8=======>

2022-03-02 · +1d

beta_5y · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 152 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
-0.1791
152 of 152 tokens assessed
long-short decile
-3.39%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
33.6%
in alpha space · 78.3% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-3.30%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (152 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV86.1185.983-0.15%83.45-3.09%0.0017✓0.84905k2022-03-03
ASTRAstarEthereum0.1160.115739-0.23%0.118+1.72%0.0379✗0.5544k2022-03-03
ADACardanoCardano0.93940.937167-0.24%0.9021-3.97%0.0004✓1.1296.3M2022-03-03
NANOnanopayBase1.87821.8734-0.26%1.868-0.54%0.0366✗1.18179k2022-03-03
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash320.43319.5951-0.26%315.29-1.60%0.0190✗0.977.3M2022-03-03
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.016340.016297-0.26%0.01525-6.67%0.0154✓1.5212.7M2022-03-03
COMPCompoundEthereum122.45122.117-0.27%116.89-4.54%0.0028✓1.2258k2022-03-03
QNTQuantEthereum117.95117.6174-0.28%127.04+7.71%0.1103✗0.996.3M2022-03-03
1INCH1INCHEthereum1.4961.4917-0.28%1.437-3.94%0.0001✓1.11939k2022-03-03
MINAMina Protocolnative2.132.1238-0.29%2.04-4.23%0.0012✓1.16354k2022-03-03
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.730470.728348-0.29%0.7113-2.62%0.0222✗1.37200k2022-03-03
LTCLitecoinLitecoin110.35110.027-0.29%111.69+1.21%0.0525✗1.1229.5M2022-03-03
AAVEAaveEthereum137.7137.2949-0.29%129.96-5.62%0.0099✓1.346.8M2022-03-03
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum5.5515.5344-0.30%5.231-5.76%0.0254✓0.9271k2022-03-03
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.012350.012312-0.30%0.01236+0.08%0.0286✗0.7413k2022-03-03
AMPAmpEthereum0.028320.028233-0.31%0.02753-2.79%0.0006✓0.774.0M2022-03-03
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.040780.040655-0.31%0.03967-2.72%0.0087✗0.9929k2022-03-03
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.82040.817867-0.31%0.7967-2.89%0.0117✗1.1319.9M2022-03-03
XECeCashnative0.000075940.000075702-0.31%0.00007449-1.91%0.0207✗1.104.5M2022-03-03
TRXTRONTron0.0615050.061306-0.32%0.060032-2.39%0.0048✗0.77307k2022-03-03
AUCTIONBounceEthereum13.6913.6453-0.33%13.32-2.70%0.0127✗1.10331k2022-03-03
MASKMask NetworkEthereum4.654.6348-0.33%4.42-4.95%0.0033✗1.51471k2022-03-03
FILFilecoinFilecoin20.7320.6611-0.33%20.13-2.89%0.0114✗1.129.1M2022-03-03
XLMStellarStellar0.1936240.192972-0.34%0.187901-2.96%0.0093✗1.0719.8M2022-03-03
TRBTellor TributesEthereum20.7620.6899-0.34%19.77-4.77%0.0029✓1.44328k2022-03-03
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.7030.700608-0.34%0.714+1.56%0.0550✗1.082.6M2022-03-03
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.048750.048584-0.34%0.05073+4.06%0.0835✗1.20641k2022-03-03
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.02973.0193-0.34%2.9519-2.57%0.0070✗0.882.4M2022-03-03
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum2.432.4216-0.34%2.38-2.06%0.0162✗1.00268k2022-03-03
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.37420.372907-0.35%0.3647-2.54%0.0232✗1.368.7M2022-03-03
SOLSolanaSolana100.73100.3786-0.35%95.61-5.08%0.0065✓1.26131.2M2022-03-03
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.56650.564511-0.35%0.5501-2.89%0.0049✗0.92607k2022-03-03
COTICOTIEthereum0.23080.229984-0.35%0.2283-1.08%0.0418✗1.472.5M2022-03-03
DOTPolkadotPolkadot18.6118.5433-0.36%18.03-3.12%0.0126✗1.2128.4M2022-03-03
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.3080.306885-0.36%0.295-4.22%0.0043✗1.312.2M2022-03-03
XEMNEMnative0.10640.106014-0.36%0.1029-3.29%0.0028✓0.9740k2022-03-03
BICOBiconomyEthereum1.3591.354-0.37%1.545+13.69%0.1746✗1.272.0M2022-03-03
CBKCobakEthereum2.2982.2895-0.37%2.212-3.74%0.0039✓0.9123k2022-03-03
DASHDashDash100.9100.5262-0.37%96.75-4.11%0.0005✓1.131.5M2022-03-03
BFCBifrostEthereum0.165420.164807-0.37%0.16147-2.39%0.0192✗1.1822k2022-03-03
STORJStorjEthereum1.07421.0702-0.37%1.0476-2.48%0.0232✗1.33187k2022-03-03
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.1330810.132581-0.38%0.129579-2.63%0.0086✗0.943.7M2022-03-03
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum44,262.0044,095.49-0.38%42,572.60-3.82%0.0025✓0.9753k2022-03-03
XYMSymbolnative0.1490.148438-0.38%0.146-2.01%0.0106✗0.81294k2022-03-03
GTGateEthereum6.8036.7771-0.38%6.7949-0.12%0.0262✗0.702.8M2022-03-03
UNIUniswapEthereum10.0510.0115-0.38%9.55-4.98%0.0074✓1.1910.4M2022-03-03
SCSiacoinnative0.009570.009533-0.39%0.00902-5.75%0.0130✓1.26563k2022-03-03
GITCOINGITCOIN6.76.674-0.39%6.363-5.03%0.0011✓1.3927k2022-03-03
DEXEDeXeEthereum6.716.6838-0.39%6.42-4.32%0.0232✓0.511.2M2022-03-03
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.94245.9191-0.39%5.6206-5.42%0.0414✓0.31385k2022-03-03
ETHEthereumEthereum2,948.562,937.01-0.39%2,833.66-3.90%0.0008✓1.04581.4M2022-03-03
CTSICartesiEthereum0.3970.395443-0.39%0.381-4.03%0.0106✗1.421.3M2022-03-03
CTKShentuOsmosis1.2021.1972-0.40%1.174-2.33%0.0202✗1.192.9M2022-03-03
XVGVergenative0.010370.010328-0.40%0.01001-3.47%0.0105✗1.251.3M2022-03-03
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.07540.075097-0.40%0.072-4.51%0.0089✓0.99157k2022-03-03
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.02680.026692-0.40%0.0283+5.60%0.1030✗1.33500k2022-03-03
OGOG Fan TokenSolana3.1143.1013-0.41%2.941-5.56%0.0248✓0.84477k2022-03-03
ETCEthereum Classicnative29.5229.3993-0.41%30.25+2.47%0.0647✗1.085.2M2022-03-03
FTTFTXEthereum46.1645.9694-0.41%44.86-2.82%0.0114✗1.0722.8M2022-03-03
GTCGitcoinEthereum6.646.6125-0.41%6.34-4.52%0.0052✗1.41942k2022-03-03
BTCBitcoinBitcoin43,912.3443,729.58-0.42%42,464.41-3.30%0.0042✓1.00632.3M2022-03-03
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.018920.018841-0.42%0.01877-0.79%0.0328✗1.092.2M2022-03-03
CRVCurve DAOEthereum2.6472.6359-0.42%2.508-5.25%0.0010✓1.4513.6M2022-03-03
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.78720.783892-0.42%0.7596-3.51%0.0054✗1.109.7M2022-03-03
DIADIAEthereum1.021.0157-0.42%1.05+2.94%0.0425✗0.28282k2022-03-03
LRCLoopringEthereum0.80820.804786-0.42%0.7864-2.70%0.0254✗1.45270k2022-03-03
YFIyearn.financeEthereum22,346.9422,251.61-0.43%21,698.86-2.90%0.0076✗0.985.9M2022-03-03
DODODODOEthereum0.4680.465988-0.43%0.448-4.27%0.0039✓1.294.2M2022-03-03
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum15.1615.0945-0.43%14.3-5.67%0.0046✓1.482.4M2022-03-03
LINKChainlinkEthereum15.2915.2238-0.43%14.89-2.62%0.0173✗1.1850.8M2022-03-03
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche83.4283.0584-0.43%78.49-5.91%0.0087✓1.43120.2M2022-03-03
HIVEHivenative0.99880.994458-0.43%0.9796-1.92%0.0247✗1.182.1M2022-03-03
KCSKuCoinnative20.35520.2664-0.44%19.526-4.07%0.0041✓0.999.1M2022-03-03
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum1.271.2645-0.44%1.24-2.36%0.0154✗1.04824k2022-03-03
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.5054.4851-0.44%4.418-1.93%0.0131✗0.84453k2022-03-03
SKLSKALEEthereum0.12990.129325-0.44%0.1221-6.00%0.0141✓1.303.2M2022-03-03
SUSHISushiEthereum3.413.3949-0.44%3.3-3.23%0.0140✗1.266.8M2022-03-03
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0210730.020979-0.45%0.020258-3.87%0.0059✓0.87135k2022-03-03
PHAPHALAEthereum0.2470.245889-0.45%0.273+10.53%0.1333✗0.8566k2022-03-03
DKAdKargoEthereum0.0910.090591-0.45%0.09337+2.60%0.0657✗1.0643k2022-03-03
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.15950.15878-0.45%0.1559-2.26%0.0161✗1.03420k2022-03-03
QTUMQtumQtum6.48676.4573-0.45%6.3922-1.46%0.0349✗1.34257k2022-03-03
ZENHorizenBase38.9238.742-0.46%38.18-1.90%0.0338✗1.45280k2022-03-03
KSMKusamaHydration138.31137.6738-0.46%131.9-4.63%0.0043✓1.151.0M2022-03-03
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.25710.255908-0.46%0.249-3.15%0.0032✓0.912.0M2022-03-03
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.72420.720786-0.47%0.865+19.44%0.1938✗0.341.2M2022-03-03
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.9170.912674-0.47%0.852-7.09%0.0258✓1.282.4M2022-03-03
SNXSynthetixEthereum3.9763.9572-0.47%3.808-4.23%0.0030✓1.242.2M2022-03-03
IMXImmutableEthereum1.4641.457-0.48%1.46-0.27%0.0374✗1.063.4M2022-03-03
CVCCivicEthereum0.29450.293072-0.48%0.2824-4.11%0.0070✗1.32317k2022-03-03
STXStacksnative1.251.2439-0.49%1.21-3.20%0.0125✗1.20585k2022-03-03
METRONOMEMETRONOME2.23112.2202-0.49%2.2899+2.64%0.0547✗0.7126k2022-03-03
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.2923.276-0.49%3.01-8.57%0.0511✓1.0019.7M2022-03-03
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.033970.033804-0.49%0.03435+1.12%0.0460✗0.891.1M2022-03-03
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.5706110.567811-0.49%0.534619-6.31%0.0223✓1.132.8M2022-03-03
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum19.3119.2149-0.49%19.97+3.42%0.0772✗1.1520.0M2022-03-03
XTZTezosTezos3.4943.4764-0.50%3.3937-2.87%0.0188✗1.281.9M2022-03-03
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum1.5481.5402-0.51%1.479-4.46%0.0079✗1.45842k2022-03-03
XMRMoneroMonero177.46176.5543-0.51%172.04-3.05%0.0077✗1.001.2M2022-03-03
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.046790.04655-0.51%0.046937+0.31%0.0441✗1.078.1M2022-03-03
ARPAARPAEthereum0.07750.077096-0.52%0.0725-6.45%0.0179✓1.301.0M2022-03-03
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.40330.401189-0.52%0.3687-8.58%0.0294✓1.6414.7M2022-03-03
CHZChilizEthereum0.1970.195967-0.52%0.1971+0.05%0.0515✗1.362.8M2022-03-03
NMRNumeraireEthereum30.3730.2104-0.53%30.05-1.05%0.0259✗0.931.5M2022-03-03
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum4.4134.3895-0.53%4.2636-3.39%0.0090✗1.14244k2022-03-03
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.591.5815-0.53%1.523-4.21%0.0009✓1.152.0M2022-03-03
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.51440.511652-0.53%0.4943-3.91%0.0116✗1.37484k2022-03-03
DYDXdYdXCosmos6.0386.0052-0.54%5.584-7.52%0.0376✓1.05166k2022-03-03
SPELLSpellEthereum0.004690.004664-0.55%0.00456-2.77%0.0322✗1.649.6M2022-03-03
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.072580.072183-0.55%0.06983-3.79%0.0089✗1.2569k2022-03-03
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.931.9194-0.55%1.85-4.15%0.0078✗1.332.0M2022-03-03
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana16.1516.061-0.55%16.42+1.67%0.0457✗0.702.3M2022-03-03
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000025910.000025766-0.56%0.00002507-3.24%0.0146✗1.253.9M2022-03-03
MANADecentralandEthereum2.75322.7378-0.56%2.6368-4.23%0.0028✓1.203.3M2022-03-03
BTTCBTTC0.000001960.000001949-0.56%0.0000019-3.06%0.0032✓0.6613.7M2022-03-03
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum55.5955.2667-0.58%53.31-4.10%0.0075✗1.306.5M2022-03-03
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum1.1641.1572-0.59%1.176+1.03%0.0519✗1.071.4M2022-03-03
SUNSun TokenTron0.0122160.012144-0.59%0.011953-2.15%0.0189✗1.0414k2022-03-03
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.03223.0143-0.59%2.95-2.71%0.0078✗0.873.6M2022-03-03
MOVRMoonriverBase71.5571.1266-0.59%66.5878-6.94%0.0196✓1.38231k2022-03-03
ZECZcashZcash125.91125.1632-0.59%129.17+2.59%0.0691✗1.127.4M2022-03-03
PROPropyEthereum1.821.809-0.61%1.92+5.49%0.1000✗1.21411k2022-03-03
LPTLivepeerEthereum26.5626.3977-0.61%25.18-5.20%0.0011✓1.381.5M2022-03-03
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana6.436.3903-0.62%6.33-1.56%0.0201✗0.88478k2022-03-03
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana10.1410.0763-0.63%10.07-0.69%0.0215✗0.66928k2022-03-03
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana5.575.5318-0.69%5.38-3.41%0.0008✓0.85540k2022-03-03
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.750.744803-0.69%0.72-4.00%0.0236✗1.721.0M2022-03-03
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.012310.012224-0.70%0.01199-2.60%0.0272✗1.392.8M2022-03-03
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana2.982.9589-0.71%2.882-3.29%0.0034✓0.89223k2022-03-03
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.07140.070892-0.71%0.0725+1.54%0.0563✗1.0113k2022-03-03
AVTAventusEthereum2.352.3332-0.71%2.38+1.28%0.0534✗1.00422k2022-03-03
BANDBandEthereum4.0163.9873-0.71%3.962-1.34%0.0377✗1.311.8M2022-03-03
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos32.2532.0181-0.72%34.01+5.46%0.0988✗1.1550.3M2022-03-03
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.06550.065027-0.72%0.0637-2.75%0.0387✗1.7772.8M2022-03-03
XVSVenusEthereum9.789.7093-0.72%9.34-4.50%0.0019✓1.213.5M2022-03-03
UOSUltraEthereum1.3891.379-0.72%1.4091+1.44%0.0669✗1.352.8M2022-03-03
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.50290.499221-0.73%0.4722-6.10%0.0118✗2.012.2M2022-03-03
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.992.9667-0.78%2.873-3.91%0.0006✓0.94792k2022-03-03
LCXLCXEthereum0.09910.098292-0.82%0.095-4.14%0.0158✗1.49613k2022-03-03
ORCAOrcaSolana2.522.4987-0.84%2.46-2.38%0.0179✗1.00445k2022-03-03
LSKLiskEthereum1.95921.9426-0.85%2.1075+7.57%0.1163✗1.0477k2022-03-03
BRISEBitgertEthereum6.29e-76.24e-7-0.88%6.88e-7+9.33%0.1316✗1.001.1M2022-03-03
CELLCellframeEthereum1.62261.6082-0.89%1.6497+1.67%0.0681✗1.27293k2022-03-03
LUNATerraTerra 292.4391.5196-0.99%90.56-2.02%0.0374✗1.434.8M2022-03-03
GLMRMoonbeamBase2.8952.8652-1.03%3.084+6.53%0.1173✗1.30584k2022-03-03
API3Api3Ethereum7.37.2225-1.06%7.315+0.21%0.0295✗0.504.1M2022-03-03
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana7.947.8364-1.30%7.63-3.90%0.0041✓0.92461k2022-03-03
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum2.77512.7371-1.37%2.773-0.08%0.0424✗0.882.7M2022-03-03
RADRadworksEthereum5.595.5127-1.38%5.51-1.43%0.0329✗1.00828k2022-03-03
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.72910.717957-1.53%0.8058+10.52%0.1624✗1.402.5M2022-03-03
FIDABonfidaSolana2.2372.2003-1.64%1.976-11.67%0.0812✓0.7976k2022-03-03
UMAUMAEthereum8.4218.249-2.04%9.598+13.98%0.1992✗1.421.9M2022-03-03
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.