8=======>

2022-03-02 · +1d

beta_5y · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 152 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
-0.1895
152 of 152 tokens assessed
long-short decile
-1.30%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
33.6%
in alpha space · 78.3% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-3.30%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (152 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
UMAUMAEthereum8.4218.3207-1.19%9.598+13.98%0.1905✗1.421.9M2022-03-03
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.72420.716519-1.06%0.865+19.44%0.1998✗0.341.2M2022-03-03
SUNSun TokenTron0.0122160.012099-0.95%0.011953-2.15%0.0226✗1.0414k2022-03-03
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.50290.498412-0.89%0.4722-6.10%0.0134✗2.012.2M2022-03-03
GLMRMoonbeamBase2.8952.8694-0.89%3.084+6.53%0.1158✗1.30584k2022-03-03
RADRadworksEthereum5.595.5428-0.84%5.51-1.43%0.0274✗1.00828k2022-03-03
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum2.77512.752-0.83%2.773-0.08%0.0370✗0.882.7M2022-03-03
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.40330.399955-0.83%0.3687-8.58%0.0263✓1.6414.7M2022-03-03
FIDABonfidaSolana2.2372.2186-0.82%1.976-11.67%0.0894✓0.7976k2022-03-03
LUNATerraTerra 292.4391.7009-0.79%90.56-2.02%0.0354✗1.434.8M2022-03-03
MOVRMoonriverBase71.5570.9881-0.79%66.5878-6.94%0.0177✓1.38231k2022-03-03
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.06550.06499-0.78%0.0637-2.75%0.0393✗1.7772.8M2022-03-03
CRVCurve DAOEthereum2.6472.6271-0.75%2.508-5.25%0.0024✓1.4513.6M2022-03-03
API3Api3Ethereum7.37.2457-0.74%7.315+0.21%0.0263✗0.504.1M2022-03-03
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.72910.724011-0.70%0.8058+10.52%0.1540✗1.402.5M2022-03-03
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana7.947.8862-0.68%7.63-3.90%0.0022✓0.92461k2022-03-03
LCXLCXEthereum0.09910.098471-0.64%0.095-4.14%0.0140✗1.49613k2022-03-03
BRISEBitgertEthereum6.29e-76.25e-7-0.62%6.88e-7+9.33%0.1290✗1.001.1M2022-03-03
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.02680.026634-0.62%0.0283+5.60%0.1052✗1.33500k2022-03-03
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.033970.03376-0.62%0.03435+1.12%0.0473✗0.891.1M2022-03-03
SPELLSpellEthereum0.004690.004662-0.59%0.00456-2.77%0.0327✗1.649.6M2022-03-03
PROPropyEthereum1.821.8092-0.59%1.92+5.49%0.0999✗1.21411k2022-03-03
BICOBiconomyEthereum1.3591.3514-0.56%1.545+13.69%0.1765✗1.272.0M2022-03-03
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum19.3119.2036-0.55%19.97+3.42%0.0778✗1.1520.0M2022-03-03
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum1.271.263-0.55%1.24-2.36%0.0166✗1.04824k2022-03-03
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos32.2532.0779-0.53%34.01+5.46%0.0969✗1.1550.3M2022-03-03
YFIyearn.financeEthereum22,346.9422,228.45-0.53%21,698.86-2.90%0.0087✗0.985.9M2022-03-03
CELLCellframeEthereum1.62261.6143-0.51%1.6497+1.67%0.0642✗1.27293k2022-03-03
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.016340.016257-0.51%0.01525-6.67%0.0129✓1.5212.7M2022-03-03
SUSHISushiEthereum3.413.3938-0.47%3.3-3.23%0.0143✗1.266.8M2022-03-03
LSKLiskEthereum1.95921.9501-0.47%2.1075+7.57%0.1125✗1.0477k2022-03-03
GTCGitcoinEthereum6.646.6097-0.46%6.34-4.52%0.0057✗1.41942k2022-03-03
LRCLoopringEthereum0.80820.804613-0.44%0.7864-2.70%0.0256✗1.45270k2022-03-03
ORCAOrcaSolana2.522.5092-0.43%2.46-2.38%0.0137✗1.00445k2022-03-03
XMRMoneroMonero177.46176.7339-0.41%172.04-3.05%0.0067✗1.001.2M2022-03-03
BANDBandEthereum4.0163.9999-0.40%3.962-1.34%0.0345✗1.311.8M2022-03-03
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.992.9784-0.39%2.873-3.91%0.0045✓0.94792k2022-03-03
ARPAARPAEthereum0.07750.077206-0.38%0.0725-6.45%0.0193✓1.301.0M2022-03-03
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.012310.012264-0.38%0.01199-2.60%0.0240✗1.392.8M2022-03-03
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.750.747195-0.37%0.72-4.00%0.0204✗1.721.0M2022-03-03
CVCCivicEthereum0.29450.293422-0.37%0.2824-4.11%0.0058✗1.32317k2022-03-03
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.931.923-0.37%1.85-4.15%0.0059✗1.332.0M2022-03-03
DIADIAEthereum1.021.0164-0.35%1.05+2.94%0.0418✗0.28282k2022-03-03
FILFilecoinFilecoin20.7320.6579-0.35%20.13-2.89%0.0116✗1.129.1M2022-03-03
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.56650.56453-0.35%0.5501-2.89%0.0048✗0.92607k2022-03-03
AVTAventusEthereum2.352.3419-0.34%2.38+1.28%0.0497✗1.00422k2022-03-03
LPTLivepeerEthereum26.5626.4691-0.34%25.18-5.20%0.0038✓1.381.5M2022-03-03
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.94245.9224-0.34%5.6206-5.42%0.0419✓0.31385k2022-03-03
UOSUltraEthereum1.3891.3844-0.33%1.4091+1.44%0.0630✗1.352.8M2022-03-03
FTTFTXEthereum46.1646.0097-0.33%44.86-2.82%0.0105✗1.0722.8M2022-03-03
LINKChainlinkEthereum15.2915.2403-0.33%14.89-2.62%0.0162✗1.1850.8M2022-03-03
OGOG Fan TokenSolana3.1143.1039-0.33%2.941-5.56%0.0256✓0.84477k2022-03-03
IMXImmutableEthereum1.4641.4592-0.32%1.46-0.27%0.0359✗1.063.4M2022-03-03
STXStacksnative1.251.246-0.32%1.21-3.20%0.0109✗1.20585k2022-03-03
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum1.1641.1603-0.32%1.176+1.03%0.0492✗1.071.4M2022-03-03
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum2.432.4222-0.32%2.38-2.06%0.0160✗1.00268k2022-03-03
SNXSynthetixEthereum3.9763.9633-0.32%3.808-4.23%0.0015✓1.242.2M2022-03-03
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.048750.048595-0.32%0.05073+4.06%0.0833✗1.20641k2022-03-03
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.15950.158994-0.32%0.1559-2.26%0.0148✗1.03420k2022-03-03
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.018920.01886-0.32%0.01877-0.79%0.0318✗1.092.2M2022-03-03
ASTRAstarEthereum0.1160.115634-0.32%0.118+1.72%0.0388✗0.5544k2022-03-03
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.046790.046644-0.31%0.046937+0.31%0.0421✗1.078.1M2022-03-03
TRBTellor TributesEthereum20.7620.6959-0.31%19.77-4.77%0.0026✓1.44328k2022-03-03
DOTPolkadotPolkadot18.6118.5527-0.31%18.03-3.12%0.0121✗1.2128.4M2022-03-03
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum55.5955.4218-0.30%53.31-4.10%0.0047✗1.306.5M2022-03-03
BTTCBTTC0.000001960.000001954-0.30%0.0000019-3.06%0.0058✓0.6613.7M2022-03-03
DODODODOEthereum0.4680.466635-0.29%0.448-4.27%0.0025✓1.294.2M2022-03-03
XTZTezosTezos3.4943.4841-0.28%3.3937-2.87%0.0166✗1.281.9M2022-03-03
XVGVergenative0.010370.010341-0.28%0.01001-3.47%0.0093✗1.251.3M2022-03-03
XVSVenusEthereum9.789.7526-0.28%9.34-4.50%0.0025✓1.213.5M2022-03-03
ZECZcashZcash125.91125.5598-0.28%129.17+2.59%0.0659✗1.127.4M2022-03-03
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.2923.2829-0.28%3.01-8.57%0.0533✓1.0019.7M2022-03-03
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana2.982.9718-0.28%2.882-3.29%0.0009✓0.89223k2022-03-03
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum4.4134.4009-0.27%4.2636-3.39%0.0064✗1.14244k2022-03-03
BTCBitcoinBitcoin43,912.3443,793.73-0.27%42,464.41-3.30%0.0027✓1.00632.3M2022-03-03
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana6.436.4127-0.27%6.33-1.56%0.0166✗0.88478k2022-03-03
MASKMask NetworkEthereum4.654.6376-0.27%4.42-4.95%0.0027✗1.51471k2022-03-03
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana5.575.5552-0.27%5.38-3.41%0.0034✓0.85540k2022-03-03
CTKShentuOsmosis1.2021.1988-0.26%1.174-2.33%0.0188✗1.192.9M2022-03-03
HIVEHivenative0.99880.996178-0.26%0.9796-1.92%0.0229✗1.182.1M2022-03-03
CHZChilizEthereum0.1970.196486-0.26%0.1971+0.05%0.0489✗1.362.8M2022-03-03
ZENHorizenBase38.9238.8202-0.26%38.18-1.90%0.0318✗1.45280k2022-03-03
NMRNumeraireEthereum30.3730.2928-0.25%30.05-1.05%0.0232✗0.931.5M2022-03-03
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.51440.513094-0.25%0.4943-3.91%0.0088✗1.37484k2022-03-03
ETCEthereum Classicnative29.5229.4451-0.25%30.25+2.47%0.0631✗1.085.2M2022-03-03
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.02973.0221-0.25%2.9519-2.57%0.0061✗0.882.4M2022-03-03
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.78720.785233-0.25%0.7596-3.51%0.0037✗1.109.7M2022-03-03
AMPAmpEthereum0.028320.02825-0.25%0.02753-2.79%0.0001✓0.774.0M2022-03-03
DYDXdYdXCosmos6.0386.0234-0.24%5.584-7.52%0.0406✓1.05166k2022-03-03
SKLSKALEEthereum0.12990.129585-0.24%0.1221-6.00%0.0161✓1.303.2M2022-03-03
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche83.4283.2187-0.24%78.49-5.91%0.0106✓1.43120.2M2022-03-03
STORJStorjEthereum1.07421.0717-0.24%1.0476-2.48%0.0219✗1.33187k2022-03-03
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.591.5863-0.24%1.523-4.21%0.0021✓1.152.0M2022-03-03
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum44,262.0044,159.37-0.23%42,572.60-3.82%0.0039✓0.9753k2022-03-03
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0210730.021024-0.23%0.020258-3.87%0.0081✓0.87135k2022-03-03
KSMKusamaHydration138.31137.9909-0.23%131.9-4.63%0.0066✓1.151.0M2022-03-03
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.5706110.569299-0.23%0.534619-6.31%0.0249✓1.132.8M2022-03-03
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana10.1410.1172-0.22%10.07-0.69%0.0175✗0.66928k2022-03-03
AUCTIONBounceEthereum13.6913.6593-0.22%13.32-2.70%0.0117✗1.10331k2022-03-03
COMPCompoundEthereum122.45122.1864-0.22%116.89-4.54%0.0034✓1.2258k2022-03-03
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.82040.818666-0.21%0.7967-2.89%0.0107✗1.1319.9M2022-03-03
ADACardanoCardano0.93940.937435-0.21%0.9021-3.97%0.0007✓1.1296.3M2022-03-03
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.37420.373426-0.21%0.3647-2.54%0.0219✗1.368.7M2022-03-03
UNIUniswapEthereum10.0510.0293-0.21%9.55-4.98%0.0092✓1.1910.4M2022-03-03
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana16.1516.1178-0.20%16.42+1.67%0.0422✗0.702.3M2022-03-03
CBKCobakEthereum2.2982.2935-0.20%2.212-3.74%0.0056✓0.9123k2022-03-03
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.25710.256605-0.19%0.249-3.15%0.0005✓0.912.0M2022-03-03
GTGateEthereum6.8036.79-0.19%6.7949-0.12%0.0243✗0.702.8M2022-03-03
ETHEthereumEthereum2,948.562,943.01-0.19%2,833.66-3.90%0.0029✓1.04581.4M2022-03-03
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum15.1615.1319-0.19%14.3-5.67%0.0071✓1.482.4M2022-03-03
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.03223.0266-0.18%2.95-2.71%0.0037✗0.873.6M2022-03-03
DASHDashDash100.9100.714-0.18%96.75-4.11%0.0023✓1.131.5M2022-03-03
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum1.5481.5452-0.18%1.479-4.46%0.0047✗1.45842k2022-03-03
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum5.5515.5409-0.18%5.231-5.76%0.0266✓0.9271k2022-03-03
MANADecentralandEthereum2.75322.7483-0.18%2.6368-4.23%0.0011✓1.203.3M2022-03-03
SCSiacoinnative0.009570.009553-0.18%0.00902-5.75%0.0151✓1.26563k2022-03-03
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.9170.915394-0.18%0.852-7.09%0.0288✓1.282.4M2022-03-03
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.07140.071277-0.17%0.0725+1.54%0.0508✗1.0113k2022-03-03
AAVEAaveEthereum137.7137.4639-0.17%129.96-5.62%0.0112✓1.346.8M2022-03-03
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.072580.072461-0.16%0.06983-3.79%0.0050✗1.2569k2022-03-03
XLMStellarStellar0.1936240.193307-0.16%0.187901-2.96%0.0076✗1.0719.8M2022-03-03
MINAMina Protocolnative2.132.1266-0.16%2.04-4.23%0.0026✓1.16354k2022-03-03
COTICOTIEthereum0.23080.230452-0.15%0.2283-1.08%0.0398✗1.472.5M2022-03-03
SOLSolanaSolana100.73100.579-0.15%95.61-5.08%0.0085✓1.26131.2M2022-03-03
KCSKuCoinnative20.35520.3246-0.15%19.526-4.07%0.0069✓0.999.1M2022-03-03
QNTQuantEthereum117.95117.7744-0.15%127.04+7.71%0.1089✗0.996.3M2022-03-03
XEMNEMnative0.10640.106243-0.15%0.1029-3.29%0.0007✓0.9740k2022-03-03
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.5054.4987-0.14%4.418-1.93%0.0101✗0.84453k2022-03-03
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.730470.729468-0.14%0.7113-2.62%0.0207✗1.37200k2022-03-03
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash320.43320.0052-0.13%315.29-1.60%0.0177✗0.977.3M2022-03-03
1INCH1INCHEthereum1.4961.4941-0.13%1.437-3.94%0.0017✓1.11939k2022-03-03
CTSICartesiEthereum0.3970.396498-0.13%0.381-4.03%0.0079✗1.421.3M2022-03-03
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.3080.307611-0.13%0.295-4.22%0.0019✗1.312.2M2022-03-03
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.040780.04073-0.12%0.03967-2.72%0.0069✗0.9929k2022-03-03
XYMSymbolnative0.1490.148822-0.12%0.146-2.01%0.0080✗0.81294k2022-03-03
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.7030.702162-0.12%0.714+1.56%0.0528✗1.082.6M2022-03-03
DEXEDeXeEthereum6.716.7022-0.12%6.42-4.32%0.0260✓0.511.2M2022-03-03
LTCLitecoinLitecoin110.35110.2256-0.11%111.69+1.21%0.0507✗1.1229.5M2022-03-03
GITCOINGITCOIN6.76.6928-0.11%6.363-5.03%0.0039✓1.3927k2022-03-03
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000025910.000025883-0.10%0.00002507-3.24%0.0101✗1.253.9M2022-03-03
QTUMQtumQtum6.48676.48-0.10%6.3922-1.46%0.0314✗1.34257k2022-03-03
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.012350.012339-0.09%0.01236+0.08%0.0265✗0.7413k2022-03-03
DKAdKargoEthereum0.0910.090925-0.08%0.09337+2.60%0.0621✗1.0643k2022-03-03
METRONOMEMETRONOME2.23112.2294-0.08%2.2899+2.64%0.0506✗0.7126k2022-03-03
BFCBifrostEthereum0.165420.165312-0.07%0.16147-2.39%0.0162✗1.1822k2022-03-03
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.1330810.133009-0.05%0.129579-2.63%0.0054✗0.943.7M2022-03-03
XECeCashnative0.000075940.000075906-0.04%0.00007449-1.91%0.0180✗1.104.5M2022-03-03
NANOnanopayBase1.87821.8777-0.03%1.868-0.54%0.0343✗1.18179k2022-03-03
PHAPHALAEthereum0.2470.246958-0.02%0.273+10.53%0.1289✗0.8566k2022-03-03
TRXTRONTron0.0615050.061497-0.01%0.060032-2.39%0.0017✗0.77307k2022-03-03
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV86.1186.1043-0.01%83.45-3.09%0.0031✓0.84905k2022-03-03
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.07540.075398-0.00%0.072-4.51%0.0129✓0.99157k2022-03-03
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.