2022-02-09 · +30d

beta_5y · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 148 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.

+1d +7d +30d asset cohort only

rank IC

+0.1950

148 of 148 tokens assessed

long-short decile

+11.01%

realised beta-adjusted alpha

direction hit

70.9%

in alpha space · 77.7% on raw price

BTC over horizon

-12.80%

the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (148 rows, sorted by pred)

token	name	chain	anchor px	pred px ▴	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d	vol 30d	target
GLMR	Moonbeam	Base	5.908	4.7061	-20.34%	2.42	-59.04%	0.5282	✓	1.00	1.0M	2022-03-11
POKT	Pocket Network	Ethereum	1.351	1.1453	-15.22%	0.7156	-47.03%	0.3334	✓	1.00	1.9M	2022-03-11
CWEB	Coinweb	Ethereum	0.03747	0.031849	-15.00%	0.01489	-60.26%	0.5850	✓	1.28	114k	2022-03-11
NCT	PolySwarm	Ethereum	0.04699	0.040626	-13.54%	0.04078	-13.22%	0.1407	✓	1.00	4.9M	2022-03-11
PRO	Propy	Ethereum	2.46	2.1889	-11.02%	1.51	-38.62%	0.2344	✓	1.00	1.4M	2022-03-11
NAKA	Nakamoto Games	Polygon	0.8202	0.733923	-10.52%	0.3924	-52.16%	0.3748	✓	1.84	1.8M	2022-03-11
ASTR	Astar	Ethereum	0.128	0.116133	-9.27%	0.111	-13.28%	0.0917	✓	1.00	72k	2022-03-11
CELL	Cellframe	Ethereum	1.3852	1.2665	-8.57%	1.4867	+7.33%	0.3720	✗	1.55	107k	2022-03-11
PEOPLE	ConstitutionDAO	Ethereum	0.086	0.079169	-7.94%	0.0576	-33.02%	0.0887	✓	1.67	27.8M	2022-03-11
KNC	Kyber Network Crystal	Ethereum	1.9679	1.818	-7.62%	2.5749	+30.85%	0.4325	✗	0.62	2.8M	2022-03-11
FIDA	Bonfida	Solana	3.269	3.0353	-7.15%	1.662	-49.16%	0.4653	✓	1.00	67k	2022-03-11
ATOM	Cosmos Hub	Cosmos	30.94	28.7362	-7.12%	27.47	-11.22%	0.1069	✗	1.11	96.8M	2022-03-11
METRONOME	METRONOME		3.8694	3.6011	-6.93%	2.0529	-46.95%	0.4414	✓	0.88	28k	2022-03-11
ICP	Internet Computer	Ethereum	23.1	21.573	-6.61%	16.01	-30.69%	0.1408	✓	1.15	26.1M	2022-03-11
BTTC	BTTC		0.00000232	0.000002172	-6.39%	0.00000178	-23.28%	0.0620	✓	1.00	15.1M	2022-03-11
SUSHI	Sushi	Ethereum	4.76	4.4561	-6.38%	2.89	-39.29%	0.2460	✓	1.37	8.0M	2022-03-11
YFI	yearn.finance	Ethereum	26,293.98	24,621.78	-6.36%	18,538.11	-29.50%	0.1544	✓	0.94	11.3M	2022-03-11
STX	Stacks	native	1.72	1.6112	-6.33%	1.36	-20.93%	0.0325	✓	1.00	1.2M	2022-03-11
ACH	Alchemy Pay	Ethereum	0.05819	0.054754	-5.91%	0.040059	-31.16%	0.1489	✓	1.19	8.8M	2022-03-11
SUPER	SuperVerse	Ethereum	1.09	1.0263	-5.85%	0.59	-45.87%	0.2881	✓	1.94	1.1M	2022-03-11
MOVR	Moonriver	Base	107.0699	100.8246	-5.83%	48.7591	-54.46%	0.5321	✓	1.42	320k	2022-03-11
SUN	Sun Token	Tron	0.017007	0.016085	-5.42%	0.011862	-30.25%	0.1436	✓	1.18	1.6M	2022-03-11
GITCOIN	GITCOIN		9.329	8.827	-5.38%	5.556	-40.44%	0.4182	✓	0.33	38k	2022-03-11
CRV	Curve DAO	Ethereum	3.5	3.3139	-5.32%	1.97	-43.71%	0.3298	✓	1.39	20.5M	2022-03-11
SHIB	Shiba Inu	Ethereum	0.00003298	0.000031352	-4.94%	0.00002206	-33.11%	0.1598	✓	1.40	1.4M	2022-03-11
DUSK	DUSK	Ethereum	0.5665	0.539399	-4.78%	0.3152	-44.36%	0.2915	✓	1.79	40.2M	2022-03-11
XTZ	Tezos	Tezos	4.4429	4.2323	-4.74%	2.9889	-32.73%	0.1682	✓	1.31	2.3M	2022-03-11
GTC	Gitcoin	Ethereum	9.31	8.8932	-4.48%	5.57	-40.17%	0.4203	✓	0.35	1.6M	2022-03-11
LEO	LEO Token	Ethereum	6.8052	6.5042	-4.42%	5.8362	-14.24%	0.0681	✓	0.29	407k	2022-03-11
MANA	Decentraland	Ethereum	3.3415	3.2009	-4.21%	2.3033	-31.07%	0.1964	✓	0.97	2.8M	2022-03-11
CERE	Cere Network	Ethereum	0.0337	0.032297	-4.16%	0.02301	-31.72%	0.1335	✓	1.50	490k	2022-03-11
API3	Api3	Ethereum	4.04	3.8746	-4.09%	4.776	+18.22%	0.2539	✗	0.33	1.5M	2022-03-11
AGLD	Adventure Gold	Ethereum	1.43	1.372	-4.06%	0.959	-32.94%	0.1737	✓	1.35	523k	2022-03-11
SNX	Synthetix	Ethereum	5.84	5.6061	-4.01%	4.165	-28.68%	0.1301	✓	1.22	2.6M	2022-03-11
XPR	XPR Network	Ethereum	0.01509	0.014497	-3.93%	0.01151	-23.72%	0.0267	✓	1.49	1.7M	2022-03-11
BFC	Bifrost	Ethereum	0.23058	0.221535	-3.92%	0.15536	-32.62%	0.1373	✓	1.59	36k	2022-03-11
PORTO	FC Porto	Binance Smart Chain	3.885	3.7327	-3.92%	3.4608	-10.92%	0.0563	✗	0.96	2.2M	2022-03-11
DYDX	dYdX	Cosmos	8.263	7.9529	-3.75%	4.594	-44.40%	0.4104	✓	1.01	460k	2022-03-11
TRAC	OriginTrail	Ethereum	0.7609	0.733022	-3.66%	0.4152	-45.43%	0.3586	✓	1.53	938k	2022-03-11
ENJ	Enjin Coin	Ethereum	2.16	2.0861	-3.42%	1.307	-39.49%	0.2917	✓	1.28	1.2M	2022-03-11
BICO	Biconomy	Ethereum	2.28	2.2035	-3.35%	1.157	-49.25%	0.4556	✓	1.38	3.1M	2022-03-11
POWR	Powerledger	Ethereum	0.6017	0.58154	-3.35%	0.5009	-16.75%	0.0028	✓	1.07	1.2M	2022-03-11
DIA	DIA	Ethereum	1.07	1.0345	-3.31%	0.93	-13.08%	0.0304	✓	1.00	286k	2022-03-11
XMR	Monero	Monero	185.83	179.7857	-3.25%	170.68	-8.15%	0.0906	✗	1.04	1.5M	2022-03-11
LPT	Livepeer	Ethereum	33.92	32.8253	-3.23%	22.89	-32.52%	0.1542	✓	1.51	2.0M	2022-03-11
AAVE	Aave	Ethereum	188.2	182.3902	-3.09%	116.61	-38.04%	0.2563	✓	1.39	9.5M	2022-03-11
AVAX	Avalanche	Avalanche	90.18	87.4078	-3.07%	71.25	-20.99%	0.0199	✓	1.35	87.1M	2022-03-11
TRB	Tellor Tributes	Ethereum	25.8	25.0197	-3.02%	17.81	-30.97%	0.1254	✓	1.57	398k	2022-03-11
LINK	Chainlink	Ethereum	18.7	18.1482	-2.95%	13.05	-30.21%	0.1669	✓	1.19	75.4M	2022-03-11
LUNA	Terra	Terra 2	57.56	55.8766	-2.92%	88.28	+53.37%	0.6498	✗	1.41	8.8M	2022-03-11
CITY	Manchester City Fan Token	Solana	10.91	10.5968	-2.87%	10.59	-2.93%	0.0959	✗	0.71	660k	2022-03-11
COMP	Compound	Ethereum	144.23	140.2562	-2.76%	102.07	-29.23%	0.1436	✓	1.27	65k	2022-03-11
IOTA	IOTA	IOTA	1.0216	0.99371	-2.73%	0.7111	-30.39%	0.1918	✓	1.04	13.5M	2022-03-11
PSG	Paris Saint-Germain Fan Token	Solana	18.16	17.6736	-2.68%	13.84	-23.79%	0.1483	✓	0.70	919k	2022-03-11
ORBS	Orbs	Ethereum	0.0794	0.077323	-2.62%	0.06831	-13.97%	0.0248	✓	1.09	21k	2022-03-11
SANTOS	Santos FC Fan Token	Binance Smart Chain	3.083	3.0032	-2.59%	5.761	+86.86%	0.8364	✗	1.35	1.1M	2022-03-11
FTT	FTX	Ethereum	47.97	46.7859	-2.47%	40.81	-14.93%	0.0232	✓	1.17	32.3M	2022-03-11
MINA	Mina Protocol	native	2.94	2.8686	-2.43%	1.75	-40.48%	0.3195	✓	1.28	401k	2022-03-11
OMG	OMG Network	Ethereum	5.3633	5.2358	-2.38%	4.0628	-24.25%	0.0862	✓	1.22	442k	2022-03-11
SKL	SKALE	Ethereum	0.1429	0.13959	-2.32%	0.1144	-19.94%	0.0106	✓	1.38	3.2M	2022-03-11
TWT	Trust Wallet	Binance Smart Chain	0.6233	0.60898	-2.30%	0.6706	+7.59%	0.2759	✗	1.31	2.6M	2022-03-11
HIVE	Hive	native	1.1728	1.1462	-2.27%	0.8661	-26.15%	0.0806	✓	1.46	1.9M	2022-03-11
CHZ	Chiliz	Ethereum	0.2412	0.235885	-2.20%	0.1931	-19.94%	0.0094	✓	1.39	3.7M	2022-03-11
ARPA	ARPA	Ethereum	0.0867	0.084842	-2.14%	0.0661	-23.76%	0.0607	✓	1.38	548k	2022-03-11
SPELL	Spell	Ethereum	0.00744	0.007281	-2.14%	0.00353	-52.55%	0.4501	✓	2.00	19.8M	2022-03-11
RIF	Rootstock Infrastructure Framework	Ethereum	0.1678	0.164297	-2.09%	0.1489	-11.26%	0.0446	✗	1.04	412k	2022-03-11
OXT	Orchid Protocol	Ethereum	0.2963	0.290146	-2.08%	0.2186	-26.22%	0.1347	✓	1.08	1.7M	2022-03-11
DOT	Polkadot	Polkadot	21.97	21.533	-1.99%	17.7	-19.44%	0.0113	✓	1.35	37.4M	2022-03-11
FIL	Filecoin	Filecoin	24.32	23.8569	-1.90%	17.37	-28.58%	0.1542	✓	1.19	10.4M	2022-03-11
XLM	Stellar	Stellar	0.238854	0.234357	-1.88%	0.183591	-23.14%	0.1041	✓	1.02	24.9M	2022-03-11
ETC	Ethereum Classic	native	33.84	33.2292	-1.81%	26.5	-21.69%	0.0810	✓	1.06	4.0M	2022-03-11
MTL	Metal DAO	Metal L2	1.832	1.799	-1.80%	1.464	-20.09%	0.0488	✓	1.15	1.6M	2022-03-11
XEC	eCash	native	0.00009721	0.000095471	-1.79%	0.0000731	-24.80%	0.1105	✓	1.14	5.6M	2022-03-11
QNT	Quant	Ethereum	150.18	147.5189	-1.77%	113.22	-24.61%	0.1273	✓	1.00	7.6M	2022-03-11
LAZIO	Lazio Fan Token	Binance Smart Chain	3.8968	3.8296	-1.72%	3.707	-4.87%	0.1184	✗	1.10	2.5M	2022-03-11
DOGE	Dogecoin	Dogecoin	0.159048	0.156319	-1.72%	0.11539	-27.45%	0.1630	✓	1.03	7.1M	2022-03-11
OG	OG Fan Token	Solana	3.796	3.7311	-1.71%	2.869	-24.42%	0.1431	✓	0.87	536k	2022-03-11
MASK	Mask Network	Ethereum	7.06	6.9403	-1.70%	3.82	-45.89%	0.4462	✓	1.10	733k	2022-03-11
ALGO	Algorand	Algorand	1.0371	1.0198	-1.67%	0.7014	-32.37%	0.2241	✓	1.10	29.2M	2022-03-11
XEM	NEM	native	0.1212	0.119205	-1.65%	0.0935	-22.85%	0.0996	✓	1.05	35k	2022-03-11
JUV	Juventus Fan Token	Solana	7.18	7.064	-1.62%	6.28	-12.53%	0.0029	✓	0.88	416k	2022-03-11
ASR	AS Roma Fan Token	Solana	3.347	3.2943	-1.58%	2.741	-18.11%	0.0731	✓	0.81	206k	2022-03-11
UMA	UMA	Ethereum	6.66	6.5556	-1.57%	7.075	+6.23%	0.2101	✗	0.98	1.9M	2022-03-11
RLC	iExec RLC	Ethereum	2.28	2.2449	-1.54%	1.64	-28.07%	0.1360	✓	1.30	2.2M	2022-03-11
ZRX	0x Protocol	Ethereum	0.706728	0.696602	-1.43%	0.48841	-30.89%	0.1978	✓	1.15	3.5M	2022-03-11
UNI	Uniswap	Ethereum	12.33	12.1662	-1.33%	8.51	-30.98%	0.1768	✓	1.32	12.5M	2022-03-11
LRC	Loopring	Ethereum	1.0976	1.0832	-1.31%	0.6978	-36.42%	0.2285	✓	1.54	672k	2022-03-11
ACM	AC Milan Fan Token	Solana	4.801	4.7399	-1.27%	4.326	-9.89%	0.0228	✗	0.83	346k	2022-03-11
COTI	COTI	Ethereum	0.3218	0.318246	-1.10%	0.1962	-39.03%	0.2716	✓	1.55	4.0M	2022-03-11
LSK	Lisk	Ethereum	1.9982	1.978	-1.01%	2.1155	+5.87%	0.2180	✗	1.10	79k	2022-03-11
CBK	Cobak	Ethereum	2.609	2.5834	-0.98%	2.114	-18.97%	0.0562	✓	1.05	22k	2022-03-11
ANKR	Ankr Network	Ethereum	0.08573	0.084922	-0.94%	0.07118	-16.97%	0.0729	✓	0.76	89k	2022-03-11
KSM	Kusama	Hydration	192.22	190.6653	-0.81%	124.19	-35.39%	0.2637	✓	1.20	1.0M	2022-03-11
1INCH	1INCH	Ethereum	1.93	1.9146	-0.80%	1.321	-31.55%	0.1997	✓	1.25	1.5M	2022-03-11
BNT	Bancor Network	Ethereum	2.83	2.8074	-0.80%	2.16	-23.67%	0.1230	✓	1.02	489k	2022-03-11
UOS	Ultra	Ethereum	1.2907	1.2805	-0.79%	1.1514	-10.79%	0.0554	✗	1.18	2.3M	2022-03-11
BAND	Band	Ethereum	4.17	4.1373	-0.78%	3.44	-17.51%	0.0114	✓	1.26	1.9M	2022-03-11
GRT	The Graph	Ethereum	0.4877	0.483949	-0.77%	0.3189	-34.61%	0.2370	✓	1.32	9.2M	2022-03-11
CVC	Civic	Ethereum	0.3185	0.316107	-0.75%	0.2585	-18.84%	0.0492	✓	1.11	518k	2022-03-11
BEL	Bella Protocol	Ethereum	1.086	1.0779	-0.75%	0.807	-25.69%	0.1019	✓	1.37	2.3M	2022-03-11
XYO	XYO Network	Ethereum	0.024233	0.024056	-0.73%	0.01714	-29.27%	0.1728	✓	1.21	2.5M	2022-03-11
RAD	Radworks	Ethereum	6.08	6.0389	-0.68%	4.44	-26.97%	0.1658	✓	1.04	773k	2022-03-11
QTUM	Qtum	Qtum	7.2042	7.1563	-0.66%	5.8755	-18.44%	0.0007	✓	1.45	156k	2022-03-11
DASH	Dash	Dash	114.95	114.1887	-0.66%	94.95	-17.40%	0.0293	✓	1.13	2.2M	2022-03-11
DODO	DODO	Ethereum	0.591	0.587198	-0.64%	0.385	-34.86%	0.2256	✓	1.44	4.6M	2022-03-11
KCS	KuCoin	native	20.705	20.5776	-0.62%	18.17	-12.24%	0.0592	✗	1.34	10.4M	2022-03-11
BCHSV	Bitcoin Cash SV		101.5	100.8964	-0.59%	78.04	-23.11%	0.1332	✓	0.90	1.4M	2022-03-11
STORJ	Storj	Ethereum	1.3519	1.3451	-0.50%	0.96652	-28.51%	0.1897	✓	1.03	279k	2022-03-11
XVG	Verge	native	0.01253	0.012467	-0.50%	0.00939	-25.06%	0.0970	✓	1.36	1.3M	2022-03-11
DKA	dKargo	Ethereum	0.10785	0.107312	-0.50%	0.09115	-15.48%	0.0181	✓	1.06	49k	2022-03-11
BTC	Bitcoin	Bitcoin	44,416.35	44,200.41	-0.49%	38,732.04	-12.80%	0.0049	✗	1.00	642.7M	2022-03-11
ADA	Cardano	Cardano	1.1947	1.1891	-0.47%	0.7884	-34.01%	0.2590	✓	1.11	109.8M	2022-03-11
ETH	Ethereum	Ethereum	3,246.22	3,231.83	-0.44%	2,556.42	-21.25%	0.0825	✓	1.11	544.5M	2022-03-11
ATM	Atletico Madrid Fan Token	Solana	6	5.9742	-0.43%	5.49	-8.50%	0.0227	✗	0.78	377k	2022-03-11
OGN	Origin Token	Ethereum	0.406	0.404535	-0.36%	0.262	-35.47%	0.2486	✓	1.36	1.8M	2022-03-11
GT	Gate	Ethereum	7.0423	7.0187	-0.33%	6.328	-10.14%	0.0185	✗	0.89	4.1M	2022-03-11
EWT	Energy Web Token	Ethereum	6.897	6.8779	-0.28%	4.778	-30.72%	0.2406	✓	0.90	81k	2022-03-11
ZEN	Horizen	Base	47.83	47.7203	-0.23%	37.86	-20.84%	0.0208	✓	1.54	461k	2022-03-11
XYM	Symbol	native	0.1868	0.18652	-0.15%	0.1335	-28.53%	0.2369	✓	0.71	423k	2022-03-11
CTK	Shentu	Osmosis	1.43	1.4288	-0.08%	1.113	-22.17%	0.0804	✓	1.24	3.2M	2022-03-11
BAT	Basic Attention	Ethereum	0.94117	0.941022	-0.02%	0.65584	-30.32%	0.1587	✓	1.48	311k	2022-03-11
BAR	FC Barcelona Fan Token	Solana	7.14	7.1425	+0.04%	7.84	+9.80%	0.2038	✓	0.81	463k	2022-03-11
XVS	Venus	Ethereum	10.06	10.0681	+0.08%	8.54	-15.11%	0.0126	✓	1.29	2.5M	2022-03-11
PHA	PHALA	Ethereum	0.288	0.288355	+0.12%	0.226	-21.53%	0.1129	✗	0.95	70k	2022-03-11
WBTC	Wrapped Bitcoin	Ethereum	44,492.60	44,568.22	+0.17%	38,852.80	-12.68%	0.0049	✗	0.97	41k	2022-03-11
LCX	LCX	Ethereum	0.1237	0.124168	+0.38%	0.0787	-36.38%	0.2433	✗	1.55	1.5M	2022-03-11
NMR	Numeraire	Ethereum	28.48	28.6007	+0.42%	27.91	-2.00%	0.1079	✓	0.97	566k	2022-03-11
AXS	Axie Infinity	Ethereum	67.62	67.9551	+0.50%	45.9	-32.12%	0.2257	✗	1.22	8.4M	2022-03-11
ASM	Assemble AI	Ethereum	0.05941	0.059727	+0.53%	0.0472	-20.55%	0.0395	✗	1.43	1.2M	2022-03-11
SC	Siacoin	native	0.01205	0.012116	+0.54%	0.00879	-27.05%	0.1830	✗	1.01	572k	2022-03-11
JASMY	JasmyCoin	Ethereum	0.041	0.041223	+0.54%	0.0143	-65.12%	0.9056	✗	1.12	9.1M	2022-03-11
ZEC	Zcash	Zcash	126.05	126.843	+0.63%	153.51	+21.79%	0.3633	✓	1.26	6.6M	2022-03-11
SOL	Solana	Solana	114.04	114.7771	+0.65%	80.7	-29.24%	0.1829	✗	1.24	179.7M	2022-03-11
GODS	Gods Unchained	Ethereum	2.21	2.2247	+0.66%	1.06	-52.04%	0.5800	✗	1.18	1.7M	2022-03-11
NANO	nanopay	Base	2.4	2.4205	+0.85%	1.6874	-29.69%	0.1984	✗	1.19	845k	2022-03-11
AUCTION	Bounce	Ethereum	16.51	16.6607	+0.91%	12.74	-22.83%	0.1248	✗	1.05	590k	2022-03-11
LTC	Litecoin	Litecoin	140.21	141.5356	+0.95%	104.55	-25.43%	0.1245	✗	1.30	32.4M	2022-03-11
MED	Medibloc	Osmosis	0.0468	0.04731	+1.09%	0.03906	-16.54%	0.0389	✗	1.12	30k	2022-03-11
IMX	Immutable	Ethereum	2.81	2.8412	+1.11%	1.705	-39.32%	0.3840	✗	0.92	2.6M	2022-03-11
BCH	Bitcoin Cash	Bitcoin Cash	346.21	350.3112	+1.18%	287.73	-16.89%	0.0574	✗	1.02	7.9M	2022-03-11
CTSI	Cartesi	Ethereum	0.5406	0.547051	+1.19%	0.2924	-45.91%	0.4236	✗	1.48	2.2M	2022-03-11
VSYS	V.SYSTEMS	native	0.01324	0.013416	+1.33%	0.01186	-10.42%	0.0146	✗	0.79	12k	2022-03-11
DEXE	DeXe	Ethereum	7.48	7.5816	+1.36%	5.85	-21.79%	0.2150	✗	0.32	1.0M	2022-03-11
TKO	Tokocrypto	Binance Smart Chain	0.827	0.839552	+1.52%	0.636	-23.10%	0.1282	✗	1.09	1.6M	2022-03-11
ENS	Ethereum Name Service	Ethereum	21.27	21.6024	+1.56%	13.72	-35.50%	0.2179	✗	1.72	3.8M	2022-03-11
TRX	TRON	Tron	0.069943	0.071042	+1.57%	0.060203	-13.93%	0.0426	✗	0.90	362k	2022-03-11
DNT	district0x	Ethereum	0.0943	0.095854	+1.65%	0.0696	-26.19%	0.1515	✗	1.23	219k	2022-03-11
AMP	Amp	Ethereum	0.0312	0.03202	+2.63%	0.02468	-20.90%	0.1384	✗	0.89	6.6M	2022-03-11

Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.