8=======>

2022-03-19 · +1d

beta_5y · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 161 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.1732
161 of 161 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+4.99%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
48.4%
in alpha space · 72.5% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-2.24%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (161 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.51820.516773-0.28%0.5158-0.46%0.0151✗0.75399k2022-03-20
ASTRAstarEthereum0.110.109672-0.30%0.106-3.64%0.0220✓0.5334k2022-03-20
LEOLEO TokenEthereum6.0546.0342-0.33%6.0638+0.16%0.0142✗0.41181k2022-03-20
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum2.42.3921-0.33%2.35-2.08%0.0043✗0.98146k2022-03-20
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum5.2845.2663-0.34%5.461+3.35%0.0578✗0.9578k2022-03-20
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.041490.041349-0.34%0.04113-0.87%0.0138✗0.8424k2022-03-20
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.012390.012347-0.35%0.0125+0.89%0.0283✗0.719,3002022-03-20
XEMNEMnative0.10110.100743-0.35%0.0995-1.58%0.0067✗0.8439k2022-03-20
TRXTRONTron0.0619210.061699-0.36%0.061551-0.60%0.0120✗0.64259k2022-03-20
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV83.3383.0296-0.36%85.03+2.04%0.0409✗0.761.0M2022-03-20
DIADIAEthereum0.940.936504-0.37%0.94+0.00%0.0121✗0.37271k2022-03-20
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.6540.651558-0.37%0.64-2.14%0.0026✓0.912.1M2022-03-20
CRVCurve DAOEthereum2.2862.2774-0.38%2.15-5.95%0.0273✓1.349.5M2022-03-20
XYMSymbolnative0.1370.13648-0.38%0.1358-0.88%0.0127✗0.78296k2022-03-20
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.034530.034395-0.39%0.04486+29.92%0.2820✗0.72895k2022-03-20
GTGateEthereum6.32146.2963-0.40%6.4475+1.99%0.0383✗0.643.3M2022-03-20
RADRadworksEthereum4.694.6711-0.40%4.85+3.41%0.0575✗0.88521k2022-03-20
LCXLCXEthereum0.08860.088236-0.41%0.0911+2.82%0.0596✗1.22522k2022-03-20
BTCBitcoinBitcoin42,232.2642,056.44-0.42%41,287.24-2.24%0.0042✓1.00688.5M2022-03-20
YFIyearn.financeEthereum20,673.7920,587.07-0.42%19,923.17-3.63%0.0085✓1.075.7M2022-03-20
FTTFTXEthereum44.9244.7297-0.42%44.03-1.98%0.0076✗1.0314.4M2022-03-20
COMPCompoundEthereum118.78118.2689-0.43%116.01-2.33%0.0070✗1.1646k2022-03-20
CBKCobakEthereum2.2492.2392-0.43%2.227-0.98%0.0122✗0.7821k2022-03-20
BTTCBTTC0.000001870.000001862-0.44%0.00000182-2.67%0.0087✓0.6212.5M2022-03-20
SOLSolanaSolana92.3991.9787-0.45%88.64-4.06%0.0086✓1.2592.9M2022-03-20
TRBTellor TributesEthereum20.5620.4685-0.45%19.62-4.57%0.0124✓1.32246k2022-03-20
ADACardanoCardano0.9030.898963-0.45%0.879-2.66%0.0003✓1.0164.1M2022-03-20
DASHDashDash103.03102.5653-0.45%115.63+12.23%0.1427✗1.011.7M2022-03-20
STORJStorjEthereum1.09891.094-0.45%1.0804-1.68%0.0138✗1.16128k2022-03-20
ETHEthereumEthereum2,952.162,938.78-0.45%2,862.44-3.04%0.0027✓1.04501.7M2022-03-20
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.1236350.123068-0.46%0.119124-3.65%0.0142✓0.812.7M2022-03-20
XLMStellarStellar0.200540.199604-0.47%0.197329-1.60%0.0110✗0.9918.9M2022-03-20
HIVEHivenative0.93240.92803-0.47%0.9064-2.79%0.0018✓1.122.1M2022-03-20
DKAdKargoEthereum0.096510.096055-0.47%0.09509-1.47%0.0098✗0.8829k2022-03-20
XVSVenusEthereum9.149.0967-0.47%8.96-1.97%0.0084✗1.043.0M2022-03-20
DEXEDeXeEthereum6.36.2699-0.48%6.71+6.51%0.0848✗0.75822k2022-03-20
LTCLitecoinLitecoin116.82116.2611-0.48%114.88-1.66%0.0107✗1.0025.9M2022-03-20
KCSKuCoinnative18.63118.5413-0.48%18.205-2.29%0.0020✓0.906.5M2022-03-20
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.75090.7472-0.49%0.7517+0.11%0.0283✗0.996.9M2022-03-20
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.76510.761322-0.49%0.7418-3.05%0.0032✓1.0016.8M2022-03-20
XECeCashnative0.000083210.000082798-0.49%0.00007941-4.57%0.0202✓0.954.7M2022-03-20
XVGVergenative0.009670.009622-0.49%0.00932-3.62%0.0059✓1.151.6M2022-03-20
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.25360.252336-0.50%0.2472-2.52%0.0019✓0.832.3M2022-03-20
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.41090.408848-0.50%0.3905-4.96%0.0190✓1.198.8M2022-03-20
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum17.6217.5307-0.51%16.77-4.82%0.0216✓1.0014.5M2022-03-20
COTICOTIEthereum0.21150.210422-0.51%0.2056-2.79%0.0060✗1.291.8M2022-03-20
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana13.1713.1027-0.51%12.86-2.35%0.0092✓0.423.0M2022-03-20
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.012140.012078-0.51%0.01172-3.46%0.0024✓1.223.1M2022-03-20
QTUMQtumQtum6.35446.3218-0.51%6.9787+9.82%0.1245✗1.1397k2022-03-20
DOTPolkadotPolkadot19.4219.3196-0.52%18.66-3.91%0.0104✓1.0824.4M2022-03-20
LINKChainlinkEthereum15.0114.9316-0.52%14.56-3.00%0.0012✓1.0636.5M2022-03-20
FILFilecoinFilecoin18.2118.1142-0.53%17.65-3.08%0.0040✓0.976.1M2022-03-20
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.051480.051208-0.53%0.04968-3.50%0.0056✓1.09459k2022-03-20
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.1550.154177-0.53%0.1522-1.81%0.0106✗1.04215k2022-03-20
PHAPHALAEthereum0.2390.237732-0.53%0.244+2.09%0.0444✗0.8136k2022-03-20
AVTAventusEthereum2.152.1385-0.53%2.43+13.02%0.1375✗0.43309k2022-03-20
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.7660.7619-0.54%0.7809+1.95%0.0326✗0.35651k2022-03-20
SCSiacoinnative0.009810.009757-0.54%0.00918-6.42%0.0361✓1.10441k2022-03-20
PROPropyEthereum1.531.5218-0.54%1.72+12.42%0.1462✗1.05228k2022-03-20
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.07610.075692-0.54%0.0748-1.71%0.0095✗0.94146k2022-03-20
STXStacksnative1.321.3128-0.54%1.26-4.55%0.0199✓0.94463k2022-03-20
QNTQuantEthereum119.96119.305-0.55%118.64-1.10%0.0153✗0.924.4M2022-03-20
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.45420.451713-0.55%0.4472-1.54%0.0189✗1.28433k2022-03-20
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.026980.026832-0.55%0.02543-5.74%0.0293✓1.08281k2022-03-20
CHZChilizEthereum0.21140.210232-0.55%0.2035-3.74%0.0064✓1.162.3M2022-03-20
XTZTezosTezos3.25773.2396-0.55%3.3362+2.41%0.0541✗1.091.1M2022-03-20
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.840220.835485-0.56%0.82107-2.28%0.0079✗1.12111k2022-03-20
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.073840.073422-0.57%0.0749+1.44%0.0380✗0.809,2172022-03-20
SUSHISushiEthereum3.363.341-0.57%3.24-3.57%0.0043✓1.176.0M2022-03-20
GALAGALAEthereum0.24930.247885-0.57%0.2332-6.46%0.0384✓1.00180k2022-03-20
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash328.01326.124-0.57%327.61-0.12%0.0257✗0.946.6M2022-03-20
KSMKusamaHydration146.84145.9951-0.58%152.19+3.64%0.0671✗1.13671k2022-03-20
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum42,269.5042,024.55-0.58%41,609.40-1.56%0.0118✗0.9652k2022-03-20
AAVEAaveEthereum157.26156.3379-0.59%152.83-2.82%0.0063✗1.287.4M2022-03-20
XMRMoneroMonero197.76196.5991-0.59%194.71-1.54%0.0115✗0.941.7M2022-03-20
CTKShentuOsmosis1.2851.2775-0.59%1.194-7.08%0.0452✓0.992.9M2022-03-20
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.8630.857854-0.60%0.847-1.85%0.0173✗1.332.0M2022-03-20
AMPAmpEthereum0.026950.026789-0.60%0.02552-5.31%0.0316✓0.752.7M2022-03-20
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.8754.8455-0.60%4.965+1.85%0.0393✗0.66593k2022-03-20
UNIUniswapEthereum9.749.6806-0.61%9.33-4.21%0.0138✓1.026.1M2022-03-20
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.35410.351932-0.61%0.3394-4.15%0.0031✓1.4710.2M2022-03-20
LSKLiskEthereum2.17592.1626-0.61%2.1435-1.49%0.0093✗0.80123k2022-03-20
SGBSongbirdnative0.06750.067085-0.61%0.0642-4.89%0.0213✓1.00276k2022-03-20
MINAMina Protocolnative2.162.1467-0.62%2.12-1.85%0.0109✗1.04354k2022-03-20
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum2.7132.6963-0.62%2.623-3.32%0.0049✓1.0052k2022-03-20
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.931.918-0.62%1.88-2.59%0.0091✗1.291.2M2022-03-20
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.44450.441701-0.63%0.4042-9.07%0.0453✓1.922.1M2022-03-20
NMRNumeraireEthereum29.0628.876-0.63%29.09+0.10%0.0280✗0.91821k2022-03-20
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche89.5889.0109-0.64%84.85-5.28%0.0182✓1.31119.2M2022-03-20
UOSUltraEthereum1.15651.1491-0.64%1.119-3.24%0.0027✓1.292.1M2022-03-20
1INCH1INCHEthereum1.6351.6246-0.64%1.555-4.89%0.0210✓1.00639k2022-03-20
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.074650.074172-0.64%0.07518+0.71%0.0377✗1.0754k2022-03-20
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos28.6528.4653-0.64%27.83-2.86%0.0029✓1.1241.1M2022-03-20
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana6.426.3785-0.65%6.14-4.36%0.0221✓0.711.0M2022-03-20
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.5477940.544249-0.65%0.549424+0.30%0.0332✗1.051.7M2022-03-20
SUNSun TokenTron0.0122330.012154-0.65%0.01417+15.83%0.1746✗0.9311k2022-03-20
BFCBifrostEthereum0.154410.153398-0.66%0.15317-0.80%0.0180✗0.8614k2022-03-20
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum1.511.5-0.66%1.444-4.37%0.0072✓1.36498k2022-03-20
ZENHorizenBase41.9941.7088-0.67%41.02-2.31%0.0130✗1.31261k2022-03-20
SKLSKALEEthereum0.13180.130914-0.67%0.1247-5.39%0.0219✓1.182.1M2022-03-20
GLMGolemEthereum0.48220.478948-0.67%0.4956+2.78%0.0568✗1.001.6M2022-03-20
CVCCivicEthereum0.29860.296525-0.69%0.2994+0.27%0.0354✗1.14183k2022-03-20
MOVRMoonriverBase56.506256.1134-0.70%59.6685+5.60%0.0921✗1.36154k2022-03-20
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.19494.1657-0.70%4.2046+0.23%0.0242✗0.664.1M2022-03-20
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.6391.6276-0.70%1.566-4.45%0.0161✓0.992.1M2022-03-20
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0194850.019347-0.71%0.024805+27.30%0.2667✗0.81167k2022-03-20
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum6.5236.4768-0.71%6.218-4.68%0.0181✓1.00475k2022-03-20
NANOnanopayBase2.27022.2539-0.72%2.21-2.65%0.0062✓1.14127k2022-03-20
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.7793.7516-0.72%3.8011+0.58%0.0270✗0.613.8M2022-03-20
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana8.098.0307-0.73%7.97-1.48%0.0084✗0.712.1M2022-03-20
BANDBandEthereum3.813.7817-0.74%3.584-5.93%0.0285✓1.11631k2022-03-20
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.22850.226793-0.75%0.2322+1.62%0.0462✗1.00352k2022-03-20
SPELLSpellEthereum0.00360.003573-0.75%0.00365+1.39%0.0533✗1.415.2M2022-03-20
ORCAOrcaSolana2.132.114-0.75%2.15+0.94%0.0324✗0.69180k2022-03-20
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana6.436.3814-0.76%6.31-1.87%0.0052✓0.731.6M2022-03-20
UMAUMAEthereum7.6897.6309-0.76%7.574-1.50%0.0218✗1.306.0M2022-03-20
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.333.3047-0.76%3.301-0.87%0.0154✗0.73789k2022-03-20
DODODODOEthereum0.4350.431655-0.77%0.419-3.68%0.0047✓1.112.8M2022-03-20
MANADecentralandEthereum2.5082.4885-0.78%2.3992-4.34%0.0101✓1.171.4M2022-03-20
FIDABonfidaSolana1.7181.7045-0.79%1.647-4.13%0.0161✓0.8150k2022-03-20
CELLCellframeEthereum1.50321.4913-0.79%1.4713-2.12%0.0188✗1.43236k2022-03-20
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum52.0551.6348-0.80%49.87-4.19%0.0064✓1.254.8M2022-03-20
DYDXdYdXCosmos5.2615.2177-0.82%4.884-7.17%0.0451✓0.93102k2022-03-20
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000024160.000023959-0.83%0.00002312-4.30%0.0091✓1.172.5M2022-03-20
GLMRMoonbeamBase2.852.8263-0.83%2.68-5.96%0.0270✓1.15514k2022-03-20
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum16.4316.2928-0.83%15.84-3.59%0.0011✓1.302.3M2022-03-20
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana12.4312.3261-0.84%12.22-1.69%0.0029✓0.511.5M2022-03-20
ARPAARPAEthereum0.0720.071394-0.84%0.0705-2.08%0.0143✗1.19352k2022-03-20
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum4.70924.6692-0.85%4.8674+3.36%0.0630✗0.95204k2022-03-20
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.24180.239742-0.85%0.2275-5.91%0.0298✓1.001.8M2022-03-20
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0421970.041824-0.88%0.040072-5.04%0.0212✓0.954.6M2022-03-20
LUNATerraTerra 292.191.266-0.91%90.43-1.81%0.0222✗1.399.1M2022-03-20
CTSICartesiEthereum0.35580.35253-0.92%0.3429-3.63%0.0023✓1.32907k2022-03-20
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.660.653925-0.92%0.64-3.03%0.0125✗1.50511k2022-03-20
LPTLivepeerEthereum27.7127.4485-0.94%26.24-5.30%0.0160✓1.28735k2022-03-20
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain5.8955.8384-0.96%6.238+5.82%0.0771✗0.484.5M2022-03-20
MASKMask NetworkEthereum4.654.6052-0.96%4.45-4.30%0.0024✓1.41361k2022-03-20
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum3.32863.2962-0.97%3.2419-2.60%0.0017✓0.814.1M2022-03-20
ZECZcashZcash179.68177.9319-0.97%174.15-3.08%0.0005✓0.9712.5M2022-03-20
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.88040.871372-1.03%0.9266+5.25%0.0892✗1.234.4M2022-03-20
OGOG Fan TokenSolana3.7593.7204-1.03%4.103+9.15%0.1123✗0.64650k2022-03-20
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.0660.065284-1.08%0.0662+0.30%0.0530✗1.7343.9M2022-03-20
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum1.211.1965-1.12%1.12-7.44%0.0430✓1.02522k2022-03-20
BICOBiconomyEthereum1.5881.5696-1.16%1.465-7.75%0.0402✓1.273.5M2022-03-20
GITCOINGITCOIN7.0166.9346-1.16%6.486-7.55%0.0361✓1.3625k2022-03-20
SNXSynthetixEthereum5.1735.1129-1.16%5.219+0.89%0.0496✗1.282.4M2022-03-20
WOOWOOEthereum0.5930.585998-1.18%0.6004+1.25%0.0469✗1.005,0542022-03-20
BRISEBitgertEthereum0.0000011960.000001181-1.19%0.00000118-1.32%0.0114✓-0.451.7M2022-03-20
METRONOMEMETRONOME2.20052.1734-1.23%2.1688-1.44%0.0142✗0.7213k2022-03-20
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain9.13689.0128-1.36%9.2007+0.70%0.0433✗1.0049.7M2022-03-20
ETCEthereum Classicnative33.9933.4997-1.44%38.21+12.42%0.1542✗1.003.8M2022-03-20
API3Api3Ethereum5.024.9359-1.68%4.773-4.92%0.0193✓0.637.4M2022-03-20
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum1.5121.485-1.78%1.437-4.96%0.0101✓1.001.3M2022-03-20
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.020610.020222-1.88%0.01861-9.70%0.0599✓1.021.3M2022-03-20
LRCLoopringEthereum0.9360.917843-1.94%0.8221-12.17%0.0796✓1.35100k2022-03-20
GTCGitcoinEthereum7.036.8913-1.97%6.49-7.68%0.0288✓1.38447k2022-03-20
IMXImmutableEthereum2.0842.0366-2.28%2.186+4.89%0.0932✗0.993.6M2022-03-20
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.036020.035127-2.48%0.03255-9.63%0.0386✓1.6613.0M2022-03-20
AUCTIONBounceEthereum22.5121.7257-3.48%17.35-22.92%0.1987✓1.16397k2022-03-20
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.6980.672958-3.59%0.814+16.62%0.2172✗1.192.0M2022-03-20
HIGHHighstreetEthereum7.447.1213-4.28%5.692-23.49%0.2014✓1.00417k2022-03-20
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.