8=======>

2022-02-24 · +30d

beta_5y · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 151 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.2104
151 of 151 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+9.26%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
56.3%
in alpha space · 42.4% on raw price
BTC over horizon
+16.15%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (151 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.39350.349148-11.27%0.4455+13.21%0.0633✓2.052.1M2022-03-26
SUNSun TokenTron0.011470.010351-9.75%0.014424+25.75%0.1655✗1.1137k2022-03-26
MOVRMoonriverBase63.011257.085-9.40%61.5671-2.29%0.1461✓1.48243k2022-03-26
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.80080.727421-9.16%0.8796+9.84%0.1123✗0.521.5M2022-03-26
BRISEBitgertEthereum7.02e-76.38e-7-9.09%0.000001176+67.48%0.4613✗1.001.4M2022-03-26
ASTRAstarEthereum0.1260.116979-7.16%0.113-10.32%0.1716✓0.9153k2022-03-26
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.033230.031025-6.64%0.04136+24.47%0.1629✗0.831.6M2022-03-26
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.02810.026261-6.55%0.03025+7.65%0.0800✓1.48513k2022-03-26
CRVCurve DAOEthereum2.2412.0959-6.47%2.41+7.54%0.0863✓1.5113.2M2022-03-26
FIDABonfidaSolana1.7171.607-6.41%1.883+9.67%0.0088✓1.0084k2022-03-26
PROPropyEthereum1.691.5864-6.13%1.62-4.14%0.2145✓1.57539k2022-03-26
ORCAOrcaSolana2.682.5226-5.87%2.29-14.55%0.2464✓1.00608k2022-03-26
API3Api3Ethereum7.0016.6136-5.53%6.055-13.51%0.1438✓0.372.0M2022-03-26
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.05320.050286-5.48%0.0794+49.25%0.1851✗1.8167.8M2022-03-26
GTCGitcoinEthereum5.895.5679-5.47%7.17+21.73%0.0507✓1.351.3M2022-03-26
BTTCBTTC0.000001810.000001711-5.45%0.00000194+7.18%0.0253✓0.6714.4M2022-03-26
GLMRMoonbeamBase2.182.0639-5.33%2.775+27.29%0.0926✗1.36579k2022-03-26
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum16.615.7216-5.29%19.44+17.11%0.0399✓1.1522.7M2022-03-26
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.48050.45646-5.00%0.5554+15.59%0.0601✗0.91643k2022-03-26
SUSHISushiEthereum3.142.9954-4.60%3.64+15.92%0.0061✓1.347.1M2022-03-26
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.7185.4618-4.48%5.7949+1.34%0.0017✓0.41433k2022-03-26
SPELLSpellEthereum0.004130.003948-4.40%0.00426+3.15%0.1993✓1.8412.6M2022-03-26
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos24.8623.8084-4.23%28.8+15.85%0.0271✓1.0952.8M2022-03-26
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.640.613087-4.21%0.7+9.37%0.1515✓1.901.0M2022-03-26
DIADIAEthereum1.020.978922-4.03%1-1.96%0.0175✓0.03286k2022-03-26
YFIyearn.financeEthereum19,425.1718,671.53-3.88%21,160.33+8.93%0.0235✓0.995.7M2022-03-26
AVTAventusEthereum2.192.1068-3.80%2.46+12.33%0.0053✓1.00639k2022-03-26
LUNATerraTerra 265.2462.8134-3.72%91.46+40.19%0.1727✗1.364.5M2022-03-26
BICOBiconomyEthereum1.2081.1633-3.70%1.516+25.50%0.0624✗1.351.8M2022-03-26
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.33020.318033-3.68%0.3714+12.48%0.0991✓1.7016.0M2022-03-26
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0458530.044191-3.62%0.042043-8.31%0.2330✓1.228.6M2022-03-26
STXStacksnative1.121.081-3.49%1.36+21.43%0.0353✓1.30725k2022-03-26
CELLCellframeEthereum1.42571.3763-3.47%1.3654-4.23%0.2177✓1.40238k2022-03-26
LCXLCXEthereum0.0790.07675-2.85%0.132+67.09%0.3112✗1.54668k2022-03-26
CVCCivicEthereum0.23710.230416-2.82%0.3258+37.41%0.1404✗1.38469k2022-03-26
SNXSynthetixEthereum3.9413.8323-2.76%5.117+29.84%0.0927✗1.312.4M2022-03-26
XYMSymbolnative0.13990.136068-2.74%0.1501+7.29%0.0237✓0.81345k2022-03-26
SKLSKALEEthereum0.12050.117226-2.72%0.1714+42.24%0.1846✗1.303.1M2022-03-26
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.561.5193-2.61%2.16+38.46%0.1523✗1.332.0M2022-03-26
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum1.131.1007-2.59%1.42+25.66%0.0660✗1.26934k2022-03-26
MASKMask NetworkEthereum4.244.1326-2.53%5.28+24.53%0.0204✓1.50456k2022-03-26
LPTLivepeerEthereum22.4121.8541-2.48%27.43+22.40%0.0074✓1.471.8M2022-03-26
OGOG Fan TokenSolana2.7472.6789-2.48%4.072+48.23%0.2798✗0.93477k2022-03-26
LRCLoopringEthereum0.740.722085-2.42%1.0653+43.96%0.1600✗1.53317k2022-03-26
ARPAARPAEthereum0.06850.066855-2.40%0.0815+18.98%0.0094✓1.391.1M2022-03-26
XMRMoneroMonero147143.6218-2.30%207.22+40.97%0.2180✗0.99966k2022-03-26
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum3.73513.6525-2.21%5.2377+40.23%0.1820✗1.19291k2022-03-26
TRBTellor TributesEthereum19.4819.0517-2.20%22.24+14.17%0.0815✓1.58334k2022-03-26
FTTFTXEthereum41.340.4117-2.15%49.92+20.87%0.0403✗1.1426.3M2022-03-26
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.81311.7767-2.01%3.144+73.40%0.4697✗0.672.7M2022-03-26
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.04360.042754-1.94%0.05491+25.94%0.0618✗1.26768k2022-03-26
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.017180.016852-1.91%0.02062+20.02%0.0358✗1.112.2M2022-03-26
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.06090.05976-1.87%0.08093+32.89%0.1456✗1.0514k2022-03-26
BANDBandEthereum3.5583.4933-1.82%4.192+17.82%0.0159✓1.321.9M2022-03-26
NMRNumeraireEthereum30.7630.2294-1.73%30.63-0.42%0.1426✓1.041.6M2022-03-26
FILFilecoinFilecoin18.4218.1034-1.72%19.43+5.48%0.1203✓1.289.4M2022-03-26
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.62032.5767-1.67%4.2793+63.31%0.3622✗0.972.3M2022-03-26
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.016930.016657-1.61%0.03654+115.83%0.5473✗1.5911.9M2022-03-26
UMAUMAEthereum4.7854.7119-1.53%7.708+61.09%0.3480✗0.961.9M2022-03-26
METRONOMEMETRONOME2.11772.0875-1.43%2.658+25.51%0.1105✗0.8827k2022-03-26
NANOnanopayBase1.77381.7491-1.39%2.5027+41.10%0.1764✗1.21206k2022-03-26
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum1.1871.1705-1.39%1.694+42.71%0.1834✗1.241.0M2022-03-26
AAVEAaveEthereum125.3123.687-1.29%163.4+30.41%0.0646✗1.436.5M2022-03-26
MANADecentralandEthereum2.58252.5494-1.28%2.6174+1.35%0.1677✓1.303.3M2022-03-26
STORJStorjEthereum0.895590.885126-1.17%1.2512+39.70%0.1367✗1.40165k2022-03-26
GITCOINGITCOIN5.7935.726-1.16%7.203+24.34%0.0333✗1.3129k2022-03-26
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum2.192.1653-1.13%2.6+18.72%0.0323✗1.01275k2022-03-26
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.009770.009662-1.11%0.01356+38.79%0.1180✗1.482.3M2022-03-26
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.69530.687608-1.11%0.8312+19.55%0.0267✗1.099.7M2022-03-26
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana5.034.9773-1.05%8.41+67.20%0.3975✗0.85398k2022-03-26
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.5097660.504737-0.99%0.625849+22.77%0.0377✗1.183.2M2022-03-26
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.1882.1667-0.97%6.444+194.52%0.9051✗1.24772k2022-03-26
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum48.8248.348-0.97%66.96+37.16%0.1253✗1.347.5M2022-03-26
IMXImmutableEthereum1.5041.4897-0.95%2.2+46.28%0.2262✗1.093.5M2022-03-26
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.43130.427363-0.91%0.6791+57.45%0.2437✗1.47572k2022-03-26
MINAMina Protocolnative1.971.9552-0.75%2.55+29.44%0.0830✗1.22343k2022-03-26
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum1.361.352-0.59%1.659+21.99%0.0204✓1.50970k2022-03-26
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana3.9453.9218-0.59%5.974+51.43%0.2972✗0.83414k2022-03-26
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.13040.129636-0.59%0.1602+22.85%0.0568✗1.03446k2022-03-26
LSKLiskEthereum1.53711.5284-0.57%2.3608+53.58%0.2851✗1.0072k2022-03-26
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche76.4175.9873-0.55%85.96+12.50%0.1015✓1.50106.7M2022-03-26
DYDXdYdXCosmos5.0164.99-0.52%5.416+7.97%0.0616✓0.96241k2022-03-26
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.77790.774495-0.44%0.9121+17.25%0.0183✓1.2122.9M2022-03-26
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana2.4812.4709-0.41%3.756+51.39%0.2954✗0.82205k2022-03-26
GTGateEthereum6.2356.2098-0.40%6.4911+4.11%0.0737✓0.793.0M2022-03-26
BTCBitcoinBitcoin38,347.3038,202.21-0.38%44,539.42+16.15%0.0038✗1.00632.3M2022-03-26
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum4.7474.7294-0.37%6.115+28.82%0.1344✗0.8265k2022-03-26
RADRadworksEthereum4.444.4305-0.21%5.18+16.67%0.0058✗1.01696k2022-03-26
KCSKuCoinnative18.17318.135-0.21%18.766+3.26%0.1233✓1.059.6M2022-03-26
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain2.62542.6201-0.20%4.1754+59.04%0.3285✗0.922.9M2022-03-26
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.011880.011856-0.20%0.01334+12.29%0.0038✗0.7615k2022-03-26
ETCEthereum Classicnative26.5326.4773-0.20%47.21+77.95%0.4131✗1.105.1M2022-03-26
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana13.9713.9502-0.14%13.43-3.87%0.1435✓0.701.9M2022-03-26
DODODODOEthereum0.4230.422433-0.13%0.445+5.20%0.1540✓1.384.7M2022-03-26
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.1241160.124008-0.09%0.136089+9.65%0.0563✓1.003.7M2022-03-26
XTZTezosTezos3.03893.0369-0.06%3.6619+20.50%0.0120✓1.332.1M2022-03-26
LINKChainlinkEthereum13.2713.2636-0.05%15.84+19.37%0.0050✓1.2260.6M2022-03-26
UOSUltraEthereum1.15791.1576-0.02%1.1526-0.46%0.2210✓1.452.6M2022-03-26
DOTPolkadotPolkadot16.1816.1818+0.01%20.93+29.36%0.0598✓1.3227.9M2022-03-26
CTSICartesiEthereum0.34520.345345+0.04%0.3882+12.46%0.1008✗1.451.3M2022-03-26
COMPCompoundEthereum108.77108.8175+0.04%121.77+11.95%0.0815✗1.3064k2022-03-26
SCSiacoinnative0.008340.008345+0.05%0.01082+29.74%0.0682✓1.28546k2022-03-26
AMPAmpEthereum0.026160.026181+0.08%0.02636+0.76%0.1099✗0.784.4M2022-03-26
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.3381.3402+0.16%1.897+41.78%0.1705✓1.181.8M2022-03-26
XVGVergenative0.008940.008957+0.18%0.01105+23.60%0.0178✓1.281.2M2022-03-26
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.036860.036931+0.19%0.04666+26.59%0.0726✓1.0831k2022-03-26
CTKShentuOsmosis1.1041.1063+0.21%1.345+21.83%0.0017✓1.292.8M2022-03-26
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum13.7213.7502+0.22%17.38+26.68%0.0024✓1.552.7M2022-03-26
COTICOTIEthereum0.19560.196043+0.23%0.2487+27.15%0.0124✓1.513.3M2022-03-26
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.36180.362766+0.27%0.4109+13.57%0.0960✗1.478.4M2022-03-26
ZECZcashZcash102.72103.0935+0.36%204.96+99.53%0.5203✓1.117.8M2022-03-26
CBKCobakEthereum2.0032.0112+0.41%2.469+23.27%0.0498✓1.0420k2022-03-26
HIVEHivenative0.81430.817702+0.42%1.0536+29.39%0.0640✓1.271.8M2022-03-26
DASHDashDash87.8888.2613+0.43%128.04+45.70%0.2051✓1.121.5M2022-03-26
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0216650.021766+0.47%0.037356+72.43%0.3859✓1.03114k2022-03-26
BFCBifrostEthereum0.151320.152027+0.47%0.16187+6.97%0.1418✗1.3729k2022-03-26
KSMKusamaHydration117.93118.4892+0.47%164.65+39.62%0.1485✓1.21930k2022-03-26
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum38,311.5038,501.60+0.50%44,445.40+16.01%0.0001✓0.9639k2022-03-26
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.660220.663742+0.53%0.85828+30.00%0.0332✓1.50246k2022-03-26
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.2740.275787+0.65%0.609+122.26%0.5862✓1.382.2M2022-03-26
XLMStellarStellar0.1824030.183639+0.68%0.215838+18.33%0.0031✓1.1021.4M2022-03-26
UNIUniswapEthereum8.838.9038+0.84%10.64+20.50%0.0212✗1.3311.0M2022-03-26
CHZChilizEthereum0.16410.165917+1.11%0.242+47.47%0.1680✓1.402.9M2022-03-26
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana4.424.473+1.20%6.98+57.92%0.3300✓0.77459k2022-03-26
DKAdKargoEthereum0.082060.083056+1.21%0.10351+26.14%0.0546✓1.1147k2022-03-26
ETHEthereumEthereum2,597.422,630.09+1.26%3,146.22+21.13%0.0194✓1.07561.7M2022-03-26
AUCTIONBounceEthereum11.9912.1496+1.33%15.9+32.61%0.1155✓1.03369k2022-03-26
SOLSolanaSolana89.4190.6182+1.35%101.79+13.85%0.0758✗1.28132.7M2022-03-26
XECeCashnative0.000071140.000072115+1.37%0.0000868+22.01%0.0098✓1.174.4M2022-03-26
ZENHorizenBase34.2234.6953+1.39%46.92+37.11%0.0776✓1.50309k2022-03-26
ADACardanoCardano0.85330.865383+1.42%1.153+35.12%0.1144✓1.1597.3M2022-03-26
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.21410.217201+1.45%0.2689+25.60%0.0629✓1.011.9M2022-03-26
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana8.979.1027+1.48%14.26+58.97%0.3485✓0.67853k2022-03-26
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.4580.465003+1.53%1.2208+166.55%0.7664✓1.332.2M2022-03-26
DEXEDeXeEthereum6.16.1956+1.57%6.99+14.59%0.0614✓0.401.3M2022-03-26
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.8270.841969+1.81%0.998+20.68%0.0346✗1.372.1M2022-03-26
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.060730.06184+1.83%0.08581+41.30%0.1453✓1.2277k2022-03-26
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana5.425.5214+1.87%6.44+18.82%0.0296✓0.83430k2022-03-26
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV81.8983.4331+1.88%90.22+10.17%0.0534✗0.88946k2022-03-26
TRXTRONTron0.0610980.062276+1.93%0.066368+8.63%0.0622✗0.84286k2022-03-26
XEMNEMnative0.0930.0949+2.04%0.1088+16.99%0.0183✓1.0438k2022-03-26
XVSVenusEthereum8.959.1367+2.09%10.24+14.41%0.0799✗1.303.2M2022-03-26
PHAPHALAEthereum0.2190.223682+2.14%0.26+18.72%0.0211✓0.8659k2022-03-26
QTUMQtumQtum5.84115.9708+2.22%8.2397+41.07%0.1067✓1.44172k2022-03-26
1INCH1INCHEthereum1.3441.3758+2.37%1.628+21.13%0.0077✓1.181.1M2022-03-26
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash300.94308.4569+2.50%362.07+20.31%0.0107✓1.007.3M2022-03-26
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000023890.000024511+2.60%0.00002445+2.34%0.2046✗1.353.7M2022-03-26
QNTQuantEthereum108.73111.5722+2.61%141.25+29.91%0.0829✓1.026.6M2022-03-26
LTCLitecoinLitecoin104.24107.3912+3.02%124.85+19.77%0.0258✓1.1829.5M2022-03-26
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.640.664652+3.85%0.729+13.91%0.0806✗1.162.2M2022-03-26
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.06460.067597+4.64%0.079+22.29%0.0001✓1.04176k2022-03-26
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.