2022-02-13 · +1d

beta_5y · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 150 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.

+1d +7d +30d asset cohort only

rank IC

+0.0386

150 of 150 tokens assessed

long-short decile

+2.47%

realised beta-adjusted alpha

direction hit

60.7%

in alpha space · 39.6% on raw price

BTC over horizon

+1.13%

the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (150 rows, sorted by pred)

token	name	chain	anchor px	pred px ▾	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d	vol 30d	target
JASMY	JasmyCoin	Ethereum	0.03066	0.030641	-0.06%	0.02976	-2.94%	0.0416	✓	1.11	9.8M	2022-02-14
DNT	district0x	Ethereum	0.084	0.083937	-0.07%	0.0819	-2.50%	0.0384	✓	1.24	195k	2022-02-14
XVS	Venus	Ethereum	8.7	8.6934	-0.08%	9.58	+10.11%	0.0823	✗	1.33	2.8M	2022-02-14
COTI	COTI	Ethereum	0.2688	0.268537	-0.10%	0.2742	+2.01%	0.0034	✗	1.56	4.2M	2022-02-14
SOL	Solana	Solana	92.92	92.8194	-0.11%	96.43	+3.78%	0.0240	✗	1.27	179.7M	2022-02-14
AUCTION	Bounce	Ethereum	15.13	15.1108	-0.13%	15.4	+1.78%	0.0071	✗	1.06	483k	2022-02-14
BEL	Bella Protocol	Ethereum	0.88	0.878845	-0.13%	0.909	+3.30%	0.0182	✗	1.39	2.4M	2022-02-14
CTSI	Cartesi	Ethereum	0.443	0.442413	-0.13%	0.4478	+1.08%	0.0048	✓	1.51	2.0M	2022-02-14
QNT	Quant	Ethereum	121.97	121.8028	-0.14%	121.35	-0.51%	0.0153	✓	1.03	7.8M	2022-02-14
NANO	nanopay	Base	2.1144	2.1113	-0.15%	2.1432	+1.36%	0.0013	✓	1.22	486k	2022-02-14
BFC	Bifrost	Ethereum	0.17187	0.171613	-0.15%	0.1719	+0.02%	0.0166	✓	1.63	36k	2022-02-14
ADA	Cardano	Cardano	1.0431	1.0415	-0.16%	1.05	+0.66%	0.0045	✓	1.13	115.7M	2022-02-14
COMP	Compound	Ethereum	124.43	124.2298	-0.16%	123.15	-1.03%	0.0231	✓	1.29	54k	2022-02-14
SC	Siacoin	native	0.01036	0.010343	-0.16%	0.01033	-0.29%	0.0129	✓	1.04	489k	2022-02-14
MED	Medibloc	Osmosis	0.04259	0.04252	-0.16%	0.0437	+2.61%	0.0146	✗	1.14	30k	2022-02-14
ENS	Ethereum Name Service	Ethereum	16.82	16.7921	-0.17%	17.04	+1.31%	0.0049	✓	1.75	3.7M	2022-02-14
LCX	LCX	Ethereum	0.1025	0.102329	-0.17%	0.0983	-4.10%	0.0578	✓	1.58	1.2M	2022-02-14
SPELL	Spell	Ethereum	0.00579	0.00578	-0.17%	0.00566	-2.25%	0.0437	✓	2.02	18.8M	2022-02-14
LPT	Livepeer	Ethereum	25.86	25.8167	-0.17%	26.44	+2.24%	0.0067	✗	1.53	2.0M	2022-02-14
STORJ	Storj	Ethereum	1.1334	1.1314	-0.17%	1.1301	-0.29%	0.0130	✓	1.06	239k	2022-02-14
EWT	Energy Web Token	Ethereum	5.903	5.8927	-0.17%	6.017	+1.93%	0.0110	✗	0.88	72k	2022-02-14
GRT	The Graph	Ethereum	0.4062	0.405485	-0.18%	0.4039	-0.57%	0.0189	✓	1.34	8.7M	2022-02-14
BAT	Basic Attention	Ethereum	0.8076	0.806164	-0.18%	0.80709	-0.06%	0.0158	✓	1.51	299k	2022-02-14
CTK	Shentu	Osmosis	1.244	1.2417	-0.18%	1.259	+1.21%	0.0003	✓	1.26	3.2M	2022-02-14
AMP	Amp	Ethereum	0.03005	0.029995	-0.18%	0.02945	-2.00%	0.0281	✓	0.87	6.2M	2022-02-14
BCHSV	Bitcoin Cash SV		92.52	92.3494	-0.18%	93.76	+1.34%	0.0050	✗	0.90	1.2M	2022-02-14
ZEN	Horizen	Base	40.16	40.0834	-0.19%	41.27	+2.76%	0.0116	✗	1.57	400k	2022-02-14
QTUM	Qtum	Qtum	6.5106	6.4978	-0.20%	6.5803	+1.07%	0.0036	✓	1.45	145k	2022-02-14
TKO	Tokocrypto	Binance Smart Chain	0.747	0.745524	-0.20%	0.759	+1.61%	0.0055	✗	1.11	1.6M	2022-02-14
CVC	Civic	Ethereum	0.2812	0.28064	-0.20%	0.2886	+2.63%	0.0154	✗	1.12	538k	2022-02-14
1INCH	1INCH	Ethereum	1.66	1.6566	-0.21%	1.7	+2.41%	0.0117	✗	1.27	1.4M	2022-02-14
BNT	Bancor Network	Ethereum	2.52	2.5146	-0.21%	2.56	+1.59%	0.0063	✗	1.04	415k	2022-02-14
XEC	eCash	native	0.00008177	0.000081595	-0.21%	0.00008178	+0.01%	0.0107	✓	1.15	5.5M	2022-02-14
MASK	Mask Network	Ethereum	5.89	5.8772	-0.22%	5.66	-3.90%	0.0500	✓	1.10	599k	2022-02-14
GITCOIN	GITCOIN		7.272	7.2561	-0.22%	7.128	-1.98%	0.0217	✓	0.35	38k	2022-02-14
ANKR	Ankr Network	Ethereum	0.07534	0.075173	-0.22%	0.07495	-0.52%	0.0114	✓	0.76	84k	2022-02-14
GODS	Gods Unchained	Ethereum	1.9	1.8958	-0.22%	1.84	-3.16%	0.0431	✓	1.19	1.4M	2022-02-14
BCH	Bitcoin Cash	Bitcoin Cash	333.81	333.0642	-0.22%	330.66	-0.94%	0.0187	✓	1.03	8.9M	2022-02-14
DKA	dKargo	Ethereum	0.09518	0.094967	-0.22%	0.09436	-0.86%	0.0186	✓	1.09	51k	2022-02-14
ZRX	0x Protocol	Ethereum	0.60939	0.608	-0.23%	0.593972	-2.53%	0.0365	✓	1.17	3.5M	2022-02-14
DASH	Dash	Dash	102.03	101.7973	-0.23%	103.84	+1.77%	0.0071	✗	1.14	2.0M	2022-02-14
MINA	Mina Protocol	native	2.37	2.3645	-0.23%	2.68	+13.08%	0.1107	✗	1.30	383k	2022-02-14
XVG	Verge	native	0.01099	0.010965	-0.23%	0.01132	+3.00%	0.0162	✗	1.40	1.2M	2022-02-14
ASM	Assemble AI	Ethereum	0.05267	0.052548	-0.23%	0.05226	-0.78%	0.0213	✓	1.41	1.2M	2022-02-14
DYDX	dYdX	Cosmos	7.052	7.0357	-0.23%	7.402	+4.96%	0.0393	✗	1.03	407k	2022-02-14
XLM	Stellar	Stellar	0.210311	0.209816	-0.24%	0.210709	+0.19%	0.0075	✓	1.05	23.0M	2022-02-14
UOS	Ultra	Ethereum	1.01	1.0076	-0.24%	1.039	+2.88%	0.0173	✗	1.20	2.3M	2022-02-14
LTC	Litecoin	Litecoin	125.67	125.368	-0.24%	124.62	-0.84%	0.0204	✓	1.29	34.8M	2022-02-14
CHZ	Chiliz	Ethereum	0.2009	0.200415	-0.24%	0.2046	+1.84%	0.0047	✗	1.42	3.7M	2022-02-14
FIL	Filecoin	Filecoin	20.56	20.5103	-0.24%	20.75	+0.92%	0.0020	✓	1.22	10.5M	2022-02-14
UNI	Uniswap	Ethereum	10.35	10.324	-0.25%	10.62	+2.61%	0.0132	✗	1.34	12.5M	2022-02-14
LRC	Loopring	Ethereum	0.9151	0.912788	-0.25%	0.9283	+1.44%	0.0004	✓	1.54	637k	2022-02-14
AXS	Axie Infinity	Ethereum	58.08	57.9329	-0.25%	56.82	-2.17%	0.0333	✓	1.25	8.8M	2022-02-14
VSYS	V.SYSTEMS	native	0.01362	0.013585	-0.26%	0.01366	+0.29%	0.0033	✓	0.79	13k	2022-02-14
BAR	FC Barcelona Fan Token	Solana	6.49	6.473	-0.26%	6.47	-0.31%	0.0099	✓	0.84	441k	2022-02-14
LAZIO	Lazio Fan Token	Binance Smart Chain	3.4786	3.4695	-0.26%	3.5401	+1.77%	0.0075	✗	1.13	2.5M	2022-02-14
ETH	Ethereum	Ethereum	2,872.84	2,865.27	-0.26%	2,931.01	+2.02%	0.0100	✗	1.13	572.6M	2022-02-14
LSK	Lisk	Ethereum	1.7279	1.7233	-0.27%	1.7556	+1.60%	0.0060	✗	1.12	69k	2022-02-14
GTC	Gitcoin	Ethereum	7.27	7.2506	-0.27%	7.17	-1.38%	0.0152	✓	0.36	1.7M	2022-02-14
DOT	Polkadot	Polkadot	18.75	18.6995	-0.27%	18.7	-0.27%	0.0153	✓	1.37	34.9M	2022-02-14
KSM	Kusama	Hydration	163.53	163.0873	-0.27%	167.33	+2.32%	0.0121	✗	1.22	930k	2022-02-14
ALGO	Algorand	Algorand	0.8967	0.894269	-0.27%	0.9001	+0.38%	0.0061	✓	1.13	26.7M	2022-02-14
DEXE	DeXe	Ethereum	7.41	7.3897	-0.27%	7.22	-2.56%	0.0266	✓	0.30	1.2M	2022-02-14
DODO	DODO	Ethereum	0.499	0.497605	-0.28%	0.502	+0.60%	0.0076	✓	1.47	4.5M	2022-02-14
TWT	Trust Wallet	Binance Smart Chain	0.5345	0.533001	-0.28%	0.5481	+2.54%	0.0131	✗	1.32	2.4M	2022-02-14
BICO	Biconomy	Ethereum	1.88	1.8747	-0.28%	1.81	-3.72%	0.0507	✓	1.39	2.9M	2022-02-14
CBK	Cobak	Ethereum	2.388	2.3812	-0.28%	2.341	-1.97%	0.0291	✓	1.08	22k	2022-02-14
TRX	TRON	Tron	0.064588	0.064404	-0.29%	0.064484	-0.16%	0.0091	✓	0.92	344k	2022-02-14
AVAX	Avalanche	Avalanche	77.97	77.7448	-0.29%	81.84	+4.96%	0.0361	✗	1.36	98.5M	2022-02-14
CRV	Curve DAO	Ethereum	2.75	2.7418	-0.30%	2.91	+5.82%	0.0436	✗	1.42	18.4M	2022-02-14
SANTOS	Santos FC Fan Token	Binance Smart Chain	2.754	2.7458	-0.30%	2.793	+1.42%	0.0019	✓	1.35	1.0M	2022-02-14
XPR	XPR Network	Ethereum	0.01193	0.011894	-0.30%	0.01219	+2.18%	0.0073	✗	1.54	1.7M	2022-02-14
ATM	Atletico Madrid Fan Token	Solana	5.5	5.4835	-0.30%	5.47	-0.55%	0.0116	✓	0.81	398k	2022-02-14
ENJ	Enjin Coin	Ethereum	1.737	1.7318	-0.30%	1.753	+0.92%	0.0025	✓	1.32	1.1M	2022-02-14
DUSK	DUSK	Ethereum	0.4207	0.419428	-0.30%	0.4399	+4.56%	0.0277	✗	1.78	29.1M	2022-02-14
LINK	Chainlink	Ethereum	15.6	15.5524	-0.31%	15.9	+1.92%	0.0086	✗	1.21	70.2M	2022-02-14
XYM	Symbol	native	0.1686	0.168084	-0.31%	0.1748	+3.68%	0.0311	✗	0.72	388k	2022-02-14
IMX	Immutable	Ethereum	2.29	2.283	-0.31%	2.29	+0.00%	0.0078	✓	0.97	3.0M	2022-02-14
WBTC	Wrapped Bitcoin	Ethereum	42,091.20	41,960.89	-0.31%	42,156.20	+0.15%	0.0062	✓	0.97	42k	2022-02-14
ZEC	Zcash	Zcash	117.13	116.765	-0.31%	120.62	+2.98%	0.0183	✗	1.27	7.2M	2022-02-14
SNX	Synthetix	Ethereum	4.47	4.456	-0.31%	4.58	+2.46%	0.0136	✗	1.24	2.6M	2022-02-14
RAD	Radworks	Ethereum	5.45	5.4328	-0.31%	5.39	-1.10%	0.0201	✓	1.08	701k	2022-02-14
TRAC	OriginTrail	Ethereum	0.6296	0.627534	-0.33%	0.6376	+1.27%	0.0015	✓	1.55	723k	2022-02-14
RLC	iExec RLC	Ethereum	2	1.9933	-0.33%	1.94	-3.00%	0.0419	✓	1.32	2.2M	2022-02-14
OMG	OMG Network	Ethereum	4.6803	4.6647	-0.33%	4.6155	-1.38%	0.0244	✓	1.23	355k	2022-02-14
GT	Gate	Ethereum	6.7726	6.75	-0.33%	6.6557	-1.73%	0.0241	✓	0.89	4.0M	2022-02-14
XEM	NEM	native	0.11	0.109633	-0.33%	0.1094	-0.55%	0.0141	✓	1.07	37k	2022-02-14
TRB	Tellor Tributes	Ethereum	21.38	21.3084	-0.33%	21.2	-0.84%	0.0226	✓	1.57	375k	2022-02-14
BTC	Bitcoin	Bitcoin	42,074.99	41,933.83	-0.34%	42,548.71	+1.13%	0.0034	✗	1.00	642.7M	2022-02-14
KCS	KuCoin	native	19.126	19.0599	-0.35%	19.607	+2.51%	0.0130	✗	1.37	10.2M	2022-02-14
JUV	Juventus Fan Token	Solana	6.63	6.6069	-0.35%	6.76	+1.96%	0.0128	✗	0.90	416k	2022-02-14
MTL	Metal DAO	Metal L2	1.6	1.5943	-0.35%	1.61	+0.63%	0.0033	✓	1.17	1.9M	2022-02-14
IOTA	IOTA	IOTA	0.8484	0.845342	-0.36%	0.8459	-0.29%	0.0114	✓	1.08	12.4M	2022-02-14
UMA	UMA	Ethereum	6.01	5.9881	-0.36%	6	-0.17%	0.0096	✓	1.04	1.9M	2022-02-14
ASR	AS Roma Fan Token	Solana	3.139	3.1275	-0.36%	3.225	+2.74%	0.0215	✗	0.82	215k	2022-02-14
LUNA	Terra	Terra 2	51.89	51.7005	-0.37%	53.94	+3.95%	0.0264	✗	1.43	7.4M	2022-02-14
AAVE	Aave	Ethereum	158.29	157.7077	-0.37%	161.11	+1.78%	0.0056	✗	1.41	8.6M	2022-02-14
AGLD	Adventure Gold	Ethereum	1.06	1.0561	-0.37%	1.12	+5.66%	0.0430	✗	1.41	655k	2022-02-14
XTZ	Tezos	Tezos	3.8546	3.8404	-0.37%	3.9473	+2.40%	0.0128	✗	1.31	2.4M	2022-02-14
ETC	Ethereum Classic	native	32.5	32.3795	-0.37%	31.42	-3.32%	0.0420	✓	1.06	4.9M	2022-02-14
OGN	Origin Token	Ethereum	0.379	0.377585	-0.37%	0.364	-3.96%	0.0519	✓	1.37	2.3M	2022-02-14
HIVE	Hive	native	1.072	1.068	-0.38%	1.0452	-2.50%	0.0381	✓	1.48	1.9M	2022-02-14
FTT	FTX	Ethereum	44.32	44.1487	-0.39%	44.85	+1.20%	0.0025	✓	1.19	31.6M	2022-02-14
RIF	Rootstock Infrastructure Framework	Ethereum	0.1611	0.160477	-0.39%	0.1626	+0.93%	0.0014	✓	1.05	470k	2022-02-14
BAND	Band	Ethereum	4.06	4.0442	-0.39%	4.21	+3.69%	0.0261	✗	1.25	1.9M	2022-02-14
PHA	PHALA	Ethereum	0.291	0.289843	-0.40%	0.285	-2.06%	0.0274	✓	0.95	77k	2022-02-14
MOVR	Moonriver	Base	82.6677	82.318	-0.42%	83.68	+1.22%	0.0000	✓	1.46	315k	2022-02-14
XYO	XYO Network	Ethereum	0.021469	0.021378	-0.42%	0.021238	-1.08%	0.0204	✓	1.23	2.4M	2022-02-14
CWEB	Coinweb	Ethereum	0.027679	0.027561	-0.43%	0.028657	+3.53%	0.0246	✗	1.29	102k	2022-02-14
SUSHI	Sushi	Ethereum	4.03	4.0123	-0.44%	4.07	+0.99%	0.0012	✓	1.38	8.0M	2022-02-14
CERE	Cere Network	Ethereum	0.0312	0.031063	-0.44%	0.0338	+8.33%	0.0681	✗	1.46	485k	2022-02-14
POWR	Powerledger	Ethereum	0.5723	0.569742	-0.45%	0.5644	-1.38%	0.0212	✓	1.06	1.1M	2022-02-14
DOGE	Dogecoin	Dogecoin	0.148727	0.148054	-0.45%	0.145821	-1.95%	0.0268	✓	1.04	7.0M	2022-02-14
ACH	Alchemy Pay	Ethereum	0.043319	0.043121	-0.46%	0.046133	+6.50%	0.0536	✗	1.24	7.4M	2022-02-14
MANA	Decentraland	Ethereum	2.8231	2.81	-0.46%	2.8438	+0.73%	0.0005	✓	1.02	2.8M	2022-02-14
SKL	SKALE	Ethereum	0.1475	0.146806	-0.47%	0.1573	+6.64%	0.0537	✗	1.37	3.2M	2022-02-14
XMR	Monero	Monero	174.01	173.1584	-0.49%	176.38	+1.36%	0.0067	✗	1.05	1.2M	2022-02-14
SUPER	SuperVerse	Ethereum	0.91	0.905416	-0.50%	0.94	+3.30%	0.0155	✗	1.96	1.0M	2022-02-14
STX	Stacks	native	1.46	1.4524	-0.52%	1.47	+0.68%	0.0008	✓	1.00	1.1M	2022-02-14
ACM	AC Milan Fan Token	Solana	4.66	4.6356	-0.52%	4.631	-0.62%	0.0105	✓	0.85	369k	2022-02-14
METRONOME	METRONOME		3.4198	3.4018	-0.52%	3.4806	+1.78%	0.0129	✗	0.89	30k	2022-02-14
ORBS	Orbs	Ethereum	0.0714	0.071024	-0.53%	0.0708	-0.84%	0.0157	✓	1.12	17k	2022-02-14
SUN	Sun Token	Tron	0.016324	0.016238	-0.53%	0.016621	+1.82%	0.0100	✗	1.19	573k	2022-02-14
YFI	yearn.finance	Ethereum	22,889.91	22,768.15	-0.53%	23,089.90	+0.87%	0.0033	✓	0.96	7.6M	2022-02-14
PEOPLE	ConstitutionDAO	Ethereum	0.0626	0.062267	-0.53%	0.0688	+9.90%	0.0802	✗	1.75	57.0M	2022-02-14
ICP	Internet Computer	Ethereum	19.77	19.6645	-0.53%	20.74	+4.91%	0.0402	✗	1.17	24.9M	2022-02-14
DIA	DIA	Ethereum	0.95	0.944924	-0.53%	0.94	-1.05%	0.0164	✓	1.00	274k	2022-02-14
NMR	Numeraire	Ethereum	28.14	27.9846	-0.55%	28.49	+1.24%	0.0070	✗	0.97	1.1M	2022-02-14
PSG	Paris Saint-Germain Fan Token	Solana	17.86	17.7607	-0.56%	17.92	+0.34%	0.0008	✓	0.73	1.1M	2022-02-14
PORTO	FC Porto	Binance Smart Chain	3.7675	3.7465	-0.56%	3.9552	+4.98%	0.0434	✗	0.97	2.2M	2022-02-14
ATOM	Cosmos Hub	Cosmos	26.19	26.0356	-0.59%	27.16	+3.70%	0.0295	✗	1.14	71.8M	2022-02-14
ORCA	Orca	Solana	3.06	3.0412	-0.62%	3.09	+0.98%	0.0047	✓	1.00	946k	2022-02-14
NAKA	Nakamoto Games	Polygon	0.5644	0.560922	-0.62%	0.545	-3.44%	0.0499	✓	1.89	1.8M	2022-02-14
ASTR	Astar	Ethereum	0.118	0.117265	-0.62%	0.114	-3.39%	0.0394	✓	1.00	71k	2022-02-14
KNC	Kyber Network Crystal	Ethereum	1.823	1.8116	-0.63%	1.9224	+5.45%	0.0524	✗	0.62	2.9M	2022-02-14
OG	OG Fan Token	Solana	3.387	3.3654	-0.64%	3.33	-1.68%	0.0207	✓	0.90	502k	2022-02-14
AVT	Aventus	Ethereum	2.75	2.7324	-0.64%	2.84	+3.27%	0.0274	✗	1.00	748k	2022-02-14
ARPA	ARPA	Ethereum	0.0866	0.086042	-0.64%	0.0868	+0.23%	0.0068	✓	1.39	608k	2022-02-14
BTTC	BTTC		0.00000212	0.000002106	-0.65%	0.00000213	+0.47%	0.0000	✓	1.00	14.2M	2022-02-14
LEO	LEO Token	Ethereum	5.8538	5.8157	-0.65%	5.8399	-0.24%	0.0006	✓	0.32	430k	2022-02-14
CITY	Manchester City Fan Token	Solana	11.07	10.9962	-0.67%	11.42	+3.16%	0.0297	✗	0.72	660k	2022-02-14
FIDA	Bonfida	Solana	2.437	2.4204	-0.68%	2.355	-3.36%	0.0386	✓	1.00	79k	2022-02-14
NCT	PolySwarm	Ethereum	0.04523	0.044903	-0.72%	0.04361	-3.58%	0.0373	✓	0.72	3.4M	2022-02-14
OXT	Orchid Protocol	Ethereum	0.2771	0.274848	-0.81%	0.268	-3.28%	0.0374	✓	1.09	1.6M	2022-02-14
CELL	Cellframe	Ethereum	1.3168	1.3059	-0.83%	1.2512	-4.98%	0.0606	✓	1.59	120k	2022-02-14
SHIB	Shiba Inu	Ethereum	0.00003011	0.000029834	-0.92%	0.00002958	-1.76%	0.0244	✓	1.42	1.8M	2022-02-14
POKT	Pocket Network	Ethereum	1.2947	1.2826	-0.93%	1.226	-5.31%	0.0551	✓	0.89	1.7M	2022-02-14
PRO	Propy	Ethereum	2.2	2.1789	-0.96%	2.23	+1.36%	0.0009	✓	1.99	1.0M	2022-02-14
GLMR	Moonbeam	Base	4.721	4.6737	-1.00%	4.666	-1.17%	0.0119	✓	0.92	779k	2022-02-14
API3	Api3	Ethereum	4.57	4.5063	-1.39%	4.35	-4.81%	0.0390	✓	0.33	2.0M	2022-02-14

Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.