2022-02-20 · +30d

beta_5y · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 150 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.

+1d +7d +30d asset cohort only

rank IC

+0.3154

150 of 150 tokens assessed

long-short decile

+21.48%

realised beta-adjusted alpha

direction hit

58.7%

in alpha space · 58.7% on raw price

BTC over horizon

+10.39%

the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (150 rows, sorted by pred)

token	name	chain	anchor px	pred px ▾	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d	vol 30d	target
DNT	district0x	Ethereum	0.0729	0.076292	+4.65%	0.0759	+4.12%	0.1170	✗	1.13	194k	2022-03-22
TKO	Tokocrypto	Binance Smart Chain	0.7	0.724091	+3.44%	0.722	+3.14%	0.1077	✗	1.06	2.0M	2022-03-22
BCH	Bitcoin Cash	Bitcoin Cash	302.87	310.7291	+2.59%	375.54	+23.99%	0.0929	✓	0.98	8.0M	2022-03-22
LTC	Litecoin	Litecoin	110.69	113.4662	+2.51%	122.81	+10.95%	0.0403	✗	1.21	30.0M	2022-03-22
BEL	Bella Protocol	Ethereum	0.796	0.815762	+2.48%	0.91	+14.32%	0.0260	✗	1.37	2.2M	2022-03-22
QTUM	Qtum	Qtum	6.2326	6.3817	+2.39%	7.6005	+21.95%	0.0298	✓	1.47	172k	2022-03-22
XVS	Venus	Ethereum	8.95	9.1484	+2.22%	9.38	+4.80%	0.1041	✗	1.31	3.2M	2022-03-22
TRX	TRON	Tron	0.06201	0.063384	+2.22%	0.063447	+2.32%	0.0816	✗	0.84	307k	2022-03-22
QNT	Quant	Ethereum	107.71	110.0602	+2.18%	127.12	+18.02%	0.0446	✓	1.01	6.6M	2022-03-22
1INCH	1INCH	Ethereum	1.49	1.5222	+2.16%	1.547	+3.83%	0.1056	✗	1.23	1.1M	2022-03-22
SHIB	Shiba Inu	Ethereum	0.00002547	0.000025967	+1.95%	0.00002344	-7.97%	0.2395	✗	1.39	3.7M	2022-03-22
MED	Medibloc	Osmosis	0.03914	0.039884	+1.90%	0.04222	+7.87%	0.0515	✗	1.10	32k	2022-03-22
DKA	dKargo	Ethereum	0.08575	0.087221	+1.72%	0.09728	+13.45%	0.0019	✓	1.08	49k	2022-03-22
ZEN	Horizen	Base	34.75	35.2925	+1.56%	45.47	+30.85%	0.0993	✓	1.56	364k	2022-03-22
DEXE	DeXe	Ethereum	7.17	7.2753	+1.47%	6.67	-6.97%	0.1067	✗	0.20	1.4M	2022-03-22
ANKR	Ankr Network	Ethereum	0.06754	0.068471	+1.38%	0.07561	+11.95%	0.0223	✓	0.78	84k	2022-03-22
WBTC	Wrapped Bitcoin	Ethereum	38,642.80	39,168.94	+1.36%	42,512.10	+10.01%	0.0136	✗	0.97	42k	2022-03-22
PHA	PHALA	Ethereum	0.24	0.243105	+1.29%	0.253	+5.42%	0.0531	✗	0.94	68k	2022-03-22
ENS	Ethereum Name Service	Ethereum	15.23	15.4216	+1.26%	17.58	+15.43%	0.0371	✗	1.70	3.0M	2022-03-22
AUCTION	Bounce	Ethereum	12.98	13.1313	+1.17%	16.17	+24.58%	0.1061	✓	1.03	448k	2022-03-22
ETH	Ethereum	Ethereum	2,622.47	2,652.99	+1.16%	2,970.51	+13.27%	0.0027	✓	1.12	581.4M	2022-03-22
CITY	Manchester City Fan Token	Solana	9.77	9.8697	+1.02%	13.41	+37.26%	0.2403	✓	0.67	821k	2022-03-22
XEM	NEM	native	0.0988	0.099798	+1.01%	0.1082	+9.51%	0.0189	✗	1.01	38k	2022-03-22
XEC	eCash	native	0.00007437	0.000075088	+0.97%	0.00008348	+12.25%	0.0060	✓	1.13	4.7M	2022-03-22
SOL	Solana	Solana	90.78	91.6077	+0.91%	90.48	-0.33%	0.1340	✗	1.23	171.7M	2022-03-22
OGN	Origin Token	Ethereum	0.3	0.302498	+0.83%	0.693	+131.00%	0.6978	✓	1.33	2.2M	2022-03-22
JUV	Juventus Fan Token	Solana	6.14	6.1885	+0.79%	6.43	+4.72%	0.0476	✗	0.87	430k	2022-03-22
BCHSV	Bitcoin Cash SV		84.46	85.1105	+0.77%	91.76	+8.64%	0.0123	✗	0.89	1.1M	2022-03-22
BFC	Bifrost	Ethereum	0.15607	0.157269	+0.77%	0.15608	+0.01%	0.1489	✗	1.43	30k	2022-03-22
ADA	Cardano	Cardano	0.9319	0.937849	+0.64%	0.9753	+4.66%	0.0714	✗	1.12	97.3M	2022-03-22
CBK	Cobak	Ethereum	2.067	2.0798	+0.62%	2.255	+9.10%	0.0223	✗	1.04	20k	2022-03-22
UNI	Uniswap	Ethereum	9.36	9.4119	+0.55%	9.76	+4.27%	0.0941	✗	1.32	11.4M	2022-03-22
CHZ	Chiliz	Ethereum	0.1863	0.187313	+0.54%	0.2091	+12.24%	0.0264	✗	1.38	3.2M	2022-03-22
TWT	Trust Wallet	Binance Smart Chain	0.516	0.518365	+0.46%	1.1707	+126.88%	0.6844	✓	1.32	2.3M	2022-03-22
ATM	Atletico Madrid Fan Token	Solana	5.01	5.032	+0.44%	6.75	+34.73%	0.2167	✓	0.78	431k	2022-03-22
XLM	Stellar	Stellar	0.194647	0.195364	+0.37%	0.20689	+6.29%	0.0450	✗	1.04	21.8M	2022-03-22
OXT	Orchid Protocol	Ethereum	0.2401	0.240957	+0.36%	0.253	+5.37%	0.0507	✗	1.01	1.9M	2022-03-22
BAT	Basic Attention	Ethereum	0.70618	0.708157	+0.28%	0.80946	+14.63%	0.0139	✗	1.49	298k	2022-03-22
GRT	The Graph	Ethereum	0.3917	0.392794	+0.28%	0.4105	+4.80%	0.0937	✗	1.39	8.7M	2022-03-22
KSM	Kusama	Hydration	138.87	139.1244	+0.18%	158.4	+14.06%	0.0136	✓	1.17	930k	2022-03-22
AGLD	Adventure Gold	Ethereum	0.9	0.901361	+0.15%	1.719	+91.00%	0.5192	✓	1.28	878k	2022-03-22
UOS	Ultra	Ethereum	1.1176	1.1186	+0.09%	1.1525	+3.12%	0.1028	✗	1.34	2.5M	2022-03-22
ETC	Ethereum Classic	native	27.23	27.2453	+0.06%	51.65	+89.68%	0.5335	✓	1.07	5.2M	2022-03-22
RIF	Rootstock Infrastructure Framework	Ethereum	0.1362	0.136269	+0.05%	0.1543	+13.29%	0.0226	✓	1.03	470k	2022-03-22
SC	Siacoin	native	0.00912	0.009125	+0.05%	0.0096	+5.26%	0.0508	✗	1.03	504k	2022-03-22
AMP	Amp	Ethereum	0.02715	0.027159	+0.03%	0.02633	-3.02%	0.1160	✗	0.86	5.0M	2022-03-22
XVG	Verge	native	0.00962	0.009616	-0.04%	0.00999	+3.85%	0.0900	✓	1.30	1.2M	2022-03-22
AXS	Axie Infinity	Ethereum	52.1	52.057	-0.08%	52.46	+0.69%	0.1193	✓	1.29	8.7M	2022-03-22
HIVE	Hive	native	0.9158	0.915011	-0.09%	0.9224	+0.72%	0.1465	✓	1.56	1.8M	2022-03-22
XTZ	Tezos	Tezos	3.2624	3.259	-0.10%	3.302	+1.21%	0.1132	✓	1.28	2.1M	2022-03-22
CTSI	Cartesi	Ethereum	0.3961	0.395427	-0.17%	0.3622	-8.56%	0.2292	✓	1.43	1.6M	2022-03-22
DODO	DODO	Ethereum	0.471	0.470143	-0.18%	0.446	-5.31%	0.1896	✓	1.38	4.5M	2022-03-22
CTK	Shentu	Osmosis	1.063	1.0609	-0.20%	1.26	+18.53%	0.0486	✗	1.25	3.0M	2022-03-22
ZRX	0x Protocol	Ethereum	0.570834	0.569538	-0.23%	0.561881	-1.57%	0.1260	✓	1.14	3.5M	2022-03-22
MTL	Metal DAO	Metal L2	1.454	1.4502	-0.26%	1.626	+11.83%	0.0013	✓	1.14	2.1M	2022-03-22
VSYS	V.SYSTEMS	native	0.01266	0.012623	-0.29%	0.01287	+1.66%	0.0612	✓	0.82	15k	2022-03-22
NMR	Numeraire	Ethereum	27.93	27.8422	-0.31%	29.9	+7.05%	0.0242	✓	0.97	1.4M	2022-03-22
DOT	Polkadot	Polkadot	16.92	16.8623	-0.34%	20.22	+19.50%	0.0492	✗	1.34	31.3M	2022-03-22
AVAX	Avalanche	Avalanche	77.39	77.0652	-0.42%	83.98	+8.52%	0.0573	✓	1.45	106.7M	2022-03-22
COMP	Compound	Ethereum	116.98	116.4848	-0.42%	114.7	-1.95%	0.1414	✓	1.27	66k	2022-03-22
ZEC	Zcash	Zcash	108.11	107.6404	-0.43%	174.59	+61.49%	0.3657	✗	1.19	7.6M	2022-03-22
BTC	Bitcoin	Bitcoin	38,389.03	38,215.43	-0.45%	42,378.26	+10.39%	0.0045	✓	1.00	633.0M	2022-03-22
GODS	Gods Unchained	Ethereum	1.44	1.4334	-0.46%	1.31	-9.03%	0.2116	✓	1.23	1.2M	2022-03-22
PSG	Paris Saint-Germain Fan Token	Solana	14.71	14.6291	-0.55%	13.32	-9.45%	0.1640	✓	0.71	1.8M	2022-03-22
COTI	COTI	Ethereum	0.2213	0.220056	-0.56%	0.218	-1.49%	0.1614	✓	1.54	3.6M	2022-03-22
ALGO	Algorand	Algorand	0.8455	0.840712	-0.57%	0.8268	-2.21%	0.1396	✓	1.24	24.6M	2022-03-22
DOGE	Dogecoin	Dogecoin	0.136714	0.135856	-0.63%	0.122365	-10.50%	0.2039	✓	1.00	4.7M	2022-03-22
DYDX	dYdX	Cosmos	5.697	5.6611	-0.63%	5.07	-11.01%	0.2134	✓	1.04	327k	2022-03-22
DASH	Dash	Dash	98.1	97.449	-0.66%	130.57	+33.10%	0.1830	✗	1.11	1.5M	2022-03-22
LINK	Chainlink	Ethereum	14.6	14.5009	-0.68%	15.43	+5.68%	0.0564	✓	1.20	63.5M	2022-03-22
GT	Gate	Ethereum	6.2563	6.2138	-0.68%	6.4277	+2.74%	0.0500	✓	0.85	3.5M	2022-03-22
XPR	XPR Network	Ethereum	0.01078	0.010701	-0.73%	0.01179	+9.37%	0.0578	✓	1.56	2.2M	2022-03-22
IMX	Immutable	Ethereum	1.82	1.8055	-0.80%	2.315	+27.20%	0.1443	✗	1.06	3.2M	2022-03-22
BNT	Bancor Network	Ethereum	2.28	2.2614	-0.82%	2.44	+7.02%	0.0249	✓	1.02	299k	2022-03-22
ACM	AC Milan Fan Token	Solana	4.211	4.1764	-0.82%	5.543	+31.63%	0.2003	✗	0.84	395k	2022-03-22
ORBS	Orbs	Ethereum	0.0654	0.064849	-0.84%	0.07627	+16.62%	0.0568	✗	1.07	15k	2022-03-22
KCS	KuCoin	native	18.962	18.8015	-0.85%	18.261	-3.70%	0.1474	✓	1.20	9.8M	2022-03-22
ASR	AS Roma Fan Token	Solana	2.798	2.772	-0.93%	4.168	+48.96%	0.3282	✗	0.81	206k	2022-03-22
LSK	Lisk	Ethereum	1.6203	1.6022	-1.11%	2.188	+35.04%	0.1992	✗	1.14	75k	2022-03-22
METRONOME	METRONOME		2.1375	2.1136	-1.12%	2.6489	+23.93%	0.1323	✗	0.94	28k	2022-03-22
PORTO	FC Porto	Binance Smart Chain	2.9539	2.9207	-1.12%	3.8754	+31.20%	0.1855	✗	0.98	2.5M	2022-03-22
ENJ	Enjin Coin	Ethereum	1.532	1.5143	-1.15%	1.457	-4.90%	0.1793	✓	1.42	1.0M	2022-03-22
EWT	Energy Web Token	Ethereum	5.516	5.4478	-1.24%	5.986	+8.52%	0.0155	✗	0.80	65k	2022-03-22
TRAC	OriginTrail	Ethereum	0.5079	0.501587	-1.24%	0.758	+49.24%	0.2723	✗	1.42	610k	2022-03-22
BAR	FC Barcelona Fan Token	Solana	5.7	5.6226	-1.36%	8.37	+46.84%	0.3145	✗	0.84	398k	2022-03-22
STORJ	Storj	Ethereum	0.98512	0.970865	-1.45%	1.1249	+14.19%	0.0424	✗	1.06	180k	2022-03-22
MASK	Mask Network	Ethereum	4.65	4.5806	-1.49%	4.5	-3.23%	0.1249	✓	1.08	510k	2022-03-22
XYO	XYO Network	Ethereum	0.019255	0.01895	-1.58%	0.01899	-1.38%	0.1114	✓	1.15	2.4M	2022-03-22
LPT	Livepeer	Ethereum	23.63	23.2417	-1.64%	27.98	+18.41%	0.0365	✗	1.51	1.8M	2022-03-22
NANO	nanopay	Base	1.9689	1.9356	-1.69%	2.2499	+14.27%	0.0272	✗	1.25	233k	2022-03-22
LRC	Loopring	Ethereum	0.8239	0.809306	-1.77%	0.8086	-1.86%	0.1514	✓	1.52	417k	2022-03-22
IOTA	IOTA	IOTA	0.7859	0.771821	-1.79%	0.7746	-1.44%	0.1069	✓	1.12	9.9M	2022-03-22
MANA	Decentraland	Ethereum	2.6921	2.6437	-1.80%	2.4316	-9.68%	0.2061	✓	1.24	3.2M	2022-03-22
FIL	Filecoin	Filecoin	19.82	19.4461	-1.89%	18.31	-7.62%	0.1817	✓	1.23	10.5M	2022-03-22
MINA	Mina Protocol	native	2.48	2.431	-1.97%	2.15	-13.31%	0.2403	✓	1.19	359k	2022-03-22
ARPA	ARPA	Ethereum	0.0744	0.072926	-1.98%	0.0724	-2.69%	0.1408	✓	1.35	1.1M	2022-03-22
LAZIO	Lazio Fan Token	Binance Smart Chain	3.02	2.96	-1.99%	4.2393	+40.37%	0.2614	✗	0.99	2.4M	2022-03-22
JASMY	JasmyCoin	Ethereum	0.02116	0.020736	-2.01%	0.03998	+88.94%	0.4975	✗	1.61	10.9M	2022-03-22
SANTOS	Santos FC Fan Token	Binance Smart Chain	2.5	2.4498	-2.01%	6.234	+149.36%	0.8086	✗	1.27	845k	2022-03-22
AAVE	Aave	Ethereum	137.55	134.7825	-2.01%	152.91	+11.17%	0.0160	✓	1.44	6.8M	2022-03-22
LCX	LCX	Ethereum	0.091	0.089135	-2.05%	0.0905	-0.55%	0.1341	✓	1.51	807k	2022-03-22
GITCOIN	GITCOIN		6.591	6.4526	-2.10%	6.962	+5.63%	0.0389	✗	0.38	35k	2022-03-22
SKL	SKALE	Ethereum	0.1343	0.131441	-2.13%	0.1349	+0.45%	0.1025	✓	1.30	3.3M	2022-03-22
CVC	Civic	Ethereum	0.2525	0.246995	-2.18%	0.31	+22.77%	0.1166	✗	1.12	518k	2022-03-22
CWEB	Coinweb	Ethereum	0.025474	0.02491	-2.21%	0.025067	-1.60%	0.1017	✓	1.09	89k	2022-03-22
ASM	Assemble AI	Ethereum	0.0487	0.047581	-2.30%	0.05567	+14.31%	0.0201	✓	1.38	903k	2022-03-22
RLC	iExec RLC	Ethereum	1.73	1.6898	-2.32%	1.93	+11.56%	0.0013	✓	1.33	2.0M	2022-03-22
FTT	FTX	Ethereum	40.84	39.872	-2.37%	45.28	+10.87%	0.0121	✓	1.16	27.9M	2022-03-22
TRB	Tellor Tributes	Ethereum	18.79	18.3379	-2.41%	20.78	+10.59%	0.0274	✓	1.54	350k	2022-03-22
KNC	Kyber Network Crystal	Ethereum	2.0176	1.9677	-2.48%	3.292	+63.16%	0.4641	✗	0.51	2.8M	2022-03-22
XMR	Monero	Monero	153.87	149.9937	-2.52%	193.89	+26.01%	0.1575	✗	1.00	1.0M	2022-03-22
LUNA	Terra	Terra 2	49.33	48.0828	-2.53%	93.09	+88.71%	0.5239	✗	1.38	5.1M	2022-03-22
UMA	UMA	Ethereum	5.36	5.2162	-2.68%	7.622	+42.20%	0.2813	✗	0.99	1.8M	2022-03-22
BAND	Band	Ethereum	4.38	4.2597	-2.75%	3.81	-13.01%	0.2347	✓	1.25	1.9M	2022-03-22
SUPER	SuperVerse	Ethereum	0.78	0.758197	-2.80%	0.67	-14.10%	0.3183	✓	1.97	1.2M	2022-03-22
SNX	Synthetix	Ethereum	4.06	3.9428	-2.89%	5.175	+27.46%	0.1504	✗	1.23	2.3M	2022-03-22
OMG	OMG Network	Ethereum	4.0929	3.9661	-3.10%	4.8022	+17.33%	0.0740	✗	1.19	327k	2022-03-22
OG	OG Fan Token	Solana	3.107	3.0082	-3.18%	4.136	+33.12%	0.2288	✗	0.91	492k	2022-03-22
ACH	Alchemy Pay	Ethereum	0.051219	0.049587	-3.19%	0.040562	-20.81%	0.3285	✓	1.29	7.5M	2022-03-22
XYM	Symbol	native	0.154	0.148859	-3.34%	0.1371	-10.97%	0.1570	✓	0.76	350k	2022-03-22
AVT	Aventus	Ethereum	2.57	2.4839	-3.35%	2.21	-14.01%	0.2157	✓	1.00	681k	2022-03-22
DIA	DIA	Ethereum	0.94	0.903823	-3.85%	0.95	+1.06%	0.0490	✓	1.00	277k	2022-03-22
SPELL	Spell	Ethereum	0.00465	0.004469	-3.89%	0.00429	-7.74%	0.2329	✓	1.94	13.2M	2022-03-22
STX	Stacks	native	1.23	1.1803	-4.04%	1.3	+5.69%	0.0295	✓	1.28	817k	2022-03-22
ATOM	Cosmos Hub	Cosmos	26.09	24.98	-4.25%	28.03	+7.44%	0.0091	✓	1.07	57.6M	2022-03-22
YFI	yearn.finance	Ethereum	20,667.46	19,711.39	-4.63%	20,305.82	-1.75%	0.0712	✓	1.02	6.0M	2022-03-22
DUSK	DUSK	Ethereum	0.3785	0.360881	-4.65%	0.3714	-1.88%	0.1365	✓	1.67	16.9M	2022-03-22
PEOPLE	ConstitutionDAO	Ethereum	0.0531	0.050601	-4.71%	0.0657	+23.73%	0.0881	✗	1.75	64.3M	2022-03-22
SUSHI	Sushi	Ethereum	3.63	3.4561	-4.79%	3.45	-4.96%	0.1377	✓	1.38	7.2M	2022-03-22
CELL	Cellframe	Ethereum	1.8141	1.7261	-4.85%	1.466	-19.19%	0.3128	✓	1.51	189k	2022-03-22
ORCA	Orca	Solana	2.76	2.6244	-4.91%	2.16	-21.74%	0.2936	✓	1.00	696k	2022-03-22
ICP	Internet Computer	Ethereum	18.7	17.7555	-5.05%	18.02	-3.64%	0.1006	✓	1.17	23.0M	2022-03-22
LEO	LEO Token	Ethereum	5.735	5.4453	-5.05%	6.1887	+7.91%	0.0900	✗	0.38	430k	2022-03-22
GTC	Gitcoin	Ethereum	6.57	6.2352	-5.10%	6.98	+6.24%	0.0726	✗	0.41	1.4M	2022-03-22
BICO	Biconomy	Ethereum	1.41	1.3377	-5.13%	1.582	+12.20%	0.0319	✓	1.37	2.2M	2022-03-22
RAD	Radworks	Ethereum	7.05	6.6824	-5.21%	4.97	-29.50%	0.3844	✓	0.89	682k	2022-03-22
BTTC	BTTC		0.00000197	0.000001865	-5.33%	0.00000186	-5.58%	0.1015	✓	1.00	14.3M	2022-03-22
FIDA	Bonfida	Solana	2.039	1.9288	-5.41%	1.793	-12.06%	0.1719	✓	1.00	84k	2022-03-22
POWR	Powerledger	Ethereum	0.5119	0.483805	-5.49%	0.5151	+0.63%	0.0275	✓	0.91	724k	2022-03-22
API3	Api3	Ethereum	6.97	6.5712	-5.72%	4.907	-29.60%	0.3174	✓	0.26	2.0M	2022-03-22
CERE	Cere Network	Ethereum	0.028	0.026263	-6.20%	0.026	-7.14%	0.1548	✓	1.46	499k	2022-03-22
CRV	Curve DAO	Ethereum	2.55	2.3652	-7.25%	2.268	-11.06%	0.1991	✓	1.59	14.5M	2022-03-22
MOVR	Moonriver	Base	74.3242	68.8587	-7.35%	66.9272	-9.95%	0.1779	✓	1.51	281k	2022-03-22
ASTR	Astar	Ethereum	0.127	0.117389	-7.57%	0.105	-17.32%	0.2197	✓	1.09	51k	2022-03-22
PRO	Propy	Ethereum	1.96	1.8066	-7.83%	1.54	-21.43%	0.3382	✓	1.81	690k	2022-03-22
GLMR	Moonbeam	Base	2.828	2.594	-8.28%	2.762	-2.33%	0.0642	✓	1.28	579k	2022-03-22
SUN	Sun Token	Tron	0.01318	0.012052	-8.56%	0.013307	+0.96%	0.0136	✓	1.14	81k	2022-03-22
NCT	PolySwarm	Ethereum	0.03634	0.033152	-8.77%	0.03923	+7.95%	0.0968	✗	0.72	1.9M	2022-03-22
NAKA	Nakamoto Games	Polygon	0.4602	0.414383	-9.96%	0.4064	-11.69%	0.2116	✓	1.94	2.0M	2022-03-22
POKT	Pocket Network	Ethereum	0.95	0.84285	-11.28%	0.78	-17.89%	0.1508	✓	0.74	1.5M	2022-03-22

Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.