8=======>

2022-02-28 · +1d

beta_5y · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 151 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.1940
151 of 151 tokens assessed
long-short decile
-2.42%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
76.8%
in alpha space · 40.4% on raw price
BTC over horizon
+2.89%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (151 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
UMAUMAEthereum7.2287.0983-1.79%9.447+30.70%0.2474✗1.351.9M2022-03-01
LUNATerraTerra 291.3890.168-1.33%89.72-1.82%0.0464✓1.464.5M2022-03-01
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.3173.2767-1.22%3.193-3.74%0.0534✓0.97741k2022-03-01
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.5040.497928-1.20%0.5394+7.02%0.0231✗2.002.1M2022-03-01
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana7.557.4591-1.20%8.27+9.54%0.0777✗0.90461k2022-03-01
API3Api3Ethereum7.5297.4431-1.14%8.094+7.50%0.0704✗0.472.3M2022-03-01
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.75840.750439-1.05%0.7268-4.17%0.0422✓0.361.3M2022-03-01
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.07030.06961-0.98%0.0703+0.00%0.0408✓1.7876.7M2022-03-01
SUNSun TokenTron0.0121480.012035-0.93%0.01249+2.82%0.0077✓1.0316k2022-03-01
MOVRMoonriverBase67.76367.1545-0.90%66.4156-1.99%0.0508✓1.40214k2022-03-01
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.0290.028754-0.85%0.0282-2.76%0.0576✓1.34494k2022-03-01
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum2.43912.4186-0.84%2.5724+5.47%0.0366✗0.882.7M2022-03-01
CRVCurve DAOEthereum2.4422.4218-0.83%2.546+4.26%0.0084✗1.4613.6M2022-03-01
GLMRMoonbeamBase2.6642.6428-0.79%2.626-1.43%0.0444✓1.34584k2022-03-01
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.36570.362902-0.77%0.4218+15.34%0.1044✗1.6214.6M2022-03-01
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.1153.0914-0.76%3.071-1.41%0.0322✓0.90218k2022-03-01
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos31.3831.1576-0.71%31.14-0.76%0.0334✓1.1550.3M2022-03-01
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.035030.034785-0.70%0.03426-2.20%0.0410✓0.901.2M2022-03-01
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana6.66.555-0.68%6.51-1.36%0.0322✓0.89452k2022-03-01
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum20.1319.9964-0.66%19.34-3.92%0.0668✓1.1821.3M2022-03-01
BRISEBitgertEthereum6.40e-76.36e-7-0.66%6.11e-7-4.60%0.0689✓1.001.2M2022-03-01
CELLCellframeEthereum1.67541.6649-0.63%1.7018+1.58%0.0143✓1.27272k2022-03-01
BICOBiconomyEthereum1.3521.3436-0.62%1.328-1.78%0.0492✓1.322.0M2022-03-01
ASTRAstarEthereum0.1320.131204-0.60%0.123-6.82%0.0810✓0.5844k2022-03-01
PROPropyEthereum1.841.829-0.60%1.84+0.00%0.0287✓1.22483k2022-03-01
OGOG Fan TokenSolana3.2333.2141-0.59%3.203-0.93%0.0282✓0.87477k2022-03-01
YFIyearn.financeEthereum21,589.2921,463.35-0.58%21,756.24+0.77%0.0145✓0.985.7M2022-03-01
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum1.361.3522-0.58%1.29-5.15%0.0774✓1.06932k2022-03-01
SUSHISushiEthereum3.543.5199-0.57%3.47-1.98%0.0505✓1.276.8M2022-03-01
LRCLoopringEthereum0.8230.818467-0.55%0.8359+1.57%0.0203✓1.45270k2022-03-01
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum2.442.4266-0.55%2.46+0.82%0.0150✓1.01254k2022-03-01
GTCGitcoinEthereum6.796.753-0.55%6.82+0.44%0.0305✓1.421.1M2022-03-01
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.02140.021284-0.54%0.02045-4.44%0.0714✓1.112.2M2022-03-01
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana5.515.4804-0.54%5.52+0.18%0.0173✓0.86510k2022-03-01
SPELLSpellEthereum0.004390.004367-0.52%0.00471+7.29%0.0292✗1.639.6M2022-03-01
AUCTIONBounceEthereum14.214.1275-0.51%14.09-0.77%0.0341✓1.10331k2022-03-01
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.017960.01787-0.50%0.01656-7.80%0.1202✓1.5512.5M2022-03-01
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum1.2361.23-0.49%1.245+0.73%0.0184✓1.071.2M2022-03-01
XMRMoneroMonero170.31169.4919-0.48%177.8+4.40%0.0196✗0.991.0M2022-03-01
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.11043.0957-0.47%3.0922-0.59%0.0265✓0.892.4M2022-03-01
DIADIAEthereum1.071.0649-0.47%1.06-0.93%0.0124✓0.27286k2022-03-01
ORCAOrcaSolana2.642.6277-0.47%2.58-2.27%0.0468✓1.00490k2022-03-01
FILFilecoinFilecoin21.7221.6239-0.44%20.98-3.41%0.0625✓1.148.6M2022-03-01
AVTAventusEthereum2.522.5089-0.44%2.33-7.54%0.1025✓1.00486k2022-03-01
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.56070.558237-0.44%0.5765+2.82%0.0063✗0.91641k2022-03-01
ARPAARPAEthereum0.0780.077671-0.42%0.0786+0.77%0.0257✓1.321.0M2022-03-01
SNXSynthetixEthereum4.1544.1367-0.42%4.177+0.55%0.0256✓1.242.3M2022-03-01
CVCCivicEthereum0.29450.293302-0.41%0.3058+3.84%0.0041✗1.32367k2022-03-01
BANDBandEthereum3.9343.9181-0.40%4.227+7.45%0.0391✗1.291.8M2022-03-01
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.861.8526-0.40%1.99+6.99%0.0340✗1.321.9M2022-03-01
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana10.1510.1098-0.40%10.14-0.10%0.0160✓0.67928k2022-03-01
FIDABonfidaSolana1.8361.8288-0.39%1.81-1.42%0.0352✓0.8776k2022-03-01
CBKCobakEthereum2.4772.4673-0.39%2.396-3.27%0.0558✓0.9321k2022-03-01
LPTLivepeerEthereum26.3626.2586-0.38%27.26+3.41%0.0019✓1.381.6M2022-03-01
STXStacksnative1.251.2453-0.38%1.29+3.20%0.0013✓1.19610k2022-03-01
MASKMask NetworkEthereum4.864.8417-0.38%4.86+0.00%0.0395✓1.52430k2022-03-01
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.16120.160594-0.38%0.1615+0.19%0.0237✓1.03446k2022-03-01
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.750.747181-0.38%0.78+4.00%0.0058✓1.72995k2022-03-01
FTTFTXEthereum45.9545.7791-0.37%46.25+0.65%0.0204✓1.0820.8M2022-03-01
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0226550.022571-0.37%0.022682+0.12%0.0195✓0.86117k2022-03-01
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.92585.9041-0.37%5.9499+0.41%0.0011✓0.31385k2022-03-01
BTTCBTTC0.000001990.000001983-0.36%0.00000199+0.00%0.0154✓0.6714.0M2022-03-01
DOTPolkadotPolkadot18.9518.8817-0.36%18.9-0.26%0.0338✓1.2227.9M2022-03-01
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum5.635.6098-0.36%5.445-3.29%0.0565✓0.9468k2022-03-01
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0492640.049089-0.36%0.049485+0.45%0.0225✓1.078.1M2022-03-01
TRBTellor TributesEthereum21.1621.0855-0.35%22.02+4.06%0.0025✓1.44325k2022-03-01
UNIUniswapEthereum10.5310.4932-0.35%10.34-1.80%0.0486✓1.1910.8M2022-03-01
IMXImmutableEthereum1.5641.5586-0.35%1.582+1.15%0.0150✓1.053.4M2022-03-01
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.11963.109-0.34%3.1217+0.07%0.0210✓0.883.6M2022-03-01
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum43,136.2042,991.03-0.34%44,139.10+2.32%0.0014✓0.9846k2022-03-01
LINKChainlinkEthereum15.1415.0891-0.34%15.36+1.45%0.0159✓1.1853.4M2022-03-01
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.5654.5496-0.34%4.502-1.38%0.0348✓0.85435k2022-03-01
XTZTezosTezos3.54833.5364-0.34%3.4918-1.59%0.0495✓1.292.1M2022-03-01
BTCBitcoinBitcoin43,192.6643,047.89-0.34%44,439.95+2.89%0.0034✓1.00630.5M2022-03-01
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.048710.048547-0.33%0.04868-0.06%0.0318✓1.21686k2022-03-01
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.010990.010953-0.33%0.01146+4.28%0.0057✗1.392.7M2022-03-01
UOSUltraEthereum1.32781.3234-0.33%1.3652+2.82%0.0077✓1.362.7M2022-03-01
ETCEthereum Classicnative30.5330.4307-0.33%30.35-0.59%0.0336✓1.095.1M2022-03-01
RADRadworksEthereum4.854.8344-0.32%5.12+5.57%0.0290✗1.00828k2022-03-01
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana16.1816.1285-0.32%15.79-2.41%0.0417✓0.722.2M2022-03-01
DODODODOEthereum0.4610.459558-0.31%0.479+3.90%0.0049✗1.284.2M2022-03-01
AMPAmpEthereum0.029370.02928-0.31%0.02885-1.77%0.0371✓0.784.1M2022-03-01
LCXLCXEthereum0.08570.085436-0.31%0.1048+22.29%0.1625✗1.47613k2022-03-01
XVGVergenative0.010370.010338-0.30%0.01044+0.68%0.0258✓1.251.2M2022-03-01
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum54.4254.2544-0.30%57.19+5.09%0.0160✗1.296.7M2022-03-01
NMRNumeraireEthereum30.930.8061-0.30%30.86-0.13%0.0249✓0.941.5M2022-03-01
ZENHorizenBase37.9137.7963-0.30%39.34+3.77%0.0010✓1.44280k2022-03-01
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.50070.499212-0.30%0.5253+4.91%0.0119✗1.37484k2022-03-01
SKLSKALEEthereum0.13030.129915-0.30%0.1362+4.53%0.0107✗1.282.9M2022-03-01
CHZChilizEthereum0.19250.191932-0.30%0.1954+1.51%0.0212✓1.372.8M2022-03-01
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.79670.794369-0.29%0.8+0.41%0.0241✓1.109.6M2022-03-01
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.5750510.573374-0.29%0.573577-0.26%0.0321✓1.142.8M2022-03-01
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.86840.865874-0.29%0.8569-1.32%0.0430✓1.1520.7M2022-03-01
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche84.5984.3474-0.29%86.96+2.80%0.0104✓1.44116.5M2022-03-01
AAVEAaveEthereum145.83145.43-0.27%143.34-1.71%0.0530✓1.356.6M2022-03-01
ADACardanoCardano0.9640.961394-0.27%0.9643+0.03%0.0289✓1.1296.0M2022-03-01
CTKShentuOsmosis1.1641.1611-0.25%1.224+5.15%0.0183✗1.212.9M2022-03-01
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum4.23454.2239-0.25%4.2804+1.09%0.0193✓1.14244k2022-03-01
MANADecentralandEthereum2.85072.8435-0.25%2.8371-0.48%0.0368✓1.213.2M2022-03-01
KSMKusamaHydration130.28129.9571-0.25%138.55+6.35%0.0315✗1.14930k2022-03-01
HIVEHivenative0.98030.977871-0.25%1.0352+5.60%0.0234✗1.182.0M2022-03-01
LSKLiskEthereum1.71631.712-0.25%1.9861+15.73%0.1198✗1.0172k2022-03-01
COMPCompoundEthereum120.75120.458-0.24%125.94+4.30%0.0100✗1.2164k2022-03-01
DASHDashDash100.51100.2675-0.24%100.01-0.50%0.0350✓1.141.5M2022-03-01
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.37720.376304-0.24%0.3753-0.50%0.0417✓1.378.7M2022-03-01
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum15.3715.334-0.23%15.26-0.72%0.0471✓1.492.4M2022-03-01
STORJStorjEthereum1.04261.0402-0.23%1.0846+4.03%0.0040✗1.33162k2022-03-01
XYMSymbolnative0.15310.152747-0.23%0.1523-0.52%0.0262✓0.82295k2022-03-01
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.041940.041844-0.23%0.04187-0.17%0.0278✓1.0029k2022-03-01
DYDXdYdXCosmos5.8755.8617-0.23%5.771-1.77%0.0458✓1.06189k2022-03-01
ZECZcashZcash118.68118.4114-0.23%119.02+0.29%0.0272✓1.147.2M2022-03-01
COTICOTIEthereum0.23210.231599-0.22%0.2318-0.13%0.0414✓1.482.6M2022-03-01
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash339.27338.5421-0.21%328.78-3.09%0.0573✓0.997.3M2022-03-01
MINAMina Protocolnative2.212.2053-0.21%2.18-1.36%0.0450✓1.18343k2022-03-01
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum1.5661.5627-0.21%1.607+2.62%0.0133✓1.45863k2022-03-01
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.5711.5677-0.21%1.617+2.93%0.0017✓1.151.8M2022-03-01
GTGateEthereum6.716.696-0.21%6.7553+0.68%0.0114✓0.712.8M2022-03-01
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.06950.069358-0.21%0.0729+4.89%0.0213✗1.0012k2022-03-01
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.072010.071865-0.20%0.07633+6.00%0.0250✗1.2469k2022-03-01
SCSiacoinnative0.009680.009661-0.20%0.00979+1.14%0.0225✓1.26546k2022-03-01
ETHEthereumEthereum2,923.082,917.28-0.20%2,977.72+1.87%0.0093✓1.05540.3M2022-03-01
XEMNEMnative0.10810.107889-0.19%0.1097+1.48%0.0111✓0.9740k2022-03-01
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.24540.244932-0.19%0.2576+4.97%0.0247✗0.911.9M2022-03-01
XLMStellarStellar0.1976750.19731-0.18%0.198927+0.63%0.0223✓1.0719.8M2022-03-01
SOLSolanaSolana99.7499.556-0.18%98.7-1.04%0.0450✓1.28127.4M2022-03-01
KCSKuCoinnative20.67720.6401-0.18%20.746+0.33%0.0234✓1.009.3M2022-03-01
QTUMQtumQtum6.49256.4816-0.17%6.7053+3.28%0.0042✓1.34184k2022-03-01
XVSVenusEthereum9.339.3145-0.17%9.35+0.21%0.0309✓1.223.1M2022-03-01
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.8770.875583-0.16%0.89+1.48%0.0203✓1.292.2M2022-03-01
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.741170.739975-0.16%0.75556+1.94%0.0183✓1.38206k2022-03-01
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.3080.30752-0.16%0.318+3.25%0.0037✓1.312.1M2022-03-01
LTCLitecoinLitecoin113.82113.6457-0.15%112.65-1.03%0.0410✓1.1329.3M2022-03-01
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.012310.012292-0.15%0.01223-0.65%0.0262✓0.7512k2022-03-01
QNTQuantEthereum115.74115.5693-0.15%119.35+3.12%0.0041✗0.996.3M2022-03-01
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.56960.568769-0.15%0.7582+33.11%0.2498✗1.322.4M2022-03-01
1INCH1INCHEthereum1.5051.5029-0.14%1.522+1.13%0.0193✓1.12931k2022-03-01
DKAdKargoEthereum0.092130.092002-0.14%0.09224+0.12%0.0278✓1.0745k2022-03-01
GITCOINGITCOIN6.756.741-0.13%6.823+1.08%0.0277✓1.4027k2022-03-01
CTSICartesiEthereum0.39430.393778-0.13%0.3996+1.34%0.0263✓1.441.2M2022-03-01
NANOnanopayBase1.93811.9356-0.13%1.9211-0.88%0.0414✓1.19179k2022-03-01
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.6970.696176-0.12%0.697+0.00%0.0295✓1.082.4M2022-03-01
DEXEDeXeEthereum6.66.5928-0.11%6.72+1.82%0.0046✗0.511.1M2022-03-01
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000025790.000025762-0.11%0.00002713+5.20%0.0164✗1.243.8M2022-03-01
BFCBifrostEthereum0.166390.166234-0.09%0.16553-0.52%0.0388✓1.2127k2022-03-01
XECeCashnative0.000078690.00007863-0.08%0.00007896+0.34%0.0272✓1.104.4M2022-03-01
METRONOMEMETRONOME2.19292.1913-0.07%2.2579+2.96%0.0098✗0.7126k2022-03-01
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.1334510.133372-0.06%0.133991+0.40%0.0223✓0.943.7M2022-03-01
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV88.6788.6204-0.06%87.68-1.12%0.0348✓0.85905k2022-03-01
TRXTRONTron0.0617860.061768-0.03%0.062179+0.64%0.0153✓0.77286k2022-03-01
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.0730.073006+0.01%0.0743+1.78%0.0106✗0.99160k2022-03-01
PHAPHALAEthereum0.2360.236028+0.01%0.242+2.54%0.0007✓0.8559k2022-03-01
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.