8=======>

2022-04-02 · +30d

beta_5y · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 163 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.2313
163 of 163 tokens assessed
long-short decile
-0.52%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
86.5%
in alpha space · 89.6% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-15.96%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (163 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain1.29821.1305-12.92%0.9672-25.50%0.0593✓1.2415.0M2022-05-02
GLMRMoonbeamBase5.0464.4047-12.71%2.497-50.52%0.3711✓1.13417k2022-05-02
ASTRAstarEthereum0.2340.20565-12.12%0.14-40.17%0.2852✓0.5725k2022-05-02
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.5860.516543-11.85%0.447-23.72%0.0435✓1.087.0M2022-05-02
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain6.94576.1404-11.59%4.9344-28.96%0.0323✓1.0723.4M2022-05-02
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana17.9516.0499-10.59%11.97-33.31%0.2131✓0.463.4M2022-05-02
BRISEBitgertEthereum9.02e-78.08e-7-10.50%9.01e-7-0.20%0.0458✓-0.361.1M2022-05-02
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0306780.027475-10.44%0.019194-37.43%0.2091✓0.86185k2022-05-02
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana9.0578.1401-10.12%5.716-36.89%0.2390✓0.661.7M2022-05-02
METRONOMEMETRONOME2.53622.2871-9.82%2.5018-1.36%0.2180✗0.7412k2022-05-02
BICOBiconomyEthereum2.0461.849-9.63%1.046-48.88%0.3575✓1.223.7M2022-05-02
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.030970.028193-8.97%0.01804-41.75%0.1828✓1.5252.9M2022-05-02
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain6.095.5483-8.89%3.806-37.50%0.3054✓0.417.0M2022-05-02
API3Api3Ethereum5.1564.6981-8.88%3.217-37.61%0.2795✓0.574.0M2022-05-02
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum3.3073.017-8.77%4.0958+23.85%0.4385✗0.763.7M2022-05-02
LUNATerraTerra 2115.15105.2641-8.59%84.35-26.75%0.0081✓1.329.2M2022-05-02
GITCOINGITCOIN7.9787.3357-8.05%4.641-41.83%0.2063✓1.4521k2022-05-02
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0050.004611-7.78%0.00307-38.60%0.1815✓1.305.8M2022-05-02
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.06710.061927-7.71%0.0369-45.01%0.2276✓1.6744.1M2022-05-02
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana9.749.0219-7.37%5.25-46.10%0.4157✓0.722.7M2022-05-02
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum1.8471.7132-7.25%1.07-42.07%0.2386✓1.33451k2022-05-02
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.61410.569894-7.20%0.2208-64.04%0.6295✓1.832.2M2022-05-02
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain5.27194.8938-7.17%3.3079-37.25%0.2916✓0.585.2M2022-05-02
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.840.782229-6.88%0.43-48.81%0.3361✓1.51426k2022-05-02
MOVRMoonriverBase81.146475.6291-6.80%41.0043-49.47%0.3758✓1.36166k2022-05-02
SKLSKALEEthereum0.27930.261037-6.54%0.1446-48.23%0.3925✓1.142.5M2022-05-02
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum1.621.5161-6.42%0.74-54.32%0.5217✓1.12691k2022-05-02
XECeCashnative0.000128270.000120195-6.30%0.00007202-43.85%0.3435✓0.977.2M2022-05-02
SNXSynthetixEthereum7.2076.7565-6.25%4.73-34.37%0.1446✓1.225.4M2022-05-02
DYDXdYdXCosmos6.8776.449-6.22%3.441-49.96%0.4591✓0.97102k2022-05-02
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.7480.702711-6.05%0.4031-46.11%0.3255✓1.32648k2022-05-02
BANDBandEthereum5.3495.0271-6.02%3.041-43.15%0.3133✓1.09614k2022-05-02
ADACardanoCardano1.15621.0874-5.95%0.7806-32.49%0.1610✓0.9863.5M2022-05-02
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.3644.1065-5.90%3.1796-27.14%0.1457✓0.635.5M2022-05-02
ETCEthereum Classicnative45.5242.8514-5.86%27.42-39.76%0.2660✓1.047.6M2022-05-02
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum8.2317.7488-5.86%4.931-40.09%0.2741✓1.02448k2022-05-02
XTZTezosTezos3.91163.6848-5.80%2.4942-36.24%0.2089✓1.041.1M2022-05-02
ZECZcashZcash177.44167.1645-5.79%124.63-29.76%0.1287✓0.9516.0M2022-05-02
IMXImmutableEthereum2.4142.2754-5.74%1.542-36.12%0.2177✓0.9910.0M2022-05-02
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana8.047.5785-5.74%4.34-46.02%0.4271✓0.751.9M2022-05-02
MASKMask NetworkEthereum5.95.5657-5.67%3.76-36.27%0.1505✓1.39750k2022-05-02
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.51920.490141-5.60%0.3077-40.74%0.2692✓1.1311.8M2022-05-02
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum18.5517.5203-5.55%26.04+40.38%0.6252✗1.323.1M2022-05-02
CHZChilizEthereum0.27870.26325-5.54%0.1787-35.88%0.1858✓1.163.2M2022-05-02
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum65.2861.7246-5.45%30.21-53.72%0.4891✓1.305.4M2022-05-02
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum1.01350.958523-5.42%0.4561-55.00%0.6743✓0.39676k2022-05-02
APEApeCoinEthereum12.43311.7591-5.42%15.057+21.11%0.4211✗1.0071.9M2022-05-02
LRCLoopringEthereum1.1391.0783-5.33%0.7442-34.66%0.1331✓1.37460k2022-05-02
PHAPHALAEthereum0.3230.306081-5.24%0.23-28.79%0.1425✓0.8233k2022-05-02
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum6.03045.7177-5.19%3.8501-36.15%0.2381✓0.90277k2022-05-02
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.09680.091783-5.18%0.06268-35.25%0.2069✓1.00107k2022-05-02
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos31.3129.6888-5.18%17.8-43.15%0.3248✓1.0737.8M2022-05-02
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche96.2591.272-5.17%60.34-37.31%0.1911✓1.28103.6M2022-05-02
LPTLivepeerEthereum29.327.8197-5.05%22.02-24.85%0.0072✓1.30752k2022-05-02
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.014450.013723-5.03%0.00824-42.98%0.3079✓1.163.3M2022-05-02
KSMKusamaHydration202.02191.8776-5.02%130.9-35.20%0.1927✓1.09937k2022-05-02
BELBella ProtocolEthereum1.2131.1527-4.97%0.658-45.75%0.3344✓1.302.6M2022-05-02
UNIUniswapEthereum11.6511.0733-4.95%6.93-40.52%0.2900✓1.036.8M2022-05-02
STORJStorjEthereum1.39791.329-4.93%0.88819-36.46%0.2110✓1.10139k2022-05-02
UMAUMAEthereum7.9427.5502-4.93%5.319-33.03%0.1297✓1.275.3M2022-05-02
XLMStellarStellar0.2333380.221878-4.91%0.173493-25.65%0.0768✓0.9719.3M2022-05-02
HIGHHighstreetEthereum6.9346.5971-4.86%3.835-44.69%0.3685✓1.002.9M2022-05-02
BFCBifrostEthereum0.164810.156864-4.82%0.12425-24.61%0.0874✓0.8414k2022-05-02
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.041940.03992-4.82%0.02585-38.36%0.3158✓0.681.1M2022-05-02
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.8492760.808492-4.80%0.719098-15.33%0.0650✗1.051.8M2022-05-02
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.095110.090592-4.75%0.0677-28.82%0.1561✓0.7836k2022-05-02
ORCAOrcaSolana2.392.2782-4.68%1.81-24.27%0.1120✓0.68282k2022-05-02
SOLSolanaSolana132.61126.4555-4.64%87.45-34.05%0.1532✓1.2489.9M2022-05-02
COMPCompoundEthereum153.54146.436-4.63%105.5-31.29%0.1359✓1.1059k2022-05-02
STXStacksnative1.491.4223-4.55%0.94-36.91%0.2491✓0.95610k2022-05-02
DOTPolkadotPolkadot22.6221.6101-4.46%14.95-33.91%0.1844✓1.0621.2M2022-05-02
ZENHorizenBase48.3846.2213-4.46%30.35-37.27%0.1958✓1.29508k2022-05-02
AAVEAaveEthereum238.39227.8296-4.43%144.21-39.51%0.2408✓1.2512.6M2022-05-02
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum1.7031.6282-4.39%0.952-44.10%0.3782✓0.911.4M2022-05-02
CRVCurve DAOEthereum2.8932.7688-4.29%2.101-27.38%0.0451✓1.339.1M2022-05-02
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.9763.8056-4.29%2.858-28.12%0.1510✓0.782.3M2022-05-02
GTCGitcoinEthereum7.87.4657-4.29%4.66-40.26%0.2160✓1.47638k2022-05-02
CTSICartesiEthereum0.49420.473871-4.11%0.2746-44.44%0.3260✓1.261.6M2022-05-02
QTUMQtumQtum8.327.9794-4.09%5.5244-33.60%0.1721✓1.12166k2022-05-02
SUNSun TokenTron0.0165210.015851-4.05%0.011991-27.42%0.1269✓0.8715k2022-05-02
LINKChainlinkEthereum17.416.7211-3.90%11.17-35.80%0.2294✓1.0025.9M2022-05-02
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.037740.036269-3.90%0.01736-54.00%0.5495✓1.08210k2022-05-02
MTLMetal DAOMetal L22.1272.0453-3.84%2.07-2.68%0.1780✗0.953.3M2022-05-02
DKAdKargoEthereum0.128230.123327-3.82%0.07898-38.41%0.3011✓0.8327k2022-05-02
OGOG Fan TokenSolana4.1954.0367-3.77%2.985-28.84%0.1895✓0.652.8M2022-05-02
COTICOTIEthereum0.27660.266174-3.77%0.1946-29.65%0.0937✓1.261.8M2022-05-02
QNTQuantEthereum140.37135.2764-3.63%95.23-32.16%0.1920✓0.914.2M2022-05-02
CVCCivicEthereum0.37990.366224-3.60%0.2655-30.11%0.1306✓1.10372k2022-05-02
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.90730.874841-3.58%0.6161-32.10%0.1879✓0.9417.2M2022-05-02
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.23830.229778-3.58%0.1479-37.94%0.2667✓1.001.0M2022-05-02
CBKCobakEthereum32.8977-3.41%1.843-38.57%0.3188✓0.7719k2022-05-02
1INCH1INCHEthereum1.9221.8566-3.40%1.176-38.81%0.2904✓0.961.1M2022-05-02
LSKLiskEthereum2.71472.6229-3.38%1.7715-34.74%0.2499✓0.82183k2022-05-02
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum2120.3012-3.33%12.95-38.33%0.2803✓0.9718.2M2022-05-02
DODODODOEthereum0.5570.538475-3.33%0.291-47.76%0.4206✓1.123.6M2022-05-02
HIVEHivenative1.24221.201-3.32%0.8016-35.47%0.2188✓1.072.1M2022-05-02
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.46210.446956-3.28%0.227-50.88%0.4211✓1.479.0M2022-05-02
AVTAventusEthereum2.612.5248-3.27%2.03-22.22%0.1477✓0.40376k2022-05-02
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.29320.283743-3.23%0.2038-30.49%0.1570✓1.00493k2022-05-02
GLMGolemEthereum0.56890.550638-3.21%0.3505-38.39%0.2778✓1.00875k2022-05-02
SUSHISushiEthereum4.354.2139-3.13%2.36-45.75%0.3743✓1.187.1M2022-05-02
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash372.47361.0073-3.08%285.01-23.48%0.0729✓0.948.3M2022-05-02
BTTCBTTC0.000002230.000002162-3.04%0.00000171-23.32%0.1215✓0.6511.3M2022-05-02
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.022360.021682-3.03%0.01476-33.99%0.2119✓0.992.1M2022-05-02
RADRadworksEthereum6.276.0809-3.02%3.92-37.48%0.2729✓0.96400k2022-05-02
YFIyearn.financeEthereum23,334.6222,658.08-2.90%17,128.81-26.59%0.0856✓1.126.0M2022-05-02
WOOWOOEthereum0.61010.59243-2.90%0.3627-40.55%0.4792✓0.075,2242022-05-02
SGBSongbirdnative0.07090.068937-2.77%0.0544-23.27%0.1380✓0.57221k2022-05-02
RLCiExec RLCEthereum2.412.3437-2.75%1.52-36.93%0.2096✓1.28903k2022-05-02
TRBTellor TributesEthereum28.4527.6775-2.72%14.92-47.56%0.3938✓1.29266k2022-05-02
DASHDashDash127.43123.9817-2.71%89.2-30.00%0.1670✓0.932.5M2022-05-02
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.913810.889364-2.68%0.58714-35.75%0.2343✓1.04201k2022-05-02
XMRMoneroMonero212.35206.7689-2.63%199.47-6.07%0.1245✗0.921.6M2022-05-02
NANOnanopayBase2.54732.4822-2.56%1.7382-31.76%0.1635✓1.11178k2022-05-02
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum2.732.661-2.53%1.99-27.11%0.1218✓0.97146k2022-05-02
LCXLCXEthereum0.13410.130813-2.45%0.1041-22.37%0.0168✓1.22648k2022-05-02
XVSVenusEthereum13.0812.7631-2.42%7.85-39.98%0.2989✓1.083.2M2022-05-02
AUCTIONBounceEthereum16.0615.6726-2.41%11.3-29.64%0.1202✓1.191.0M2022-05-02
FTTFTXEthereum49.6848.5009-2.37%39.11-21.28%0.0350✓1.0414.1M2022-05-02
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000025810.000025201-2.36%0.00002066-19.95%0.0003✓1.142.2M2022-05-02
MANADecentralandEthereum2.64562.5836-2.34%1.5039-43.15%0.3441✓1.131.3M2022-05-02
FIDABonfidaSolana21.9532-2.34%1.094-45.30%0.4293✓0.8653k2022-05-02
FILFilecoinFilecoin23.9223.3774-2.27%14.61-38.92%0.2858✓1.066.7M2022-05-02
ARPAARPAEthereum0.08710.085153-2.23%0.053-39.15%0.2716✓1.16366k2022-05-02
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum6.1636.0326-2.12%4.445-27.88%0.1339✓0.9984k2022-05-02
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.89120.87252-2.10%0.5329-40.20%0.3175✓1.017.6M2022-05-02
CTKShentuOsmosis1.491.4592-2.07%1.049-29.60%0.1739✓0.902.8M2022-05-02
XVGVergenative0.013360.013094-1.99%0.00816-38.92%0.2749✓1.142.1M2022-05-02
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.08720.085466-1.99%0.1004+15.14%0.3266✗0.95178k2022-05-02
ETHEthereumEthereum3,445.383,378.53-1.94%2,856.21-17.10%0.0177✓1.07478.7M2022-05-02
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.1387910.136166-1.89%0.130786-5.77%0.1032✗0.832.7M2022-05-02
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana6.736.604-1.87%4.68-30.46%0.2204✓0.711.7M2022-05-02
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.9480.930305-1.87%0.601-36.60%0.2808✓0.901.8M2022-05-02
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.28610.280806-1.85%0.1927-32.65%0.2331✓0.821.7M2022-05-02
PROPropyEthereum1.621.5914-1.76%1.59-1.85%0.1762✗1.02174k2022-05-02
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.16440.161655-1.67%0.1281-22.08%0.0547✓1.02219k2022-05-02
BORABORAKlay Token0.963190.94806-1.57%0.62845-34.75%0.2372✓1.00266k2022-05-02
MINAMina Protocolnative2.62.56-1.54%1.82-30.00%0.1659✓1.01766k2022-05-02
GALAGALAEthereum0.25450.251688-1.10%0.1358-46.64%0.4466✓0.98215k2022-05-02
SCSiacoinnative0.014030.013911-0.85%0.00835-40.48%0.3131✓1.13472k2022-05-02
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.63830.633311-0.78%0.4286-32.85%0.2566✓0.77399k2022-05-02
UOSUltraEthereum1.29521.2862-0.70%0.72701-43.87%0.3403✓1.321.4M2022-05-02
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0417090.04144-0.64%0.024035-42.37%0.3745✓0.983.9M2022-05-02
BTCBitcoinBitcoin45,826.2745,539.49-0.63%38,510.89-15.96%0.0063✗1.00629.9M2022-05-02
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum46,047.2045,800.41-0.54%38,566.40-16.25%0.0040✓0.9725k2022-05-02
LTCLitecoinLitecoin124.9124.254-0.52%100.65-19.42%0.0341✓1.0226.1M2022-05-02
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.056680.056412-0.47%0.03902-31.16%0.2262✓0.8230k2022-05-02
CELLCellframeEthereum1.50751.5011-0.43%0.6423-57.39%0.6097✓1.38199k2022-05-02
XEMNEMnative0.12190.121402-0.41%0.092-24.53%0.1325✓0.8345k2022-05-02
KCSKuCoinnative20.72920.645-0.41%18.018-13.08%0.0153✗0.875.1M2022-05-02
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana15.0415.065+0.17%9.57-36.37%0.3863✗0.393.1M2022-05-02
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.056140.056261+0.22%0.04043-27.98%0.1519✗1.03585k2022-05-02
NMRNumeraireEthereum30.8430.9461+0.34%23.44-23.99%0.1217✗0.90665k2022-05-02
TRXTRONTron0.0732040.073551+0.47%0.068943-5.82%0.0446✓0.63324k2022-05-02
DEXEDeXeEthereum6.977.0101+0.58%5.73-17.79%0.0755✗0.73990k2022-05-02
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV99.0599.7034+0.66%74.05-25.24%0.1629✗0.772.4M2022-05-02
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum3.1193.14+0.67%1.392-55.37%0.6678✗0.8462k2022-05-02
AMPAmpEthereum0.027510.02786+1.27%0.01856-32.53%0.2738✗0.763.2M2022-05-02
DIADIAEthereum1.111.1263+1.47%0.77-30.63%0.3139✗0.38165k2022-05-02
GTGateEthereum6.87046.9903+1.74%6.2409-9.16%0.0106✓0.594.6M2022-05-02
LEOLEO TokenEthereum6.10576.2401+2.20%5.7724-5.46%0.0043✓0.47169k2022-05-02
XYMSymbolnative0.14440.147805+2.36%0.0933-35.39%0.3383✗0.70696k2022-05-02
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.013130.013769+4.87%0.0076-42.12%0.4786✗0.6612k2022-05-02
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.