8=======>

2022-03-01 · +30d

beta_5y · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 151 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.0487
151 of 151 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+5.01%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
28.5%
in alpha space · 24.5% on raw price
BTC over horizon
+2.45%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (151 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV87.6889.7858+2.40%94.5+7.78%0.0309✓0.84905k2022-03-31
NANOnanopayBase1.92111.9585+1.95%2.4796+29.07%0.2075✓1.18179k2022-03-31
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana5.525.6267+1.93%7.78+40.94%0.3033✓0.86510k2022-03-31
LTCLitecoinLitecoin112.65114.3597+1.52%123.87+9.96%0.0528✓1.1229.5M2022-03-31
BFCBifrostEthereum0.165530.167507+1.19%0.16325-1.38%0.0546✗1.1924k2022-03-31
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.6970.703401+0.92%0.915+31.28%0.2371✓1.072.5M2022-03-31
XEMNEMnative0.10970.110617+0.84%0.1183+7.84%0.0436✓0.9741k2022-03-31
DEXEDeXeEthereum6.726.7595+0.59%6.73+0.15%0.0168✗0.511.2M2022-03-31
PHAPHALAEthereum0.2420.243416+0.58%0.283+16.94%0.1300✓0.8659k2022-03-31
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum5.4455.4756+0.56%6.029+10.73%0.0742✓0.9171k2022-03-31
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.012230.012285+0.45%0.01312+7.28%0.0479✓0.7413k2022-03-31
ADACardanoCardano0.96430.968593+0.45%1.1417+18.40%0.1375✓1.1197.3M2022-03-31
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.07430.074624+0.44%0.0836+12.52%0.0897✓0.99155k2022-03-31
TRXTRONTron0.0621790.062449+0.43%0.073796+18.68%0.1484✓0.77299k2022-03-31
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum44,139.1044,313.65+0.40%45,846.40+3.87%0.0104✓0.9752k2022-03-31
QNTQuantEthereum119.35119.708+0.30%137.61+15.30%0.1154✓0.996.4M2022-03-31
XVSVenusEthereum9.359.3758+0.28%11.81+26.31%0.2014✓1.213.4M2022-03-31
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash328.78328.9379+0.05%384.15+16.84%0.1317✓0.977.6M2022-03-31
SCSiacoinnative0.009790.009794+0.04%0.01207+23.29%0.1786✓1.25563k2022-03-31
SOLSolanaSolana98.798.5993-0.10%122.86+24.48%0.1895✗1.26131.2M2022-03-31
IMXImmutableEthereum1.5821.5792-0.18%2.352+48.67%0.3730✗1.053.4M2022-03-31
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.041870.041786-0.20%0.05271+25.89%0.2082✗0.9929k2022-03-31
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.5024.4919-0.22%8.197+82.07%0.5811✗0.84435k2022-03-31
CTSICartesiEthereum0.39960.398537-0.27%0.4674+16.97%0.1248✗1.431.3M2022-03-31
COTICOTIEthereum0.23180.231152-0.28%0.2732+17.86%0.1315✗1.472.6M2022-03-31
AMPAmpEthereum0.028850.028746-0.36%0.02695-6.59%0.0832✓0.774.1M2022-03-31
GTGateEthereum6.75536.7252-0.45%6.6752-1.19%0.0245✓0.702.8M2022-03-31
DASHDashDash100.0199.5643-0.45%127.13+27.12%0.2171✗1.131.5M2022-03-31
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana6.516.4797-0.47%6.53+0.31%0.0136✓0.88452k2022-03-31
MINAMina Protocolnative2.182.1658-0.65%2.65+21.56%0.1736✗1.17354k2022-03-31
1INCH1INCHEthereum1.5221.5118-0.67%1.775+16.62%0.1335✗1.12939k2022-03-31
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.1339910.13304-0.71%0.138112+3.08%0.0147✗0.943.7M2022-03-31
AAVEAaveEthereum143.34142.2226-0.78%207+44.41%0.3429✗1.346.8M2022-03-31
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana15.7915.6646-0.79%13.89-12.03%0.1374✓0.712.2M2022-03-31
ETHEthereumEthereum2,977.722,949.31-0.95%3,283.08+10.25%0.0820✗1.04561.7M2022-03-31
DIADIAEthereum1.061.0493-1.01%1.1+3.77%0.0407✗0.27286k2022-03-31
AUCTIONBounceEthereum14.0913.9346-1.10%15.65+11.07%0.0896✗1.09331k2022-03-31
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.09223.0567-1.15%4.2237+36.59%0.3020✗0.882.4M2022-03-31
XVGVergenative0.010440.01032-1.15%0.01339+28.26%0.2304✗1.241.3M2022-03-31
CTKShentuOsmosis1.2241.2098-1.16%1.51+23.37%0.1927✗1.202.9M2022-03-31
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.85690.846421-1.22%0.9295+8.47%0.0663✗1.1320.7M2022-03-31
BTCBitcoinBitcoin44,439.9543,883.79-1.25%45,528.45+2.45%0.0126✗1.00632.3M2022-03-31
KSMKusamaHydration138.55136.8129-1.25%188.49+36.04%0.2925✗1.15973k2022-03-31
KCSKuCoinnative20.74620.4856-1.26%20.465-1.35%0.0250✓0.999.5M2022-03-31
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.3180.313999-1.26%0.609+91.51%0.6308✗1.312.2M2022-03-31
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.048680.048064-1.27%0.05488+12.74%0.1035✗1.20681k2022-03-31
ZECZcashZcash119.02117.4983-1.28%178.39+49.88%0.3903✗1.137.2M2022-03-31
STORJStorjEthereum1.08461.0696-1.39%1.3386+23.42%0.1921✗1.33175k2022-03-31
NMRNumeraireEthereum30.8630.4297-1.39%31.27+1.33%0.0048✓0.931.5M2022-03-31
LINKChainlinkEthereum15.3615.1395-1.44%16.93+10.22%0.0832✗1.1852.2M2022-03-31
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000027130.000026722-1.51%0.00002586-4.68%0.0631✓1.253.9M2022-03-31
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.016560.016307-1.53%0.03531+113.22%0.7359✗1.5212.5M2022-03-31
UNIUniswapEthereum10.3410.1791-1.56%11.29+9.19%0.0751✗1.1810.8M2022-03-31
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.755560.743246-1.63%0.86577+14.59%0.1194✗1.37206k2022-03-31
SPELLSpellEthereum0.004710.004632-1.65%0.00431-8.49%0.1118✓1.649.6M2022-03-31
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.25760.253206-1.71%0.2695+4.62%0.0403✗0.912.0M2022-03-31
BICOBiconomyEthereum1.3281.305-1.73%1.594+20.03%0.1684✗1.312.0M2022-03-31
RADRadworksEthereum5.125.0298-1.76%5.41+5.66%0.0485✗1.01828k2022-03-31
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.94995.8412-1.83%5.834-1.95%0.0087✓0.31433k2022-03-31
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum15.2614.9749-1.87%18.07+18.41%0.1521✗1.482.4M2022-03-31
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.37530.368286-1.87%0.4698+25.18%0.2106✗1.368.7M2022-03-31
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.57650.565415-1.92%0.5966+3.49%0.0317✗0.91642k2022-03-31
DOTPolkadotPolkadot18.918.5149-2.04%21.35+12.96%0.1131✗1.2129.4M2022-03-31
ETCEthereum Classicnative30.3529.7107-2.11%47.48+56.44%0.4427✗1.085.2M2022-03-31
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.0713.006-2.12%3.891+26.70%0.2366✗0.89218k2022-03-31
CBKCobakEthereum2.3962.3445-2.15%2.756+15.03%0.1397✗0.9123k2022-03-31
XYMSymbolnative0.15230.148816-2.29%0.1461-4.07%0.0381✓0.81294k2022-03-31
ZENHorizenBase39.3438.4274-2.32%48.75+23.92%0.2029✗1.45280k2022-03-31
GITCOINGITCOIN6.8236.6624-2.35%7.189+5.36%0.0423✗1.3927k2022-03-31
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.6171.5778-2.42%2.033+25.73%0.2257✗1.151.8M2022-03-31
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.890.867523-2.53%1.212+36.18%0.3034✗1.282.3M2022-03-31
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.80.779759-2.53%0.8523+6.54%0.0625✗1.099.7M2022-03-31
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.020450.01992-2.59%0.02088+2.10%0.0207✓1.092.2M2022-03-31
DODODODOEthereum0.4790.466516-2.61%0.518+8.14%0.0735✗1.294.2M2022-03-31
QTUMQtumQtum6.70536.5247-2.69%8.2842+23.55%0.2063✗1.34226k2022-03-31
DKAdKargoEthereum0.092240.089728-2.72%0.12603+36.63%0.3141✗1.0643k2022-03-31
FTTFTXEthereum46.2544.9799-2.75%48.83+5.58%0.0562✗1.0722.8M2022-03-31
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum4.28044.1628-2.75%5.4868+28.18%0.2485✗1.14244k2022-03-31
COMPCompoundEthereum125.94122.4577-2.77%149.85+18.99%0.1724✗1.2258k2022-03-31
LSKLiskEthereum1.98611.9311-2.77%2.5204+26.90%0.2411✗1.0475k2022-03-31
SUSHISushiEthereum3.473.3735-2.78%4.41+27.09%0.2374✗1.266.8M2022-03-31
LCXLCXEthereum0.10480.101874-2.79%0.1229+17.27%0.1514✗1.50613k2022-03-31
YFIyearn.financeEthereum21,756.2421,136.32-2.85%22,229.80+2.18%0.0267✓0.985.9M2022-03-31
UOSUltraEthereum1.36521.3261-2.86%1.2649-7.34%0.0802✓1.362.8M2022-03-31
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum1.2451.209-2.89%2.101+68.76%0.5269✗1.061.3M2022-03-31
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum2.462.3884-2.91%2.68+8.94%0.0909✗1.00263k2022-03-31
CRVCurve DAOEthereum2.5462.4716-2.92%2.638+3.61%0.0298✗1.4613.6M2022-03-31
XMRMoneroMonero177.8172.5399-2.96%212.94+19.76%0.1862✗1.001.1M2022-03-31
XLMStellarStellar0.1989270.193041-2.96%0.228422+14.83%0.1425✗1.0720.5M2022-03-31
FILFilecoinFilecoin20.9820.357-2.97%24.45+16.54%0.1562✗1.129.1M2022-03-31
HIVEHivenative1.03521.0044-2.97%1.2151+17.38%0.1616✗1.192.1M2022-03-31
TRBTellor TributesEthereum22.0221.3618-2.99%25.7+16.71%0.1501✗1.44328k2022-03-31
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.12173.0237-3.14%4.4084+41.22%0.3558✗0.883.6M2022-03-31
GTCGitcoinEthereum6.826.6058-3.14%7.31+7.18%0.0671✗1.41942k2022-03-31
XECeCashnative0.000078960.000076388-3.26%0.00009285+17.59%0.1686✗1.104.5M2022-03-31
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana10.149.8038-3.32%16.52+62.92%0.5058✗0.66928k2022-03-31
OGOG Fan TokenSolana3.2033.0951-3.37%4.122+28.69%0.2659✗0.85477k2022-03-31
METRONOMEMETRONOME2.25792.1809-3.41%2.8148+24.66%0.2379✗0.7126k2022-03-31
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum1.291.2445-3.53%1.41+9.30%0.0996✗1.04885k2022-03-31
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.16150.155742-3.57%0.1579-2.23%0.0111✓1.03446k2022-03-31
MANADecentralandEthereum2.83712.7354-3.58%2.6098-8.01%0.0761✓1.203.3M2022-03-31
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.52530.506306-3.62%0.6676+27.09%0.2433✗1.37484k2022-03-31
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.5735770.552575-3.66%0.773803+34.91%0.3093✗1.132.8M2022-03-31
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.07290.070186-3.72%0.09183+25.97%0.2444✗1.0112k2022-03-31
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0494850.047627-3.76%0.041867-15.39%0.1547✓1.078.1M2022-03-31
MASKMask NetworkEthereum4.864.677-3.77%6+23.46%0.2125✗1.51456k2022-03-31
DYDXdYdXCosmos5.7715.5413-3.98%6.001+3.99%0.0543✗1.05181k2022-03-31
ARPAARPAEthereum0.07860.07547-3.98%0.0852+8.40%0.0897✗1.311.0M2022-03-31
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.42180.404984-3.99%0.4968+17.78%0.1646✗1.6414.7M2022-03-31
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.02820.027053-4.07%0.03408+20.85%0.1988✗1.33500k2022-03-31
CHZChilizEthereum0.19540.187436-4.08%0.2832+44.93%0.3796✗1.372.8M2022-03-31
SNXSynthetixEthereum4.1774.0048-4.12%6.818+63.23%0.5022✗1.232.3M2022-03-31
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche86.9683.3144-4.19%97.42+12.03%0.1217✗1.43118.3M2022-03-31
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.991.9061-4.22%2.24+12.56%0.1293✗1.332.0M2022-03-31
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.011460.010945-4.49%0.01361+18.76%0.1842✗1.392.8M2022-03-31
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.1933.0495-4.49%6.061+89.82%0.6639✗0.95741k2022-03-31
ASTRAstarEthereum0.1230.117448-4.51%0.174+41.46%0.3799✗0.5444k2022-03-31
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum57.1954.5531-4.61%63.53+11.09%0.1210✗1.306.7M2022-03-31
LRCLoopringEthereum0.83590.795006-4.89%1.1619+39.00%0.3444✗1.45270k2022-03-31
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum19.3418.3721-5.00%21+8.58%0.1057✗1.1620.6M2022-03-31
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum1.6071.5253-5.08%1.795+11.70%0.1278✗1.45863k2022-03-31
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.076330.072447-5.09%0.09501+24.47%0.2409✗1.2569k2022-03-31
SKLSKALEEthereum0.13620.129211-5.13%0.2417+77.46%0.5951✗1.293.1M2022-03-31
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos31.1429.5171-5.21%28.9-7.19%0.0488✓1.1450.3M2022-03-31
MOVRMoonriverBase66.415662.8394-5.38%66.8749+0.69%0.0288✓1.38223k2022-03-31
FIDABonfidaSolana1.811.7123-5.40%1.839+1.60%0.0506✓0.8676k2022-03-31
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0226820.021385-5.72%0.03269+44.12%0.4035✗0.86124k2022-03-31
CVCCivicEthereum0.30580.286675-6.25%0.3602+17.79%0.1964✗1.32328k2022-03-31
XTZTezosTezos3.49183.2727-6.27%3.7255+6.69%0.0985✗1.282.1M2022-03-31
BTTCBTTC0.000001990.000001862-6.42%0.00000214+7.54%0.1230✗0.6614.0M2022-03-31
STXStacksnative1.291.2066-6.46%1.44+11.63%0.1478✗1.20596k2022-03-31
LPTLivepeerEthereum27.2625.3967-6.84%27.75+1.80%0.0553✓1.381.6M2022-03-31
PROPropyEthereum1.841.7132-6.89%1.57-14.67%0.1165✓1.21452k2022-03-31
GLMRMoonbeamBase2.6262.4428-6.98%3.115+18.62%0.2109✗1.33584k2022-03-31
AVTAventusEthereum2.332.1612-7.24%2.68+15.02%0.1910✗1.00443k2022-03-31
LUNATerraTerra 289.7283.2008-7.27%102.96+14.76%0.1784✗1.434.8M2022-03-31
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana8.277.669-7.27%9.25+11.85%0.1652✗0.92461k2022-03-31
BANDBandEthereum4.2273.9175-7.32%4.893+15.76%0.1908✗1.301.8M2022-03-31
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.07030.064841-7.76%0.0684-2.70%0.0107✓1.7676.7M2022-03-31
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.034260.031529-7.97%0.0405+18.21%0.2286✗0.901.2M2022-03-31
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.72680.667217-8.20%1.071+47.36%0.4649✗0.351.2M2022-03-31
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.75820.693929-8.48%1.1908+57.06%0.5063✗1.392.5M2022-03-31
SUNSun TokenTron0.012490.01141-8.64%0.016106+28.95%0.3197✗1.0315k2022-03-31
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.780.712005-8.72%0.82+5.13%0.0997✗1.711.0M2022-03-31
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.53940.49199-8.79%0.5827+8.03%0.1206✗2.012.1M2022-03-31
BRISEBitgertEthereum6.11e-75.56e-7-9.05%8.72e-7+42.71%0.4263✗1.001.1M2022-03-31
CELLCellframeEthereum1.70181.5211-10.62%1.3868-18.51%0.1231✓1.27278k2022-03-31
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum2.57242.2916-10.92%3.2595+26.71%0.3309✗0.882.7M2022-03-31
API3Api3Ethereum8.0947.1672-11.45%5.195-35.82%0.3336✓0.492.9M2022-03-31
UMAUMAEthereum9.4478.3093-12.04%7.803-17.40%0.0971✓1.421.9M2022-03-31
ORCAOrcaSolana2.582.2686-12.07%2.3-10.85%0.0104✓1.00488k2022-03-31
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.