2022-02-25 · +30d

beta_5y · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 151 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.

+1d +7d +30d asset cohort only

rank IC

+0.2930

151 of 151 tokens assessed

long-short decile

+15.28%

realised beta-adjusted alpha

direction hit

55.0%

in alpha space · 37.1% on raw price

BTC over horizon

+19.40%

the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (151 rows, sorted by pred)

token	name	chain	anchor px	pred px ▾	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d	vol 30d	target
DNT	district0x	Ethereum	0.0689	0.071866	+4.30%	0.0851	+23.51%	0.0166	✓	1.05	168k	2022-03-27
TKO	Tokocrypto	Binance Smart Chain	0.654	0.677807	+3.64%	0.745	+13.91%	0.1109	✗	1.16	2.0M	2022-03-27
LTC	Litecoin	Litecoin	109.33	112.7822	+3.16%	129.68	+18.61%	0.0714	✗	1.19	29.5M	2022-03-27
SHIB	Shiba Inu	Ethereum	0.00002483	0.000025536	+2.84%	0.00002557	+2.98%	0.2385	✗	1.35	3.8M	2022-03-27
BCH	Bitcoin Cash	Bitcoin Cash	309.04	317.1118	+2.61%	376.78	+21.92%	0.0053	✓	1.00	7.3M	2022-03-27
QNT	Quant	Ethereum	112.52	115.3697	+2.53%	148.67	+32.13%	0.0711	✓	1.03	6.4M	2022-03-27
TRX	TRON	Tron	0.059479	0.0609	+2.39%	0.069166	+16.29%	0.0194	✓	0.83	286k	2022-03-27
1INCH	1INCH	Ethereum	1.453	1.4857	+2.25%	1.749	+20.37%	0.0485	✗	1.19	963k	2022-03-27
QTUM	Qtum	Qtum	6.1326	6.2673	+2.20%	8.5079	+38.73%	0.0494	✓	1.45	184k	2022-03-27
BCHSV	Bitcoin Cash SV		84.8	86.6537	+2.19%	95	+12.03%	0.0650	✗	0.89	946k	2022-03-27
PHA	PHALA	Ethereum	0.229	0.233971	+2.17%	0.271	+18.34%	0.0046	✓	0.85	57k	2022-03-27
XEM	NEM	native	0.0985	0.100622	+2.15%	0.1176	+19.39%	0.0296	✗	1.05	38k	2022-03-27
JUV	Juventus Fan Token	Solana	5.65	5.7679	+2.09%	6.49	+14.87%	0.0301	✗	0.84	430k	2022-03-27
XVS	Venus	Ethereum	9.2	9.3812	+1.97%	10.9	+18.48%	0.0791	✗	1.29	3.2M	2022-03-27
TWT	Trust Wallet	Binance Smart Chain	0.4821	0.489837	+1.60%	1.3598	+182.06%	0.7844	✓	1.33	2.0M	2022-03-27
ADA	Cardano	Cardano	0.8997	0.914134	+1.60%	1.1845	+31.65%	0.0527	✓	1.16	97.3M	2022-03-27
DEXE	DeXe	Ethereum	6.33	6.4307	+1.59%	7.13	+12.64%	0.0287	✓	0.42	1.2M	2022-03-27
CITY	Manchester City Fan Token	Solana	9.37	9.5132	+1.53%	14.36	+53.26%	0.2918	✓	0.68	853k	2022-03-27
OXT	Orchid Protocol	Ethereum	0.2233	0.22669	+1.52%	0.275	+23.15%	0.0154	✓	1.00	1.9M	2022-03-27
ATM	Atletico Madrid Fan Token	Solana	4.61	4.6777	+1.47%	7.01	+52.06%	0.2665	✓	0.78	459k	2022-03-27
ANKR	Ankr Network	Ethereum	0.0649	0.065813	+1.41%	0.08788	+35.41%	0.0703	✓	1.23	74k	2022-03-27
BEL	Bella Protocol	Ethereum	0.882	0.894295	+1.39%	1.058	+19.95%	0.0751	✗	1.37	2.1M	2022-03-27
SOL	Solana	Solana	92.84	94.1328	+1.39%	107.09	+15.35%	0.0998	✗	1.29	132.7M	2022-03-27
ZEN	Horizen	Base	34.73	35.2044	+1.37%	50.08	+44.20%	0.0878	✓	1.49	309k	2022-03-27
ETH	Ethereum	Ethereum	2,769.52	2,802.88	+1.20%	3,296.29	+19.02%	0.0294	✗	1.08	561.7M	2022-03-27
XEC	eCash	native	0.00007523	0.00007609	+1.14%	0.0000982	+30.53%	0.0461	✓	1.18	4.5M	2022-03-27
DKA	dKargo	Ethereum	0.08597	0.086808	+0.97%	0.11008	+28.04%	0.0402	✓	1.11	46k	2022-03-27
CHZ	Chiliz	Ethereum	0.1741	0.175492	+0.80%	0.2692	+54.62%	0.1775	✓	1.41	2.8M	2022-03-27
AUCTION	Bounce	Ethereum	12.83	12.9294	+0.77%	16.11	+25.57%	0.0383	✓	1.02	340k	2022-03-27
XLM	Stellar	Stellar	0.191142	0.192537	+0.73%	0.229866	+20.26%	0.0202	✗	1.11	20.5M	2022-03-27
WBTC	Wrapped Bitcoin	Ethereum	39,386.50	39,645.10	+0.66%	46,722.30	+18.63%	0.0059	✓	0.96	49k	2022-03-27
UNI	Uniswap	Ethereum	9.25	9.3061	+0.61%	11.42	+23.46%	0.0327	✗	1.34	10.8M	2022-03-27
OGN	Origin Token	Ethereum	0.297	0.298457	+0.49%	0.617	+107.74%	0.4805	✓	1.39	2.1M	2022-03-27
ZEC	Zcash	Zcash	106.72	107.1761	+0.43%	210.67	+97.40%	0.4761	✓	1.13	7.6M	2022-03-27
KSM	Kusama	Hydration	124.6	125.092	+0.39%	173.98	+39.63%	0.1164	✓	1.20	930k	2022-03-27
BFC	Bifrost	Ethereum	0.15869	0.15923	+0.34%	0.16715	+5.33%	0.1938	✗	1.37	28k	2022-03-27
DASH	Dash	Dash	92.9	93.1981	+0.32%	133.07	+43.24%	0.1557	✓	1.13	1.5M	2022-03-27
CTSI	Cartesi	Ethereum	0.3727	0.373787	+0.29%	0.4246	+13.93%	0.1330	✗	1.47	1.3M	2022-03-27
DOGE	Dogecoin	Dogecoin	0.127781	0.128114	+0.26%	0.144798	+13.32%	0.0549	✗	1.00	3.7M	2022-03-27
CTK	Shentu	Osmosis	1.145	1.1473	+0.20%	1.444	+26.11%	0.0011	✓	1.30	2.8M	2022-03-27
GRT	The Graph	Ethereum	0.3611	0.361829	+0.20%	0.4313	+19.44%	0.0771	✗	1.43	8.4M	2022-03-27
SC	Siacoin	native	0.0088	0.008816	+0.18%	0.0124	+40.91%	0.1124	✓	1.29	546k	2022-03-27
PORTO	FC Porto	Binance Smart Chain	2.7311	2.7347	+0.13%	4.1683	+52.62%	0.2571	✓	0.93	2.9M	2022-03-27
COTI	COTI	Ethereum	0.2121	0.212299	+0.09%	0.2582	+21.74%	0.0746	✗	1.53	3.3M	2022-03-27
PSG	Paris Saint-Germain Fan Token	Solana	14.74	14.7511	+0.08%	13.48	-8.55%	0.2169	✗	0.71	1.9M	2022-03-27
HIVE	Hive	native	0.9019	0.902531	+0.07%	1.1454	+27.00%	0.0126	✓	1.27	1.8M	2022-03-27
MED	Medibloc	Osmosis	0.0389	0.038922	+0.06%	0.0495	+27.25%	0.0506	✓	1.07	30k	2022-03-27
BAT	Basic Attention	Ethereum	0.7023	0.702321	+0.00%	0.90403	+28.72%	0.0031	✗	1.44	224k	2022-03-27
XVG	Verge	native	0.00953	0.009529	-0.01%	0.01253	+31.48%	0.0445	✗	1.29	1.2M	2022-03-27
ACM	AC Milan Fan Token	Solana	4.091	4.0899	-0.03%	6.005	+46.79%	0.2380	✗	0.82	414k	2022-03-27
ENS	Ethereum Name Service	Ethereum	14.87	14.8656	-0.03%	18.45	+24.08%	0.0532	✓	1.52	2.3M	2022-03-27
MTL	Metal DAO	Metal L2	1.445	1.4441	-0.06%	1.952	+35.09%	0.0890	✗	1.20	1.6M	2022-03-27
ASR	AS Roma Fan Token	Solana	2.571	2.5692	-0.07%	3.779	+46.99%	0.2385	✗	0.83	207k	2022-03-27
VSYS	V.SYSTEMS	native	0.01202	0.012004	-0.13%	0.01382	+14.98%	0.0068	✗	0.76	15k	2022-03-27
BTC	Bitcoin	Bitcoin	39,238.48	39,176.20	-0.16%	46,850.01	+19.40%	0.0016	✗	1.00	632.3M	2022-03-27
ETC	Ethereum Classic	native	28.01	27.9551	-0.20%	48.03	+71.47%	0.3433	✗	1.12	4.9M	2022-03-27
DOT	Polkadot	Polkadot	17.28	17.2383	-0.24%	22.48	+30.09%	0.0293	✗	1.33	26.4M	2022-03-27
RAD	Radworks	Ethereum	4.51	4.4984	-0.26%	5.33	+18.18%	0.0079	✗	0.91	696k	2022-03-27
GT	Gate	Ethereum	6.3134	6.2962	-0.27%	6.5917	+4.41%	0.0933	✓	0.79	3.0M	2022-03-27
EWT	Energy Web Token	Ethereum	4.933	4.9179	-0.31%	6.421	+30.16%	0.1200	✗	0.83	65k	2022-03-27
CBK	Cobak	Ethereum	2.187	2.1798	-0.33%	2.589	+18.38%	0.0146	✓	1.05	19k	2022-03-27
LINK	Chainlink	Ethereum	14.39	14.3394	-0.35%	16.87	+17.23%	0.0571	✓	1.24	59.6M	2022-03-27
XTZ	Tezos	Tezos	3.2131	3.2018	-0.35%	3.8564	+20.02%	0.0527	✓	1.35	2.1M	2022-03-27
CWEB	Coinweb	Ethereum	0.022712	0.022627	-0.38%	0.040217	+77.07%	0.3876	✗	1.06	114k	2022-03-27
AGLD	Adventure Gold	Ethereum	1.168	1.1633	-0.41%	1.768	+51.37%	0.1982	✗	1.24	1.0M	2022-03-27
KCS	KuCoin	native	19.466	19.3842	-0.42%	19.247	-1.13%	0.1961	✓	1.07	9.6M	2022-03-27
AMP	Amp	Ethereum	0.02922	0.029095	-0.43%	0.02786	-4.65%	0.1838	✓	0.79	4.4M	2022-03-27
COMP	Compound	Ethereum	112.66	112.1674	-0.44%	126.01	+11.85%	0.1134	✓	1.30	58k	2022-03-27
UOS	Ultra	Ethereum	1.2474	1.2416	-0.47%	1.2328	-1.17%	0.2624	✓	1.44	2.6M	2022-03-27
DODO	DODO	Ethereum	0.447	0.444726	-0.51%	0.49	+9.62%	0.1471	✓	1.38	4.6M	2022-03-27
DYDX	dYdX	Cosmos	5.635	5.6006	-0.61%	5.701	+1.17%	0.1572	✓	0.99	223k	2022-03-27
JASMY	JasmyCoin	Ethereum	0.01819	0.018079	-0.61%	0.03666	+101.54%	0.4224	✗	1.60	12.7M	2022-03-27
ALGO	Algorand	Algorand	0.8312	0.826095	-0.61%	0.9498	+14.27%	0.0769	✓	1.22	22.9M	2022-03-27
AVAX	Avalanche	Avalanche	81.05	80.4917	-0.69%	89.91	+10.93%	0.1544	✓	1.49	106.7M	2022-03-27
ENJ	Enjin Coin	Ethereum	1.45	1.4391	-0.75%	1.796	+23.86%	0.0494	✓	1.53	941k	2022-03-27
TRAC	OriginTrail	Ethereum	0.4634	0.459803	-0.78%	0.7181	+54.96%	0.1831	✗	1.48	572k	2022-03-27
BAR	FC Barcelona Fan Token	Solana	5.3	5.2569	-0.81%	8.4	+58.49%	0.3162	✗	0.86	435k	2022-03-27
LSK	Lisk	Ethereum	1.6127	1.5987	-0.87%	2.4727	+53.32%	0.2584	✗	1.00	72k	2022-03-27
SANTOS	Santos FC Fan Token	Binance Smart Chain	2.336	2.3133	-0.97%	6.324	+170.72%	0.7840	✗	1.25	727k	2022-03-27
MINA	Mina Protocol	native	2.09	2.0696	-0.97%	2.79	+33.49%	0.0811	✗	1.23	343k	2022-03-27
IMX	Immutable	Ethereum	1.536	1.5205	-1.01%	2.32	+51.04%	0.2282	✗	1.10	3.4M	2022-03-27
METRONOME	METRONOME		2.1201	2.0983	-1.03%	2.6409	+24.56%	0.0746	✗	0.88	27k	2022-03-27
IOTA	IOTA	IOTA	0.7386	0.730337	-1.12%	0.875	+18.47%	0.0149	✓	1.10	9.6M	2022-03-27
XPR	XPR Network	Ethereum	0.01016	0.010043	-1.15%	0.01417	+39.47%	0.0790	✗	1.50	2.5M	2022-03-27
RIF	Rootstock Infrastructure Framework	Ethereum	0.1468	0.145067	-1.18%	0.1655	+12.74%	0.0569	✓	1.06	446k	2022-03-27
BNT	Bancor Network	Ethereum	2.28	2.2528	-1.19%	2.73	+19.74%	0.0127	✗	1.01	270k	2022-03-27
NMR	Numeraire	Ethereum	30.26	29.8755	-1.27%	31.17	+3.01%	0.1392	✓	1.02	1.7M	2022-03-27
GITCOIN	GITCOIN		6.282	6.2017	-1.28%	7.352	+17.03%	0.0737	✓	1.38	28k	2022-03-27
STORJ	Storj	Ethereum	0.95596	0.943517	-1.30%	1.3301	+39.14%	0.0942	✗	1.41	165k	2022-03-27
AAVE	Aave	Ethereum	139.7	137.8335	-1.34%	169.24	+21.15%	0.0529	✓	1.46	6.5M	2022-03-27
AXS	Axie Infinity	Ethereum	51.16	50.4562	-1.38%	68.29	+33.48%	0.0642	✗	1.35	7.3M	2022-03-27
MANA	Decentraland	Ethereum	2.7367	2.6981	-1.41%	2.7417	+0.18%	0.2159	✓	1.31	3.2M	2022-03-27
LAZIO	Lazio Fan Token	Binance Smart Chain	2.7299	2.691	-1.43%	4.2578	+55.97%	0.2860	✗	0.98	2.3M	2022-03-27
ZRX	0x Protocol	Ethereum	0.539539	0.531487	-1.49%	0.728031	+34.94%	0.1074	✗	1.17	3.1M	2022-03-27
NANO	nanopay	Base	1.8773	1.848	-1.56%	2.5487	+35.77%	0.1043	✗	1.23	196k	2022-03-27
ORBS	Orbs	Ethereum	0.0646	0.063572	-1.59%	0.08599	+33.11%	0.1131	✗	1.07	13k	2022-03-27
KNC	Kyber Network Crystal	Ethereum	1.8595	1.8263	-1.78%	3.1908	+71.59%	0.4384	✗	0.67	2.7M	2022-03-27
FIL	Filecoin	Filecoin	18.94	18.5651	-1.98%	23.71	+25.18%	0.0211	✗	1.26	9.1M	2022-03-27
UMA	UMA	Ethereum	4.938	4.8397	-1.99%	7.939	+60.77%	0.3296	✗	0.93	1.9M	2022-03-27
XMR	Monero	Monero	153.74	150.6427	-2.01%	216.11	+40.57%	0.1832	✗	1.00	966k	2022-03-27
ASM	Assemble AI	Ethereum	0.04609	0.045155	-2.03%	0.05681	+23.26%	0.0089	✓	1.24	703k	2022-03-27
FTT	FTX	Ethereum	43.09	42.1942	-2.08%	51.99	+20.65%	0.0049	✓	1.15	23.5M	2022-03-27
OMG	OMG Network	Ethereum	3.9392	3.8501	-2.26%	5.4302	+37.85%	0.1310	✗	1.20	284k	2022-03-27
BAND	Band	Ethereum	3.679	3.5953	-2.27%	4.57	+24.22%	0.0100	✓	1.30	1.9M	2022-03-27
XYO	XYO Network	Ethereum	0.01813	0.01771	-2.32%	0.02076	+14.51%	0.0384	✓	1.11	2.2M	2022-03-27
MASK	Mask Network	Ethereum	4.62	4.5075	-2.44%	5.47	+18.40%	0.0793	✓	1.54	432k	2022-03-27
OG	OG Fan Token	Solana	2.9	2.8291	-2.44%	4.074	+40.48%	0.1989	✗	0.94	477k	2022-03-27
SKL	SKALE	Ethereum	0.1292	0.125995	-2.48%	0.168	+30.03%	0.0553	✗	1.31	3.1M	2022-03-27
LRC	Loopring	Ethereum	0.7733	0.753935	-2.50%	1.1104	+43.59%	0.1157	✗	1.53	299k	2022-03-27
ARPA	ARPA	Ethereum	0.0734	0.071516	-2.57%	0.0842	+14.71%	0.0844	✓	1.40	1.0M	2022-03-27
XYM	Symbol	native	0.1469	0.143096	-2.59%	0.1543	+5.04%	0.0676	✓	0.81	321k	2022-03-27
TRB	Tellor Tributes	Ethereum	21.16	20.6043	-2.63%	24.3	+14.84%	0.1167	✓	1.59	325k	2022-03-27
RLC	iExec RLC	Ethereum	1.66	1.6154	-2.69%	2.28	+37.35%	0.1089	✗	1.33	2.0M	2022-03-27
SNX	Synthetix	Ethereum	4.017	3.904	-2.81%	5.413	+34.75%	0.0951	✗	1.31	2.4M	2022-03-27
LPT	Livepeer	Ethereum	25.27	24.517	-2.98%	29.14	+15.31%	0.0900	✓	1.48	1.8M	2022-03-27
LCX	LCX	Ethereum	0.082	0.079543	-3.00%	0.1288	+57.07%	0.2063	✗	1.55	668k	2022-03-27
CVC	Civic	Ethereum	0.2632	0.255254	-3.02%	0.3422	+30.02%	0.0471	✗	1.39	451k	2022-03-27
STX	Stacks	native	1.15	1.1136	-3.17%	1.45	+26.09%	0.0329	✗	1.30	695k	2022-03-27
AVT	Aventus	Ethereum	2.23	2.1569	-3.28%	2.49	+11.66%	0.0337	✓	1.00	639k	2022-03-27
ACH	Alchemy Pay	Ethereum	0.048666	0.047057	-3.31%	0.043509	-10.60%	0.2945	✓	1.22	8.1M	2022-03-27
DIA	DIA	Ethereum	1.02	0.986247	-3.31%	1.07	+4.90%	0.0770	✗	0.03	286k	2022-03-27
GODS	Gods Unchained	Ethereum	1.21	1.1691	-3.38%	1.54	+27.27%	0.0488	✗	1.28	885k	2022-03-27
SUPER	SuperVerse	Ethereum	0.72	0.694982	-3.47%	0.73	+1.39%	0.2919	✓	1.92	995k	2022-03-27
YFI	yearn.finance	Ethereum	20,170.96	19,383.42	-3.90%	22,263.59	+10.37%	0.0385	✓	1.00	5.7M	2022-03-27
GLMR	Moonbeam	Base	2.39	2.2946	-3.99%	2.864	+19.83%	0.0276	✓	1.41	572k	2022-03-27
BICO	Biconomy	Ethereum	1.315	1.2617	-4.05%	1.595	+21.29%	0.0094	✓	1.37	1.8M	2022-03-27
LUNA	Terra	Terra 2	73.2	70.1563	-4.16%	94.25	+28.76%	0.0494	✗	1.39	4.5M	2022-03-27
CELL	Cellframe	Ethereum	1.6442	1.5748	-4.22%	1.5221	-7.43%	0.2893	✓	1.44	251k	2022-03-27
ATOM	Cosmos Hub	Cosmos	27.3	26.1083	-4.37%	29.95	+9.71%	0.0609	✓	1.12	52.8M	2022-03-27
LEO	LEO Token	Ethereum	5.9173	5.653	-4.47%	6.1368	+3.71%	0.0079	✓	0.42	433k	2022-03-27
SUSHI	Sushi	Ethereum	3.3	3.1522	-4.48%	3.99	+20.91%	0.0043	✓	1.35	7.1M	2022-03-27
DUSK	DUSK	Ethereum	0.3513	0.335275	-4.56%	0.3911	+11.33%	0.1465	✓	1.70	15.9M	2022-03-27
SPELL	Spell	Ethereum	0.00434	0.00414	-4.61%	0.00436	+0.46%	0.2754	✓	1.85	12.3M	2022-03-27
BTTC	BTTC		0.0000019	0.000001809	-4.79%	0.00000214	+12.63%	0.0451	✓	0.69	14.7M	2022-03-27
API3	Api3	Ethereum	7.09	6.7374	-4.97%	5.854	-17.43%	0.2063	✓	0.37	2.0M	2022-03-27
POWR	Powerledger	Ethereum	0.533	0.50546	-5.17%	0.585	+9.76%	0.0181	✓	0.93	643k	2022-03-27
ICP	Internet Computer	Ethereum	17.68	16.7143	-5.46%	21.9	+23.87%	0.0658	✗	1.15	22.7M	2022-03-27
GTC	Gitcoin	Ethereum	6.32	5.9683	-5.57%	7.41	+17.25%	0.0339	✓	1.41	1.2M	2022-03-27
FIDA	Bonfida	Solana	1.834	1.7316	-5.58%	1.995	+8.78%	0.0357	✓	1.00	76k	2022-03-27
ORCA	Orca	Solana	2.73	2.5773	-5.59%	2.33	-14.65%	0.2782	✓	1.00	544k	2022-03-27
CRV	Curve DAO	Ethereum	2.365	2.2092	-6.59%	2.621	+10.82%	0.0996	✓	1.53	13.2M	2022-03-27
PEOPLE	ConstitutionDAO	Ethereum	0.0696	0.064919	-6.73%	0.0803	+15.37%	0.1275	✓	1.92	72.8M	2022-03-27
CERE	Cere Network	Ethereum	0.0277	0.025835	-6.73%	0.03351	+20.97%	0.0014	✓	1.46	497k	2022-03-27
NCT	PolySwarm	Ethereum	0.03546	0.032947	-7.09%	0.04272	+20.47%	0.1048	✗	0.87	1.5M	2022-03-27
ASTR	Astar	Ethereum	0.138	0.127849	-7.36%	0.114	-17.39%	0.2839	✓	0.95	51k	2022-03-27
PRO	Propy	Ethereum	1.96	1.8022	-8.05%	1.74	-11.22%	0.3244	✓	1.63	539k	2022-03-27
BRISE	Bitgert	Ethereum	7.00e-7	6.40e-7	-8.51%	0.000001225	+75.07%	0.4717	✗	1.00	1.4M	2022-03-27
MOVR	Moonriver	Base	67.1249	60.9445	-9.21%	67.174	+0.07%	0.1663	✓	1.49	231k	2022-03-27
POKT	Pocket Network	Ethereum	0.8833	0.79847	-9.60%	0.9207	+4.23%	0.0406	✓	0.57	1.4M	2022-03-27
SUN	Sun Token	Tron	0.011713	0.010511	-10.26%	0.01504	+28.40%	0.1615	✗	1.11	35k	2022-03-27
NAKA	Nakamoto Games	Polygon	0.419	0.373916	-10.76%	0.5139	+22.65%	0.0483	✓	2.07	2.1M	2022-03-27

Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.