2022-02-28 · +30d

beta_5y · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 151 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.

+1d +7d +30d asset cohort only

rank IC

+0.1851

151 of 151 tokens assessed

long-short decile

+4.96%

realised beta-adjusted alpha

direction hit

54.3%

in alpha space · 51.3% on raw price

BTC over horizon

+9.00%

the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (151 rows, sorted by pred)

token	name	chain	anchor px	pred px ▾	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d	vol 30d	target
DNT	district0x	Ethereum	0.073	0.076818	+5.23%	0.0871	+19.32%	0.0404	✓	0.99	160k	2022-03-30
TKO	Tokocrypto	Binance Smart Chain	0.697	0.729772	+4.70%	0.818	+17.36%	0.0214	✓	1.08	2.4M	2022-03-30
SHIB	Shiba Inu	Ethereum	0.00002579	0.000026881	+4.23%	0.00002736	+6.09%	0.0893	✗	1.24	3.8M	2022-03-30
LTC	Litecoin	Litecoin	113.82	118.4451	+4.06%	131.12	+15.20%	0.0043	✓	1.13	29.3M	2022-03-30
JUV	Juventus Fan Token	Solana	6.6	6.8567	+3.89%	6.66	+0.91%	0.1058	✗	0.89	452k	2022-03-30
PHA	PHALA	Ethereum	0.236	0.245094	+3.85%	0.291	+23.31%	0.0982	✓	0.85	59k	2022-03-30
ATM	Atletico Madrid Fan Token	Solana	5.51	5.7036	+3.51%	8.17	+48.28%	0.2852	✓	0.86	510k	2022-03-30
BCHSV	Bitcoin Cash SV		88.67	91.6874	+3.40%	97.98	+10.50%	0.0066	✓	0.85	905k	2022-03-30
XEM	NEM	native	0.1081	0.111578	+3.22%	0.1223	+13.14%	0.0079	✓	0.97	40k	2022-03-30
CITY	Manchester City Fan Token	Solana	10.15	10.4616	+3.07%	15.89	+56.55%	0.3605	✓	0.67	928k	2022-03-30
1INCH	1INCH	Ethereum	1.505	1.5511	+3.07%	1.838	+22.13%	0.0730	✓	1.12	931k	2022-03-30
BCH	Bitcoin Cash	Bitcoin Cash	339.27	349.6358	+3.06%	380.29	+12.09%	0.0009	✓	0.99	7.3M	2022-03-30
QNT	Quant	Ethereum	115.74	119.228	+3.01%	143.18	+23.71%	0.0982	✓	0.99	6.3M	2022-03-30
TRX	TRON	Tron	0.061786	0.063584	+2.91%	0.073058	+18.24%	0.0725	✓	0.77	286k	2022-03-30
ADA	Cardano	Cardano	0.964	0.991174	+2.82%	1.1906	+23.51%	0.0868	✓	1.12	96.0M	2022-03-30
ACM	AC Milan Fan Token	Solana	4.565	4.6871	+2.67%	7.08	+55.09%	0.3390	✓	0.85	435k	2022-03-30
QTUM	Qtum	Qtum	6.4925	6.6628	+2.62%	8.8728	+36.66%	0.1712	✓	1.34	184k	2022-03-30
TWT	Trust Wallet	Binance Smart Chain	0.5696	0.584082	+2.54%	1.2858	+125.74%	0.6750	✓	1.32	2.4M	2022-03-30
XVS	Venus	Ethereum	9.33	9.5652	+2.52%	11.27	+20.79%	0.0589	✓	1.22	3.1M	2022-03-30
OXT	Orchid Protocol	Ethereum	0.2454	0.251407	+2.45%	0.293	+19.40%	0.0751	✓	0.91	1.9M	2022-03-30
ASR	AS Roma Fan Token	Solana	3.115	3.1888	+2.37%	3.964	+27.26%	0.1402	✓	0.90	218k	2022-03-30
DEXE	DeXe	Ethereum	6.6	6.7557	+2.36%	6.85	+3.79%	0.0301	✗	0.51	1.1M	2022-03-30
DKA	dKargo	Ethereum	0.09213	0.094279	+2.33%	0.11481	+24.62%	0.1052	✓	1.07	45k	2022-03-30
WBTC	Wrapped Bitcoin	Ethereum	43,136.20	44,136.41	+2.32%	47,057.40	+9.09%	0.0199	✓	0.98	46k	2022-03-30
DOGE	Dogecoin	Dogecoin	0.133451	0.136367	+2.18%	0.142853	+7.05%	0.0349	✗	0.94	3.7M	2022-03-30
BEL	Bella Protocol	Ethereum	0.877	0.89613	+2.18%	1.12	+27.71%	0.1122	✓	1.29	2.2M	2022-03-30
MED	Medibloc	Osmosis	0.04194	0.042837	+2.14%	0.05135	+22.44%	0.0953	✓	1.00	29k	2022-03-30
BFC	Bifrost	Ethereum	0.16639	0.169795	+2.05%	0.16978	+2.04%	0.1045	✗	1.21	27k	2022-03-30
XLM	Stellar	Stellar	0.197675	0.201422	+1.90%	0.234742	+18.75%	0.0608	✓	1.07	19.8M	2022-03-30
ZEN	Horizen	Base	37.91	38.6161	+1.86%	49.86	+31.52%	0.1313	✓	1.44	280k	2022-03-30
ANKR	Ankr Network	Ethereum	0.07201	0.073315	+1.81%	0.09268	+28.70%	0.1277	✓	1.24	69k	2022-03-30
ETH	Ethereum	Ethereum	2,923.08	2,973.84	+1.74%	3,386.68	+15.86%	0.0399	✓	1.05	540.3M	2022-03-30
DASH	Dash	Dash	100.51	102.242	+1.72%	132.65	+31.98%	0.1623	✓	1.14	1.5M	2022-03-30
PSG	Paris Saint-Germain Fan Token	Solana	16.18	16.4569	+1.71%	13.77	-14.89%	0.2403	✗	0.72	2.2M	2022-03-30
SOL	Solana	Solana	99.74	101.3052	+1.57%	120.79	+21.10%	0.0660	✓	1.28	127.4M	2022-03-30
PORTO	FC Porto	Binance Smart Chain	3.1196	3.1665	+1.50%	4.3201	+38.48%	0.2347	✓	0.88	3.6M	2022-03-30
XEC	eCash	native	0.00007869	0.000079847	+1.47%	0.00009555	+21.43%	0.0845	✓	1.10	4.4M	2022-03-30
OGN	Origin Token	Ethereum	0.308	0.312448	+1.44%	0.666	+116.23%	0.6443	✓	1.31	2.1M	2022-03-30
CTSI	Cartesi	Ethereum	0.3943	0.399954	+1.43%	0.4469	+13.34%	0.0129	✓	1.44	1.2M	2022-03-30
LAZIO	Lazio Fan Token	Binance Smart Chain	3.1104	3.1536	+1.39%	4.3	+38.25%	0.2334	✓	0.89	2.4M	2022-03-30
EWT	Energy Web Token	Ethereum	5.63	5.6943	+1.14%	6.258	+11.15%	0.0136	✓	0.94	68k	2022-03-30
SC	Siacoin	native	0.00968	0.009785	+1.08%	0.01247	+28.82%	0.1341	✓	1.26	546k	2022-03-30
ZEC	Zcash	Zcash	118.68	119.8372	+0.98%	192.01	+61.79%	0.3735	✓	1.14	7.2M	2022-03-30
VSYS	V.SYSTEMS	native	0.01231	0.012428	+0.96%	0.01346	+9.34%	0.0156	✓	0.75	12k	2022-03-30
GITCOIN	GITCOIN		6.75	6.8117	+0.91%	7.714	+14.28%	0.0039	✓	1.40	27k	2022-03-30
DYDX	dYdX	Cosmos	5.875	5.924	+0.83%	6.28	+6.89%	0.0330	✗	1.06	189k	2022-03-30
CTK	Shentu	Osmosis	1.164	1.1731	+0.78%	1.385	+18.99%	0.0617	✓	1.21	2.9M	2022-03-30
COTI	COTI	Ethereum	0.2321	0.233909	+0.78%	0.2868	+23.57%	0.0760	✓	1.48	2.6M	2022-03-30
METRONOME	METRONOME		2.1929	2.2098	+0.77%	2.6933	+22.82%	0.1370	✓	0.71	26k	2022-03-30
CHZ	Chiliz	Ethereum	0.1925	0.19397	+0.76%	0.3009	+56.31%	0.3208	✓	1.37	2.8M	2022-03-30
KSM	Kusama	Hydration	130.28	131.2459	+0.74%	188.4	+44.61%	0.2630	✓	1.14	930k	2022-03-30
ETC	Ethereum Classic	native	30.53	30.7478	+0.71%	49.64	+62.59%	0.3854	✓	1.09	5.1M	2022-03-30
GRT	The Graph	Ethereum	0.3772	0.379764	+0.68%	0.4825	+27.92%	0.1214	✓	1.37	8.7M	2022-03-30
CBK	Cobak	Ethereum	2.477	2.4938	+0.68%	2.741	+10.66%	0.0143	✓	0.93	21k	2022-03-30
BTC	Bitcoin	Bitcoin	43,192.66	43,445.98	+0.59%	47,078.03	+9.00%	0.0058	✗	1.00	630.5M	2022-03-30
GT	Gate	Ethereum	6.71	6.7468	+0.55%	6.7657	+0.83%	0.0584	✗	0.71	2.8M	2022-03-30
XPR	XPR Network	Ethereum	0.01099	0.011038	+0.44%	0.01386	+26.11%	0.1080	✓	1.39	2.7M	2022-03-30
AUCTION	Bounce	Ethereum	14.2	14.2621	+0.44%	16.49	+16.13%	0.0502	✓	1.10	331k	2022-03-30
MTL	Metal DAO	Metal L2	1.571	1.5774	+0.41%	2.108	+34.18%	0.1910	✓	1.15	1.8M	2022-03-30
UNI	Uniswap	Ethereum	10.53	10.572	+0.40%	11.74	+11.49%	0.0023	✓	1.19	10.8M	2022-03-30
KCS	KuCoin	native	20.677	20.757	+0.39%	21.318	+3.10%	0.0597	✗	1.00	9.3M	2022-03-30
LSK	Lisk	Ethereum	1.7163	1.7228	+0.38%	2.6562	+54.77%	0.3459	✓	1.01	72k	2022-03-30
XVG	Verge	native	0.01037	0.010409	+0.37%	0.01212	+16.88%	0.0446	✓	1.25	1.2M	2022-03-30
HIVE	Hive	native	0.9803	0.982125	+0.19%	1.1817	+20.54%	0.0834	✓	1.18	2.0M	2022-03-30
DOT	Polkadot	Polkadot	18.95	18.9852	+0.19%	22.46	+18.52%	0.0628	✓	1.22	27.9M	2022-03-30
ORBS	Orbs	Ethereum	0.0695	0.069624	+0.18%	0.08935	+28.56%	0.1631	✓	1.00	12k	2022-03-30
BAT	Basic Attention	Ethereum	0.74117	0.742108	+0.13%	0.89959	+21.37%	0.0739	✓	1.38	206k	2022-03-30
ALGO	Algorand	Algorand	0.8684	0.868939	+0.06%	0.9268	+6.73%	0.0343	✗	1.15	20.7M	2022-03-30
AMP	Amp	Ethereum	0.02937	0.029376	+0.02%	0.02759	-6.06%	0.1302	✗	0.78	4.1M	2022-03-30
AGLD	Adventure Gold	Ethereum	1.236	1.2356	-0.03%	2.11	+70.71%	0.4427	✗	1.07	1.2M	2022-03-30
RAD	Radworks	Ethereum	4.85	4.8463	-0.08%	5.49	+13.20%	0.0387	✗	1.00	828k	2022-03-30
MINA	Mina Protocol	native	2.21	2.207	-0.14%	2.66	+20.36%	0.0853	✗	1.18	343k	2022-03-30
BNT	Bancor Network	Ethereum	2.44	2.4351	-0.20%	2.77	+13.52%	0.0422	✗	1.01	254k	2022-03-30
UOS	Ultra	Ethereum	1.3278	1.325	-0.21%	1.3034	-1.84%	0.1338	✓	1.36	2.7M	2022-03-30
IMX	Immutable	Ethereum	1.564	1.5606	-0.22%	2.64	+68.80%	0.4351	✗	1.05	3.4M	2022-03-30
IOTA	IOTA	IOTA	0.7967	0.794826	-0.24%	0.892	+11.96%	0.0209	✗	1.10	9.6M	2022-03-30
AVAX	Avalanche	Avalanche	84.59	84.3106	-0.33%	95.57	+12.98%	0.0017	✓	1.44	116.5M	2022-03-30
AAVE	Aave	Ethereum	145.83	145.3075	-0.36%	223.52	+53.27%	0.3141	✗	1.35	6.6M	2022-03-30
XMR	Monero	Monero	170.31	169.6764	-0.37%	221.39	+29.99%	0.1805	✗	0.99	1.0M	2022-03-30
ENS	Ethereum Name Service	Ethereum	15.37	15.3102	-0.39%	19.25	+25.24%	0.1010	✗	1.49	2.4M	2022-03-30
COMP	Compound	Ethereum	120.75	120.2527	-0.41%	156.18	+29.34%	0.1570	✗	1.21	64k	2022-03-30
XYM	Symbol	native	0.1531	0.152358	-0.48%	0.1493	-2.48%	0.0908	✓	0.82	295k	2022-03-30
LINK	Chainlink	Ethereum	15.14	15.0656	-0.49%	17.23	+13.80%	0.0322	✗	1.18	53.4M	2022-03-30
XTZ	Tezos	Tezos	3.5483	3.5295	-0.53%	3.8297	+7.93%	0.0298	✓	1.29	2.1M	2022-03-30
NANO	nanopay	Base	1.9381	1.9275	-0.55%	2.5355	+30.82%	0.1718	✗	1.19	179k	2022-03-30
STORJ	Storj	Ethereum	1.0426	1.0365	-0.58%	1.4172	+35.93%	0.1983	✗	1.33	162k	2022-03-30
OMG	OMG Network	Ethereum	4.2345	4.2097	-0.58%	5.69	+34.37%	0.2028	✗	1.14	244k	2022-03-30
NMR	Numeraire	Ethereum	30.9	30.6629	-0.77%	31.8	+2.91%	0.0442	✓	0.94	1.5M	2022-03-30
CWEB	Coinweb	Ethereum	0.022655	0.022472	-0.81%	0.03562	+57.23%	0.3867	✗	0.86	117k	2022-03-30
ENJ	Enjin Coin	Ethereum	1.566	1.5533	-0.81%	1.793	+14.50%	0.0187	✗	1.45	863k	2022-03-30
MANA	Decentraland	Ethereum	2.8507	2.8247	-0.91%	2.7035	-5.16%	0.1482	✓	1.21	3.2M	2022-03-30
RIF	Rootstock Infrastructure Framework	Ethereum	0.1612	0.159689	-0.94%	0.1668	+3.47%	0.0453	✓	1.03	446k	2022-03-30
JASMY	JasmyCoin	Ethereum	0.01796	0.017788	-0.96%	0.03793	+111.19%	0.6240	✗	1.55	12.5M	2022-03-30
ACH	Alchemy Pay	Ethereum	0.049264	0.048782	-0.98%	0.043539	-11.62%	0.2060	✓	1.07	8.1M	2022-03-30
FTT	FTX	Ethereum	45.95	45.4544	-1.08%	51.17	+11.36%	0.0257	✗	1.08	20.8M	2022-03-30
AVT	Aventus	Ethereum	2.52	2.4917	-1.12%	2.73	+8.33%	0.0052	✓	1.00	486k	2022-03-30
DODO	DODO	Ethereum	0.461	0.455477	-1.20%	0.546	+18.44%	0.0708	✗	1.28	4.2M	2022-03-30
STX	Stacks	native	1.25	1.2346	-1.23%	1.54	+23.20%	0.1182	✗	1.19	610k	2022-03-30
TRAC	OriginTrail	Ethereum	0.5007	0.49432	-1.27%	0.6894	+37.69%	0.2146	✗	1.37	484k	2022-03-30
SKL	SKALE	Ethereum	0.1303	0.128611	-1.30%	0.2226	+70.84%	0.4381	✗	1.28	2.9M	2022-03-30
DIA	DIA	Ethereum	1.07	1.0554	-1.37%	1.07	+0.00%	0.0097	✓	0.27	286k	2022-03-30
BAR	FC Barcelona Fan Token	Solana	7.55	7.4442	-1.40%	9.04	+19.74%	0.1170	✗	0.90	461k	2022-03-30
SANTOS	Santos FC Fan Token	Binance Smart Chain	3.317	3.2702	-1.41%	6.347	+91.35%	0.5798	✗	0.97	741k	2022-03-30
AXS	Axie Infinity	Ethereum	54.42	53.6229	-1.46%	64.42	+18.38%	0.0723	✗	1.29	6.7M	2022-03-30
ZRX	0x Protocol	Ethereum	0.575051	0.565852	-1.60%	0.818426	+42.32%	0.2708	✗	1.14	2.8M	2022-03-30
RLC	iExec RLC	Ethereum	1.86	1.825	-1.88%	2.41	+29.57%	0.1645	✗	1.32	1.9M	2022-03-30
MASK	Mask Network	Ethereum	4.86	4.7649	-1.96%	5.61	+15.43%	0.0324	✗	1.52	430k	2022-03-30
ASM	Assemble AI	Ethereum	0.04871	0.04773	-2.01%	0.05567	+14.29%	0.0495	✗	1.21	686k	2022-03-30
OG	OG Fan Token	Solana	3.233	3.166	-2.07%	4.213	+30.31%	0.2108	✗	0.87	477k	2022-03-30
BAND	Band	Ethereum	3.934	3.8519	-2.09%	4.904	+24.66%	0.1301	✗	1.29	1.8M	2022-03-30
KNC	Kyber Network Crystal	Ethereum	2.4391	2.3879	-2.10%	3.4679	+42.18%	0.2975	✗	0.88	2.7M	2022-03-30
CVC	Civic	Ethereum	0.2945	0.288232	-2.13%	0.3732	+26.72%	0.1445	✗	1.32	367k	2022-03-30
TRB	Tellor Tributes	Ethereum	21.16	20.6914	-2.21%	25.48	+20.42%	0.0844	✗	1.44	325k	2022-03-30
FIL	Filecoin	Filecoin	21.72	21.238	-2.22%	25.9	+19.24%	0.1007	✗	1.14	8.6M	2022-03-30
ARPA	ARPA	Ethereum	0.078	0.076132	-2.40%	0.0883	+13.21%	0.0346	✗	1.32	1.0M	2022-03-30
XYO	XYO Network	Ethereum	0.0214	0.020877	-2.44%	0.02037	-4.81%	0.1198	✓	1.11	2.2M	2022-03-30
POWR	Powerledger	Ethereum	0.5607	0.546971	-2.45%	0.5854	+4.41%	0.0104	✓	0.91	641k	2022-03-30
BTTC	BTTC		0.00000199	0.00000194	-2.50%	0.00000212	+6.53%	0.0310	✗	0.67	14.0M	2022-03-30
ATOM	Cosmos Hub	Cosmos	31.38	30.5454	-2.66%	30.02	-4.33%	0.1168	✓	1.15	50.3M	2022-03-30
SUPER	SuperVerse	Ethereum	0.75	0.729231	-2.77%	0.8	+6.67%	0.0551	✓	1.72	995k	2022-03-30
SNX	Synthetix	Ethereum	4.154	4.0332	-2.91%	6.643	+59.92%	0.3923	✗	1.24	2.3M	2022-03-30
LPT	Livepeer	Ethereum	26.36	25.5889	-2.93%	30.69	+16.43%	0.0627	✗	1.38	1.6M	2022-03-30
CELL	Cellframe	Ethereum	1.6754	1.6248	-3.02%	1.47	-12.26%	0.2098	✓	1.27	272k	2022-03-30
FIDA	Bonfida	Solana	1.836	1.7802	-3.04%	1.937	+5.50%	0.0091	✓	0.87	76k	2022-03-30
LCX	LCX	Ethereum	0.0857	0.083073	-3.07%	0.1259	+46.91%	0.2895	✗	1.47	613k	2022-03-30
LEO	LEO Token	Ethereum	5.9258	5.7415	-3.11%	6.0877	+2.73%	0.0319	✗	0.31	385k	2022-03-30
LRC	Loopring	Ethereum	0.823	0.796415	-3.23%	1.2646	+53.66%	0.3371	✗	1.45	270k	2022-03-30
YFI	yearn.finance	Ethereum	21,589.29	20,886.38	-3.26%	24,045.64	+11.38%	0.0561	✗	0.98	5.7M	2022-03-30
BICO	Biconomy	Ethereum	1.352	1.3033	-3.60%	1.747	+29.22%	0.1795	✗	1.32	2.0M	2022-03-30
GODS	Gods Unchained	Ethereum	1.36	1.306	-3.97%	1.52	+11.76%	0.0601	✗	1.06	932k	2022-03-30
ORCA	Orca	Solana	2.64	2.5342	-4.01%	2.38	-9.85%	0.1489	✓	1.00	490k	2022-03-30
API3	Api3	Ethereum	7.529	7.2084	-4.26%	5.642	-25.06%	0.2857	✓	0.47	2.3M	2022-03-30
UMA	UMA	Ethereum	7.228	6.9115	-4.38%	8.072	+11.68%	0.0389	✓	1.35	1.9M	2022-03-30
LUNA	Terra	Terra 2	91.38	87.2348	-4.54%	105.96	+15.96%	0.0690	✗	1.46	4.5M	2022-03-30
SUSHI	Sushi	Ethereum	3.54	3.3763	-4.63%	4.47	+26.27%	0.1710	✗	1.27	6.8M	2022-03-30
GLMR	Moonbeam	Base	2.664	2.5384	-4.71%	3.313	+24.36%	0.1512	✗	1.34	584k	2022-03-30
ICP	Internet Computer	Ethereum	20.13	19.1413	-4.91%	21.81	+8.35%	0.0293	✓	1.18	21.3M	2022-03-30
SPELL	Spell	Ethereum	0.00439	0.004154	-5.38%	0.00461	+5.01%	0.0360	✓	1.63	9.6M	2022-03-30
ASTR	Astar	Ethereum	0.132	0.12489	-5.39%	0.151	+14.39%	0.1403	✗	0.58	44k	2022-03-30
GTC	Gitcoin	Ethereum	6.79	6.4208	-5.44%	7.88	+16.05%	0.0825	✗	1.42	1.1M	2022-03-30
PEOPLE	ConstitutionDAO	Ethereum	0.0703	0.066405	-5.54%	0.0808	+14.94%	0.0429	✓	1.78	76.7M	2022-03-30
BRISE	Bitgert	Ethereum	6.40e-7	6.04e-7	-5.73%	9.33e-7	+45.74%	0.3495	✗	1.00	1.2M	2022-03-30
DUSK	DUSK	Ethereum	0.3657	0.343513	-6.07%	0.4822	+31.86%	0.1999	✗	1.62	14.6M	2022-03-30
CERE	Cere Network	Ethereum	0.029	0.02722	-6.14%	0.03322	+14.55%	0.0839	✗	1.34	494k	2022-03-30
PRO	Propy	Ethereum	1.84	1.7209	-6.47%	1.69	-8.15%	0.1232	✓	1.22	483k	2022-03-30
CRV	Curve DAO	Ethereum	2.442	2.2833	-6.50%	2.814	+15.23%	0.0832	✗	1.46	13.6M	2022-03-30
NCT	PolySwarm	Ethereum	0.03503	0.032565	-7.04%	0.04133	+17.98%	0.1604	✗	0.90	1.2M	2022-03-30
NAKA	Nakamoto Games	Polygon	0.504	0.4656	-7.62%	0.5986	+18.77%	0.0790	✓	2.00	2.1M	2022-03-30
MOVR	Moonriver	Base	67.763	62.4371	-7.86%	69.3339	+2.32%	0.0155	✓	1.40	214k	2022-03-30
SUN	Sun Token	Tron	0.012148	0.010874	-10.49%	0.015574	+28.20%	0.2704	✗	1.03	16k	2022-03-30
POKT	Pocket Network	Ethereum	0.7584	0.669511	-11.72%	1.0802	+42.43%	0.4476	✗	0.36	1.3M	2022-03-30

Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.