8=======>

2022-03-03 · +1d

beta_5y · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 153 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.1294
153 of 153 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+2.19%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
18.3%
in alpha space · 91.4% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-7.77%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (153 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV83.4583.3693-0.10%79.36-4.90%0.0185✗0.84908k2022-03-04
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.015250.015223-0.17%0.01443-5.38%0.0701✗1.5312.7M2022-03-04
ADACardanoCardano0.90210.900428-0.19%0.845-6.33%0.0259✗1.1194.8M2022-03-04
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum5.2315.2202-0.21%4.97-4.99%0.0294✗0.9771k2022-03-04
AAVEAaveEthereum129.96129.6876-0.21%124.3-4.36%0.0659✗1.346.8M2022-03-04
SOLSolanaSolana95.6195.3898-0.23%88.32-7.62%0.0238✗1.25127.4M2022-03-04
MINAMina Protocolnative2.042.0353-0.23%2.02-0.98%0.0877✗1.18354k2022-03-04
MASKMask NetworkEthereum4.424.4095-0.24%4.05-8.37%0.0349✗1.48471k2022-03-04
1INCH1INCHEthereum1.4371.4335-0.24%1.348-6.19%0.0268✗1.09931k2022-03-04
AUCTIONBounceEthereum13.3213.2875-0.24%12.38-7.06%0.0233✗1.16312k2022-03-04
SCSiacoinnative0.009020.008998-0.25%0.00847-6.10%0.0396✗1.24563k2022-03-04
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.0720.071821-0.25%0.0671-6.81%0.0149✗1.02157k2022-03-04
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.039670.039571-0.25%0.03781-4.69%0.0333✗0.9729k2022-03-04
DASHDashDash96.7596.5032-0.26%89.59-7.40%0.0173✗1.131.5M2022-03-04
CRVCurve DAOEthereum2.5082.5015-0.26%2.252-10.21%0.0124✗1.4513.2M2022-03-04
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash315.29314.4771-0.26%290.67-7.81%0.0006✓0.977.3M2022-03-04
NANOnanopayBase1.8681.8632-0.26%1.7529-6.16%0.0354✗1.19177k2022-03-04
TRXTRONTron0.0600320.059876-0.26%0.058264-2.95%0.0350✗0.77307k2022-03-04
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.71130.709415-0.27%0.65401-8.05%0.0278✗1.35200k2022-03-04
ASTRAstarEthereum0.1180.117678-0.27%0.105-11.02%0.0711✓0.5344k2022-03-04
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.55010.548594-0.27%0.5292-3.80%0.0355✗0.88561k2022-03-04
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.95192.9437-0.28%3.0093+1.94%0.0934✗0.882.4M2022-03-04
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.36470.363685-0.28%0.34-6.77%0.0430✗1.378.7M2022-03-04
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum42,572.6042,453.97-0.28%39,591.90-7.00%0.0088✗0.9759k2022-03-04
XECeCashnative0.000074490.000074281-0.28%0.00007061-5.21%0.0376✗1.094.5M2022-03-04
STORJStorjEthereum1.04761.0447-0.28%0.94943-9.37%0.0097✗1.30175k2022-03-04
XLMStellarStellar0.1879010.187369-0.28%0.17606-6.30%0.0249✗1.0819.8M2022-03-04
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum2.382.3732-0.29%2.22-6.72%0.0137✗1.00254k2022-03-04
XYMSymbolnative0.1460.145579-0.29%0.1405-3.77%0.0290✗0.80296k2022-03-04
FILFilecoinFilecoin20.1320.0712-0.29%18.82-6.51%0.0252✗1.119.1M2022-03-04
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.012360.012324-0.29%0.01211-2.02%0.0461✗0.7913k2022-03-04
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.79670.794352-0.29%0.7605-4.54%0.0470✗1.1219.9M2022-03-04
CTKShentuOsmosis1.1741.1705-0.30%1.114-5.11%0.0458✗1.182.9M2022-03-04
TRBTellor TributesEthereum19.7719.7115-0.30%18.21-7.89%0.0375✗1.44325k2022-03-04
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.2950.294116-0.30%0.274-7.12%0.0357✗1.322.2M2022-03-04
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum14.314.2571-0.30%15.26+6.71%0.1858✗1.462.2M2022-03-04
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.62065.6037-0.30%5.5379-1.47%0.0131✗0.31335k2022-03-04
ETHEthereumEthereum2,833.662,825.12-0.30%2,623.07-7.43%0.0098✗1.04561.7M2022-03-04
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.8520.849413-0.30%0.78-8.45%0.0260✗1.382.4M2022-03-04
GITCOINGITCOIN6.3636.3436-0.30%5.851-8.05%0.0301✗1.3726k2022-03-04
AMPAmpEthereum0.027530.027446-0.30%0.0266-3.38%0.0305✗0.774.0M2022-03-04
CTSICartesiEthereum0.3810.379837-0.31%0.35-8.14%0.0364✗1.461.3M2022-03-04
COTICOTIEthereum0.22830.227589-0.31%0.209-8.45%0.0327✗1.462.5M2022-03-04
UNIUniswapEthereum9.559.5201-0.31%8.81-7.75%0.0167✗1.179.6M2022-03-04
DOTPolkadotPolkadot18.0317.9736-0.31%16.79-6.88%0.0300✗1.2127.0M2022-03-04
CBKCobakEthereum2.2122.2051-0.31%2.134-3.53%0.0421✗0.9326k2022-03-04
XVSVenusEthereum9.349.3104-0.32%8.58-8.14%0.0180✗1.233.6M2022-03-04
LTCLitecoinLitecoin111.69111.3338-0.32%101.05-9.53%0.0083✓1.1029.3M2022-03-04
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.2490.248199-0.32%0.235-5.62%0.0197✗0.922.0M2022-03-04
KSMKusamaHydration131.9131.474-0.32%120.67-8.51%0.0076✗1.15953k2022-03-04
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.5346190.532891-0.32%0.495114-7.39%0.0184✗1.142.8M2022-03-04
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche78.4978.2355-0.32%75.82-3.40%0.0873✗1.47120.2M2022-03-04
DEXEDeXeEthereum6.426.399-0.33%6.1-4.98%0.0010✓0.581.2M2022-03-04
XVGVergenative0.010010.009977-0.33%0.00944-5.69%0.0458✗1.251.4M2022-03-04
FTTFTXEthereum44.8644.7114-0.33%40.5-9.72%0.0125✓1.0720.8M2022-03-04
COMPCompoundEthereum116.89116.5013-0.33%108.79-6.93%0.0306✗1.2364k2022-03-04
OGOG Fan TokenSolana2.9412.9312-0.33%2.877-2.18%0.0512✗0.86457k2022-03-04
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.1295790.129142-0.34%0.122392-5.55%0.0224✗0.943.7M2022-03-04
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.36870.367452-0.34%0.3464-6.05%0.0756✗1.6714.6M2022-03-04
SKLSKALEEthereum0.12210.121687-0.34%0.1169-4.26%0.0648✗1.303.2M2022-03-04
BTCBitcoinBitcoin42,464.4142,320.22-0.34%39,166.51-7.77%0.0034✗1.00645.2M2022-03-04
GTGateEthereum6.79496.7717-0.34%6.6818-1.66%0.0425✗0.692.8M2022-03-04
GTCGitcoinEthereum6.346.3178-0.35%5.82-8.20%0.0302✗1.39909k2022-03-04
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.7140.71149-0.35%0.69-3.36%0.0546✗1.062.6M2022-03-04
LINKChainlinkEthereum14.8914.8376-0.35%13.74-7.72%0.0185✗1.1850.4M2022-03-04
DODODODOEthereum0.4480.44641-0.35%0.412-8.04%0.0238✗1.294.2M2022-03-04
DYDXdYdXCosmos5.5845.5641-0.36%5-10.46%0.0217✓1.05179k2022-03-04
BFCBifrostEthereum0.161470.160889-0.36%0.15063-6.71%0.0217✗1.0821k2022-03-04
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.49430.492521-0.36%0.4504-8.88%0.0239✗1.40465k2022-03-04
MOVRMoonriverBase66.587866.3479-0.36%60.2327-9.54%0.0148✗1.38231k2022-03-04
YFIyearn.financeEthereum21,698.8621,620.67-0.36%19,859.01-8.48%0.0060✓0.986.1M2022-03-04
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.75960.756857-0.36%0.71-6.53%0.0247✗1.109.7M2022-03-04
SUSHISushiEthereum3.33.288-0.37%3.04-7.88%0.0230✗1.256.6M2022-03-04
KCSKuCoinnative19.52619.4543-0.37%18.238-6.60%0.0158✗0.999.1M2022-03-04
QTUMQtumQtum6.39226.3687-0.37%5.9254-7.30%0.0356✗1.33257k2022-03-04
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.4184.4016-0.37%4.438+0.45%0.0768✗0.85453k2022-03-04
LRCLoopringEthereum0.78640.783457-0.37%0.7354-6.49%0.0525✗1.43238k2022-03-04
ZENHorizenBase38.1838.0307-0.39%33.61-11.97%0.0078✓1.43280k2022-03-04
CVCCivicEthereum0.28240.281289-0.39%0.2623-7.12%0.0345✗1.29284k2022-03-04
HIVEHivenative0.97960.975744-0.39%0.9048-7.64%0.0173✗1.152.1M2022-03-04
SNXSynthetixEthereum3.8083.7927-0.40%3.618-4.99%0.0538✗1.252.1M2022-03-04
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.069830.069548-0.40%0.06438-7.80%0.0223✗1.2364k2022-03-04
STXStacksnative1.211.2051-0.40%1.11-8.26%0.0139✗1.19552k2022-03-04
CHZChilizEthereum0.19710.196295-0.41%0.1952-0.96%0.1038✗1.352.7M2022-03-04
XMRMoneroMonero172.04171.334-0.41%159.78-7.13%0.0108✗1.001.3M2022-03-04
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum1.4791.4729-0.42%1.358-8.18%0.0349✗1.44797k2022-03-04
LCXLCXEthereum0.0950.094602-0.42%0.0851-10.42%0.0145✗1.49613k2022-03-04
ARPAARPAEthereum0.07250.072196-0.42%0.0692-4.55%0.0631✗1.301.0M2022-03-04
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum4.26364.2457-0.42%3.9678-6.94%0.0243✗1.14244k2022-03-04
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana5.385.3572-0.42%5.38+0.00%0.0744✗0.87566k2022-03-04
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.15590.155235-0.43%0.1472-5.58%0.0303✗1.03366k2022-03-04
SPELLSpellEthereum0.004560.00454-0.43%0.004-12.28%0.0045✗1.627.7M2022-03-04
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.5231.5165-0.43%1.413-7.22%0.0233✗1.162.0M2022-03-04
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.851.842-0.43%1.72-7.03%0.0430✗1.382.0M2022-03-04
XTZTezosTezos3.39373.379-0.43%3.0789-9.28%0.0105✗1.281.8M2022-03-04
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0202580.02017-0.44%0.018594-8.21%0.0121✓0.86135k2022-03-04
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.012.9968-0.44%2.7326-9.22%0.0114✓1.0014.1M2022-03-04
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.018770.018687-0.44%0.01761-6.18%0.0299✗1.102.2M2022-03-04
XEMNEMnative0.10290.10244-0.45%0.096-6.71%0.0138✗0.9740k2022-03-04
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum1.241.2343-0.46%1.17-5.65%0.0300✗1.03782k2022-03-04
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana2.8822.8685-0.47%2.883+0.03%0.0773✗0.89239k2022-03-04
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.034350.034186-0.48%0.03451+0.47%0.0788✗0.861.1M2022-03-04
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana6.336.2998-0.48%6.27-0.95%0.0673✗0.89486k2022-03-04
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain2.952.9359-0.48%3.0177+2.29%0.0977✗0.873.6M2022-03-04
MANADecentralandEthereum2.63682.6241-0.48%2.4781-6.02%0.0379✗1.183.2M2022-03-04
DKAdKargoEthereum0.093370.092917-0.48%0.08893-4.76%0.0401✗1.0442k2022-03-04
LPTLivepeerEthereum25.1825.0572-0.49%22.86-9.21%0.0180✗1.361.4M2022-03-04
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum53.3153.0485-0.49%49.7-6.77%0.0402✗1.306.5M2022-03-04
BTTCBTTC0.00000190.000001891-0.49%0.00000183-3.68%0.0213✗0.6713.5M2022-03-04
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000025070.000024945-0.50%0.00002353-6.14%0.0435✗1.263.9M2022-03-04
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.050730.050477-0.50%0.04735-6.66%0.0328✗1.20641k2022-03-04
ETCEthereum Classicnative30.2530.099-0.50%27.63-8.66%0.0006✓1.075.3M2022-03-04
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.011990.01193-0.50%0.01111-7.34%0.0397✗1.372.9M2022-03-04
QNTQuantEthereum127.04126.3995-0.50%118.5-6.72%0.0132✗0.966.3M2022-03-04
DIADIAEthereum1.051.0445-0.52%0.97-7.62%0.0539✓0.25279k2022-03-04
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.8732.8578-0.53%3.317+15.45%0.2134✗0.80864k2022-03-04
NMRNumeraireEthereum30.0529.8905-0.53%28.68-4.56%0.0352✗0.951.5M2022-03-04
ZECZcashZcash129.17128.4831-0.53%117.05-9.38%0.0050✓1.097.4M2022-03-04
IMXImmutableEthereum1.461.4522-0.53%1.32-9.59%0.0113✓1.043.4M2022-03-04
SUNSun TokenTron0.0119530.011887-0.55%0.011391-4.70%0.0411✗1.0414k2022-03-04
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum19.9719.8575-0.56%17.62-11.77%0.0277✓1.1420.0M2022-03-04
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.02830.02814-0.57%0.0277-2.12%0.0906✗1.32503k2022-03-04
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.720.715914-0.57%0.65-9.72%0.0415✗1.71988k2022-03-04
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana16.4216.3264-0.57%17.4+5.97%0.1211✗0.712.6M2022-03-04
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0469370.046668-0.57%0.044148-5.94%0.0288✗1.048.1M2022-03-04
METRONOMEMETRONOME2.28992.2767-0.58%2.0304-11.33%0.0595✓0.6826k2022-03-04
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana10.0710.0103-0.59%10.37+2.98%0.0880✗0.65928k2022-03-04
RADRadworksEthereum5.515.4765-0.61%5.07-7.99%0.0021✓0.98828k2022-03-04
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum1.1761.1688-0.61%1.039-11.65%0.0332✓1.051.3M2022-03-04
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.47220.469235-0.63%0.438-7.24%0.0938✗2.012.2M2022-03-04
BANDBandEthereum3.9623.9364-0.65%3.72-6.11%0.0482✗1.301.7M2022-03-04
SGBSongbirdnative0.080.079472-0.66%0.0751-6.12%0.0243✗1.00871k2022-03-04
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.07250.072012-0.67%0.0679-6.34%0.0212✗0.9914k2022-03-04
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.06370.063225-0.75%0.0566-11.15%0.0312✗1.7568.8M2022-03-04
UOSUltraEthereum1.40911.3986-0.75%1.2576-10.75%0.0013✓1.333.1M2022-03-04
FIDABonfidaSolana1.9761.9612-0.75%1.799-8.96%0.0170✓0.8676k2022-03-04
ORCAOrcaSolana2.462.4413-0.76%2.36-4.07%0.0319✗0.81402k2022-03-04
AVTAventusEthereum2.382.3617-0.77%2.72+14.29%0.2221✗1.00443k2022-03-04
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana7.637.5713-0.77%8.51+11.53%0.1922✗0.93480k2022-03-04
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.8650.857619-0.85%0.7817-9.63%0.0729✓0.241.2M2022-03-04
LUNATerraTerra 290.5689.7752-0.87%83.49-7.81%0.0424✗1.425.0M2022-03-04
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos34.0133.7139-0.87%30.51-10.29%0.0016✓1.2150.3M2022-03-04
CELLCellframeEthereum1.64971.6347-0.91%1.4243-13.66%0.0367✓1.25293k2022-03-04
GLMRMoonbeamBase3.0843.0527-1.02%3.09+0.19%0.1125✗1.24612k2022-03-04
LSKLiskEthereum2.10752.0858-1.03%1.9091-9.42%0.0071✓1.0179k2022-03-04
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum2.7732.744-1.05%2.5067-9.60%0.0211✓0.862.9M2022-03-04
BICOBiconomyEthereum1.5451.5286-1.06%1.346-12.88%0.0312✓1.192.3M2022-03-04
API3Api3Ethereum7.3157.2333-1.12%6.311-13.73%0.0963✓0.505.7M2022-03-04
BRISEBitgertEthereum6.88e-76.80e-7-1.12%7.37e-7+7.11%0.1608✗1.001.0M2022-03-04
PROPropyEthereum1.921.8982-1.13%1.76-8.33%0.0181✗1.16411k2022-03-04
PHAPHALAEthereum0.2730.26903-1.45%0.24-12.09%0.0473✓0.8366k2022-03-04
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.80580.790967-1.84%0.7304-9.36%0.0302✗1.362.7M2022-03-04
UMAUMAEthereum9.5989.3292-2.80%9.216-3.98%0.1006✗1.401.9M2022-03-04
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.