2022-02-25 · +1d

beta_5y · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 151 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.

+1d +7d +30d asset cohort only

rank IC

-0.0209

151 of 151 tokens assessed

long-short decile

+0.71%

realised beta-adjusted alpha

direction hit

45.7%

in alpha space · 50.3% on raw price

BTC over horizon

-0.26%

the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (151 rows, sorted by pred)

token	name	chain	anchor px	pred px ▴	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d	vol 30d	target
PEOPLE	ConstitutionDAO	Ethereum	0.0696	0.068513	-1.56%	0.0712	+2.30%	0.0434	✗	1.92	72.8M	2022-02-26
NAKA	Nakamoto Games	Polygon	0.419	0.414308	-1.12%	0.4281	+2.17%	0.0381	✗	2.07	2.1M	2022-02-26
PRO	Propy	Ethereum	1.96	1.9391	-1.07%	1.86	-5.10%	0.0374	✓	1.63	539k	2022-02-26
LUNA	Terra	Terra 2	73.2	72.4211	-1.06%	78.15	+6.76%	0.0797	✗	1.39	4.5M	2022-02-26
API3	Api3	Ethereum	7.09	7.0159	-1.05%	6.528	-7.93%	0.0711	✓	0.37	2.0M	2022-02-26
BRISE	Bitgert	Ethereum	7.00e-7	6.93e-7	-0.95%	6.98e-7	-0.29%	0.0092	✓	1.00	1.4M	2022-02-26
CERE	Cere Network	Ethereum	0.0277	0.027461	-0.86%	0.0274	-1.08%	0.0015	✓	1.46	497k	2022-02-26
MOVR	Moonriver	Base	67.1249	66.5663	-0.83%	64.8155	-3.44%	0.0228	✓	1.49	231k	2022-02-26
AGLD	Adventure Gold	Ethereum	1.168	1.1587	-0.80%	1.139	-2.48%	0.0139	✓	1.24	1.0M	2022-02-26
SUN	Sun Token	Tron	0.011713	0.01162	-0.80%	0.01194	+1.94%	0.0300	✗	1.11	35k	2022-02-26
ASTR	Astar	Ethereum	0.138	0.137013	-0.72%	0.141	+2.17%	0.0311	✗	0.95	51k	2022-02-26
CRV	Curve DAO	Ethereum	2.365	2.3481	-0.71%	2.394	+1.23%	0.0233	✗	1.53	13.2M	2022-02-26
CELL	Cellframe	Ethereum	1.6442	1.6326	-0.71%	1.6235	-1.26%	0.0019	✓	1.44	251k	2022-02-26
POWR	Powerledger	Ethereum	0.533	0.529308	-0.69%	0.5505	+3.28%	0.0416	✗	0.93	643k	2022-02-26
ORCA	Orca	Solana	2.73	2.7122	-0.65%	2.56	-6.23%	0.0552	✓	1.00	544k	2022-02-26
POKT	Pocket Network	Ethereum	0.8833	0.877616	-0.64%	0.794	-10.11%	0.0987	✓	0.57	1.4M	2022-02-26
DIA	DIA	Ethereum	1.02	1.0135	-0.64%	1.08	+5.88%	0.0636	✗	0.03	286k	2022-02-26
ATOM	Cosmos Hub	Cosmos	27.3	27.1481	-0.56%	29.89	+9.49%	0.0991	✗	1.12	52.8M	2022-02-26
YFI	yearn.finance	Ethereum	20,170.96	20,061.22	-0.54%	20,876.08	+3.50%	0.0424	✗	1.00	5.7M	2022-02-26
ICP	Internet Computer	Ethereum	17.68	17.5845	-0.54%	17.73	+0.28%	0.0112	✗	1.15	22.7M	2022-02-26
GTC	Gitcoin	Ethereum	6.32	6.2882	-0.50%	6.27	-0.79%	0.0007	✓	1.41	1.2M	2022-02-26
NCT	PolySwarm	Ethereum	0.03546	0.035282	-0.50%	0.03453	-2.62%	0.0193	✓	0.87	1.5M	2022-02-26
BICO	Biconomy	Ethereum	1.315	1.3085	-0.49%	1.276	-2.97%	0.0216	✓	1.37	1.8M	2022-02-26
ACH	Alchemy Pay	Ethereum	0.048666	0.048434	-0.48%	0.048351	-0.65%	0.0014	✓	1.22	8.1M	2022-02-26
XMR	Monero	Monero	153.74	153.0173	-0.47%	157.91	+2.71%	0.0340	✗	1.00	966k	2022-02-26
LEO	LEO Token	Ethereum	5.9173	5.8897	-0.47%	6.0612	+2.43%	0.0298	✗	0.42	433k	2022-02-26
TRB	Tellor Tributes	Ethereum	21.16	21.0613	-0.47%	21.2	+0.19%	0.0106	✗	1.59	325k	2022-02-26
WBTC	Wrapped Bitcoin	Ethereum	39,386.50	39,210.65	-0.45%	39,589.70	+0.52%	0.0121	✗	0.96	49k	2022-02-26
CVC	Civic	Ethereum	0.2632	0.262033	-0.44%	0.2767	+5.13%	0.0580	✗	1.39	451k	2022-02-26
BTTC	BTTC		0.0000019	0.000001892	-0.44%	0.00000191	+0.53%	0.0114	✗	0.69	14.7M	2022-02-26
LPT	Livepeer	Ethereum	25.27	25.1595	-0.44%	24.45	-3.24%	0.0248	✓	1.48	1.8M	2022-02-26
RIF	Rootstock Infrastructure Framework	Ethereum	0.1468	0.146166	-0.43%	0.1506	+2.59%	0.0326	✗	1.06	446k	2022-02-26
AMP	Amp	Ethereum	0.02922	0.029095	-0.43%	0.02842	-2.74%	0.0214	✓	0.79	4.4M	2022-02-26
FIDA	Bonfida	Solana	1.834	1.8262	-0.43%	1.808	-1.42%	0.0074	✓	1.00	76k	2022-02-26
STX	Stacks	native	1.15	1.1451	-0.43%	1.19	+3.48%	0.0418	✗	1.30	695k	2022-02-26
AVT	Aventus	Ethereum	2.23	2.2206	-0.42%	2.35	+5.38%	0.0592	✗	1.00	639k	2022-02-26
SUSHI	Sushi	Ethereum	3.3	3.2863	-0.42%	3.25	-1.52%	0.0076	✓	1.35	7.1M	2022-02-26
FTT	FTX	Ethereum	43.09	42.9194	-0.40%	43.29	+0.46%	0.0116	✗	1.15	23.5M	2022-02-26
LRC	Loopring	Ethereum	0.7733	0.770245	-0.40%	0.7651	-1.06%	0.0028	✓	1.53	299k	2022-02-26
ARPA	ARPA	Ethereum	0.0734	0.073126	-0.37%	0.073	-0.54%	0.0019	✓	1.40	1.0M	2022-02-26
NMR	Numeraire	Ethereum	30.26	30.1484	-0.37%	30.18	-0.26%	0.0037	✓	1.02	1.7M	2022-02-26
KNC	Kyber Network Crystal	Ethereum	1.8595	1.8529	-0.35%	1.8532	-0.34%	0.0019	✓	0.67	2.7M	2022-02-26
SNX	Synthetix	Ethereum	4.017	4.003	-0.35%	3.874	-3.56%	0.0294	✓	1.31	2.4M	2022-02-26
ETC	Ethereum Classic	native	28.01	27.9135	-0.34%	28.91	+3.21%	0.0379	✗	1.12	4.9M	2022-02-26
SKL	SKALE	Ethereum	0.1292	0.128767	-0.34%	0.1212	-6.19%	0.0572	✓	1.31	3.1M	2022-02-26
FIL	Filecoin	Filecoin	18.94	18.8769	-0.33%	19.06	+0.63%	0.0129	✗	1.26	9.1M	2022-02-26
DOT	Polkadot	Polkadot	17.28	17.2225	-0.33%	18.04	+4.40%	0.0498	✗	1.33	26.4M	2022-02-26
BNT	Bancor Network	Ethereum	2.28	2.2725	-0.33%	2.3	+0.88%	0.0146	✗	1.01	270k	2022-02-26
RLC	iExec RLC	Ethereum	1.66	1.6546	-0.32%	1.67	+0.60%	0.0127	✗	1.33	2.0M	2022-02-26
SUPER	SuperVerse	Ethereum	0.72	0.717671	-0.32%	0.7	-2.78%	0.0200	✓	1.92	995k	2022-02-26
CTK	Shentu	Osmosis	1.145	1.1413	-0.32%	1.148	+0.26%	0.0092	✗	1.30	2.8M	2022-02-26
UOS	Ultra	Ethereum	1.2474	1.2434	-0.32%	1.2108	-2.93%	0.0229	✓	1.44	2.6M	2022-02-26
OG	OG Fan Token	Solana	2.9	2.8908	-0.32%	2.874	-0.90%	0.0034	✓	0.94	477k	2022-02-26
AAVE	Aave	Ethereum	139.7	139.2591	-0.32%	136.67	-2.17%	0.0150	✓	1.46	6.5M	2022-02-26
ALGO	Algorand	Algorand	0.8312	0.828598	-0.31%	0.8598	+3.44%	0.0401	✗	1.22	22.9M	2022-02-26
XYM	Symbol	native	0.1469	0.146445	-0.31%	0.1441	-1.91%	0.0141	✓	0.81	321k	2022-02-26
BAND	Band	Ethereum	3.679	3.6676	-0.31%	3.6	-2.15%	0.0153	✓	1.30	1.9M	2022-02-26
MED	Medibloc	Osmosis	0.0389	0.03878	-0.31%	0.04014	+3.19%	0.0372	✗	1.07	30k	2022-02-26
MASK	Mask Network	Ethereum	4.62	4.6058	-0.31%	4.46	-3.46%	0.0282	✓	1.54	432k	2022-02-26
IOTA	IOTA	IOTA	0.7386	0.736406	-0.30%	0.7459	+0.99%	0.0156	✗	1.10	9.6M	2022-02-26
AVAX	Avalanche	Avalanche	81.05	80.8113	-0.29%	81.79	+0.91%	0.0159	✗	1.49	106.7M	2022-02-26
OMG	OMG Network	Ethereum	3.9392	3.9276	-0.29%	4.0234	+2.14%	0.0272	✗	1.20	284k	2022-02-26
XYO	XYO Network	Ethereum	0.01813	0.018078	-0.29%	0.01882	+3.81%	0.0431	✗	1.11	2.2M	2022-02-26
ASM	Assemble AI	Ethereum	0.04609	0.045958	-0.29%	0.04782	+3.75%	0.0429	✗	1.24	703k	2022-02-26
XPR	XPR Network	Ethereum	0.01016	0.010131	-0.29%	0.00997	-1.87%	0.0122	✓	1.50	2.5M	2022-02-26
SPELL	Spell	Ethereum	0.00434	0.004328	-0.28%	0.00431	-0.69%	0.0006	✓	1.85	12.3M	2022-02-26
ORBS	Orbs	Ethereum	0.0646	0.064424	-0.27%	0.0674	+4.33%	0.0479	✗	1.07	13k	2022-02-26
BTC	Bitcoin	Bitcoin	39,238.48	39,133.23	-0.27%	39,137.80	-0.26%	0.0027	✗	1.00	632.3M	2022-02-26
CBK	Cobak	Ethereum	2.187	2.1811	-0.27%	2.285	+4.48%	0.0492	✗	1.05	19k	2022-02-26
LINK	Chainlink	Ethereum	14.39	14.3523	-0.26%	14.72	+2.29%	0.0285	✗	1.24	59.6M	2022-02-26
ZRX	0x Protocol	Ethereum	0.539539	0.538145	-0.26%	0.544581	+0.93%	0.0149	✗	1.17	3.1M	2022-02-26
LSK	Lisk	Ethereum	1.6127	1.6085	-0.26%	1.5733	-2.45%	0.0196	✓	1.00	72k	2022-02-26
AXS	Axie Infinity	Ethereum	51.16	51.0297	-0.25%	50.44	-1.41%	0.0082	✓	1.35	7.3M	2022-02-26
GT	Gate	Ethereum	6.3134	6.2976	-0.25%	6.4106	+1.54%	0.0198	✗	0.79	3.0M	2022-02-26
MANA	Decentraland	Ethereum	2.7367	2.73	-0.25%	2.6813	-2.03%	0.0146	✓	1.31	3.2M	2022-02-26
XTZ	Tezos	Tezos	3.2131	3.2052	-0.25%	3.4172	+6.35%	0.0675	✗	1.35	2.1M	2022-02-26
BEL	Bella Protocol	Ethereum	0.882	0.879878	-0.24%	0.895	+1.47%	0.0206	✗	1.37	2.1M	2022-02-26
STORJ	Storj	Ethereum	0.95596	0.953747	-0.23%	0.99036	+3.60%	0.0413	✗	1.41	165k	2022-02-26
UMA	UMA	Ethereum	4.938	4.9266	-0.23%	4.934	-0.08%	0.0039	✗	0.93	1.9M	2022-02-26
DUSK	DUSK	Ethereum	0.3513	0.350522	-0.22%	0.3507	-0.17%	0.0049	✗	1.70	15.9M	2022-02-26
XVG	Verge	native	0.00953	0.009509	-0.22%	0.00985	+3.36%	0.0386	✗	1.29	1.2M	2022-02-26
VSYS	V.SYSTEMS	native	0.01202	0.011994	-0.22%	0.01217	+1.25%	0.0165	✗	0.76	15k	2022-02-26
DASH	Dash	Dash	92.9	92.701	-0.21%	93.68	+0.84%	0.0134	✗	1.13	1.5M	2022-02-26
LCX	LCX	Ethereum	0.082	0.081825	-0.21%	0.0854	+4.15%	0.0468	✗	1.55	668k	2022-02-26
CWEB	Coinweb	Ethereum	0.022712	0.022664	-0.21%	0.02263	-0.36%	0.0012	✓	1.06	114k	2022-02-26
ADA	Cardano	Cardano	0.8997	0.897802	-0.21%	0.8873	-1.38%	0.0088	✓	1.16	97.3M	2022-02-26
HIVE	Hive	native	0.9019	0.900017	-0.21%	0.9533	+5.70%	0.0608	✗	1.27	1.8M	2022-02-26
GITCOIN	GITCOIN		6.282	6.269	-0.21%	6.245	-0.59%	0.0003	✓	1.38	28k	2022-02-26
ETH	Ethereum	Ethereum	2,769.52	2,763.84	-0.20%	2,780.71	+0.40%	0.0089	✗	1.08	561.7M	2022-02-26
BCH	Bitcoin Cash	Bitcoin Cash	309.04	308.4129	-0.20%	315.57	+2.11%	0.0255	✗	1.00	7.3M	2022-02-26
XLM	Stellar	Stellar	0.191142	0.190755	-0.20%	0.192899	+0.92%	0.0140	✗	1.11	20.5M	2022-02-26
GLMR	Moonbeam	Base	2.39	2.3852	-0.20%	2.581	+7.99%	0.0825	✗	1.41	572k	2022-02-26
KCS	KuCoin	native	19.466	19.4267	-0.20%	19.708	+1.24%	0.0171	✗	1.07	9.6M	2022-02-26
DYDX	dYdX	Cosmos	5.635	5.6236	-0.20%	5.391	-4.33%	0.0397	✓	0.99	223k	2022-02-26
DODO	DODO	Ethereum	0.447	0.446104	-0.20%	0.438	-2.01%	0.0148	✓	1.38	4.6M	2022-02-26
LAZIO	Lazio Fan Token	Binance Smart Chain	2.7299	2.7244	-0.20%	2.7102	-0.72%	0.0027	✓	0.98	2.3M	2022-02-26
XEM	NEM	native	0.0985	0.098303	-0.20%	0.101	+2.54%	0.0298	✗	1.05	38k	2022-02-26
MTL	Metal DAO	Metal L2	1.445	1.4421	-0.20%	1.524	+5.47%	0.0583	✗	1.20	1.6M	2022-02-26
XVS	Venus	Ethereum	9.2	9.1818	-0.20%	8.98	-2.39%	0.0189	✓	1.29	3.2M	2022-02-26
ZEN	Horizen	Base	34.73	34.6619	-0.20%	33.26	-4.23%	0.0375	✓	1.49	309k	2022-02-26
DKA	dKargo	Ethereum	0.08597	0.085808	-0.19%	0.08727	+1.51%	0.0198	✗	1.11	46k	2022-02-26
NANO	nanopay	Base	1.8773	1.8738	-0.19%	1.8651	-0.65%	0.0015	✓	1.23	196k	2022-02-26
CHZ	Chiliz	Ethereum	0.1741	0.173776	-0.19%	0.1751	+0.57%	0.0112	✗	1.41	2.8M	2022-02-26
LTC	Litecoin	Litecoin	109.33	109.1328	-0.18%	108.29	-0.95%	0.0047	✓	1.19	29.5M	2022-02-26
UNI	Uniswap	Ethereum	9.25	9.2334	-0.18%	9.06	-2.05%	0.0155	✓	1.34	10.8M	2022-02-26
SANTOS	Santos FC Fan Token	Binance Smart Chain	2.336	2.3319	-0.17%	2.305	-1.33%	0.0084	✓	1.25	727k	2022-02-26
ZEC	Zcash	Zcash	106.72	106.5373	-0.17%	107.8	+1.01%	0.0147	✗	1.13	7.6M	2022-02-26
PSG	Paris Saint-Germain Fan Token	Solana	14.74	14.7151	-0.17%	14.7	-0.27%	0.0008	✓	0.71	1.9M	2022-02-26
MINA	Mina Protocol	native	2.09	2.0865	-0.17%	2.05	-1.91%	0.0145	✓	1.23	343k	2022-02-26
CITY	Manchester City Fan Token	Solana	9.37	9.3544	-0.17%	9.33	-0.43%	0.0009	✓	0.68	853k	2022-02-26
METRONOME	METRONOME		2.1201	2.1166	-0.17%	2.2359	+5.46%	0.0571	✗	0.88	27k	2022-02-26
ENS	Ethereum Name Service	Ethereum	14.87	14.8462	-0.16%	14.09	-5.25%	0.0484	✓	1.52	2.3M	2022-02-26
QTUM	Qtum	Qtum	6.1326	6.1229	-0.16%	6.1323	-0.01%	0.0052	✗	1.45	184k	2022-02-26
ACM	AC Milan Fan Token	Solana	4.091	4.0847	-0.15%	4.058	-0.81%	0.0044	✓	0.82	414k	2022-02-26
OXT	Orchid Protocol	Ethereum	0.2233	0.222955	-0.15%	0.226	+1.21%	0.0161	✗	1.00	1.9M	2022-02-26
AUCTION	Bounce	Ethereum	12.83	12.8103	-0.15%	12.91	+0.62%	0.0104	✗	1.02	340k	2022-02-26
GRT	The Graph	Ethereum	0.3611	0.360545	-0.15%	0.3486	-3.46%	0.0300	✓	1.43	8.4M	2022-02-26
BFC	Bifrost	Ethereum	0.15869	0.158447	-0.15%	0.15626	-1.53%	0.0104	✓	1.37	28k	2022-02-26
QNT	Quant	Ethereum	112.52	112.3537	-0.15%	110.79	-1.54%	0.0114	✓	1.03	6.4M	2022-02-26
RAD	Radworks	Ethereum	4.51	4.5034	-0.15%	4.47	-0.89%	0.0051	✓	0.91	696k	2022-02-26
SC	Siacoin	native	0.0088	0.008787	-0.15%	0.00906	+2.95%	0.0339	✗	1.29	546k	2022-02-26
TRAC	OriginTrail	Ethereum	0.4634	0.462728	-0.15%	0.4599	-0.76%	0.0023	✓	1.48	572k	2022-02-26
BAR	FC Barcelona Fan Token	Solana	5.3	5.2925	-0.14%	5.38	+1.51%	0.0186	✗	0.86	435k	2022-02-26
BAT	Basic Attention	Ethereum	0.7023	0.70132	-0.14%	0.69949	-0.40%	0.0011	✓	1.44	224k	2022-02-26
PORTO	FC Porto	Binance Smart Chain	2.7311	2.7273	-0.14%	2.7384	+0.27%	0.0064	✗	0.93	2.9M	2022-02-26
1INCH	1INCH	Ethereum	1.453	1.451	-0.14%	1.437	-1.10%	0.0067	✓	1.19	963k	2022-02-26
COMP	Compound	Ethereum	112.66	112.508	-0.13%	113.35	+0.61%	0.0108	✗	1.30	58k	2022-02-26
ENJ	Enjin Coin	Ethereum	1.45	1.4481	-0.13%	1.441	-0.62%	0.0010	✓	1.53	941k	2022-02-26
IMX	Immutable	Ethereum	1.536	1.534	-0.13%	1.5	-2.34%	0.0196	✓	1.10	3.4M	2022-02-26
EWT	Energy Web Token	Ethereum	4.933	4.9268	-0.13%	5.009	+1.54%	0.0187	✗	0.83	65k	2022-02-26
ASR	AS Roma Fan Token	Solana	2.571	2.5678	-0.13%	2.576	+0.19%	0.0053	✗	0.83	207k	2022-02-26
OGN	Origin Token	Ethereum	0.297	0.296646	-0.12%	0.29	-2.36%	0.0191	✓	1.39	2.1M	2022-02-26
JUV	Juventus Fan Token	Solana	5.65	5.6434	-0.12%	5.7	+0.88%	0.0121	✗	0.84	430k	2022-02-26
KSM	Kusama	Hydration	124.6	124.4581	-0.11%	124.78	+0.14%	0.0057	✗	1.20	930k	2022-02-26
ATM	Atletico Madrid Fan Token	Solana	4.61	4.6048	-0.11%	4.68	+1.52%	0.0182	✗	0.78	459k	2022-02-26
ANKR	Ankr Network	Ethereum	0.0649	0.064828	-0.11%	0.06611	+1.86%	0.0227	✗	1.23	74k	2022-02-26
XEC	eCash	native	0.00007523	0.000075149	-0.11%	0.00007538	+0.20%	0.0061	✗	1.18	4.5M	2022-02-26
SHIB	Shiba Inu	Ethereum	0.00002483	0.000024804	-0.11%	0.00002435	-1.93%	0.0150	✓	1.35	3.8M	2022-02-26
DOGE	Dogecoin	Dogecoin	0.127781	0.127651	-0.10%	0.127595	-0.15%	0.0021	✗	1.00	3.7M	2022-02-26
JASMY	JasmyCoin	Ethereum	0.01819	0.018172	-0.10%	0.01784	-1.92%	0.0143	✓	1.60	12.7M	2022-02-26
DEXE	DeXe	Ethereum	6.33	6.3238	-0.10%	6.27	-0.95%	0.0075	✓	0.42	1.2M	2022-02-26
SOL	Solana	Solana	92.84	92.754	-0.09%	90.32	-2.71%	0.0233	✓	1.29	132.7M	2022-02-26
BCHSV	Bitcoin Cash SV		84.8	84.7225	-0.09%	84.76	-0.05%	0.0027	✗	0.89	946k	2022-02-26
COTI	COTI	Ethereum	0.2121	0.211911	-0.09%	0.2129	+0.38%	0.0086	✗	1.53	3.3M	2022-02-26
CTSI	Cartesi	Ethereum	0.3727	0.372467	-0.06%	0.3655	-1.93%	0.0151	✓	1.47	1.3M	2022-02-26
TKO	Tokocrypto	Binance Smart Chain	0.654	0.653616	-0.06%	0.679	+3.82%	0.0411	✗	1.16	2.0M	2022-02-26
TWT	Trust Wallet	Binance Smart Chain	0.4821	0.481857	-0.05%	0.504	+4.54%	0.0484	✗	1.33	2.0M	2022-02-26
TRX	TRON	Tron	0.059479	0.059467	-0.02%	0.059459	-0.03%	0.0020	✗	0.83	286k	2022-02-26
DNT	district0x	Ethereum	0.0689	0.068912	+0.02%	0.0685	-0.58%	0.0033	✗	1.05	168k	2022-02-26
PHA	PHALA	Ethereum	0.229	0.229102	+0.04%	0.232	+1.31%	0.0148	✓	0.85	57k	2022-02-26
GODS	Gods Unchained	Ethereum	1.21	1.2106	+0.05%	1.24	+2.48%	0.0273	✓	1.28	885k	2022-02-26

Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.