2022-02-26 · +30d

beta_5y · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 151 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.

+1d +7d +30d asset cohort only

rank IC

+0.2997

151 of 151 tokens assessed

long-short decile

+10.42%

realised beta-adjusted alpha

direction hit

57.6%

in alpha space · 31.8% on raw price

BTC over horizon

+20.46%

the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (151 rows, sorted by pred)

token	name	chain	anchor px	pred px ▾	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d	vol 30d	target
DNT	district0x	Ethereum	0.0685	0.071227	+3.98%	0.0824	+20.29%	0.0553	✗	1.08	163k	2022-03-28
TKO	Tokocrypto	Binance Smart Chain	0.679	0.701182	+3.27%	0.763	+12.37%	0.1371	✗	1.19	2.2M	2022-03-28
LTC	Litecoin	Litecoin	108.29	111.572	+3.03%	127.59	+17.82%	0.0906	✗	1.21	29.3M	2022-03-28
SHIB	Shiba Inu	Ethereum	0.00002435	0.000025026	+2.78%	0.00002648	+8.75%	0.1953	✗	1.35	3.8M	2022-03-28
QNT	Quant	Ethereum	110.79	113.3285	+2.29%	142.25	+28.40%	0.0311	✓	1.05	6.3M	2022-03-28
BCH	Bitcoin Cash	Bitcoin Cash	315.57	322.7177	+2.26%	368.1	+16.65%	0.0584	✗	1.02	7.2M	2022-03-28
BCHSV	Bitcoin Cash SV		84.76	86.4861	+2.04%	95.28	+12.41%	0.0688	✗	0.89	915k	2022-03-28
TRX	TRON	Tron	0.059459	0.060536	+1.81%	0.069168	+16.33%	0.0226	✗	0.84	270k	2022-03-28
QTUM	Qtum	Qtum	6.1323	6.2315	+1.62%	8.1779	+33.36%	0.0011	✓	1.45	184k	2022-03-28
1INCH	1INCH	Ethereum	1.437	1.4601	+1.61%	1.725	+20.04%	0.0622	✗	1.23	940k	2022-03-28
JUV	Juventus Fan Token	Solana	5.7	5.7903	+1.58%	6.42	+12.63%	0.0542	✗	0.85	425k	2022-03-28
XVS	Venus	Ethereum	8.98	9.122	+1.58%	10.74	+19.60%	0.0792	✗	1.30	3.2M	2022-03-28
ATM	Atletico Madrid Fan Token	Solana	4.68	4.7522	+1.54%	7	+49.57%	0.2418	✓	0.78	459k	2022-03-28
XEM	NEM	native	0.101	0.102549	+1.53%	0.1127	+11.58%	0.1039	✗	1.07	38k	2022-03-28
ADA	Cardano	Cardano	0.8873	0.899863	+1.42%	1.1694	+31.79%	0.0434	✓	1.17	96.0M	2022-03-28
PHA	PHALA	Ethereum	0.232	0.235284	+1.42%	0.268	+15.52%	0.0336	✗	0.88	57k	2022-03-28
TWT	Trust Wallet	Binance Smart Chain	0.504	0.510292	+1.25%	1.2251	+143.08%	0.6234	✓	1.36	2.1M	2022-03-28
ZEN	Horizen	Base	33.26	33.6601	+1.20%	47.68	+43.36%	0.0642	✓	1.53	281k	2022-03-28
SOL	Solana	Solana	90.32	91.406	+1.20%	105.84	+17.18%	0.0951	✗	1.30	131.2M	2022-03-28
CITY	Manchester City Fan Token	Solana	9.33	9.4278	+1.05%	14.47	+55.09%	0.2991	✓	0.69	853k	2022-03-28
DEXE	DeXe	Ethereum	6.27	6.3324	+1.00%	7	+11.64%	0.0137	✓	0.47	1.1M	2022-03-28
OXT	Orchid Protocol	Ethereum	0.226	0.228097	+0.93%	0.2732	+20.88%	0.0120	✗	1.03	1.9M	2022-03-28
BEL	Bella Protocol	Ethereum	0.895	0.902666	+0.86%	1.004	+12.18%	0.1568	✗	1.41	2.1M	2022-03-28
ETH	Ethereum	Ethereum	2,780.71	2,802.86	+0.80%	3,334.47	+19.91%	0.0276	✗	1.08	540.3M	2022-03-28
XEC	eCash	native	0.00007538	0.000075814	+0.58%	0.00009365	+24.24%	0.0117	✗	1.20	4.5M	2022-03-28
ANKR	Ankr Network	Ethereum	0.06611	0.066487	+0.57%	0.08479	+28.26%	0.0015	✓	1.30	69k	2022-03-28
AUCTION	Bounce	Ethereum	12.91	12.9814	+0.55%	15.64	+21.15%	0.0104	✗	1.06	340k	2022-03-28
UNI	Uniswap	Ethereum	9.06	9.1044	+0.49%	10.91	+20.42%	0.0711	✗	1.35	10.8M	2022-03-28
DKA	dKargo	Ethereum	0.08727	0.087646	+0.43%	0.11222	+28.59%	0.0359	✓	1.13	46k	2022-03-28
WBTC	Wrapped Bitcoin	Ethereum	39,589.70	39,738.26	+0.38%	47,634.90	+20.32%	0.0010	✓	0.97	49k	2022-03-28
XLM	Stellar	Stellar	0.192899	0.193447	+0.28%	0.229783	+19.12%	0.0409	✗	1.14	19.8M	2022-03-28
CHZ	Chiliz	Ethereum	0.1751	0.175482	+0.22%	0.2589	+47.86%	0.1195	✓	1.45	2.7M	2022-03-28
ZEC	Zcash	Zcash	107.8	108.027	+0.21%	192.22	+78.31%	0.3608	✓	1.16	7.4M	2022-03-28
BFC	Bifrost	Ethereum	0.15626	0.156387	+0.08%	0.16823	+7.66%	0.1797	✗	1.36	28k	2022-03-28
DOGE	Dogecoin	Dogecoin	0.127595	0.127676	+0.06%	0.142307	+11.53%	0.0809	✗	1.02	3.7M	2022-03-28
ASR	AS Roma Fan Token	Solana	2.576	2.5759	-0.00%	3.85	+49.46%	0.2425	✗	0.86	213k	2022-03-28
DASH	Dash	Dash	93.68	93.662	-0.02%	127.73	+36.35%	0.0927	✗	1.17	1.5M	2022-03-28
ACM	AC Milan Fan Token	Solana	4.058	4.0554	-0.07%	6.372	+57.02%	0.2917	✗	0.86	395k	2022-03-28
CTK	Shentu	Osmosis	1.148	1.1472	-0.07%	1.358	+18.29%	0.0793	✓	1.33	2.8M	2022-03-28
OGN	Origin Token	Ethereum	0.29	0.289778	-0.08%	0.581	+100.34%	0.4303	✗	1.43	2.0M	2022-03-28
PORTO	FC Porto	Binance Smart Chain	2.7384	2.7343	-0.15%	4.1594	+51.89%	0.2407	✗	0.96	2.9M	2022-03-28
KSM	Kusama	Hydration	124.78	124.5727	-0.17%	168.16	+34.77%	0.0757	✗	1.21	930k	2022-03-28
SC	Siacoin	native	0.00906	0.009045	-0.17%	0.01178	+30.02%	0.0108	✗	1.36	563k	2022-03-28
GRT	The Graph	Ethereum	0.3486	0.348005	-0.17%	0.4334	+24.33%	0.0547	✓	1.47	8.3M	2022-03-28
PSG	Paris Saint-Germain Fan Token	Solana	14.7	14.6715	-0.19%	13.55	-7.82%	0.2157	✓	0.73	1.9M	2022-03-28
COTI	COTI	Ethereum	0.2129	0.212376	-0.25%	0.258	+21.18%	0.0942	✓	1.55	3.0M	2022-03-28
CWEB	Coinweb	Ethereum	0.02263	0.022559	-0.31%	0.039005	+72.36%	0.3505	✗	1.06	114k	2022-03-28
CTSI	Cartesi	Ethereum	0.3655	0.364304	-0.33%	0.4031	+10.29%	0.1803	✓	1.51	1.3M	2022-03-28
JASMY	JasmyCoin	Ethereum	0.01784	0.01778	-0.34%	0.03419	+91.65%	0.3452	✗	1.66	12.7M	2022-03-28
VSYS	V.SYSTEMS	native	0.01217	0.012127	-0.35%	0.01375	+12.98%	0.0234	✓	0.80	14k	2022-03-28
BTC	Bitcoin	Bitcoin	39,137.80	38,987.61	-0.38%	47,144.92	+20.46%	0.0038	✗	1.00	630.5M	2022-03-28
AGLD	Adventure Gold	Ethereum	1.139	1.1346	-0.39%	1.751	+53.73%	0.2010	✗	1.25	1.1M	2022-03-28
MED	Medibloc	Osmosis	0.04014	0.039979	-0.40%	0.04895	+21.95%	0.0021	✓	1.10	30k	2022-03-28
ETC	Ethereum Classic	native	28.91	28.779	-0.45%	47.08	+62.85%	0.2807	✗	1.14	5.1M	2022-03-28
RAD	Radworks	Ethereum	4.47	4.4478	-0.50%	5.05	+12.98%	0.0609	✓	1.01	651k	2022-03-28
GT	Gate	Ethereum	6.4106	6.3758	-0.54%	6.7648	+5.53%	0.0871	✓	0.79	2.9M	2022-03-28
ENS	Ethereum Name Service	Ethereum	14.09	14.01	-0.57%	18.66	+32.43%	0.0017	✓	1.53	2.5M	2022-03-28
EWT	Energy Web Token	Ethereum	5.009	4.9795	-0.59%	6.365	+27.07%	0.0888	✗	0.84	65k	2022-03-28
BAT	Basic Attention	Ethereum	0.69949	0.695252	-0.61%	0.87181	+24.64%	0.0542	✓	1.51	216k	2022-03-28
XVG	Verge	native	0.00985	0.009788	-0.63%	0.01205	+22.34%	0.0366	✓	1.31	1.2M	2022-03-28
UOS	Ultra	Ethereum	1.2108	1.2032	-0.63%	1.2726	+5.10%	0.2159	✓	1.46	2.6M	2022-03-28
DOT	Polkadot	Polkadot	18.04	17.9231	-0.65%	21.97	+21.78%	0.0487	✓	1.36	26.4M	2022-03-28
HIVE	Hive	native	0.9533	0.947048	-0.66%	1.16	+21.68%	0.0387	✓	1.30	1.9M	2022-03-28
DYDX	dYdX	Cosmos	5.391	5.3531	-0.70%	5.572	+3.36%	0.1507	✓	1.02	202k	2022-03-28
MTL	Metal DAO	Metal L2	1.524	1.5131	-0.71%	1.935	+26.97%	0.0167	✗	1.23	1.8M	2022-03-28
KCS	KuCoin	native	19.708	19.5586	-0.76%	19.506	-1.02%	0.2050	✓	1.09	9.5M	2022-03-28
LINK	Chainlink	Ethereum	14.72	14.6061	-0.77%	16.51	+12.16%	0.1111	✓	1.26	56.1M	2022-03-28
CBK	Cobak	Ethereum	2.285	2.267	-0.79%	2.688	+17.64%	0.0319	✓	1.09	20k	2022-03-28
ALGO	Algorand	Algorand	0.8598	0.852494	-0.85%	0.9075	+5.55%	0.1680	✓	1.24	22.5M	2022-03-28
COMP	Compound	Ethereum	113.35	112.3155	-0.91%	122.91	+8.43%	0.1497	✓	1.29	58k	2022-03-28
AMP	Amp	Ethereum	0.02842	0.028157	-0.92%	0.02704	-4.86%	0.1880	✓	0.79	4.3M	2022-03-28
SANTOS	Santos FC Fan Token	Binance Smart Chain	2.305	2.2828	-0.96%	6.28	+172.45%	0.7793	✗	1.25	687k	2022-03-28
BAR	FC Barcelona Fan Token	Solana	5.38	5.3268	-0.99%	8.52	+58.36%	0.3060	✗	0.88	398k	2022-03-28
DODO	DODO	Ethereum	0.438	0.433505	-1.03%	0.484	+10.50%	0.1473	✓	1.38	4.2M	2022-03-28
AVAX	Avalanche	Avalanche	81.79	80.9423	-1.04%	89.58	+9.52%	0.1870	✓	1.55	110.8M	2022-03-28
TRAC	OriginTrail	Ethereum	0.4599	0.45488	-1.09%	0.716	+55.69%	0.1819	✗	1.46	559k	2022-03-28
GITCOIN	GITCOIN		6.245	6.1729	-1.15%	7.142	+14.36%	0.1249	✓	1.45	28k	2022-03-28
XTZ	Tezos	Tezos	3.4172	3.3762	-1.20%	3.7138	+8.68%	0.1609	✓	1.38	2.1M	2022-03-28
MINA	Mina Protocol	native	2.05	2.0251	-1.21%	2.59	+26.34%	0.0139	✗	1.25	343k	2022-03-28
ENJ	Enjin Coin	Ethereum	1.441	1.4228	-1.26%	1.71	+18.67%	0.1034	✓	1.54	928k	2022-03-28
IOTA	IOTA	IOTA	0.7459	0.736109	-1.31%	0.8484	+13.74%	0.0702	✓	1.14	9.4M	2022-03-28
IMX	Immutable	Ethereum	1.5	1.4803	-1.32%	2.68	+78.67%	0.3896	✗	1.10	3.4M	2022-03-28
XPR	XPR Network	Ethereum	0.00997	0.009834	-1.37%	0.01399	+40.32%	0.0730	✗	1.50	2.7M	2022-03-28
AAVE	Aave	Ethereum	136.67	134.8014	-1.37%	167.77	+22.76%	0.0565	✓	1.48	6.4M	2022-03-28
LSK	Lisk	Ethereum	1.5733	1.5517	-1.37%	2.5454	+61.79%	0.3017	✗	1.04	69k	2022-03-28
METRONOME	METRONOME		2.2359	2.2052	-1.37%	2.734	+22.28%	0.0520	✗	0.88	26k	2022-03-28
STORJ	Storj	Ethereum	0.99036	0.974236	-1.63%	1.2969	+30.96%	0.0163	✓	1.45	165k	2022-03-28
BNT	Bancor Network	Ethereum	2.3	2.2623	-1.64%	2.72	+18.26%	0.0063	✓	1.02	263k	2022-03-28
MANA	Decentraland	Ethereum	2.6813	2.6372	-1.64%	2.6767	-0.17%	0.2252	✓	1.29	3.1M	2022-03-28
NMR	Numeraire	Ethereum	30.18	29.6836	-1.64%	30.82	+2.12%	0.1565	✓	1.04	1.6M	2022-03-28
RIF	Rootstock Infrastructure Framework	Ethereum	0.1506	0.147987	-1.74%	0.1695	+12.55%	0.0657	✓	1.08	420k	2022-03-28
LAZIO	Lazio Fan Token	Binance Smart Chain	2.7102	2.6624	-1.76%	4.2216	+55.77%	0.2741	✗	1.00	2.2M	2022-03-28
KNC	Kyber Network Crystal	Ethereum	1.8532	1.8205	-1.76%	3.61	+94.80%	0.5537	✗	0.70	2.6M	2022-03-28
AXS	Axie Infinity	Ethereum	50.44	49.5029	-1.86%	66.44	+31.72%	0.0424	✗	1.35	6.8M	2022-03-28
NANO	nanopay	Base	1.8651	1.8299	-1.88%	2.4853	+33.25%	0.0711	✗	1.26	185k	2022-03-28
ORBS	Orbs	Ethereum	0.0674	0.066089	-1.95%	0.08807	+30.67%	0.0842	✗	1.09	13k	2022-03-28
ZRX	0x Protocol	Ethereum	0.544581	0.533863	-1.97%	0.697186	+28.02%	0.0388	✗	1.23	2.9M	2022-03-28
XMR	Monero	Monero	157.91	154.5483	-2.13%	214.66	+35.94%	0.1422	✗	1.00	960k	2022-03-28
FIL	Filecoin	Filecoin	19.06	18.6185	-2.32%	25.29	+32.69%	0.0641	✗	1.30	8.6M	2022-03-28
GLMR	Moonbeam	Base	2.581	2.5191	-2.40%	3.061	+18.60%	0.0666	✓	1.40	579k	2022-03-28
FTT	FTX	Ethereum	43.29	42.247	-2.41%	51.74	+19.52%	0.0112	✓	1.15	20.8M	2022-03-28
ASM	Assemble AI	Ethereum	0.04782	0.046653	-2.44%	0.05633	+17.80%	0.0520	✓	1.29	703k	2022-03-28
OMG	OMG Network	Ethereum	4.0234	3.9208	-2.55%	5.3424	+32.78%	0.0802	✗	1.23	284k	2022-03-28
OG	OG Fan Token	Solana	2.874	2.8005	-2.56%	4.028	+40.15%	0.1839	✗	0.96	477k	2022-03-28
XYM	Symbol	native	0.1441	0.140409	-2.56%	0.1499	+4.02%	0.0922	✓	0.85	301k	2022-03-28
UMA	UMA	Ethereum	4.934	4.807	-2.57%	7.75	+57.07%	0.2913	✗	1.00	1.9M	2022-03-28
MASK	Mask Network	Ethereum	4.46	4.3406	-2.68%	5.34	+19.73%	0.0970	✓	1.63	432k	2022-03-28
XYO	XYO Network	Ethereum	0.01882	0.0183	-2.77%	0.02025	+7.60%	0.1036	✓	1.10	2.2M	2022-03-28
SNX	Synthetix	Ethereum	3.874	3.7614	-2.91%	5.361	+38.38%	0.1044	✗	1.34	2.3M	2022-03-28
TRB	Tellor Tributes	Ethereum	21.2	20.5788	-2.93%	22.99	+8.44%	0.1928	✓	1.63	325k	2022-03-28
LRC	Loopring	Ethereum	0.7651	0.742433	-2.96%	1.1283	+47.47%	0.1296	✗	1.55	295k	2022-03-28
STX	Stacks	native	1.19	1.1542	-3.01%	1.41	+18.49%	0.0421	✓	1.30	646k	2022-03-28
RLC	iExec RLC	Ethereum	1.67	1.6184	-3.09%	2.2	+31.74%	0.0544	✗	1.36	2.0M	2022-03-28
BAND	Band	Ethereum	3.6	3.488	-3.11%	4.31	+19.72%	0.0406	✓	1.36	1.9M	2022-03-28
LPT	Livepeer	Ethereum	24.45	23.6814	-3.14%	28.79	+17.75%	0.0889	✓	1.53	1.7M	2022-03-28
SKL	SKALE	Ethereum	0.1212	0.117365	-3.16%	0.1721	+42.00%	0.1314	✗	1.35	2.9M	2022-03-28
ARPA	ARPA	Ethereum	0.073	0.070633	-3.24%	0.0794	+8.77%	0.1484	✓	1.43	1.0M	2022-03-28
LCX	LCX	Ethereum	0.0854	0.082579	-3.30%	0.121	+41.69%	0.0867	✗	1.59	647k	2022-03-28
AVT	Aventus	Ethereum	2.35	2.2718	-3.33%	2.76	+17.45%	0.0085	✓	1.00	584k	2022-03-28
CVC	Civic	Ethereum	0.2767	0.267072	-3.48%	0.3353	+21.18%	0.0441	✓	1.46	413k	2022-03-28
BICO	Biconomy	Ethereum	1.276	1.2315	-3.49%	1.596	+25.08%	0.0033	✓	1.37	1.9M	2022-03-28
DIA	DIA	Ethereum	1.08	1.0411	-3.60%	1.05	-2.78%	0.0052	✓	0.02	286k	2022-03-28
YFI	yearn.finance	Ethereum	20,876.08	20,102.84	-3.70%	22,270.34	+6.68%	0.0855	✓	1.01	5.7M	2022-03-28
ACH	Alchemy Pay	Ethereum	0.048351	0.046548	-3.73%	0.043	-11.07%	0.3027	✓	1.20	8.1M	2022-03-28
GODS	Gods Unchained	Ethereum	1.24	1.1901	-4.03%	1.39	+12.10%	0.0827	✓	1.28	885k	2022-03-28
SUPER	SuperVerse	Ethereum	0.7	0.670567	-4.20%	0.75	+7.14%	0.2461	✓	1.92	995k	2022-03-28
API3	Api3	Ethereum	6.528	6.2428	-4.37%	5.55	-14.98%	0.1867	✓	0.37	2.1M	2022-03-28
CELL	Cellframe	Ethereum	1.6235	1.5522	-4.39%	1.507	-7.18%	0.2975	✓	1.44	251k	2022-03-28
SUSHI	Sushi	Ethereum	3.25	3.1049	-4.46%	3.81	+17.23%	0.0409	✓	1.32	7.0M	2022-03-28
DUSK	DUSK	Ethereum	0.3507	0.334126	-4.73%	0.3815	+8.78%	0.1926	✓	1.75	15.2M	2022-03-28
BTTC	BTTC		0.00000191	0.00000182	-4.73%	0.00000209	+9.42%	0.0097	✓	0.69	14.4M	2022-03-28
ATOM	Cosmos Hub	Cosmos	29.89	28.4594	-4.79%	29.36	-1.77%	0.1804	✓	1.14	52.8M	2022-03-28
SPELL	Spell	Ethereum	0.00431	0.004104	-4.79%	0.00426	-1.16%	0.3061	✓	1.85	12.0M	2022-03-28
LUNA	Terra	Terra 2	78.15	74.4045	-4.79%	97.24	+24.43%	0.0095	✓	1.39	4.5M	2022-03-28
LEO	LEO Token	Ethereum	6.0612	5.77	-4.80%	6.1415	+1.32%	0.0089	✓	0.38	433k	2022-03-28
POWR	Powerledger	Ethereum	0.5505	0.521446	-5.28%	0.5753	+4.50%	0.0821	✓	0.97	684k	2022-03-28
ORCA	Orca	Solana	2.56	2.4157	-5.64%	2.29	-10.55%	0.2396	✓	1.00	518k	2022-03-28
ICP	Internet Computer	Ethereum	17.73	16.7293	-5.64%	21.79	+22.90%	0.0441	✓	1.18	22.1M	2022-03-28
GTC	Gitcoin	Ethereum	6.27	5.9062	-5.80%	7.37	+17.54%	0.0563	✓	1.49	1.2M	2022-03-28
FIDA	Bonfida	Solana	1.808	1.6995	-6.00%	1.98	+9.51%	0.0241	✓	0.95	76k	2022-03-28
CRV	Curve DAO	Ethereum	2.394	2.2417	-6.36%	2.585	+7.98%	0.1477	✓	1.56	13.2M	2022-03-28
NCT	PolySwarm	Ethereum	0.03453	0.032257	-6.58%	0.04219	+22.18%	0.1058	✗	0.87	1.4M	2022-03-28
CERE	Cere Network	Ethereum	0.0274	0.02554	-6.79%	0.03317	+21.06%	0.0150	✓	1.48	479k	2022-03-28
PRO	Propy	Ethereum	1.86	1.7323	-6.86%	1.64	-11.83%	0.3586	✓	1.63	539k	2022-03-28
PEOPLE	ConstitutionDAO	Ethereum	0.0712	0.066197	-7.03%	0.0805	+13.06%	0.1616	✓	1.92	76.7M	2022-03-28
ASTR	Astar	Ethereum	0.141	0.130502	-7.45%	0.125	-11.35%	0.2207	✓	0.95	47k	2022-03-28
BRISE	Bitgert	Ethereum	6.98e-7	6.37e-7	-8.69%	0.000001135	+62.57%	0.3907	✗	1.00	1.3M	2022-03-28
POKT	Pocket Network	Ethereum	0.794	0.719876	-9.34%	0.9441	+18.90%	0.1643	✗	0.57	1.4M	2022-03-28
MOVR	Moonriver	Base	64.8155	58.5179	-9.72%	66.3939	+2.44%	0.1595	✓	1.54	223k	2022-03-28
NAKA	Nakamoto Games	Polygon	0.4281	0.383711	-10.37%	0.5048	+17.92%	0.1186	✓	2.11	2.1M	2022-03-28
SUN	Sun Token	Tron	0.01194	0.010669	-10.65%	0.014818	+24.10%	0.1199	✗	1.12	33k	2022-03-28

Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.