8=======>

2022-02-28 · +1d

beta_5y · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 151 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.0863
151 of 151 tokens assessed
long-short decile
-1.52%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
76.8%
in alpha space · 39.0% on raw price
BTC over horizon
+2.89%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (151 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV88.6788.4981-0.19%87.68-1.12%0.0334✓0.85905k2022-03-01
QNTQuantEthereum115.74115.3885-0.30%119.35+3.12%0.0057✗0.996.3M2022-03-01
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.012310.012271-0.32%0.01223-0.65%0.0246✓0.7512k2022-03-01
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.017960.017903-0.32%0.01656-7.80%0.1220✓1.5512.5M2022-03-01
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.6970.694634-0.34%0.697+0.00%0.0272✓1.082.4M2022-03-01
LCXLCXEthereum0.08570.085408-0.34%0.1048+22.29%0.1629✗1.47613k2022-03-01
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.0730.072749-0.34%0.0743+1.78%0.0071✓0.99160k2022-03-01
STORJStorjEthereum1.04261.039-0.35%1.0846+4.03%0.0051✗1.33162k2022-03-01
1INCH1INCHEthereum1.5051.4997-0.36%1.522+1.13%0.0171✓1.12931k2022-03-01
NANOnanopayBase1.93811.9312-0.36%1.9211-0.88%0.0391✓1.19179k2022-03-01
PHAPHALAEthereum0.2360.235151-0.36%0.242+2.54%0.0044✗0.8559k2022-03-01
TRXTRONTron0.0617860.061561-0.36%0.062179+0.64%0.0120✓0.77286k2022-03-01
MINAMina Protocolnative2.212.2019-0.36%2.18-1.36%0.0435✓1.18343k2022-03-01
CRVCurve DAOEthereum2.4422.4331-0.36%2.546+4.26%0.0038✗1.4613.6M2022-03-01
XVSVenusEthereum9.339.295-0.37%9.35+0.21%0.0288✓1.223.1M2022-03-01
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.741170.738318-0.38%0.75556+1.94%0.0161✓1.38206k2022-03-01
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.048710.048522-0.39%0.04868-0.06%0.0312✓1.21686k2022-03-01
ADACardanoCardano0.9640.960253-0.39%0.9643+0.03%0.0277✓1.1296.0M2022-03-01
DEXEDeXeEthereum6.66.5742-0.39%6.72+1.82%0.0074✗0.511.1M2022-03-01
KSMKusamaHydration130.28129.7701-0.39%138.55+6.35%0.0329✗1.14930k2022-03-01
CTKShentuOsmosis1.1641.1594-0.39%1.224+5.15%0.0197✗1.212.9M2022-03-01
XECeCashnative0.000078690.000078373-0.40%0.00007896+0.34%0.0240✓1.104.4M2022-03-01
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.56070.558427-0.41%0.5765+2.82%0.0060✗0.91641k2022-03-01
BICOBiconomyEthereum1.3521.3465-0.41%1.328-1.78%0.0513✓1.322.0M2022-03-01
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.041940.041769-0.41%0.04187-0.17%0.0260✓1.0029k2022-03-01
TRBTellor TributesEthereum21.1621.0736-0.41%22.02+4.06%0.0030✓1.44325k2022-03-01
BFCBifrostEthereum0.166390.165705-0.41%0.16553-0.52%0.0356✓1.2127k2022-03-01
AMPAmpEthereum0.029370.029248-0.41%0.02885-1.77%0.0360✓0.784.1M2022-03-01
GTGateEthereum6.716.6821-0.42%6.7553+0.68%0.0093✓0.712.8M2022-03-01
SPELLSpellEthereum0.004390.004372-0.42%0.00471+7.29%0.0282✗1.639.6M2022-03-01
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.86840.864761-0.42%0.8569-1.32%0.0418✓1.1520.7M2022-03-01
COMPCompoundEthereum120.75120.2391-0.42%125.94+4.30%0.0118✗1.2164k2022-03-01
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.75840.755152-0.43%0.7268-4.17%0.0484✓0.361.3M2022-03-01
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.92585.9003-0.43%5.9499+0.41%0.0004✓0.31385k2022-03-01
LTCLitecoinLitecoin113.82113.3231-0.44%112.65-1.03%0.0381✓1.1329.3M2022-03-01
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.8770.87317-0.44%0.89+1.48%0.0175✓1.292.2M2022-03-01
XYMSymbolnative0.15310.15243-0.44%0.1523-0.52%0.0242✓0.82295k2022-03-01
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum43,136.2042,941.81-0.45%44,139.10+2.32%0.0003✓0.9846k2022-03-01
METRONOMEMETRONOME2.19292.183-0.45%2.2579+2.96%0.0136✗0.7126k2022-03-01
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash339.27337.7149-0.46%328.78-3.09%0.0549✓0.997.3M2022-03-01
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.24540.244273-0.46%0.2576+4.97%0.0274✗0.911.9M2022-03-01
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.37720.375456-0.46%0.3753-0.50%0.0394✓1.378.7M2022-03-01
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.1334510.132832-0.46%0.133991+0.40%0.0182✓0.943.7M2022-03-01
XLMStellarStellar0.1976750.196745-0.47%0.198927+0.63%0.0195✓1.0719.8M2022-03-01
SCSiacoinnative0.009680.009634-0.47%0.00979+1.14%0.0198✓1.26546k2022-03-01
CTSICartesiEthereum0.39430.39243-0.47%0.3996+1.34%0.0228✓1.441.2M2022-03-01
LRCLoopringEthereum0.8230.819068-0.48%0.8359+1.57%0.0211✓1.45270k2022-03-01
DODODODOEthereum0.4610.458796-0.48%0.479+3.90%0.0066✗1.284.2M2022-03-01
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum4.23454.2139-0.48%4.2804+1.09%0.0169✓1.14244k2022-03-01
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.5750510.572257-0.49%0.573577-0.26%0.0302✓1.142.8M2022-03-01
YFIyearn.financeEthereum21,589.2921,484.20-0.49%21,756.24+0.77%0.0154✓0.985.7M2022-03-01
DOTPolkadotPolkadot18.9518.8577-0.49%18.9-0.26%0.0325✓1.2227.9M2022-03-01
XEMNEMnative0.10810.107568-0.49%0.1097+1.48%0.0081✓0.9740k2022-03-01
HIVEHivenative0.98030.975472-0.49%1.0352+5.60%0.0258✗1.182.0M2022-03-01
MOVRMoonriverBase67.76367.4267-0.50%66.4156-1.99%0.0548✓1.40214k2022-03-01
DASHDashDash100.51100.009-0.50%100.01-0.50%0.0324✓1.141.5M2022-03-01
MASKMask NetworkEthereum4.864.8358-0.50%4.86+0.00%0.0382✓1.52430k2022-03-01
GITCOINGITCOIN6.756.7161-0.50%6.823+1.08%0.0240✓1.4027k2022-03-01
FTTFTXEthereum45.9545.7194-0.50%46.25+0.65%0.0191✓1.0820.8M2022-03-01
LINKChainlinkEthereum15.1415.0633-0.51%15.36+1.45%0.0142✓1.1853.4M2022-03-01
RADRadworksEthereum4.854.8253-0.51%5.12+5.57%0.0309✗1.00828k2022-03-01
QTUMQtumQtum6.49256.4594-0.51%6.7053+3.28%0.0007✓1.34184k2022-03-01
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.50070.498145-0.51%0.5253+4.91%0.0141✗1.37484k2022-03-01
AAVEAaveEthereum145.83145.0823-0.51%143.34-1.71%0.0506✓1.356.6M2022-03-01
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.3080.306394-0.52%0.318+3.25%0.0000✓1.312.1M2022-03-01
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum15.3715.2895-0.52%15.26-0.72%0.0442✓1.492.4M2022-03-01
GLMRMoonbeamBase2.6642.6499-0.53%2.626-1.43%0.0471✓1.34584k2022-03-01
SOLSolanaSolana99.7499.2045-0.54%98.7-1.04%0.0414✓1.28127.4M2022-03-01
ETHEthereumEthereum2,923.082,907.33-0.54%2,977.72+1.87%0.0058✓1.05540.3M2022-03-01
XVGVergenative0.010370.010314-0.54%0.01044+0.68%0.0234✓1.251.2M2022-03-01
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.5711.5623-0.55%1.617+2.93%0.0017✓1.151.8M2022-03-01
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.36570.363684-0.55%0.4218+15.34%0.1022✗1.6214.6M2022-03-01
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.79670.792295-0.55%0.8+0.41%0.0215✓1.109.6M2022-03-01
SUNSun TokenTron0.0121480.012081-0.55%0.01249+2.82%0.0039✓1.0316k2022-03-01
ETCEthereum Classicnative30.5330.3608-0.55%30.35-0.59%0.0313✓1.095.1M2022-03-01
FILFilecoinFilecoin21.7221.5989-0.56%20.98-3.41%0.0614✓1.148.6M2022-03-01
LSKLiskEthereum1.71631.7067-0.56%1.9861+15.73%0.1229✗1.0172k2022-03-01
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum1.5661.5573-0.56%1.607+2.62%0.0098✓1.45863k2022-03-01
ASTRAstarEthereum0.1320.131261-0.56%0.123-6.82%0.0814✓0.5844k2022-03-01
GTCGitcoinEthereum6.796.7516-0.57%6.82+0.44%0.0303✓1.421.1M2022-03-01
DKAdKargoEthereum0.092130.091607-0.57%0.09224+0.12%0.0235✓1.0745k2022-03-01
SUSHISushiEthereum3.543.5198-0.57%3.47-1.98%0.0505✓1.276.8M2022-03-01
ZECZcashZcash118.68117.9998-0.57%119.02+0.29%0.0238✓1.147.2M2022-03-01
KCSKuCoinnative20.67720.5581-0.58%20.746+0.33%0.0194✓1.009.3M2022-03-01
COTICOTIEthereum0.23210.230764-0.58%0.2318-0.13%0.0378✓1.482.6M2022-03-01
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.06950.0691-0.58%0.0729+4.89%0.0250✗1.0012k2022-03-01
DIADIAEthereum1.071.0638-0.58%1.06-0.93%0.0113✓0.27286k2022-03-01
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.010990.010926-0.58%0.01146+4.28%0.0082✗1.392.7M2022-03-01
IMXImmutableEthereum1.5641.5549-0.58%1.582+1.15%0.0126✓1.053.4M2022-03-01
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.56960.566205-0.60%0.7582+33.11%0.2543✗1.322.4M2022-03-01
SKLSKALEEthereum0.13030.12952-0.60%0.1362+4.53%0.0138✗1.282.9M2022-03-01
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.035030.03482-0.60%0.03426-2.20%0.0420✓0.901.2M2022-03-01
ARPAARPAEthereum0.0780.07753-0.60%0.0786+0.77%0.0239✓1.321.0M2022-03-01
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.0290.028824-0.61%0.0282-2.76%0.0600✓1.34494k2022-03-01
STXStacksnative1.251.2424-0.61%1.29+3.20%0.0036✓1.19610k2022-03-01
CVCCivicEthereum0.29450.292699-0.61%0.3058+3.84%0.0062✗1.32367k2022-03-01
NMRNumeraireEthereum30.930.7082-0.62%30.86-0.13%0.0217✓0.941.5M2022-03-01
XTZTezosTezos3.54833.5262-0.62%3.4918-1.59%0.0466✓1.292.1M2022-03-01
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0226550.022514-0.62%0.022682+0.12%0.0170✓0.86117k2022-03-01
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.16120.160192-0.63%0.1615+0.19%0.0212✓1.03446k2022-03-01
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum1.361.3515-0.63%1.29-5.15%0.0768✓1.06932k2022-03-01
CBKCobakEthereum2.4772.4614-0.63%2.396-3.27%0.0534✓0.9321k2022-03-01
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche84.5984.0491-0.64%86.96+2.80%0.0068✓1.44116.5M2022-03-01
XMRMoneroMonero170.31169.2093-0.65%177.8+4.40%0.0212✗0.991.0M2022-03-01
SNXSynthetixEthereum4.1544.127-0.65%4.177+0.55%0.0232✓1.242.3M2022-03-01
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum54.4254.0614-0.66%57.19+5.09%0.0195✗1.296.7M2022-03-01
DYDXdYdXCosmos5.8755.8362-0.66%5.771-1.77%0.0414✓1.06189k2022-03-01
PROPropyEthereum1.841.8278-0.66%1.84+0.00%0.0281✓1.22483k2022-03-01
BTTCBTTC0.000001990.000001977-0.66%0.00000199+0.00%0.0124✓0.6714.0M2022-03-01
ZENHorizenBase37.9137.654-0.68%39.34+3.77%0.0027✓1.44280k2022-03-01
CHZChilizEthereum0.19250.191198-0.68%0.1954+1.51%0.0173✓1.372.8M2022-03-01
BTCBitcoinBitcoin43,192.6642,897.67-0.68%44,439.95+2.89%0.0069✓1.00630.5M2022-03-01
UNIUniswapEthereum10.5310.4578-0.69%10.34-1.80%0.0452✓1.1910.8M2022-03-01
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.861.847-0.70%1.99+6.99%0.0370✗1.321.9M2022-03-01
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000025790.00002561-0.70%0.00002713+5.20%0.0223✗1.243.8M2022-03-01
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.072010.071505-0.70%0.07633+6.00%0.0300✗1.2469k2022-03-01
FIDABonfidaSolana1.8361.8231-0.70%1.81-1.42%0.0321✓0.8776k2022-03-01
LPTLivepeerEthereum26.3626.1725-0.71%27.26+3.41%0.0013✓1.381.6M2022-03-01
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum5.635.5899-0.71%5.445-3.29%0.0530✓0.9468k2022-03-01
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0492640.048908-0.72%0.049485+0.45%0.0188✓1.078.1M2022-03-01
BANDBandEthereum3.9343.9055-0.72%4.227+7.45%0.0423✗1.291.8M2022-03-01
MANADecentralandEthereum2.85072.83-0.72%2.8371-0.48%0.0320✓1.213.2M2022-03-01
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum20.1319.9799-0.75%19.34-3.92%0.0660✓1.1821.3M2022-03-01
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.750.744242-0.77%0.78+4.00%0.0019✓1.72995k2022-03-01
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum2.442.4211-0.77%2.46+0.82%0.0127✓1.01254k2022-03-01
ORCAOrcaSolana2.642.6194-0.78%2.58-2.27%0.0436✓1.00490k2022-03-01
UOSUltraEthereum1.32781.3169-0.82%1.3652+2.82%0.0028✓1.362.7M2022-03-01
AVTAventusEthereum2.522.4979-0.88%2.33-7.54%0.0980✓1.00486k2022-03-01
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum1.2361.225-0.89%1.245+0.73%0.0143✓1.071.2M2022-03-01
AUCTIONBounceEthereum14.214.071-0.91%14.09-0.77%0.0300✓1.10331k2022-03-01
OGOG Fan TokenSolana3.2333.2021-0.96%3.203-0.93%0.0245✓0.87477k2022-03-01
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.11043.0792-1.00%3.0922-0.59%0.0211✓0.892.4M2022-03-01
BRISEBitgertEthereum6.40e-76.34e-7-1.01%6.11e-7-4.60%0.0654✓1.001.2M2022-03-01
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos31.3831.0475-1.06%31.14-0.76%0.0299✓1.1550.3M2022-03-01
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.5654.5163-1.07%4.502-1.38%0.0274✓0.85435k2022-03-01
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.02140.021171-1.07%0.02045-4.44%0.0661✓1.112.2M2022-03-01
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.07030.06954-1.08%0.0703+0.00%0.0398✓1.7876.7M2022-03-01
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana16.1816.0048-1.08%15.79-2.41%0.0340✓0.722.2M2022-03-01
CELLCellframeEthereum1.67541.6564-1.13%1.7018+1.58%0.0092✓1.27272k2022-03-01
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.5040.498027-1.19%0.5394+7.02%0.0229✗2.002.1M2022-03-01
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana10.1510.0187-1.29%10.14-0.10%0.0070✓0.67928k2022-03-01
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.11963.079-1.30%3.1217+0.07%0.0113✓0.883.6M2022-03-01
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana5.515.4346-1.37%5.52+0.18%0.0089✓0.86510k2022-03-01
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana6.66.5008-1.50%6.51-1.36%0.0239✓0.89452k2022-03-01
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.1153.0656-1.59%3.071-1.41%0.0238✓0.90218k2022-03-01
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum2.43912.396-1.77%2.5724+5.47%0.0461✗0.882.7M2022-03-01
LUNATerraTerra 291.3889.7416-1.79%89.72-1.82%0.0417✓1.464.5M2022-03-01
API3Api3Ethereum7.5297.3878-1.88%8.094+7.50%0.0778✗0.472.3M2022-03-01
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.3173.2484-2.07%3.193-3.74%0.0447✓0.97741k2022-03-01
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana7.557.3904-2.11%8.27+9.54%0.0869✗0.90461k2022-03-01
UMAUMAEthereum7.2287.0337-2.69%9.447+30.70%0.2565✗1.351.9M2022-03-01
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.