8=======>

2022-03-30 · +1d

beta_5y · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 162 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.1642
162 of 162 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+2.97%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
50.0%
in alpha space · 75.9% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-3.29%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (162 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
GALAGALAEthereum0.27180.271518-0.10%0.2541-6.51%0.0346✓0.95215k2022-03-31
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana13.7713.7543-0.11%13.89+0.87%0.0232✗0.403.0M2022-03-31
LEOLEO TokenEthereum6.08776.0792-0.14%5.834-4.17%0.0258✓0.46175k2022-03-31
CELLCellframeEthereum1.471.4672-0.19%1.3868-5.66%0.0101✓1.38199k2022-03-31
FIDABonfidaSolana1.9371.9332-0.20%1.839-5.06%0.0219✓0.8453k2022-03-31
XYMSymbolnative0.14930.149003-0.20%0.1461-2.14%0.0050✗0.74513k2022-03-31
GTGateEthereum6.76576.7512-0.21%6.6752-1.34%0.0088✗0.604.3M2022-03-31
DEXEDeXeEthereum6.856.8353-0.22%6.73-1.75%0.0086✗0.72878k2022-03-31
SGBSongbirdnative0.07180.071633-0.23%0.0738+2.79%0.0499✗0.60221k2022-03-31
AMPAmpEthereum0.027590.02752-0.25%0.02695-2.32%0.0047✗0.773.1M2022-03-31
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum6.2586.2418-0.26%6.029-3.66%0.0015✓0.9988k2022-03-31
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.58540.583872-0.26%0.5966+1.91%0.0450✗0.70376k2022-03-31
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.8180.815606-0.29%0.915+11.86%0.1461✗0.931.8M2022-03-31
DIADIAEthereum1.071.0668-0.30%1.1+2.80%0.0440✗0.40165k2022-03-31
CTKShentuOsmosis1.3851.3808-0.30%1.51+9.03%0.1208✗0.942.8M2022-03-31
BTCBitcoinBitcoin47,078.0346,935.24-0.30%45,528.45-3.29%0.0030✗1.00680.6M2022-03-31
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum47,057.4046,911.75-0.31%45,846.40-2.57%0.0094✗0.9727k2022-03-31
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.055670.055492-0.32%0.05488-1.42%0.0238✗1.04541k2022-03-31
NMRNumeraireEthereum31.831.6947-0.33%31.27-1.67%0.0166✗0.90665k2022-03-31
BTTCBTTC0.000002120.000002113-0.33%0.00000214+0.94%0.0351✗0.6711.5M2022-03-31
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV97.9897.6522-0.33%94.5-3.55%0.0070✓0.771.8M2022-03-31
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum7.7867.7599-0.33%7.52-3.42%0.0020✓1.00451k2022-03-31
CRVCurve DAOEthereum2.8142.8044-0.34%2.638-6.25%0.0162✓1.349.1M2022-03-31
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.25630.255418-0.34%0.2457-4.14%0.0053✓1.001.2M2022-03-31
XLMStellarStellar0.2347420.233918-0.35%0.228422-2.69%0.0087✗0.9718.7M2022-03-31
LTCLitecoinLitecoin131.12130.6585-0.35%123.87-5.53%0.0196✓1.0126.1M2022-03-31
ETHEthereumEthereum3,386.683,374.63-0.36%3,283.08-3.06%0.0079✗1.06491.5M2022-03-31
UOSUltraEthereum1.30341.2987-0.36%1.2649-2.95%0.0172✗1.301.4M2022-03-31
BFCBifrostEthereum0.169780.169167-0.36%0.16325-3.85%0.0079✓0.8314k2022-03-31
XVSVenusEthereum11.2711.2292-0.36%11.81+4.79%0.0855✗1.053.2M2022-03-31
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum2.772.7598-0.37%2.68-3.25%0.0032✓0.97142k2022-03-31
FTTFTXEthereum51.1750.9787-0.37%48.83-4.57%0.0085✓1.0314.1M2022-03-31
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.1428530.142314-0.38%0.138112-3.32%0.0027✓0.822.6M2022-03-31
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana6.666.6346-0.38%6.53-1.95%0.0082✗0.721.6M2022-03-31
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0435390.043371-0.39%0.041867-3.84%0.0032✓0.964.1M2022-03-31
MANADecentralandEthereum2.70352.693-0.39%2.6098-3.46%0.0064✗1.131.3M2022-03-31
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.051350.05115-0.39%0.05271+2.65%0.0582✗0.8426k2022-03-31
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.92680.923167-0.39%0.9295+0.29%0.0389✗0.9617.2M2022-03-31
CBKCobakEthereum2.7412.7302-0.39%2.756+0.55%0.0352✗0.7718k2022-03-31
HIVEHivenative1.18171.177-0.39%1.2151+2.83%0.0678✗1.082.0M2022-03-31
XVGVergenative0.012120.012072-0.40%0.01339+10.48%0.1426✗1.161.9M2022-03-31
DKAdKargoEthereum0.114810.114347-0.40%0.12603+9.77%0.1262✗0.8629k2022-03-31
GLMGolemEthereum0.56350.56121-0.41%0.5527-1.92%0.0182✗1.001.2M2022-03-31
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum3.0723.0595-0.41%2.998-2.41%0.0071✗0.8253k2022-03-31
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.899590.895918-0.41%0.86577-3.76%0.0004✓1.04148k2022-03-31
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.8920.888353-0.41%0.8523-4.45%0.0076✓1.017.5M2022-03-31
YFIyearn.financeEthereum24,045.6423,947.16-0.41%22,229.80-7.55%0.0379✓1.095.9M2022-03-31
XEMNEMnative0.12230.121793-0.41%0.1183-3.27%0.0015✓0.8238k2022-03-31
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum21.8121.7183-0.42%21-3.71%0.0013✓0.9716.5M2022-03-31
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.041330.041156-0.42%0.0405-2.01%0.0068✗0.681.1M2022-03-31
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.2930.291752-0.43%0.2695-8.02%0.0529✓0.791.8M2022-03-31
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.013460.013402-0.43%0.01312-2.53%0.0012✓0.6710k2022-03-31
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche95.5795.1599-0.43%97.42+1.94%0.0666✗1.29103.6M2022-03-31
MOVRMoonriverBase69.333969.0317-0.44%66.8749-3.55%0.0137✗1.36159k2022-03-31
ADACardanoCardano1.19061.1854-0.44%1.1417-4.11%0.0045✓0.9963.3M2022-03-31
XECeCashnative0.000095550.000095131-0.44%0.00009285-2.83%0.0088✗0.996.6M2022-03-31
XMRMoneroMonero221.39220.4024-0.45%212.94-3.82%0.0033✓0.931.6M2022-03-31
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash380.29378.5709-0.45%384.15+1.02%0.0466✗0.958.0M2022-03-31
MINAMina Protocolnative2.662.648-0.45%2.65-0.38%0.0347✗1.01632k2022-03-31
MASKMask NetworkEthereum5.615.5844-0.46%6+6.95%0.1194✗1.42642k2022-03-31
PROPropyEthereum1.691.6823-0.46%1.57-7.10%0.0355✓1.00185k2022-03-31
DOTPolkadotPolkadot22.4622.3573-0.46%21.35-4.94%0.0105✓1.0619.8M2022-03-31
TRBTellor TributesEthereum25.4825.3621-0.46%25.7+0.86%0.0569✗1.31232k2022-03-31
QNTQuantEthereum143.18142.5171-0.46%137.61-3.89%0.0051✓0.904.1M2022-03-31
XTZTezosTezos3.82973.8118-0.47%3.7255-2.72%0.0124✗1.061.0M2022-03-31
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000027360.000027231-0.47%0.00002586-5.48%0.0138✓1.132.2M2022-03-31
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.020370.020273-0.48%0.02088+2.50%0.0629✗1.001.7M2022-03-31
LINKChainlinkEthereum17.2317.1467-0.48%16.93-1.74%0.0211✗1.0126.1M2022-03-31
TRXTRONTron0.0730580.072697-0.49%0.073796+1.01%0.0363✗0.64289k2022-03-31
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos30.0229.8705-0.50%28.9-3.73%0.0034✓1.0939.5M2022-03-31
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.48250.480078-0.50%0.4698-2.63%0.0163✗1.1310.3M2022-03-31
KCSKuCoinnative21.31821.2107-0.50%20.465-4.00%0.0069✓0.865.1M2022-03-31
RADRadworksEthereum5.495.4622-0.51%5.41-1.46%0.0216✗0.93400k2022-03-31
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.08710.086658-0.51%0.0836-4.02%0.0041✓0.95173k2022-03-31
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum1.08021.0747-0.51%1.071-0.85%0.0098✗0.39676k2022-03-31
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum19.2519.1508-0.52%18.07-6.13%0.0144✓1.303.1M2022-03-31
PHAPHALAEthereum0.2910.289496-0.52%0.283-2.75%0.0042✓0.8129k2022-03-31
STXStacksnative1.541.532-0.52%1.44-6.49%0.0305✓0.94601k2022-03-31
DASHDashDash132.65131.9621-0.52%127.13-4.16%0.0064✓0.922.0M2022-03-31
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.033220.033048-0.52%0.03408+2.59%0.0671✗1.09210k2022-03-31
NANOnanopayBase2.53552.5223-0.52%2.4796-2.20%0.0204✗1.12177k2022-03-31
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.34.2771-0.53%4.2237-1.77%0.0087✗0.634.7M2022-03-31
FILFilecoinFilecoin25.925.7618-0.53%24.45-5.60%0.0172✓1.056.6M2022-03-31
LSKLiskEthereum2.65622.642-0.53%2.5204-5.11%0.0203✓0.80196k2022-03-31
APEApeCoinEthereum14.21914.1427-0.54%12.702-10.67%0.0740✓1.0091.6M2022-03-31
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.013860.013786-0.54%0.01361-1.80%0.0266✗1.183.3M2022-03-31
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum5.695.6592-0.54%5.4868-3.57%0.0009✓0.90264k2022-03-31
WOOWOOEthereum0.680.676223-0.56%0.6406-5.79%0.0541✓0.005,0712022-03-31
AVTAventusEthereum2.732.7148-0.56%2.68-1.83%0.0009✓0.41376k2022-03-31
COTICOTIEthereum0.28680.285192-0.56%0.2732-4.74%0.0003✓1.271.8M2022-03-31
1INCH1INCHEthereum1.8381.8277-0.56%1.775-3.43%0.0029✓0.96887k2022-03-31
IMXImmutableEthereum2.642.625-0.57%2.352-10.91%0.0783✓0.946.6M2022-03-31
KSMKusamaHydration188.4187.3044-0.58%188.49+0.05%0.0435✗1.11901k2022-03-31
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum1.7931.7826-0.58%1.795+0.11%0.0519✗1.34433k2022-03-31
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.16680.165819-0.59%0.1579-5.34%0.0149✓1.02211k2022-03-31
GTCGitcoinEthereum7.887.8336-0.59%7.31-7.23%0.0209✓1.44458k2022-03-31
GLMRMoonbeamBase3.3133.2934-0.59%3.115-5.98%0.0170✓1.15393k2022-03-31
SOLSolanaSolana120.79120.0752-0.59%122.86+1.71%0.0648✗1.2589.9M2022-03-31
SCSiacoinnative0.012470.012396-0.59%0.01207-3.21%0.0107✗1.12469k2022-03-31
BICOBiconomyEthereum1.7471.7366-0.60%1.594-8.76%0.0452✓1.213.7M2022-03-31
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.9643.9404-0.60%3.891-1.84%0.0137✗0.792.2M2022-03-31
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.68940.685277-0.60%0.6676-3.16%0.0183✗1.33608k2022-03-31
RLCiExec RLCEthereum2.412.3954-0.61%2.24-7.05%0.0248✓1.26903k2022-03-31
BRISEBitgertEthereum9.33e-79.27e-7-0.62%8.72e-7-6.58%0.0767✓-0.441.1M2022-03-31
LCXLCXEthereum0.12590.125124-0.62%0.1229-2.38%0.0230✗1.22648k2022-03-31
SUSHISushiEthereum4.474.4424-0.62%4.41-1.34%0.0322✗1.186.8M2022-03-31
AUCTIONBounceEthereum16.4916.3881-0.62%15.65-5.09%0.0071✓1.16788k2022-03-31
OGOG Fan TokenSolana4.2134.1869-0.62%4.122-2.16%0.0073✗0.682.7M2022-03-31
ZENHorizenBase49.8649.5482-0.63%48.75-2.23%0.0270✗1.29454k2022-03-31
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain4.32014.2926-0.64%4.4084+2.04%0.0457✗0.574.0M2022-03-31
ASTRAstarEthereum0.1510.150029-0.64%0.174+15.23%0.1669✗0.5625k2022-03-31
ARPAARPAEthereum0.08830.087729-0.65%0.0852-3.51%0.0095✗1.16352k2022-03-31
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.2970.29508-0.65%0.285-4.04%0.0013✓1.00463k2022-03-31
UNIUniswapEthereum11.7411.6638-0.65%11.29-3.83%0.0018✓1.036.3M2022-03-31
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum64.4263.9956-0.66%63.53-1.38%0.0359✗1.295.1M2022-03-31
GITCOINGITCOIN7.7147.663-0.66%7.189-6.81%0.0162✓1.4222k2022-03-31
UMAUMAEthereum8.0728.0183-0.67%7.803-3.33%0.0151✗1.265.8M2022-03-31
BELBella ProtocolEthereum1.121.1124-0.67%1.212+8.21%0.1310✗1.352.4M2022-03-31
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana9.048.9782-0.68%9.25+2.32%0.0544✗0.732.9M2022-03-31
DODODODOEthereum0.5460.542248-0.69%0.518-5.13%0.0091✓1.093.1M2022-03-31
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.092680.092038-0.69%0.09501+2.51%0.0656✗1.01101k2022-03-31
LUNATerraTerra 2105.96105.2041-0.71%102.96-2.83%0.0231✗1.339.1M2022-03-31
CTSICartesiEthereum0.44690.443685-0.72%0.4674+4.59%0.0949✗1.281.4M2022-03-31
ZECZcashZcash192.01190.6259-0.72%178.39-7.09%0.0352✓0.9315.7M2022-03-31
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum1.521.5089-0.73%1.41-7.24%0.0317✓1.08603k2022-03-31
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.80.794069-0.74%0.82+2.50%0.0827✗1.51363k2022-03-31
COMPCompoundEthereum156.18155.0193-0.74%149.85-4.05%0.0029✓1.1054k2022-03-31
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.59860.594139-0.75%0.5827-2.66%0.0415✗1.822.2M2022-03-31
CHZChilizEthereum0.30090.298651-0.75%0.2832-5.88%0.0146✓1.152.9M2022-03-31
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.08080.080196-0.75%0.0684-15.35%0.1044✓1.6444.1M2022-03-31
LPTLivepeerEthereum30.6930.4598-0.75%27.75-9.58%0.0503✓1.28740k2022-03-31
STORJStorjEthereum1.41721.4063-0.77%1.3386-5.54%0.0126✓1.10125k2022-03-31
CVCCivicEthereum0.37320.370298-0.78%0.3602-3.48%0.0096✗1.11318k2022-03-31
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana7.087.0249-0.78%8.197+15.78%0.1780✗0.711.3M2022-03-31
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana15.8915.7642-0.79%16.52+3.96%0.0624✗0.462.8M2022-03-31
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum3.46793.4404-0.79%3.2595-6.01%0.0283✓0.774.6M2022-03-31
METRONOMEMETRONOME2.69332.6719-0.79%2.8148+4.51%0.0769✗0.7413k2022-03-31
ETCEthereum Classicnative49.6449.2417-0.80%47.48-4.35%0.0020✓1.034.5M2022-03-31
MTLMetal DAOMetal L22.1082.0907-0.82%2.033-3.56%0.0038✓0.952.8M2022-03-31
API3Api3Ethereum5.6425.5951-0.83%5.195-7.92%0.0555✓0.564.6M2022-03-31
ORCAOrcaSolana2.382.36-0.84%2.3-3.36%0.0031✓0.68218k2022-03-31
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana8.178.1012-0.84%7.78-4.77%0.0159✓0.731.8M2022-03-31
SPELLSpellEthereum0.004610.004571-0.85%0.00431-6.51%0.0165✓1.265.7M2022-03-31
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain7.23457.171-0.88%6.8863-4.81%0.0048✓1.0719.8M2022-03-31
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.089350.088564-0.88%0.09183+2.78%0.0627✗0.7924k2022-03-31
SUNSun TokenTron0.0155740.015436-0.89%0.016106+3.42%0.0723✗0.8914k2022-03-31
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain6.3476.2905-0.89%6.061-4.51%0.0236✓0.407.0M2022-03-31
QTUMQtumQtum8.87288.7903-0.93%8.2842-6.63%0.0223✓1.11143k2022-03-31
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.48220.477638-0.95%0.4968+3.03%0.0900✗1.518.9M2022-03-31
DYDXdYdXCosmos6.286.2204-0.95%6.001-4.44%0.0036✓0.9693k2022-03-31
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.035620.035281-0.95%0.03269-8.23%0.0482✓0.84185k2022-03-31
BANDBandEthereum4.9044.8559-0.98%4.893-0.22%0.0444✗1.10606k2022-03-31
AAVEAaveEthereum223.52221.2433-1.02%207-7.39%0.0259✓1.219.7M2022-03-31
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.037930.037531-1.05%0.03531-6.91%0.0109✓1.5052.9M2022-03-31
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.8184260.809609-1.08%0.773803-5.45%0.0101✓1.051.8M2022-03-31
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain1.28581.2711-1.14%1.1908-7.39%0.0244✓1.2215.4M2022-03-31
SNXSynthetixEthereum6.6436.5662-1.16%6.818+2.63%0.0786✗1.234.3M2022-03-31
SKLSKALEEthereum0.22260.220009-1.16%0.2417+8.58%0.1323✗1.142.4M2022-03-31
LRCLoopringEthereum1.26461.2495-1.20%1.1619-8.12%0.0283✓1.33234k2022-03-31
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.6660.655204-1.62%0.609-8.56%0.0375✓1.066.9M2022-03-31
HIGHHighstreetEthereum7.8357.6965-1.77%6.639-15.26%0.1143✓1.002.6M2022-03-31
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum2.112.0703-1.88%2.101-0.43%0.0461✗0.941.3M2022-03-31
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.