8=======>

2022-03-03 · +1d

beta_5y · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 152 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.1277
152 of 152 tokens assessed
long-short decile
-0.36%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
19.1%
in alpha space · 90.7% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-7.77%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (152 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.0720.072005+0.01%0.0671-6.81%0.0123✓1.02157k2022-03-04
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV83.4583.4123-0.05%79.36-4.90%0.0180✗0.84908k2022-03-04
TRXTRONTron0.0600320.05999-0.07%0.058264-2.95%0.0331✗0.77307k2022-03-04
XECeCashnative0.000074490.000074417-0.10%0.00007061-5.21%0.0358✗1.094.5M2022-03-04
NANOnanopayBase1.8681.8661-0.10%1.7529-6.16%0.0338✗1.19177k2022-03-04
BFCBifrostEthereum0.161470.161302-0.10%0.15063-6.71%0.0191✗1.0821k2022-03-04
GITCOINGITCOIN6.3636.3555-0.12%5.851-8.05%0.0283✗1.3726k2022-03-04
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.1295790.12942-0.12%0.122392-5.55%0.0203✗0.943.7M2022-03-04
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.2950.294607-0.13%0.274-7.12%0.0341✗1.322.2M2022-03-04
SOLSolanaSolana95.6195.4786-0.14%88.32-7.62%0.0229✗1.25127.4M2022-03-04
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.012360.012343-0.14%0.01211-2.02%0.0446✗0.7913k2022-03-04
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.8520.850754-0.15%0.78-8.45%0.0244✗1.382.4M2022-03-04
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum5.2315.2231-0.15%4.97-4.99%0.0289✗0.9771k2022-03-04
XYMSymbolnative0.1460.145779-0.15%0.1405-3.77%0.0276✗0.80296k2022-03-04
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000025070.000025031-0.16%0.00002353-6.14%0.0401✗1.263.9M2022-03-04
DEXEDeXeEthereum6.426.4099-0.16%6.1-4.98%0.0027✓0.581.2M2022-03-04
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.069830.06972-0.16%0.06438-7.80%0.0199✗1.2364k2022-03-04
QTUMQtumQtum6.39226.382-0.16%5.9254-7.30%0.0335✗1.33257k2022-03-04
METRONOMEMETRONOME2.28992.2862-0.16%2.0304-11.33%0.0636✓0.6826k2022-03-04
1INCH1INCHEthereum1.4371.4346-0.16%1.348-6.19%0.0261✗1.09931k2022-03-04
DKAdKargoEthereum0.093370.093213-0.17%0.08893-4.76%0.0369✗1.0442k2022-03-04
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.7140.712779-0.17%0.69-3.36%0.0528✗1.062.6M2022-03-04
MINAMina Protocolnative2.042.0365-0.17%2.02-0.98%0.0872✗1.18354k2022-03-04
AAVEAaveEthereum129.96129.7279-0.18%124.3-4.36%0.0655✗1.346.8M2022-03-04
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.039670.039599-0.18%0.03781-4.69%0.0326✗0.9729k2022-03-04
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.71130.710023-0.18%0.65401-8.05%0.0269✗1.35200k2022-03-04
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.5346190.533644-0.18%0.495114-7.39%0.0170✗1.142.8M2022-03-04
CTSICartesiEthereum0.3810.380298-0.18%0.35-8.14%0.0352✗1.461.3M2022-03-04
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash315.29314.7043-0.19%290.67-7.81%0.0013✓0.977.3M2022-03-04
SCSiacoinnative0.009020.009003-0.19%0.00847-6.10%0.0390✗1.24563k2022-03-04
KCSKuCoinnative19.52619.4893-0.19%18.238-6.60%0.0140✗0.999.1M2022-03-04
XVSVenusEthereum9.349.322-0.19%8.58-8.14%0.0168✗1.233.6M2022-03-04
UNIUniswapEthereum9.559.5316-0.19%8.81-7.75%0.0155✗1.179.6M2022-03-04
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.4184.4094-0.20%4.438+0.45%0.0750✗0.85453k2022-03-04
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum14.314.2716-0.20%15.26+6.71%0.1848✗1.462.2M2022-03-04
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum42,572.6042,486.03-0.20%39,591.90-7.00%0.0080✗0.9759k2022-03-04
DASHDashDash96.7596.5517-0.20%89.59-7.40%0.0168✗1.131.5M2022-03-04
COTICOTIEthereum0.22830.227832-0.21%0.209-8.45%0.0316✗1.462.5M2022-03-04
DYDXdYdXCosmos5.5845.5725-0.21%5-10.46%0.0232✓1.05179k2022-03-04
CBKCobakEthereum2.2122.2074-0.21%2.134-3.53%0.0410✗0.9326k2022-03-04
XLMStellarStellar0.1879010.187508-0.21%0.17606-6.30%0.0242✗1.0819.8M2022-03-04
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.2490.248469-0.21%0.235-5.62%0.0187✗0.922.0M2022-03-04
LTCLitecoinLitecoin111.69111.4457-0.22%101.05-9.53%0.0093✓1.1029.3M2022-03-04
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0202580.020213-0.22%0.018594-8.21%0.0143✓0.86135k2022-03-04
ETHEthereumEthereum2,833.662,827.32-0.22%2,623.07-7.43%0.0090✗1.04561.7M2022-03-04
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum1.4791.4756-0.23%1.358-8.18%0.0330✗1.44797k2022-03-04
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.36470.363862-0.23%0.34-6.77%0.0425✗1.378.7M2022-03-04
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.79670.794866-0.23%0.7605-4.54%0.0463✗1.1219.9M2022-03-04
ADACardanoCardano0.90210.900017-0.23%0.845-6.33%0.0264✗1.1194.8M2022-03-04
KSMKusamaHydration131.9131.5898-0.24%120.67-8.51%0.0067✗1.15953k2022-03-04
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana2.8822.8752-0.24%2.883+0.03%0.0750✗0.89239k2022-03-04
XEMNEMnative0.10290.102654-0.24%0.096-6.71%0.0117✗0.9740k2022-03-04
COMPCompoundEthereum116.89116.5998-0.25%108.79-6.93%0.0298✗1.2364k2022-03-04
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana5.385.3666-0.25%5.38+0.00%0.0727✗0.87566k2022-03-04
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.07250.07232-0.25%0.0679-6.34%0.0170✗0.9914k2022-03-04
AUCTIONBounceEthereum13.3213.2868-0.25%12.38-7.06%0.0234✗1.16312k2022-03-04
GTGateEthereum6.79496.7777-0.25%6.6818-1.66%0.0416✗0.692.8M2022-03-04
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain2.952.9425-0.25%3.0177+2.29%0.0954✗0.873.6M2022-03-04
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.49430.493037-0.26%0.4504-8.88%0.0229✗1.40465k2022-03-04
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche78.4978.2865-0.26%75.82-3.40%0.0866✗1.47120.2M2022-03-04
MANADecentralandEthereum2.63682.6298-0.27%2.4781-6.02%0.0357✗1.183.2M2022-03-04
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana16.4216.3748-0.28%17.4+5.97%0.1181✗0.712.6M2022-03-04
AMPAmpEthereum0.027530.027454-0.28%0.0266-3.38%0.0303✗0.774.0M2022-03-04
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana10.0710.0421-0.28%10.37+2.98%0.0848✗0.65928k2022-03-04
STORJStorjEthereum1.04761.0446-0.28%0.94943-9.37%0.0098✗1.30175k2022-03-04
HIVEHivenative0.97960.976821-0.28%0.9048-7.64%0.0162✗1.152.1M2022-03-04
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana6.336.3119-0.29%6.27-0.95%0.0654✗0.89486k2022-03-04
CTKShentuOsmosis1.1741.1706-0.29%1.114-5.11%0.0457✗1.182.9M2022-03-04
BTCBitcoinBitcoin42,464.4142,341.07-0.29%39,166.51-7.77%0.0029✗1.00645.2M2022-03-04
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.75960.757377-0.29%0.71-6.53%0.0240✗1.109.7M2022-03-04
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.5231.5185-0.29%1.413-7.22%0.0219✗1.162.0M2022-03-04
SKLSKALEEthereum0.12210.12174-0.29%0.1169-4.26%0.0643✗1.303.2M2022-03-04
MASKMask NetworkEthereum4.424.4069-0.30%4.05-8.37%0.0355✗1.48471k2022-03-04
ZENHorizenBase38.1838.063-0.31%33.61-11.97%0.0087✓1.43280k2022-03-04
CHZChilizEthereum0.19710.196495-0.31%0.1952-0.96%0.1028✗1.352.7M2022-03-04
SNXSynthetixEthereum3.8083.7961-0.31%3.618-4.99%0.0529✗1.252.1M2022-03-04
DODODODOEthereum0.4480.446575-0.32%0.412-8.04%0.0234✗1.294.2M2022-03-04
DOTPolkadotPolkadot18.0317.9713-0.33%16.79-6.88%0.0301✗1.2127.0M2022-03-04
XVGVergenative0.010010.009977-0.33%0.00944-5.69%0.0458✗1.251.4M2022-03-04
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum4.26364.2496-0.33%3.9678-6.94%0.0233✗1.14244k2022-03-04
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.95192.9421-0.33%3.0093+1.94%0.0940✗0.882.4M2022-03-04
NMRNumeraireEthereum30.0529.9495-0.33%28.68-4.56%0.0333✗0.951.5M2022-03-04
OGOG Fan TokenSolana2.9412.9311-0.34%2.877-2.18%0.0512✗0.86457k2022-03-04
LPTLivepeerEthereum25.1825.0946-0.34%22.86-9.21%0.0165✗1.361.4M2022-03-04
XTZTezosTezos3.39373.3822-0.34%3.0789-9.28%0.0095✗1.281.8M2022-03-04
QNTQuantEthereum127.04126.6089-0.34%118.5-6.72%0.0116✗0.966.3M2022-03-04
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.62065.6015-0.34%5.5379-1.47%0.0135✗0.31335k2022-03-04
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum53.3153.1285-0.34%49.7-6.77%0.0387✗1.306.5M2022-03-04
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.8732.8632-0.34%3.317+15.45%0.2115✗0.80864k2022-03-04
LINKChainlinkEthereum14.8914.8383-0.35%13.74-7.72%0.0184✗1.1850.4M2022-03-04
TRBTellor TributesEthereum19.7719.7001-0.35%18.21-7.89%0.0381✗1.44325k2022-03-04
ETCEthereum Classicnative30.2530.1409-0.36%27.63-8.66%0.0008✓1.075.3M2022-03-04
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.011990.011946-0.36%0.01111-7.34%0.0383✗1.372.9M2022-03-04
BTTCBTTC0.00000190.000001893-0.36%0.00000183-3.68%0.0200✗0.6713.5M2022-03-04
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.012.999-0.37%2.7326-9.22%0.0122✓1.0014.1M2022-03-04
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum2.382.3713-0.37%2.22-6.72%0.0145✗1.00254k2022-03-04
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.15590.155326-0.37%0.1472-5.58%0.0297✗1.03366k2022-03-04
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.018770.018701-0.37%0.01761-6.18%0.0292✗1.102.2M2022-03-04
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum1.1761.1716-0.37%1.039-11.65%0.0356✓1.051.3M2022-03-04
ARPAARPAEthereum0.07250.072229-0.37%0.0692-4.55%0.0626✗1.301.0M2022-03-04
FTTFTXEthereum44.8644.6917-0.38%40.5-9.72%0.0121✓1.0720.8M2022-03-04
FILFilecoinFilecoin20.1320.0521-0.39%18.82-6.51%0.0261✗1.119.1M2022-03-04
ZECZcashZcash129.17128.6673-0.39%117.05-9.38%0.0065✓1.097.4M2022-03-04
STXStacksnative1.211.2053-0.39%1.11-8.26%0.0138✗1.19552k2022-03-04
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.851.8427-0.40%1.72-7.03%0.0426✗1.382.0M2022-03-04
IMXImmutableEthereum1.461.4542-0.40%1.32-9.59%0.0127✓1.043.4M2022-03-04
CVCCivicEthereum0.28240.281261-0.40%0.2623-7.12%0.0346✗1.29284k2022-03-04
UOSUltraEthereum1.40911.4032-0.42%1.2576-10.75%0.0020✓1.333.1M2022-03-04
ASTRAstarEthereum0.1180.117503-0.42%0.105-11.02%0.0696✓0.5344k2022-03-04
XMRMoneroMonero172.04171.3071-0.43%159.78-7.13%0.0109✗1.001.3M2022-03-04
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.015250.015181-0.45%0.01443-5.38%0.0729✗1.5312.7M2022-03-04
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.55010.547594-0.46%0.5292-3.80%0.0373✗0.88561k2022-03-04
SUSHISushiEthereum3.33.2849-0.46%3.04-7.88%0.0240✗1.256.6M2022-03-04
DIADIAEthereum1.051.0452-0.46%0.97-7.62%0.0545✓0.25279k2022-03-04
AVTAventusEthereum2.382.3688-0.47%2.72+14.29%0.2191✗1.00443k2022-03-04
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.050730.050487-0.48%0.04735-6.66%0.0326✗1.20641k2022-03-04
LCXLCXEthereum0.0950.094542-0.48%0.0851-10.42%0.0151✗1.49613k2022-03-04
RADRadworksEthereum5.515.483-0.49%5.07-7.99%0.0009✓0.98828k2022-03-04
BANDBandEthereum3.9623.9425-0.49%3.72-6.11%0.0467✗1.301.7M2022-03-04
LRCLoopringEthereum0.78640.782487-0.50%0.7354-6.49%0.0537✗1.43238k2022-03-04
GTCGitcoinEthereum6.346.3082-0.50%5.82-8.20%0.0318✗1.39909k2022-03-04
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0469370.046702-0.50%0.044148-5.94%0.0281✗1.048.1M2022-03-04
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.720.716386-0.50%0.65-9.72%0.0409✗1.71988k2022-03-04
YFIyearn.financeEthereum21,698.8621,585.51-0.52%19,859.01-8.48%0.0044✓0.986.1M2022-03-04
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana7.637.5898-0.53%8.51+11.53%0.1898✗0.93480k2022-03-04
FIDABonfidaSolana1.9761.9655-0.53%1.799-8.96%0.0192✓0.8676k2022-03-04
ORCAOrcaSolana2.462.4463-0.55%2.36-4.07%0.0298✗0.81402k2022-03-04
SPELLSpellEthereum0.004560.004535-0.56%0.004-12.28%0.0058✗1.627.7M2022-03-04
CELLCellframeEthereum1.64971.64-0.59%1.4243-13.66%0.0399✓1.25293k2022-03-04
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum19.9719.8435-0.63%17.62-11.77%0.0270✓1.1420.0M2022-03-04
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.034350.034128-0.65%0.03451+0.47%0.0805✗0.861.1M2022-03-04
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum1.241.2318-0.66%1.17-5.65%0.0321✗1.03782k2022-03-04
PHAPHALAEthereum0.2730.271082-0.70%0.24-12.09%0.0549✓0.8366k2022-03-04
LSKLiskEthereum2.10752.0926-0.71%1.9091-9.42%0.0103✓1.0179k2022-03-04
CRVCurve DAOEthereum2.5082.4898-0.72%2.252-10.21%0.0171✗1.4513.2M2022-03-04
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos34.0133.7602-0.73%30.51-10.29%0.0030✓1.2150.3M2022-03-04
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum2.7732.7526-0.74%2.5067-9.60%0.0242✓0.862.9M2022-03-04
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.02830.028087-0.75%0.0277-2.12%0.0925✗1.32503k2022-03-04
LUNATerraTerra 290.5689.8717-0.76%83.49-7.81%0.0413✗1.425.0M2022-03-04
API3Api3Ethereum7.3157.2576-0.78%6.311-13.73%0.0997✓0.505.7M2022-03-04
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.36870.365801-0.79%0.3464-6.05%0.0801✗1.6714.6M2022-03-04
MOVRMoonriverBase66.587866.0391-0.82%60.2327-9.54%0.0195✗1.38231k2022-03-04
GLMRMoonbeamBase3.0843.0583-0.83%3.09+0.19%0.1107✗1.24612k2022-03-04
BRISEBitgertEthereum6.88e-76.82e-7-0.87%7.37e-7+7.11%0.1583✗1.001.0M2022-03-04
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.06370.063127-0.90%0.0566-11.15%0.0327✗1.7568.8M2022-03-04
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.80580.798119-0.95%0.7304-9.36%0.0212✗1.362.7M2022-03-04
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.47220.467632-0.97%0.438-7.24%0.0973✗2.012.2M2022-03-04
SUNSun TokenTron0.0119530.011834-1.00%0.011391-4.70%0.0456✗1.0414k2022-03-04
PROPropyEthereum1.921.9002-1.03%1.76-8.33%0.0171✗1.16411k2022-03-04
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.8650.855692-1.08%0.7817-9.63%0.0707✓0.241.2M2022-03-04
BICOBiconomyEthereum1.5451.5266-1.19%1.346-12.88%0.0299✓1.192.3M2022-03-04
UMAUMAEthereum9.5989.4123-1.94%9.216-3.98%0.0917✗1.401.9M2022-03-04
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.