8=======>

2022-03-29 · +30d

beta_5y · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 161 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.0464
161 of 161 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+3.27%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
46.0%
in alpha space · 45.3% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-16.25%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (161 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.770.816617+6.05%0.645-16.23%0.0693✗0.941.8M2022-04-28
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.013730.014501+5.61%0.01111-19.08%0.1473✗0.679,6662022-04-28
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.08570.090429+5.52%0.0941+9.80%0.2091✓0.95169k2022-04-28
XYMSymbolnative0.14930.157396+5.42%0.1004-32.75%0.3200✗0.73393k2022-04-28
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana13.9514.6389+4.94%11.03-20.93%0.2125✗0.403.0M2022-04-28
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana6.827.1331+4.59%5.07-25.66%0.2138✗0.721.7M2022-04-28
1INCH1INCHEthereum1.7941.8705+4.26%1.303-27.37%0.1906✗0.96803k2022-04-28
GALAGALAEthereum0.27110.28253+4.22%0.1681-37.99%0.3503✗0.95215k2022-04-28
HIGHHighstreetEthereum6.5036.7765+4.21%4.44-31.72%0.2455✗1.002.2M2022-04-28
DKAdKargoEthereum0.11230.116957+4.15%0.08855-21.15%0.1244✗0.8729k2022-04-28
XEMNEMnative0.12220.127156+4.06%0.0947-22.50%0.1484✗0.8241k2022-04-28
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.04910.051072+4.02%0.04137-15.74%0.0607✗0.8525k2022-04-28
PROPropyEthereum1.61.6609+3.80%1.82+13.75%0.2707✓1.01185k2022-04-28
GLMRMoonbeamBase3.3053.4276+3.71%2.997-9.32%0.0710✓1.16393k2022-04-28
AMPAmpEthereum0.027270.028265+3.65%0.02082-23.65%0.1699✗0.773.1M2022-04-28
GLMGolemEthereum0.55510.575167+3.61%0.3952-28.81%0.1979✗1.001.3M2022-04-28
FIDABonfidaSolana1.9412.011+3.61%1.216-37.35%0.3544✗0.8454k2022-04-28
TRXTRONTron0.0694280.071742+3.33%0.063742-8.19%0.0045✓0.64289k2022-04-28
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV97.8100.9764+3.25%78.22-20.02%0.1186✗0.771.7M2022-04-28
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.28280.291951+3.24%0.2423-14.32%0.0091✓1.00425k2022-04-28
DEXEDeXeEthereum7.087.3088+3.23%6.24-11.86%0.0298✓0.72878k2022-04-28
CBKCobakEthereum2.7072.7935+3.19%2.101-22.39%0.1476✗0.7719k2022-04-28
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum6.1726.3648+3.12%4.655-24.58%0.1375✗0.9994k2022-04-28
GTGateEthereum6.76286.9647+2.99%6.1947-8.40%0.0091✓0.614.3M2022-04-28
DIADIAEthereum1.051.0807+2.92%0.82-21.90%0.2045✗0.40165k2022-04-28
CTSICartesiEthereum0.42240.434685+2.91%0.3076-27.18%0.1177✗1.291.2M2022-04-28
AVTAventusEthereum2.742.8191+2.89%2.14-21.90%0.2025✗0.41373k2022-04-28
BFCBifrostEthereum0.173050.177881+2.79%0.13436-22.36%0.1345✗0.8214k2022-04-28
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum2.762.8353+2.73%2.15-22.10%0.1041✗0.97146k2022-04-28
MASKMask NetworkEthereum5.745.8955+2.71%4.68-18.47%0.0213✓1.42584k2022-04-28
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.86350.884832+2.47%0.6165-28.60%0.1827✗1.017.5M2022-04-28
PHAPHALAEthereum0.2840.290978+2.46%0.261-8.10%0.0342✓0.8128k2022-04-28
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.087280.089401+2.43%0.07015-19.63%0.0623✗1.0299k2022-04-28
BTTCBTTC0.00000210.000002151+2.41%0.00000178-15.24%0.0701✗0.6712.0M2022-04-28
NMRNumeraireEthereum32.7233.4927+2.36%25.11-23.26%0.1287✗0.90676k2022-04-28
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana4.0834.1774+2.31%3.105-23.95%0.1580✗0.782.4M2022-04-28
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum47,265.5048,288.44+2.16%39,816.80-15.76%0.0218✗0.9738k2022-04-28
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.27840.284356+2.14%0.2231-19.86%0.1021✗0.791.8M2022-04-28
MINAMina Protocolnative2.622.6751+2.10%2.01-23.28%0.1046✗1.02497k2022-04-28
STXStacksnative1.451.4804+2.10%1.05-27.59%0.1755✗0.95606k2022-04-28
RADRadworksEthereum5.165.2598+1.93%4.29-16.86%0.0381✗0.93400k2022-04-28
DODODODOEthereum0.5130.522773+1.91%0.364-29.04%0.1672✗1.102.9M2022-04-28
HIVEHivenative1.17961.2015+1.85%0.9069-23.12%0.0901✗1.082.0M2022-04-28
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.24220.246649+1.84%0.1661-31.42%0.2180✗1.001.2M2022-04-28
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum2.932.9833+1.82%1.934-33.99%0.2855✗0.8353k2022-04-28
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.02040.020758+1.75%0.01614-20.88%0.0741✗1.001.7M2022-04-28
LTCLitecoinLitecoin130.08132.3485+1.74%103.33-20.56%0.0684✗1.0126.1M2022-04-28
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.055990.05694+1.70%0.04194-25.09%0.1206✗1.04541k2022-04-28
YFIyearn.financeEthereum23,320.9623,709.61+1.67%17,884.94-23.31%0.0867✗1.105.9M2022-04-28
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.57730.58642+1.58%0.4781-17.18%0.0799✗0.70359k2022-04-28
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.99976.0922+1.54%5.7032-4.94%0.0160✓0.46175k2022-04-28
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.9521.9806+1.46%2.728+39.75%0.4900✓0.962.8M2022-04-28
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000027340.000027732+1.44%0.00002295-16.06%0.0110✓1.132.2M2022-04-28
UOSUltraEthereum1.28581.3042+1.43%0.83392-35.14%0.2170✗1.301.4M2022-04-28
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.16760.169973+1.42%0.135-19.45%0.0498✗1.02211k2022-04-28
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash373.24378.3675+1.37%306.57-17.86%0.0409✗0.968.0M2022-04-28
SUSHISushiEthereum4.224.2777+1.37%2.99-29.15%0.1457✗1.206.7M2022-04-28
AUCTIONBounceEthereum15.9616.1674+1.30%12.15-23.87%0.0788✗1.17788k2022-04-28
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana7.677.7692+1.29%4.72-38.46%0.3679✗0.741.8M2022-04-28
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.1443910.146156+1.22%0.137484-4.78%0.0837✓0.822.6M2022-04-28
XTZTezosTezos3.80043.8427+1.11%2.8059-26.17%0.1275✗1.051.1M2022-04-28
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.92320.93215+0.97%0.6991-24.27%0.1155✗0.9717.2M2022-04-28
CTKShentuOsmosis1.3831.3961+0.95%1.125-18.66%0.0495✗0.942.8M2022-04-28
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.893890.902228+0.93%0.65661-26.54%0.1333✗1.04127k2022-04-28
SNXSynthetixEthereum5.7175.7702+0.93%5.539-3.11%0.1785✓1.243.8M2022-04-28
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.031230.031514+0.91%0.01984-36.47%0.2650✗1.12210k2022-04-28
KSMKusamaHydration184.23185.8563+0.88%157.92-14.28%0.0342✓1.11840k2022-04-28
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana16.0616.195+0.84%11.74-26.90%0.2402✗0.462.8M2022-04-28
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum19.2119.3673+0.82%18.72-2.55%0.1977✓1.312.9M2022-04-28
OGOG Fan TokenSolana4.1254.1568+0.77%3.17-23.15%0.1500✗0.682.7M2022-04-28
COMPCompoundEthereum147.68148.7433+0.72%124.85-15.46%0.0206✓1.1054k2022-04-28
WOOWOOEthereum0.63950.643996+0.70%0.4143-35.22%0.4386✗0.015,0372022-04-28
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.48820.491617+0.70%0.3583-26.61%0.1153✗1.1310.3M2022-04-28
KCSKuCoinnative21.71421.8552+0.65%19.415-10.59%0.0348✓0.865.1M2022-04-28
SCSiacoinnative0.011790.011865+0.63%0.00962-18.41%0.0111✗1.12444k2022-04-28
BELBella ProtocolEthereum1.0651.0716+0.62%0.788-26.01%0.0676✗1.352.4M2022-04-28
ZENHorizenBase49.1149.332+0.45%33.39-32.01%0.1615✗1.29508k2022-04-28
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum1.491.4961+0.41%0.94-36.91%0.2728✗1.08603k2022-04-28
XECeCashnative0.000094360.000094728+0.39%0.00008042-14.77%0.0118✓0.996.3M2022-04-28
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum1.751.7566+0.38%1.295-26.00%0.0667✗1.34433k2022-04-28
UNIUniswapEthereum11.2511.2892+0.35%8.17-27.38%0.1401✗1.036.3M2022-04-28
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.5940.596016+0.34%0.249-58.08%0.5493✗1.822.2M2022-04-28
XLMStellarStellar0.2331240.233633+0.22%0.185847-20.28%0.0567✗0.9718.7M2022-04-28
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum22.1322.1765+0.21%15.13-31.63%0.2106✗0.9715.7M2022-04-28
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.042010.042045+0.08%0.03045-27.52%0.2012✗0.691.1M2022-04-28
CVCCivicEthereum0.35430.354533+0.07%0.2859-19.31%0.0170✗1.12317k2022-04-28
CELLCellframeEthereum1.60891.6088-0.00%0.8041-50.02%0.4512✓1.37199k2022-04-28
GITCOINGITCOIN7.8387.8376-0.01%5.426-30.77%0.1169✓1.4123k2022-04-28
ARPAARPAEthereum0.08610.086088-0.01%0.0618-28.22%0.1263✓1.16337k2022-04-28
API3Api3Ethereum5.7015.6981-0.05%3.981-30.17%0.2600✓0.564.6M2022-04-28
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.088180.088121-0.07%0.07892-10.50%0.0302✗0.7922k2022-04-28
ORCAOrcaSolana2.312.3082-0.08%2-13.42%0.0221✓0.68208k2022-04-28
XVGVergenative0.012010.011999-0.09%0.0093-22.56%0.0482✓1.171.9M2022-04-28
LINKChainlinkEthereum16.9916.9746-0.09%12.65-25.54%0.1147✓1.0126.1M2022-04-28
ADACardanoCardano1.19091.1895-0.11%0.8433-29.19%0.1688✓0.9963.3M2022-04-28
TRBTellor TributesEthereum24.4524.4114-0.16%17.78-27.28%0.0846✓1.31232k2022-04-28
BTCBitcoinBitcoin47,454.1947,359.37-0.20%39,743.22-16.25%0.0020✗1.00729.5M2022-04-28
MOVRMoonriverBase71.438671.279-0.22%50.1181-29.84%0.1116✓1.36166k2022-04-28
QTUMQtumQtum8.35378.3311-0.27%6.0577-27.48%0.1217✓1.11119k2022-04-28
XVSVenusEthereum11.0811.0482-0.29%9.7-12.45%0.0565✗1.053.0M2022-04-28
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana7.217.1849-0.35%6.346-11.98%0.0004✓0.701.3M2022-04-28
METRONOMEMETRONOME2.74312.7325-0.39%2.4202-11.77%0.0103✗0.7413k2022-04-28
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0451040.044922-0.40%0.028143-37.60%0.2982✓0.964.1M2022-04-28
DYDXdYdXCosmos5.7685.7438-0.42%4.394-23.82%0.0969✓0.9693k2022-04-28
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum7.6177.585-0.42%6.25-17.95%0.0151✓1.01451k2022-04-28
MANADecentralandEthereum2.72.6881-0.44%1.8014-33.28%0.2001✓1.131.3M2022-04-28
DOTPolkadotPolkadot22.4422.3197-0.54%16.97-24.38%0.0849✓1.0719.8M2022-04-28
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche92.7992.2637-0.57%67.28-27.49%0.0875✓1.29103.6M2022-04-28
COTICOTIEthereum0.28790.286198-0.59%0.2165-24.80%0.0537✓1.271.8M2022-04-28
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.013760.013673-0.63%0.0082-40.41%0.3013✓1.183.4M2022-04-28
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain4.5924.5625-0.64%3.7969-17.31%0.0840✓0.564.0M2022-04-28
APEApeCoinEthereum13.60413.505-0.73%23.714+74.32%0.7403✗1.00100.0M2022-04-28
QNTQuantEthereum144.61143.506-0.76%100.23-30.69%0.2000✓0.904.2M2022-04-28
ETHEthereumEthereum3,401.713,375.34-0.78%2,935.91-13.69%0.0483✗1.06508.5M2022-04-28
XMRMoneroMonero221.94220.2185-0.78%227.38+2.45%0.1979✗0.941.6M2022-04-28
SOLSolanaSolana111.64110.7187-0.83%98.22-12.02%0.1032✗1.2689.9M2022-04-28
FILFilecoinFilecoin26.3326.1038-0.86%18.1-31.26%0.1802✓1.056.6M2022-04-28
FTTFTXEthereum51.1150.6674-0.87%39.84-22.05%0.0575✓1.0314.1M2022-04-28
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos30.2429.9686-0.90%20.74-31.42%0.1737✓1.1039.5M2022-04-28
RLCiExec RLCEthereum2.32.2781-0.95%1.79-22.17%0.0162✓1.27903k2022-04-28
BICOBiconomyEthereum1.691.6731-1.00%1.18-30.18%0.1346✓1.213.6M2022-04-28
DASHDashDash130.31128.8899-1.09%96.43-26.00%0.1262✓0.921.9M2022-04-28
ASTRAstarEthereum0.1410.139349-1.17%0.155+9.93%0.2067✗0.5725k2022-04-28
CRVCurve DAOEthereum2.812.7766-1.19%2.399-14.63%0.0935✗1.359.1M2022-04-28
IMXImmutableEthereum2.6962.6615-1.28%1.682-37.61%0.2909✓0.956.6M2022-04-28
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.69380.68457-1.33%0.4675-32.62%0.1468✓1.32514k2022-04-28
LCXLCXEthereum0.12380.122097-1.38%0.1112-10.18%0.1240✗1.23602k2022-04-28
STORJStorjEthereum1.3511.3306-1.51%1.0088-25.33%0.0813✓1.10113k2022-04-28
AAVEAaveEthereum222.76219.284-1.56%166.2-25.39%0.0596✓1.239.7M2022-04-28
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana9.18.9558-1.58%5.53-39.23%0.3525✓0.733.0M2022-04-28
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.45890.451558-1.60%0.2721-40.71%0.2385✓1.518.9M2022-04-28
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.780.766222-1.77%0.51-34.62%0.1388✓1.51363k2022-04-28
SUNSun TokenTron0.0146850.014417-1.83%0.013588-7.47%0.1000✗0.9013k2022-04-28
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum5.65665.5493-1.90%4.1471-26.69%0.1316✓0.90264k2022-04-28
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.7299660.715816-1.94%0.815203+11.68%0.3183✗1.061.8M2022-04-28
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.08020.078558-2.05%0.0456-43.14%0.2521✓1.6544.1M2022-04-28
CHZChilizEthereum0.29430.288156-2.09%0.2023-31.26%0.1492✓1.152.9M2022-04-28
LPTLivepeerEthereum29.428.7734-2.13%24.41-16.97%0.0621✗1.28740k2022-04-28
UMAUMAEthereum7.9147.7374-2.23%5.569-29.63%0.1046✓1.266.1M2022-04-28
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum64.1862.6776-2.34%38.03-40.74%0.2707✓1.295.1M2022-04-28
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0367810.035897-2.40%0.026186-28.81%0.1667✓0.84187k2022-04-28
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.38344.2731-2.52%3.58-18.33%0.0655✓0.635.5M2022-04-28
BANDBandEthereum4.5364.4149-2.67%3.509-22.64%0.0339✓1.10606k2022-04-28
LSKLiskEthereum2.61662.5442-2.76%2.0379-22.12%0.0792✓0.80183k2022-04-28
GTCGitcoinEthereum7.97.68-2.78%5.46-30.89%0.0863✓1.44458k2022-04-28
ZECZcashZcash196.15190.5304-2.86%147-25.06%0.0941✓0.9315.7M2022-04-28
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain1.19971.1634-3.02%1.0799-9.99%0.1434✗1.2315.1M2022-04-28
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum3.45613.3425-3.29%5.5268+59.91%0.6389✗0.774.9M2022-04-28
NANOnanopayBase2.4992.4135-3.42%1.9352-22.56%0.0222✓1.12177k2022-04-28
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum1.7271.6662-3.52%1.022-40.82%0.3203✓0.951.3M2022-04-28
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.034520.033299-3.54%0.02003-41.98%0.2398✓1.5149.3M2022-04-28
SPELLSpellEthereum0.00430.004144-3.62%0.00371-13.72%0.1150✗1.275.5M2022-04-28
LRCLoopringEthereum1.29151.2442-3.66%0.8407-34.91%0.1570✓1.33196k2022-04-28
ETCEthereum Classicnative49.347.3556-3.94%31.13-36.86%0.2370✓1.034.5M2022-04-28
SKLSKALEEthereum0.21310.204683-3.95%0.1945-8.73%0.1519✗1.142.4M2022-04-28
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum1.19931.15-4.11%0.4646-61.26%0.8378✓0.39676k2022-04-28
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.5980.568995-4.85%0.522-12.71%0.1040✗1.075.8M2022-04-28
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain6.4436.108-5.20%4.204-34.75%0.3027✓0.408.0M2022-04-28
LUNATerraTerra 2109.12103.0328-5.58%89.05-18.39%0.0902✗1.339.1M2022-04-28
BRISEBitgertEthereum0.0000010899.88e-7-9.24%0.000001083-0.53%0.0084✓-0.471.1M2022-04-28
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain7.47076.5067-12.90%5.556-25.63%0.0303✓1.0623.8M2022-04-28
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.