0460✓1.832.2M2022-04-04
DASHDashDash132.72132.1677-0.42%133.3+0.44%0.0050✗0.942.5M2022-04-04
FTTFTXEthereum50.4250.2091-0.42%50.08-0.67%0.0065✓1.0414.0M2022-04-04
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum22.6422.5445-0.42%21.88-3.36%0.0337✓1.0018.2M2022-04-04
ETHEthereumEthereum3,522.783,507.87-0.42%3,520.66-0.06%0.0004✓1.07464.7M2022-04-04
RADRadworksEthereum6.056.0242-0.43%5.71-5.62%0.0572✓0.96400k2022-04-04
XMRMoneroMonero216.72215.7948-0.43%222.07+2.47%0.0252✗0.921.5M2022-04-04
FILFilecoinFilecoin25.4425.3308-0.43%25.24-0.79%0.0076✓1.076.7M2022-04-04
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.3564.3372-0.43%4.3923+0.83%0.0102✗0.634.8M2022-04-04
CVCCivicEthereum0.38380.382131-0.43%0.3603-6.12%0.0629✓1.09372k2022-04-04
SCSiacoinnative0.014010.013948-0.44%0.01285-8.28%0.0863✓1.13506k2022-04-04
CTKShentuOsmosis1.5281.5213-0.44%1.498-1.96%0.0188✓0.892.8M2022-04-04
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum1.7141.7064-0.44%1.576-8.05%0.0829✓0.901.4M2022-04-04
BELBella ProtocolEthereum1.2661.2604-0.44%1.191-5.92%0.0615✓1.302.6M2022-04-04
CTSICartesiEthereum0.50020.497971-0.45%0.4753-4.98%0.0513✓1.261.6M2022-04-04
ARPAARPAEthereum0.09120.090792-0.45%0.0901-1.21%0.0121✓1.17395k2022-04-04
ZECZcashZcash179.62178.8153-0.45%173.67-3.31%0.0328✓0.9516.0M2022-04-04
XVSVenusEthereum12.812.7414-0.46%12.4-3.12%0.0312✓1.073.4M2022-04-04
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.31410.312661-0.46%0.2999-4.52%0.0448✓0.831.8M2022-04-04
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos31.9731.8231-0.46%30.84-3.53%0.0355✓1.0937.8M2022-04-04
GITCOINGITCOIN8.2628.2238-0.46%7.713-6.64%0.0695✓1.4421k2022-04-04
LSKLiskEthereum2.68692.6744-0.46%2.5447-5.29%0.0528✓0.82183k2022-04-04
LINKChainlinkEthereum18.0817.9953-0.47%17.51-3.15%0.0312✓1.0225.9M2022-04-04
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana9.569.5148-0.47%9.69+1.36%0.0155✗0.722.5M2022-04-04
STORJStorjEthereum1.45521.4483-0.48%1.3442-7.63%0.0787✓1.10143k2022-04-04
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana17.5917.5056-0.48%17.25-1.93%0.0164✓0.463.4M2022-04-04
KSMKusamaHydration201.73200.7543-0.48%188.7-6.46%0.0660✓1.09937k2022-04-04
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum5.99445.9654-0.48%5.8153-2.99%0.0289✓0.90269k2022-04-04
LCXLCXEthereum0.13060.129966-0.49%0.1381+5.74%0.0562✗1.20703k2022-04-04
DOTPolkadotPolkadot23.2123.0958-0.49%22.91-1.29%0.0121✓1.0721.2M2022-04-04
YFIyearn.financeEthereum25,227.8325,103.32-0.49%23,870.88-5.38%0.0546✓1.136.2M2022-04-04
TRBTellor TributesEthereum28.728.5568-0.50%27.39-4.56%0.0466✓1.30286k2022-04-04
RLCiExec RLCEthereum2.552.5372-0.50%2.44-4.31%0.0439✓1.30903k2022-04-04
CHZChilizEthereum0.28390.282464-0.51%0.2706-4.68%0.0473✓1.163.2M2022-04-04
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum3.27523.2585-0.51%3.202-2.23%0.0203✓0.763.5M2022-04-04
BORABORAKlay Token0.990650.985575-0.51%1.0428+5.27%0.0527✗1.00342k2022-04-04
ADACardanoCardano1.18651.1804-0.51%1.2117+2.12%0.0225✗0.9860.9M2022-04-04
SUNSun TokenTron0.016740.016653-0.52%0.016272-2.80%0.0264✓0.8816k2022-04-04
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum20.9520.8402-0.52%19.82-5.39%0.0552✓1.333.1M2022-04-04
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum66.6566.2965-0.53%63.83-4.23%0.0428✓1.305.6M2022-04-04
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.47970.47715-0.53%0.4555-5.04%0.0519✓1.469.0M2022-04-04
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana8.6038.5573-0.53%7.703-10.46%0.1076✓0.651.7M2022-04-04
SOLSolanaSolana136.94136.21-0.53%132.16-3.49%0.0348✓1.2489.9M2022-04-04
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum1.661.6511-0.53%1.55-6.63%0.0674✓1.12790k2022-04-04
GTCGitcoinEthereum8.248.1959-0.54%7.74-6.07%0.0627✓1.47638k2022-04-04
XVGVergenative0.014110.014034-0.54%0.01375-2.55%0.0247✓1.142.2M2022-04-04
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.870.865308-0.54%0.84-3.45%0.0354✓1.51387k2022-04-04
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum1.08681.0809-0.54%1.002-7.80%0.0773✓0.40673k2022-04-04
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain1.30641.2992-0.55%1.283-1.79%0.0172✓1.2314.9M2022-04-04
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.7270.723014-0.55%0.7033-3.26%0.0326✓1.32652k2022-04-04
API3Api3Ethereum5.425.3901-0.55%5.581+2.97%0.0327✗0.573.9M2022-04-04
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum8.2818.2342-0.56%7.903-4.56%0.0449✓1.02441k2022-04-04
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain5.05955.0307-0.57%5.4212+7.15%0.0726✗0.574.3M2022-04-04
NANOnanopayBase2.72262.7067-0.59%2.8835+5.91%0.0591✗1.12184k2022-04-04
SNXSynthetixEthereum7.3187.2747-0.59%6.952-5.00%0.0500✓1.245.5M2022-04-04
CRVCurve DAOEthereum2.952.9323-0.60%2.921-0.98%0.0089✓1.359.2M2022-04-04
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.036590.03637-0.60%0.03777+3.22%0.0338✗1.06210k2022-04-04
COMPCompoundEthereum171.15170.1018-0.61%162.85-4.85%0.0478✓1.1361k2022-04-04
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.07030.069866-0.62%0.0678-3.56%0.0363✓1.6843.2M2022-04-04
AAVEAaveEthereum243.27241.7584-0.62%238.04-2.15%0.0202✓1.2513.5M2022-04-04
ETCEthereum Classicnative46.746.3951-0.65%46.76+0.13%0.0039✓1.0411.5M2022-04-04
METRONOMEMETRONOME2.6862.6685-0.65%2.758+2.68%0.0302✗0.7512k2022-04-04
LUNATerraTerra 2112.95112.2068-0.66%116.42+3.07%0.0319✗1.329.1M2022-04-04
IMXImmutableEthereum2.6122.5947-0.66%2.49-4.67%0.0449✓0.9810.0M2022-04-04
BANDBandEthereum5.3985.3615-0.68%5.175-4.13%0.0395✓1.10635k2022-04-04
DYDXdYdXCosmos6.9296.882-0.68%6.786-2.06%0.0177✓0.97101k2022-04-04
XECeCashnative0.000116010.000115191-0.71%0.0001088-6.21%0.0607✓0.967.9M2022-04-04
MOVRMoonriverBase84.414583.8161-0.71%84.1786-0.28%0.0008✓1.36166k2022-04-04
LRCLoopringEthereum1.18521.1767-0.71%1.1437-3.50%0.0336✓1.37663k2022-04-04
BICOBiconomyEthereum1.8931.8793-0.73%1.856-1.95%0.0170✓1.203.7M2022-04-04
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain6.1756.1301-0.73%5.956-3.55%0.0303✓0.416.3M2022-04-04
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.6050.600568-0.73%0.572-5.45%0.0528✓1.097.0M2022-04-04
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.029980.029754-0.75%0.03011+0.43%0.0062✓1.5252.9M2022-04-04
SKLSKALEEthereum0.26430.262274-0.77%0.2637-0.23%0.0012✓1.132.8M2022-04-04
ASTRAstarEthereum0.2160.214142-0.86%0.231+6.94%0.0737✗0.5625k2022-04-04
BRISEBitgertEthereum8.75e-78.67e-7-0.90%7.96e-7-9.01%0.0841✓-0.371.1M2022-04-04
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.9130.904477-0.93%0.891871-2.31%0.0180✓1.071.8M2022-04-04
CELLCellframeEthereum1.88761.8697-0.95%1.519-19.53%0.2130✓1.40201k2022-04-04
SPELLSpellEthereum0.005860.005784-1.30%0.00551-5.97%0.0534✓1.315.9M2022-04-04
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain6.91136.8194-1.33%6.4594-6.54%0.0583✓1.0723.4M2022-04-04
GLMRMoonbeamBase5.2785.1878-1.71%5.054-4.24%0.0304✓1.13417k2022-04-04
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.32950.322171-2.22%0.2893-12.20%0.1114✓1.001.2M2022-04-04
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.15610.150094-3.85%0.1369-12.30%0.0958✓1.02178k2022-04-04
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.