8=======>

2022-03-29 · +1d

beta_5y · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 161 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.0825
161 of 161 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+1.50%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
23.0%
in alpha space · 30.6% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-0.79%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (161 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
PROPropyEthereum1.61.5998-0.02%1.69+5.62%0.0629✗1.01185k2022-03-30
TRXTRONTron0.0694280.069401-0.04%0.073058+5.23%0.0565✗0.64289k2022-03-30
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.08570.085617-0.10%0.0871+1.63%0.0248✗0.95169k2022-03-30
DIADIAEthereum1.051.049-0.10%1.07+1.90%0.0231✗0.40165k2022-03-30
XYMSymbolnative0.14930.149141-0.11%0.1493+0.00%0.0069✗0.73393k2022-03-30
RADRadworksEthereum5.165.1545-0.11%5.49+6.40%0.0705✗0.93400k2022-03-30
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.99975.9932-0.11%6.0877+1.47%0.0193✗0.46175k2022-03-30
BFCBifrostEthereum0.173050.17285-0.12%0.16978-1.89%0.0114✓0.8214k2022-03-30
FIDABonfidaSolana1.9411.9387-0.12%1.937-0.21%0.0058✗0.8454k2022-03-30
DKAdKargoEthereum0.11230.112168-0.12%0.11481+2.24%0.0302✗0.8729k2022-03-30
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum6.1726.1642-0.13%6.258+1.39%0.0230✗0.9994k2022-03-30
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana13.9513.9314-0.13%13.77-1.29%0.0085✓0.403.0M2022-03-30
PHAPHALAEthereum0.2840.283603-0.14%0.291+2.46%0.0322✗0.8128k2022-03-30
AMPAmpEthereum0.027270.027231-0.14%0.02759+1.17%0.0192✗0.773.1M2022-03-30
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.1443910.144179-0.15%0.142853-1.07%0.0027✓0.822.6M2022-03-30
DEXEDeXeEthereum7.087.0695-0.15%6.85-3.25%0.0258✓0.72878k2022-03-30
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum1.751.7474-0.15%1.793+2.46%0.0365✗1.34433k2022-03-30
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.055990.055905-0.15%0.05567-0.57%0.0041✗1.04541k2022-03-30
GLMGolemEthereum0.55510.554203-0.16%0.5635+1.51%0.0246✗1.001.3M2022-03-30
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.770.768739-0.16%0.818+6.23%0.0696✗0.941.8M2022-03-30
GTGateEthereum6.76286.7515-0.17%6.7657+0.04%0.0069✗0.614.3M2022-03-30
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.57730.576337-0.17%0.5854+1.40%0.0212✗0.70359k2022-03-30
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.087280.08713-0.17%0.09268+6.19%0.0698✗1.0299k2022-03-30
APEApeCoinEthereum13.60413.5802-0.17%14.219+4.52%0.0539✗1.00100.0M2022-03-30
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.24220.241763-0.18%0.2563+5.82%0.0663✗1.001.2M2022-03-30
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.86350.861922-0.18%0.892+3.30%0.0423✗1.017.5M2022-03-30
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.16760.167284-0.19%0.1668-0.48%0.0052✗1.02211k2022-03-30
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.04910.049006-0.19%0.05135+4.58%0.0534✗0.8525k2022-03-30
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.27840.277866-0.19%0.293+5.24%0.0593✗0.791.8M2022-03-30
UOSUltraEthereum1.28581.2833-0.19%1.3034+1.37%0.0259✗1.301.4M2022-03-30
GALAGALAEthereum0.27110.270573-0.19%0.2718+0.26%0.0121✗0.95215k2022-03-30
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.893890.892137-0.20%0.89959+0.64%0.0166✗1.04127k2022-03-30
XECeCashnative0.000094360.000094169-0.20%0.00009555+1.26%0.0224✗0.996.3M2022-03-30
BTTCBTTC0.00000210.000002096-0.20%0.00000212+0.95%0.0169✗0.6712.0M2022-03-30
AUCTIONBounceEthereum15.9615.9271-0.21%16.49+3.32%0.0440✗1.17788k2022-03-30
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.02040.020357-0.21%0.02037-0.15%0.0086✗1.001.7M2022-03-30
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV97.897.5945-0.21%97.98+0.18%0.0101✗0.771.7M2022-03-30
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum47,265.5047,165.57-0.21%47,057.40-0.44%0.0054✗0.9738k2022-03-30
NMRNumeraireEthereum32.7232.65-0.21%31.8-2.81%0.0192✓0.90676k2022-03-30
1INCH1INCHEthereum1.7941.7901-0.22%1.838+2.45%0.0341✗0.96803k2022-03-30
MINAMina Protocolnative2.622.6143-0.22%2.66+1.53%0.0254✗1.02497k2022-03-30
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.013730.0137-0.22%0.01346-1.97%0.0123✓0.679,6662022-03-30
XTZTezosTezos3.80043.7916-0.23%3.8297+0.77%0.0184✗1.051.1M2022-03-30
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.042010.041913-0.23%0.04133-1.62%0.0086✓0.691.1M2022-03-30
WOOWOOEthereum0.63950.637999-0.23%0.68+6.33%0.0639✗0.015,0372022-03-30
STXStacksnative1.451.4466-0.24%1.54+6.21%0.0701✗0.95606k2022-03-30
GITCOINGITCOIN7.8387.8194-0.24%7.714-1.58%0.0023✓1.4123k2022-03-30
CTKShentuOsmosis1.3831.3797-0.24%1.385+0.14%0.0113✗0.942.8M2022-03-30
MANADecentralandEthereum2.72.6935-0.24%2.7035+0.13%0.0127✗1.131.3M2022-03-30
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana6.826.8032-0.25%6.66-2.35%0.0156✓0.721.7M2022-03-30
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash373.24372.3221-0.25%380.29+1.89%0.0288✗0.968.0M2022-03-30
NANOnanopayBase2.4992.4928-0.25%2.5355+1.46%0.0259✗1.12177k2022-03-30
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum19.2119.1616-0.25%19.25+0.21%0.0150✗1.312.9M2022-03-30
HIVEHivenative1.17961.1766-0.25%1.1817+0.18%0.0129✗1.082.0M2022-03-30
DODODODOEthereum0.5130.511685-0.26%0.546+6.43%0.0737✗1.102.9M2022-03-30
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum2.932.9224-0.26%3.072+4.85%0.0566✗0.8353k2022-03-30
SCSiacoinnative0.011790.011759-0.26%0.01247+5.77%0.0676✗1.12444k2022-03-30
LINKChainlinkEthereum16.9916.9457-0.26%17.23+1.41%0.0247✗1.0126.1M2022-03-30
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.92320.920794-0.26%0.9268+0.39%0.0142✗0.9717.2M2022-03-30
BELBella ProtocolEthereum1.0651.0621-0.27%1.12+5.16%0.0638✗1.352.4M2022-03-30
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos30.2430.1585-0.27%30.02-0.73%0.0041✗1.1039.5M2022-03-30
LTCLitecoinLitecoin130.08129.7288-0.27%131.12+0.80%0.0187✗1.0126.1M2022-03-30
TRBTellor TributesEthereum24.4524.3832-0.27%25.48+4.21%0.0544✗1.31232k2022-03-30
CTSICartesiEthereum0.42240.42123-0.28%0.4469+5.80%0.0694✗1.291.2M2022-03-30
XLMStellarStellar0.2331240.232476-0.28%0.234742+0.69%0.0174✗0.9718.7M2022-03-30
MASKMask NetworkEthereum5.745.7239-0.28%5.61-2.26%0.0088✓1.42584k2022-03-30
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.9521.9465-0.28%2.108+7.99%0.0873✗0.962.8M2022-03-30
UNIUniswapEthereum11.2511.2183-0.28%11.74+4.36%0.0537✗1.036.3M2022-03-30
OGOG Fan TokenSolana4.1254.1133-0.28%4.213+2.13%0.0294✗0.682.7M2022-03-30
CBKCobakEthereum2.7072.6993-0.29%2.741+1.26%0.0215✗0.7719k2022-03-30
XEMNEMnative0.12220.12185-0.29%0.1223+0.08%0.0103✗0.8241k2022-03-30
BTCBitcoinBitcoin47,454.1947,316.61-0.29%47,078.03-0.79%0.0029✓1.00729.5M2022-03-30
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0451040.044972-0.29%0.043539-3.47%0.0248✓0.964.1M2022-03-30
HIGHHighstreetEthereum6.5036.484-0.29%7.835+20.48%0.1972✗1.002.2M2022-03-30
LPTLivepeerEthereum29.429.314-0.29%30.69+4.39%0.0560✗1.28740k2022-03-30
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche92.7992.518-0.29%95.57+3.00%0.0427✗1.29103.6M2022-03-30
YFIyearn.financeEthereum23,320.9623,252.53-0.29%24,045.64+3.11%0.0423✗1.105.9M2022-03-30
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.031230.031137-0.30%0.03322+6.37%0.0736✗1.12210k2022-03-30
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.088180.087917-0.30%0.08935+1.33%0.0225✗0.7922k2022-03-30
RLCiExec RLCEthereum2.32.2931-0.30%2.41+4.78%0.0598✗1.27903k2022-03-30
SOLSolanaSolana111.64111.3039-0.30%120.79+8.20%0.0918✗1.2689.9M2022-03-30
QNTQuantEthereum144.61144.1703-0.30%143.18-0.99%0.0002✓0.904.2M2022-03-30
FTTFTXEthereum51.1150.9513-0.31%51.17+0.12%0.0125✗1.0314.1M2022-03-30
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum22.1322.0612-0.31%21.81-1.45%0.0037✓0.9715.7M2022-03-30
ETHEthereumEthereum3,401.713,391.09-0.31%3,386.68-0.44%0.0071✗1.06508.5M2022-03-30
STORJStorjEthereum1.3511.3467-0.31%1.4172+4.90%0.0598✗1.10113k2022-03-30
XVSVenusEthereum11.0811.0448-0.32%11.27+1.71%0.0286✗1.053.0M2022-03-30
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000027340.000027252-0.32%0.00002736+0.07%0.0130✗1.132.2M2022-03-30
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.013760.013715-0.33%0.01386+0.73%0.0199✗1.183.4M2022-03-30
GLMRMoonbeamBase3.3053.2942-0.33%3.313+0.24%0.0149✗1.16393k2022-03-30
ZENHorizenBase49.1148.9491-0.33%49.86+1.53%0.0287✗1.29508k2022-03-30
SNXSynthetixEthereum5.7175.6982-0.33%6.643+16.20%0.1633✗1.243.8M2022-03-30
UMAUMAEthereum7.9147.8879-0.33%8.072+2.00%0.0331✗1.266.1M2022-03-30
XVGVergenative0.012010.01197-0.33%0.01212+0.92%0.0217✗1.171.9M2022-03-30
SUSHISushiEthereum4.224.206-0.33%4.47+5.92%0.0704✗1.206.7M2022-03-30
DOTPolkadotPolkadot22.4422.3642-0.34%22.46+0.09%0.0128✗1.0719.8M2022-03-30
KSMKusamaHydration184.23183.6025-0.34%188.4+2.26%0.0346✗1.11840k2022-03-30
DASHDashDash130.31129.8646-0.34%132.65+1.80%0.0286✗0.921.9M2022-03-30
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.28280.281833-0.34%0.297+5.02%0.0604✗1.00425k2022-03-30
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum7.6177.5909-0.34%7.786+2.22%0.0334✗1.01451k2022-03-30
AVTAventusEthereum2.742.7306-0.34%2.73-0.36%0.0031✓0.41373k2022-03-30
QTUMQtumQtum8.35378.3243-0.35%8.8728+6.21%0.0727✗1.11119k2022-03-30
CVCCivicEthereum0.35430.353008-0.36%0.3732+5.33%0.0645✗1.12317k2022-03-30
KCSKuCoinnative21.71421.6337-0.37%21.318-1.82%0.0078✓0.865.1M2022-03-30
METRONOMEMETRONOME2.74312.7329-0.37%2.6933-1.82%0.0087✓0.7413k2022-03-30
API3Api3Ethereum5.7015.6796-0.38%5.642-1.03%0.0022✓0.564.6M2022-03-30
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum2.762.7496-0.38%2.77+0.36%0.0151✗0.97146k2022-03-30
MOVRMoonriverBase71.438671.1701-0.38%69.3339-2.95%0.0153✓1.36166k2022-03-30
ORCAOrcaSolana2.312.3013-0.38%2.38+3.03%0.0391✗0.68208k2022-03-30
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum1.491.4844-0.38%1.52+2.01%0.0323✗1.08603k2022-03-30
LCXLCXEthereum0.12380.123327-0.38%0.1259+1.70%0.0304✗1.23602k2022-03-30
DYDXdYdXCosmos5.7685.746-0.38%6.28+8.88%0.0965✗0.9693k2022-03-30
GTCGitcoinEthereum7.97.8688-0.40%7.88-0.25%0.0129✗1.44458k2022-03-30
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.69380.691053-0.40%0.6894-0.63%0.0081✗1.32514k2022-03-30
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana4.0834.0668-0.40%3.964-2.91%0.0194✓0.782.4M2022-03-30
ADACardanoCardano1.19091.1862-0.40%1.1906-0.03%0.0116✗0.9963.3M2022-03-30
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana7.677.6395-0.40%8.17+6.52%0.0730✗0.741.8M2022-03-30
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum5.65665.634-0.40%5.69+0.59%0.0170✗0.90264k2022-03-30
LSKLiskEthereum2.61662.6061-0.40%2.6562+1.51%0.0254✗0.80183k2022-03-30
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.38344.3658-0.40%4.3-1.90%0.0102✓0.635.5M2022-03-30
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.48820.486235-0.40%0.4825-1.17%0.0013✓1.1310.3M2022-03-30
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum64.1863.9199-0.41%64.42+0.37%0.0181✗1.295.1M2022-03-30
CELLCellframeEthereum1.60891.6022-0.41%1.47-8.63%0.0753✓1.37199k2022-03-30
BANDBandEthereum4.5364.5169-0.42%4.904+8.11%0.0910✗1.10606k2022-03-30
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana9.19.0617-0.42%9.04-0.66%0.0034✓0.733.0M2022-03-30
BICOBiconomyEthereum1.691.6828-0.43%1.747+3.37%0.0471✗1.213.6M2022-03-30
COMPCompoundEthereum147.68147.0495-0.43%156.18+5.76%0.0690✗1.1054k2022-03-30
SUNSun TokenTron0.0146850.014621-0.44%0.015574+6.05%0.0703✗0.9013k2022-03-30
CRVCurve DAOEthereum2.812.7976-0.44%2.814+0.14%0.0166✗1.359.1M2022-03-30
COTICOTIEthereum0.28790.286618-0.45%0.2868-0.38%0.0108✗1.271.8M2022-03-30
XMRMoneroMonero221.94220.9349-0.45%221.39-0.25%0.0095✗0.941.6M2022-03-30
SPELLSpellEthereum0.00430.00428-0.46%0.00461+7.21%0.0843✗1.275.5M2022-03-30
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.7299660.72653-0.47%0.818426+12.12%0.1276✗1.061.8M2022-03-30
ZECZcashZcash196.15195.2215-0.47%192.01-2.11%0.0092✓0.9315.7M2022-03-30
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain1.19971.194-0.48%1.2858+7.18%0.0839✗1.2315.1M2022-03-30
ARPAARPAEthereum0.08610.085689-0.48%0.0883+2.56%0.0392✗1.16337k2022-03-30
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain4.5924.57-0.48%4.3201-5.92%0.0518✓0.564.0M2022-03-30
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.780.776024-0.51%0.8+2.56%0.0425✗1.51363k2022-03-30
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum3.45613.4383-0.51%3.4679+0.34%0.0147✗0.774.9M2022-03-30
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.08020.079784-0.52%0.0808+0.75%0.0257✗1.6544.1M2022-03-30
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0367810.03659-0.52%0.03562-3.16%0.0202✓0.84187k2022-03-30
ASTRAstarEthereum0.1410.140261-0.52%0.151+7.09%0.0783✗0.5725k2022-03-30
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana16.0615.9727-0.54%15.89-1.06%0.0015✓0.462.8M2022-03-30
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum1.7271.7164-0.61%2.11+22.18%0.2140✗0.951.3M2022-03-30
FILFilecoinFilecoin26.3326.1676-0.62%25.9-1.63%0.0019✓1.056.6M2022-03-30
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.5940.59022-0.64%0.5986+0.77%0.0286✗1.822.2M2022-03-30
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.5980.594144-0.64%0.666+11.37%0.1227✗1.075.8M2022-03-30
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.45890.455873-0.66%0.4822+5.08%0.0682✗1.518.9M2022-03-30
IMXImmutableEthereum2.6962.6779-0.67%2.64-2.08%0.0067✓0.956.6M2022-03-30
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana7.217.1602-0.69%7.08-1.80%0.0057✓0.701.3M2022-03-30
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.034520.034277-0.70%0.03793+9.88%0.1133✗1.5149.3M2022-03-30
CHZChilizEthereum0.29430.292231-0.70%0.3009+2.24%0.0384✗1.152.9M2022-03-30
LUNATerraTerra 2109.12108.347-0.71%105.96-2.90%0.0117✓1.339.1M2022-03-30
BRISEBitgertEthereum0.0000010890.000001081-0.72%9.33e-7-14.28%0.1506✓-0.471.1M2022-03-30
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain6.4436.3953-0.74%6.347-1.49%0.0044✓0.408.0M2022-03-30
ETCEthereum Classicnative49.348.8693-0.87%49.64+0.69%0.0238✗1.034.5M2022-03-30
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum1.19931.1862-1.09%1.0802-9.93%0.0905✓0.39676k2022-03-30
AAVEAaveEthereum222.76220.3023-1.10%223.52+0.34%0.0243✗1.239.7M2022-03-30
SKLSKALEEthereum0.21310.210576-1.18%0.2226+4.46%0.0646✗1.142.4M2022-03-30
LRCLoopringEthereum1.29151.2737-1.38%1.2646-2.08%0.0033✓1.33196k2022-03-30
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain7.47077.3644-1.42%7.2345-3.16%0.0094✓1.0623.8M2022-03-30
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.